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T Rowe Price (TROW)
NASDAQ:TROW
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T Rowe Price (TROW) AI Stock Analysis

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T Rowe Price

(NASDAQ:TROW)

Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$119.00
▲(11.83%Upside)
T Rowe Price's overall stock score is driven by its strong financial health and attractive valuation. The company's robust profitability and low leverage provide stability, while the low P/E ratio and high dividend yield offer value to investors. However, technical indicators signal potential short-term risks, and market challenges highlighted in the earnings call could impact future performance.
Positive Factors
Partnerships
TROW announced a new insurance partnership with ARES’s insurance partner (Aspida), with TROW/OHA managing public/private credit for a portion of Aspida’s balance sheet.
Revenue Performance
Better revenue and other items partially offset the impact of elevated expenses for T. Rowe Price Group.
Negative Factors
Earnings Estimate
Analyst is lowering the 1Q25 EPS estimate to $2.21 from $2.33.
Market Impact
The market impact more than offset the better-than-expected flows.
Operating Expenses
Higher operating expenses have led to a reduction in the earnings estimate for T. Rowe Price Group.

T Rowe Price (TROW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

T Rowe Price Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionT. Rowe Price Group, Inc. is a publicly owned investment manager. The firm provides its services to individuals, institutional investors, retirement plans, financial intermediaries, and institutions. It launches and manages equity and fixed income mutual funds. The firm invests in the public equity and fixed income markets across the globe. It employs fundamental and quantitative analysis with a bottom-up approach. The firm utilizes in-house and external research to make its investments. It employs socially responsible investing with a focus on environmental, social, and governance issues. It makes investment in late-stage venture capital transactions and usually invests between $3 million and $5 million. The firm was previously known as T. Rowe Group, Inc. and T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. was founded in 1937 and is based in Baltimore, Maryland, with additional offices in Colorado Springs, Colorado; Owings Mills, Maryland; San Francisco, California; New York, New York; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; Tampa, Florida; Toronto, Ontario; Hellerup, Denmark; Amsterdam, The Netherlands; Luxembourg, Grand Duchy of Luxembourg; Zurich, Switzerland; Dubai, United Arab Emirates; London, United Kingdom; Sydney, New South Wales; Hong Kong; Tokyo, Japan; Singapore; Frankfurt, Germany, Madrid, Spain, Milan, Italy, Stockholm, Sweden, Melbourne, Australia, and Amsterdam, Netherlands.
How the Company Makes MoneyT. Rowe Price generates revenue primarily through investment management fees, which are calculated as a percentage of assets under management (AUM). These fees vary depending on the investment product, such as mutual funds, subadvised accounts, or separate accounts. The company's AUM is influenced by market performance, client asset inflows and outflows, and strategic product offerings. Additionally, T. Rowe Price may earn performance-based fees for certain investment strategies that exceed predefined benchmarks. Significant partnerships with financial advisors, institutions, and retirement plan sponsors also contribute to the firm's earnings, as they help expand the client base and increase AUM. Furthermore, the firm benefits from its global presence, allowing it to tap into international markets and diversify its revenue streams.

T Rowe Price Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 02, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 22.39%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 01, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a balanced outlook with strong investment performance and international expansion being offset by earnings decline, net outflows, and challenges in alternative portfolios. The firm is making strides in ETFs and global retirement offerings, but faces market volatility and mixed results in certain areas.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Investment Performance
Over 60% of T. Rowe Price funds beat their peer groups across the one, three, five, and ten-year time periods, with equity value outperforming growth.
Leadership in Retirement Expansion
T. Rowe Price expanded its retirement offerings internationally, partnering with firms in Japan, Korea, and Canada, and being selected by a global banking institution to develop retirement-related funds.
ETFs and SMA Offerings Growth
Launched two new ETFs and broadened SMA offerings, with ETFs reaching over $12.5 billion in AUM and three ETFs surpassing $1 billion.
Recognition and Awards
Named one of Fortune Magazine's World's Most Admired Companies for the 15th consecutive year and received other industry accolades.
Consistent Dividend Increase
Quarterly dividend increased for the 39th consecutive year.
Negative Updates
Decline in Adjusted Earnings Per Share
Adjusted EPS of $2.23 for Q1 2025 decreased from $2.38 in Q1 2024.
Net Outflows
Experienced $8.6 billion in net outflows, driven largely by U.S. equities and rebalancing activity.
Challenges in Alternative Portfolios
Alternative portfolios produced mixed results, with some negative developments in certain positions and muted capital deployment in private lending funds.
Equity Market Headwinds
Equity assets under management declined from 52% to 49% of AUM in the quarter, affecting fee rates.
Company Guidance
During T. Rowe Price's First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance on various performance metrics and strategic initiatives. The firm reported an improvement in investment performance, with over 60% of its funds outperforming their peer groups across one, three, five, and ten-year periods. Specifically, 61% of funds outperformed on a one-year basis, 73% on a three-year basis, 68% on a five-year basis, and 87% on a ten-year basis. The target date assets showed strong results, with 99% beating their peer groups across three, five, and ten-year periods. Fixed income performance was also solid, with 64% of funds outperforming on a one-year basis and 65% on a five-year basis. The firm highlighted strategic expansions in global retirement markets, launching a sub-advised retirement date fund series in Japan and partnering with a global banking institution for custom retirement funds in Asia, the UK, and the Middle East. T. Rowe Price also emphasized its focus on ETFs, now managing 19 funds with over $12.5 billion in assets. The company's financials showed adjusted earnings per share of $2.23, a decrease from $2.38 in the prior year, amid $8.6 billion in net outflows, primarily driven by rebalancing and U.S. equities. The balance sheet remains robust, with $3.3 billion in cash and discretionary investments, and the company continues prioritizing shareholder returns, announcing a quarterly dividend of $1.27, marking the 39th consecutive annual increase.

