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Blue Owl Capital (OWL)
NYSE:OWL
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Blue Owl Capital (OWL) AI Stock Analysis

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OWL

Blue Owl Capital

(NYSE:OWL)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$20.00
▲(22.93% Upside)
Blue Owl Capital's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, highlighting significant growth and strategic initiatives. However, the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation, and technical indicators point to bearish momentum, which temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth in key financial metrics indicates effective business strategies and robust market demand, supporting long-term expansion.
Capital Raising
Record capital raising enhances Blue Owl's ability to invest in growth opportunities and strengthen its market position, driving future profitability.
Product Expansion
Successful new product launches diversify revenue streams and capitalize on emerging trends, reinforcing Blue Owl's competitive edge.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting Blue Owl's ability to navigate economic downturns.
Profitability Margins
Low profitability margins indicate challenges in cost management and efficiency, which could hinder long-term financial performance.
Market Disruption
Market disruptions can impact operational stability and strategic execution, posing risks to sustained growth and profitability.

Blue Owl Capital (OWL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Blue Owl Capital Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBlue Owl Capital Inc. operates as an asset manager. It offers permanent capital base solutions that enables it to offer a holistic platform to middle market companies, large alternative asset managers, and corporate real estate owners and tenants. The company provides direct lending products that offer private credit products comprising diversified, technology, first lien, and opportunistic lending to middle-market companies; GP capital solutions products, which offers capital solutions, including GP minority equity investments, GP debt financing, and professional sports minority investments to large private capital managers; and real estate products that focuses on structuring sale-leaseback transactions, which includes triple net leases. It offers its solutions through permanent capital vehicles, as well as long-dated private funds. The company is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyBlue Owl Capital generates revenue primarily through interest income from its direct lending activities and management fees from its private equity investments. The company makes money by charging interest on the loans it provides to middle-market companies, which typically have higher yields compared to traditional fixed-income investments. Additionally, Blue Owl collects management fees based on the assets under management (AUM) in its private equity funds. These fees are usually calculated as a percentage of the committed capital or AUM. The firm's revenue is further bolstered by potential performance fees tied to the successful outcomes of its investments. Key partnerships with financial institutions and access to a diverse network of borrowers also enhance Blue Owl's ability to generate revenue and expand its investment portfolio.

Blue Owl Capital Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call for Blue Owl Capital highlighted significant growth in capital raising, strong performance across business segments, and successful new product launches. While the company faced some challenges due to market disruptions and dependence on M&A for direct lending, the overall sentiment of the call was positive, driven by record-breaking achievements and strategic partnerships.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Capital Raise
Blue Owl Capital raised $14 billion of new capital during the quarter, bringing the total to a record $55 billion over the last 12 months, representing 28% of assets under management a year ago.
Significant Growth in Key Financial Metrics
Fee-related earnings (FRE) grew by 29%, FRE by 23%, and distributable earnings (DE) by 20% year-over-year on a last 12 months basis.
Strong Performance Across Business Segments
The company saw a record $5.8 billion raised across its real assets platform and a record quarter for credit with $5.8 billion raised. Net lease strategy commitments increased to $4.2 billion, with a total of $8 billion year-to-date.
Successful New Product Launches
The company closed a private offering of $850 million for a new interval fund and held a final close for its third digital infrastructure flagship fund at a $7 billion hard cap.
Strategic Partnership with Voya
Blue Owl announced a strategic partnership with Voya to deliver private market strategies in vehicles tailored for defined contribution retirement plans.
Negative Updates
Market Disruption Impact
Despite the strong performance, the company noted fairly disruptive capital markets during the quarter, affecting some of their operations.
Dependence on M&A for Direct Lending
The direct lending segment experienced a relatively lackluster M&A backdrop, which is a key component driving deployment activity.
Company Guidance
During Blue Owl Capital's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance that highlights strong financial metrics and strategic growth. The firm reported fee-related earnings (FRE) of $0.23 per share and distributable earnings (DE) of $0.21 per share. They declared a dividend of $0.225 per share. Notably, Blue Owl raised $14 billion in new capital during the quarter, marking a record $55 billion capital raise over the last 12 months, which is 28% of the previous year's assets under management. This growth is supported by a 29% increase in FRE revenues, a 23% rise in FRE, and a 20% boost in DE on a year-over-year basis. The firm also emphasized the expansion of its alternative credit and digital infrastructure strategies, with a particular focus on a new $850 million interval fund and a $7 billion flagship fund in digital infrastructure. This strategic expansion reflects Blue Owl's commitment to leveraging its scale and incumbency in the market to offer bespoke and scalable solutions to investors and underscores their strong positioning in the evolving capital markets landscape.

