Redwire (RDW) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $2.41B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 4.29M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 2.77
• Revenue Growth: 1.36%
• EPS Growth: -213.86%
• Country: US
• Employees: 750
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 94
• Industry: Aerospace & Defense
• EPS (TTM): -0.09
• Shares Outstanding: 142,575,700
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 4,928,526
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 4,289,558
• PEG Ratio: -0.72
• Price to Book (P/B): -18.15
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: -32.75
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.99
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 2.04
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 61.75
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -9.17
• 1Y Price Target: $22.50
• Price Target Upside: 32.98% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 6

• Rating: 59 Neutral
• Price Target: $18.00 ▲(6.38%Upside)

Redwire's overall stock score reflects a company with significant financial challenges but promising strategic initiatives. The most impactful factor is the financial instability, with negative equity and liquidity concerns. However, strong strategic execution and recent acquisitions provide potential for future growth, balancing some of the financial risks.

Positive Factors

Financial Performance

RDW shares are expected to respond favorably as the company executes against its 2025 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance, moving toward the $26 price target.

Product Integration

Redwire offers an end-to-end solution with encrypted data transfer from drones to satellites, enhancing its competitive edge in the defense market.

Strategic Acquisitions

The Edge Autonomy acquisition positions Redwire in areas of growing demand, improving its positioning in both space and national defense, two areas expected to see increasing demand and investment.

Negative Factors

Executive Transition Challenges

Delays and disruptions within the U.S. market are due to turnover during the transition in the Executive branch.

Financial Performance Concerns

Financial performance remains tenuous, and growth fell last quarter.

Market Competition

Downside risks to the rating and price target include more growth headwinds for Edge due to a more challenging competitive environment within the defense autonomy space.

Redwire Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Redwire Corporation (RDW) is a leading provider of mission-critical space solutions and high-reliability components for the next generation space economy. The company operates in the aerospace sector, focusing on space infrastructure, including advanced sensors, components, and systems designed for space exploration, satellite servicing, space-based manufacturing, and other innovative space applications. Redwire's offerings cater to a diverse range of clients, including government agencies, commercial businesses, and defense sectors, supporting a variety of space missions and projects.

How the Company Makes Money

Redwire generates revenue through the sale of its advanced space technologies and infrastructure solutions. The company offers a broad range of products and services, including satellite components, space sensors, and on-orbit servicing equipment, which are sold to government space agencies, defense organizations, and commercial space enterprises. Key revenue streams include contracts and partnerships with NASA, the Department of Defense, and private aerospace companies, enabling the development and deployment of space missions. Additionally, Redwire capitalizes on the growing demand for space manufacturing and research, providing specialized equipment and technology to facilitate these activities. Strategic acquisitions and collaborations also play a significant role in enhancing their product offerings and expanding market reach, contributing to the company's financial performance.

Redwire Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Redwire's financial statements indicate significant financial instability and challenges. The income statement shows declining revenue and deeply negative profit margins, highlighting operational inefficiencies. The balance sheet suggests high leverage and potential solvency issues due to negative equity. Cash flows are negative, indicating liquidity challenges and reliance on external financing.

Income Statement

Redwire's income statement reveals significant challenges. The TTM revenue has decreased compared to the previous year, indicating negative revenue growth. Gross profit margin fell significantly, with the most recent TTM showing a slight margin, but net profit margins remain deeply negative due to substantial losses. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also been negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies. Overall, the income statement highlights ongoing struggles with profitability and revenue growth.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet indicates financial instability. The debt-to-equity ratio is not meaningful due to negative equity, suggesting high leverage and potential solvency issues. The negative stockholders' equity reflects accumulated losses exceeding asset values. The equity ratio is also negative, further signaling financial distress. Despite some asset growth, liabilities have increased, exacerbating financial risk. Redwire's balance sheet portrays a company facing high financial leverage and potential solvency challenges.

Cash Flow

Redwire's cash flow statement shows negative operating and free cash flows, impacting liquidity. The free cash flow has worsened compared to previous periods, indicating increasing cash burn. Operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, consistent with the company's losses. While financing activities have provided cash inflows, reliance on external financing raises concerns about sustainability. Overall, Redwire's cash flow position underscores liquidity challenges and dependence on external funding.

Breakdown	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	304.10M	243.80M	160.55M	137.60M	57.44M
Gross Profit	44.45M	57.97M	28.70M	29.38M	12.14M
EBITDA	-91.16M	-6.33M	-118.82M	-55.77M	-15.44M
Net Income	-114.31M	-27.26M	-130.62M	-61.54M	-15.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	292.62M	271.27M	257.70M	261.76M	156.77M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	49.07M	30.28M	28.32M	20.52M	22.08M
Total Debt	144.98M	105.83M	95.08M	78.55M	79.54M
Total Liabilities	344.53M	218.44M	264.17M	154.53M	117.58M
Stockholders Equity	-188.71M	52.60M	-6.70M	107.22M	39.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-23.75M	-6.54M	-35.81M	-40.22M	-13.65M
Operating Cash Flow	-17.35M	1.23M	-31.66M	-37.36M	-12.49M
Investing Cash Flow	-7.20M	-8.33M	-37.38M	-38.54M	-85.57M
Financing Cash Flow	43.72M	9.06M	76.56M	74.21M	124.07M

Redwire Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 16.92
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RDW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.92 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.62, above the 50-day MA of 15.86, and above the 200-day MA of 13.71, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.44 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RDW.

