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T. Rowe Price Group (TROW)
:TROW
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T Rowe Price (TROW) AI Stock Analysis

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TROW

T Rowe Price

(NASDAQ:TROW)

Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$119.00
▲(13.27% Upside)
T Rowe Price scores well due to its strong financial health, efficient operations, and attractive valuation. However, mixed earnings call sentiment and stable but not bullish technical indicators slightly temper the score. Despite ongoing challenges, strategic expansions and strong dividend yield support a positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Expense Management
Better operating expenses have led to an increase in the expected earnings per share for T. Rowe Price Group.
Partnership Opportunities
TROW announced a new insurance partnership with ARES’s insurance partner (Aspida), which could lead to new partnerships in the future.
Negative Factors
Asset Management Challenges
TROW reported AUM fell $23B or 1.4% in Feb'25 due to negative market action and net outflows of $4.7B.
Earnings Estimate
Higher operating expenses have led to a reduction in the earnings estimate for T. Rowe Price Group.

T Rowe Price (TROW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

T Rowe Price Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionT. Rowe Price Group, Inc. is a publicly owned investment manager. The firm provides its services to individuals, institutional investors, retirement plans, financial intermediaries, and institutions. It launches and manages equity and fixed income mutual funds. The firm invests in the public equity and fixed income markets across the globe. It employs fundamental and quantitative analysis with a bottom-up approach. The firm utilizes in-house and external research to make its investments. It employs socially responsible investing with a focus on environmental, social, and governance issues. It makes investment in late-stage venture capital transactions and usually invests between $3 million and $5 million. The firm was previously known as T. Rowe Group, Inc. and T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. was founded in 1937 and is based in Baltimore, Maryland, with additional offices in Colorado Springs, Colorado; Owings Mills, Maryland; San Francisco, California; New York, New York; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; Tampa, Florida; Toronto, Ontario; Hellerup, Denmark; Amsterdam, The Netherlands; Luxembourg, Grand Duchy of Luxembourg; Zurich, Switzerland; Dubai, United Arab Emirates; London, United Kingdom; Sydney, New South Wales; Hong Kong; Tokyo, Japan; Singapore; Frankfurt, Germany, Madrid, Spain, Milan, Italy, Stockholm, Sweden, Melbourne, Australia, and Amsterdam, Netherlands.
How the Company Makes MoneyT. Rowe Price generates revenue primarily through investment management fees, which are calculated as a percentage of assets under management (AUM). These fees vary depending on the investment product, such as mutual funds, subadvised accounts, or separate accounts. The company's AUM is influenced by market performance, client asset inflows and outflows, and strategic product offerings. Additionally, T. Rowe Price may earn performance-based fees for certain investment strategies that exceed predefined benchmarks. Significant partnerships with financial advisors, institutions, and retirement plan sponsors also contribute to the firm's earnings, as they help expand the client base and increase AUM. Furthermore, the firm benefits from its global presence, allowing it to tap into international markets and diversify its revenue streams.

T Rowe Price Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.56%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed sentiment. While there were strong performances in long-term investment, retirement solutions, and ETF growth, significant net outflows, challenges in equity strategies, and pressure on fee rates indicated some ongoing challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Long-term Investment Performance
Over half of the strategies beat their peer groups for 3-, 5-, and 10-year periods, with 65%, 58%, and 78% of assets outperforming peer group medians respectively.
Success in Retirement Solutions
Target Date suite surpassed $0.5 trillion in assets under management, totaling over $520 billion, with strong inflows in retirement solutions and addition of 20-70 vintages.
Continued Growth in ETFs
ETF products saw over $6 billion in inflows year-to-date, with 11 ETFs scaling over $500 million in AUM, expanding the product line significantly.
Positive Net Flows in Fixed Income
Achieved six consecutive quarters of positive net flows in fixed income.
Recognition of Portfolio Manager Excellence
David Giroux was named U.S. Morningstar outstanding portfolio manager for the allocation category for the third time.
Negative Updates
Significant Net Outflows
Reported $14.9 billion in net outflows driven by U.S. equities and some client redemptions and rebalancing.
Challenging Quarter for Equity Strategies
Some value strategies underperformed, and the equity markets' volatility reduced average equity AUM by 5%.
Emerging Markets Segment Performance
Emerging markets segment underperformed peers during the quarter.
Pressure on Fee Rates
Fee rates declined due to a mix shift towards lower-priced products, with the Q2 effective fee rate down to 39.6 basis points.
Expense Growth Concerns
Adjusted operating expenses increased by 3.7% year-over-year, with technology, occupancy, and facility costs up by 7% from Q1 2025.
Company Guidance
During T. Rowe Price's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided several key metrics and strategic insights. The company reported an adjusted diluted earnings per share of $2.24, consistent with prior periods, amidst a challenging quarter with $14.9 billion in net outflows primarily driven by U.S. equities. Despite this, there were positive net flows across fixed income, multi-asset, and alternatives. T. Rowe Price's Target Date suite reached over $520 billion in assets under management (AUM), and their ETF products saw over $6 billion in inflows, with 11 ETFs scaling over $500 million in AUM. The company continues to expand its ETF offerings, now totaling 24, and is focusing on maintaining low single-digit expense growth rates through efficiency improvements and strategic partnerships. Additionally, T. Rowe Price plans to include model delivery assets in its AUM starting August 12, reflecting a broader strategic shift to capture growth in various investment vehicles.