Blue Owl Capital Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Blue Owl Capital exhibits solid revenue growth and strong cash flow generation, which are positive indicators for future performance. However, challenges with profitability margins and high leverage require strategic focus to enhance financial stability and shareholder returns.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Blue Owl Capital has shown consistent revenue growth, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 6.22%. The gross profit margin has improved to 50.08% in the TTM, indicating strong cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 2.88%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased compared to the previous year, reflecting potential challenges in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company maintains a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.54, indicating significant leverage. While the return on equity has decreased to 3.67% in the TTM, the equity ratio remains stable at around 19.15%. The balance sheet reflects a need for careful management of debt levels to mitigate financial risk.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Blue Owl Capital has demonstrated strong cash flow performance, with a free cash flow growth rate of 15.92% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 2.07, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 0.93, indicating effective cash generation relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.62B2.30B1.73B1.37B823.88M249.81M
Gross Profit1.40B1.28B860.97M475.04M-673.11M9.08M
EBITDA804.08M866.04M632.65M269.67M-1.73B-58.05M
Net Income75.40M109.58M54.34M-9.29M-376.17M-77.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.28B10.99B8.82B8.89B8.27B121.60M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments117.61M152.09M104.16M68.08M42.57M11.63M
Total Debt3.65B2.98B2.00B1.86B1.26B356.39M
Total Liabilities5.92B5.19B3.54B3.34B2.42B622.76M
Stockholders Equity2.35B2.13B1.53B1.60B1.66B-507.69M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.04B935.37M881.24M662.91M276.40M4.58M
Operating Cash Flow1.09B999.55M949.14M728.45M281.66M5.23M
Investing Cash Flow-750.33M-638.14M-118.03M-485.22M-1.60B-652.00K
Financing Cash Flow-658.91M-313.48M-795.03M-217.72M1.35B-295.00K

Blue Owl Capital Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price16.27
Price Trends
50DMA
18.55
Negative
100DMA
18.78
Negative
200DMA
19.77
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.60
Positive
RSI
31.54
Neutral
STOCH
8.66
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OWL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 16.27 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.91, below the 50-day MA of 18.55, and below the 200-day MA of 19.77, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.60 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.66 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OWL.

Blue Owl Capital Risk Analysis

Blue Owl Capital disclosed 74 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Blue Owl Capital reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Blue Owl Capital Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$206.89B45.4737.72%2.53%23.08%41.35%
76
Outperform
$22.96B18.5223.07%2.21%101.10%
68
Neutral
$25.21B292.633.68%4.98%31.81%-32.87%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
$49.79B87.1913.92%2.81%45.89%-9.53%
63
Neutral
$22.11B2.55%3.26%43.48%-24.02%
62
Neutral
$111.04B59.778.22%0.56%-24.62%-48.96%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OWL
Blue Owl Capital
16.27
-3.68
-18.45%
KKR
KKR & Co
127.65
-2.97
-2.27%
BX
Blackstone Group
168.45
23.31
16.06%
CG
Carlyle Group
63.48
17.95
39.42%
ARES
Ares Management
152.40
-4.06
-2.59%
TPG
TPG
58.51
0.25
0.43%

Blue Owl Capital Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Blue Owl Capital Expands Credit Agreement to $2.425B
Neutral
Aug 8, 2025

On August 8, 2025, Blue Owl Finance LLC, a subsidiary of Blue Owl Capital Inc., along with several affiliated entities and financial institutions, entered into a Third Amendment to their existing Credit Agreement. This amendment increases the revolving credit commitment to $2.425 billion, with a potential increase to $3 billion, and extends the maturity date to August 8, 2030, while maintaining other terms of the facility.

The most recent analyst rating on (OWL) stock is a Hold with a $21.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Blue Owl Capital stock, see the OWL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 23, 2025