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Arqit Quantum (ARQQ)
NASDAQ:ARQQ
US Market
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Arqit Quantum (ARQQ) AI Stock Analysis

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ARQQ

Arqit Quantum

(NASDAQ:ARQQ)

Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
$30.00
▼(-4.97% Downside)
Arqit Quantum's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, with declining revenues and weak cash flows being the most impactful factors. Technical analysis and valuation metrics also indicate a bearish outlook. While strategic wins and product development offer some optimism, the company's financial performance remains a critical concern.
Positive Factors
New Contracts
Recent contract wins, including work with the U.S. Department of Defense, validate Arqit's quantum secure encryption technology and are likely to trigger additional contracts in the future.
Operating Leverage
Operating costs are expected to grow well below the pace of revenue growth, indicating significant operating leverage as the business scales.
Sector Growth
The rising level of investor interest in quantum computing, similar to the rise in AI, drives long-term optimism for growth in the sector.
Negative Factors
Operating Capital
The company has improved the balance sheet, completing a capital raise of $13.6M, providing six to nine months of operating capital without any incremental revenue contribution.

Arqit Quantum (ARQQ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Arqit Quantum Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArqit Quantum Inc. provides cybersecurity services through satellite and terrestrial platforms in the United Kingdom. It offers QuantumCloud that enables any device to download a lightweight software agent, which can create encryption keys in partnership with any other device. The company is based in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyArqit Quantum makes money primarily through the sale and licensing of its QuantumCloud™ encryption platform. The company generates revenue by offering subscription-based services to organizations that require secure data transmission and communication solutions. Additionally, Arqit may engage in strategic partnerships and collaborations with other technology and cybersecurity companies to enhance its product offerings and expand its market reach. The company may also receive funding or investments from government contracts or grants focused on advancing quantum encryption technologies.

Arqit Quantum Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 22, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 21.94%|
Next Earnings Date:Dec 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant strategic wins and progress in product development and market positioning. However, these positive developments were offset by a decline in revenue, increased operating losses, and delays in revenue recognition. While the company is making strides in key markets and controlling costs, the financial performance for the first half was impacted by external delays and a transition in revenue recognition models.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strategic Contract Wins
Arqit Quantum Inc. signed a three-year contract with a tier-one telecom network operator for its NetworkSecure product and a one-year contract with the US Department of Defense, marking significant progress in key vertical markets.
Market Positioning and Product Development
The company is well-positioned to address the quantum threat with its symmetric key cryptography software. Notable collaborations include a partnership with Intel for confidential computing, enhancing data security in the cloud.
Cost Control and Operational Efficiency
The company reduced its headcount from 125 to 72 employees, resulting in cost savings despite unfavorable foreign exchange impacts. Administrative expenses were $18 million compared to $16.8 million in the previous period.
Sales Pipeline Growth
Arqit Quantum Inc. reported substantial sales leads and inquiries from the RSA cybersecurity conference, indicating growing market awareness and interest in their products.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
The company reported $67,000 in revenue for the first half of fiscal year 2025, down from $119,000 in the comparable period of 2024, attributed to delays in contract revenue recognition.
Operating Loss Increase
Operating loss increased to $17.8 million for the period, up from $16.6 million in the first half of fiscal year 2024, primarily due to lower revenue and increased administrative expenses.
Delayed Revenue Recognition
Revenue recognition was delayed due to unforeseen delays by end customers, particularly affecting multi-year contracts in the EMEA region.
Company Guidance
During the call, Arqit Quantum Inc. provided guidance on several key metrics and strategic initiatives for the first half of fiscal year 2025. The company reported a revenue of $67,000, a decrease from $119,000 in the comparable period of 2024, attributed to delays in revenue recognition from a multiyear contract in the EMEA region. Despite this, Arqit highlighted significant developments, including a three-year contract with a tier-one telecom network operator and a contract with the U.S. Department of Defense, marking their first DoD win. The company is transitioning from enterprise sales to a SaaS model, focusing on cost control, with administrative expenses reported at $18 million, an increase from $16.8 million in 2024. Headcount was reduced to 72 employees from 125, reflecting a shift towards customer fulfillment. Arqit emphasized its collaborations, notably with Intel, on confidential computing, positioning itself to address the quantum threat. The company forecasts continued growth and expects operating costs to remain stable, with a monthly cash burn rate between $2.2 and $2.4 million.

Arqit Quantum Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Arqit Quantum is experiencing significant financial difficulties, with declining revenue, poor profitability, and weak cash flow. The income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement all indicate substantial operational and financial challenges that threaten sustainability.
Income Statement
25
Negative
Arqit Quantum's income statement reveals significant challenges. The company experienced substantial declines in total revenue compared to previous years, with a negative growth rate. Both EBIT and net profit margins are negative, indicating operational inefficiencies and high net losses. Despite a positive gross profit margin in the latest year, the overall profitability remains deeply unprofitable.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet indicates a moderate financial position with some concerns. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio that suggests manageable leverage, although equity is shrinking. The equity ratio has decreased, pointing to increased liabilities over assets. There is a potential cash position, but shrinking stockholder equity signals financial stress.
Cash Flow
20
Very Negative
Arqit Quantum's cash flow statement highlights severe issues. The company has negative operating and free cash flows, indicating it is not generating enough cash to sustain operations or cover capital expenditures. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, reflecting a worsening cash flow situation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, further demonstrating cash generation problems.
BreakdownSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue293.00K640.00K7.21M47.91K0.00
Gross Profit-1.59M-1.65M5.92M-139.00K-159.00K
EBITDA-20.19M-41.20M54.92M-270.60M-5.00K
Net Income-54.58M-70.39M65.08M-271.73M-568.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets26.72M99.78M123.87M113.73M9.31M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.70M44.45M48.97M86.97M195.00K
Total Debt990.00K8.40M7.83M0.005.46M
Total Liabilities14.90M33.13M45.32M147.57M8.38M
Stockholders Equity11.82M66.65M78.56M-33.84M931.00K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-37.45M-48.95M-51.35M-33.34M-5.91M
Operating Cash Flow-34.13M-32.83M-26.92M-24.03M-1.33M
Investing Cash Flow-2.40M-16.08M-24.43M-9.31M-4.57M
Financing Cash Flow11.19M44.85M22.37M120.11M1.68M

Arqit Quantum Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price31.57
Price Trends
50DMA
35.68
Negative
100DMA
27.16
Positive
200DMA
23.65
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.34
Positive
RSI
45.64
Neutral
STOCH
51.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ARQQ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 31.57 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.58, below the 50-day MA of 35.68, and above the 200-day MA of 23.65, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.34 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ARQQ.

Arqit Quantum Risk Analysis

Arqit Quantum disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Arqit Quantum reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Arqit Quantum Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$149.60M19.3656.45%
61
Neutral
$35.62B8.22-10.94%1.88%8.86%-10.36%
53
Neutral
$369.59M-2.77%4.74%94.70%
52
Neutral
$762.69M
46
Neutral
$322.17M-107.11%-50.07%40.90%
42
Neutral
$442.70M-160.52%-67.43%87.17%
$108.21M5.23
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ARQQ
Arqit Quantum
31.57
23.82
307.35%
ALLT
Allot
7.89
4.63
142.02%
PDYN
Palladyne AI Corp
7.87
6.20
371.26%
MLGO
MicroAlgo
8.49
-249.27
-96.71%
RZLV
Rezolve AI
3.07
-4.82
-61.09%
HPAI
Helport AI Limited
4.02
-2.63
-39.55%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 27, 2025