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T Rowe Price (TROW)
NASDAQ:TROW
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T Rowe Price (TROW) AI Stock Analysis

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TROW

T Rowe Price

(NASDAQ:TROW)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$115.00
â–²(14.64% Upside)
T Rowe Price's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and attractive valuation metrics. The company's strategic initiatives and robust dividend yield are positive factors. However, technical indicators suggest short-term challenges, and the earnings call revealed some concerns about net outflows and equity performance.
Positive Factors
Strong Financial Position
A robust financial position with significant cash reserves provides T. Rowe Price with flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and weather economic downturns, ensuring long-term stability.
Strategic Collaboration
The partnership with Goldman Sachs enhances T. Rowe Price's product offerings and market reach, potentially driving growth and competitive advantage in the asset management industry.
Investment Performance
Strong investment performance across multiple time periods reinforces T. Rowe Price's reputation and ability to attract and retain clients, supporting sustained revenue growth.
Negative Factors
Net Outflows
Significant net outflows, particularly in U.S. equities, may indicate challenges in client retention and competitive pressures, potentially impacting future revenue and growth.
Equity Performance Challenges
Weaker short-term equity performance could affect client confidence and investment inflows, posing a risk to maintaining competitive positioning in the asset management sector.
Leadership Change
Leadership changes, particularly in key operational roles, can disrupt strategic initiatives and impact operational efficiency, potentially affecting long-term business execution and growth.

T Rowe Price (TROW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

T Rowe Price Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionT. Rowe Price Group, Inc. is a publicly owned investment manager. The firm provides its services to individuals, institutional investors, retirement plans, financial intermediaries, and institutions. It launches and manages equity and fixed income mutual funds. The firm invests in the public equity and fixed income markets across the globe. It employs fundamental and quantitative analysis with a bottom-up approach. The firm utilizes in-house and external research to make its investments. It employs socially responsible investing with a focus on environmental, social, and governance issues. It makes investment in late-stage venture capital transactions and usually invests between $3 million and $5 million. The firm was previously known as T. Rowe Group, Inc. and T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. was founded in 1937 and is based in Baltimore, Maryland, with additional offices in Colorado Springs, Colorado; Owings Mills, Maryland; San Francisco, California; New York, New York; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; Tampa, Florida; Toronto, Ontario; Hellerup, Denmark; Amsterdam, The Netherlands; Luxembourg, Grand Duchy of Luxembourg; Zurich, Switzerland; Dubai, United Arab Emirates; London, United Kingdom; Sydney, New South Wales; Hong Kong; Tokyo, Japan; Singapore; Frankfurt, Germany, Madrid, Spain, Milan, Italy, Stockholm, Sweden, Melbourne, Australia, and Amsterdam, Netherlands.
How the Company Makes MoneyT. Rowe Price generates revenue primarily through investment management fees charged to clients based on the assets under management (AUM). The firm earns a percentage of the AUM across its various mutual funds and investment accounts. Additionally, T. Rowe Price may receive performance fees for funds that exceed certain benchmarks. The company also benefits from advisory fees for institutional clients and sub-advisory relationships. Significant partnerships with financial advisors and institutions further enhance its distribution capabilities, contributing to its overall earnings. The firm's strong reputation and investment performance help it attract and retain clients, which is critical for sustaining its revenue streams.

T Rowe Price Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 31, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong AUM growth, strategic partnerships, and product expansions. However, these positives were tempered by notable net outflows, challenges in equity performance, and market headwinds. The company is actively managing expenses and adapting its strategy to maintain competitive positioning.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record AUM
T. Rowe Price reached an end-of-period high of $1.77 trillion in assets under management as of September 30, 2025.
Strong Investment Performance
On an asset-weighted basis, over 70% of fixed income fund assets beat their peer groups in all reported time periods. The Target Date franchise saw 81%, 71%, and 98% of fund assets beating their peer groups on a 3-, 5-, and 10-year basis respectively.
Strategic Collaboration with Goldman Sachs
T. Rowe Price announced a strategic collaboration with Goldman Sachs to deliver diversified public and private market solutions for retirement and wealth investors.
Expansion in Asia
Introduced 2 new retirement allocation funds in Asia, marking the first time a U.S. asset manager provides retirement-focused products to retail investors in Hong Kong and Singapore.
ETF Growth
ETF business reached $19 billion in AUM with 12 ETFs surpassing $500 million, and 5 over $1 billion.
Emerging Markets Initiative
Launched Emerging Markets Blue Economy Bond strategy with over $200 million in commitments, aiming to address water challenges.
Strong Financial Position
T. Rowe Price maintains a strong financial position with over $4.3 billion in cash and discretionary investments.
Share Buybacks
Repurchased $158 million worth of shares in Q3, surpassing $525 million in buybacks year-to-date.
Negative Updates
Net Outflows
Reported $7.9 billion of net outflows in Q3 2025, driven by outflows in U.S. equities despite some large institutional wins.
Equity Performance Challenges
One-year results for Target Date fund assets were weaker with only 43% beating their peers due to equity building blocks impacting performance.
Expense Management and Reduction
Incurred $28.5 million in nonrecurring costs primarily for severance and related compensation. Headcount reduced by 4% from December 31, 2024.
Challenging Market Environment
The market environment since November 2024 has been challenging with narrow markets and underperformance in quality and value factors.
Company Guidance
During T. Rowe Price's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, several key metrics and strategic initiatives were highlighted. The company reported an end-of-period high of $1.77 trillion in assets under management as of September 30, with strong long-term investment performance metrics, including 64%, 57%, and 78% of fund assets beating their peer groups on a 3-, 5-, and 10-year basis, respectively. Fixed income performance was notably strong, with over 70% of fund assets outperforming their peers across all reported time periods. The Target Date franchise also showed robust results, with 81%, 71%, and 98% of fund assets beating their peer groups over the same durations, though one-year results were weaker at 43%. The company also announced a strategic collaboration with Goldman Sachs, focusing on four key areas, including a co-branded sister series for their Target Date franchise and new public-private market solutions expected to launch by mid-2026. Financial highlights included an adjusted diluted earnings per share of $2.81 for Q3 2025, driven by higher revenues from increased average AUM. Despite $7.9 billion in net outflows for the quarter, positive net flows were recorded in fixed income, multi-asset, and alternatives. The company is also executing an expense management program and plans to align its controllable expense growth rate in the low single digits for 2026 and 2027.

