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Astronics Corp. (ATRO)
NASDAQ:ATRO

Astronics (ATRO) AI Stock Analysis

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ATRO

Astronics

(NASDAQ:ATRO)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$70.00
▲(8.01% Upside)
The score is primarily supported by improving operating performance and strong cash generation, reinforced by a positive earnings outlook (better margins, strong backlog, and growth guidance). These strengths are moderated by balance-sheet leverage and ongoing profitability concerns, while technicals are bullish but appear stretched. Valuation remains a clear weak point due to negative earnings and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Strong backlog and bookings
A $647M backlog with book-to-bill at 1.0 provides multi-quarter revenue visibility and production planning certainty. This durable ordership base supports steady top-line delivery, helping stabilize manufacturing cadence, supplier contracts, and near-term margin expansion.
Material improvement in operating margins
Operating margin and adjusted EBITDA gains reflect structural cost management and operating leverage, not just one-off items. Sustained higher margins improve cash generation capacity, fund reinvestment, and provide a path to consistent profitability if volume trends continue.
Stronger cash generation and refinancing actions
Refinancing actions plus improving free cash flow materially strengthen liquidity and lower near-term interest exposure. This durable improvement in funding flexibility supports organic growth, targeted M&A, and reduces rollover risk across economic cycles.
Negative Factors
High financial leverage
A debt-to-equity ratio near 3.5 denotes elevated leverage that constrains financial flexibility. High indebtedness raises refinancing and covenant risk during downturns, limits capital allocation choices, and increases sensitivity of results to interest costs and operational hiccups over the coming quarters.
Negative net profitability
Despite revenue recovery, a negative net margin indicates the company still isn't delivering bottom-line profits. Persistent net losses erode equity, hamper return metrics, and make sustained reinvestment, debt paydown, or shareholder distributions contingent on continued margin improvement.
Test Systems weakness and revenue concentration
A declining Test Systems business increases earnings volatility and highlights reliance on the Aerospace segment for revenue. Heavy concentration in aerospace exposures makes results sensitive to OEM cycles and aftermarket trends, reducing diversification benefits until Test recovers.

Astronics (ATRO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Astronics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAstronics Corporation, through its subsidiaries, designs and manufactures products for the aerospace, defense, and electronics industries in the United States, rest of North America, Asia, Europe, South America, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Aerospace and Test Systems. The Aerospace segment offers lighting and safety systems, electrical power generation systems, distribution and seat motions systems, aircraft structures, avionics products, system certification, and other products. This segment serves airframe manufacturers (OEM) that build aircraft for the commercial, military, and general aviation markets; suppliers to OEMs; and aircraft operators, such as airlines; suppliers to the aircraft operators; and branches of the U.S. Department of Defense. The Test Systems segment designs, develops, manufactures, and maintains automated test systems that support the aerospace and defense, and communications and mass transit industries; and provides wireless communication testing for the civil land mobile radio market, as well as training and simulation devices for commercial and military applications. It serves OEMs and prime government contractors for electronics and military products. The company was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in East Aurora, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyAstronics generates revenue through the sale of its aerospace and defense products and services. The Aerospace segment contributes the majority of the company’s revenue, driven by contracts with commercial and military aircraft manufacturers, as well as aftermarket services and retrofitting of existing aircraft. The Test Systems segment earns revenue through the sale of testing equipment and solutions to semiconductor manufacturers and aerospace clients. Key revenue streams include product sales, service contracts, and long-term agreements with major aerospace companies. Additionally, partnerships with leading aircraft manufacturers and defense contractors enhance the company’s market reach and stability, contributing significantly to its earnings.

Astronics Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Astronics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call indicates a strong performance for Astronics Corporation with significant revenue, improved margins, and successful strategic acquisitions. However, there were some challenges, including a decline in the Test business and a loss on debt settlement. Overall, the positive aspects significantly outweigh the negatives.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Quarterly Revenue
Astronics Corporation reported a revenue of $211.4 million for the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, marking it as the second highest quarterly level ever for the company.
Improved Operating Margins
Operating margin increased to 10.9% from last year's 4.1%, with adjusted operating margin reaching 12.3%.
High Backlog and Bookings
Astronics ended the quarter with a backlog of $647 million, supported by a book-to-bill ratio of 1.0.
Successful Refinancing
The company completed refinancing actions, including issuing a $225 million 0% convertible bond and transitioning to a cash flow revolver, reducing potential dilution and interest expenses.
Positive Free Cash Flow
Generated $34 million in cash during the quarter, with a free cash flow of $21 million.
Acquisitions Enhancing Capabilities
Acquired Envoy Aerospace and Bühler Motor Aviation, expanding capabilities in FAA certification and aircraft seat actuation systems.
Negative Updates
Decline in Test Business Sales
Test business sales were $18.7 million, down from the third quarter of 2024.
High Loss on Debt Settlement
Recorded a noncash loss on debt settlement of $32.6 million due to the inducement charge for early bond redemption.
Impact of Tariffs on Gross Profit
Tariffs impacted gross profit by $4 million in the quarter.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, Astronics Corporation reported a revenue of $211.4 million, marking its second-highest quarterly level ever, with the Aerospace segment contributing $192.7 million. The company achieved an operating margin of 10.9%, up from 4.1% in the same period last year, and an adjusted operating margin of 12.3%. The Aerospace segment had a significant operating margin of 16.2%, while the Test segment had an essentially breakeven margin at negative 0.1%. Adjusted EBITDA was 15.5% of sales, the highest since the pandemic began in 2020. The company reported total bookings of $210 million, resulting in a book-to-bill ratio of 1.0, and ended the quarter with a backlog of $647 million. Astronics completed two acquisitions: Envoy Aerospace and Bühler Motor Aviation, expected to contribute $4 million and $20-$25 million in annual sales, respectively. The company also executed refinancing actions, including issuing a new $225 million 0% convertible bond, aimed at reducing its debt cost and potential dilution. For the fourth quarter, Astronics anticipates revenue between $225 million and $235 million, with a projected 10% or better growth for 2026.

