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D-Wave Quantum (QBTS)
NYSE:QBTS
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D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) AI Stock Analysis

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QBTS

D-Wave Quantum

(NYSE:QBTS)

Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$16.50
▲(6.18% Upside)
D-Wave Quantum's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance, which shows strong revenue growth but significant profitability and cash flow challenges. The technical analysis presents a mixed trend, while the valuation is weak due to negative earnings. The earnings call provides some optimism with technical advancements and a strong cash position, but these are offset by substantial losses and slower deal closures.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
D-Wave's Q2 revenue of $3.1M significantly exceeded consensus estimates, indicating strong performance.
Strategic Partnerships
The announcement of a new strategic initiative in partnership with NASA's Jet Propulsion Lab could accelerate product development and enhance the company's technology offerings.
Technological Advancements
D-Wave introduced its sixth-generation quantum system, Advantage2, which delivers enhanced coherence, energy scale, and connectivity to address computational problems beyond the reach of classical systems.
Negative Factors
Competitive Pressure
Despite being the only quantum computing company with systems in daily business operations, increasing competition in the quantum computing space could impact D-Wave's market position.
Dependence on Partnerships
Heavy reliance on strategic partnerships, such as with NASA, could pose risks if these collaborations do not yield expected results.

D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

D-Wave Quantum Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionD-Wave Quantum Inc. develops and delivers quantum computing systems, software, and services worldwide. The company offers Advantage, a fifth-generation quantum computer; Launch, a quantum computing onboarding service; Ocean a full suite of open-source programming tools; and Leap, a cloud-based service that provides real-time access to a live quantum computer, as well as access to Advantage, hybrid solvers, the Ocean software development kit, live code, demos, learning resources, and a vibrant developer community. It also provides D-Wave Launch, a quantum professional service that guides enterprises from problem discovery through in-production application deployment. The company's quantum solutions are used in artificial intelligence, materials sciences, drug discovery, scheduling, cybersecurity, fault detection, and financial modeling. It serves manufacturing and logistics, financial services, life sciences, and other industries. D-Wave Quantum Inc. is based in Burnaby, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyD-Wave Quantum makes money primarily through the sale of its quantum computing systems and related services. The company's revenue streams include direct sales of quantum hardware, subscription fees for access to its Leap quantum cloud service, and professional services for clients looking to develop specific quantum applications. D-Wave also partners with research institutions and commercial enterprises to foster the development of quantum applications, which can lead to additional revenue through collaborative projects and consulting services. Strategic partnerships and collaborations are significant factors contributing to D-Wave's earnings, as they help expand the company's market reach and application base.

D-Wave Quantum Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -11.60%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
D-Wave's earnings call reflects significant technical progress and strong financial positioning, highlighted by the successful launch of the Advantage2 quantum computer and a strong cash reserve. However, these positives are tempered by a substantial net loss and slower-than-expected deal closures, suggesting a balanced outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Launch of Advantage2 Quantum Computer
D-Wave announced the general availability of the Advantage2 quantum computer, featuring a 40% increase in energy scale and increased qubit connectivity from 15 to 20, aimed at solving real-world use cases in optimization, material simulation, and AI.
Record Revenue Growth
Second quarter revenue totaled $3.1 million, marking a 42% increase from the prior year's second quarter revenue of $2.2 million.
Strategic Partnerships
D-Wave signed several new and renewing customer engagements, including with companies like GE Vernova, the University of Oxford, and NTT DOCOMO, reflecting continued commercial interest in quantum computing.
Strong Cash Position
The company's cash position reached $819.3 million, marking over a 1,900% increase from the previous year.
Successful Quantum AI Initiatives
D-Wave introduced new developer tools for quantum AI, including an open-source toolkit that integrates with PyTorch, aimed at advancing machine learning innovation.
Negative Updates
Increased Net Loss
The net loss for the second quarter was $167.3 million, a significant increase from the prior year's net loss of $17.8 million, largely due to noncash charges related to warrant liability.
Slower Deal Closures
While the sales pipeline is expanding, deals are taking longer to close than anticipated due to the complexity of transactions and procurement processes of larger organizations.
Decreased Bookings for First Half
Bookings for the first half of fiscal 2025 decreased by 13% compared to the first half of fiscal 2024.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, D-Wave reported a revenue increase of 42% to $3.1 million, compared to $2.2 million in the same quarter of fiscal 2024. The company also noted bookings totaling $1.3 million, a significant 92% increase from the $700,000 booked in the prior year. D-Wave's non-GAAP gross profit rose by 39% to $2.2 million, while GAAP gross margin improved slightly to 63.8% from 63.6%. The adjusted EBITDA loss increased to $20 million, reflecting a 44% rise from the previous year's $13.9 million, primarily due to higher operating expenses. The company ended the quarter with a cash position of $819.3 million, a dramatic increase from $40.9 million a year prior, bolstered by substantial equity raises. Despite a net loss of $167.3 million due to non-cash charges related to warrants, D-Wave's adjusted net loss was $25.3 million. The company anticipates further investments in R&D and sales to support growth, while also exploring M&A opportunities with its strengthened cash position.

