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Ares Management Lp (ARES)
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Ares Management (ARES) AI Stock Analysis

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ARES

Ares Management

(NYSE:ARES)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$207.00
▲(10.12% Upside)
Ares Management's strong financial performance, particularly in profitability and cash flow, combined with optimistic earnings call guidance and positive corporate announcements, are the primary drivers of the high overall score. However, the high valuation and potential technical resistance present some risks that moderate the score.
Positive Factors
Earnings
The P/E ratio increased to 24.6x, indicating potential growth expectations.
Market Positioning
ARES is positioned well for market dislocation, particularly in secondaries, opportunistic credit and direct lending within private credit.
Performance
ARES reported realized income per share 16% above consensus due to a 10% pre-tax income beat and a lower tax rate.
Negative Factors
Earnings Forecast
Lowering 2Q25e EPS by -6.9% to $1.05.
Fundraising
Fundraising was below Street expectations, mainly driven by lower than expected gross new capital raised.
Revenue
Fundraising fell short, but net inflows were solid.

Ares Management (ARES) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ares Management Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAres Management Corporation (ARES) is a leading global alternative investment manager operating across the credit, private equity, real estate, and strategic initiatives sectors. The company is focused on providing investors with a diverse array of investment strategies and solutions, leveraging its deep industry knowledge and experience to deliver strong risk-adjusted returns. Ares Management is headquartered in Los Angeles, California, and serves a wide range of clients, including institutional investors, public and corporate pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, and individual investors.
How the Company Makes MoneyAres Management makes money primarily through management fees and performance fees. Management fees are charged as a percentage of the assets under management (AUM) and are typically calculated based on the size and type of the investment funds managed. Performance fees, also known as carried interest, are earned when the investment funds achieve returns above a predefined benchmark or hurdle rate. Additionally, Ares benefits from significant partnerships and strategic initiatives that help expand its investment opportunities and enhance its revenue potential. The company's focus on diverse asset classes allows it to capitalize on market inefficiencies and generate income across varying economic cycles.

Ares Management Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 01, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 1.32%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong performance from Ares Management across multiple fronts, including record fundraising, significant growth in assets under management, and solid performance in management fees and revenues. The successful integration of the GCP acquisition and expansion in the wealth and insurance channels contributed to the positive outlook. Although there were some temporary challenges, such as a slowdown in U.S. deployment activity and minor compression in FRE margins, these are expected to be short-lived. Overall, the sentiment is positive with strong growth prospects ahead.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Fundraising and Asset Growth
Ares Management achieved its second highest quarterly fundraising total on record, raising over $26 billion. Year-to-date, over $46 billion in gross commitments were raised, putting Ares on pace to potentially exceed last year's record of $92.7 billion. As a result, AUM increased to $572 billion, with a quarter-over-quarter organic growth of 19% on an annualized basis.
Dividend Increase
A quarterly dividend of $1.12 per share was declared, representing an increase of 20% over the dividend for the same quarter a year ago.
Strong Growth in Management Fees and Revenues
Year-over-year growth in management fees was 24%, total fee-related revenue growth was 29%, and fee-related earnings (FRE) growth was 26%.
Successful Integration and Growth of GCP
The GCP acquisition contributed $103 million in revenues and $34 million in FRE for a 33% FRE margin. Ares expects significant contributions from GCP in the coming years, particularly in the data center business.
Continued Expansion in Wealth and Insurance Channels
Ares' wealth channel achieved a 54% increase in fundraising for the first half of the year compared to the first half of 2024. The insurance strategy through Aspida generated over $1.9 billion in new premiums.
Strong Performance Across Strategies
Credit strategies generated double-digit returns ranging from 10% to 23% over the last 12 months, with real estate and private equity also showing positive results.
Negative Updates
Temporary Slowdown in U.S. Deployment Environment
The U.S. deployment environment experienced a temporary slowdown in transaction activity in April, which affected the beginning of the quarter before rebounding in June.
Modest Compression in FRE Margin
The integration of GCP temporarily compressed FRE margins by 90 basis points, although this is expected to be temporary.
Company Guidance
During the Ares Management Corporation's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided robust guidance and highlighted several key metrics. Ares announced a quarterly dividend of $1.12 per share, marking a 20% increase from the previous year. The company's assets under management (AUM) increased to $572 billion, representing a quarter-over-quarter organic growth of 19% on an annualized basis. Fee-paying AUM (FPAUM) also grew to $350 billion, with a 17% annualized growth rate. The firm's strong fundraising efforts resulted in over $46 billion in gross commitments raised year-to-date, positioning them to potentially exceed last year's record fundraising of $92.7 billion. Ares' management fees increased by 24% year-over-year to $900 million, while total fee-related revenue grew by 29% and fee-related earnings (FRE) by 26%. The net accrued performance income balance rose by 8.5% to $1.1 billion, and the company's perpetual capital AUM now stands at $167 billion, nearly half of their total FPAUM. The firm expects continued growth in their Real Assets business, with significant contributions from the GCP International transaction.

