Intuitive Machines (LUNR) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $1.61B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 7.60M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 3.38
• Revenue Growth: 43.23%
• EPS Growth: -3174.53%
• Country: US
• Employees: 435
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 83
• Industry: Aerospace & Defense
• EPS (TTM): -0.22
• Shares Outstanding: 117,819,530
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 6,699,598
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 7,602,191
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.02
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 7.24
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 39.09
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -22.30
• 1Y Price Target: $14.25
• Price Target Upside: 58.51% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 9

• Rating: 43 Neutral
• Price Target: $8.50 ▼(-5.45% Downside)

Intuitive Machines' overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance, characterized by negative equity and profitability issues. While technical analysis and valuation also reflect caution, recent strategic corporate events and earnings call guidance provide some optimism for future improvement.

Positive Factors

Acquisition and Expansion

Intuitive Machines announced the acquisition of KinetX, a deep space navigation/communications software provider, to expand internal resources across Earth Orbit, Moon and Mars constellation management capabilities.

Backlog and Revenue Recognition

LUNR exits FY24 with record backlogs of $328M, a strong cash position of +$385M, and positive FY25 EBITDA guidance, providing a solid operational backstop.

Free Cash Flow

Intuitive Machines generated FCF of $13.3M driven by the improved margin profile of the business and favorably timed milestone payments, marking the first positive FCF quarter in company history.

Negative Factors

Contracting Challenges

The upcoming IM-3 mission is expected to encounter less challenging terrain, more direct sunlight, and easier communication, suggesting a smoother operation compared to previous missions.

Earnings Miss

Intuitive Machines reported a Q2/25 Adj. EBITDA loss, missing the analyst's estimate by a significant margin.

Guidance Revision

Management lowered FY25 guidance towards the low end of its prior range, reflecting fiscal bottlenecks related to ongoing government contracting delays.

Intuitive Machines Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Intuitive Machines, Inc. manufactures and supplies space products and services. It offers space products and services to support sustained robotic and human exploration to the moon, mars, and beyond. It offers its products and services through business units: Lunar Access Services, Orbital Services, Lunar Data Services, and Space Products and Infrastructure. The company was founded in 2013 and is based in Houston, Texas.

How the Company Makes Money

Intuitive Machines makes money primarily through government contracts, commercial partnerships, and private sector clients. Its key revenue streams include providing lunar transportation services to government agencies like NASA as part of the Artemis program, where it delivers payloads to the Moon. The company also generates revenue from offering lunar data and communication services to other space exploration entities. Significant partnerships with space agencies and private companies contribute to its earnings by leveraging collaborative projects and shared technological advancements.

Intuitive Machines Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Intuitive Machines shows revenue growth but faces severe profitability and financial stability challenges. The company has high leverage, negative equity, and struggles with cash flow management, relying heavily on external financing.

Income Statement

Intuitive Machines has experienced volatile revenue trends with significant growth in recent years, though profitability remains a challenge. The TTM data shows a Gross Profit Margin of 17.87%, indicating some margin improvement, but the company is still facing substantial net losses, reflected in a Net Profit Margin of -90.79%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, demonstrating ongoing operational and financial challenges.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects high leverage and negative equity, indicating financial instability. With a negative Stockholders' Equity and a Debt-to-Equity ratio that cannot be calculated due to negative equity, the company faces significant financial risk. The Equity Ratio is also negative, highlighting unsustainable financing practices.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows negative free cash flow, although there is a large influx of cash from financing activities, suggesting reliance on external funding. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is negative, indicating poor cash generation relative to net losses, while the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is also challenging, reflecting cash flow struggles.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	226.36M	228.00M	79.52M	85.95M	72.55M	44.26M
Gross Profit	41.93M	37.63M	-20.95M	10.43M	-27.76M	1.70M
EBITDA	-73.49M	-50.49M	48.46M	38.78M	-37.05M	-3.81M
Net Income	-240.83M	-283.41M	62.80M	-6.41M	-35.65M	-4.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	475.64M	355.40M	85.91M	67.00M	43.45M	38.04M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	346.94M	207.61M	4.50M	25.76M	29.29M	23.93M
Total Debt	37.34M	37.38M	43.48M	25.76M	14.99M	5.14M
Total Liabilities	184.75M	351.48M	137.48M	124.62M	95.29M	53.05M
Stockholders Equity	-374.90M	-1.00B	-235.08M	-57.62M	-51.84M	-16.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-40.22M	-67.70M	-75.19M	-15.62M	-19.74M	5.60M
Operating Cash Flow	-19.73M	-57.59M	-45.28M	784.00K	-16.57M	8.15M
Investing Cash Flow	-20.49M	-10.11M	-29.91M	-16.41M	-3.18M	-2.55M
Financing Cash Flow	353.49M	272.79M	53.92M	12.10M	25.11M	1.66M

Intuitive Machines Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 8.99
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LUNR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8.99 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.08, below the 50-day MA of 10.98, and below the 200-day MA of 12.39, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.47 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.76 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LUNR.

Intuitive Machines Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
PL	73 Outperform	$2.07B	―	-22.54%	―	9.52%	24.27%
Sector *	58 Neutral	HK$13.63B	5.50	-2.78%	5.72%	2.29%	-57.50%
RKLB	57 Neutral	$20.65B	―	-40.45%	―	54.36%	-26.35%
EH	49 Neutral	$1.27B	―	-43.18%	―	167.99%	22.75%
LUNR	43 Neutral	$1.61B	―	25.79%	―	43.23%	-3174.53%
EVEX	43 Neutral	$1.78B	―	-320.52%	―	―	-30.78%
EVTL	25 Underperform	$507.56M	―	115.25%	―	―	―

Intuitive Machines Corporate Events

Intuitive Machines Announces $250M Convertible Notes Offering

On August 13, 2025, Intuitive Machines announced a proposed private offering of $250 million in convertible senior notes due in 2030, targeting qualified institutional buyers. The company plans to use the proceeds for capped call transactions and general corporate purposes, including operations, research and development, and potential acquisitions. This financial maneuver aims to strengthen Intuitive Machines’ market position and operational capabilities in the space exploration industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (LUNR) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intuitive Machines stock, see the LUNR Stock Forecast page.

Intuitive Machines Acquires KinetX for Strategic Expansion

On August 6, 2025, Intuitive Machines announced a Stock Purchase Agreement to acquire KinetX, a leading space navigation and flight dynamics software company, for $30 million, positioning itself for constellation management in Earth Orbit, Moon, and Mars. The acquisition aligns with Intuitive Machines’ strategic expansion efforts, including in-house satellite production and a significant footprint increase at Houston Spaceport, as part of its broader growth strategy in the space technology sector. The company reported $50.3 million in revenue for Q2 2025, a 21% increase from the previous year, and ended the quarter debt-free with $345 million in cash, highlighting its strong financial position and readiness for further strategic acquisitions.

The most recent analyst rating on (LUNR) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intuitive Machines stock, see the LUNR Stock Forecast page.

Intuitive Machines Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting

Intuitive Machines Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders on June 5, 2025, where two key proposals were voted on. The stockholders elected Class II director nominees Michael Blitzer and Nicole Seligman for a term expiring in 2028 and ratified Grant Thornton LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (LUNR) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intuitive Machines stock, see the LUNR Stock Forecast page.