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State Street (STT)
NYSE:STT

State Street (STT) AI Stock Analysis

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STT

State Street

(NYSE:STT)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$140.00
â–²(10.11% Upside)
State Street's strong earnings growth, strategic partnerships, and robust technical indicators are the primary drivers of its stock score. While cash flow challenges and increased expenses present risks, the company's strategic initiatives and market positioning support a positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Strategic Partnerships
The partnership with Apex Fintech Solutions enhances State Street's offerings, strengthening its competitive position and supporting long-term growth.
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for State Street's services, supporting its market position and potential for sustained profitability.
Assets Under Management Growth
Growth in assets under management reflects successful client retention and acquisition, enhancing State Street's fee-based revenue potential.
Negative Factors
Increasing Expenses
Rising expenses could pressure profit margins if not offset by revenue growth, impacting long-term financial performance.
Debt Levels
Moderate leverage may limit financial flexibility, posing risks if economic conditions worsen or interest rates rise.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative cash flows suggest potential liquidity issues, which could hinder investment in growth initiatives and shareholder returns.

State Street (STT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

State Street Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionState Street Corporation (STT) is a leading financial services and bank holding company that specializes in investment servicing, investment management, and investment research and trading. Founded in 1792 and headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts, State Street primarily serves institutional investors, including asset managers, pension funds, and mutual funds. The company operates in two main segments: Investment Management, which provides investment advisory services and manages assets for clients, and Investment Services, which includes custody, fund administration, and accounting services.
How the Company Makes MoneyState Street generates revenue through a diversified model that primarily includes fees from investment management services and investment servicing activities. In the Investment Management segment, the company earns management fees based on a percentage of assets under management (AUM), which fluctuates with market conditions and client inflows or outflows. In the Investment Services segment, State Street charges fees for custody services, fund administration, and other related services. Additionally, the company benefits from securities lending and foreign exchange services. Significant partnerships with asset managers and institutional clients, along with a strong presence in the global financial markets, contribute to its earnings. Overall, the company's revenue is significantly influenced by market performance, client activity, and the overall demand for investment services.

State Street Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Type
Revenue by Type
Analyzes revenue streams such as fees, interest, and trading income, highlighting the company's diverse income sources and potential vulnerabilities or strengths in its business model.
Chart InsightsState Street's revenue mix shows a notable recovery in management fees and servicing fees, reflecting strong asset management and servicing wins. Despite a dip in net interest income due to lower rates, other segments like FX trading and securities finance are experiencing robust growth, aligning with record trading volumes. The earnings call highlights a positive outlook with significant new business wins and improved fee revenue growth projections, although challenges in repositioning charges and NII persist. The strategic focus on operational efficiency and capital returns underscores management's confidence in sustaining growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

State Street Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 17, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 16, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with significant revenue and earnings growth, new product launches, and successful partnerships. However, there were concerns regarding increased expenses and flat net interest income.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Earnings Per Share
Quarterly earnings per share increased 23% year over year to $2.78.
Total Revenue Growth
Total revenue increased 9% year over year to approximately $3.5 billion.
New Product Launches
Launched 11 new select sector premium income ETFs and a series of strategic initiatives and product capabilities in the third quarter.
Assets Under Custody Administration (AUCA) and Management Growth
AUCA reached a record $51.7 trillion, increasing 10% year over year, and assets under management increased 15% year over year to a record $5.4 trillion.
Strong Partnerships and Client Wins
Strategic partnership with Apex Fintech Solutions and new alpha mandates contributed positively.
Strong Market Recognition
State Street was recognized with eight category wins in Euromoney Magazine's 2025 FX Awards.
Negative Updates
Higher Expenses
Expenses increased approximately 5% year over year driven by continued investments in technology and strategic initiatives.
Flat Net Interest Income
Net interest income of $715 million was down 1% year over year due to lower average short-end rates and deposit mix shift.
Company Guidance
During State Street Corporation's Third Quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported strong financial metrics, showcasing a quarterly earnings per share of $2.78, which marks a 23% increase year over year. The firm's total revenue grew by 9%, reaching approximately $3.5 billion, driven by a 12% rise in fee revenue. Notable achievements included a pretax margin of 31% and a return on tangible common equity of 21%. The company also highlighted record management fee revenue with assets under management hitting $5.4 trillion and assets under custody and administration reaching $51.7 trillion. State Street maintained positive total operating leverage for the seventh consecutive quarter, achieved through disciplined execution and strategic initiatives. The firm continues to innovate, particularly in digital assets and wealth services, and reported a strategic partnership with Apex Fintech Solutions to enhance its offerings. The balance sheet remains robust, allowing nearly $1.5 billion in capital returns to shareholders year-to-date. The outlook for 2025 has been upgraded, with expected total fee revenue growth in the 8.5 to 9% range and a commitment to maintaining an 80% capital return payout ratio.

