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ArcBest Corporation (ARCB)
NASDAQ:ARCB
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ArcBest (ARCB) AI Stock Analysis

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ARCB

ArcBest

(NASDAQ:ARCB)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$81.00
▲(8.99% Upside)
ArcBest's overall stock score reflects a stable financial foundation and reasonable valuation, but is tempered by declining revenue growth and mixed earnings call sentiment. The company's strategic initiatives and technology investments are promising, yet current market challenges and leadership transitions introduce uncertainty. Investors should monitor revenue trends and operational efficiency improvements closely.
Positive Factors
Technology Investments
Investments in technology enhance operational efficiency, leading to cost savings and improved service delivery, strengthening competitive advantage.
Strategic Board Changes
New board members with extensive industry experience can provide strategic insights and drive long-term growth initiatives.
Shipment Growth
Growth in shipments indicates strong demand and effective market penetration, supporting revenue stability and expansion.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
A decline in revenue suggests challenges in maintaining sales momentum, potentially impacting future profitability if not addressed.
Freight Environment Challenges
Ongoing challenges in the freight environment can hinder growth and profitability, requiring strategic adaptation to market conditions.
Reduced Profitability in Asset-Based Segment
Decreased profitability in key segments can strain overall financial performance, necessitating efficiency improvements and cost management.

ArcBest (ARCB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ArcBest Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArcBest Corporation (ARCB) is a leading logistics company that provides integrated supply chain services, including transportation, logistics, and warehousing solutions. The company operates through several segments, including Asset-Based, Asset-Light, and Logistics, offering a comprehensive suite of services that cater to various industries. ArcBest is known for its innovative technology solutions and customer-focused approach, enabling efficient freight movement and supply chain management.
How the Company Makes MoneyArcBest generates revenue primarily through its diverse service offerings in logistics and transportation. The Asset-Based segment earns money from providing less-than-truckload (LTL) shipping services, where freight is consolidated from multiple customers to optimize transportation costs. The Asset-Light segment, which focuses on third-party logistics, generates revenue by offering brokerage and freight management services, connecting shippers with carriers. Additionally, the Logistics segment contributes to revenue through customized supply chain solutions and value-added services, such as warehousing and inventory management. Strategic partnerships with carriers and technology providers enhance ArcBest's operational efficiency and service capabilities, further driving its earnings.

ArcBest Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed sentiment with notable achievements in shipment growth and technology investments. However, these were tempered by declines in revenue and operating income, along with ongoing challenges in the freight environment.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Growth in Key Segments
ArcBest reported a 6% year-over-year increase in daily shipments in the Asset-Based segment and added over 100 new core LTL accounts. The Managed business saw double-digit growth in both shipments and revenue, reaching an all-time high.
Investment in Technology and Efficiency
ArcBest's city route optimization platform and dock management system have led to significant improvements in operational efficiency, contributing to $14 million in cost savings.
Strategic Board Changes
Thom Albrecht, with over 35 years of industry experience, joins the Board, bringing expertise in finance and strategy. Steve Spinner will retire after 14 years of service.
CEO Transition
Judy McReynolds will retire as CEO at the end of the year, with Seth Runser succeeding her. Seth's leadership is expected to continue driving ArcBest's strategic initiatives.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Revenue and Operating Income
Consolidated revenue for the second quarter was $1 billion, down 5% year-over-year. Non-GAAP operating income from continuing operations was $45 million compared to $64 million in the prior year.
Challenges in Freight Environment
The freight environment remained challenging with softness in manufacturing, a sluggish housing market, and uncertainty around interest rates and tariffs.
Reduced Profitability in Asset-Based Segment
The Asset-Based segment saw a $22 million decrease in operating income, with an operating ratio of 92.8%, an increase of 300 basis points over the second quarter of 2024.
Company Guidance
During ArcBest's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, several key metrics and strategic initiatives were highlighted. The company reported consolidated revenue of $1 billion, a 5% decrease year-over-year, and a non-GAAP operating income of $45 million, down from $64 million in the previous year. The Asset-Based segment saw a $22 million decrease in operating income, while the Asset-Light segment achieved a non-GAAP operating income improvement of nearly $4 million. ArcBest's strategic focus on profitable growth, optimization, and efficiency contributed to shipment growth, with daily ABF shipments increasing by 6% to 21,000 shipments per day. Furthermore, ArcBest announced a general rate increase of 5.9%, effective August 4, 2025, and highlighted ongoing investments in technology, such as AI and predictive analytics, to optimize operations. The company also emphasized its commitment to long-term shareholder value through strategic board changes and leadership transitions. Looking forward, ArcBest anticipates continued growth in Asset-Based shipments and aims to maintain its disciplined pricing strategy amidst market headwinds.

