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Ares Management (ARES)
NYSE:ARES

Ares Management (ARES) AI Stock Analysis

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ARES

Ares Management

(NYSE:ARES)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$117.00
â–²(10.59% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/01/26
The score is primarily supported by solid underlying financial performance and a mostly positive earnings outlook focused on diversification, credit quality, liquidity, and dividend coverage. These strengths are tempered by weak technical trend signals and a demanding valuation (high P/E) despite an attractive dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Scale & Diversified AUM
Ares' scale and multi-strategy platform (credit, PE, real assets, secondaries) with $600B+ AUM and record fundraising builds durable fee bases, strengthens institutional relationships, and enables cross-selling that supports resilient revenue through market cycles and enhances competitive positioning.
Negative Factors
Rate-Sensitive Earnings
Ares' earnings are structurally sensitive to base-rate movements because many loans and fees reset with lags; prolonged lower rates can reduce core EPS and carried income. This exposure creates predictable medium-term earnings headwinds absent offsetting fee mix or yield improvements.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Scale & Diversified AUM
Ares' scale and multi-strategy platform (credit, PE, real assets, secondaries) with $600B+ AUM and record fundraising builds durable fee bases, strengthens institutional relationships, and enables cross-selling that supports resilient revenue through market cycles and enhances competitive positioning.
Read all positive factors

Ares Management (ARES) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ares Management Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Ares Management Corporation operates as an alternative asset manager in the United States, Europe, and Asia. The company's Tradable Credit Group segment manages various types of investment funds, such as commingled and separately managed accounts ...
How the Company Makes Money
Ares primarily makes money by earning fees for managing client assets and, to a lesser extent, by participating in investment profits. 1) Management fees (recurring base fees): Ares earns management fees calculated as a percentage of assets under...

Ares Management Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Fee-Related Earnings By Segment
Fee-Related Earnings By Segment
Details earnings derived from management and advisory fees across segments, indicating the stability and growth potential of the company's revenue streams.
Chart InsightsAres Management's Fee-Related Earnings (FRE) show strong growth, particularly in the Credit segment, which continues to drive overall performance. Despite a dip in Private Equity earnings, the company’s strategic focus on credit and real assets is paying off, as evidenced by the robust earnings growth. The latest earnings call highlights significant achievements in fundraising and AUM growth, supporting a positive outlook. Temporary challenges like deployment slowdown and margin compression from the GCP integration are being managed, with expectations of improved margins and additional revenue contributions in the near future.
Data provided by:The Fly

Ares Management Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 05, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a predominantly positive operating and credit performance story: record originations, portfolio growth, strong diversification, low non-accruals, material realized gains, and robust funding/liquidity execution. Offsetting items include meaningful year-over-year declines in GAAP and core EPS (largely driven by lower base rates), modest NAV per share change, and near-term headwinds from rate declines and seasonal origination slowdowns. Management emphasized conservative underwriting, diversification, and available capital, indicating confidence to navigate challenges.
Positive Updates
Record Originations and New Borrowers
Gross originations reached a record $15.8 billion in 2025, including $5.8 billion in Q4 (up more than 50% vs. 2024). ARCC added more than 100 new borrowers during the year and ended 2025 with 603 borrowers, enhancing diversification and scale.
Negative Updates
Year-over-Year Earnings Decline
GAAP net income per share for the year was $1.86 versus $2.44 in 2024 (down ~23.8%). Core EPS for the year declined to $2.01 from $2.33 in 2024 (down ~13.7%). Q4 core EPS was $0.50 versus $0.55 a year ago (down ~9.1%). Management attributes much of the decline to lower base rates.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Originations and New Borrowers
Gross originations reached a record $15.8 billion in 2025, including $5.8 billion in Q4 (up more than 50% vs. 2024). ARCC added more than 100 new borrowers during the year and ended 2025 with 603 borrowers, enhancing diversification and scale.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided that it expects to maintain its current dividend (Q1 2026 dividend $0.48/share payable Mar 31) supported by core EPS that covered the dividend in all four quarters of 2025 (Q4 core EPS $0.50; FY core EPS $2.01), but warned a roughly $0.10/share 2026 earnings headwind from lower base rates (rate changes lag ~1 quarter); management emphasized dividend coverage, more than two quarters of taxable spillover ($988 million, ~$1.38/share available for distribution in 2026), low leverage with net debt-to-equity of 1.08x (below 1.1x and with headroom to a 1.25x upper target), strong liquidity (> $6.0 billion pro forma), and funding flexibility (nearly 70% floating-rate borrowings vs ~50% at YE2024) as key supports.

