Redwire (RDW) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $1.21B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 7.85M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 2.69
• Revenue Growth: -0.63%
• EPS Growth: -163.11%
• Country: US
• Employees: 750
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Aerospace & Defense
• EPS (TTM): -0.29
• Shares Outstanding: 165,150,790
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 5,286,726
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 7,848,433
• PEG Ratio: -0.04
• Price to Book (P/B): -20.97
• Price to Sales (P/S): 3.58
• P/FCF Ratio: -45.85
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.32
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 5.37
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 139.32
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -7.78
• 1Y Price Target: $14.00
• Price Target Upside: 134.11% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 7
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 43 Neutral
• Price Target: $6.00 ▲(0.33% Upside)

Redwire's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its poor financial performance and valuation challenges. While the earnings call provided some positive insights into revenue growth and strategic initiatives, the technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and the financial metrics reflect significant operational and cash flow difficulties.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

The significant revenue growth indicates strong market demand and successful integration of acquisitions, enhancing Redwire's competitive position in the space industry.

Strategic Partnerships

Strategic partnerships expand Redwire's capabilities and market reach, positioning the company well for future growth in emerging space sectors.

Improved EBITDA

The improvement in EBITDA reflects better operational efficiency and cost management, which are crucial for long-term financial health and profitability.

Negative Factors

Negative Cash Flow

Negative cash flow indicates operational challenges and potential liquidity issues, which could hinder Redwire's ability to invest in growth and innovation.

Revised Revenue Guidance

Lowered revenue guidance suggests potential delays and uncertainties in contract execution, impacting near-term financial performance and strategic planning.

High Costs

High costs relative to sales indicate inefficiencies that could pressure margins and profitability, necessitating cost control measures for sustainable growth.

Redwire Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Redwire Corporation, a space infrastructure company, develops, manufactures, and sells mission critical space solutions and components for national security, civil, and commercial space markets in the United States, Luxembourg, Germany, South Korea, Poland, and internationally. The company provides various antennas; and advanced sensors and components, which include solar arrays, composite booms, radio frequency antennas, payload adapters, space-qualifies camera systems, and star trackers and sun sensors. It also sells a proprietary enterprise software suite that enables digital engineering and generation of interactive modeling and simulations of individual components, entire spacecraft, and full constellations in a cloud-based Software as a Service business model. In addition, the company offers on-orbit servicing, assembly, and manufacturing solutions; and low-earth orbit commercialization, digitally engineered spacecraft, and space domain awareness and resiliency technology solutions. Redwire Corporation is headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida.

How the Company Makes Money

Redwire generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily focusing on contracts with government agencies, commercial partnerships, and space missions. The company earns income by providing engineering services and products for satellite development, manufacturing, and deployment. Key revenue streams include contracts with NASA and the Department of Defense for various space-related projects, as well as collaborations with private sector clients seeking advanced space technologies. Additionally, Redwire benefits from strategic partnerships and joint ventures that enhance its capabilities and market reach, allowing it to tap into emerging opportunities in the expanding space economy.

Redwire Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Redwire is facing significant financial challenges with negative net profit and cash flow, despite some revenue growth. The balance sheet shows manageable leverage, but overall profitability and cash generation are major concerns.

Income Statement

Redwire's income statement shows a challenging financial position with a negative net profit margin of -71.95% in TTM, indicating significant losses relative to revenue. The gross profit margin is low at 2.53%, suggesting high costs relative to sales. However, there is a positive revenue growth rate of 13.31% TTM, indicating some top-line growth. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies and high non-cash expenses.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42 in TTM, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -80.48%, indicating that the company is not generating profits from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is not directly provided, but the high total assets relative to equity suggest a stable asset base.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows negative operating cash flow and free cash flow in TTM, indicating cash outflows from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 1.08, suggesting that cash flow is slightly better than net income, but still negative. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash flow challenges.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	296.15M	304.10M	243.80M	160.55M	137.60M	57.44M
Gross Profit	11.41M	44.45M	57.97M	28.70M	29.38M	12.14M
EBITDA	-204.37M	-91.16M	-6.33M	-118.82M	-55.77M	-15.44M
Net Income	-208.25M	-114.31M	-27.26M	-130.62M	-61.54M	-15.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.45B	292.62M	271.27M	257.70M	261.76M	156.77M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	54.33M	49.07M	30.28M	28.32M	20.52M	22.08M
Total Debt	44.15M	144.98M	105.83M	95.08M	78.55M	79.54M
Total Liabilities	518.20M	344.53M	218.44M	264.17M	154.53M	117.58M
Stockholders Equity	928.04M	-51.91M	52.60M	-6.70M	107.22M	39.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-251.98M	-23.75M	-6.54M	-35.81M	-40.22M	-13.65M
Operating Cash Flow	-233.67M	-17.35M	1.23M	-31.66M	-37.36M	-12.49M
Investing Cash Flow	-331.04M	-7.20M	-8.33M	-37.38M	-38.54M	-85.57M
Financing Cash Flow	330.36M	43.72M	9.06M	76.56M	74.21M	124.07M

