Blue Owl Capital (OWL) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $24.11B
• Dividend Yield: 5.45%
• Average Volume (3M): 14.14M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 343.6
• Beta (1Y): 1.74
• Revenue Growth: 27.24%
• EPS Growth: -59.82%
• Country: US
• Employees: 1,200
• Sector: Financial
• Sector Strength: 70
• Industry: Asset Management
• EPS (TTM): 0.22
• Shares Outstanding: 664,802,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 12,759,657
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 14,135,276
• PEG Ratio: 1.75
• Price to Book (P/B): 6.00
• Price to Sales (P/S): 5.56
• P/FCF Ratio: 13.65
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.62
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 5.48
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 10.32
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 19.28
• 1Y Price Target: $21.13
• Price Target Upside: 36.68% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 15
• EPS Forecast (FY): 0.83
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $2.66B

• Rating: 69 Neutral
• Price Target: $17.50 ▲(13.20% Upside)

Blue Owl Capital's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives, particularly in digital infrastructure and direct lending. However, high valuation metrics and potential profitability risks temper the outlook. The company's robust dividend yield and recent corporate actions provide additional support to the stock's attractiveness.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term expansion and stability.

Digital Infrastructure Expansion

Investments in digital infrastructure position Blue Owl as a leader in cloud and AI financing, aligning with future tech trends and growth.

Strong Cash Flow

Robust cash flow growth enhances financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and shareholder returns, supporting long-term health.

Negative Factors

Increasing Leverage

Higher leverage can strain financial resources, increasing risk and potentially limiting future investment capabilities if not managed well.

Low Net Profit Margin

Low net profit margins suggest challenges in converting revenue into profit, potentially impacting long-term profitability and investor confidence.

Exposure to Rate Cuts

Sensitivity to rate cuts could affect revenue stability, impacting financial performance and strategic planning in a changing rate environment.

Blue Owl Capital Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Blue Owl Capital Inc. operates as an asset manager. It offers permanent capital base solutions that enables it to offer a holistic platform to middle market companies, large alternative asset managers, and corporate real estate owners and tenants. The company provides direct lending products that offer private credit products comprising diversified, technology, first lien, and opportunistic lending to middle-market companies; GP capital solutions products, which offers capital solutions, including GP minority equity investments, GP debt financing, and professional sports minority investments to large private capital managers; and real estate products that focuses on structuring sale-leaseback transactions, which includes triple net leases. It offers its solutions through permanent capital vehicles, as well as long-dated private funds. The company is headquartered in New York, New York.

How the Company Makes Money

Blue Owl Capital generates revenue primarily through management fees and performance fees associated with its investment funds. Management fees are typically calculated as a percentage of assets under management (AUM), providing a steady income stream as the company grows its investment portfolio. Performance fees, often referred to as carried interest, are earned when the funds exceed a predetermined return threshold, aligning the company's interests with those of its investors. Additionally, Blue Owl Capital may benefit from advisory fees and transaction fees related to its investment activities. Strategic partnerships with financial institutions and other asset managers further enhance its investment capabilities and broaden its market reach, contributing to overall revenue growth.

Blue Owl Capital Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Blue Owl Capital shows a positive growth trajectory with strong revenue and cash flow performance. However, profitability margins and increasing leverage pose potential risks. The company needs to focus on improving net profitability and managing debt levels to sustain long-term growth.

Income Statement

Blue Owl Capital has shown consistent revenue growth, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 4.85%. The gross profit margin has improved over the years, reaching 65.52% in the TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin remains low at 1.89%, suggesting challenges in translating revenue growth into net income. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased compared to previous years, reflecting potential operational inefficiencies.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 1.65 in the TTM, indicating higher leverage, which could pose a risk if not managed properly. The return on equity is modest at 2.28%, showing limited profitability relative to shareholder equity. Despite this, the equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.

Cash Flow

Blue Owl Capital has demonstrated strong cash flow performance, with a free cash flow growth rate of 10.34% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high at 1.88, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also robust at 0.96, highlighting effective cash management.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	2.75B	2.30B	1.73B	1.37B	823.88M	249.81M
Gross Profit	1.46B	1.28B	860.97M	475.04M	-673.11M	9.08M
EBITDA	780.38M	866.04M	632.65M	269.67M	-1.73B	-58.05M
Net Income	51.91M	109.58M	54.34M	-9.29M	-376.17M	-77.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	12.47B	10.99B	8.82B	8.89B	8.27B	121.60M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	137.28M	152.09M	104.16M	68.08M	42.57M	11.63M
Total Debt	3.78B	2.98B	2.00B	1.86B	1.26B	356.39M
Total Liabilities	6.29B	5.19B	3.54B	3.34B	2.42B	622.76M
Stockholders Equity	2.30B	2.13B	1.53B	1.60B	1.66B	-507.69M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	1.15B	935.37M	881.24M	662.91M	276.40M	4.58M
Operating Cash Flow	1.20B	999.55M	949.14M	728.45M	281.66M	5.23M
Investing Cash Flow	-329.95M	-638.14M	-118.03M	-485.22M	-1.60B	-652.00K
Financing Cash Flow	-845.87M	-313.48M	-795.03M	-217.72M	1.35B	-295.00K

Blue Owl Capital Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 15.46
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OWL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15.46 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.68, above the 50-day MA of 15.44, and below the 200-day MA of 17.54, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.91 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OWL.

Blue Owl Capital Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
BX	72 Outperform	$189.77B	44.62	35.17%	3.02%	33.12%	19.86%
ARES	70 Outperform	$55.26B	72.03	18.64%	2.65%	50.70%	7.32%
OWL	69 Neutral	$24.11B	343.56	2.41%	5.45%	27.24%	-59.82%
KKR	69 Neutral	$116.57B	55.72	8.73%	0.56%	-33.80%	-24.81%
Sector *	68 Neutral	$18.00B	11.42	9.92%	3.81%	9.73%	1.22%
TPG	61 Neutral	$24.65B	680.48	7.19%	3.03%	25.02%	235.70%
CG	59 Neutral	$21.98B	33.94	11.85%	2.30%	-24.62%	437.16%

Blue Owl Capital Corporate Events

Blue Owl Capital Launches $1.7 Billion Infrastructure Fund

On December 1, 2025, Blue Owl Capital‘s digital infrastructure-focused evergreen vehicle held its first close at approximately $1.7 billion, marking the commencement of its operations. From October 1 to December 1, 2025, the company raised an estimated $4.3 billion across its evergreen non-traded products, surpassing the $3.4 billion raised in the third quarter of 2025, indicating a strong market position and growth in its credit and real assets platforms.

Blue Owl Capital Sees $200 Million in Stock Purchases

During November, Blue Owl Capital and its subsidiaries saw over $200 million in stock purchases, with $70 million in Blue Owl’s Class A common stock and $135 million in OBDC and OTF shares. These transactions, including executive purchases and repurchase plans, highlight the company’s commitment to aligning with clients and stakeholders, reinforcing its market position.

Blue Owl Capital Declares Cash Dividend for Q4 2025

On October 30, 2025, Blue Owl Capital Inc. announced a cash dividend of $0.225 per Class A Share, payable on November 24, 2025, to shareholders of record as of November 10, 2025. The company reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with new capital commitments reaching $14 billion in the quarter and $57 billion over the past twelve months, reflecting robust interest in its investment strategies. This performance underscores Blue Owl’s strategic focus on innovation and economic growth sectors like Digital Infrastructure, enhancing its market position and offering substantial scale and expertise to its partners.