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BlackRock (BLK) AI Stock Analysis

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BLK

BlackRock

(NYSE:BLK)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$1,213.00
▲(12.02% Upside)
BlackRock's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, highlighting robust growth in AUM and strategic acquisitions. However, technical analysis indicates potential bearish momentum, and the high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation concerns. The company's ability to manage rising expenses will be crucial for sustaining profitability.
Positive Factors
Record AUM and Net Inflows
Record AUM and substantial net inflows highlight BlackRock's strong market position and client trust, supporting long-term revenue growth.
Successful Acquisitions and Expansions
Strategic acquisitions and expansions enhance BlackRock's platform capabilities, positioning it for sustained growth in private markets and digital assets.
AI Infrastructure Expansion
Investment in AI infrastructure through Aligned Data Centers acquisition positions BlackRock to capitalize on future AI-driven economic growth.
Negative Factors
Higher Expenses Impact Operating Margin
Rising expenses impacting operating margins could pressure profitability if not managed, affecting long-term financial health.
Non-Operating Income Decline
Decline in non-operating income limits earnings growth, potentially affecting future profitability and shareholder returns.
Decline in Free Cash Flow Growth
Negative growth in free cash flow could constrain BlackRock's ability to invest in growth opportunities and return capital to shareholders.

BlackRock (BLK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

BlackRock Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBlackRock, Inc. (BLK) is a global investment management corporation headquartered in New York City. Founded in 1988, BlackRock is one of the world's largest asset managers, overseeing trillions of dollars in assets across various sectors, including equities, fixed income, multi-asset strategies, and alternatives. The company offers a range of products and services, including investment management, risk management, and advisory services to institutional and retail clients worldwide. BlackRock is particularly known for its iShares exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which provide investors with diversified exposure to various asset classes.
How the Company Makes MoneyBlackRock generates revenue primarily through investment management fees, which are charged as a percentage of the assets under management (AUM). The company earns management fees from its mutual funds, iShares ETFs, and other pooled investment vehicles. In addition to management fees, BlackRock also generates revenue from performance fees, which are earned when investment returns exceed certain benchmarks. Another significant revenue stream comes from technology and risk management services provided to clients through its Aladdin platform, which offers analytics and risk management tools. The company has established partnerships with various financial institutions, pension funds, and sovereign wealth funds that contribute to its AUM and revenue. Additionally, BlackRock benefits from economies of scale, allowing it to maintain competitive fee structures while maximizing profitability.

BlackRock Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Assets Under Management
Assets Under Management
Reflects the total value of assets managed, indicating the scale of operations and investor trust, which are key to revenue generation and market influence.
Chart InsightsBlackRock's AUM has surged to a record $12.5 trillion, driven by strong net inflows and strategic acquisitions like HPS Investment Partners. Despite significant institutional index redemptions, the firm achieved robust organic growth and expanded its presence in private markets and digital assets. The earnings call highlights a 13% revenue increase and a 16% rise in EPS, underscoring BlackRock's resilience and strategic focus on diversifying revenue streams, aiming for 30% from private markets and technology by 2030. However, increased expenses and declining performance fees pose challenges to operating margins.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

BlackRock Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 14, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 21, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call for BlackRock, Inc. reflected a positive sentiment overall, with significant achievements in organic base fee growth, record AUM, successful acquisitions, and expansion in digital assets. However, challenges were noted in the form of higher expenses impacting the operating margin and losses in non-operating income.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record AUM and Net Inflows
BlackRock, Inc. finished the third quarter with record assets under management (AUM) of $13.5 trillion. Over the last twelve months, clients entrusted BlackRock with nearly $640 billion of net new assets, including $205 billion of net inflows in the third quarter.
Strong Organic Base Fee Growth
The company achieved 10% annualized organic base fee growth in the third quarter, driven by broad-based client demand for iShares, private markets, systematic outsourcing, and cash strategies. This represents the highest quarterly growth since 2021.
Successful Acquisitions and Expansions
BlackRock closed acquisitions of HPS and Elmtree, announced an $80 billion SMA solution with City Wealth, and onboarded a $30 billion pension mandate, significantly strengthening their platform capabilities across private markets, digital assets, data, and technology.
Record Revenue and Operating Income Increase
Third quarter revenue reached $6.5 billion, a 25% increase year over year, while operating income rose by 23% year over year, driven by acquisitions and organic growth.
iShares ETFs and Digital Assets Growth
iShares ETFs generated $153 billion of net inflows in the third quarter, with significant contributions from digital assets ETPs and active ETFs, marking a record flows quarter.
Advancements in Tokenization and Digital Assets
BlackRock is actively exploring tokenization to integrate traditional investment products into digital wallets, aiming to expand access to high-quality investment opportunities in a digital format.
Negative Updates
Non-Operating Income Decline
Earnings per share increased only 1%, as higher operating income was offset by lower non-operating income. The quarter included $84 million of net investment losses primarily due to a mark-to-market non-cash loss linked to a minority investment in Circle.
Higher Expenses Impact Operating Margin
Total expenses increased by 26% year over year, driven by higher compensation, sales, asset, account, and G&A expenses, resulting in a decrease in the as adjusted operating margin by 120 basis points to 44.6%.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, BlackRock, Inc. reported strong financial performance driven by diverse growth across its business segments. The company achieved an 8% organic base fee growth over the last twelve months, marking its highest level in over four years. This growth was fueled by significant momentum in ETFs, private markets, and cash management, leading to $205 billion of net inflows in the quarter, reflecting a 10% annualized organic base fee growth. Notable milestones include the acquisition of HPS and Elmtree, an $80 billion SMA solution with City Wealth, and the onboarding of a $30 billion pension mandate. BlackRock ended the quarter with a record $13.5 trillion in assets under management (AUM). Revenue for the quarter increased by 25% year over year to $6.5 billion, while operating income rose 23% to $2.6 billion. Earnings per share saw a modest increase of 1% to $11.55, influenced by a higher diluted share count. The company's as adjusted operating margin was 44.6%, slightly down from the previous year but showing improvement when excluding performance fees. BlackRock plans to maintain its capital management strategy, focusing on strategic growth initiatives and shareholder returns through dividends and share repurchases.

