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Digital Turbine (APPS)
NASDAQ:APPS
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Digital Turbine (APPS) AI Stock Analysis

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Digital Turbine

(NASDAQ:APPS)

Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▼(-6.89%Downside)
Digital Turbine's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, balanced by positive earnings call sentiment. The company's strategic partnerships and improved EBITDA are promising, yet financial health and valuation remain concerns.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Revenue of $119mn slightly exceeded BofA ($117mn) and conservative Guide ($116mn), with EBITDA margin beating handily benefiting from cost savings.
Growth
APPS delivered its first quarter of growth since 2Q23, marking an important inflection after 10 consecutive quarters of Y/Y declines.
Partnerships
Adoption of alternative app distribution appears to be growing, with Epic, Xbox, and Pinterest all current partners of APPS.
Negative Factors
Competition
The burden remains on APPS to distinguish itself in a highly competitive (for business & capital) adtech space.
Valuation
APPS remains uncompelling relative to many adtech peers with more sanguine growth outlook, stronger competitive position, yet trading at similar valuations.

Digital Turbine (APPS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Digital Turbine Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDigital Turbine, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates a mobile growth platform for advertisers, publishers, carriers, and device original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). The company operates through three segments: On Device Media, In App Media – AdColony, and In App Media – Fyber. Its application media platform delivers mobile applications to various publishers, carriers, OEMs, and devices; and content media platform offers news, weather, sports, and other content, as well as programmatic advertising, and sponsored and editorial content media. The company also provides an end-to-end platform for brands, agencies, publishers, and application developers to deliver advertising to consumers on mobile devices; and a platform that allows mobile application developers and digital publishers to monetize their content through display, native, and video advertising. It operates in the United States, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, China, Mexico, Central America, and South America. The company is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyDigital Turbine makes money through a diverse revenue model primarily centered around its software platform, which facilitates app discovery and advertising. The company earns revenue by partnering with mobile operators and OEMs to preload apps on devices and through its programmatic advertising solutions that allow advertisers to reach targeted audiences. Key revenue streams include fees generated from app distribution agreements, mobile advertising, and user acquisition campaigns. Additionally, Digital Turbine benefits from strategic partnerships with telecom companies and device manufacturers, which expand its reach and enhance its service offerings, contributing significantly to its earnings.

Digital Turbine Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue streams from different business units or product lines, highlighting which areas drive growth and profitability, and where strategic adjustments may be needed.
Chart InsightsDigital Turbine's On-Device Solutions segment has shown a recovery trend, with a notable 11% increase in the latest quarter, aligning with the company's return to growth narrative. However, the App Growth Platform continues to face challenges, with a 3% decline in revenue year-over-year. Despite these mixed results, the company is optimistic, projecting significant revenue growth in fiscal year 2026, driven by strategic partnerships like T-Mobile and enhanced monetization strategies. Investors should watch for further developments in the AGP segment and the impact of new product launches.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Digital Turbine Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 16, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: 11.64%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive overall sentiment with significant growth in revenue and EBITDA, improved international RPD, and strategic partnerships, despite some challenges such as a decline in full-year revenue and a GAAP net loss.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Return to Growth
Digital Turbine reported a return to year-over-year growth on both top and bottom lines, with EBITDA growing by 66% year-over-year.
Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Achieved $119.1 million in revenue, $20.5 million in EBITDA, and $0.10 of non-GAAP earnings per share for the fiscal 2025 fourth quarter, marking a 6% revenue growth and 66% EBITDA growth year-over-year.
International RPD Increase
Reported more than 40% year-over-year increase in Revenue Per Device (RPD) in the U.S. and over 100% internationally, driven by strong advertiser demand and improved monetization.
Positive Cash Flow
Positive free cash flow of $5.5 million in March, representing an increase of more than $21 million compared to the prior year period.
T-Mobile Partnership
Announced T-Mobile is now live in the U.S. with Digital Turbine's Ignite product, expanding their device footprint.
Strategic Product Developments
Launched new version of Ignite on over 100 million devices, and significant strides in first-party data leveraging AI machine learning platform.
Negative Updates
Decline in Full Year Revenue
Total revenue for fiscal year 2025 was $490.5 million, representing a year-over-year decline of approximately 10% compared to fiscal year 2024.
GAAP Net Loss
Reported a GAAP net loss of $18.8 million for the fiscal fourth quarter and $92.1 million for the full fiscal year 2025.
AGP Segment Revenue Decline
Revenue for the AGP segment was down 3% year-over-year.
Company Guidance
During the Digital Turbine Fourth Quarter and Fiscal 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company shared several key metrics and guidance for future performance. They reported a year-over-year revenue growth of 6% to $119.2 million for the fourth quarter, with the ODS segment up 11% and AGP segment down 3%. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter grew by 66% year-over-year to $20.5 million, and the company achieved a positive free cash flow of $5.5 million. Non-GAAP gross margins expanded to 48% from 46% in the prior year period. For fiscal year 2025, total revenue was $490.5 million, with a GAAP net loss of $92.1 million and non-GAAP net income of $36.1 million. Looking forward, Digital Turbine projects fiscal year 2026 revenue between $515 million and $525 million, with adjusted EBITDA expected to range from $85 million to $95 million, reflecting their continued growth trajectory and operational efficiencies.

