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Rigetti Computing (RGTI)
NASDAQ:RGTI
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Rigetti Computing (RGTI) AI Stock Analysis

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RGTI

Rigetti Computing

(NASDAQ:RGTI)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$22.50
▼(-13.59% Downside)
Rigetti Computing's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance, characterized by declining revenues and significant losses. Technical analysis further indicates bearish momentum, while valuation metrics reflect the company's current unprofitability. Despite promising technological advancements, immediate financial challenges dominate the outlook.
Positive Factors
Technological Advancements
The development of advanced quantum systems positions Rigetti as a leader in quantum computing, potentially expanding its market share and technological edge.
Strategic Collaborations
Partnerships with government agencies like the Air Force Research Laboratory enhance Rigetti's credibility and provide stable revenue streams, supporting long-term growth.
Financial Strength
A strong cash position with no debt provides Rigetti with significant financial flexibility to invest in R&D and weather economic uncertainties.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Declining revenues indicate challenges in maintaining market demand and could impact Rigetti's ability to fund future innovations and operations.
Decreased Gross Margins
Falling gross margins suggest increased cost pressures or pricing challenges, which could undermine profitability and long-term financial health.
Increased Operating Expenses
Rising operating expenses, driven by salary increases and higher costs, may strain Rigetti's profitability, necessitating efficiency improvements.

Rigetti Computing (RGTI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rigetti Computing Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRigetti Computing, Inc. operates as an integrated systems company. The company builds quantum computers and the superconducting quantum processors that power them. Its machines are integrated into various public, private, or hybrid clouds through its Quantum Cloud Services platform. The company was founded in 2013 and is based in Berkeley, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyRigetti Computing generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by offering quantum computing as a service (QCaaS) through its cloud platform, which allows businesses and researchers to access its quantum processors for various computational tasks. Additionally, the company partners with industry leaders and academic institutions to develop custom quantum solutions, which can include consulting services and the sale of proprietary quantum hardware. Strategic collaborations with technology giants and government agencies further enhance its revenue potential by securing funding for joint research and development projects, as well as providing access to broader markets.

Rigetti Computing Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Rigetti Computing is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsRigetti Computing's revenue from the United States has sharply declined, reflecting the expiration of the National Quantum Initiative. Meanwhile, Europe shows a more stable trajectory, with recent growth possibly driven by strategic partnerships like the one with Quanta. Despite technological advancements and a strengthened balance sheet, the company faces challenges with declining revenues and increased expenses, highlighting the need for successful commercialization of their quantum technology to drive future revenue growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

Rigetti Computing Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of promising developments in technology and collaborations, offset by financial challenges such as revenue decline and decreased gross margins. While Rigetti's future roadmap and strategic partnerships show potential, current financial performance and setbacks such as exclusion from DARPA Phase B weigh on the sentiment.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Momentum in Quantum Computing Demand
Rigetti reported strong momentum in the demand for on-premises quantum computers and collaborations to advance R&D, with significant purchase orders totaling approximately $5.7 million for two 9-qubit Novera quantum computing systems.
Technological Roadmap and Achievements
Rigetti remains on track to deliver a 100-plus qubit chiplet-based quantum system with 99.5% median 2-qubit gate fidelity by the end of 2025. Future plans include a 150-plus qubit system by the end of 2026 and a 1,000-plus qubit system by the end of 2027.
New Collaborations and Contracts
Rigetti announced a 3-year $5.8 million contract with the Air Force Research Laboratory to advance superconducting quantum networking and new collaborations with the Center for Development of Advanced Computing and Montana State University.
Financial Strength
As of November 6, 2025, Rigetti reported approximately $600 million in cash, cash equivalents, and available-for-sale investments, with no debt.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Revenues in the third quarter of 2025 were $1.9 million, down from $2.4 million in the third quarter of 2024, impacted by the expiration of the National Quantum Initiative and its pending reauthorization.
Decreased Gross Margins
Gross margins in the third quarter of 2025 decreased to 21% from 51% in the third quarter of 2024, due to the composition of revenue and variability in pricing and contract terms.
Increased Operating Expenses
Total operating expenses in the third quarter of 2025 increased to $21 million from $18.6 million in the same period of the prior year, driven by salary increases, new hires, and higher stock-based compensation and consulting costs.
Exclusion from DARPA Phase B
Rigetti was not selected for Phase B of the DARPA quantum benchmarking initiative at this time, although the company remains optimistic about future participation.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Rigetti Computing announced significant advancements in its quantum computing roadmap, including plans to deploy a 100-plus qubit system by the end of 2025 with 99.5% median 2-qubit gate fidelity, a 150-plus qubit system by the end of 2026 with 99.7% fidelity, and a 1,000-plus qubit system by the end of 2027 with 99.8% fidelity. The company reported revenues of $1.9 million, down from $2.4 million in the third quarter of 2024, with gross margins declining to 21% from 51% year-over-year. They secured $5.7 million in purchase orders for two 9-qubit systems and a $5.8 million contract with the Air Force Research Laboratory for quantum networking. Rigetti's cash position stood at approximately $600 million as of early November 2025, following a $46.5 million increase from warrant exercises.

