tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
State Street (STT)
NYSE:STT

State Street (STT) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
972 Followers

Top Page

ST

State Street

(NYSE:STT)

65Neutral
State Street's overall score reflects its solid profitability and attractive valuation, which are somewhat offset by high debt levels and negative cash flows. Technical indicators suggest caution, while the earnings call provides a positive outlook for future growth despite some challenges.
Positive Factors
International Expansion
STT has entered into an agreement to acquire Mizuho's global custody and related businesses outside of Japan, supporting the overseas investments of Mizuho’s Japanese clients.
Operating Leverage
State Street delivered a 5th straight quarter of year-over-year positive operating leverage, showing efficiency in managing expenses.
Strategic Focus
Strategic focus on low-cost ETFs, capturing new flows 2x industry.
Negative Factors
Asset Management
AUM net outflows were driven mainly by a singular client transition, suggesting some instability in asset management.
Interest Income
Net interest income missed expectations due to lower net interest margin, although this was mostly offset by higher earning assets.
Leverage Ratio
T1 leverage ratio below target range could weigh on consensus buyback expectations.

State Street (STT) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

State Street Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionState Street Corporation (STT) is a leading global financial services provider headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts. The company operates in the financial sector, offering a wide range of products and services, including investment management, investment research and trading, and financial data analytics. State Street is renowned for its expertise in asset servicing and management, catering to institutional investors such as asset managers, insurance companies, and pension funds. The corporation plays a vital role in the global financial infrastructure, providing essential services that support the investment process.
How the Company Makes MoneyState Street makes money primarily through three key revenue streams: investment servicing, investment management, and investment research and trading. The investment servicing segment generates revenue by offering custody, accounting, administration, and securities lending services to institutional investors. This segment is the company's largest revenue contributor. The investment management division, operating under the brand State Street Global Advisors, earns fees by managing assets on behalf of clients, including mutual funds, ETFs, and institutional portfolios. The investment research and trading segment generates income by providing trading, research, and securities lending services. Additionally, State Street's partnerships with other financial institutions and the expansion of its data and analytics offerings contribute to its revenue growth. Factors such as changes in interest rates, market volatility, and regulatory requirements can significantly impact the company's earnings.

State Street Financial Statement Overview

Summary
State Street exhibits robust profitability with strong EBIT and net profit margins, but faces challenges with high debt levels and negative cash flows. The company needs to improve cash flow sustainability to mitigate potential risks associated with its debt.
Income Statement
65
Positive
State Street's income statement shows a solid gross profit margin of 99.2% for TTM, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin has improved to 22% in the TTM from 20.8% in 2024, reflecting enhanced profitability. Revenue growth is modest with a 0.9% increase in the TTM period. However, EBIT margin at 25.4% is strong, and there's a notable recovery from the negative EBIT recorded in 2024.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable equity position with an improving equity ratio of 7.2% in the TTM. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high at 0.93, posing a potential risk, although it has decreased from 1.31 in 2024. Return on equity is favorable at 10.7% for the TTM, indicating solid returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
State Street's cash flow situation is challenging with a negative free cash flow of $6.54 billion in the TTM, although there is slight improvement from $14.14 billion negative in 2024. Operating cash flow is negative, suggesting cash generation issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is also unfavorable, indicating reliance on non-operational cash sources.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
13.05B12.92B11.95B12.15B12.03B11.70B
Gross Profit
12.94B12.92B11.52B11.75B11.58B11.21B
EBIT
2.72B-13.05B2.74B4.76B3.17B2.90B
EBITDA
2.03B0.003.38B4.41B4.28B3.99B
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.87B2.69B1.94B2.77B2.69B2.42B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
4.66B62.04B48.57B101.60B183.39B179.47B
Total Assets
372.69B353.24B297.26B301.45B314.62B314.71B
Total Debt
36.70B33.11B21.50B17.09B13.60B17.79B
Net Debt
20.19B29.97B-70.27B-88.47B-96.39B-102.64B
Total Liabilities
346.00B327.91B273.46B276.26B287.26B288.51B
Stockholders Equity
26.69B25.33B23.80B25.19B27.36B26.20B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-4.37B-14.14B-126.00M11.22B-7.52B2.97B
Operating Cash Flow
-7.20B-13.21B690.00M11.95B-6.71B3.53B
Investing Cash Flow
-12.78B-1.32B12.74B6.82B-2.17B-65.53B
Financing Cash Flow
21.21B51.79B-13.35B-18.43B9.05B62.17B

State Street Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price97.74
Price Trends
50DMA
87.86
Positive
100DMA
92.35
Positive
200DMA
90.26
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.32
Negative
RSI
72.09
Negative
STOCH
91.93
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For STT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 97.74 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 92.43, above the 50-day MA of 87.86, and above the 200-day MA of 90.26, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.09 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.93 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for STT.