Redwire Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 5.98
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RDW, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.98 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.86, below the 50-day MA of 8.54, and below the 200-day MA of 12.74, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.64 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RDW.

Redwire Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%
SPCE	49 Neutral	$209.63M	―	-91.98%	―	-84.19%	55.27%
ACHR	49 Neutral	$6.17B	―	-60.83%	―	―	-4.00%
RKLB	46 Neutral	$27.31B	―	-40.45%	―	54.36%	-26.35%
RDW	43 Neutral	$1.21B	―	-50.08%	―	-0.63%	-163.11%
LUNR	42 Neutral	$1.87B	―	―	―	43.23%	-3174.53%
EVTL	25 Underperform	$431.55M	―	―	―	―	―

Redwire Corporate Events

Redwire Sees Bain Capital Convert Preferred Stock

On October 6, 2025, Redwire Corporation announced that Bain Capital voluntarily converted its remaining 28,509.34 shares of Series A Convertible Preferred Stock into 9,962,691 shares of Redwire’s common stock. This conversion reflects Bain Capital’s strategic decision to transition its investment into common equity, impacting Redwire’s capital structure by increasing the number of common shares outstanding.

The most recent analyst rating on (RDW) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Redwire stock, see the RDW Stock Forecast page.

Redwire Announces CFO Retirement and Board Changes

On October 7, 2025, Redwire Corporation announced the retirement of its Chief Financial Officer, Jonathan Baliff, effective November 30, 2025. Chris Edmunds, the current Senior Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer, is planned to succeed him, ensuring a seamless transition for the company’s finance organization. Additionally, Redwire announced the resignations of John Bolton and Jonathan Baliff from the Board of Directors, with General James McConville and Dorothy D. Hayes appointed to fill the vacancies. These leadership changes are part of Redwire’s strategy to advance its growth and strengthen its position in the global space and defense technology sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (RDW) stock is a Hold with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Redwire stock, see the RDW Stock Forecast page.

Redwire’s Capital Structure Altered by Stock Conversion

On September 15, 2025, Redwire Corporation received a notice from Bain Capital to convert 31,719.43 shares of its Series A Convertible Preferred Stock into 11,000,000 shares of common stock. This conversion impacts Redwire’s capital structure, increasing the number of common shares outstanding and reducing the Convertible Preferred Stock, potentially affecting shareholder value and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (RDW) stock is a Buy with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Redwire stock, see the RDW Stock Forecast page.

Redwire Corporation’s Earnings Call: Mixed Results and Strategic Moves

The recent earnings call for Redwire Corporation painted a mixed picture of the company’s current standing. While there were notable achievements such as successful testing and strategic acquisitions, these were overshadowed by financial challenges. The company faced considerable EAC impacts and delays in government contracts, leading to a negative adjusted EBITDA and an increased net loss.

Redwire Corporation’s Transformative Acquisition and Q2 2025 Results

Redwire Corporation is a global leader in space and defense technology solutions, focusing on advanced technologies and integrated multi-domain operations. The company has recently completed the acquisition of Edge Autonomy, enhancing its capabilities in space and defense tech. In the second quarter of 2025, Redwire reported revenues of $61.8 million, a net loss of $97.0 million, and adjusted EBITDA of negative $27.4 million, with a record liquidity of $113.6 million.