ArcBest Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ArcBest's financial performance is stable with operational efficiency and a balanced capital structure. However, declining revenue growth and fluctuating cash flow metrics present challenges that need addressing to ensure sustained financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
ArcBest's income statement shows a mixed performance. The company has experienced a decline in revenue growth, with a negative growth rate in recent periods, indicating potential challenges in maintaining sales momentum. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have remained relatively stable, suggesting operational efficiency. The gross profit margin has decreased over time, which could impact profitability if not addressed. Overall, while profitability metrics are stable, the declining revenue trend is a concern.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
ArcBest's balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio, indicating prudent leverage. The return on equity has decreased from previous highs but remains healthy, showcasing the company's ability to generate returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced capital structure. While the financial stability is commendable, the slight decline in ROE warrants attention.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals a positive trajectory in free cash flow growth, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is moderate, suggesting efficient cash conversion from earnings. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has fluctuated, highlighting potential volatility in cash flow management. Overall, the cash flow position is strong, but consistency in free cash flow generation could be improved.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.05B4.18B4.43B5.03B3.77B2.94B
Gross Profit314.40M350.00M378.43M573.52M406.33M228.13M
EBITDA381.56M376.78M341.74M536.07M406.22M222.58M
Net Income158.29M173.96M195.43M298.21M213.52M71.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.47B2.43B2.49B2.49B2.11B1.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments139.68M157.20M330.07M325.93M124.96M369.36M
Total Debt491.47M413.48M437.73M438.68M337.11M403.55M
Total Liabilities1.17B1.12B1.24B1.34B1.18B950.41M
Stockholders Equity1.30B1.31B1.24B1.15B929.07M828.59M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow65.56M45.85M90.17M305.31M245.04M148.50M
Operating Cash Flow231.75M285.85M322.17M470.82M323.51M205.99M
Investing Cash Flow-137.10M-187.28M-21.70M-261.08M-303.20M7.46M
Financing Cash Flow-195.37M-233.35M-196.61M-127.98M-247.65M-111.41M

ArcBest Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price74.32
Price Trends
50DMA
72.49
Positive
100DMA
74.17
Positive
200DMA
74.17
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.39
Positive
RSI
53.10
Neutral
STOCH
28.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ARCB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 74.32 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 73.51, above the 50-day MA of 72.49, and above the 200-day MA of 74.17, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.39 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ARCB.

ArcBest Risk Analysis

ArcBest disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ArcBest reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ArcBest Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$1.69B11.0512.50%0.65%-6.42%25.72%
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
$504.65M16.986.84%1.31%1.62%-22.52%
$1.52B31.391.78%2.14%-3.42%
$426.01M6.989.67%2.60%-5.55%-52.21%
$835.58M43.102.53%2.34%-9.74%-42.57%
$603.78M-4.42%1.03%-19.56%-54.39%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ARCB
ArcBest
74.32
-25.63
-25.64%
CVLG
Covenant Logistics Group
20.17
-5.11
-20.21%
HTLD
Heartland Express
7.80
-3.01
-27.84%
MRTN
Marten Transport
10.25
-5.37
-34.38%
WERN
Werner Enterprises
26.20
-10.42
-28.45%
ULH
Universal Logistics
16.18
-26.76
-62.32%

ArcBest Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
ArcBest Expands Board with New Appointment
Neutral
Oct 31, 2025

On October 29, 2025, ArcBest Corporation announced the expansion of its Board of Directors by appointing Chris T. Sultemeier, who brings over 30 years of experience in logistics and transportation, to enhance the board’s capabilities. This move aligns with ArcBest’s strategy to strengthen its leadership as it continues to pursue long-term sustainable value for shareholders. Concurrently, Dr. Craig E. Philip announced his retirement from the board after 14 years of service, effective January 2026, and Eduardo F. Conrado was elected as the Lead Independent Director, succeeding Steven L. Spinner. These changes reflect ArcBest’s ongoing evaluation of board composition and its focus on maintaining a diverse and skilled leadership team.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARCB) stock is a Hold with a $80.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ArcBest stock, see the ARCB Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
ArcBest Announces Quarterly Cash Dividend Approval
Positive
Oct 31, 2025

On October 31, 2025, ArcBest announced that its Board of Directors approved a quarterly cash dividend of $0.12 per share, payable to shareholders on November 28, 2025. This decision reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may positively impact its market positioning by reinforcing investor confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARCB) stock is a Hold with a $80.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ArcBest stock, see the ARCB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
ArcBest Increases Share Repurchase Authorization to $125M
Positive
Sep 15, 2025

On September 15, 2025, ArcBest announced that its Board of Directors approved an increase in the company’s share repurchase authorization to $125 million. This decision reflects the board’s confidence in ArcBest’s strategy and long-term outlook. The company plans to repurchase shares through various methods, depending on market conditions, while maintaining a balanced capital allocation approach. This move is expected to impact ArcBest’s operations by potentially enhancing shareholder value and reinforcing its industry positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARCB) stock is a Hold with a $79.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ArcBest stock, see the ARCB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
ArcBest Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results Amid Challenges
Neutral
Sep 8, 2025

ArcBest reported its third quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a 5% year-over-year increase in daily shipments in August, despite a 3% decline in weight per shipment. The company expects to generate approximately $25 million in net proceeds from real estate sales, contributing to an estimated pre-tax gain of $16 million. However, macroeconomic pressures, including softness in manufacturing and housing, have led to lower-than-anticipated weight per shipment, affecting the company’s operating ratio. Despite these challenges, ArcBest has successfully added new core LTL business, with service levels normalizing after temporary impacts from volume growth. The company is implementing pricing adjustments to enhance profitability, while the asset-light segment saw a 6% decline in daily revenue in August due to soft freight market conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARCB) stock is a Hold with a $82.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ArcBest stock, see the ARCB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025