tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Apollo Global Management LLC (APO)
NYSE:APO

Apollo Global Management (APO) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
1,756 Followers

Top Page

AP

Apollo Global Management

(NYSE:APO)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$148.00
▲(11.20%Upside)
Apollo Global Management's strong financial health and positive corporate governance changes are significant positives. However, challenges in revenue growth, cash flow volatility, and competitive pressures slightly temper the overall outlook.
Positive Factors
Interest Rates
Higher interest rates are expected to serve as a relative tailwind for Apollo Global compared to its peers, benefiting its spread and private credit returns.
Market Sentiment
Price target for Apollo Global Management is increased by 3% to $135, reflecting a positive market sentiment.
Strategic Acquisitions
APO acquiring BRDG for $1.5b in an all equity deal that adds approximately $33b AUM to APO's existing $77b real estate platform.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
There is a modest shortfall in financial results compared to consensus, indicating potential risks.
Fundraising Challenges
Apollo Global reported mixed results with a miss on fundraising and strategic real estate due to higher liability costs.
Growth Expectations
In 2025, APO targets FRE growth of 15-20%, which is below the 5Y guidance of 20%.

Apollo Global Management (APO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Apollo Global Management Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionApollo Global Management, Inc. (APO) is a leading global alternative investment manager. The company operates across three primary business segments: Private Equity, Credit, and Real Assets. Apollo provides a range of investment services to institutional investors, including pension funds, endowments, and sovereign wealth funds, as well as to individual investors. With a focus on long-term value creation, Apollo manages a diverse array of funds and investment vehicles that encompass various asset classes and geographies.
How the Company Makes MoneyApollo Global Management generates revenue primarily through management fees, performance fees, and investment income. Management fees are earned based on a percentage of the assets under management (AUM) across its investment funds. Performance fees, or carried interest, are earned when the funds exceed certain return thresholds, aligning the firm's interests with those of its investors. Additionally, Apollo invests its own capital alongside its clients, generating investment income from these proprietary investments. The firm's earnings are also influenced by strategic partnerships, co-investments, and its ability to leverage its extensive industry expertise and global network to identify and capitalize on investment opportunities.

Apollo Global Management Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 02, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -3.14%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights Apollo's strong start to 2025 with record fee-related earnings, significant AUM growth, and robust origination performance. However, challenges such as increased cost of funds, competitive pressures, and lowered spread-related earnings guidance indicate a cautious outlook. Overall, the positive highlights are tempered by some significant lowlights, suggesting a balanced sentiment.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Fee-Related Earnings
Apollo generated record fee-related earnings of $559 million, representing a 21% increase year over year.
Strong Asset Under Management (AUM) Growth
Apollo's AUM reached $785 billion, marking a 17% increase year over year.
Record Quarterly Organic Inflows
Apollo reported record quarterly organic inflows of $43 billion, with $18 billion from asset management and $20 billion from Athene.
Significant Origination Growth
Apollo originated $56 billion of assets during the quarter, representing nearly a 30% growth year over year.
Strong Performance in Private Equity
Apollo's most recent private equity fund, Fund Ten, achieved a net IRR of 19%, outperforming industry peers with 9%.
Negative Updates
Increased Cost of Funds
Apollo's cost of funds increased by 28%, attributed to funding agreements.
Competitive Pressure in Retail Channel
Apollo faced increased competition in retail sales of fixed annuities, leading to lower spreads.
Lower Spread-Related Earnings Guidance
Apollo adjusted its spread-related earnings growth target to mid-single digits for 2025, down from previous expectations.
Company Guidance
During Apollo Global Management's First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, strong financial outcomes were highlighted, demonstrating significant growth and strategic positioning amidst volatile market conditions. Key financial metrics included record fee-related earnings of $559 million, or $0.91 per share, and spread-related earnings, excluding notable items, of $826 million, or $1.35 per share. The firm's adjusted net income reached $1.1 billion, equating to $1.82 per share. Apollo also declared a cash dividend of $0.51 per share, marking a 10% increase from the previous quarter. The discussion underscored the firm's asset management success, citing assets under management (AUM) of $785 billion, a 17% year-over-year increase, and record inflows of $43 billion. Notably, fund-level returns were strong, with credit business returns ranging from 8% to 12% and hybrid area returns at 19% on a last twelve months (LTM) basis. Apollo's strategic focus on origination and asset acquisition was emphasized, positioning the firm for potential acceleration in returns despite market volatility.

