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Blackstone Group (BX)
NYSE:BX
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Blackstone Group (BX) AI Stock Analysis

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BX

Blackstone Group

(NYSE:BX)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$186.00
▲(8.52% Upside)
Blackstone's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the score. While the technical analysis and valuation present some concerns, the company's strategic growth initiatives and robust asset management position support a favorable outlook.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Blackstone beat on fundraising and FRE while deployments and realizations were in line.
Growth Potential
Blackstone's IPO pipeline is the strongest since 2021, indicating future growth potential.
Market Positioning
BX is among the best positioned for growth in the private wealth channel and emerging opportunities in retirement/401(k).
Negative Factors
Realization-Related Revenues
The update for 2Q25E would also represent a ~25% Q/Q decline from the $578mn in Realization-Related Revenues reported in 1Q25.
Revenue Expectations
The updated estimate of >$425mn is ~6% below Visible Alpha Consensus Data expectation of $450mn.
Valuation Concerns
There is a downside risk due to premium valuation and slowing FRE growth.

Blackstone Group (BX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Blackstone Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBlackstone Inc. is an alternative asset management firm specializing in real estate, private equity, hedge fund solutions, credit, secondary funds of funds, public debt and equity and multi-asset class strategies. The firm typically invests in early-stage companies. It also provide capital markets services. The real estate segment specializes in opportunistic, core+ investments as well as debt investment opportunities collateralized by commercial real estate, and stabilized income-oriented commercial real estate across North America, Europe and Asia. The firm's corporate private equity business pursues transactions throughout the world across a variety of transaction types, including large buyouts,special situations, distressed mortgage loans, mid-cap buyouts, buy and build platforms, which involves multiple acquisitions behind a single management team and platform, and growth equity/development projects involving significant majority stakes in portfolio companies and minority investments in operating companies, shipping, real estate, corporate or consumer loans, and alternative energy greenfield development projects in energy and power, property, dislocated markets, shipping opportunities, financial institution breakups, re-insurance, and improving freight mobility, financial services, healthcare, life sciences, enterprise tech and consumer, as well as consumer technologies. The firm considers investment in Asia and Latin America. It has a three year investment period. Its hedge fund business manages a broad range of commingled and customized fund solutions and its credit business focuses on loans, and securities of non-investment grade companies spread across the capital structure including senior debt, subordinated debt, preferred stock and common equity. Blackstone Inc. was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in New York, New York with additional offices across Asia, Europe and North America.
How the Company Makes MoneyBlackstone generates revenue primarily through management fees and performance fees. Management fees are charged as a percentage of the assets under management (AUM) and are typically stable, providing a consistent income stream. Performance fees, also known as carried interest, are earnings derived from the profits generated by investments, which incentivize the firm to maximize returns for its investors. In addition to these core revenue streams, Blackstone benefits from strategic partnerships with various institutional investors and corporations, enabling it to access capital and investment opportunities. The firm also engages in co-investments alongside its funds, which can further enhance its earnings potential. Overall, Blackstone's diversified investment strategies and expansive global presence contribute significantly to its financial performance.

Blackstone Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Assets Under Management
Assets Under Management
Indicates the total value of assets that Blackstone Group manages on behalf of clients, reflecting the scale of its operations and potential for fee-based revenue growth.
Chart InsightsBlackstone's AUM has consistently grown, reaching a record $1.2 trillion, driven by significant inflows and strong private credit expansion. The latest earnings call highlights a 13% year-over-year increase, with robust fee-related earnings growth and substantial fundraising achievements. Despite challenges in real estate and muted realization environments, the firm remains optimistic about future growth, supported by favorable economic conditions and strategic initiatives. This sustained growth trajectory underscores Blackstone's strong market position and potential for continued expansion.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Blackstone Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance across several key metrics, including record-breaking fee-related earnings and significant growth in assets under management. While the firm faces some challenges in the real estate sector and a muted realization environment, the positive results and strategic partnerships indicate a largely optimistic outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Fee-Related Earnings
Fee-related earnings grew by 31% year-over-year, marking one of the best quarters in the company's history.
Significant Asset Under Management Increase
Assets under management rose 13% year-over-year to a record $1.2 trillion.
Strong Fundraising Performance
Inflows reached $52 billion in the second quarter and $212 billion for the last 12 months.
Growth in Private Credit and Insurance
Private credit grew threefold in the past five years to $484 billion, and insurance AUM increased by 20% year-over-year to $250 billion.
Resilient Investment Performance
The corporate private equity funds appreciated 5.1% in the quarter and 17% over the last 12 months.
Innovative Partnerships
Entered into a significant partnership with Legal & General targeting up to $20 billion over the next five years.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Real Estate
The real estate market faced difficulties due to supply and demand issues, although there are signs of potential recovery.
Muted Realization Environment
Net realizations remained at muted levels, impacting the full potential of distributable earnings.
Company Guidance
During Blackstone's second quarter 2025 investor call, the firm reported a GAAP net income of $1.6 billion, with distributable earnings also reaching $1.6 billion, or $1.21 per common share. They declared a dividend of $1.03 per share. Notably, distributable earnings increased by 25% year-over-year, while fee-related earnings grew by 31%. The firm achieved a record $1.2 trillion in assets under management, fueled by inflows of $52 billion in the quarter and $212 billion over the last 12 months. Blackstone invested $33 billion in the second quarter and $145 billion over the last year, with a focus on sectors like digital infrastructure and private credit. The firm's position in private credit expanded significantly, with $484 billion in assets under management across corporate and real estate credit, marking a threefold increase over five years. In the real estate sector, Blackstone highlighted a gradual appreciation trend over the past 18 months, with promising signs of recovery. The firm's leadership expressed optimism about the future, citing supportive economic conditions and a favorable policy environment. They emphasized the potential for increased transaction activity and realizations as market conditions improve.

