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State Street (STT)
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State Street (STT) AI Stock Analysis

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STT

State Street

(NYSE:STT)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$124.00
â–²(9.77% Upside)
State Street's strong earnings call performance and attractive valuation are key strengths, driving a positive outlook. However, financial performance concerns, particularly cash flow and leverage, moderate the overall score. Technical indicators suggest a stable market position.
Positive Factors
Strategic Partnership
The partnership with Apex Fintech Solutions enhances State Street's digital custody and clearing capabilities, expanding its wealth services. This strategic move strengthens its competitive position in the global wealth management industry, supporting long-term growth.
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue and fee growth indicate strong business momentum and effective execution of strategic initiatives. This trend supports the company's ability to sustain long-term financial health and shareholder value.
Operational Efficiency
Significant expense savings through productivity initiatives enhance operational efficiency. This focus on cost management is crucial for maintaining competitive margins and improving profitability over the long term.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage poses risks to financial stability, potentially limiting flexibility in capital allocation and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns. Effective debt management is essential to mitigate these risks.
Negative Cash Flow
Negative cash flow highlights potential liquidity concerns, which can affect the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and meet financial obligations. Addressing cash flow issues is critical for long-term sustainability.
Regulatory Constraints
Regulatory constraints and potential changes can impact capital requirements and operational flexibility. Navigating these challenges is crucial for maintaining compliance and optimizing capital structure in the long term.

State Street (STT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

State Street Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionState Street Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides a range of financial products and services to institutional investors worldwide. The company offers investment servicing products and services, including custody; product accounting; daily pricing and administration; master trust and master custody; depotbank services; record-keeping; cash management; foreign exchange, brokerage and other trading services; securities finance and enhanced custody products; deposit and short-term investment facilities; loans and lease financing; investment manager and alternative investment manager operations outsourcing; performance, risk, and compliance analytics; and financial data management to support institutional investors. It also engages in the provision of portfolio management and risk analytics, as well as trading and post-trade settlement services with integrated compliance and managed data. In addition, the company offers investment management strategies and products, such as core and enhanced indexing, multi-asset strategies, active quantitative and fundamental active capabilities, and alternative investment strategies. Further, it provides services and solutions, including environmental, social, and governance investing; defined benefit and defined contribution; and global fiduciary solutions, as well as exchange-traded fund under the SPDR ETF brand. The company provides its products and services to mutual funds, collective investment funds and other investment pools, corporate and public retirement plans, insurance companies, foundations, endowments, and investment managers. State Street Corporation was founded in 1792 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyState Street generates revenue primarily through its Investment Servicing and Investment Management segments. The Investment Servicing segment earns income by providing asset servicing solutions, including custody, accounting, and administration services, charging fees based on the assets under management (AUM) and transaction volumes. The Investment Management segment, particularly through State Street Global Advisors, derives revenue from investment management fees charged on the AUM of its clients, which include pension funds, insurance companies, and sovereign wealth funds. Additionally, State Street benefits from performance fees and client service fees, as well as fees from ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds) and other investment products. Strategic partnerships with technology providers and financial institutions enhance its service offerings and operational efficiency, further contributing to its revenue streams.

State Street Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Asset Under Management
Asset Under Management
Measures the total value of assets managed, indicating the company's scale, market influence, and potential for fee-based revenue growth.
Chart InsightsState Street's Assets Under Management (AUM) have shown a strong upward trajectory, surpassing $5 trillion for the first time, driven by significant net inflows and market share gains in the U.S. low-cost ETF segment. This growth aligns with the company's robust financial performance and strategic wins in asset servicing. Despite some challenges with expenses and NII, the firm’s improved full-year outlook and increased dividend signal confidence in sustaining this momentum.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

