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Astronics Corp. (ATRO)
NASDAQ:ATRO

Astronics (ATRO) AI Stock Analysis

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ATRO

Astronics

(NASDAQ:ATRO)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$69.00
▲(6.51% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/25/26
ATRO scores as moderately attractive: strong technical trend and a constructive earnings outlook/backlog support near-term momentum, while the operating turnaround is tempered by materially higher leverage and mixed cash conversion. Valuation contributes little support due to a negative P/E and no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Backlog and Revenue Visibility
A record backlog of $674.5M and mid‑2026 revenue guidance implying ~12.5% growth provide multi‑quarter revenue visibility. This durable book‑to‑bill support means near‑term demand conversion is likely, smoothing top‑line volatility and underpinning production planning and investment decisions.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
Leverage jumped materially in 2025 driven by refinancing and convertible repurchases, raising debt/equity to ~2.7x. Higher indebtedness reduces financial flexibility, increases sensitivity to earnings volatility and interest costs, and limits maneuverability during aerospace cycle downturns or program delays.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Backlog and Revenue Visibility
A record backlog of $674.5M and mid‑2026 revenue guidance implying ~12.5% growth provide multi‑quarter revenue visibility. This durable book‑to‑bill support means near‑term demand conversion is likely, smoothing top‑line volatility and underpinning production planning and investment decisions.
Read all positive factors

Astronics (ATRO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Astronics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Astronics Corporation, through its subsidiaries, designs and manufactures products for the aerospace, defense, and electronics industries in the United States, rest of North America, Asia, Europe, South America, and internationally. It operates in...
How the Company Makes Money
Astronics makes money mainly by selling engineered aerospace and defense products and test solutions to aircraft manufacturers, defense contractors, and other aerospace industry customers. A key revenue stream comes from delivering proprietary har...

Astronics Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down income from various business units, providing insight into which segments drive growth and how diversified the company’s revenue sources are.
Chart InsightsAstronics' Aerospace segment shows robust growth, reaching new highs in 2025, driven by strategic acquisitions and improved operating margins. The Test Systems segment, however, faces challenges with declining sales and breakeven margins. The earnings call highlights strong overall performance with significant revenue and a high backlog, but also notes the impact of tariffs and a decline in the Test business. Despite these challenges, Astronics' strategic moves and positive cash flow position it well for future growth, with expectations of 10% or better growth in 2026.
Data provided by:The Fly

Astronics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 24, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a strongly positive operational and financial quarter with record revenue, significant margin expansion, robust cash generation, record backlog and constructive 2026 guidance. Key near-term challenges include a large increase in net debt from refinancing and convertible bond repurchases, tariff uncertainty (potential ~$8M exposure), elevated planned capital and ERP spending that will pressure cash flow in 2026, and dependency on timing of the Army test-program ramp for Test Systems profitability. Overall, the positives — record sales, broad-based margin improvement, strong bookings/backlog and clear progress on pricing and cost initiatives — outweigh the headwinds, which appear manageable and largely one-time or timing-related.
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Revenue
Q4 revenue of $240,000,000 set a new company record, beating the prior 2018 record by almost 13%; sales were up 15.1% year-over-year and up 13.5% sequentially.
Negative Updates
Significant Increase in Net Debt
Net debt rose to $324,800,000 at year end from $156,600,000 at the end of 2024, driven largely by refinancing actions including the repurchase of 80% of the 5.5% convertible bonds (repurchase cost ~$285,800,000) and other financing moves.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Quarterly Revenue
Q4 revenue of $240,000,000 set a new company record, beating the prior 2018 record by almost 13%; sales were up 15.1% year-over-year and up 13.5% sequentially.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company issued preliminary 2026 revenue guidance of $950M–$990M (midpoint $970M, ~12.5% growth; high end ≈15%), with Q1 sales expected at $220M–$230M and a cadence that rises thereafter so second‑half quarterly sales should exceed $250M; management did not give bottom‑line guidance but expects continued margin improvement and is targeting sustainable high‑teens operating margins over time. Capital plans include 2026 CapEx of $40M–$50M plus an ERP program with $14M–$18M of cash‑flow spending (outside CapEx) and a ~5‑year staged rollout (heaviest cost in 2026). Guidance is supported by a record backlog of $674.5M, Q4 bookings of $257M (book‑to‑bill 1.07), available liquidity of $231M, and management’s expectation that Test Systems profitability will improve as the U.S. Army 4549T radio test program ramps (they’re planning for a turn‑on in or shortly after Q2 2026).

Astronics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating turnaround is evident (steady revenue growth into 2025, gross margin expansion to ~30%, return to positive net income, and positive operating/free cash flow). The main constraint is balance-sheet risk: leverage rose sharply in 2025 (debt/equity ~2.7x) and free cash flow fell vs. 2024 with only partial coverage of net income, reducing flexibility if results soften.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Cash Flow
56
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue862.13M795.43M689.21M534.89M444.91M
Gross Profit258.16M168.34M120.80M71.54M65.36M
EBITDA66.34M50.93M19.43M-2.27M-4.68M
Net Income29.36M-16.21M-26.42M-35.75M-25.58M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets706.68M648.76M649.00M615.03M609.14M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.18M9.29M11.31M13.78M29.76M
Total Debt378.35M193.87M197.88M178.41M181.80M
Total Liabilities566.60M392.67M399.48M375.11M352.53M
Stockholders Equity140.07M256.10M249.52M239.92M256.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow43.12M22.14M-31.59M-35.99M-11.56M
Operating Cash Flow74.80M30.57M-23.95M-28.31M-5.53M
Investing Cash Flow-53.75M-8.43M-4.11M14.39M3.18M
Financing Cash Flow-22.39M-14.53M25.43M-1.41M-7.50M

Astronics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price64.78
Price Trends
50DMA
74.36
Negative
100DMA
64.03
Positive
200DMA
51.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.48
Positive
RSI
39.25
Neutral
STOCH
40.14
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ATRO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 64.78 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 70.65, below the 50-day MA of 74.36, and above the 200-day MA of 51.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.48 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ATRO.

Astronics Risk Analysis

Astronics disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Astronics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Astronics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$4.26B16.2812.07%17.59%-56.15%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
$2.31B71.0914.92%6.19%52.10%
59
Neutral
$1.81B-41.88-5.01%3.16%-213.56%
58
Neutral
$6.02B53.707.41%0.89%-0.37%-34.97%
55
Neutral
$4.29B-73.03-2.08%8.63%72.72%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ATRO
Astronics
64.78
40.61
168.02%
AIR
AAR
107.25
51.26
91.55%
DCO
Ducommun
120.78
62.75
108.13%
HXL
Hexcel
79.38
25.21
46.53%
MRCY
Mercury Systems
71.40
28.31
65.70%

Astronics Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Astronics Signals Post-Pandemic Recovery and New Growth Phase
Positive
Jan 14, 2026
Astronics Corporation told investors at conferences held on January 13 and 14, 2026 that its recovery from the pandemic downturn is largely complete and that it is entering a new growth phase, supported by preliminary 2025 revenue, bookings and ba...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 25, 2026