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T Rowe Price (TROW)
NASDAQ:TROW
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T Rowe Price (TROW) AI Stock Analysis

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TROW

T Rowe Price

(NASDAQ:TROW)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$125.00
â–²(16.15% Upside)
T Rowe Price's overall stock score is driven by strong financial stability and favorable valuation metrics. The positive technical indicators suggest a bullish trend, although caution is warranted due to potential overbought conditions. Mixed sentiment from the earnings call highlights both strengths in strategic growth areas and challenges in equity strategies and fee pressures.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Better operating expenses have led to an increase in the expected earnings per share for T. Rowe Price Group.
Investment Flows
Momentum in ETFs and target date funds is promising, with well-flowed performance in Jan and Feb'25.
Revenue
Better revenue and other items partially offset the impact of elevated expenses for T. Rowe Price Group.
Negative Factors
Asset Management
TROW's emphasis on growth-equity exposures has been a relative headwind due to March's stock market weakness.
Financial Results
There is mention of a modest shortfall in financial results versus consensus for T. Rowe Price Group.
Operating Expenses
Higher operating expenses have led to a reduction in the earnings estimate for T. Rowe Price Group.

T Rowe Price (TROW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

T Rowe Price Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionT. Rowe Price Group, Inc. is a publicly owned investment manager. The firm provides its services to individuals, institutional investors, retirement plans, financial intermediaries, and institutions. It launches and manages equity and fixed income mutual funds. The firm invests in the public equity and fixed income markets across the globe. It employs fundamental and quantitative analysis with a bottom-up approach. The firm utilizes in-house and external research to make its investments. It employs socially responsible investing with a focus on environmental, social, and governance issues. It makes investment in late-stage venture capital transactions and usually invests between $3 million and $5 million. The firm was previously known as T. Rowe Group, Inc. and T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. was founded in 1937 and is based in Baltimore, Maryland, with additional offices in Colorado Springs, Colorado; Owings Mills, Maryland; San Francisco, California; New York, New York; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; Tampa, Florida; Toronto, Ontario; Hellerup, Denmark; Amsterdam, The Netherlands; Luxembourg, Grand Duchy of Luxembourg; Zurich, Switzerland; Dubai, United Arab Emirates; London, United Kingdom; Sydney, New South Wales; Hong Kong; Tokyo, Japan; Singapore; Frankfurt, Germany, Madrid, Spain, Milan, Italy, Stockholm, Sweden, Melbourne, Australia, and Amsterdam, Netherlands.
How the Company Makes MoneyT. Rowe Price generates revenue primarily through investment management fees charged to clients based on the assets under management (AUM). The firm earns a percentage of the AUM across its various mutual funds and investment accounts. Additionally, T. Rowe Price may receive performance fees for funds that exceed certain benchmarks. The company also benefits from advisory fees for institutional clients and sub-advisory relationships. Significant partnerships with financial advisors and institutions further enhance its distribution capabilities, contributing to its overall earnings. The firm's strong reputation and investment performance help it attract and retain clients, which is critical for sustaining its revenue streams.

T Rowe Price Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with strong long-term performance in retirement and fixed income segments, and successful growth in ETFs. However, significant equity outflows, market volatility, and expense growth challenges balanced these positives.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Long-Term Investment Performance
Over half of T. Rowe Price's strategies beat their peer groups for 3-, 5-, and 10-year time periods, with 65%, 58%, and 78% of assets respectively outperforming peer group medians.
Retirement and Target Date Fund Success
The Target Date suite surpassed $0.5 trillion in assets, ending the quarter with over $520 billion. The near-dated vintages continue to have top quartile performance versus peers for the 3-, 5-, and 10-year periods.
Growing ETF Business
T. Rowe Price's ETF products saw over $6 billion in inflows in the first half of 2025, bringing AUM in the ETF franchise to $16.2 billion. 11 ETFs have scaled to over $500 million in AUM.
David Giroux's Recognition
David Giroux was named U.S. Morningstar Outstanding Portfolio Manager for the allocation category for the third time in 19 years.
Positive Net Flows in Fixed Income
Fixed income segment is growing with 6 consecutive quarters of positive net flows.
Negative Updates
Equity Outflows and Market Volatility
There were $14.9 billion in net outflows, mainly driven by U.S. equities, affecting the overall average AUM which was down 2% from Q1 2025.
Expense Growth Challenges
Adjusted operating expenses were up 1% from Q1 2025 and up 3.7% from Q2 2024, with technology, occupancy, and facility costs up 7% from Q1 2025.
Weaker Quarter for Emerging Markets and Value Strategies
Emerging markets segment had a weaker quarter versus peers, and a number of value strategies underperformed during the quarter.
Client Outflows and Revenue Impact
Client outflows during the quarter and equity market volatility drove a decrease in the average equity AUM by 5%.
Company Guidance
In the T. Rowe Price Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, several key metrics and projections were highlighted. The company reported an adjusted diluted earnings per share of $2.24, consistent with prior quarters, despite $14.9 billion in net outflows largely affecting U.S. equities. The outflows were attributed to client redemptions and rebalancing activities, but inflows were observed in fixed income, multi-asset solutions, and alternatives. Notably, the ETF suite saw $2.5 billion in net inflows, with assets under management (AUM) in ETFs reaching $16.2 billion by June 30, 2025. Additionally, T. Rowe Price's retirement solutions demonstrated strength, with their Target Date suite surpassing $520 billion in AUM. The company aims to manage expenses effectively, targeting a 2-4% increase in operating expenses over the previous year, while implementing strategies to align expense growth with anticipated revenue growth, emphasizing efficiency and strategic investment.