D-Wave Quantum Financial Statement Overview

Summary
D-Wave Quantum is experiencing strong revenue growth but is under financial pressure due to persistent losses and negative cash flows. The company's financial structure is relatively stable with low debt levels and a strong cash position, but profitability and cash flow generation are significant concerns. A reliance on external financing is evident, reflecting potential risks if market conditions change.
Income Statement
35
Negative
D-Wave Quantum shows a consistent increase in total revenue over the years, with a notable growth of 142% in TTM compared to the previous year. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by negative net income and EBIT margins. The EBIT margin is significantly negative at -332%, and the net profit margin stands at -618% for TTM, indicating high operational and financial challenges.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reflects a strong cash position with substantial cash and cash equivalents, which has improved significantly over recent periods. However, the stockholders' equity has fluctuated, showing negative equity in previous years but has improved to a positive $207 million in the TTM. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.04, suggesting minimal leverage, but the company's equity ratio is relatively healthy at 64% in TTM.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Operating cash flow remains negative, indicating ongoing cash burn, with free cash flow also in the negative. The free cash flow has worsened to -$52 million in TTM compared to the previous period. The cash flow from financing activities is robust, highlighting reliance on external financing to support operations, but free cash flow to net income ratio remains unfavorable.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue21.36M8.83M8.76M7.17M6.28M5.16M
Gross Profit17.78M5.56M4.62M4.25M4.53M4.25M
EBITDA-133.60M-138.05M-80.83M-49.03M-34.36M-14.06M
Net Income-131.99M-143.88M-82.72M-53.70M-40.97M-21.97M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets325.60M199.85M59.36M26.95M32.61M47.46M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments304.32M177.98M41.31M7.07M9.48M21.34M
Total Debt8.09M38.38M72.65M42.28M21.17M4.66M
Total Liabilities118.21M137.21M83.84M33.12M29.59M14.73M
Stockholders Equity207.39M62.65M-24.48M-6.17M3.02M32.73M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-52.18M-44.75M-61.28M-45.72M-36.80M-30.08M
Operating Cash Flow-49.80M-42.64M-60.65M-45.23M-34.80M-29.29M
Investing Cash Flow-2.43M-3.14M-630.00K-498.00K-2.00M-789.00K
Financing Cash Flow328.80M182.45M95.64M43.27M24.91M43.14M

D-Wave Quantum Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price15.54
Price Trends
50DMA
16.62
Negative
100DMA
13.80
Positive
200DMA
9.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.39
Positive
RSI
42.83
Neutral
STOCH
19.17
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For QBTS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 15.54 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.04, below the 50-day MA of 16.62, and above the 200-day MA of 9.75, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.39 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.17 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for QBTS.

