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Blackstone Group L.P. (BX)
NYSE:BX

Blackstone Group (BX) AI Stock Analysis

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BX

Blackstone Group

(NYSE:BX)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$168.00
â–²(10.46% Upside)
Blackstone's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are significant strengths, driving the score. However, high leverage and valuation concerns, along with technical indicators suggesting caution, moderate the overall outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust business expansion and effective market strategies, enhancing long-term financial stability.
Assets Under Management
Record AUM reflects Blackstone's strong market position and ability to attract significant capital, supporting future growth and stability.
Cash Generation Ability
Efficient cash management and strong cash generation support operational flexibility and investment capacity, ensuring long-term resilience.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can increase financial risk and limit flexibility, potentially impacting Blackstone's ability to navigate economic downturns.
Credit Defaults Concerns
Concerns over credit defaults could affect investor confidence and lead to increased scrutiny, impacting Blackstone's credit operations.
Real Estate Fundraising Challenges
Challenges in real estate fundraising may hinder growth in this sector, affecting overall revenue diversification and stability.

Blackstone Group (BX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Blackstone Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBlackstone Group (BX) is a leading global investment firm specializing in private equity, real estate, hedge fund solutions, and credit. Founded in 1985, the company manages a diverse portfolio of assets across various sectors, including financial services, healthcare, technology, and energy. Blackstone provides investors with opportunities to invest in a range of asset classes, leveraging its expertise to create value through operational improvements, strategic acquisitions, and innovative financial solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyBlackstone generates revenue primarily through management fees and performance fees from its investment funds. The company earns management fees based on the assets it manages, which are calculated as a percentage of the committed capital in its private equity, real estate, and credit funds. Additionally, Blackstone collects performance fees, also known as carried interest, which are earned when the funds exceed specific return benchmarks. This model incentivizes the firm to maximize returns for its investors. Significant partnerships and relationships with institutional investors, such as pension funds and sovereign wealth funds, contribute to its capital raising efforts and overall earnings. Furthermore, Blackstone's diverse investment strategies across various sectors help mitigate risks and enhance revenue stability.

Blackstone Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Assets Under Management
Assets Under Management
Indicates the total value of assets that Blackstone Group manages on behalf of clients, reflecting the scale of its operations and potential for fee-based revenue growth.
Chart InsightsBlackstone's AUM has consistently grown, reaching a record $1.2 trillion, driven by significant inflows and strong private credit expansion. The latest earnings call highlights a 13% year-over-year increase, with robust fee-related earnings growth and substantial fundraising achievements. Despite challenges in real estate and muted realization environments, the firm remains optimistic about future growth, supported by favorable economic conditions and strategic initiatives. This sustained growth trajectory underscores Blackstone's strong market position and potential for continued expansion.
Data provided by:The Fly

Blackstone Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance in earnings and assets under management, with significant growth in the private wealth and credit sectors. However, challenges in real estate fundraising and concerns over credit defaults were noted. Despite these lowlights, the positive developments in fundraising, distributable earnings, and strategic initiatives like the launch of the defined contribution business suggest a robust outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Distributable Earnings
Blackstone reported distributable earnings of $1.9 billion, marking an increase of nearly 50% year-on-year.
Assets Under Management Reaches New Record
Assets under management reached a new industry record of $1.24 trillion, with inflows reaching $54 billion for the quarter.
Significant Growth in Private Wealth Channel
Private wealth AUM grew 15% year-over-year to nearly $290 billion, with fundraising doubling year-over-year in the third quarter.
Strong Performance in Infrastructure and Credit
Infrastructure and asset-based credit business grew 29% year-over-year to $107 billion, with infrastructure appreciating 5.2% in the quarter.
Launch of Defined Contribution Business
Blackstone launched its defined contribution business following President Trump's executive order for privates and 401(k)s.
Negative Updates
Concerns Over Credit Defaults
Significant external focus on implications of credit defaults linked to bank-led and syndicated credits, not private credit.
Challenges in Real Estate Fundraising
Real estate fundraising has moderated despite positive performance indicators, with an inflection expected but not yet realized.
Dividend Cut in BCRED
BCRED experienced a dividend cut due to lower base rates, although relative premium to liquid credit remains intact.
Company Guidance
During Blackstone's third quarter 2025 investor call, the company provided robust guidance underpinned by several key metrics. Blackstone reported GAAP net income of $1.2 billion for the quarter, with distributable earnings reaching $1.9 billion, or $1.52 per common share. The firm declared a dividend of $1.29 per share, payable to record holders as of November 3. Distributable earnings increased nearly 50% year-over-year, driven by a 26% growth in fee-related earnings and a more than doubling of net realizations. Blackstone achieved inflows of $54 billion, marking the fourth consecutive quarter surpassing $50 billion, with a total of $225 billion over the past 12 months. The company's assets under management (AUM) rose to a new industry record of $1.24 trillion. The firm emphasized its strong growth prospects, citing accelerating structural tailwinds in the alternative sector, increased adoption of private market solutions, and growing allocations to alternatives by institutional limited partners. Additionally, Blackstone highlighted the expansion of its investment platforms into digital and energy infrastructure, private credit, Asia, and the secondaries market, positioning itself favorably for the expected resurgence in capital markets activity.