Astronics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Astronics shows strong revenue growth and improved gross margins, but profitability remains a challenge with negative net margins. The balance sheet indicates increased leverage, raising financial risk concerns. However, strong cash flow generation provides some financial stability.
Income Statement
Astronics has shown a strong revenue growth rate of 94.2% TTM, indicating a significant recovery and expansion. The gross profit margin improved to 27.5% TTM, reflecting better cost management. However, the net profit margin remains negative at -0.37% TTM, highlighting ongoing profitability challenges. The EBIT margin is positive at 2.96% TTM, but the EBITDA margin has decreased to 2.54% TTM, suggesting some operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
The debt-to-equity ratio has increased significantly to 3.48 TTM, indicating high leverage and potential financial risk. Return on equity is negative at -1.43% TTM, reflecting challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 15.96% TTM, suggesting a moderate level of equity financing relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
Free cash flow has grown by 40.2% TTM, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.49 TTM, showing a reasonable conversion of earnings into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.69 TTM, suggesting that the company is generating cash flow despite net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue830.60M795.43M689.21M534.89M444.91M502.59M
Gross Profit228.24M168.34M120.80M71.54M65.36M96.84M
EBITDA39.58M50.93M19.43M-2.27M-4.68M18.17M
Net Income-3.09M-16.21M-26.42M-35.75M-25.58M-115.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets682.19M648.76M649.00M615.03M609.14M619.75M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.48M9.29M11.31M13.78M29.76M40.41M
Total Debt379.39M193.87M197.88M178.41M181.80M197.45M
Total Liabilities573.28M392.67M399.48M375.11M352.53M349.37M
Stockholders Equity108.91M256.10M249.52M239.92M256.60M270.37M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow51.28M22.14M-31.59M-35.99M-11.56M29.88M
Operating Cash Flow74.33M30.57M-23.95M-28.31M-5.53M37.34M
Investing Cash Flow-27.66M-8.43M-4.11M14.39M3.18M-5.80M
Financing Cash Flow-33.97M-14.53M25.43M-1.41M-7.50M-24.58M

Astronics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price64.81
Price Trends
50DMA
52.88
Positive
100DMA
48.06
Positive
200DMA
39.01
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.52
Negative
RSI
80.75
Negative
STOCH
94.35
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ATRO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 64.81 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 56.75, above the 50-day MA of 52.88, and above the 200-day MA of 39.01, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.52 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 80.75 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.35 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ATRO.

Astronics Risk Analysis

Astronics disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Astronics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Astronics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$6.43B95.164.36%0.89%-0.37%-34.97%
65
Neutral
$2.35B-515.62-1.72%6.19%52.10%
65
Neutral
$1.61B-46.76-5.27%3.16%-213.56%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
$5.62B-172.33-2.24%8.63%72.72%
60
Neutral
$3.84B38.226.86%17.59%-56.15%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ATRO
Astronics
69.97
53.90
335.41%
AIR
AAR
98.23
28.76
41.40%
DCO
Ducommun
109.25
42.27
63.11%
HXL
Hexcel
82.13
16.32
24.80%
MRCY
Mercury Systems
97.02
54.01
125.58%

Astronics Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Astronics Announces New $300 Million Credit Facility
Positive
Oct 22, 2025

On October 22, 2025, Astronics Corporation announced the establishment of a new $300 million senior secured, cash flow-based revolving credit facility, replacing its previous asset-based facility. This new facility, maturing in October 2030, enhances Astronics’ financial flexibility and borrowing capacity to support growth initiatives in the commercial aerospace and defense markets, reflecting the company’s strong financial performance and improved capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (ATRO) stock is a Buy with a $58.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Astronics stock, see the ATRO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 09, 2026