D-Wave Quantum Risk Analysis

D-Wave Quantum disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. D-Wave Quantum reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

D-Wave Quantum Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$34.98B7.37-10.82%1.91%8.82%-8.66%
51
Neutral
$2.35B-32.63%-21.56%-103.08%
49
Neutral
$11.03B-57.06%67.83%-154.69%
49
Neutral
$4.63B-48.81%-37.20%-58.82%
48
Neutral
$5.07B-83.70%120.20%-143.95%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
QBTS
D-Wave Quantum
15.54
14.54
1454.00%
QUBT
Quantum Computing
15.83
15.13
2161.43%
IONQ
IonQ
39.78
32.27
429.69%
RGTI
Rigetti Computing
14.82
13.88
1476.60%

D-Wave Quantum Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
D-Wave Quantum Announces Qubits Japan 2025 Conference
Positive
Aug 13, 2025

On August 13, 2025, D-Wave Quantum Inc. announced it will host its inaugural Qubits Japan 2025 quantum computing user conference in Tokyo on September 17. This event, themed ‘Quantum Realized,’ aims to support the growing interest in annealing quantum computing technology in the Asia Pacific region, where D-Wave has seen an 83% increase in bookings over the past year. The conference will feature presentations from executives, customers, and thought leaders, highlighting the tangible value of D-Wave’s technology. Recent customer engagements in the region include a pilot project with Japan Tobacco Inc. for quantum AI drug discovery, an optimization pilot with NTT DOCOMO Inc. that improved mobile network performance, and a strategic relationship with Yonsei University and Incheon Metropolitan City to advance quantum computing in South Korea.

Executive/Board Changes
D-Wave Quantum Promotes Diane Nguyen to Key Executive Role
Positive
Aug 4, 2025

On July 30, 2025, D-Wave Quantum Inc. announced the promotion of Diane Nguyen to Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer, and General Counsel, effective July 31, 2025. This move includes an increased base salary and eligibility for performance-based incentives, highlighting the company’s commitment to strengthening its leadership team and potentially enhancing its strategic operations.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
D-Wave Quantum Launches New Quantum AI Toolkit
Positive
Aug 4, 2025

On August 4, 2025, D-Wave Quantum Inc. announced the release of a new collection of offerings aimed at advancing quantum artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) innovation. This includes an open-source quantum AI toolkit and a demo, which enable developers to integrate quantum computers into modern ML architectures. The toolkit, part of D-Wave’s Ocean software suite, provides integration with PyTorch for training AI models like restricted Boltzmann machines, which are used in generative AI tasks. D-Wave is collaborating with organizations such as Japan Tobacco Inc. and Jülich Supercomputing Centre on exploratory quantum AI projects, demonstrating the potential for quantum computing to enhance AI model training and efficiency.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
D-Wave Quantum Announces New Cryogenic Packaging Initiative
Positive
Jul 30, 2025

On July 30, 2025, D-Wave Quantum Inc. announced a strategic initiative focused on advanced cryogenic packaging to enhance its quantum processor development. By leveraging expertise from NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, D-Wave aims to scale its annealing and gate-model architectures, supporting its goal of reaching 100,000 qubits. This initiative is expected to strengthen D-Wave’s leadership in quantum systems technology and bolster its product roadmap, impacting its manufacturing capabilities and supply chain.

