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Blackstone Group (BX)
NYSE:BX
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Blackstone Group (BX) AI Stock Analysis

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BX

Blackstone Group

(NYSE:BX)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$177.00
▲(20.70% Upside)
Blackstone's strong earnings call performance and financial growth are significant positives, but high leverage and technical indicators suggest caution. The stock's valuation appears high, which may limit upside potential. Continued focus on managing debt and cash flow will be key to sustaining growth.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Blackstone's strong revenue growth, driven by robust fundraising and strategic investments, enhances its market position and financial stability.
Assets Under Management
Record AUM indicates strong investor confidence and provides a stable revenue base through management fees, supporting long-term growth.
Strategic Expansion
The launch of a defined contribution business expands Blackstone's market reach, tapping into retirement savings and enhancing growth prospects.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk, potentially impacting cash flow and limiting flexibility in economic downturns.
Declining Cash Flow
Declining cash flow growth may strain Blackstone's ability to fund operations and investments, affecting long-term sustainability.
Real Estate Fundraising Challenges
Challenges in real estate fundraising could limit growth in this segment, affecting overall revenue and profitability.

Blackstone Group (BX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Blackstone Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBlackstone Inc. is an alternative asset management firm specializing in real estate, private equity, hedge fund solutions, credit, secondary funds of funds, public debt and equity and multi-asset class strategies. The firm typically invests in early-stage companies. It also provide capital markets services. The real estate segment specializes in opportunistic, core+ investments as well as debt investment opportunities collateralized by commercial real estate, and stabilized income-oriented commercial real estate across North America, Europe and Asia. The firm's corporate private equity business pursues transactions throughout the world across a variety of transaction types, including large buyouts,special situations, distressed mortgage loans, mid-cap buyouts, buy and build platforms, which involves multiple acquisitions behind a single management team and platform, and growth equity/development projects involving significant majority stakes in portfolio companies and minority investments in operating companies, shipping, real estate, corporate or consumer loans, and alternative energy greenfield development projects in energy and power, property, dislocated markets, shipping opportunities, financial institution breakups, re-insurance, and improving freight mobility, financial services, healthcare, life sciences, enterprise tech and consumer, as well as consumer technologies. The firm considers investment in Asia and Latin America. It has a three year investment period. Its hedge fund business manages a broad range of commingled and customized fund solutions and its credit business focuses on loans, and securities of non-investment grade companies spread across the capital structure including senior debt, subordinated debt, preferred stock and common equity. Blackstone Inc. was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in New York, New York with additional offices across Asia, Europe and North America.
How the Company Makes MoneyBlackstone generates revenue primarily through management fees and performance fees. Management fees are charged as a percentage of the assets under management (AUM) and are typically stable, providing a consistent income stream. Performance fees, also known as carried interest, are earnings derived from the profits generated by investments, which incentivize the firm to maximize returns for its investors. In addition to these core revenue streams, Blackstone benefits from strategic partnerships with various institutional investors and corporations, enabling it to access capital and investment opportunities. The firm also engages in co-investments alongside its funds, which can further enhance its earnings potential. Overall, Blackstone's diversified investment strategies and expansive global presence contribute significantly to its financial performance.

Blackstone Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Assets Under Management
Assets Under Management
Indicates the total value of assets that Blackstone Group manages on behalf of clients, reflecting the scale of its operations and potential for fee-based revenue growth.
Chart InsightsBlackstone's AUM has consistently grown, reaching a record $1.2 trillion, driven by significant inflows and strong private credit expansion. The latest earnings call highlights a 13% year-over-year increase, with robust fee-related earnings growth and substantial fundraising achievements. Despite challenges in real estate and muted realization environments, the firm remains optimistic about future growth, supported by favorable economic conditions and strategic initiatives. This sustained growth trajectory underscores Blackstone's strong market position and potential for continued expansion.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Blackstone Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance in earnings and assets under management, with significant growth in the private wealth and credit sectors. However, challenges in real estate fundraising and concerns over credit defaults were noted. Despite these lowlights, the positive developments in fundraising, distributable earnings, and strategic initiatives like the launch of the defined contribution business suggest a robust outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Distributable Earnings
Blackstone reported distributable earnings of $1.9 billion, marking an increase of nearly 50% year-on-year.
Assets Under Management Reaches New Record
Assets under management reached a new industry record of $1.24 trillion, with inflows reaching $54 billion for the quarter.
Significant Growth in Private Wealth Channel
Private wealth AUM grew 15% year-over-year to nearly $290 billion, with fundraising doubling year-over-year in the third quarter.
Strong Performance in Infrastructure and Credit
Infrastructure and asset-based credit business grew 29% year-over-year to $107 billion, with infrastructure appreciating 5.2% in the quarter.
Launch of Defined Contribution Business
Blackstone launched its defined contribution business following President Trump's executive order for privates and 401(k)s.
Negative Updates
Concerns Over Credit Defaults
Significant external focus on implications of credit defaults linked to bank-led and syndicated credits, not private credit.
Challenges in Real Estate Fundraising
Real estate fundraising has moderated despite positive performance indicators, with an inflection expected but not yet realized.
Dividend Cut in BCRED
BCRED experienced a dividend cut due to lower base rates, although relative premium to liquid credit remains intact.
Company Guidance
During Blackstone's third quarter 2025 investor call, the company provided robust guidance underpinned by several key metrics. Blackstone reported GAAP net income of $1.2 billion for the quarter, with distributable earnings reaching $1.9 billion, or $1.52 per common share. The firm declared a dividend of $1.29 per share, payable to record holders as of November 3. Distributable earnings increased nearly 50% year-over-year, driven by a 26% growth in fee-related earnings and a more than doubling of net realizations. Blackstone achieved inflows of $54 billion, marking the fourth consecutive quarter surpassing $50 billion, with a total of $225 billion over the past 12 months. The company's assets under management (AUM) rose to a new industry record of $1.24 trillion. The firm emphasized its strong growth prospects, citing accelerating structural tailwinds in the alternative sector, increased adoption of private market solutions, and growing allocations to alternatives by institutional limited partners. Additionally, Blackstone highlighted the expansion of its investment platforms into digital and energy infrastructure, private credit, Asia, and the secondaries market, positioning itself favorably for the expected resurgence in capital markets activity.

