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Blackstone Group (BX)
NYSE:BX
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Blackstone Group (BX) AI Stock Analysis

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BX

Blackstone Group

(NYSE:BX)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$192.00
▲(13.67% Upside)
Blackstone Group's strong financial health and positive earnings outlook drive the stock score. While technical indicators suggest caution due to overbought conditions, the firm's robust asset management growth and strategic positioning in private credit and wealth management support a positive long-term view. The high valuation poses a risk, but is balanced by the company's growth potential and strategic initiatives.
Positive Factors
Fundraising and Financial Performance
Blackstone beat on fundraising and FRE while deployments and realizations were in line.
Growth Potential
Blackstone's IPO pipeline is the strongest since 2021, indicating future growth potential.
Market Positioning
BX is among the best positioned for growth in the private wealth channel and emerging opportunities in retirement/401(k).
Negative Factors
Market Volatility
Expectations for softer fundamentals across the board due to market volatility and wider credit spreads.
Realization-Related Revenues
The update for 2Q25E would also represent a ~25% Q/Q decline from the $578mn in Realization-Related Revenues reported in 1Q25.
Revenue Expectations
The updated estimate of >$425mn is ~6% below Visible Alpha Consensus Data expectation of $450mn.

Blackstone Group (BX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Blackstone Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBlackstone Inc. is an alternative asset management firm specializing in real estate, private equity, hedge fund solutions, credit, secondary funds of funds, public debt and equity and multi-asset class strategies. The firm typically invests in early-stage companies. It also provide capital markets services. The real estate segment specializes in opportunistic, core+ investments as well as debt investment opportunities collateralized by commercial real estate, and stabilized income-oriented commercial real estate across North America, Europe and Asia. The firm's corporate private equity business pursues transactions throughout the world across a variety of transaction types, including large buyouts,special situations, distressed mortgage loans, mid-cap buyouts, buy and build platforms, which involves multiple acquisitions behind a single management team and platform, and growth equity/development projects involving significant majority stakes in portfolio companies and minority investments in operating companies, shipping, real estate, corporate or consumer loans, and alternative energy greenfield development projects in energy and power, property, dislocated markets, shipping opportunities, financial institution breakups, re-insurance, and improving freight mobility, financial services, healthcare, life sciences, enterprise tech and consumer, as well as consumer technologies. The firm considers investment in Asia and Latin America. It has a three year investment period. Its hedge fund business manages a broad range of commingled and customized fund solutions and its credit business focuses on loans, and securities of non-investment grade companies spread across the capital structure including senior debt, subordinated debt, preferred stock and common equity. Blackstone Inc. was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in New York, New York with additional offices across Asia, Europe and North America.
How the Company Makes MoneyBlackstone Group makes money primarily through management fees, performance fees, and investment income. Management fees are charged to investors based on a percentage of assets under management (AUM) and provide a steady stream of revenue. Performance fees, also known as carried interest, are earned when the firm's investment funds achieve returns above a certain threshold, aligning Blackstone's interests with those of its investors. Additionally, Blackstone generates income from its own investments in the funds it manages. The firm has significant partnerships with institutional investors and leverages its extensive expertise across its investment platforms to enhance value creation. Diversification across asset classes and geographies also contributes to Blackstone's financial performance.

Blackstone Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Assets Under Management
Assets Under Management
Indicates the total value of assets that Blackstone Group manages on behalf of clients, reflecting the scale of its operations and potential for fee-based revenue growth.
Chart InsightsBlackstone's AUM has shown consistent growth, reaching a record $1.2 trillion, driven by strong inflows and strategic initiatives. The latest earnings call highlights robust performance in private credit and significant fundraising successes, despite market uncertainties. The firm's strategic alliances and new product launches, such as BMACX, are poised to enhance long-term growth. However, potential challenges from tariffs and market volatility could impact future realization activities. Overall, Blackstone's strategic positioning and innovation efforts underscore its resilience and growth potential in a challenging market environment.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Blackstone Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.18%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong positive outlook for Blackstone, with record-breaking AUM, significant growth in private credit, and robust investment performance. However, there were challenges in the realization environment and some concerns in the real estate sector. Despite these concerns, the overall sentiment is positive due to the firm's strong performance and growth potential across various sectors.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking AUM and Growth in Private Credit
Total assets under management increased 13% year-over-year to $1.2 trillion, and private credit AUM reached $484 billion, up threefold in the past five years.
Strong Fee-Related Earnings Growth
Fee-related earnings rose 31% year-over-year to $1.5 billion, representing one of the best quarters in the company's history.
Significant Fundraising Achievements
Fundraising inflows reached $52 billion in the second quarter and $212 billion for the last 12 months, with assets under management rising 13% year-over-year.
Robust Investment Performance
The corporate private equity funds appreciated 5.1% in the quarter and 17% for the last 12 months, with strong overall appreciation across various funds.
Negative Updates
Muted Realization Environment
Despite strong performance, net realizations remain at muted levels, impacting the potential for immediate distribution earnings.
Challenges in Real Estate
Real estate values were largely stable, with some declines in the Core+ platform driven by the Life Sciences office portfolio due to new supply and tenant caution.
Company Guidance
In the Blackstone Second Quarter 2025 Investor Call, management highlighted several key metrics illustrating the firm's strong performance and strategic initiatives. Blackstone reported GAAP net income of $1.6 billion and distributable earnings of $1.6 billion, or $1.21 per common share, with a dividend of $1.03 per share declared. Fee-related earnings grew 31% year-over-year, contributing to robust distributable earnings growth of 25% compared to the previous year. Assets under management reached a record $1.2 trillion, marking a 13% increase year-over-year, driven by significant inflows of $52 billion in the second quarter and $212 billion over the last 12 months. The firm also reported strong investment performance, with corporate private equity funds appreciating 5.1% in the quarter and 17% over the last 12 months. Blackstone's private credit business expanded to $484 billion, underscoring its role as a growth driver. Additionally, Blackstone's private wealth platform achieved substantial growth, with AUM reaching nearly $280 billion, supported by strong sales across various vehicles. The management expressed optimism about future deal-making activities, supported by a favorable economic backdrop and anticipated policy developments.

