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Blackstone Group L.P. (BX)
NYSE:BX
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Blackstone Group (BX) AI Stock Analysis

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BX

Blackstone Group

(NYSE:BX)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$137.00
â–²(6.14% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/23/26
The score is primarily driven by strong underlying profitability/cash generation and a bullish-leaning earnings call highlighting accelerating fee growth drivers, record AUM/inflows, and expanding performance-fee potential. These positives are tempered by balance-sheet leverage, the inherently volatile realization cycle (including expected Q3 deceleration), and only moderate technical strength with the stock still below its 200-day average.
Positive Factors
Fundraising & AUM Scale
Sustained large inflows and record AUM create durable management-fee revenue and competitive scale benefits. A $1.35T AUM base spreads fixed costs, supports product breadth, and increases the pool for performance fees and proprietary co-investments over multiple quarters to years.
Negative Factors
Elevated Financial Leverage
Higher debt relative to equity constrains flexibility to deploy capital or absorb shocks, raising refinancing and interest risks. For an asset manager this can limit opportunistic investments and amplify earnings variability if markets sour over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Fundraising & AUM Scale
Sustained large inflows and record AUM create durable management-fee revenue and competitive scale benefits. A $1.35T AUM base spreads fixed costs, supports product breadth, and increases the pool for performance fees and proprietary co-investments over multiple quarters to years.
Read all positive factors

Blackstone Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Assets Under Management
Assets Under Management
Indicates the total value of assets that Blackstone Group manages on behalf of clients, reflecting the scale of its operations and potential for fee-based revenue growth.
Chart InsightsBlackstone’s total AUM has climbed steadily to >$1.3T, but fee‑earning AUM has been more volatile — peaking in late‑2025 then retreating into Q1‑2026 — creating a near‑term drag on management fee conversion despite strong inflows and recordable performance revenue. Management expects fee growth to accelerate later in 2026 as fee‑holiday drawdown funds ramp and realizations/IPO activity rebound, but geopolitical headwinds, retail redemptions in some credit vehicles and slower exits pose meaningful timing risk to fee and distributable earnings.
Data provided by:The Fly

Blackstone Group (BX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Blackstone Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Blackstone Inc. operates as a prominent alternative asset manager, specializing in a broad spectrum of investment strategies. Its expertise encompasses real estate, private equity, credit solutions, comprehensive hedge fund offerings, public debt ...
How the Company Makes Money
Blackstone primarily makes money by managing assets for clients and earning (1) recurring management fees and (2) performance-based income, supplemented by (3) investment income on its own capital and, to a lesser extent, (4) advisory/transaction-...

Blackstone Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 15, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted broad, multi‑channel growth—double‑digit increases in distributable earnings, fee revenues and realizations; record inflows and clear leadership in AI/infrastructure and data centers supported by large new partnerships and product launches. Headwinds are concentrated but meaningful: near‑term realization timing risk, elevated redemptions in one wealth vehicle (BCRED), and some real estate base‑fee pressure. On balance the positive achievements, strong fundraising momentum, and expanding fee streams materially outweigh the cited challenges.
Positive Updates
Strong Earnings Growth
Distributable earnings rose 26% year‑over‑year to $2.0 billion ($1.52 per common share); fee related earnings grew 22% YoY to $1.8 billion and fee revenues increased 22% YoY to $3.0 billion.
Negative Updates
BCRED Redemption Pressure and Net Outflows
BCREDG reported gross sales of $1 billion but repurchase requests exceeded the 5% limit; only ~50% of requests were fulfilled, resulting in net outflows of approximately $1.2 billion and elevated redemption activity (though early Q3 redemptions were reported as materially lower).
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Earnings Growth
Distributable earnings rose 26% year‑over‑year to $2.0 billion ($1.52 per common share); fee related earnings grew 22% YoY to $1.8 billion and fee revenues increased 22% YoY to $3.0 billion.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Guidance flagged continued top‑line momentum into Q3 and 2027: management expects base management fee growth in Q3 similar to Q2 with a return to double‑digit base fee growth in 2027, a sequential deceleration in net realizations in Q3 followed by a robust Q4 and into 2027, and continued capital deployment into AI infrastructure. Current quarter and pipeline metrics underpinning that outlook include distributable earnings of $2.0B ($1.52/sh, +26% YoY), fee‑related earnings of $1.8B ($1.43/sh, +22% YoY), fee revenues of $3.0B (+22% YoY), fee‑related performance revenues of $793M (+68% YoY), transaction & advisory fees of $321M (record), net realizations of $414M, gross performance revenues of $731M, and net accrued performance revenue of $7.5B ($6/sh, +13% YoY, +7% seq). Scale and fundraising trends cited as drivers: AUM $1.35T (+11% YoY) with nearly $70B of Q2 inflows and >$260B LTM, data center platform value $185B (from $130B at start of year) with >3x leasing planned this year and potential to double in the coming years, infrastructure AUM $90B (+40% YoY), BXMA AUM $109B (+21% YoY) (plus $4.8B July 1 inflows), credit platform ~ $550B (+13% YoY) with $33B Q2 inflows (~50% of firm), insurance AUM $290B (+15% YoY), private wealth AUM $324B (+16% YoY, $8.6B sales in Q2), BREIT NAV $57B (+7% YoY, $1.2B raised Q2), BXP NAV >$25B (20% net annualized return), and BCREDG gross sales $1B (net outflows $1.2B).