Blackstone Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Blackstone Group exhibits strong financial health with robust profitability metrics and solid cash flow. The income statement highlights effective cost management and operational efficiency, while the balance sheet shows a solid equity base with decreasing leverage. Despite some revenue growth fluctuations, the overall financial position is strong within the asset management industry.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The income statement for Blackstone Group demonstrates strong profitability metrics with a consistent gross profit margin and net profit margin in the recent TTM period. Revenue growth rate fluctuated due to a significant drop from 2021 to 2022, followed by a recovery. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, indicating effective cost management and operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
Blackstone Group's balance sheet shows a solid equity base with an improving debt-to-equity ratio, thanks to reduced total debt levels over time. The return on equity is strong, reflecting efficient use of shareholder funds, but the equity ratio declined slightly, indicating a higher portion of assets financed by liabilities.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The cash flow statement highlights steady operating cash flow and a stable free cash flow position. The free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, suggesting good cash generation relative to earnings. Although there is a slight volatility in free cash flow growth, overall cash flow metrics are healthy.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.16B11.37B7.44B7.45B16.85B5.40B
Gross Profit10.71B10.93B7.01B7.13B16.65B5.23B
EBITDA6.07B6.50B3.00B3.53B13.63B2.69B
Net Income2.54B2.78B1.39B1.75B5.86B1.05B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets45.26B43.47B40.29B42.52B41.20B26.27B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.39B1.97B2.96B4.25B2.12B2.00B
Total Debt13.39B12.29B12.29B13.37B8.71B6.34B
Total Liabilities25.39B23.97B22.21B22.84B19.49B11.68B
Stockholders Equity7.98B8.21B6.82B7.66B9.42B6.65B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.58B3.42B3.83B6.10B3.92B1.82B
Operating Cash Flow3.65B3.48B4.06B6.34B3.99B1.94B
Investing Cash Flow-72.93M-61.41M-229.65M-235.50M-64.32M-166.82M
Financing Cash Flow-2.85B-4.50B-5.05B-3.79B-3.78B-2.24B

Blackstone Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price171.40
Price Trends
50DMA
164.15
Positive
100DMA
149.88
Positive
200DMA
157.57
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.52
Positive
RSI
55.18
Neutral
STOCH
78.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 171.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 170.09, above the 50-day MA of 164.15, and above the 200-day MA of 157.57, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.52 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BX.

Blackstone Group Risk Analysis

Blackstone Group disclosed 2 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Blackstone Group reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Blackstone Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$58.55B102.5213.92%2.29%45.89%-9.53%
76
Outperform
$23.35B18.8323.07%2.17%101.10%
74
Outperform
$183.93B27.2414.35%1.83%15.88%2.87%
71
Outperform
$124.28B66.908.22%0.52%-24.62%-48.96%
70
Outperform
$210.51B46.2737.72%2.49%23.08%41.35%
68
Neutral
$17.90B11.8610.29%3.72%9.74%1.66%
63
Neutral
$22.80B2.55%3.16%43.48%-24.02%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BX
Blackstone Group
171.40
36.90
27.43%
BLK
BlackRock
1,127.14
259.62
29.93%
KKR
KKR & Co
139.49
21.86
18.58%
CG
Carlyle Group
64.56
27.08
72.25%
ARES
Ares Management
179.20
40.82
29.50%
TPG
TPG
60.35
13.07
27.64%

Blackstone Group Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Blackstone Reports $425M Revenue from Realizations
Neutral
Jun 24, 2025

On June 24, 2025, Blackstone announced a preliminary estimate of over $425 million in revenue from realization activities for the period from April 1, 2025, to June 24, 2025. This estimate includes realized performance revenues and principal investment income, primarily from investment realizations closed in the second quarter, but does not predict total revenues for the quarter ending June 30, 2025, as results may differ materially.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025