Digital Turbine Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Digital Turbine is facing financial difficulties with declining revenues, negative profit margins, and increased leverage. The cash flow situation is concerning, with negative free cash flow and reduced operating cash flow.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Digital Turbine has experienced a significant decline in revenue and profitability. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data shows a negative EBIT and net income, leading to negative profit margins. Revenue has decreased from previous years, indicating challenges in growth. However, there is a positive gross profit margin, which shows some ability to cover direct costs.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting significant leverage. Stockholders' equity has been decreasing, raising concerns about financial stability. However, the equity ratio remains positive, indicating that a portion of assets is financed by equity. The decrease in total assets and equity suggests that the company is experiencing financial strain.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Free cash flow has turned negative in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), indicating cash flow issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, but the negative free cash flow to net income ratio highlights challenges in generating cash from operations. Cash flow from operations has decreased substantially from previous periods.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue490.51M544.48M665.92M747.60M313.58M
Gross Profit220.68M247.46M320.23M347.11M132.57M
EBITDA28.84M54.57M46.16M92.24M66.32M
Net Income-92.10M-420.23M16.67M35.55M54.88M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets812.85M865.54M1.27B1.46B260.37M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments40.08M33.60M75.06M126.77M30.78M
Total Debt418.19M383.49M410.52M533.28M14.56M
Total Liabilities658.90M651.61M659.30M942.29M115.26M
Stockholders Equity153.96M213.93M605.20M514.57M145.11M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-15.60M4.40M10.60M61.46M53.59M
Operating Cash Flow11.88M28.68M15.86M84.74M62.80M
Investing Cash Flow-27.48M-43.85M-9.76M-172.00M-37.81M
Financing Cash Flow23.28M-29.30M-128.29M185.24M-15.22M

Digital Turbine Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.37
Price Trends
50DMA
5.08
Positive
100DMA
4.09
Positive
200DMA
3.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Positive
RSI
50.56
Neutral
STOCH
21.38
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For APPS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.37 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.50, above the 50-day MA of 5.08, and above the 200-day MA of 3.33, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.38 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for APPS.

Digital Turbine Risk Analysis

Digital Turbine disclosed 51 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Digital Turbine reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Digital Turbine Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
DSDSP
70
Outperform
$857.79M455.484.15%30.64%
APAPI
66
Neutral
$373.11M-5.62%-3.34%56.44%
58
Neutral
$737.50M-46.57%-2.39%-2961.26%
58
Neutral
$655.43M48.46%-0.81%9.83%
57
Neutral
HK$14.24B5.26-5.75%5.39%9.34%-42.23%
52
Neutral
$579.73M-50.07%-9.91%78.56%
48
Neutral
$292.82M-104.69%-1.64%9.99%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
APPS
Digital Turbine
5.37
3.12
138.67%
DOMO
Domo
16.29
8.15
100.12%
API
Agora
3.99
1.47
58.33%
NRDY
Nerdy
1.59
-0.10
-5.92%
DSP
Viant Technology
13.71
2.10
18.09%
BMBL
Bumble
7.14
-1.97
-21.62%

Digital Turbine Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Digital Turbine Approves Executive Compensation Plan
Neutral
May 29, 2025

On May 23, 2025, Digital Turbine‘s Compensation and Human Capital Management Committee approved performance-based restricted stock units (PSUs) and stock options for its top executives, including the CEO, CFO, CBO, and CTO. The PSUs are tied to achieving specific revenue and EBITDA targets over three years, while the stock options vest over a three-year period, aligning executive compensation with the company’s financial performance goals.

The most recent analyst rating on (APPS) stock is a Hold with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Digital Turbine stock, see the APPS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 12, 2025