State Street Financial Statement Overview

Summary
State Street shows solid revenue growth and profitability with a stable balance sheet. However, cash flow challenges and increasing debt levels pose potential risks to financial flexibility.
Income Statement
75
Positive
State Street's income statement shows a consistent revenue growth trajectory with a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.93%. The company maintains healthy profit margins, with a gross profit margin of 59.48% and a net profit margin of 13.01% in the TTM. However, the margins have slightly decreased compared to previous years, indicating some pressure on profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.25 in the TTM, showing a moderate level of leverage. The return on equity is 11.14%, indicating efficient use of equity to generate profits. However, the increasing debt levels over the years could pose a risk if not managed properly.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges, with negative operating and free cash flows in the TTM. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 1.10, suggesting that the company is generating enough cash relative to its net income. However, the negative cash flow growth rate and operating cash flow coverage ratio indicate potential liquidity issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue22.71B21.97B18.37B13.67B12.03B12.07B
Gross Profit13.65B12.84B11.90B12.11B12.06B11.61B
EBITDA4.26B4.00B3.20B4.48B4.73B4.41B
Net Income2.98B2.69B1.94B2.77B2.69B2.42B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets371.07B353.24B297.26B301.45B314.62B314.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments74.20B134.55B136.24B146.20B183.45B183.45B
Total Debt34.51B36.79B24.37B18.27B15.18B21.20B
Total Liabilities343.43B327.91B273.46B276.26B287.26B288.51B
Stockholders Equity27.64B25.33B23.80B25.19B27.36B26.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.14B-14.14B-126.00M11.22B-7.52B2.97B
Operating Cash Flow-5.57B-13.21B690.00M11.95B-6.71B3.53B
Investing Cash Flow-26.07B-39.48B12.74B6.82B-2.17B-65.53B
Financing Cash Flow43.46B51.79B-13.35B-18.43B9.05B62.17B

State Street Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price127.15
Price Trends
50DMA
118.03
Positive
100DMA
115.08
Positive
200DMA
104.27
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.27
Negative
RSI
64.97
Neutral
STOCH
71.20
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For STT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 127.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 120.94, above the 50-day MA of 118.03, and above the 200-day MA of 104.27, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.20 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for STT.

State Street Risk Analysis

State Street disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. State Street reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

State Street Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$26.15B16.1213.31%2.24%-4.52%7.01%
75
Outperform
$35.51B13.4611.14%2.45%5.62%49.49%
75
Outperform
$79.74B16.5012.21%1.75%4.22%51.01%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$45.21B13.3459.59%1.29%5.76%39.77%
59
Neutral
$20.82B32.1511.85%2.42%-24.62%437.16%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
STT
State Street
127.15
35.28
38.40%
AMP
Ameriprise Financial
486.60
-30.70
-5.93%
BK
Bank of New York Mellon
114.35
40.17
54.15%
CG
Carlyle Group
58.02
10.32
21.64%
NTRS
Northern
138.27
40.81
41.87%

State Street Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
State Street to Redeem $500M Senior Notes
Neutral
Oct 29, 2025

On October 29, 2025, State Street Corporation announced its decision to redeem its $500 million 5.751% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Senior Notes due 2026 on November 4, 2025. The redemption will be executed at the principal amount plus accrued interest, and State Street plans to use cash on hand for this transaction. This move may impact the company’s financial operations by reducing its debt obligations.

Private Placements and Financing
State Street Issues $1 Billion Senior Notes
Neutral
Oct 23, 2025

On October 23, 2025, State Street Corporation issued $1 billion in Fixed-to-Floating Rate Senior Notes due 2036. The issuance, conducted through a public offering, is expected to yield net proceeds of approximately $993.9 million, which will potentially impact the company’s financial operations and market positioning.

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
State Street Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Oct 17, 2025

On October 17, 2025, State Street reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a strong performance with an EPS of $2.78. The company achieved a record $51.7 trillion in assets under custody/administration and $5.4 trillion in assets under management. The results were driven by a 9% year-over-year increase in total revenue and consistent financial performance, marked by seven consecutive quarters of positive operating leverage. State Street’s strategic focus on innovation and client capabilities was underscored by a new partnership with Apex Fintech Solutions and the launch of 39 new investment products. The company returned $637 million to shareholders through repurchases and dividends, and increased its quarterly dividend by 11% to $0.84 per share, positioning itself for sustained growth.

Executive/Board Changes
State Street Appoints Brian J. Porter as Director
Neutral
Sep 17, 2025

On September 15, 2025, State Street Corporation announced the election of Brian J. Porter as an independent director, who will also serve on the Human Resources and Risk Committees. This appointment is part of State Street’s ongoing efforts to strengthen its governance and oversight, with Mr. Porter receiving compensation consistent with other non-employee directors, reflecting the company’s commitment to maintaining robust leadership and strategic direction.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025