Rigetti Computing Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rigetti Computing faces significant financial challenges with declining revenues, substantial losses, and cash flow difficulties. Despite maintaining low leverage, profitability and cash generation are concerning, indicating a need for strategic improvements.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Rigetti Computing's income statement shows declining revenue with a negative growth rate of -5.44% TTM. The company has a negative net profit margin of -20.80% and a negative EBIT margin of -20.65%, indicating significant losses. Gross profit margin is relatively moderate at 40.57%, but overall profitability is weak due to high operational losses.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.014, suggesting minimal leverage, which is a positive aspect. However, the return on equity is negative at -65.29%, indicating inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the low leverage suggests a stable capital structure.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals negative operating cash flow and free cash flow, with a slight positive growth in free cash flow of 3.06% TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is above 1, suggesting some ability to cover net losses with free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.49M10.79M12.01M13.10M8.20M5.54M
Gross Profit2.42M5.70M9.21M10.23M1.92M4.05M
EBITDA-387.45M-190.83M-61.90M-59.22M-31.13M-30.79M
Net Income-350.96M-200.99M-75.11M-71.52M-38.24M-17.21M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets630.27M284.79M159.91M203.44M46.43M49.68M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments446.98M192.09M99.93M142.81M11.73M22.20M
Total Debt7.60M8.80M30.57M39.14M24.79M0.00
Total Liabilities258.45M158.20M50.33M53.22M36.43M85.11M
Stockholders Equity371.83M126.59M109.59M150.22M9.99M-35.43M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-67.57M-61.73M-59.64M-85.43M-36.30M-34.47M
Operating Cash Flow-52.19M-50.63M-50.58M-62.69M-29.29M-30.07M
Investing Cash Flow-467.30M-78.36M773.00K-107.02M-7.01M-4.40M
Financing Cash Flow525.59M175.46M13.23M215.45M25.83M56.29M

Rigetti Computing Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price26.04
Price Trends
50DMA
35.30
Negative
100DMA
26.16
Negative
200DMA
18.27
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.99
Negative
RSI
42.98
Neutral
STOCH
57.32
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RGTI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 26.04 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.41, below the 50-day MA of 35.30, and above the 200-day MA of 18.27, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.99 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for RGTI.

Rigetti Computing Risk Analysis

Rigetti Computing disclosed 71 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rigetti Computing reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Rigetti Computing Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
50
Neutral
$16.63B-108.23%113.07%-555.52%
47
Neutral
$2.45B-14.49%41.51%-111.74%
46
Neutral
$7.50B-122.03%156.20%-218.56%
41
Neutral
$7.74B-141.90%-36.98%-238.63%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RGTI
Rigetti Computing
26.04
22.86
718.87%
QUBT
Quantum Computing
12.07
4.81
66.25%
IONQ
IonQ
48.65
12.70
35.33%
QBTS
D-Wave Quantum
25.08
21.31
565.25%

Rigetti Computing Corporate Events

Rigetti Computing’s Earnings Call: A Mixed Outlook
Nov 13, 2025

The recent earnings call of Rigetti Computing Inc. painted a picture of mixed sentiment, reflecting both optimism and challenges. While the company showcased promising technological advancements and strategic collaborations, financial hurdles such as declining revenues and gross margins tempered the overall outlook. The exclusion from a key DARPA initiative further added to the cautious sentiment, despite a robust future roadmap.

Rigetti Computing’s Q3 2025 Financial Report and Strategic Advances
Nov 12, 2025

Rigetti Computing Inc. is a leading company in the quantum computing sector, known for its full-stack quantum-classical computing solutions and pioneering advancements in scalable quantum systems.

Business Operations and Strategy
Rigetti Computing Partners with India’s C-DAC for Quantum Innovation
Positive
Sep 2, 2025

On September 2, 2025, Rigetti Computing announced a Memorandum of Understanding with India’s Centre for Development of Advanced Computing (C-DAC) to explore the co-development of hybrid quantum computing systems. This collaboration aims to support government laboratories and academics in quantum computing research and development, focusing on the design and market introduction of hybrid systems and related technologies. The partnership is expected to drive innovation in electronics and information technology, particularly in quantum and hybrid computing, reinforcing India’s position in next-generation technologies.

The most recent analyst rating on (RGTI) stock is a Hold with a $16.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rigetti Computing stock, see the RGTI Stock Forecast page.

Rigetti Computing’s Earnings Call: Tech Gains Amid Financial Strains
Sep 1, 2025

The recent earnings call for Rigetti Computing Inc. painted a mixed picture for investors, with notable advancements in technology and strategic financial moves being overshadowed by declining revenues and increased losses. While the company is making strides in quantum computing, financial challenges remain a concern.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 02, 2025