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Quantum Computing (QUBT)
NASDAQ:QUBT
US Market

Quantum Computing (QUBT) AI Stock Analysis

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QUBT

Quantum Computing

(NASDAQ:QUBT)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$9.00
▲(16.43% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/03/26
The score is driven primarily by a strong balance sheet but still-weak fundamentals (ongoing losses and cash burn). Technical signals remain bearish-to-neutral, and valuation support is limited by negative earnings and no dividend. The latest earnings call was moderately positive due to improved net loss and strong liquidity, but near-term execution risk remains high given minimal current revenue scale and rising operating costs.
Positive Factors
Balance sheet strength
A >$1.5B cash and investment position combined with very low debt and a materially enlarged equity base gives management durable financial flexibility. This capital cushion funds operations, R&D, early M&A integration and interest income that supports runway while Fab2 timing is resolved.
Vertical integration via LSI deal
Closing LSI is a structural shift from pure tech development toward end-to-end photonics manufacturing. Owning chip-to-system capabilities preserves customer relationships, adds near-term commercial revenue visibility from aerospace/defense, and reduces supply-chain dependency over the medium term.
Early manufacturing & product milestones
Operational Fab1, nascent foundry revenue and product milestones validate the technology-to-manufacturing pathway. These durable capabilities support a scalable services model and product commercialization that can improve gross margins as volume and repeatable processes ramp over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
Persistent cash burn
Sustained negative operating and free cash flow means the business remains dependent on external capital to fund growth. Even with a large cash balance, continued burn increases dilution risk and limits discretionary investment until revenue scales and operating cash generation turns positive.
Revenue scale is minimal
Revenue remains a tiny fraction of operating costs, showing current commercial scale cannot cover fixed investing and SG&A. That structural mismatch means profitability hinges on substantial, sustained revenue growth or deep cost reductions, raising execution risk over the next several quarters.
Fab2 capital intensity & timing risk
The planned Fab2 requires multi‑hundred‑million capex and a multi‑year buildout. This creates execution, timing and funding risk: delays or cost overruns could postpone revenue scale, strain cash or force earlier financing, and compress returns on invested capital if demand or unit economics shift.

Quantum Computing (QUBT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Quantum Computing Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionQuantum Computing, Inc. focuses on providing software tools and applications for quantum computers in Virginia. The company offers Qatalyst, a quantum application accelerator that enables developers to create and execute quantum-ready applications on conventional computers, while being ready to run on quantum computers as well as provides multiple quantum processing units including DWave, Rigetti, and IonQ. It focuses on serving commercial and government entities. The company, formerly known as Innovative Beverage Group Holdings, Inc. Quantum Computing, Inc. was founded in 2018 and is based in Leesburg, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyQUBT generates revenue through multiple channels, including the sale of quantum hardware and software licenses, subscription fees for access to its cloud-based quantum computing platform, and consultancy services. Key revenue streams include partnerships with academic institutions and research organizations that require advanced computational capabilities, as well as collaborations with enterprises across sectors such as finance, pharmaceuticals, and logistics that seek to leverage quantum computing for optimization and predictive analytics. Additionally, QUBT may benefit from government grants and funding aimed at promoting technological innovation in quantum computing.