T Rowe Price Financial Statement Overview

Summary
T Rowe Price exhibits strong financial health with high profitability margins, minimal leverage, and robust cash flows. The net profit margin is solid at 28.22%, and the balance sheet shows minimal financial risk with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.045. While revenue growth is modest, the company's efficient operations ensure stability and resilience.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The company exhibits solid financial performance with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin of 64.23% and a net profit margin of 28.22%. Revenue growth is relatively flat, with a modest increase from the previous year. EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong at 32.96% and 36.76%, respectively, indicating efficient operations and robust profitability.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
T Rowe Price maintains a healthy balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.045, reflecting minimal leverage and financial risk. The return on equity stands at a commendable 19.29%, highlighting effective use of shareholders' funds. The equity ratio is strong at 74.29%, underscoring a solid financial position and asset base.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
The cash flow position is robust, with a TTM free cash flow growth of 1.27% and a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.87, indicating healthy cash generation. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.64, reflecting efficient capital expenditure management. Overall, the cash flow indicates stability and operational efficiency.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.09B6.46B6.49B7.67B6.21B
Gross Profit3.68B3.21B3.57B4.68B3.59B
EBITDA2.33B2.55B2.53B3.95B2.94B
Net Income2.10B1.79B1.56B3.08B2.37B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.47B12.28B11.64B12.51B10.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.65B2.07B1.76B1.52B2.15B
Total Debt278.70M397.90M329.60M249.20M154.10M
Total Liabilities2.02B1.99B1.96B2.26B1.39B
Stockholders Equity10.35B9.51B8.84B9.02B7.71B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.26B911.20M2.12B3.21B1.70B
Operating Cash Flow1.69B1.22B2.36B3.45B1.92B
Investing Cash Flow-177.50M-527.20M-41.50M-1.10B-36.30M
Financing Cash Flow-936.60M-1.08B-2.08B-2.99B-1.49B

T Rowe Price Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price106.41
Price Trends
50DMA
95.46
Positive
100DMA
93.30
Positive
200DMA
101.96
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.69
Negative
RSI
72.57
Negative
STOCH
71.46
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TROW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 106.41 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 98.69, above the 50-day MA of 95.46, and above the 200-day MA of 101.96, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.69 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.57 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TROW.

T Rowe Price Risk Analysis

T Rowe Price disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. T Rowe Price reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

T Rowe Price Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (69)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$22.17B11.4219.47%4.93%6.51%4.52%
72
Outperform
$18.87B27.345.84%2.76%-23.47%-67.03%
71
Outperform
$24.04B11.5417.54%2.40%21.00%137.62%
CGCG
70
Outperform
$21.01B20.3020.38%2.40%81.86%
69
Neutral
€15.00B11.8214.88%6.05%7.26%0.13%
STSTT
68
Neutral
$29.95B12.0410.94%2.89%13.08%67.88%
BEBEN
64
Neutral
$12.80B35.512.84%5.26%7.02%-60.38%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TROW
T Rowe Price
106.41
-2.82
-2.58%
BEN
Franklin Resources
24.52
2.42
10.95%
STT
State Street
107.48
25.66
31.36%
CG
Carlyle Group
60.11
15.51
34.78%
NTRS
Northern
127.06
44.11
53.18%
CRBG
Corebridge Financial, Inc.
35.30
6.92
24.38%

T Rowe Price Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
T. Rowe Price Stockholders Meeting Approves Key Proposals
Neutral
May 12, 2025

T. Rowe Price held its annual stockholders meeting on May 8, 2025, where several key proposals were voted on. The election of directors saw most nominees receiving strong support, while a proposal for a shareholder approval requirement for excessive golden parachutes was largely rejected. Additionally, the compensation for named executive officers was approved, and KPMG LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (TROW) stock is a Sell with a $107.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on T Rowe Price stock, see the TROW Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
T Rowe Price to Discuss Q1 2025 Earnings
Neutral
May 2, 2025

On May 2, 2025, T Rowe Price will hold an investor conference call and webcast to discuss its earnings results for the first quarter of 2025. The company has provided supplemental materials for the earnings call, but it does not commit to updating this information, which may impact stakeholder expectations and market perceptions.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 11, 2025