BlackRock Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BlackRock demonstrates strong financial health with robust profitability and a solid balance sheet. The company maintains steady revenue growth and efficient operations, as evidenced by strong margins. However, the increase in debt levels and decline in free cash flow growth are areas to monitor.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
BlackRock's income statement shows strong profitability with a gross profit margin of 60.95% and a net profit margin of 29.44% for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The company has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a 5.57% increase in the latest period. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 39.36% and 41.04%, respectively, indicating efficient operations. However, the slight decline in net profit margin compared to the previous year suggests some pressure on net earnings.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a healthy financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.30, indicating moderate leverage. Return on equity is strong at 14.49%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 33.55%, suggesting a solid capital structure. However, the increase in total debt over the past year could pose potential risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a slight decline in free cash flow growth at -2.09% for TTM, which could be a concern. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 2.57, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also robust at 0.95, suggesting efficient cash conversion. Despite these strengths, the negative growth in free cash flow warrants attention.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue21.57B20.41B17.86B17.87B19.37B16.20B
Gross Profit10.57B10.09B8.58B8.68B9.82B8.27B
EBITDA9.13B8.21B6.77B6.90B7.90B6.08B
Net Income6.40B6.37B5.50B5.18B5.90B4.93B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets146.47B138.62B123.21B117.63B152.65B176.98B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.65B14.59B10.61B8.75B9.32B8.66B
Total Debt16.66B14.22B9.70B8.49B9.32B8.02B
Total Liabilities97.16B89.26B81.97B78.84B113.75B139.33B
Stockholders Equity49.14B47.49B39.35B37.74B37.69B35.28B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.88B4.70B3.82B4.42B4.60B3.55B
Operating Cash Flow4.24B4.96B4.17B4.96B4.94B3.74B
Investing Cash Flow-6.43B-3.00B-959.00M-1.13B-1.94B-254.00M
Financing Cash Flow1.15B2.24B-1.99B-5.44B-2.29B244.00M

BlackRock Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1082.81
Price Trends
50DMA
1136.41
Negative
100DMA
1106.15
Negative
200DMA
1025.18
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-11.97
Positive
RSI
33.98
Neutral
STOCH
6.61
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BLK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1082.81 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1145.56, below the 50-day MA of 1136.41, and above the 200-day MA of 1025.18, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -11.97 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.61 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BLK.

BlackRock Risk Analysis

BlackRock disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. BlackRock reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

BlackRock Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$75.26B15.441.85%-9.40%
$32.31B12.2511.14%2.70%6.88%49.49%
$176.70B27.831.91%15.96%-3.84%
$178.68B42.0635.17%2.63%31.91%19.86%
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
$48.12B86.1113.92%2.88%45.89%-9.53%
$105.43B56.758.22%0.61%-24.62%-48.96%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BLK
BlackRock
1,082.81
117.60
12.18%
BK
Bank of New York Mellon
107.93
34.25
46.48%
KKR
KKR & Co
118.33
-18.51
-13.53%
STT
State Street
115.66
25.67
28.53%
BX
Blackstone Group
146.64
-17.91
-10.88%
ARES
Ares Management
148.71
-9.03
-5.72%

BlackRock Corporate Events

BlackRock Inc. Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings
Oct 15, 2025

BlackRock Inc., a leading global asset management firm, provides investment management, risk management, and advisory services for institutional and retail clients worldwide, with a strong focus on technology and data analytics. In its latest earnings report, BlackRock announced a third-quarter diluted EPS of $8.43, or $11.55 as adjusted, driven by substantial net inflows and a record performance by iShares ETFs. The company reported a 25% increase in revenue year-over-year, reflecting strong organic base fee growth and contributions from recent acquisitions. Key highlights include $205 billion in net inflows, a 23% increase in adjusted operating income, and a significant rise in assets under management to $13.5 trillion. Despite a decrease in GAAP operating income and diluted EPS due to acquisition-related expenses, BlackRock’s diversified growth strategy across various asset classes and regions remains robust. Looking ahead, BlackRock’s management remains optimistic about the company’s growth prospects, emphasizing continued investments in technology and client engagement to capitalize on emerging opportunities in the financial markets.

BlackRock Inc. Earnings Call Highlights Record AUM and Strategic Growth
Oct 15, 2025

BlackRock Inc. Reports Positive Earnings Call Amidst Record AUM and Strategic Expansions

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
BlackRock Reports Record Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Oct 14, 2025

On October 14, 2025, BlackRock reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting a record $205 billion in net inflows, driven by strong performance in iShares ETFs and private markets. The company saw a 25% increase in revenue year-over-year, despite a decrease in GAAP operating income and diluted EPS due to acquisition-related expenses. BlackRock’s strategic acquisitions and investments in technology and data analytics have positioned it for continued growth and client engagement, with AUM reaching $13.5 trillion.

The most recent analyst rating on (BLK) stock is a Buy with a $1300.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BlackRock stock, see the BLK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025