Quantum Computing Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 02, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented meaningful operational and financial progress: rapid balance-sheet strengthening (>$1.5B raised/held), a sharp reduction in reported net loss, early commercial revenue from Fab 1 foundry services, product milestones (Neurawave) and the strategic acquisition of LSI with early integration momentum. Offsetting these positives are the still-minuscule reported revenue relative to elevated operating expenses, expected near-term SG&A and integration spending, lack of formal revenue guidance, and multi-year uncertainty and significant CapEx required for Fab 2. Overall, the update shows strong strategic and financial positioning but also near-term execution and scaling risks that leave outcomes uncertain.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Sequential Revenue Growth in Q4
Q4 revenue of $198,000 versus $62,000 in the prior-year quarter, a year-over-year increase of ~219.4%, driven primarily by hardware sales and early foundry services contributions from Fab 1.
Material Improvement in Net Loss
Q4 net loss narrowed to $1.6M from $51.2M a year earlier (an improvement of ~96.9%). Full-year 2025 net loss improved to $18.7M from $68.5M in 2024 (an improvement of ~72.8%), and full-year loss per share fell to $0.11 from $0.73 (a ~84.9% reduction).
Strengthened Balance Sheet and Large Capital Raise
Total capital raised in 2025 was $1.55B (including a $750M private placement announced in October). Cash and cash equivalents were $738M and investments $783M (approximately $1.52B total), supporting operations and growth plans.
Significant Asset and Equity Expansion
Total assets rose to $1.6B at year-end 2025 versus $154M at year-end 2024 (an increase of ~939%), with stockholders' equity also rising to $1.6B, reflecting a materially stronger financial position.
Substantial Increase in Interest Income
Interest income for 2025 was $20.7M compared with $0.423M in 2024 (an increase of ~4,796%), with $13.6M of interest income contributing to Q4 results and the improved net loss.
Strategic Acquisition of Luminar Semiconductor (LSI) and Early Integration Momentum
Acquisition of LSI closed in Feb 2026; management expects LSI to begin contributing revenue in Q1 2026. Management and analysts referenced an illustrative revenue run-rate estimate for LSI in the ~$20M–$25M/year range and reported early positive customer reactions and cross-site synergies.
Technology and Product Milestones (Fab1, Neurawave, Partnerships)
Completed and opened Thin-film lithium niobate Fab 1 (rapid prototyping), began foundry service revenue, unveiled Neurawave photonic reservoir computing system, and announced a strategic collaboration with POET Technologies—advancing product roadmap and commercial positioning.
Negative Updates
Revenue Remains Very Small Relative to Costs
Q4 revenue of $198,000 covered a very small portion of quarterly operating expenses ($22.1M), with operating expenses roughly 111.6x Q4 revenue, highlighting limited near-term revenue scale from current operations.
Sharp Increase in Operating Expenses
Operating expenses in Q4 rose to $22.1M from $8.9M year-over-year (an increase of ~148.3%) due to substantial personnel growth across R&D, engineering, manufacturing and sales & marketing, plus M&A-related expenses.
Near-Term SG&A and Integration Spend Expected
Management expects SG&A to grow in the near term as the company invests to scale and integrate LSI; CFO indicated LSI may not be profitable at current scale and that restructuring and investment are required.
Fab 2 Capital Expenditure Uncertainty and Long Timeline
Fab 2 is planned to provide large-scale capacity, but management indicated meaningful CapEx is unlikely in 2026 and that full buildout could require several hundred million dollars with major spending 2–3 years out, leaving timing and cost uncertainty.
No Formal Revenue Guidance and Dependence on Analyst Estimates
Management declined to provide forward revenue guidance, leaving market participants reliant on analyst estimates (e.g., LSI ~$20M–$25M/year) and increasing modeling uncertainty.
Share Price Volatility and Market Perception Risk
Management noted recent share price volatility attributed to broader market conditions, which may affect investor sentiment despite operational progress.
Company Guidance
Management gave no formal revenue guidance but outlined near-term priorities and quantified expectations: Luminar Semiconductor (closed Feb 2026) should begin contributing revenue in Q1 2026 (analysts have modeled ~$20–25M/year), Fab 2 is in planning with major CapEx likely “several hundred million” and material outlays not expected in 2026 (timing 2–3 years out), and SG&A and headcount will grow as the company scales foundry services, R&D, engineering, manufacturing and sales. They emphasized preserving capital after raising $750M in October (37M shares) and $1.55B total capital raised in 2025, ending 2025 with cash $738M and investments $783M (~$1.52B), total assets $1.6B (up from $154M at 2024 year‑end), and stockholders’ equity $1.6B; FY 2025 interest income was $20.7M (Q4 interest income ~$13.6M) and Q4 results included revenue ~$198K (vs. $62K LY), operating expenses $22.1M (vs. $8.9M LY), a Q4 net loss of $1.6M ($0.01/sh) and FY 2025 net loss $18.7M ($0.11/sh) (vs. $68.5M, $0.73/sh in 2024).