Ares Management Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial statements point to solid fundamentals: accelerating 2025 revenue growth and strong operating profitability. Offsetting factors include a weaker 2025 net margin versus 2023–2024, historically volatile cash conversion (negative 2020–2023, then sharply positive 2024–2025 with a 2025 pullback), and year-to-year volatility in reported capital structure despite improved leverage by 2025.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
73
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.47B3.88B3.63B3.06B4.21B
Gross Profit4.84B2.15B2.15B1.56B3.05B
EBITDA2.30B2.41B2.43B1.33B1.47B
Net Income527.36M463.74M474.33M167.54M408.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets28.99B24.88B24.73B22.00B21.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.50B2.74B1.50B1.11B1.39B
Total Debt14.91B13.15B15.76B13.33B12.49B
Total Liabilities20.29B18.06B20.26B18.20B17.79B
Stockholders Equity4.28B3.54B1.89B1.59B1.83B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.54B2.70B-300.44M-769.91M-2.62B
Operating Cash Flow1.62B2.79B-233.26M-734.11M-2.60B
Investing Cash Flow694.23M-159.40M-111.08M-337.38M-1.08B
Financing Cash Flow-3.27B-1.43B292.13M1.13B3.50B

Ares Management Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price105.80
Price Trends
50DMA
121.62
Negative
100DMA
140.90
Negative
200DMA
153.95
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.86
Negative
RSI
41.77
Neutral
STOCH
55.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ARES, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 105.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 105.87, below the 50-day MA of 121.62, and below the 200-day MA of 153.95, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.86 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ARES.

Ares Management Risk Analysis

Ares Management disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ares Management reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ares Management Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$139.74B39.8736.17%3.02%33.12%19.86%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$34.86B66.6212.01%2.65%50.70%7.32%
66
Neutral
$13.54B128.083.43%5.45%27.24%-59.82%
60
Neutral
$17.12B26.2914.18%2.30%-24.62%437.16%
59
Neutral
$14.96B31.8016.10%3.03%25.02%235.70%
57
Neutral
$81.45B24.798.15%0.56%-33.80%-24.81%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ARES
Ares Management
105.80
-20.55
-16.27%
KKR
KKR & Co
91.36
-10.55
-10.35%
BX
Blackstone Group
114.33
-14.39
-11.18%
CG
Carlyle Group
47.40
9.69
25.68%
OWL
Blue Owl Capital
8.71
-8.21
-48.52%
TPG
TPG
38.95
-2.33
-5.65%

Ares Management Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ares Management Cuts Q1 Outlook, Affirms 2026 Guidance
Negative
Apr 1, 2026
Ares Management said it preliminarily expects realized net performance income of about $75 million for the quarter ending March 31, 2026, up from $41 million a year earlier but below its prior guidance of roughly $100 million, largely because perf...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Ares Management Secures New $400 Million Term Loan
Positive
Mar 31, 2026
On March 27, 2026, Ares Holdings L.P., a subsidiary of Ares Management Corporation, entered into a new $400 million term loan credit agreement with a syndicate of lenders led by Bank of America, N.A., as administrative agent. The facility, fully f...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial DisclosuresShareholder Meetings
Ares Management Reports Strong 2025 Results, Raises Dividend
Positive
Feb 5, 2026
On February 5, 2026, Ares Management reported its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, posting GAAP net income attributable to the company of $54.2 million, or $0.08 per share, and after-tax realized income of $529.1 million, or $1.45 per Cl...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 01, 2026