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Ares Management (ARES)
NYSE:ARES

Ares Management (ARES) AI Stock Analysis

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Ares Management

(NYSE:ARES)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$181.00
▲(9.19%Upside)
Ares Management's overall stock score of 71 reflects a strong financial foundation and positive earnings outlook, balanced by high valuation concerns. The company's profitability, strong cash flow, and strategic acquisitions support its stability and growth potential. However, technical indicators and high P/E ratio highlight cautious optimism amidst market volatility.
Positive Factors
Capital Deployment
ARES demonstrated the ability to deploy significant capital during a seasonally slower part of the year and continued to raise capital effectively.
Earnings Performance
Realized performance earnings exceeded forecast and consensus.
Market Confidence
The stock price closed at $165.85, suggesting market confidence.
Negative Factors
Earnings Estimate
Lowering 2Q25e EPS by -6.9% to $1.05.
Fundraising Challenges
Fundraising fell short, but net inflows were solid.
Fundraising Performance
Fundraising was below Street expectations, mainly driven by lower than expected gross new capital raised.

Ares Management (ARES) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ares Management Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAres Management Corporation (ARES) is a leading global alternative investment manager operating across the credit, private equity, real estate, and strategic initiatives sectors. The company is focused on providing investors with a diverse array of investment strategies and solutions, leveraging its deep industry knowledge and experience to deliver strong risk-adjusted returns. Ares Management is headquartered in Los Angeles, California, and serves a wide range of clients, including institutional investors, public and corporate pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, and individual investors.
How the Company Makes MoneyAres Management makes money primarily through management fees and performance fees. Management fees are charged as a percentage of the assets under management (AUM) and are typically calculated based on the size and type of the investment funds managed. Performance fees, also known as carried interest, are earned when the investment funds achieve returns above a predefined benchmark or hurdle rate. Additionally, Ares benefits from significant partnerships and strategic initiatives that help expand its investment opportunities and enhance its revenue potential. The company's focus on diverse asset classes allows it to capitalize on market inefficiencies and generate income across varying economic cycles.

Ares Management Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 6.25%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong financial performance with record fundraising and capital deployment, significant growth in AUM, and successful integration of GCP. However, challenges were noted in the form of ongoing market volatility and potential delays in income realization due to market conditions. Despite these challenges, the company remains optimistic about its ability to navigate the current environment.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Fundraising and Capital Deployment
Raised over $20 billion in gross new capital commitments, the highest level for the first quarter fundraising on record, and deployed over $31 billion with an improving gross-to-net deployment ratio of 49% in private credit strategies.
Significant Year-Over-Year Growth in AUM
Crossed $0.5 trillion in total AUM, reaching $546 billion, with AUM and fee paying AUM growing by 27% and 25% year-over-year, respectively.
Strong Financial Performance Metrics
Management fees grew by 18% year-over-year, FRE increased by 22%, and after-tax realized income per share of Class A common stock rose by 36%.
Successful Integration of GCP
GCP acquisition added $45 billion in AUM, with early fundraising momentum and synergy opportunities being realized.
Robust Performance in Credit Strategies
Generated positive returns across credit strategies, including a gross return of 2.4% for European direct lending and 3.2% for US senior direct lending.
Increased Dividend
Announced a 20% increase in quarterly dividend, now $1.12 per share.
Negative Updates
Market Volatility and Uncertainty
Increased market volatility and uncertainty due to geopolitical events and tariff policies, leading to a drop in liquid credit and equity market activities.
Potential Delays in European-Style Performance Income
Possibility of delayed timing in European-style performance income due to prolonged pause in the credit markets.
Challenges in Liquid Markets
Liquid markets remain less predictable and highly selective, with significant drop-off in activity as banks and investors move to a risk-off position.
Company Guidance
During Ares Management Corporation's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided robust guidance reflecting strong financial performance despite challenging market conditions. The guidance included a 20% increase in the quarterly dividend to $1.12 per share, payable on June 30th, 2025. Ares reported substantial year-over-year growth across key metrics: management fees rose by 18%, fee-related earnings (FRE) increased by 22%, and after-tax realized income per share of Class A common stock grew by 36%. The firm achieved a record fundraising milestone, securing over $20 billion in gross new capital commitments and deploying more than $31 billion, with a gross-to-net deployment ratio of 49% in private credit strategies. Additionally, Ares surpassed $0.5 trillion in assets under management (AUM), reaching $546 billion, including $45 billion from the acquisition of GCP. The firm's fee-paying AUM grew by 25% year-over-year, reinforcing their capacity for future management fee growth.

