Redwire (RDW) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $1.06B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 7.53M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 2.80
• Revenue Growth: -0.63%
• EPS Growth: -163.11%
• Country: US
• Employees: 750
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Aerospace & Defense
• EPS (TTM): -0.29
• Shares Outstanding: 165,150,790
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 11,121,487
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 7,530,709
• PEG Ratio: -0.04
• Price to Book (P/B): -20.97
• Price to Sales (P/S): 3.58
• P/FCF Ratio: -45.85
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.49
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 5.37
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 139.32
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -15.04
• 1Y Price Target: $11.88
• Price Target Upside: 69.23% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 9
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 44 Neutral
• Price Target: $6.50 ▼(-7.41% Downside)

Redwire's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its poor financial performance, with significant losses and cash flow challenges. While there are positive aspects such as revenue growth and strategic acquisitions, these are overshadowed by financial instability and bearish technical indicators. The recent equity distribution agreement provides some financial flexibility, but the company's valuation remains unattractive due to negative earnings.

Positive Factors

Strategic Expansion

The new facility enhances Redwire's production capacity for critical fuel cells, supporting increased demand and vertical integration, which strengthens its market position in the aerospace and defense industry.

Revenue Growth

Strong revenue growth indicates successful market penetration and demand for Redwire's products, providing a solid foundation for future financial performance and strategic investments.

Financial Flexibility

The equity distribution agreement enhances Redwire's financial flexibility, allowing for strategic investments and operational stability, which supports long-term growth and competitiveness.

Negative Factors

Cash Flow Challenges

Negative cash flows indicate operational inefficiencies and financial strain, potentially limiting Redwire's ability to invest in growth and meet obligations, impacting long-term sustainability.

Profitability Issues

Significant losses relative to revenue highlight profitability challenges, which could hinder Redwire's ability to reinvest in the business and achieve sustainable growth.

Leadership Changes

Leadership changes can introduce uncertainty and disrupt strategic continuity, potentially affecting Redwire's ability to execute long-term plans and maintain investor confidence.

Redwire Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Redwire (RDW) is a space infrastructure company that specializes in developing and providing advanced technologies and services for the space industry. The company operates across various sectors, including satellite systems, in-space manufacturing, and space robotics. Redwire's core products and services include satellite components, on-orbit servicing solutions, and innovative space systems designed to support both government and commercial missions in low Earth orbit and beyond.

How the Company Makes Money

Redwire generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily focusing on contracts with government agencies, commercial partnerships, and space missions. The company earns income by providing engineering services and products for satellite development, manufacturing, and deployment. Key revenue streams include contracts with NASA and the Department of Defense for various space-related projects, as well as collaborations with private sector clients seeking advanced space technologies. Additionally, Redwire benefits from strategic partnerships and joint ventures that enhance its capabilities and market reach, allowing it to tap into emerging opportunities in the expanding space economy.

Redwire Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Redwire is facing financial difficulties with significant losses and negative cash flows. Despite a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, the company struggles with profitability and cash generation. Revenue growth is present, but operational inefficiencies and cash flow challenges are major concerns.

Income Statement

Redwire's income statement shows a challenging financial position with a negative net profit margin of -71.95% in TTM, indicating significant losses relative to revenue. The gross profit margin is low at 2.53%, suggesting high costs relative to sales. However, there is a positive revenue growth rate of 13.31% TTM, indicating some top-line growth. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies and high non-cash expenses.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42 in TTM, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -80.48%, indicating that the company is not generating profits from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is not directly provided, but the high total assets relative to equity suggest a stable asset base.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows negative operating cash flow and free cash flow in TTM, indicating cash outflows from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 1.08, suggesting that cash flow is slightly better than net income, but still negative. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash flow challenges.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	296.15M	304.10M	243.80M	160.55M	137.60M	57.44M
Gross Profit	11.41M	44.45M	57.97M	28.70M	29.38M	12.14M
EBITDA	-105.67M	-21.40M	-4.81M	-35.30M	-32.99M	-15.44M
Net Income	-208.25M	-114.31M	-27.26M	-130.62M	-61.54M	-15.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.45B	292.62M	271.27M	257.70M	261.76M	156.77M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	54.33M	49.07M	30.28M	28.32M	20.52M	22.08M
Total Debt	333.71M	144.98M	105.83M	95.08M	78.55M	79.54M
Total Liabilities	518.20M	344.53M	218.44M	187.81M	154.53M	117.58M
Stockholders Equity	928.04M	-51.91M	52.60M	69.66M	107.22M	39.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-162.31M	-23.75M	-7.10M	-35.81M	-40.22M	-13.65M
Operating Cash Flow	-146.00M	-17.35M	1.23M	-31.66M	-37.36M	-12.49M
Investing Cash Flow	-173.37M	-7.20M	-8.33M	-37.38M	-38.54M	-85.57M
Financing Cash Flow	330.36M	43.72M	9.06M	76.56M	74.21M	124.07M

Redwire Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 7.02
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RDW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.20, above the 50-day MA of 6.91, and below the 200-day MA of 10.79, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RDW.

Redwire Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%
LUNR	54 Neutral	$1.84B	-5.81	―	―	8.07%	33.37%
RKLB	51 Neutral	$28.82B	-154.55	-23.24%	―	52.42%	-1.33%
ACHR	49 Neutral	$5.55B	-6.60	-59.13%	―	―	11.14%
SPCE	48 Neutral	$195.92M	―	-98.87%	―	-82.36%	56.88%
RDW	44 Neutral	$1.06B	-2.21	-50.08%	―	-0.63%	-163.11%
EVTL	25 Underperform	$501.51M	-0.58	―	―	―	―

Redwire Corporate Events

Redwire Enters Equity Distribution Agreement for $250M

On November 10, 2025, Redwire Corporation entered into an Equity Distribution Agreement with several securities firms, allowing the company to sell up to $250 million in common stock through at-the-market offerings. The proceeds from these sales are intended for general corporate purposes, including working capital and potential strategic investments, enhancing Redwire’s financial flexibility and positioning in the market.

Redwire Sees Bain Capital Convert Preferred Stock

On October 6, 2025, Redwire Corporation announced that Bain Capital voluntarily converted its remaining 28,509.34 shares of Series A Convertible Preferred Stock into 9,962,691 shares of Redwire’s common stock. This conversion reflects Bain Capital’s strategic decision to transition its investment into common equity, impacting Redwire’s capital structure by increasing the number of common shares outstanding.

Redwire Announces CFO Retirement and Board Changes

On October 7, 2025, Redwire Corporation announced the retirement of its Chief Financial Officer, Jonathan Baliff, effective November 30, 2025. Chris Edmunds, the current Senior Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer, is planned to succeed him, ensuring a seamless transition for the company’s finance organization. Additionally, Redwire announced the resignations of John Bolton and Jonathan Baliff from the Board of Directors, with General James McConville and Dorothy D. Hayes appointed to fill the vacancies. These leadership changes are part of Redwire’s strategy to advance its growth and strengthen its position in the global space and defense technology sector.

Redwire’s Capital Structure Altered by Stock Conversion

On September 15, 2025, Redwire Corporation received a notice from Bain Capital to convert 31,719.43 shares of its Series A Convertible Preferred Stock into 11,000,000 shares of common stock. This conversion impacts Redwire’s capital structure, increasing the number of common shares outstanding and reducing the Convertible Preferred Stock, potentially affecting shareholder value and market perception.