T Rowe Price Financial Statement Overview

Summary
T Rowe Price demonstrates strong profitability and financial stability, with effective cost management and low leverage. While revenue growth is modest, the company maintains a solid cash flow position. The decrease in gross profit margin and operating cash flow conversion are areas to monitor for potential risks.
Income Statement
75
Positive
T Rowe Price exhibits strong profitability with a net profit margin of 28.89% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the gross profit margin has significantly decreased to 13.15% TTM from 51.93% in 2024, suggesting increased cost pressures. Revenue growth is modest at 1.52% TTM, showing stability but limited expansion.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a robust balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.042 TTM, reflecting prudent financial leverage. Return on equity is healthy at 19.83% TTM, indicating effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio remains strong, showcasing financial stability.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow performance is solid with a free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.02 TTM, indicating strong cash generation relative to earnings. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio has decreased, suggesting potential challenges in converting earnings to cash. Free cash flow growth is positive at 15.63% TTM, showing improvement.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.21B7.09B6.46B6.49B7.67B6.21B
Gross Profit4.65B3.68B3.21B3.57B4.68B3.59B
EBITDA3.12B2.98B2.52B3.14B3.91B2.94B
Net Income2.07B2.10B1.79B1.56B3.08B2.37B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.73B13.47B12.28B11.64B12.51B10.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.63B2.65B2.07B1.76B1.52B2.15B
Total Debt455.10M278.70M308.50M329.60M249.20M154.10M
Total Liabilities2.76B2.02B1.99B1.96B2.26B1.39B
Stockholders Equity10.81B10.35B9.51B8.84B9.02B7.71B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.52B1.26B911.20M2.12B3.21B1.70B
Operating Cash Flow1.49B1.69B1.22B2.36B3.45B1.92B
Investing Cash Flow-41.40M-177.50M128.20M-41.50M-1.10B-36.30M
Financing Cash Flow-994.00M-936.60M-1.08B-2.08B-2.99B-1.49B

T Rowe Price Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price100.31
Price Trends
50DMA
103.16
Negative
100DMA
103.71
Negative
200DMA
98.12
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.35
Positive
RSI
45.19
Neutral
STOCH
25.84
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TROW, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 100.31 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 101.75, below the 50-day MA of 103.16, and above the 200-day MA of 98.12, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.35 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.84 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TROW.

T Rowe Price Risk Analysis

T Rowe Price disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. T Rowe Price reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

T Rowe Price Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$74.22B15.3612.21%1.88%4.22%51.01%
76
Outperform
$9.80B14.7129.38%1.22%9.33%33.17%
75
Outperform
$21.89B10.9319.28%4.81%4.26%0.42%
74
Outperform
$31.94B12.1011.14%2.73%5.62%49.49%
73
Outperform
$24.04B14.8213.31%2.43%-4.52%7.01%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$11.29B23.783.84%5.90%2.31%5.71%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TROW
T Rowe Price
100.31
-16.68
-14.26%
BK
Bank of New York Mellon
106.43
26.97
33.94%
BEN
Franklin Resources
21.68
0.28
1.31%
SEIC
SEI Investments Company
80.04
-0.59
-0.73%
STT
State Street
114.36
18.56
19.37%
NTRS
Northern
127.13
19.65
18.28%

T Rowe Price Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
T Rowe Price Expands Board with Two New Directors
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

On October 13, 2025, T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. expanded its Board of Directors from 11 to 13 members by electing Allan Golston and Richard Verma as independent directors. Golston, with a background in finance and leadership roles at the Gates Foundation and other organizations, joins the Audit and Executive Compensation and Management Development Committees. Verma, who has held significant positions at Mastercard and in the U.S. government, will serve on the Nominating and Corporate Governance and Executive Compensation and Management Development Committees. This strategic move aims to enhance the company’s governance and leverage the extensive experience of the new directors.

The most recent analyst rating on (TROW) stock is a Sell with a $109.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on T Rowe Price stock, see the TROW Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 03, 2025