Redwire Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
PL	73 Outperform	$2.08B	―	-22.54%	―	9.52%	24.27%
DCO	68 Neutral	$1.34B	38.52	5.25%	―	3.02%	95.76%
ATRO	67 Neutral	$1.23B	―	-1.35%	―	13.73%	86.81%
Sector *	65 Neutral	€9.31B	16.45	3.99%	2.99%	2.81%	-19.06%
RDW	59 Neutral	$2.41B	―	-451.56%	―	1.36%	-213.86%
SKYH	50 Neutral	$813.45M	―	-42.87%	―	102.32%	13.67%
ACHR	49 Neutral	$7.20B	―	-73.89%	―	―	17.43%

Redwire Corporate Events

Redwire Appoints New Board Members Amid Leadership Changes

Redwire Corporation announced the appointment of Michael Greene and Raphael Wallander to its Board of Directors, effective July 11, 2025, following the resignations of Les Daniels and Michael Bevacqua. Greene, associated with AE Industrial Partners, and Wallander, owner of Maxwell Bay Advisors, bring extensive experience in investment and corporate management to the board. Their appointments are linked to specific investment agreements, and both will serve terms expiring in 2026 and 2027, respectively. The company has confirmed there are no related transactions or relationships requiring disclosure.

The most recent analyst rating on (RDW) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Redwire stock, see the RDW Stock Forecast page.

Redwire Announces Board Resignations Post-Acquisition

Redwire Corporation announced the resignation of certain board members following its acquisition of Edge Autonomy Intermediate Holdings, LLC and its subsidiaries. On June 26, 2025, Michael J. Bevacqua resigned, followed by David Kornblatt and Les Daniels on July 1, 2025. These resignations were made to facilitate the appointment of new directors and were not due to any disagreements with the company’s operations or policies.

The most recent analyst rating on (RDW) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Redwire stock, see the RDW Stock Forecast page.

Redwire Announces $260 Million Stock Offering Completion

On June 16, 2025, Redwire Corporation announced a common stock offering, selling 15,525,000 shares for approximately $260 million, which closed on June 18, 2025. The proceeds are intended for working capital, corporate uses, and the acquisition of Edge Autonomy. Redwire’s acquisition of Edge Autonomy, completed on June 13, 2025, expands its operations into the emerging UAS market, though it faces competition and regulatory challenges. The acquisition also exposes Redwire to new risks, including geopolitical factors affecting Edge Autonomy’s sales, particularly in Ukraine.

The most recent analyst rating on (RDW) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Redwire stock, see the RDW Stock Forecast page.

Redwire Completes Acquisition of Edge Autonomy

On June 13, 2025, Redwire Corporation completed its acquisition of Edge Autonomy for $925 million, funded through a combination of a $90 million credit agreement with JPMorgan Chase and a $100 million unsecured seller note. This acquisition, involving a mix of cash and stock, is expected to enhance Redwire’s market position in the aerospace and defense sector by integrating Edge Autonomy’s advanced technologies and expanding its customer base. The transaction included a special meeting of stockholders where the merger was approved, and an amended investor rights agreement was established to manage board representation and stockholder rights.

The most recent analyst rating on (RDW) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Redwire stock, see the RDW Stock Forecast page.

Redwire Amends Merger Agreement with Edge Autonomy

On June 8, 2025, Redwire Corporation announced an amendment to its merger agreement to acquire Edge Autonomy for $925 million. The amended terms include $160 million in cash and $765 million in Redwire common stock, with a holdback of $5 million in shares for post-closing adjustments. The merger is subject to stockholder approval, and Redwire has secured commitments for $90 million in debt financing to facilitate the transaction. The company also amended its credit facility to extend its maturity date and adjust interest rates. The acquisition aims to enhance Redwire’s position in the space infrastructure industry by integrating Edge Autonomy’s uncrewed airborne system technology.

The most recent analyst rating on (RDW) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Redwire stock, see the RDW Stock Forecast page.

Redwire Holds 2025 Annual Shareholders Meeting

On May 21, 2025, Redwire Corporation held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders. During this meeting, shareholders elected Class III directors to serve until the 2028 Annual Meeting, ratified the appointment of KPMG LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025, and approved an amendment to the Company’s Certificate of Incorporation to limit the personal liability of certain officers for monetary damages for breach of fiduciary duty.

The most recent analyst rating on (RDW) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Redwire stock, see the RDW Stock Forecast page.