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Blackstone Group (BX)
NYSE:BX
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Blackstone Group (BX) AI Stock Analysis

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BX

Blackstone Group

(NYSE:BX)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$175.00
▲(3.72%Upside)
Blackstone's overall stock score is bolstered by strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights. Despite a high valuation and overbought technical indicators, the firm's strategic initiatives and robust asset management growth signal resilience and long-term potential in a challenging market environment.
Positive Factors
Fundraising and Capital Inflows
BX finished with strong inflows, topping previous levels with broad-based capital raising including final closings for European real estate, global private equity, and PE energy transition funds.
Private Credit and Fundraising
Private credit opportunities are expanding for Blackstone, and fundraising and deployment activities are accelerating.
Wealth Channels
BX raised $11B in the wealth channels, up nearly 40% year-over-year, marking the highest in nearly 3 years, with optimism despite potential market uncertainties.
Negative Factors
Quarter-over-Quarter Revenue Decline
The update represents a 25% quarter-over-quarter decline from the realization-related revenues reported in the previous quarter.
Real Estate Recovery
A slowed real estate recovery could prevent a near-term return for BX to past peak FRE multiples above 30x.
Revenue and Earnings Expectations
The updated estimate of revenue is approximately 6% below the Visible Alpha Consensus Data expectation.

Blackstone Group (BX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Blackstone Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBlackstone Group Inc. (BX) is a leading global investment firm specializing in alternative asset management, with a broad array of investment vehicles across private equity, real estate, credit, and hedge fund solutions. The firm serves a diverse client base, including public and corporate pension funds, academic and charitable institutions, sovereign wealth funds, and individual investors worldwide. Blackstone is renowned for its disciplined investment approach, aiming to deliver attractive returns across market cycles.
How the Company Makes MoneyBlackstone Group makes money primarily through management fees, performance fees, and investment income. Management fees are charged to investors based on a percentage of assets under management (AUM) and provide a steady stream of revenue. Performance fees, also known as carried interest, are earned when the firm's investment funds achieve returns above a certain threshold, aligning Blackstone's interests with those of its investors. Additionally, Blackstone generates income from its own investments in the funds it manages. The firm has significant partnerships with institutional investors and leverages its extensive expertise across its investment platforms to enhance value creation. Diversification across asset classes and geographies also contributes to Blackstone's financial performance.

Blackstone Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Assets Under Management
Assets Under Management
Indicates the total value of assets that Blackstone Group manages on behalf of clients, reflecting the scale of its operations and potential for fee-based revenue growth.
Chart InsightsBlackstone's AUM has shown consistent growth, reaching a record $1.2 trillion, driven by strong inflows and strategic initiatives. The latest earnings call highlights robust performance in private credit and significant fundraising successes, despite market uncertainties. The firm's strategic alliances and new product launches, such as BMACX, are poised to enhance long-term growth. However, potential challenges from tariffs and market volatility could impact future realization activities. Overall, Blackstone's strategic positioning and innovation efforts underscore its resilience and growth potential in a challenging market environment.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Blackstone Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 17, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 31.33%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights Blackstone's record asset management growth, strong performance in private credit, and significant fundraising successes, signaling robust business performance. However, concerns about market uncertainty and the impact of tariffs are noted as potential challenges. Overall, the positives significantly outweigh the negatives.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record High Asset Under Management
Blackstone reported a new record of nearly $1.2 trillion in assets under management, up 10% year-over-year.
Strong Performance in Private Credit
Blackstone's private credit business grew to $465 billion, up more than 2.5-fold in the past 4 years, with $113 billion in inflows over the last 12 months.
Significant Fundraising Success
Blackstone raised $62 billion of inflows in Q1, the highest level in 3 years, and approximately $200 billion over the last 12 months.
New Strategic Alliance
Blackstone announced a strategic alliance with Wellington and Vanguard to develop integrated public-private investment solutions.
Strong Fee-Related Earnings
Fee-related earnings grew 9% and management fees increased 11% to a record $1.9 billion in Q1.
Innovative Growth in Private Wealth
Blackstone raised $11 billion in the private wealth channel in Q1, up nearly 40% year-over-year to the highest level in nearly 3 years.
Negative Updates
Market Uncertainty Due to Tariffs
Uncertainty around tariffs and their potential impact on economic growth and inflation has dramatically impacted investor sentiment.
Challenges in Realization Activity
Realization activity is expected to be affected by policy-driven uncertainty and market volatility in the near term.
Potential Impact of Tariffs on Specific Holdings
The direct first order exposure across Blackstone's portfolio is limited, but there is potentially material impact to a relatively small group of companies.
Company Guidance
During the Blackstone First Quarter 2025 Investor Call, significant metrics were highlighted, reflecting robust financial performance despite a challenging market environment. GAAP net income for the quarter was reported at $1.2 billion, with distributable earnings reaching $1.4 billion or $1.09 per common share. The firm declared a dividend of $0.93 per common share, payable to holders of record as of April 28. Fee-related earnings increased by 9%, while assets under management grew by 10% year-over-year to a record $1.2 trillion, supported by $62 billion of inflows in Q1. The firm's private credit business also expanded, with $465 billion under management and $113 billion of inflows over the last 12 months. Blackstone's insurance AUM grew 18% year-over-year to $237 billion. The firm's infrastructure platform saw a 36% increase in AUM, reaching $60 billion, while multi-asset investing business AUM rose by 12% to $88 billion. The call emphasized Blackstone's strategic initiatives, including a new alliance with Wellington and Vanguard to develop public-private investment solutions, and the upcoming launch of a new perpetual flagship, BMACX, on May 1. Despite market volatility, Blackstone remains well-positioned with $177 billion of dry powder and a strong focus on long-term growth and innovation.

