Intuitive Machines (LUNR) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $1.96B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 6.40M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 3.33
• Revenue Growth: 61.57%
• EPS Growth: -246.41%
• Country: US
• Employees: 435
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 87
• Industry: Aerospace & Defense
• EPS (TTM): -0.10
• Shares Outstanding: 117,330,850
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 6,676,676
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 6,395,535
• PEG Ratio: 0.29
• Price to Book (P/B): -3.14
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: -11.57
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.09
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.22
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 4.65
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -0.36
• 1Y Price Target: $16.10
• Price Target Upside: 46.90% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 5

• Rating: 47 Neutral
• Price Target: $11.00 ▲(0.36%Upside)

Intuitive Machines is showing signs of growth and strategic progress, but significant financial instability and profitability challenges remain. The positive developments from the earnings call are encouraging but are overshadowed by financial risks and valuation concerns.

Positive Factors

Backlog and Revenue

LUNR exits with record backlogs of $328M and positive FY25 EBITDA guidance, providing a solid operational backstop.

Contract Wins

CEO Steve Artemis highlighted the $2.5M contract awarded by NASA for lunar logistics handling and offloading.

Financial Performance

Intuitive Machines generated a positive free cash flow of $13.3M, marking the first positive quarter in company history.

Negative Factors

Mission Challenges

The solar panels are receiving lower-than-expected sunlight because of the lander’s orientation, which could impact performance of mission objectives.

Operational Risks

If LUNR is unable to successfully operate NASA’s PRIME-1/TRIDENT ice prospecting drill, the mission may not meet NASA's success criteria.

Intuitive Machines Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Intuitive Machines (LUNR) is an aerospace company specializing in lunar exploration and infrastructure development. The company is involved in sectors such as space transportation, lunar surface operations, and data services. Its core products and services include delivering payloads to the Moon, providing lunar data services, and developing lunar infrastructure to support sustainable human presence on the Moon.

How the Company Makes Money

Intuitive Machines makes money primarily through government contracts, commercial partnerships, and private sector clients. Its key revenue streams include providing lunar transportation services to government agencies like NASA as part of the Artemis program, where it delivers payloads to the Moon. The company also generates revenue from offering lunar data and communication services to other space exploration entities. Significant partnerships with space agencies and private companies contribute to its earnings by leveraging collaborative projects and shared technological advancements.

Intuitive Machines Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Intuitive Machines faces significant challenges with profitability, high leverage, and financial instability. Despite revenue growth, the company struggles with negative equity and cash flow issues, heavily relying on external financing.

Income Statement

Intuitive Machines has experienced volatile revenue trends with significant growth in recent years, though profitability remains a challenge. The TTM data shows a Gross Profit Margin of 17.87%, indicating some margin improvement, but the company is still facing substantial net losses, reflected in a Net Profit Margin of -90.79%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, demonstrating ongoing operational and financial challenges.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects high leverage and negative equity, indicating financial instability. With a negative Stockholders' Equity and a Debt-to-Equity ratio that cannot be calculated due to negative equity, the company faces significant financial risk. The Equity Ratio is also negative, highlighting unsustainable financing practices.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows negative free cash flow, although there is a large influx of cash from financing activities, suggesting reliance on external funding. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is negative, indicating poor cash generation relative to net losses, while the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is also challenging, reflecting cash flow struggles.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	217.46M	228.00M	79.52M	85.95M	72.55M	44.26M
Gross Profit	38.84M	37.63M	-20.95M	10.43M	-27.76M	1.70M
EBITDA	-63.79M	-50.49M	48.46M	38.78M	-37.05M	-3.81M
Net Income	-197.37M	-283.41M	62.80M	-6.41M	-35.65M	-4.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	500.01M	355.40M	85.91M	67.00M	43.45M	38.04M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	373.25M	207.61M	4.50M	25.76M	29.29M	23.93M
Total Debt	37.39M	37.38M	43.48M	25.76M	14.99M	5.14M
Total Liabilities	172.40M	351.48M	137.48M	124.62M	95.29M	53.05M
Stockholders Equity	-130.77M	-1.00B	-235.08M	-57.62M	-51.84M	-16.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-46.37M	-67.70M	-75.19M	-15.62M	-19.74M	5.60M
Operating Cash Flow	-31.73M	-57.59M	-45.28M	784.00K	-16.57M	8.15M
Investing Cash Flow	-14.64M	-10.11M	-29.91M	-16.41M	-3.18M	-2.55M
Financing Cash Flow	364.38M	272.79M	53.92M	12.10M	25.11M	1.66M

Intuitive Machines Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 10.96
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LUNR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.96 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.84, above the 50-day MA of 10.24, and below the 200-day MA of 11.79, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LUNR.

Intuitive Machines Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	71 Outperform	¥255.65B	12.95	8.49%	3.10%	6.31%	12.92%
PL	61 Neutral	$1.84B	―	-22.54%	―	9.52%	24.27%
RKLB	59 Neutral	$16.33B	―	-45.38%	―	64.98%	-10.52%
LUNR	47 Neutral	$1.96B	―	25.79%	―	61.57%	-246.41%
EH	47 Neutral	$1.22B	―	-43.18%	―	167.99%	22.75%
EVEX	43 Neutral	$1.99B	―	-148.98%	―	―	-2.94%
EVTL	25 Underperform	$569.38M	―	115.25%	―	―	23.26%

Intuitive Machines Corporate Events

Intuitive Machines Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting

Intuitive Machines Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders on June 5, 2025, where two key proposals were voted on. The stockholders elected Class II director nominees Michael Blitzer and Nicole Seligman for a term expiring in 2028 and ratified Grant Thornton LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (LUNR) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intuitive Machines stock, see the LUNR Stock Forecast page.