Blackstone Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Blackstone Group demonstrates strong financial health with robust revenue growth and profitability. The income statement shows impressive revenue growth and solid profit margins. However, the balance sheet reflects high leverage, which poses risks. Cash flow is positive, but the conversion of income to cash could improve.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Blackstone Group's income statement shows strong performance with a high gross profit margin of 97% and a solid net profit margin of 21.55% for the TTM. The revenue growth rate is impressive at 72.9% TTM, indicating robust expansion. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have slightly decreased compared to previous years, suggesting some pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.59, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. Return on equity is strong at 32.88%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is moderate, suggesting a balanced asset structure but with room for improvement in reducing leverage.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive free cash flow growth rate of 11.32% TTM, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is relatively low at 0.18, suggesting potential challenges in converting income to cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 97.2%, reflecting efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.29B11.37B7.44B7.45B16.85B5.40B
Gross Profit11.79B10.93B7.01B7.13B16.65B5.23B
EBITDA6.41B6.50B3.00B3.53B13.63B2.69B
Net Income2.71B2.78B1.39B1.75B5.86B1.05B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets45.08B43.47B40.29B42.52B41.20B26.27B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.43B1.97B2.96B4.25B2.12B2.00B
Total Debt12.89B12.29B12.29B13.37B8.71B6.34B
Total Liabilities25.19B23.97B22.21B22.84B19.49B11.68B
Stockholders Equity8.40B8.21B6.82B7.66B9.42B6.65B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.65B3.42B3.83B6.10B3.92B1.82B
Operating Cash Flow3.76B3.48B4.06B6.34B3.99B1.94B
Investing Cash Flow-105.24M-61.41M-229.65M-235.50M-64.32M-166.82M
Financing Cash Flow-3.35B-4.50B-5.05B-3.79B-3.78B-2.24B

Blackstone Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price152.09
Price Trends
50DMA
149.49
Positive
100DMA
160.67
Negative
200DMA
151.08
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.42
Negative
RSI
57.05
Neutral
STOCH
38.14
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 152.09 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 148.45, above the 50-day MA of 149.49, and above the 200-day MA of 151.08, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BX.

Blackstone Group Risk Analysis

Blackstone Group disclosed 2 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Blackstone Group reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Blackstone Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$174.26B27.7612.61%1.95%15.79%-3.85%
72
Outperform
$185.52B43.6235.17%3.08%33.12%19.86%
69
Neutral
$118.89B56.828.73%0.55%-33.80%-24.81%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$56.75B73.9618.64%2.66%50.70%7.32%
61
Neutral
$25.12B693.427.19%2.98%25.02%235.70%
59
Neutral
$20.82B32.1511.85%2.42%-24.62%437.16%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BX
Blackstone Group
153.19
-10.66
-6.51%
BLK
BlackRock
1,065.00
69.09
6.94%
KKR
KKR & Co
133.38
-9.56
-6.69%
CG
Carlyle Group
58.02
10.27
21.51%
ARES
Ares Management
173.61
6.05
3.61%
TPG
TPG
66.43
4.60
7.44%

Blackstone Group Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Blackstone Group Completes $1.2 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Nov 3, 2025

On November 3, 2025, Blackstone Inc. announced the completion of its offering of $1.2 billion in senior notes through its subsidiary, Blackstone Reg Finance Co. L.L.C. The offering includes $600 million of 4.300% senior notes due 2030 and $600 million of 4.950% senior notes due 2036, with the proceeds intended for general corporate purposes. The notes are unsecured and unsubordinated obligations, fully guaranteed by Blackstone and its subsidiaries. The issuance is part of a strategy to strengthen Blackstone’s financial position and support its operational flexibility, with implications for stakeholders including potential impacts on the company’s credit profile and market positioning.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Blackstone Group Announces $1.2 Billion Notes Offering
Neutral
Oct 28, 2025

On October 28, 2025, Blackstone Inc. announced the pricing of a $1.2 billion senior notes offering through its indirect subsidiary, Blackstone Reg Finance Co. L.L.C. The offering includes $600 million of 4.300% senior notes due 2030 and $600 million of 4.950% senior notes due 2036, fully guaranteed by Blackstone and its subsidiaries. The proceeds from this offering are intended for general corporate purposes, potentially enhancing Blackstone’s financial flexibility and supporting its strategic initiatives.

Private Placements and Financing
Blackstone Group Announces Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Oct 28, 2025

On October 28, 2025, Blackstone Inc. announced its intention to offer senior notes through its indirect subsidiary, Blackstone Reg Finance Co. L.L.C. The offering, subject to market conditions, is fully guaranteed by Blackstone and its subsidiaries. The proceeds from this offering are intended for general corporate purposes, potentially impacting the company’s financial flexibility and market positioning.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Blackstone Group Secures $4.325 Billion Credit Facility
Positive
Oct 17, 2025

On October 16, 2025, Blackstone Holdings Finance Co. L.L.C. and its guarantors entered into a $4.325 billion amended and restated revolving credit facility with Citibank, extending the maturity date to October 16, 2030, and increasing the required minimum fee-generating assets under management to $355.0 billion. This move is expected to enhance Blackstone’s financial flexibility and strengthen its market position by aligning its credit facility terms with its growth in managed assets.

Financial Disclosures
Blackstone Reports $525M Revenue from Realizations
Neutral
Sep 25, 2025

On September 24, 2025, Blackstone announced a preliminary estimate of over $525 million in revenue from realization activities between July 1 and September 24, 2025. This figure, primarily from Realized Performance Revenues, may not reflect the total for the quarter ending September 30, 2025, as further gains or losses could occur.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025