Blackstone Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Blackstone Group exhibits strong profitability and cash flow metrics, with robust EBIT and EBITDA margins. The balance sheet shows a solid equity base and decreasing leverage, enhancing financial stability. Revenue growth has fluctuated, but margins remain strong, positioning Blackstone well within the asset management industry.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The income statement for Blackstone Group demonstrates strong profitability metrics with a consistent gross profit margin and net profit margin in the recent TTM period. Revenue growth rate fluctuated due to a significant drop from 2021 to 2022, followed by a recovery. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, indicating effective cost management and operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
Blackstone Group's balance sheet shows a solid equity base with an improving debt-to-equity ratio, thanks to reduced total debt levels over time. The return on equity is strong, reflecting efficient use of shareholder funds, but the equity ratio declined slightly, indicating a higher portion of assets financed by liabilities.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The cash flow statement highlights steady operating cash flow and a stable free cash flow position. The free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, suggesting good cash generation relative to earnings. Although there is a slight volatility in free cash flow growth, overall cash flow metrics are healthy.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.16B11.37B7.44B7.45B16.85B5.40B
Gross Profit10.71B10.93B7.01B7.13B16.65B5.23B
EBITDA6.07B6.50B3.00B3.53B13.63B2.69B
Net Income2.54B2.78B1.39B1.75B5.86B1.05B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets45.26B43.47B40.29B42.52B41.20B26.27B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.39B1.97B2.96B4.25B2.12B2.00B
Total Debt13.39B12.29B12.29B13.37B8.71B6.34B
Total Liabilities25.39B23.97B22.21B22.84B19.49B11.68B
Stockholders Equity7.98B8.21B6.82B7.66B9.42B6.65B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.58B3.42B3.83B6.10B3.92B1.82B
Operating Cash Flow3.65B3.48B4.06B6.34B3.99B1.94B
Investing Cash Flow-72.93M-61.41M-229.65M-235.50M-64.32M-166.82M
Financing Cash Flow-2.85B-4.50B-5.05B-3.79B-3.78B-2.24B

Blackstone Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price168.72
Price Trends
50DMA
146.33
Positive
100DMA
142.58
Positive
200DMA
156.68
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
6.95
Negative
RSI
68.67
Neutral
STOCH
88.85
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 168.72 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 154.92, above the 50-day MA of 146.33, and above the 200-day MA of 156.68, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 6.95 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.85 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BX.

Blackstone Group Risk Analysis

Blackstone Group disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Blackstone Group reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Blackstone Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
BLBLK
82
Outperform
$170.97B26.6814.37%2.33%15.56%2.86%
77
Outperform
$59.80B105.8412.97%2.45%19.02%-22.75%
OWOWL
75
Outperform
$31.78B207.554.62%3.71%32.99%8.06%
KKKKR
71
Outperform
$130.02B63.299.03%0.49%-27.45%-46.67%
BXBX
70
Outperform
$204.70B51.0434.07%2.40%22.06%16.57%
CGCG
70
Outperform
$21.73B20.3220.38%2.33%81.86%
67
Neutral
$16.88B11.729.78%4.17%11.83%-7.72%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BX
Blackstone Group
168.72
31.23
22.71%
BLK
Blackrock
1,103.59
278.34
33.73%
KKR
KKR & Co
145.98
28.77
24.55%
CG
Carlyle Group
60.17
15.09
33.47%
ARES
Ares Management
183.12
36.19
24.63%
OWL
Blue Owl Capital
20.61
1.50
7.85%

Blackstone Group Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Blackstone Reports $425M Revenue from Realizations
Neutral
Jun 24, 2025

On June 24, 2025, Blackstone announced a preliminary estimate of over $425 million in revenue from realization activities for the period from April 1, 2025, to June 24, 2025. This estimate includes realized performance revenues and principal investment income, primarily from investment realizations closed in the second quarter, but does not predict total revenues for the quarter ending June 30, 2025, as results may differ materially.

The most recent analyst rating on (BX) stock is a Hold with a $154.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Blackstone Group stock, see the BX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 10, 2025