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Astronics (ATRO)
NASDAQ:ATRO
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Astronics (ATRO) AI Stock Analysis

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ATRO

Astronics

(NASDAQ:ATRO)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$87.00
▲(13.03% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/14/26
The score reflects strong technical momentum and a constructive earnings outlook (raised guidance, record backlog, margin expansion), balanced against elevated leverage and uneven recent cash conversion. Valuation is not cheap (P/E ~26) and there is no dividend yield data to provide additional support.
Positive Factors
Strong revenue visibility & backlog
Raised 2026 guidance and a record $734M backlog provide durable revenue visibility and reduce near-term demand uncertainty. A book-to-bill >1 and sustained bookings trend underpin multi-quarter order conversion, supporting predictable production pacing and capacity planning.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage and low cash buffer
Significantly higher debt and a thin cash position materially reduce financial flexibility. High leverage increases refinancing and interest-rate sensitivity, limiting the firm's ability to fund capex, absorb shocks, or pursue M&A without raising external capital or cutting investments.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong revenue visibility & backlog
Raised 2026 guidance and a record $734M backlog provide durable revenue visibility and reduce near-term demand uncertainty. A book-to-bill >1 and sustained bookings trend underpin multi-quarter order conversion, supporting predictable production pacing and capacity planning.
Read all positive factors

Astronics Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down income from various business units, providing insight into which segments drive growth and how diversified the company’s revenue sources are.
Chart InsightsAstronics' Aerospace segment shows robust growth, reaching new highs in 2025, driven by strategic acquisitions and improved operating margins. The Test Systems segment, however, faces challenges with declining sales and breakeven margins. The earnings call highlights strong overall performance with significant revenue and a high backlog, but also notes the impact of tariffs and a decline in the Test business. Despite these challenges, Astronics' strategic moves and positive cash flow position it well for future growth, with expectations of 10% or better growth in 2026.
Data provided by:The Fly

Astronics (ATRO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Astronics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Astronics Corporation, through its subsidiaries, designs and manufactures products for the aerospace, defense, and electronics industries in the United States, rest of North America, Asia, Europe, South America, and internationally. It operates in...
How the Company Makes Money
Astronics makes money mainly by selling engineered aerospace and defense products and test solutions to aircraft manufacturers, defense contractors, and other aerospace industry customers. A key revenue stream comes from delivering proprietary har...

Astronics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a broadly positive operational and financial momentum: strong top-line growth (Q1 sales +12%), record bookings and backlog, raised full-year guidance, and meaningful margin expansion. Key strategic drivers (IFEC demand, rising aircraft production rates, seat motion growth and an expected Army test program) underpin the upside. Offsetting items include weaker operating cash flow due to inventory build, low cash balances versus significant debt, tariff and component cost pressure, elevated CapEx/ERP spending, and some margin sensitivity to program accounting adjustments. Overall, the positive growth, margin improvement, record bookings/backlog and raised guidance materially outweigh the near-term liquidity and cost headwinds.
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth and Quarterly Record
Q1 revenue of $231 million (Pete cited ~$230M), up 12% year-over-year from $206 million; second-highest quarterly sales ever and at the high end of guidance.
Negative Updates
Cash Flow and Working Capital Drain
Operating cash generation fell to $10.6M in Q1 from $20.6M a year ago due to higher working capital requirements and inventory buildup to support anticipated revenue growth.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Revenue Growth and Quarterly Record
Q1 revenue of $231 million (Pete cited ~$230M), up 12% year-over-year from $206 million; second-highest quarterly sales ever and at the high end of guidance.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Astronics raised 2026 revenue guidance to $970M–$1.0B (previously $950M–$990M), a midpoint ~14% above 2025 sales (up to ~16% at the high end), and sees Q2 sales of $245M–$250M (a new quarterly record); management is targeting sustainable high‑teens adjusted operating margins (Q1 adjusted EBITDA margin was 16.4%) and expects the U.S. Army radio test program to contribute roughly $40M–$50M annually (about $20M in H2 2026). Capital expenditures for 2026 are expected to be $40M–$45M; ERP program spend is $15M–$17M in 2026 (with $2M–$3M flowing through P&L) and $35M–$40M over five years (≈$25M to be capitalized). Guidance is underpinned by strong order trends (Q1 bookings ≈ $290M, book‑to‑bill 1.26, backlog a record $734M) and cited liquidity of about $231.8M available (cash $11.9M, total debt $334.9M), plus a potential one‑time tax benefit when the valuation allowance is released, possibly as early as Q2.

Astronics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement strength (profitability turnaround, strong multi-year revenue growth, improved margins) is meaningfully offset by balance sheet risk (debt up sharply and leverage high) and weaker recent cash conversion (TTM free cash flow down sharply vs. 2025 despite remaining positive).
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
44
Neutral
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue886.81M862.13M795.43M689.21M534.89M444.91M
Gross Profit272.44M258.16M168.34M120.80M71.54M65.36M
EBITDA109.22M98.25M50.93M19.43M-2.27M-4.68M
Net Income45.37M29.36M-16.21M-26.42M-35.75M-25.58M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets747.14M706.68M648.76M649.00M615.03M609.14M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.87M18.18M9.29M11.31M13.78M29.76M
Total Debt379.11M378.35M193.87M197.88M178.41M181.80M
Total Liabilities585.44M566.60M392.67M399.48M375.11M352.53M
Stockholders Equity161.70M140.07M256.10M249.52M239.92M256.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow24.77M43.12M22.14M-31.59M-35.99M-11.56M
Operating Cash Flow65.50M74.80M30.57M-23.95M-28.31M-5.53M
Investing Cash Flow-62.80M-53.75M-8.43M-4.11M14.39M3.18M
Financing Cash Flow-17.26M-22.39M-14.53M25.43M-1.41M-7.50M

Astronics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price76.97
Price Trends
50DMA
72.65
Positive
100DMA
72.64
Positive
200DMA
58.91
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.44
Negative
RSI
64.85
Neutral
STOCH
78.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ATRO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 76.97 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 75.89, above the 50-day MA of 72.65, and above the 200-day MA of 58.91, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.44 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ATRO.

Astronics Risk Analysis

Astronics disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Astronics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Astronics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$2.88B26.1326.60%8.64%
65
Neutral
$4.28B16.2812.07%16.85%
64
Neutral
$6.47B41.288.35%0.89%1.46%-0.14%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
$2.16B48.18-4.86%6.48%-191.94%
61
Neutral
$5.69B-370.51-0.96%8.95%78.82%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ATRO
Astronics
84.99
54.40
177.84%
AIR
AAR
107.51
47.15
78.11%
DCO
Ducommun
143.20
75.07
110.19%
HXL
Hexcel
85.82
34.41
66.92%
MRCY
Mercury Systems
94.81
47.91
102.15%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 14, 2026