Business Operations and Strategy
D-Wave Quantum Highlights Quantum Optimization Potential
Positive
Jul 21, 2025

On July 21, 2025, D-Wave Quantum Inc. announced the results of a study conducted with Wakefield Research, highlighting the potential of quantum optimization to create significant value across industries. The study, which surveyed 400 business leaders in North America, Europe, and APAC, revealed that many leaders are reaching the limits of classical computing for optimization and are turning to quantum technologies. A significant portion of respondents expect substantial returns on investment from quantum optimization, with 46% anticipating between $1 and $5 million, and 27% expecting over $5 million in the first year. The findings underscore a growing interest in quantum computing as a solution for complex optimization challenges, with 53% planning to integrate it into their workflows.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
D-Wave Quantum Completes $400M Equity Offering Program
Positive
Jul 1, 2025

On July 1, 2025, D-Wave Quantum Inc. announced the successful completion of its $400 million ‘at-the-market’ equity offering program, which ran from June 11 to June 27, 2025. The program was completed at an average price of $15.18 per share, a significant premium over the previous offering, and increased the company’s cash balance to approximately $815 million. The proceeds are intended for strategic acquisitions and general corporate purposes, reinforcing D-Wave’s position as a leading commercial quantum computing company.

Business Operations and Strategy
D-Wave Quantum Partners with Yonsei University for Quantum Advancement
Positive
Jun 17, 2025

On June 17, 2025, D-Wave Quantum Inc. announced a memorandum of understanding with Yonsei University and Incheon Metropolitan City to promote quantum computing in South Korea. This collaboration aims to advance research, talent development, and commercial use cases in biotechnology and materials science, and includes plans for acquiring a D-Wave Advantage2 system at Yonsei University. The partnership is seen as a strategic move to establish Incheon as a global quantum hub and further D-Wave’s mission of accelerating global quantum computing adoption.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
D-Wave Quantum Elects New Directors at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 11, 2025

On June 5, 2025, D-Wave Quantum Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders, where Steven M. West, Kirstjen Nielsen, and Roger Biscay were elected as Class III directors to serve until 2028. Additionally, the appointment of Grant Thornton LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, was ratified. The Board also appointed Sharon Holt to replace Steven M. West as chair of the Nominating and Governance Committee and Roger Biscay to replace Kirstjen Nielsen as a member of the Committee, effective immediately after the meeting.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
D-Wave Quantum Enters $400M Sales Agreement
Positive
Jun 10, 2025

On June 10, 2025, D-Wave Quantum Inc. entered into a sales agreement with several financial agents, allowing the company to sell up to $400 million in common stock. The proceeds from these sales are intended for general corporate purposes, including capital expenditures and potential acquisitions, supporting the company’s path to profitability.

Private Placements and Financing
D-Wave Quantum Secures $15.3 Million from Warrant Exercise
Positive
Jun 4, 2025

Between May 30, 2025, and June 3, 2025, D-Wave Quantum Inc. secured approximately $15.3 million from the exercise of 1.33 million warrants for common stock at $11.50 each. This followed a previous receipt of $80.5 million on May 29, 2025, from the exercise of 7 million warrants, linked to the company’s merger with DPCM Capital, Inc. on August 5, 2022, indicating a significant capital influx to support its operations.

Private Placements and Financing
D-Wave Quantum Secures $80.5 Million from Warrant Exercise
Positive
May 30, 2025

On May 29, 2025, D-Wave Quantum Inc. received approximately $80.5 million from the exercise of about 7 million warrants to purchase common stock at $11.50 per warrant. These warrants were part of the company’s merger with DPCM Capital, Inc. on August 5, 2022, reflecting a significant financial influx that could impact its operations and market positioning.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
D-Wave Quantum Launches Advanced Advantage2 System
Positive
May 20, 2025

On May 20, 2025, D-Wave Quantum Inc. announced the general availability of its Advantage2TM quantum computing system, a significant advancement in the quantum computing industry. The Advantage2 system, featuring D-Wave’s most advanced quantum processor, is designed to solve complex problems beyond the capabilities of classical computers, offering benefits such as increased qubit connectivity, higher energy scale, and greater coherence. This release marks a milestone for D-Wave as it expands its fleet of quantum computers globally, with applications in national security-focused research and collaborations with supercomputing centers to enhance AI and quantum optimization breakthroughs.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025