Intuitive Machines (LUNR) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $2.69B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 5.79M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 3.04
• Revenue Growth: 8.07%
• EPS Growth: 33.37%
• Country: US
• Employees: 435
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Aerospace & Defense
• EPS (TTM): -0.06
• Shares Outstanding: 119,319,786
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 5,819,920
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 5,786,103
• PEG Ratio: 0.02
• Price to Book (P/B): -1.11
• Price to Sales (P/S): 4.89
• P/FCF Ratio: -16.47
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.61
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 7.42
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 32.71
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -28.19
• 1Y Price Target: $16.14
• Price Target Upside: 8.03% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 8
• EPS Forecast (FY): -0.36
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $225.10M

• Rating: 52 Neutral
• Price Target: $15.00 ▲(0.40% Upside)

Intuitive Machines' stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance, which poses significant risks. However, the strategic acquisition and positive technical indicators provide some optimism for future growth. The valuation remains a concern due to negative earnings.

Positive Factors

Strategic Acquisition

The acquisition of Lanteris Space Systems positions Intuitive Machines as a next-generation space prime, expanding its capabilities and market reach, which is expected to be accretive to revenue and cash flow, enhancing long-term growth prospects.

Cash Balance

A strong cash position provides Intuitive Machines with financial flexibility to invest in growth opportunities, manage debt, and weather economic uncertainties, supporting its strategic initiatives and operational stability.

Market Expansion

Expanding into diverse space markets enhances Intuitive Machines' competitive edge and revenue streams, reducing reliance on a single market and increasing resilience against sector-specific downturns.

Negative Factors

Financial Challenges

Ongoing financial instability, marked by declining revenues and persistent losses, threatens Intuitive Machines' ability to sustain operations and invest in future growth, necessitating strategic interventions to stabilize finances.

Negative Cash Flow

Negative operating cash flow indicates that Intuitive Machines may struggle to cover its operational expenses, potentially leading to liquidity issues and limiting its ability to fund strategic initiatives without external financing.

Net Loss

Continued net losses reflect ongoing profitability challenges, which can erode investor confidence and hinder the company's ability to attract capital, impacting long-term financial health and growth potential.

Intuitive Machines Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Intuitive Machines, Inc. manufactures and supplies space products and services. It offers space products and services to support sustained robotic and human exploration to the moon, mars, and beyond. It offers its products and services through business units: Lunar Access Services, Orbital Services, Lunar Data Services, and Space Products and Infrastructure. The company was founded in 2013 and is based in Houston, Texas.

How the Company Makes Money

Intuitive Machines generates revenue through several key streams, including government contracts, commercial payload delivery services, and partnerships with various space agencies and private companies. A significant portion of their earnings comes from contracts with NASA, particularly related to lunar exploration projects. Additionally, the company earns income by providing launch services and supporting technologies for satellite deployments and other space missions. Strategic partnerships with organizations in the aerospace industry further enhance their revenue potential by expanding their service offerings and customer base.

Intuitive Machines Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Intuitive Machines is facing significant financial challenges, including declining revenues, persistent losses, and negative equity. Despite some positive cash flow metrics, the overall financial health is concerning and requires strategic interventions.

Income Statement

Intuitive Machines has experienced declining revenue growth, with a negative growth rate of -2.67% in the TTM period. The company also faces significant profitability challenges, as evidenced by negative net profit margins (-106.39%) and EBIT margins (-31.08%). Despite a slight improvement in gross profit margin to 18.53%, the overall income statement reflects financial instability and ongoing losses.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a precarious financial position with negative stockholders' equity, leading to an unfavorable debt-to-equity ratio. The return on equity is positive at 48.17%, but this is due to negative equity, which distorts the metric. The equity ratio is also negative, indicating potential solvency issues and a need for financial restructuring.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows a concerning trend with negative operating cash flow and a significant decline in free cash flow growth (-80.1%). The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting cash flow challenges. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 203.88%, indicating some ability to cover net income losses with available cash.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	220.32M	228.00M	79.52M	85.95M	72.55M	44.26M
Gross Profit	49.97M	37.63M	-20.95M	10.43M	-27.76M	1.70M
EBITDA	-57.99M	-50.49M	48.46M	38.78M	-37.05M	-3.81M
Net Income	-208.64M	-283.41M	62.80M	-6.41M	-35.65M	-4.25M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	753.53M	355.40M	85.93M	67.00M	43.45M	38.04M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	621.98M	207.61M	4.56M	25.76M	29.29M	23.93M
Total Debt	371.24M	37.38M	43.48M	25.76M	14.99M	5.14M
Total Liabilities	509.70M	351.48M	137.50M	124.62M	95.29M	53.05M
Stockholders Equity	-397.72M	-1.00B	-233.23M	-57.62M	-51.84M	-16.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-39.90M	-67.70M	-75.19M	-15.62M	-19.74M	5.60M
Operating Cash Flow	-8.99M	-57.59M	-45.28M	784.00K	-16.57M	8.15M
Investing Cash Flow	-30.91M	-10.11M	-29.91M	-16.41M	-3.18M	-2.55M
Financing Cash Flow	572.27M	272.79M	53.92M	12.10M	25.11M	1.66M

Intuitive Machines Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 14.94
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LUNR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.94 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.74, above the 50-day MA of 10.92, and above the 200-day MA of 10.07, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.56 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.47 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.04 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LUNR.

Intuitive Machines Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%
RKLB	57 Neutral	$37.67B	-181.89	-23.24%	―	52.42%	-1.33%
LUNR	52 Neutral	$2.69B	-8.00	―	―	8.07%	33.37%
AVAV	52 Neutral	$12.13B	-193.79	-2.64%	―	79.89%	-171.81%
RDW	52 Neutral	$1.32B	-2.52	-50.08%	―	-0.63%	-163.11%
EVEX	43 Neutral	$1.67B	-7.34	-115.63%	―	―	-33.69%
EVTL	25 Underperform	$547.81M	-0.61	―	―	―	―

Intuitive Machines Corporate Events

Intuitive Machines Acquires Lanteris Space Systems for $800M

On November 4, 2025, Intuitive Machines announced a definitive agreement to acquire Lanteris Space Systems for $800 million, consisting of $450 million in cash and $350 million in stock. This acquisition positions Intuitive Machines as a next-generation space prime, expanding its operations from lunar-focused activities to a broader space domain, including LEO, MEO, GEO, Moon, Mars, and deep space missions. The transaction, expected to close in the first quarter of 2026, aims to enhance Intuitive Machines’ capabilities in commercial, civil, and national security space programs, with the combined entity’s revenue exceeding $850 million and a backlog of $920 million.