Blackstone Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Blackstone Group shows strong revenue growth and profitability with high margins. However, high leverage and declining cash flow growth present potential risks. Effective equity utilization is a positive, but managing debt and improving cash flow are crucial.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Blackstone Group's income statement shows strong growth with a revenue increase of 11.74% in the TTM period. The company maintains high profitability with a gross profit margin of 96.15% and a net profit margin of 22.96%. However, the EBIT margin has slightly decreased from 56.79% to 54.03% in the TTM, indicating a slight decline in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.44, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks if not managed properly. However, the return on equity is strong at 36.31%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is moderate, reflecting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth by 8.32% in the TTM, which is a concern. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.30, suggesting potential cash flow challenges. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains healthy at 97.02%, indicating efficient cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.47B11.37B7.44B7.45B16.85B5.40B
Gross Profit11.99B10.93B7.01B7.13B16.65B5.23B
EBITDA6.77B6.50B3.00B3.53B13.63B2.69B
Net Income2.86B2.78B1.39B1.75B5.86B1.05B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets45.37B43.47B40.29B42.52B41.20B26.27B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.24B1.97B2.96B4.25B2.12B2.00B
Total Debt12.93B12.29B12.29B13.37B8.71B6.34B
Total Liabilities24.29B23.97B22.21B22.84B19.49B11.68B
Stockholders Equity8.35B8.21B6.82B7.66B9.42B6.65B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.28B3.42B3.83B6.10B3.92B1.82B
Operating Cash Flow3.38B3.48B4.06B6.34B3.99B1.94B
Investing Cash Flow-100.70M-61.41M-229.65M-235.50M-64.32M-166.82M
Financing Cash Flow-3.34B-4.50B-5.05B-3.79B-3.78B-2.24B

Blackstone Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price146.64
Price Trends
50DMA
168.44
Negative
100DMA
164.28
Negative
200DMA
155.56
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-5.68
Positive
RSI
28.55
Positive
STOCH
9.44
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 146.64 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 157.58, below the 50-day MA of 168.44, and below the 200-day MA of 155.56, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -5.68 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.55 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.44 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BX.

Blackstone Group Risk Analysis

Blackstone Group disclosed 2 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Blackstone Group reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Blackstone Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$176.70B27.831.91%15.96%-3.84%
$180.81B42.7135.17%2.63%31.91%19.86%
$19.29B15.5623.07%2.63%101.10%
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
$48.12B86.1113.92%2.88%45.89%-9.53%
$20.96B2.55%3.47%43.48%-24.02%
$105.43B56.758.22%0.61%-24.62%-48.96%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BX
Blackstone Group
146.64
-16.83
-10.30%
BLK
BlackRock
1,082.81
111.31
11.46%
KKR
KKR & Co
118.33
-17.92
-13.15%
CG
Carlyle Group
53.32
5.55
11.62%
ARES
Ares Management
148.71
-6.89
-4.43%
TPG
TPG
55.04
-4.80
-8.02%

Blackstone Group Corporate Events

Blackstone Group’s Strong Q3 2025 Financial Performance
Oct 24, 2025

Blackstone Group L.P., the world’s largest alternative asset manager, focuses on delivering strong returns for institutional and individual investors through investments in real estate, private equity, credit, infrastructure, and more, managing over $1.2 trillion in assets.

Blackstone’s Earnings Call: Strong Growth Amid Challenges
Oct 24, 2025

Blackstone Group L.P. Earnings Call Highlights Strong Performance Amid Challenges

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Blackstone Group Secures $4.325 Billion Credit Facility
Positive
Oct 17, 2025

On October 16, 2025, Blackstone Holdings Finance Co. L.L.C. and its guarantors entered into a $4.325 billion amended and restated revolving credit facility with Citibank, extending the maturity date to October 16, 2030, and increasing the required minimum fee-generating assets under management to $355.0 billion. This move is expected to enhance Blackstone’s financial flexibility and strengthen its market position by aligning its credit facility terms with its growth in managed assets.

The most recent analyst rating on (BX) stock is a Hold with a $171.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Blackstone Group stock, see the BX Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Blackstone Reports $525M Revenue from Realizations
Neutral
Sep 25, 2025

On September 24, 2025, Blackstone announced a preliminary estimate of over $525 million in revenue from realization activities between July 1 and September 24, 2025. This figure, primarily from Realized Performance Revenues, may not reflect the total for the quarter ending September 30, 2025, as further gains or losses could occur.

The most recent analyst rating on (BX) stock is a Hold with a $181.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Blackstone Group stock, see the BX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025