Apollo Global Management Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Apollo Global Management displays strong financial health with robust profitability and a solid balance sheet. Despite some challenges with revenue growth and volatility in cash flows, the company remains well-positioned in the asset management industry with a sound capital structure and efficient operations.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Apollo Global Management demonstrates strong profitability with a solid gross profit margin and positive net income. However, recent revenue growth has been negative, which could indicate challenges in growing the top line. The EBIT and EBITDA margins suggest efficient operations, but the decline in net income compared to prior periods is a concern.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a high level of cash and short-term investments. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively low, indicating manageable leverage. The return on equity is positive, suggesting effective use of shareholder capital, and the equity ratio is strong, reflecting stability and financial health.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow is consistently positive, which is a positive indicator of cash generation from operations. However, free cash flow growth has been inconsistent, and the reliance on financing activities indicates potential risks if external funding becomes constrained. The cash flow to net income ratios highlight efficient cash conversion, although recent trends show some volatility.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
24.62B26.11B32.64B10.97B5.95B2.35B
Gross Profit
22.44B23.51B31.62B10.04B5.17B1.73B
EBIT
7.33B7.33B28.35B-3.84B2.63B1.41B
EBITDA
7.81B8.41B9.12B-1.69B2.66B1.43B
Net Income Common Stockholders
3.59B4.58B5.05B-1.96B1.84B157.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
216.43B205.98B170.24B1.31B917.18M2.45B
Total Assets
395.05B377.89B313.49B13.79B30.50B23.67B
Total Debt
10.58B10.59B8.09B3.53B3.64B14.62B
Net Debt
-2.72B-5.58B-7.84B2.22B2.72B12.17B
Total Liabilities
362.70B347.57B288.24B9.30B20.31B17.37B
Stockholders Equity
17.98B17.25B14.04B1.85B3.79B1.43B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
3.55B3.25B6.32B3.59B999.31M-1.68B
Operating Cash Flow
3.55B3.25B6.32B3.79B1.06B-1.62B
Investing Cash Flow
-62.66B-61.80B-42.41B-23.44B-1.55B-837.66M
Financing Cash Flow
54.91B57.97B42.64B28.71B109.00M3.30B

Apollo Global Management Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price133.09
Price Trends
50DMA
132.29
Positive
100DMA
139.56
Negative
200DMA
144.53
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Positive
RSI
48.58
Neutral
STOCH
33.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For APO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 133.09 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 132.60, above the 50-day MA of 132.29, and below the 200-day MA of 144.53, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for APO.

Apollo Global Management Risk Analysis

Apollo Global Management disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Apollo Global Management reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Apollo Global Management Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
NUNU
75
Outperform
$58.98B27.3327.91%33.20%68.09%
CGCG
73
Outperform
$16.65B15.5720.38%3.04%81.86%
APAPO
72
Outperform
$75.64B23.3821.17%1.54%-27.96%-37.13%
OWOWL
72
Outperform
$28.65B187.114.62%4.82%32.99%8.06%
71
Outperform
$53.94B95.4712.97%2.71%19.02%-22.75%
KKKKR
68
Neutral
$109.91B53.509.03%0.60%-27.45%-46.67%
64
Neutral
$12.77B9.787.84%78.83%12.06%-7.99%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
APO
Apollo Global Management
133.09
16.24
13.90%
KKR
KKR & Co
122.42
12.99
11.87%
CG
Carlyle Group
47.07
7.26
18.24%
ARES
Ares Management
167.34
36.08
27.49%
OWL
Blue Owl Capital
18.67
1.56
9.12%
NU
Nu Holdings
12.24
0.16
1.32%

Apollo Global Management Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Apollo Global Management Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On June 6, 2025, Apollo Global Management held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where several key decisions were made. The election of board members resulted in the appointment of fifteen directors for a one-year term, with most nominees receiving strong support from stockholders. Additionally, Deloitte & Touche LLP was ratified as the company’s independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. These decisions are expected to influence the company’s governance and financial oversight, potentially impacting its strategic direction and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (APO) stock is a Buy with a $129.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Apollo Global Management stock, see the APO Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Apollo Global Management Issues Regulatory Clarification
Neutral
May 12, 2025

Apollo Global Management has issued a Current Report on Form 8-K, clarifying that the information provided is not considered ‘filed’ under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. This announcement outlines the legal framework for how the information is to be treated, potentially affecting how stakeholders perceive the company’s regulatory obligations.

The most recent analyst rating on (APO) stock is a Buy with a $129.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Apollo Global Management stock, see the APO Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Apollo Global Management Announces Board Leadership Changes
Positive
Apr 17, 2025

Apollo Global Management announced significant changes to its Board of Directors, effective April 21, 2025. Gary Cohn, former Vice Chairman of IBM and a seasoned financial services leader, has been appointed as the Lead Independent Director, filling the vacancy left by Jay Clayton, who will become the Interim US Attorney for the Southern District of New York. Additionally, CEO Marc Rowan has been appointed as the Chair of the Board, reflecting Apollo’s commitment to strong governance and strategic leadership. These changes are expected to enhance Apollo’s governance and support its growth strategy in the financial services industry.

Financial Disclosures
Apollo Global Management Announces Q1 2025 Investment Estimates
Neutral
Apr 2, 2025

Apollo Global Management, Inc. and its subsidiary Athene Holding Ltd. have announced preliminary estimates for their alternative net investment income for the first quarter ending March 31, 2025. The company anticipates approximately $290 million in pre-tax income, translating to an estimated 9% annualized return on alternative net investments. Athene’s investments in a pooled vehicle are expected to yield a 10% return, while other investments, including retirement services platforms, are estimated to return 6%. These figures are preliminary and subject to change, as the financial closing procedures are not yet complete, and the results have not been audited.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.