Quantum Computing Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet strength is a clear positive (low leverage and a large equity cushion), but operating performance and cash generation remain weak. Despite improving revenue trajectory and a move to positive gross profit in 2025, the business is still far from breakeven with persistent losses and increased cash burn.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Revenue is starting to scale off a small base (2025 revenue up ~25% year over year), and gross margin improved meaningfully in 2025 (positive gross profit after several years of negative gross profit). However, profitability remains very weak: the company continues to post large operating losses and a deeply negative net margin in 2025, indicating expenses are far outpacing the current revenue run-rate. Overall, the trajectory is improving at the top line and gross profit level, but the business is still far from operating breakeven.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet looks conservatively financed with very low leverage (debt is tiny relative to equity in 2025). Equity has expanded dramatically versus prior years, providing a substantial capital cushion and financial flexibility. The key weakness is ongoing negative returns on equity driven by persistent losses, meaning the enlarged equity base is not yet translating into sustainable earnings power.
Cash Flow
24
Negative
Cash generation remains a major headwind: operating cash flow and free cash flow are solidly negative across the period, and cash burn increased in 2025 versus 2024. While free cash flow has been consistently less negative than net income (suggesting meaningful non-cash charges), the company still relies on external funding to support operations until revenues scale and costs normalize.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue682.00K373.00K358.00K136.00K0.00
Gross Profit67.00K-3.69M-3.15M-1.79M-9.00K
EBITDA-13.67M-62.25M-22.11M-23.34M-27.61M
Net Income-18.67M-68.54M-27.02M-25.98M-27.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.62B153.56M74.36M78.51M17.28M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.12B78.94M2.06M5.31M16.74M
Total Debt1.81M1.18M2.77M10.16M18.08K
Total Liabilities20.66M46.27M5.65M13.39M1.08M
Stockholders Equity1.60B107.29M68.70M65.12M16.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-36.98M-22.25M-20.43M-16.25M-6.82M
Operating Cash Flow-30.29M-16.21M-18.32M-15.38M-6.80M
Investing Cash Flow-788.33M-6.04M-2.61M-2.23M-22.50K
Financing Cash Flow1.48B99.14M17.68M6.17M8.39M

Quantum Computing Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.73
Price Trends
50DMA
10.19
Negative
100DMA
12.14
Negative
200DMA
14.40
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.59
Negative
RSI
38.49
Neutral
STOCH
40.40
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For QUBT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.73 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.52, below the 50-day MA of 10.19, and below the 200-day MA of 14.40, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.59 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 38.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for QUBT.

Quantum Computing Risk Analysis

Quantum Computing disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Quantum Computing reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Quantum Computing Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
54
Neutral
$1.74B-2.19%41.51%-111.74%
53
Neutral
$13.58B-6.92-24.40%113.07%-555.52%
48
Neutral
$6.75B-77.62%156.20%-218.56%
45
Neutral
$5.60B-13.04-141.90%-36.98%-238.63%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
QUBT
Quantum Computing
7.73
2.45
46.40%
IONQ
IonQ
37.05
14.42
63.72%
QBTS
D-Wave Quantum
18.24
12.64
225.71%
RGTI
Rigetti Computing
16.96
8.78
107.33%

Quantum Computing Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Quantum Computing Finalizes Luminar Semiconductor Acquisition Strategy Shift
Positive
Feb 3, 2026

