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T Rowe Price (TROW)
NASDAQ:TROW
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T Rowe Price (TROW) AI Stock Analysis

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TROW

T Rowe Price

(NASDAQ:TROW)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$114.00
▲(11.19% Upside)
T Rowe Price's overall stock score reflects strong financial stability and attractive valuation, with a solid dividend yield. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and the earnings call highlighted challenges such as equity outflows and expense growth. Despite these challenges, the company's strong performance in retirement and fixed income segments provides a positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Strong Balance Sheet
A strong balance sheet with low leverage enhances financial stability, providing resilience against economic downturns and flexibility for strategic investments.
Growing ETF Business
Growth in the ETF segment indicates successful product diversification, which can attract new clients and increase AUM, supporting long-term revenue growth.
Retirement Solutions Success
Strong performance in retirement solutions solidifies T. Rowe Price's market position, leveraging demographic trends and increasing demand for retirement planning.
Negative Factors
Equity Outflows
Significant equity outflows can reduce AUM and revenue, posing a challenge to maintaining growth and profitability in the competitive asset management industry.
Expense Growth Challenges
Rising expenses, particularly in technology and facilities, may pressure margins and require careful management to sustain profitability and competitive positioning.
Client Outflows
Continued client outflows could signal dissatisfaction or competitive pressures, potentially impacting future revenue and necessitating strategic client retention efforts.

T Rowe Price (TROW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

T Rowe Price Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionT. Rowe Price Group, Inc. is a global investment management firm headquartered in Baltimore, Maryland. Established in 1937, the company primarily offers a range of investment solutions including mutual funds, sub-advisory services, and separate account management for institutional and individual investors. T. Rowe Price operates across various sectors, including equity, fixed income, and multi-asset strategies, catering to a diverse clientele that ranges from retirement plans to individual investors.
How the Company Makes MoneyT. Rowe Price generates revenue primarily through investment management fees charged to clients based on the assets under management (AUM). The firm earns a percentage of the AUM across its various mutual funds and investment accounts. Additionally, T. Rowe Price may receive performance fees for funds that exceed certain benchmarks. The company also benefits from advisory fees for institutional clients and sub-advisory relationships. Significant partnerships with financial advisors and institutions further enhance its distribution capabilities, contributing to its overall earnings. The firm's strong reputation and investment performance help it attract and retain clients, which is critical for sustaining its revenue streams.

T Rowe Price Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with strong long-term performance in retirement and fixed income segments, and successful growth in ETFs. However, significant equity outflows, market volatility, and expense growth challenges balanced these positives.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Long-Term Investment Performance
Over half of T. Rowe Price's strategies beat their peer groups for 3-, 5-, and 10-year time periods, with 65%, 58%, and 78% of assets respectively outperforming peer group medians.
Retirement and Target Date Fund Success
The Target Date suite surpassed $0.5 trillion in assets, ending the quarter with over $520 billion. The near-dated vintages continue to have top quartile performance versus peers for the 3-, 5-, and 10-year periods.
Growing ETF Business
T. Rowe Price's ETF products saw over $6 billion in inflows in the first half of 2025, bringing AUM in the ETF franchise to $16.2 billion. 11 ETFs have scaled to over $500 million in AUM.
David Giroux's Recognition
David Giroux was named U.S. Morningstar Outstanding Portfolio Manager for the allocation category for the third time in 19 years.
Positive Net Flows in Fixed Income
Fixed income segment is growing with 6 consecutive quarters of positive net flows.
Negative Updates
Equity Outflows and Market Volatility
There were $14.9 billion in net outflows, mainly driven by U.S. equities, affecting the overall average AUM which was down 2% from Q1 2025.
Expense Growth Challenges
Adjusted operating expenses were up 1% from Q1 2025 and up 3.7% from Q2 2024, with technology, occupancy, and facility costs up 7% from Q1 2025.
Weaker Quarter for Emerging Markets and Value Strategies
Emerging markets segment had a weaker quarter versus peers, and a number of value strategies underperformed during the quarter.
Client Outflows and Revenue Impact
Client outflows during the quarter and equity market volatility drove a decrease in the average equity AUM by 5%.
Company Guidance
In the T. Rowe Price Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, several key metrics and projections were highlighted. The company reported an adjusted diluted earnings per share of $2.24, consistent with prior quarters, despite $14.9 billion in net outflows largely affecting U.S. equities. The outflows were attributed to client redemptions and rebalancing activities, but inflows were observed in fixed income, multi-asset solutions, and alternatives. Notably, the ETF suite saw $2.5 billion in net inflows, with assets under management (AUM) in ETFs reaching $16.2 billion by June 30, 2025. Additionally, T. Rowe Price's retirement solutions demonstrated strength, with their Target Date suite surpassing $520 billion in AUM. The company aims to manage expenses effectively, targeting a 2-4% increase in operating expenses over the previous year, while implementing strategies to align expense growth with anticipated revenue growth, emphasizing efficiency and strategic investment.