Ares Management Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ares Management demonstrates strong profitability with robust EBIT and EBITDA margins, despite volatile revenue growth. Improved net profit margin and significant free cash flow growth highlight efficient operations and cash generation. The high debt-to-equity ratio poses some leverage risk, but this is mitigated by improved return on equity.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Ares Management shows strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin around 60% and improved net profit margin from 2.6% in 2022 to 10.5% in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Revenue growth has been volatile, with a decline recently, but the EBIT and EBITDA margins have remained robust, indicating efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 0.15 in the TTM, indicating reliance on leverage, though this has improved significantly from previous years. Return on equity has improved, reflecting better profitability on shareholder equity. However, the equity ratio remains moderate, suggesting potential leverage risk.
Cash Flow
77
Positive
Ares Management has demonstrated substantial free cash flow growth, with significant improvement in operating cash flow surpassing net income, indicating strong cash-generating capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, showing efficient cash utilization despite past periods of negative cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.27B3.88B3.63B3.06B4.21B2.13B
Gross Profit2.32B2.15B2.15B1.56B3.05B1.36B
EBITDA1.41B2.41B2.43B1.33B1.47B731.95M
Net Income437.88M463.74M474.33M167.54M408.84M152.14M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets27.18B24.88B24.73B22.00B21.61B15.17B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.80B2.74B1.50B1.11B1.39B1.06B
Total Debt13.36B13.15B15.76B13.33B12.49B10.90B
Total Liabilities18.97B18.06B20.26B18.20B17.79B12.70B
Stockholders Equity4.45B3.54B1.89B1.59B1.83B1.19B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.99B2.70B-300.44M-769.91M-2.62B-441.60M
Operating Cash Flow4.08B2.79B-233.26M-734.11M-2.60B-425.66M
Investing Cash Flow-1.87B-159.40M-111.08M-337.38M-1.08B-136.76M
Financing Cash Flow-1.94B-1.43B292.13M1.13B3.50B943.89M

Ares Management Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price187.98
Price Trends
50DMA
173.71
Positive
100DMA
161.42
Positive
200DMA
167.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.89
Negative
RSI
63.43
Neutral
STOCH
71.80
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ARES, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 187.98 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 181.84, above the 50-day MA of 173.71, and above the 200-day MA of 167.41, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.89 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ARES.

Ares Management Risk Analysis

Ares Management disclosed 89 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ares Management reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ares Management Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$61.82B105.4312.97%2.24%46.84%-7.13%
74
Outperform
$127.06B68.269.03%0.50%-23.81%-48.96%
70
Outperform
$21.70B20.3021.39%2.33%81.86%
69
Neutral
$29.98B348.023.68%4.06%31.81%-32.87%
67
Neutral
$17.02B11.609.79%3.95%10.63%2.01%
66
Neutral
$204.69B45.2637.72%2.54%27.13%41.35%
63
Neutral
$21.17B2.55%3.04%46.69%-98.56%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ARES
Ares Management
187.98
52.58
38.83%
KKR
KKR & Co
142.66
30.51
27.20%
BX
Blackstone Group
167.64
40.44
31.79%
CG
Carlyle Group
60.10
22.01
57.78%
OWL
Blue Owl Capital
19.35
3.07
18.86%
TPG
TPG
57.28
13.37
30.45%

Ares Management Corporate Events

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Ares Management Announces Quarterly Dividend and Earnings
Positive
Aug 1, 2025

On August 1, 2025, Ares Management Corporation announced a quarterly dividend of $1.12 per share for its Class A common stock, payable on September 30, 2025. The company also reported its second-quarter financial results, highlighting a GAAP net income of $137.1 million and significant growth in assets under management, fee-paying AUM, and management fees, driven by strong investment performance and successful fundraising efforts. The acquisition of GCP International contributed positively to the financial results, positioning Ares for future earnings growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARES) stock is a Buy with a $176.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ares Management stock, see the ARES Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
Ares Management Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 11, 2025

On June 6, 2025, Ares Management Corporation held its annual meeting of stockholders, where various proposals were voted on. The meeting included the election of directors for one-year terms, the ratification of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025, and advisory votes on executive compensation. The stockholders approved a three-year frequency for future advisory votes on executive compensation, aligning with the company’s decision to include a say-on-pay vote in its proxy materials every three years.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARES) stock is a Buy with a $155.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ares Management stock, see the ARES Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 02, 2025