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T. Rowe Price Group (TROW)
NASDAQ:TROW
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T Rowe Price (TROW) AI Stock Analysis

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TROW

T Rowe Price

(NASDAQ:TROW)

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Outperform 82 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:82Outperform
Price Target:
$118.00
â–²(21.67% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/19/26
The score is driven primarily by strong fundamentals (low leverage, healthy profitability, and strong free-cash-flow conversion) and attractive valuation (low P/E with a ~5% dividend yield). Technicals are mildly positive, while earnings-call and recent updates highlight ongoing headwinds from net outflows and fee compression that keep the score below the top tier.
Positive Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
Very low leverage and a sizable equity base materially reduce financial risk and preserve flexibility. This underpins sustained dividends, buybacks, and the capacity to fund strategic investments or absorb redemptions across market cycles, supporting long-term stability and credibility with clients.
Negative Factors
Sustained Net Outflows
Meaningful net redemptions reduce average AUM and management fee revenue, pressuring operating leverage. If outflows persist they can force higher relative spending on retention and distribution, constrain margin recovery, and slow the alternatives transition even with strong cash reserves.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
Very low leverage and a sizable equity base materially reduce financial risk and preserve flexibility. This underpins sustained dividends, buybacks, and the capacity to fund strategic investments or absorb redemptions across market cycles, supporting long-term stability and credibility with clients.
Read all positive factors

T Rowe Price Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
AUM by Geography
AUM by Geography
Details how assets are allocated across the U.S., Europe, Asia and other regions, indicating geographic diversification and where future expansion may come from. Heavy concentration in one market raises exposure to local economic, regulatory, and currency risks, while international growth can broaden client reach and revenue sources.
Chart InsightsUS AUM remains the engine—rising steadily to outsize levels and accounting for most of T. Rowe Price’s record $1.77T—while APAC/EMEA/Canada is growing but still a small share. That concentration raises revenue sensitivity to U.S. equity cycles, which helps explain Q3 net outflows despite headline AUM growth. Management’s Asia product launches, ETF traction, and the Goldman Sachs collaboration signal a deliberate push to diversify into fixed income, alternatives and international retail, which could reduce U.S.-equity exposure and stabilize flows over the next 12–18 months.
Data provided by:The Fly

T Rowe Price (TROW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

T Rowe Price Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. is a publicly owned investment manager. The firm provides its services to individuals, institutional investors, retirement plans, financial intermediaries, and institutions. It launches and manages equity and fixed income...
How the Company Makes Money
T. Rowe Price primarily makes money by charging investment management fees based on assets under management (AUM). These fees are typically calculated as a percentage of average AUM and vary by product type and mandate (for example, retail mutual ...

T Rowe Price Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call balanced solid financial and product progress—13% YoY EPS growth, 5% revenue growth, AUM up ~9.6% YoY on average, strong ETF/SMA/target-date inflows, and notable alternatives momentum—with clear near-term headwinds: meaningful net outflows of $13.7B, compression of effective fees, challenged 1-year performance in several franchises, and elevated market/credit volatility. Management emphasized cost discipline, capital returns (dividend and buybacks), and strategic investments (ETFs, alternatives, partnerships) to offset flow and fee pressures.
Positive Updates
Adjusted EPS Growth
Adjusted EPS of $2.52 for Q1 2026, up 13% year-over-year and up 3% sequentially from Q4 2025, driven by higher revenue from increased average AUM, lower expenses, a lower tax rate, and reduced share count.
Negative Updates
Net Outflows and Equity Pressure
Reported net outflows of $13.7 billion for the quarter. Equities—particularly U.S. growth-oriented strategies—remained in outflows, contributing materially to overall net redemption pressure.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Adjusted EPS Growth
Adjusted EPS of $2.52 for Q1 2026, up 13% year-over-year and up 3% sequentially from Q4 2025, driven by higher revenue from increased average AUM, lower expenses, a lower tax rate, and reduced share count.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
On guidance, management reiterated that 2026 adjusted operating expenses (excluding carried interest) are expected to be up 3%–6% versus 2025 (with 2025 operating expenses ≈ $4.6 billion), said it’s too early to narrow broader full‑year guidance, and noted the expense forecast remains comfortably within that range despite year‑to‑date market volatility; they pointed to Q1 results that support this stance — adjusted EPS $2.52 (+13% YoY, +3% QoQ), adjusted net revenue >$1.8B (+5% YoY), Q1 adjusted operating expenses ex‑carried interest $1.14B (+1% YoY, −7% QoQ), average AUM $1.78T (+9.6% YoY) with period‑end AUM $1.71T and $13.7B net outflows, cash & discretionary investments >$4.1B, $340M of stock repurchases in Q1 (YTD ~4M shares for just under $400M), and a raised quarterly dividend of $1.30 (40th consecutive annual increase).