T Rowe Price Financial Statement Overview

Summary
T Rowe Price demonstrates strong profitability with a solid balance sheet and low leverage, providing financial stability. However, the decline in revenue growth rate is a concern that needs addressing. The company is well-positioned in terms of operational efficiency and equity strength, but should focus on reigniting revenue growth to sustain its financial performance.
Income Statement
75
Positive
T Rowe Price's income statement shows a strong profitability profile with a net profit margin of 28.72% for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), indicating efficient cost management. However, the revenue growth rate has declined by 14.1% in the TTM, reflecting potential challenges in revenue generation. The EBIT and EBITDA margins remain robust at 33.62% and 41.58% respectively, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet is solid with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.045, suggesting conservative leverage. Return on equity is healthy at 19.63%, indicating effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio stands at 73.63%, highlighting a strong equity base relative to total assets, which enhances financial stability.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive free cash flow growth rate of 2.93% in the TTM, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 4.28, reflecting good cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly lower at 0.86, suggesting room for improvement in cash flow efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.21B7.09B6.46B6.49B7.67B6.21B
Gross Profit947.60M3.68B3.21B3.57B4.68B3.59B
EBITDA2.90B2.98B2.52B3.14B3.91B2.94B
Net Income2.08B2.10B1.79B1.56B3.08B2.37B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.73B13.47B12.28B11.64B12.51B10.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.63B2.65B2.07B1.76B1.52B2.15B
Total Debt455.10M337.80M308.50M329.60M249.20M154.10M
Total Liabilities2.76B2.02B1.99B1.96B2.26B1.39B
Stockholders Equity10.81B10.35B9.51B8.84B9.02B7.71B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.52B1.26B911.20M2.12B3.21B1.70B
Operating Cash Flow1.49B1.69B1.22B2.36B3.45B1.92B
Investing Cash Flow-41.40M-177.50M128.20M-41.50M-1.10B-36.30M
Financing Cash Flow-994.00M-936.60M-1.08B-2.08B-2.99B-1.49B

T Rowe Price Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price102.53
Price Trends
50DMA
104.70
Negative
100DMA
102.58
Negative
200DMA
98.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.36
Positive
RSI
44.84
Neutral
STOCH
33.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TROW, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 102.53 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 104.21, below the 50-day MA of 104.70, and above the 200-day MA of 98.75, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.36 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TROW.

T Rowe Price Risk Analysis

T Rowe Price disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. T Rowe Price reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

T Rowe Price Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$75.26B15.571.85%-9.40%
$9.87B14.8229.38%1.22%9.33%33.17%
$32.31B12.2411.14%2.70%5.62%49.49%
$22.53B11.4619.39%4.81%4.43%5.55%
$11.74B43.362.16%5.66%4.72%-67.85%
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
$24.33B15.0013.31%2.43%-4.52%7.01%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TROW
T Rowe Price
102.53
-4.49
-4.20%
BK
Bank of New York Mellon
107.93
34.56
47.10%
BEN
Franklin Resources
22.61
3.62
19.06%
SEIC
SEI Investments Company
80.61
5.82
7.78%
STT
State Street
115.66
26.19
29.27%
NTRS
Northern
128.67
31.19
32.00%

T Rowe Price Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
T Rowe Price Expands Board with Two New Directors
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

On October 13, 2025, T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. expanded its Board of Directors from 11 to 13 members by electing Allan Golston and Richard Verma as independent directors. Golston, with a background in finance and leadership roles at the Gates Foundation and other organizations, joins the Audit and Executive Compensation and Management Development Committees. Verma, who has held significant positions at Mastercard and in the U.S. government, will serve on the Nominating and Corporate Governance and Executive Compensation and Management Development Committees. This strategic move aims to enhance the company’s governance and leverage the extensive experience of the new directors.

The most recent analyst rating on (TROW) stock is a Sell with a $109.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on T Rowe Price stock, see the TROW Stock Forecast page.

T. Rowe Price Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Aug 2, 2025

T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. is a global asset management firm specializing in retirement-related investments, managing $1.68 trillion in client assets as of June 30, 2025. Known for its investment excellence and independent research, the company serves millions of investors worldwide.

T. Rowe Price Earnings Call: Mixed Sentiments and Strategic Shifts
Aug 2, 2025

The recent earnings call for T. Rowe Price Group presented a mixed sentiment, highlighting both achievements and challenges. While the company celebrated strong performances in long-term investments, retirement solutions, and ETF growth, it also faced significant net outflows, challenges in equity strategies, and pressure on fee rates, indicating some ongoing hurdles.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025