T Rowe Price Financial Statement Overview

Summary
T Rowe Price demonstrates strong financial health with high profitability margins, minimal leverage, and robust cash flows. While revenue growth is modest, the company's efficient operations and financial management ensure stability and resilience. The low debt levels reduce financial risk, making the company's financial outlook positive.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The company exhibits solid financial performance with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin of 64.23% and a net profit margin of 28.22%. Revenue growth is relatively flat, with a modest increase from the previous year. EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong at 32.96% and 36.76%, respectively, indicating efficient operations and robust profitability.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
T Rowe Price maintains a healthy balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.045, reflecting minimal leverage and financial risk. The return on equity stands at a commendable 19.29%, highlighting effective use of shareholders' funds. The equity ratio is strong at 74.29%, underscoring a solid financial position and asset base.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
The cash flow position is robust, with a TTM free cash flow growth of 1.27% and a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.87, indicating healthy cash generation. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.64, reflecting efficient capital expenditure management. Overall, the cash flow indicates stability and operational efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.31T7.09B6.46B6.49B7.67B6.21B
Gross Profit1.89B3.68B3.21B3.57B4.68B3.59B
EBITDA2.39B2.98B2.52B3.14B3.91B2.94B
Net Income2.05B2.10B1.79B1.56B3.08B2.37B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.34B13.47B12.28B11.64B12.51B10.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.06B2.65B2.07B1.76B1.52B2.15B
Total Debt0.00278.70M308.50M329.60M249.20M154.10M
Total Liabilities3.78B2.02B1.99B1.96B2.26B1.39B
Stockholders Equity10.56B10.35B9.51B8.84B9.02B7.71B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.32B1.26B911.20M2.12B3.21B1.70B
Operating Cash Flow1.53B1.69B1.22B2.36B3.45B1.92B
Investing Cash Flow-140.90M-177.50M-527.20M-41.50M-1.10B-36.30M
Financing Cash Flow-1.05B-936.60M-1.08B-2.08B-2.99B-1.49B

T Rowe Price Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price105.06
Price Trends
50DMA
99.12
Positive
100DMA
94.56
Positive
200DMA
101.98
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.49
Positive
RSI
56.38
Neutral
STOCH
68.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TROW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 105.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 104.83, above the 50-day MA of 99.12, and above the 200-day MA of 101.98, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.49 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TROW.

T Rowe Price Risk Analysis

T Rowe Price disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. T Rowe Price reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

T Rowe Price Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$23.08B11.7519.39%4.78%4.43%5.55%
79
Outperform
$24.03B14.7713.47%2.39%3.44%16.76%
75
Outperform
$12.97B47.922.16%5.08%4.72%-67.85%
70
Outperform
$22.47B18.1623.07%2.25%81.86%
68
Neutral
$31.51B12.4510.94%2.74%11.66%67.88%
67
Neutral
$17.03B11.609.79%3.95%10.64%1.89%
65
Neutral
$17.93B27.46-2.89%2.82%-18.21%-116.73%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TROW
T Rowe Price
105.06
5.48
5.50%
BEN
Franklin Resources
24.99
4.75
23.47%
STT
State Street
111.08
36.00
47.95%
CG
Carlyle Group
62.23
23.96
62.61%
NTRS
Northern
125.65
45.59
56.94%
CRBG
Corebridge Financial, Inc.
33.30
7.85
30.84%

T Rowe Price Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
T. Rowe Price Stockholders Meeting Approves Key Proposals
Neutral
May 12, 2025

T. Rowe Price held its annual stockholders meeting on May 8, 2025, where several key proposals were voted on. The election of directors saw most nominees receiving strong support, while a proposal for a shareholder approval requirement for excessive golden parachutes was largely rejected. Additionally, the compensation for named executive officers was approved, and KPMG LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (TROW) stock is a Sell with a $107.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on T Rowe Price stock, see the TROW Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 02, 2025