T Rowe Price Financial Statement Overview

Summary
High-quality profitability and cash generation with a conservative balance sheet: TTM net margin ~28.5% and EBIT margin ~33%, strong operating/free cash flow (OCF $2.32B; FCF $2.27B; FCF/NI ~0.94), and very low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.03–0.08). The main constraint is cyclicality versus the 2021 peak and historical volatility tied to market levels/flows.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Cash Flow
83
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.41B7.31B7.09B6.46B6.49B7.67B
Gross Profit5.12B4.58B3.68B3.21B3.57B4.68B
EBITDA2.89B2.88B2.98B2.52B3.14B3.91B
Net Income2.09B2.09B2.10B1.79B1.56B3.08B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.39B14.61B13.47B12.28B11.64B12.51B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.73B3.38B2.65B2.07B1.76B1.52B
Total Debt438.10M860.20M278.70M308.50M329.60M249.20M
Total Liabilities2.52B2.55B2.02B1.99B1.96B2.26B
Stockholders Equity10.78B10.86B10.35B9.51B8.84B9.02B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.34B1.48B1.26B911.20M2.12B3.21B
Operating Cash Flow2.45B1.75B1.69B1.22B2.36B3.45B
Investing Cash Flow289.40M230.30M-177.50M128.20M-41.50M-1.10B
Financing Cash Flow-1.69B-1.28B-936.60M-1.08B-2.08B-2.99B

T Rowe Price Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price96.98
Price Trends
50DMA
95.40
Positive
100DMA
97.10
Positive
200DMA
99.21
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.83
Positive
RSI
54.73
Neutral
STOCH
22.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TROW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 96.98 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 102.45, above the 50-day MA of 95.40, and below the 200-day MA of 99.21, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.83 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TROW.

T Rowe Price Risk Analysis

T Rowe Price disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. T Rowe Price reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

T Rowe Price Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
$11.07B13.6830.64%1.18%9.37%28.61%
82
Outperform
$21.94B10.1119.48%4.88%4.23%5.77%
76
Outperform
$42.55B11.5311.09%2.43%1.43%10.86%
73
Outperform
$30.58B12.3214.45%2.21%-5.75%-10.69%
72
Outperform
$16.61B8.826.69%5.33%3.11%89.49%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$93.75B12.5613.48%1.71%1.91%31.72%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TROW
T Rowe Price
101.72
9.60
10.42%
BK
Bank of New York Mellon
136.32
47.88
54.14%
BEN
Franklin Resources
30.79
9.82
46.83%
SEIC
SEI Investments Company
91.04
6.46
7.64%
STT
State Street
150.88
55.80
58.69%
NTRS
Northern
164.91
60.23
57.53%

T Rowe Price Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
T. Rowe Price Names Eric Veiel President and CIO
Positive
May 18, 2026
On May 15, 2026, T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. appointed Eric L. Veiel as President, Co-Head of Global Investments, and Chief Investment Officer, with the changes taking effect immediately. The company confirmed that Rob Sharps will continue in his ro...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
T. Rowe Price Shareholders Back Board and Executive Pay
Positive
May 11, 2026
T. Rowe Price held its annual stockholder meeting on May 7, 2026, following a proxy filing in March, with 217,605,891 shares eligible to vote as of the February 20, 2026 record date. Shareholders re-elected the full slate of director nominees, eac...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
T. Rowe Price Deepens Alternatives Push With OHA Alignment
Positive
Apr 22, 2026
On April 22, 2026, T. Rowe Price Group and its alternatives affiliate Oak Hill Advisors updated their evergreen operating arrangement, reinforcing OHA’s role as a leading alternatives manager to institutional, insurance, wealth, and retireme...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 19, 2026