State Street Risk Analysis

State Street disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. State Street reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

State Street Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$10.65B18.5826.62%1.11%10.23%26.56%
82
Outperform
$21.60B11.1319.47%5.09%6.51%4.52%
BKBK
77
Outperform
$64.63B14.6811.29%2.08%10.30%49.77%
73
Outperform
$21.01B10.0817.54%2.78%21.00%137.62%
BEBEN
67
Neutral
$11.67B32.412.84%5.67%7.02%-60.38%
STSTT
65
Neutral
$28.03B11.0411.21%3.02%15.02%66.71%
64
Neutral
$12.82B9.877.67%17000.34%12.39%-5.85%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
STT
State Street
97.74
23.26
31.23%
BK
Bank of New York Mellon Corporation
90.10
32.50
56.42%
BEN
Franklin Resources
22.17
-0.28
-1.25%
SEIC
SEI Investments Company
85.59
18.02
26.67%
TROW
T Rowe Price
97.09
-15.16
-13.51%
NTRS
Northern
107.32
25.40
31.01%

State Street Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 17, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 22.74%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 15, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
State Street's earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, new business wins, and a robust capital position. However, the company faces challenges with net outflows in investment management and an uncertain operating environment. Overall, the positive aspects slightly outweigh the challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Solid Financial Performance in Q1 2025
State Street delivered a 6% increase in fee revenue and a 5% rise in total revenue year over year. EPS reached $2.04, a 21% increase from the previous year, excluding notable items.
Strong New Business Wins
State Street generated new asset servicing AUCA wins of $182 billion and new servicing fee revenue wins totaling $55 million in Q1 2025.
Growth in Investment Management Franchise
Management fees increased by 10% year over year, with strong performance in the ETF segment, particularly in low-cost ETFs and commodities.
Robust Capital and Liquidity Position
The company returned $320 million to shareholders and maintained a standardized CET1 ratio of 11%.
Expense Management and Productivity Savings
Expenses increased by only 3% year over year, with $90 million in productivity savings achieved in Q1 2025.
Negative Updates
Net Outflows in Investment Management
The investment management segment experienced net outflows of $13 billion, driven by an anticipated client transition.
Uncertain Operating Environment
The company faces uncertainty due to factors like US trade policy, taxes, interest rates, and global geopolitical tensions.
Potential NIM Compression
Possible net interest margin compression anticipated due to remaining short in reinvestments amidst uncertain market conditions.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, State Street Corporation delivered solid financial performance amidst market volatility, achieving a 6% increase in fee revenue and a 5% rise in total revenue year over year. The company's pre-tax margin reached 30% excluding seasonal expenses, and EPS grew to $2.04, marking a 21% increase from the previous year, excluding notable items. State Street reported new asset servicing AUCA wins of $182 billion and servicing fee revenue wins of $55 million. Additionally, management fees rose 10% year over year, and FX trading services and securities finance revenues experienced significant growth, with client volumes and average assets on loans increasing by 14% and 19%, respectively. The company maintained a robust balance sheet, returning $320 million to shareholders and managing expenses effectively, with a 3% year-over-year increase excluding notable items. State Street remains confident in achieving its goal of $350 to $400 million in new servicing fee revenue wins in 2025.

State Street Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
State Street Appoints John F. Woods as CFO
Neutral
Apr 30, 2025

On April 30, 2025, State Street Corporation announced the appointment of John F. Woods as Chief Financial Officer, effective by August 25, 2025. Woods, who has extensive experience in finance leadership roles at Citizens Financial Group and MUFG, will replace interim CFO Mark R. Keating. The appointment includes a comprehensive compensation package for Woods, reflecting his transition from Citizens and aligning with State Street’s executive compensation framework.

Spark’s Take on STT Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, STT is a Neutral.

State Street’s overall score reflects its solid profitability and attractive valuation, which are somewhat offset by high debt levels and negative cash flows. Technical indicators suggest caution, while the earnings call provides a positive outlook for future growth despite some challenges.

To see Spark’s full report on STT stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
State Street Reports Strong Q1 2025 Earnings Growth
Positive
Apr 17, 2025

On April 17, 2025, State Street reported its first-quarter 2025 results, highlighting a 49% increase in earnings per share (EPS) to $2.04 and a 5% rise in total revenue. The company achieved positive fee and total operating leverage, with servicing fees up 4% and management fees up 10%. State Street also announced the redemption of its $1 billion Senior Notes due 2026, planned for May 18, 2025, using cash on hand. This move reflects the company’s strong financial performance and strategic focus on capital management, positioning it well amidst geopolitical and economic uncertainties.

Spark’s Take on STT Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, STT is a Neutral.

State Street’s overall score reflects strong earnings growth and strategic initiatives leading to positive revenue trends. However, challenges in profitability metrics and cash flow generation weigh on the financial performance. The technical indicators suggest caution due to bearish trends, while the valuation remains attractive. Recent corporate events and earnings call provide a positive outlook for future growth.

To see Spark’s full report on STT stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
State Street Highlights Growth at RBC Conference
Positive
Mar 5, 2025

On March 5, 2025, State Street’s executives participated in the RBC Global Financial Institutions Conference, highlighting their strategic growth initiatives and financial performance. The company reported significant revenue and asset growth from 2022 to 2024, driven by a focus on high-growth areas such as ETFs, non-U.S. markets, and wealth distribution channels. This strategic focus has resulted in higher revenues, asset under management growth, and pre-tax margin expansion, positioning State Street for continued growth.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
State Street to Redeem $500M Senior Notes Early
Neutral
Feb 26, 2025

On February 26, 2025, State Street Corporation announced its plan to redeem its $500 million 2.901% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Senior Notes due 2026 on March 30, 2025. The redemption will be at the principal amount plus accrued interest, with payment scheduled for the next business day. This move indicates State Street’s strategic financial management, utilizing cash on hand to fund the redemption, which may impact its liquidity and financial positioning.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.