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Digital Turbine (APPS)
NASDAQ:APPS

Digital Turbine (APPS) AI Stock Analysis

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Digital Turbine

(NASDAQ:APPS)

Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$6.00
▲(4.71%Upside)
The overall score reflects significant financial challenges, with declining revenues and cash flow issues being the most impactful. However, positive technical indicators and growth prospects highlighted in the earnings call provide some optimism. The lack of profitability and dividend yield further weigh down the score.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Revenue of $119mn slightly exceeded BofA ($117mn) and conservative Guide ($116mn), with EBITDA margin beating handily benefiting from cost savings.
Partnerships
Adoption of alternative app distribution appears to be growing, with Epic, Xbox, and Pinterest all current partners of APPS.
Revenue Growth
APPS delivered its first quarter of growth since 2Q23, marking an important inflection after 10 consecutive quarters of Y/Y declines.
Negative Factors
Competitive Position
The burden remains on APPS to distinguish itself in a highly competitive (for business & capital) adtech space.
Market Competition
APPS remains uncompelling relative to many adtech peers with more sanguine growth outlook, stronger competitive position, yet trading at similar valuations.
Valuation Concerns
At 10x FY26E EBITDA, APPS remains uncompelling relative to many adtech peers with more sanguine growth outlook.

Digital Turbine (APPS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Digital Turbine Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDigital Turbine, Inc. (APPS) is a leading mobile growth platform company based in the United States. Operating primarily in the technology sector, the company provides end-to-end solutions for mobile operators, original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), and app developers. Its core products and services focus on delivering app distribution, user engagement, and mobile advertising solutions that enhance user experience and drive monetization for its partners.
How the Company Makes MoneyDigital Turbine makes money through a diverse revenue model primarily centered around its software platform, which facilitates app discovery and advertising. The company earns revenue by partnering with mobile operators and OEMs to preload apps on devices and through its programmatic advertising solutions that allow advertisers to reach targeted audiences. Key revenue streams include fees generated from app distribution agreements, mobile advertising, and user acquisition campaigns. Additionally, Digital Turbine benefits from strategic partnerships with telecom companies and device manufacturers, which expand its reach and enhance its service offerings, contributing significantly to its earnings.

Digital Turbine Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue streams from different business units or product lines, highlighting which areas drive growth and profitability, and where strategic adjustments may be needed.
Chart InsightsDigital Turbine's On-Device Solutions segment has shown a recovery trend, with a notable 11% increase in the latest quarter, aligning with the company's return to growth narrative. However, the App Growth Platform continues to face challenges, with a 3% decline in revenue year-over-year. Despite these mixed results, the company is optimistic, projecting significant revenue growth in fiscal year 2026, driven by strategic partnerships like T-Mobile and enhanced monetization strategies. Investors should watch for further developments in the AGP segment and the impact of new product launches.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Digital Turbine Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 16, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: 19.13%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive overall sentiment with significant growth in revenue and EBITDA, improved international RPD, and strategic partnerships, despite some challenges such as a decline in full-year revenue and a GAAP net loss.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Return to Growth
Digital Turbine reported a return to year-over-year growth on both top and bottom lines, with EBITDA growing by 66% year-over-year.
Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Achieved $119.1 million in revenue, $20.5 million in EBITDA, and $0.10 of non-GAAP earnings per share for the fiscal 2025 fourth quarter, marking a 6% revenue growth and 66% EBITDA growth year-over-year.
International RPD Increase
Reported more than 40% year-over-year increase in Revenue Per Device (RPD) in the U.S. and over 100% internationally, driven by strong advertiser demand and improved monetization.
Positive Cash Flow
Positive free cash flow of $5.5 million in March, representing an increase of more than $21 million compared to the prior year period.
T-Mobile Partnership
Announced T-Mobile is now live in the U.S. with Digital Turbine's Ignite product, expanding their device footprint.
Strategic Product Developments
Launched new version of Ignite on over 100 million devices, and significant strides in first-party data leveraging AI machine learning platform.
Negative Updates
Decline in Full Year Revenue
Total revenue for fiscal year 2025 was $490.5 million, representing a year-over-year decline of approximately 10% compared to fiscal year 2024.
GAAP Net Loss
Reported a GAAP net loss of $18.8 million for the fiscal fourth quarter and $92.1 million for the full fiscal year 2025.
AGP Segment Revenue Decline
Revenue for the AGP segment was down 3% year-over-year.
Company Guidance
During the Digital Turbine Fourth Quarter and Fiscal 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company shared several key metrics and guidance for future performance. They reported a year-over-year revenue growth of 6% to $119.2 million for the fourth quarter, with the ODS segment up 11% and AGP segment down 3%. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter grew by 66% year-over-year to $20.5 million, and the company achieved a positive free cash flow of $5.5 million. Non-GAAP gross margins expanded to 48% from 46% in the prior year period. For fiscal year 2025, total revenue was $490.5 million, with a GAAP net loss of $92.1 million and non-GAAP net income of $36.1 million. Looking forward, Digital Turbine projects fiscal year 2026 revenue between $515 million and $525 million, with adjusted EBITDA expected to range from $85 million to $95 million, reflecting their continued growth trajectory and operational efficiencies.