On February 2, 2026, Quantum Computing Inc. completed the previously announced acquisition of Luminar Semiconductor Inc., a subsidiary of Luminar Technologies, in an all-cash transaction valued at $110 million, consisting of approximately $97.5 million paid at closing and $11 million held in escrow until February 2, 2027 for limited indemnification obligations. The deal marks a key step in QCi’s strategy to build a vertically integrated photonics and quantum technology platform by combining its thin-film lithium niobate integrated photonics with Luminar Semiconductor’s lasers, detectors, packaging and manufacturing capabilities, giving QCi end-to-end control of the photonics signal chain and accelerating its shift from technology development to scalable manufacturing. Luminar Semiconductor will operate as a wholly owned subsidiary, preserving its existing aerospace, defense and industrial customer relationships that provide near-term revenue visibility, while bolstering QCi’s positioning as a domestically focused provider aligned with U.S. reshoring trends and demand from government and national security stakeholders; the company also confirmed it had decided in January 2026 not to pursue a separate acquisition of certain Luminar LiDAR assets, citing disciplined capital allocation.

The most recent analyst rating on (QUBT) stock is a Buy with a $10.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Quantum Computing stock, see the QUBT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Quantum Computing Pursues Luminar Assets to Expand Photonics
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

On January 11–12, 2026, Quantum Computing Inc. announced it had entered into a purchase agreement and been designated the stalking horse bidder to acquire selected remaining assets of bankrupt Luminar Technologies and its subsidiaries for approximately $22 million in cash, subject to a U.S. Bankruptcy Court–supervised auction and other customary closing conditions. The assets include LiDAR-related inventory, intellectual property, hardware and software platforms, contracts, and other operational infrastructure tied to light detection and ranging solutions for passenger and commercial vehicles, with QCi also assuming certain specified liabilities. Together with QCi’s previously announced proposed acquisition of Luminar Semiconductor, the deal is intended to broaden QCi’s reach across the photonics value chain, from chip design and packaging through full system delivery and field deployment, potentially adding immediate revenue, an expanded manufacturing and deployment footprint, and key engineering and technical teams. If completed, the transactions would deepen QCi’s capabilities in deployed sensing systems and support its strategy to build scalable commercial photonics platforms as a springboard into future quantum sensing, computing, communication, and photonic AI markets, though the outcome remains uncertain given competing bids, court approvals, and integration and execution risks.

The most recent analyst rating on (QUBT) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Quantum Computing stock, see the QUBT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Quantum Computing Appoints Dr. Huang as CEO
Positive
Dec 17, 2025

On December 12, 2025, Quantum Computing Inc. appointed Dr. Yuping Huang as Chief Executive Officer following his interim leadership since April 11, 2025. Dr. Huang, a seasoned quantum technology expert and founder of QPhoton, Inc., brings significant expertise to the role, contributing to the company’s strategic growth in quantum innovation. As part of his appointment, Dr. Huang’s compensation package includes an annual base salary of $425,000, a target annual bonus, and eligibility for long-term incentives. This leadership transition solidifies Quantum Computing Inc.’s commitment to advancing its market positioning and stakeholder value in the rapidly developing quantum technology space.

The most recent analyst rating on (QUBT) stock is a Hold with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Quantum Computing stock, see the QUBT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyLegal ProceedingsM&A Transactions
Quantum Computing Announces Acquisition of Luminar Semiconductor
Positive
Dec 15, 2025

On December 15, 2025, Quantum Computing Inc. announced its agreement to acquire Luminar Semiconductor, Inc. for $110 million in cash. This acquisition aims to enhance QCi’s technology roadmap by integrating Luminar’s photonic components, patents, and experienced team into QCi’s operations. The transaction is subject to approval from the U.S. Bankruptcy Court as Luminar’s parent company has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy. If successful, this acquisition is expected to strengthen QCi’s supply chain, expand its engineering workforce, and accelerate the commercialization of quantum systems.

The most recent analyst rating on (QUBT) stock is a Hold with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Quantum Computing stock, see the QUBT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 03, 2026