T Rowe Price Financial Statement Overview

Summary
T Rowe Price demonstrates strong financial health with high profitability margins, minimal leverage, and robust cash flows. While revenue growth is modest, the company's efficient operations and financial management ensure stability and resilience. The low debt levels reduce financial risk, making the company's financial outlook positive.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The company exhibits solid financial performance with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin of 64.23% and a net profit margin of 28.22%. Revenue growth is relatively flat, with a modest increase from the previous year. EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong at 32.96% and 36.76%, respectively, indicating efficient operations and robust profitability.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
T Rowe Price maintains a healthy balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.045, reflecting minimal leverage and financial risk. The return on equity stands at a commendable 19.29%, highlighting effective use of shareholders' funds. The equity ratio is strong at 74.29%, underscoring a solid financial position and asset base.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
The cash flow position is robust, with a TTM free cash flow growth of 1.27% and a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.87, indicating healthy cash generation. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.64, reflecting efficient capital expenditure management. Overall, the cash flow indicates stability and operational efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.10B7.09B6.46B6.49B7.67B6.21B
Gross Profit3.64B3.68B3.21B3.57B4.68B3.59B
EBITDA2.95B2.98B2.52B3.14B3.91B2.94B
Net Income2.04B2.10B1.79B1.56B3.08B2.37B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.34B13.47B12.28B11.64B12.51B10.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.06B2.65B2.07B1.76B1.52B2.15B
Total Debt475.20M278.70M308.50M329.60M249.20M154.10M
Total Liabilities2.53B2.02B1.99B1.96B2.26B1.39B
Stockholders Equity10.56B10.35B9.51B8.84B9.02B7.71B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.32B1.26B911.20M2.12B3.21B1.70B
Operating Cash Flow1.53B1.69B1.22B2.36B3.45B1.92B
Investing Cash Flow-140.90M-177.50M-527.20M-41.50M-1.10B-36.30M
Financing Cash Flow-1.05B-936.60M-1.08B-2.08B-2.99B-1.49B

T Rowe Price Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price107.62
Price Trends
50DMA
103.55
Positive
100DMA
97.12
Positive
200DMA
101.83
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.28
Positive
RSI
54.95
Neutral
STOCH
76.82
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TROW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 107.62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 106.90, above the 50-day MA of 103.55, and above the 200-day MA of 101.83, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.28 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.82 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TROW.

T Rowe Price Risk Analysis

T Rowe Price disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. T Rowe Price reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

T Rowe Price Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$74.47B16.1311.75%1.84%7.41%51.70%
78
Outperform
$23.65B12.0319.39%4.66%4.43%5.55%
77
Outperform
$10.91B16.5830.06%1.11%10.55%40.74%
75
Outperform
$13.32B49.202.16%4.95%4.72%-67.85%
73
Outperform
$25.11B15.4313.47%2.29%3.44%16.76%
71
Outperform
$32.62B12.8810.94%2.64%11.66%67.88%
68
Neutral
$17.89B11.9510.28%3.72%9.74%1.61%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TROW
T Rowe Price
107.62
8.20
8.25%
BK
BNY
105.60
39.26
59.18%
BEN
Franklin Resources
25.66
6.68
35.19%
SEIC
SEI Investments Company
88.28
21.78
32.75%
STT
State Street
114.97
31.71
38.09%
NTRS
Northern
131.28
43.93
50.29%

T Rowe Price Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
T. Rowe Price Stockholders Meeting Approves Key Proposals
Neutral
May 12, 2025

T. Rowe Price held its annual stockholders meeting on May 8, 2025, where several key proposals were voted on. The election of directors saw most nominees receiving strong support, while a proposal for a shareholder approval requirement for excessive golden parachutes was largely rejected. Additionally, the compensation for named executive officers was approved, and KPMG LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (TROW) stock is a Sell with a $107.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on T Rowe Price stock, see the TROW Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025