Blackstone Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and cash conversion support the score (TTM gross margin ~87.5%, net margin ~20.4%, and FCF ~$3.35B with FCF tracking net income ~0.97x). Offsetting factors are meaningful leverage (TTM debt-to-equity ~1.69), cyclical/volatile revenue and margins across years, slightly negative TTM FCF growth (~-3.5%), and some data-quality uncertainty noted in the operating cash flow coverage metric.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.04B13.83B11.37B7.44B7.45B16.85B
Gross Profit14.25B11.90B10.93B7.01B7.13B16.65B
EBITDA8.43B7.21B6.50B3.00B3.53B13.63B
Net Income3.52B3.02B2.78B1.39B1.75B5.86B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets49.89B47.71B43.47B40.29B42.52B41.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.51B2.63B1.97B2.96B4.25B2.12B
Total Debt14.03B13.31B12.29B12.29B13.37B8.71B
Total Liabilities27.46B25.83B23.97B22.21B22.84B19.49B
Stockholders Equity9.01B8.67B8.21B6.82B7.66B9.42B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.51B1.74B3.42B3.83B6.10B3.92B
Operating Cash Flow2.59B1.86B3.48B4.06B6.34B3.99B
Investing Cash Flow1.18B5.28B-61.41M-229.65M-235.50M-64.32M
Financing Cash Flow-3.58B-6.40B-4.50B-5.05B-3.79B-3.78B

Blackstone Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price129.08
Price Trends
50DMA
121.45
Positive
100DMA
119.18
Positive
200DMA
130.35
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.80
Negative
RSI
61.85
Neutral
STOCH
50.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 129.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 125.73, above the 50-day MA of 121.45, and below the 200-day MA of 130.35, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.80 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BX.

Blackstone Group Risk Analysis

Blackstone Group disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Blackstone Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Blackstone Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$178.60B25.7212.11%2.07%22.99%1.35%
73
Outperform
$159.30B28.3930.28%3.02%27.99%20.33%
68
Neutral
$90.67B30.199.92%0.75%28.11%48.98%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$16.41B53.7312.56%5.23%11.60%28307.69%
63
Neutral
$40.94B56.6814.54%3.90%46.89%21.89%
54
Neutral
$16.33B30.239.65%3.08%-26.37%-49.86%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BX
Blackstone Group
127.75
-36.68
-22.31%
BLK
BlackRock
1,090.39
21.00
1.96%
KKR
KKR & Co
101.43
-40.18
-28.37%
CG
Carlyle Group
46.02
-11.18
-19.55%
ARES
Ares Management
128.09
-48.23
-27.35%
TPG
TPG
43.66
-9.82
-18.35%

Blackstone Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Blackstone Projects Strong Second-Quarter Performance Fee Realizations
Positive
Jun 23, 2026
Blackstone reported on June 23, 2026 that it expects to generate more than $500 million in realized performance revenues and realized principal investment income from realization activity between April 1 and June 23, 2026, with the figure composed...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 23, 2026