State Street Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 15, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 17, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong financial performance and growth in key business segments, particularly in investment management and services. While there were some challenges related to notable items and NII pressures, the overall execution of strategy and improved capital returns contributed positively. The continued focus on operational efficiency and expense management further supported a positive outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record AUM and Strong Inflows
State Street Investment Management surpassed $5 trillion in AUM for the first time, with quarterly net inflows over $80 billion, reflecting strong performance across ETFs and institutional channels.
Positive Financial Performance
Earnings per share grew 18% year-over-year to $2.53, excluding notable items. Fee revenue increased by 12%, and total revenue by 9% year-over-year, demonstrating strong business momentum.
Robust Sales in Investment Services
Secured over $1 trillion in new asset servicing wins, generating $145 million of related new servicing fee revenue wins, including 2 new State Street Alpha mandates.
Improved Capital Return and Dividend Increase
Returned over $500 million in capital during Q2 and announced an intention to increase the quarterly dividend by 11% to $0.84, subject to Board approval.
Operational Efficiency and Expense Management
Achieved over $1 billion in expense savings over the last 3 years, with expectations to increase to over $1.5 billion by year-end 2025 through productivity initiatives.
Negative Updates
Notable Items Impact on Earnings
Recognized $138 million pretax in notable items, primarily due to a $100 million repositioning charge associated with the severance of approximately 900 employees.
NII Pressure and Asset Sensitivity
Net interest income was down 1% year-over-year, with the impact of lower average short-end rates and changes in deposit mix, highlighting asset sensitivity to rate changes.
Regulatory and Capital Constraints
Continued to manage capital at the higher end of the 10% to 11% CET1 target range, with Tier 1 leverage as a constraint, and awaiting potential regulatory changes.
Company Guidance
During the State Street Corporation's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided several key financial metrics and insights into its performance and strategic initiatives. The guidance highlighted an 18% year-over-year increase in EPS to $2.53 per share, excluding notable items, with total revenue rising by 9% and fee revenue by 12%. The company achieved a pretax margin close to 30% and a 19% return on tangible common equity, also excluding notable items. State Street reported strong business momentum, with $1 trillion in new AUC/A asset servicing wins and $145 million in new servicing fee revenue wins. The Investment Management arm surpassed $5 trillion in AUM for the first time, with quarterly net inflows exceeding $80 billion. FX trading volumes hit a record, and securities finance revenues were the highest since 2019. The company also announced its intention to increase its quarterly dividend by 11% to $0.84 per share, subject to board approval. Additionally, State Street is on track for $500 million in expense savings by 2025, with over $1 billion generated in the past three years, and expects these efforts to continue to fuel revenue growth and operating leverage.

State Street Financial Statement Overview

Summary
State Street shows strong profitability with high margins and improved net profit margin. However, high debt levels and negative cash flows are significant concerns, indicating a need for improved cash flow sustainability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
State Street's income statement shows a solid gross profit margin of 99.2% for TTM, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin has improved to 22% in the TTM from 20.8% in 2024, reflecting enhanced profitability. Revenue growth is modest with a 0.9% increase in the TTM period. However, EBIT margin at 25.4% is strong, and there's a notable recovery from the negative EBIT recorded in 2024.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable equity position with an improving equity ratio of 7.2% in the TTM. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high at 0.93, posing a potential risk, although it has decreased from 1.31 in 2024. Return on equity is favorable at 10.7% for the TTM, indicating solid returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
State Street's cash flow situation is challenging with a negative free cash flow of $6.54 billion in the TTM, although there is slight improvement from $14.14 billion negative in 2024. Operating cash flow is negative, suggesting cash generation issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is also unfavorable, indicating reliance on non-operational cash sources.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue22.47B21.97B18.37B13.67B12.03B12.07B
Gross Profit13.24B12.84B11.90B12.11B12.06B11.61B
EBITDA3.95B4.00B3.20B4.48B4.73B4.41B
Net Income2.85B2.69B1.94B2.77B2.69B2.42B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets376.72B353.24B297.26B301.45B314.62B314.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments140.84B134.55B136.24B146.20B183.45B183.45B
Total Debt38.13B36.79B24.37B18.27B15.18B21.20B
Total Liabilities349.41B327.91B273.46B276.26B287.26B288.51B
Stockholders Equity27.31B25.33B23.80B25.19B27.36B26.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-11.79B-14.14B-126.00M11.22B-7.52B2.97B
Operating Cash Flow-10.77B-13.21B690.00M11.95B-6.71B3.53B
Investing Cash Flow-32.30B-39.48B12.74B6.82B-2.17B-65.53B
Financing Cash Flow44.19B51.79B-13.35B-18.43B9.05B62.17B

State Street Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price112.96
Price Trends
50DMA
111.85
Positive
100DMA
105.55
Positive
200DMA
98.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.29
Positive
RSI
52.48
Neutral
STOCH
67.42
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For STT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 112.96 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 112.92, above the 50-day MA of 111.85, and above the 200-day MA of 98.75, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.42 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for STT.

State Street Risk Analysis

State Street disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. State Street reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

State Street Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
76.24B16.6010.96%1.79%7.41%51.70%
76
Outperform
10.63B16.1829.48%1.14%10.55%40.74%
76
Outperform
12.24B46.082.53%5.39%4.72%-67.85%
73
Outperform
$32.05B12.6610.94%2.69%11.66%67.88%
72
Outperform
22.73B11.7019.30%4.88%4.43%5.55%
71
Outperform
24.77B15.3413.47%2.36%3.44%16.76%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
STT
State Street
112.96
27.65
32.41%
BK
BNY
108.11
38.25
54.75%
BEN
Franklin Resources
23.58
4.15
21.36%
SEIC
SEI Investments Company
85.97
17.89
26.28%
TROW
T Rowe Price
103.45
-0.61
-0.59%
NTRS
Northern
129.51
42.06
48.10%

State Street Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
State Street Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Jul 15, 2025

On July 15, 2025, State Street reported its second-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a record $49 trillion in assets under custody and administration and $5 trillion in assets under management. The company achieved a 6% increase in diluted earnings per share and an 11% increase in total fee revenue compared to the previous year, demonstrating strong financial performance and strategic execution amid market volatility. The results underscore State Street’s robust operational foundation and its focus on delivering long-term growth and value for shareholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 09, 2025