tiprankstipranks
Agora, Inc. (API)
NASDAQ:API

Agora (API) AI Stock Analysis

639 Followers

Top Page

API

Agora

(NASDAQ:API)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$4.00
▼(-3.61% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/08/26
The score is held back primarily by uneven financial performance (still-negative operating profit and mostly negative free cash flow despite recent improvement). The latest earnings call provides a meaningful offset with upbeat guidance, profitability momentum, and strong liquidity/buybacks, while technicals and valuation are neutral-to-slightly negative and do not add strong support.
Positive Factors
Balance sheet & liquidity
A large cash balance and historically low leverage provide durable financial flexibility to fund product investments, weather execution hiccups, and support strategic actions (share repurchases, targeted M&A or R&D) without forcing dilutive financing in the near-to-medium term.
Negative Factors
Revenue volatility & segment retention
Uneven revenue trends and below-100 retention in Shengwang signal structural customer churn or weak expansion in that segment. Persistent volatility across quarters complicates forecasting and requires sustained execution to translate product wins into consistent, diversified growth streams.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance sheet & liquidity
A large cash balance and historically low leverage provide durable financial flexibility to fund product investments, weather execution hiccups, and support strategic actions (share repurchases, targeted M&A or R&D) without forcing dilutive financing in the near-to-medium term.
Read all positive factors

Agora (API) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Agora Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Agora, Inc. provides Real-Time Engagement Platform-as-a-Service (RTE-PaaS) in the People's Republic of China, the United States, and internationally. The company RTE-PaaS offers developers with software tools to embed real-time video, voice, and m...
How the Company Makes Money
Agora primarily generates revenue by charging customers for usage of its real-time engagement APIs/SDKs (e.g., voice/video, interactive live streaming, and messaging) in a consumption-based model where fees scale with activity/volume. Revenue is t...

Agora Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 02, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted solid operational and financial momentum — double-digit YoY revenue growth, restored GAAP profitability, strong operating cash flow, a large-scale product win (600k peak viewers), expanding conversational AI usage and product adoption, and continued capital returns via buybacks. Headwinds are largely transitional and tied to ramping conversational AI (subscale infrastructure, pilot monetization lag) and a slight YoY gross margin decline driven by that mix; Shengwang's DBNR below 100 and near-term margin items (SBC and amortization) are additional cautions. Overall, positives (growth, profitability, cash, product validation and AI momentum) outweigh near-term AI-related margin and scale challenges.
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth and Beat
Total Q4 revenue of $38.2M, up 10.7% year-over-year and above the high end of guidance; company reports fourth consecutive quarter of double-digit organic growth.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Pressure from Early-Stage AI Products
Quarter gross margin of 65.1%, down 1.5 percentage points YoY and 0.9pp sequentially; decline primarily attributed to conversational AI products running at subscale levels and POC pilots (often uncharged), dragging overall margin.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Revenue Growth and Beat
Total Q4 revenue of $38.2M, up 10.7% year-over-year and above the high end of guidance; company reports fourth consecutive quarter of double-digit organic growth.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
For Q1 2026 the company guided total revenues of $36.0–$37.0 million (versus $33.3M in Q1 2025), implying year‑over‑year growth of 8.1%–11.1%; management expects gross margin to be roughly flat versus Q4 2025, sees net income growing versus 2025, and anticipates significant operating income improvement with a goal of achieving GAAP operating profit in Q4 2026 (2026 outlook assumes about $6.0M of share‑based compensation and ~ $4.0M of headquarters‑project amortization). They also expect conversational AI revenue to ramp through 2026 toward roughly 5% of ARR by year‑end, and noted quarter‑end liquidity of $374.9M plus a Board‑approved share repurchase program extended through Feb 28, 2027 ( ~$143.1M repurchased to date, 71.6% of a $200M authorization).

Agora Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: solid gross margins and a strong balance sheet cushion, but revenue has been volatile and operating profitability is not yet consistent. Cash flow improved in 2025 (positive operating cash flow), yet free cash flow remains negative and operating profit is still below zero, keeping execution risk elevated.
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
41
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue141.43M133.26M141.54M160.67M167.98M
Gross Profit93.91M85.45M89.47M99.42M104.01M
EBITDA-4.89M-31.19M-78.27M-104.08M-61.63M
Net Income9.55M-42.73M-87.22M-120.62M-72.69M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets721.10M699.65M674.60M800.72M945.00M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments219.69M269.66M216.65M427.71M755.30M
Total Debt82.34M50.14M15.20M2.27M7.41M
Total Liabilities158.25M126.99M69.85M72.45M78.74M
Stockholders Equity562.85M572.66M604.75M728.26M866.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.29M-49.38M-30.46M-254.25M-32.47M
Operating Cash Flow27.42M-14.13M-13.61M-44.38M-20.00M
Investing Cash Flow13.24M-38.05M56.64M-151.06M-57.69M
Financing Cash Flow5.01M45.99M-52.37M-42.15M251.94M

Agora Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price4.15
Price Trends
50DMA
4.09
Negative
100DMA
4.05
Negative
200DMA
3.88
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Negative
RSI
48.14
Neutral
STOCH
69.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For API, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 4.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.62, above the 50-day MA of 4.09, and above the 200-day MA of 3.88, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for API.

Agora Risk Analysis

Agora disclosed 86 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Agora reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Agora Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$139.44M33.5114.66%0.57%11.05%18.55%
64
Neutral
$410.05M-28.83-5.64%-0.68%-146.14%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
57
Neutral
$346.92M39.181.68%1.62%
55
Neutral
$250.77M13.24-2.93%0.25%92.10%
54
Neutral
$274.93M-6.33-25.34%-24.30%-181.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
API
Agora
3.83
0.84
28.09%
EGHT
8X8
1.71
0.07
4.27%
TRAK
ReposiTrak
7.63
-12.56
-62.21%
PUBM
PubMatic
8.79
0.49
5.90%
SMRT
SmartRent
1.44
0.72
100.00%

Agora Corporate Events

Agora Returns to Full-Year Profit in 2025 on AI-Driven Growth and Cost Cuts
Mar 3, 2026
Agora, Inc. reported unaudited results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, showing its fifth consecutive quarter of GAAP profitability and its first full profitable year since 2018, driven by double-digit revenue growth...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 08, 2026