Ares Management Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ares Management displays strong financial performance with robust profitability and cash flow generation. The high income statement score reflects efficient operations with a consistent gross profit margin and improved net profit margin. While the balance sheet shows reliance on leverage, improvements in debt-to-equity ratio and shareholder returns are positive. Cash flow generation is substantial, reflecting efficient cash utilization.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Ares Management shows strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin around 60% and improved net profit margin from 2.6% in 2022 to 10.5% in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Revenue growth has been volatile, with a decline recently, but the EBIT and EBITDA margins have remained robust, indicating efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 0.15 in the TTM, indicating reliance on leverage, though this has improved significantly from previous years. Return on equity has improved, reflecting better profitability on shareholder equity. However, the equity ratio remains moderate, suggesting potential leverage risk.
Cash Flow
77
Positive
Ares Management has demonstrated substantial free cash flow growth, with significant improvement in operating cash flow surpassing net income, indicating strong cash-generating capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, showing efficient cash utilization despite past periods of negative cash flow.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
4.92B5.19B3.63B3.06B4.21B1.76B
Gross Profit
2.97B3.46B2.15B1.24B1.38B592.68M
EBIT
1.36B2.25B885.80M694.21M868.90M313.56M
EBITDA
1.64B2.41B1.15B1.04B982.19M354.81M
Net Income Common Stockholders
514.22M463.74M474.33M167.54M408.84M152.14M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
618.54M2.74B1.50B1.11B1.39B1.06B
Total Assets
27.18B24.88B24.73B22.00B21.61B15.17B
Total Debt
686.04M13.15B15.76B13.33B12.49B10.90B
Net Debt
67.50M10.41B14.26B12.22B11.10B9.84B
Total Liabilities
18.39B18.06B19.71B18.20B17.79B12.70B
Stockholders Equity
4.45B3.54B1.89B1.59B1.83B1.19B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
5.50B2.70B-300.44M-769.91M-2.62B-441.60M
Operating Cash Flow
5.63B2.79B-233.26M-734.11M-2.60B-425.66M
Investing Cash Flow
-793.97M-159.40M-111.08M-337.38M-1.08B-136.76M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.94B-1.43B292.13M1.13B3.50B943.89M

Ares Management Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price165.76
Price Trends
50DMA
158.66
Positive
100DMA
160.35
Positive
200DMA
162.96
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.81
Positive
RSI
51.59
Neutral
STOCH
22.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ARES, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 165.76 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 166.09, above the 50-day MA of 158.66, and above the 200-day MA of 162.96, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.81 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ARES.

Ares Management Risk Analysis

Ares Management disclosed 89 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ares Management reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ares Management Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
CGCG
73
Outperform
$17.00B15.9020.38%2.97%81.86%
OWOWL
72
Outperform
$28.79B188.024.62%4.82%32.99%8.06%
71
Outperform
$54.65B96.7212.97%2.68%19.02%-22.75%
KKKKR
68
Neutral
$109.03B53.079.03%0.60%-27.45%-46.67%
BXBX
68
Neutral
$166.81B41.5934.07%2.71%22.06%16.57%
64
Neutral
$12.73B9.927.90%78.88%12.06%-7.95%
TPTPG
63
Neutral
$18.45B0.24%3.28%46.69%-98.56%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ARES
Ares Management
165.76
35.34
27.10%
KKR
KKR & Co
122.60
15.73
14.72%
BX
Blackstone Group
137.69
15.70
12.87%
CG
Carlyle Group
46.86
7.57
19.27%
OWL
Blue Owl Capital
18.71
1.69
9.93%
TPG
TPG
50.54
9.83
24.15%

Ares Management Corporate Events

Shareholder Meetings
Ares Management Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 11, 2025

On June 6, 2025, Ares Management Corporation held its annual meeting of stockholders, where various proposals were voted on. The meeting included the election of directors for one-year terms, the ratification of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025, and advisory votes on executive compensation. The stockholders approved a three-year frequency for future advisory votes on executive compensation, aligning with the company’s decision to include a say-on-pay vote in its proxy materials every three years.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARES) stock is a Buy with a $155.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ares Management stock, see the ARES Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.