Blackstone Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Blackstone Group exhibits strong financial health with robust profitability metrics and solid cash flow. The income statement highlights effective cost management and operational efficiency, while the balance sheet shows a solid equity base with decreasing leverage. Despite some revenue growth fluctuations, the overall financial position is strong within the asset management industry.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The income statement for Blackstone Group demonstrates strong profitability metrics with a consistent gross profit margin and net profit margin in the recent TTM period. Revenue growth rate fluctuated due to a significant drop from 2021 to 2022, followed by a recovery. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, indicating effective cost management and operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
Blackstone Group's balance sheet shows a solid equity base with an improving debt-to-equity ratio, thanks to reduced total debt levels over time. The return on equity is strong, reflecting efficient use of shareholder funds, but the equity ratio declined slightly, indicating a higher portion of assets financed by liabilities.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The cash flow statement highlights steady operating cash flow and a stable free cash flow position. The free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, suggesting good cash generation relative to earnings. Although there is a slight volatility in free cash flow growth, overall cash flow metrics are healthy.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.16B11.37B7.44B7.45B16.85B5.40B
Gross Profit10.71B10.93B7.01B7.13B16.65B5.23B
EBITDA6.07B6.50B3.00B3.53B13.63B2.69B
Net Income2.54B2.78B1.39B1.75B5.86B1.05B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets45.26B43.47B40.29B42.52B41.20B26.27B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.39B1.97B2.96B4.25B2.12B2.00B
Total Debt13.39B12.29B12.29B13.37B8.71B6.34B
Total Liabilities25.39B23.97B22.21B22.84B19.49B11.68B
Stockholders Equity7.98B8.21B6.82B7.66B9.42B6.65B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.58B3.42B3.83B6.10B3.92B1.82B
Operating Cash Flow3.65B3.48B4.06B6.34B3.99B1.94B
Investing Cash Flow-72.93M-61.41M-229.65M-235.50M-64.32M-166.82M
Financing Cash Flow-2.85B-4.50B-5.05B-3.79B-3.78B-2.24B

Blackstone Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price168.91
Price Trends
50DMA
154.46
Positive
100DMA
145.41
Positive
200DMA
157.28
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.04
Positive
RSI
56.45
Neutral
STOCH
17.32
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 168.91 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 169.79, above the 50-day MA of 154.46, and above the 200-day MA of 157.28, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 4.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.32 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BX.

Blackstone Group Risk Analysis

Blackstone Group disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Blackstone Group reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Blackstone Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$61.54B107.8013.92%2.18%45.89%-9.53%
74
Outperform
$174.21B27.1914.35%1.83%15.88%2.87%
74
Outperform
$127.07B68.428.22%0.50%-24.62%-48.96%
70
Outperform
$22.47B18.1623.07%2.25%101.10%
69
Neutral
$30.60B355.223.68%3.87%31.81%-32.87%
66
Neutral
$206.19B45.5937.72%2.52%23.08%41.35%
58
Neutral
HK$95.82B4.87-4.09%4.96%3.33%-39.99%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BX
Blackstone Group
168.91
43.04
34.19%
BLK
BlackRock
1,124.97
304.59
37.13%
KKR
KKR & Co
142.67
30.44
27.12%
CG
Carlyle Group
62.23
23.96
62.61%
ARES
Ares Management
188.43
51.68
37.79%
OWL
Blue Owl Capital
19.75
3.43
21.02%

Blackstone Group Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Blackstone Reports $425M Revenue from Realizations
Neutral
Jun 24, 2025

On June 24, 2025, Blackstone announced a preliminary estimate of over $425 million in revenue from realization activities for the period from April 1, 2025, to June 24, 2025. This estimate includes realized performance revenues and principal investment income, primarily from investment realizations closed in the second quarter, but does not predict total revenues for the quarter ending June 30, 2025, as results may differ materially.

The most recent analyst rating on (BX) stock is a Hold with a $154.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Blackstone Group stock, see the BX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 25, 2025