Digital Turbine Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Digital Turbine's financial statements indicate significant challenges, with a negative EBIT and net income reflecting operational inefficiencies. Although gross profit is positive, the company is unprofitable with negative margins. The balance sheet shows moderate strength with zero debt but declining equity, while cash flow is weak with negative free and operating cash flow, highlighting liquidity issues.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Digital Turbine's income statement reflects significant challenges. The TTM data shows a negative EBIT and net income, indicating operational inefficiencies and unprofitability. The company experienced a substantial decline in revenue from the previous year, highlighting issues with revenue growth. Despite these challenges, gross profit remains positive, suggesting some capacity to cover costs if efficiency improves.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet exhibits moderate strength with a positive equity position, indicating some financial stability. With zero total debt in the TTM period, the company has reduced leverage, which lowers financial risk. However, the declining stockholders' equity over recent periods suggests pressures on shareholder value and potential liquidity concerns.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals significant weakness, with negative free cash flow and operating cash flow in the TTM period. This indicates that the company is not generating enough cash from operations to support its capital expenditures or sustain its operations without external financing. The negative free cash flow growth further underscores cash management challenges.
BreakdownTTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue483.58M544.48M665.92M747.60M313.58M138.72M
Gross Profit243.74M247.46M320.23M347.11M132.57M53.67M
EBITDA23.62M54.57M46.16M92.24M66.32M15.55M
Net Income-309.78M-420.23M16.67M35.55M54.88M13.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets839.71M865.54M1.27B1.46B260.37M184.01M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments35.31M33.60M75.06M126.77M30.78M21.53M
Total Debt414.94M383.49M410.52M533.28M14.56M19.69M
Total Liabilities676.15M651.61M659.30M942.29M115.26M106.56M
Stockholders Equity163.56M213.93M605.20M514.57M145.11M77.45M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-38.81M4.40M10.60M61.46M53.59M26.53M
Operating Cash Flow-11.38M28.68M15.86M84.74M62.80M31.38M
Investing Cash Flow-37.38M-43.85M-9.76M-172.00M-37.81M-46.72M
Financing Cash Flow33.22M-29.30M-128.29M185.24M-15.22M26.18M

Digital Turbine Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.73
Price Trends
50DMA
4.40
Positive
100DMA
3.99
Positive
200DMA
3.14
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.33
Positive
RSI
55.49
Neutral
STOCH
26.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For APPS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.73 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.30, above the 50-day MA of 4.40, and above the 200-day MA of 3.14, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.33 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for APPS.

Digital Turbine Risk Analysis

Digital Turbine disclosed 51 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Digital Turbine reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Digital Turbine Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
DSDSP
65
Neutral
$831.51M441.534.15%30.64%
63
Neutral
$33.22B5.99-11.76%1.91%5.54%-19.87%
58
Neutral
$666.23M-46.57%-2.39%-2961.26%
APAPI
55
Neutral
$353.47M-5.62%-3.34%56.44%
54
Neutral
$613.01M-50.07%-9.91%78.56%
53
Neutral
$559.67M48.46%-0.81%9.83%
48
Neutral
$292.82M-104.69%-1.64%9.99%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
APPS
Digital Turbine
5.73
4.04
239.05%
DOMO
Domo
13.91
6.31
83.03%
API
Agora
3.78
1.61
74.19%
NRDY
Nerdy
1.59
-0.02
-1.24%
DSP
Viant Technology
13.29
2.92
28.16%
BMBL
Bumble
6.45
-3.48
-35.05%

Digital Turbine Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Digital Turbine Approves Executive Compensation Plan
Neutral
May 29, 2025

On May 23, 2025, Digital Turbine‘s Compensation and Human Capital Management Committee approved performance-based restricted stock units (PSUs) and stock options for its top executives, including the CEO, CFO, CBO, and CTO. The PSUs are tied to achieving specific revenue and EBITDA targets over three years, while the stock options vest over a three-year period, aligning executive compensation with the company’s financial performance goals.

The most recent analyst rating on (APPS) stock is a Hold with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Digital Turbine stock, see the APPS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 28, 2025