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Apollo Global (APO)
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Apollo Global Management (APO) AI Stock Analysis

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APO

Apollo Global Management

(NYSE:APO)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$162.00
▲(11.31% Upside)
Apollo Global Management's strong earnings performance and robust financial health are key strengths, driving a positive outlook. However, technical indicators and valuation suggest caution, with potential resistance and a relatively high P/E ratio. Earnings call insights highlight strategic growth, but challenges in mutual fund realizations and spread tightening warrant attention.
Positive Factors
Interest Rates
Higher interest rates are expected to benefit Apollo Global compared to its peers, serving as a tailwind for its spread and private credit returns.
Real Estate Acquisition
The acquisition of BRDG for $1.5 billion enhances APO's real estate platform by adding $33 billion in assets under management, bringing new capabilities and scale.
Strategic Plans
Apollo Global expects to be more active in strategic mergers and acquisitions, targeting product gaps in secular growth verticals.
Negative Factors
Earnings Forecast
The lower-than-expected investment income suggests a decrease of approximately 2% to the Street's forecast for second quarter earnings per share.
Investment Income
APO's preliminary alternative investment income for the second quarter is below both the forecast and current consensus, indicating a decrease in expected earnings.
Return Targets
The alternative portfolio return of 10% for the second quarter is below the targeted level of 11%, partly due to lower returns from retirement services platforms.

Apollo Global Management (APO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Apollo Global Management Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionApollo Global Management, Inc. is a private equity firm specializing in investments in credit, private equity and real estate markets. The firm's private equity investments include traditional buyouts, recapitalization, distressed buyouts and debt investments in real estate, corporate partner buyouts, distressed asset, corporate carve-outs, middle market, growth capital, turnaround, bridge, corporate restructuring, special situation, acquisition, and industry consolidation transactions. The firm provides its services to endowment and sovereign wealth funds, as well as other institutional and individual investors. It manages client focused portfolios. The firm launches and manages hedge funds for its clients. It also manages real estate funds and private equity funds for its clients. The firm invests in the fixed income and alternative investment markets across the globe. Its fixed income investments include income-oriented senior loans, bonds, collateralized loan obligations, structured credit, opportunistic credit, non-performing loans, distressed debt, mezzanine debt, and value oriented fixed income securities. The firm seeks to invest in chemicals, commodities, consumer and retail, oil and gas, metals, mining, agriculture, commodities, distribution and transportation, financial and business services, manufacturing and industrial, media distribution, cable, entertainment and leisure, telecom, technology, natural resources, energy, packaging and materials, and satellite and wireless industries. It seeks to invest in companies based in across Africa, North America with a focus on United States, and Europe. The firm also makes investments outside North America, primarily in Western Europe and Asia. It employs a combination of contrarian, value, and distressed strategies to make its investments. The firm seeks to make investments in the range of $10 million and $1500 million. The firm seeks to invest in companies with Enterprise value between $750 million to $2500 million. The firm conducts an in-house research to create its investment portfolio. It seeks to acquire minority and majority positions in its portfolio companies. Apollo Global Management, Inc. was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in New York, New York with additional offices in North America, Asia and Europe.
How the Company Makes MoneyApollo Global Management generates revenue primarily through management fees, performance fees, and investment income. Management fees are earned based on a percentage of the assets under management (AUM) across its investment funds. Performance fees, or carried interest, are earned when the funds exceed certain return thresholds, aligning the firm's interests with those of its investors. Additionally, Apollo invests its own capital alongside its clients, generating investment income from these proprietary investments. The firm's earnings are also influenced by strategic partnerships, co-investments, and its ability to leverage its extensive industry expertise and global network to identify and capitalize on investment opportunities.

Apollo Global Management Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Profit by Segment
Gross Profit by Segment
Reveals gross profit margins in different segments, offering insight into operational efficiency and profitability across the company's diverse operations.
Chart InsightsApollo Global Management's Asset Management segment shows volatility, with recent negative gross profit indicating potential challenges. However, the Retirement Services segment has rebounded strongly since 2022, driven by strategic asset origination and management, as highlighted in the earnings call. Despite increased costs and competitive pressures, Apollo's record fee-related earnings and significant AUM growth suggest a robust strategic position, potentially offsetting segment-specific fluctuations. Investors should watch for how Apollo navigates market volatility and competitive challenges to sustain its growth trajectory.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Apollo Global Management Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 2.48%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Apollo Global Management's second quarter earnings call highlighted strong performance across multiple segments, with record-breaking earnings and asset growth. The firm successfully navigated challenges of spread tightening and continued to innovate in origination. While realizations in mutual funds remain a concern, overall performance remains robust.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Fee-Related Earnings (FRE)
Apollo reported record FRE of $627 million, up 22% year-over-year, driven by management fee growth of 21% and record ACS fees of $216 million.
Strong Asset Management Performance
Asset management AUM reached a record $840 billion, with fee-generating AUM growing 22% to $638 billion. Nearly 60% of total AUM is comprised of perpetual capital.
Impressive Origination Volume
Apollo originated $81 billion of assets during the quarter, representing nearly 50% growth year-over-year, with significant contributions from core credit and high-grade capital solutions.
Robust Inflows Across the Firm
The firm generated $61 billion of inflows in the quarter, including record organic inflows of $49 billion, driven by asset management and Athene.
Continued Strong Performance in Retirement Services
Athene recorded $21 billion of organic inflows, marking the second highest result on record, with notable strength in fixed index annuities and favorable issuance spreads.
Hybrid Segment Growth
The hybrid segment achieved a 17% return across the franchise over the latest 12 months, with funds closing in at $11.1% over the latest 12 months and 2.6% in the quarter.
Negative Updates
Spread Tightening and Commoditization
Apollo noted spread tightening in traditional channels like CLOs, which have become commoditized, necessitating a pivot to other origination products.
Mutual Fund Realization Challenges
Realizations remained below historic levels, with some expectations for improvement but acknowledgment of broader market structure issues impacting the industry.
Company Guidance
During Apollo Global Management's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company highlighted several key metrics demonstrating robust performance. Apollo reported a record Fee-Related Earnings (FRE) of $627 million, marking a 22% increase year-over-year, and management fee growth of 21% over the same period. Additionally, Capital Solutions fees reached a record $216 million. The company's total Assets Under Management (AUM) hit a new high of $840 billion, with $61 billion in robust inflows across the firm. In their credit business, returns varied between 9% and 12% over the past 12 months, and the equity segment saw strong figures with Fund X generating a net Internal Rate of Return (IRR) of 23%. Moreover, in retirement services, Apollo noted $21 billion in inflows for the quarter and maintained a focus on developing innovative products to meet growing market demands. The firm also highlighted strategic growth in various regions, particularly Europe, and emphasized the importance of origination capabilities in driving the company's success.

Apollo Global Management Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Apollo Global Management demonstrates strong profitability with a solid gross profit margin and positive net income. However, recent revenue growth has been negative, and volatility in cash flows presents challenges. The company maintains a strong balance sheet with effective use of shareholder capital.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Apollo Global Management demonstrates strong profitability with a solid gross profit margin and positive net income. However, recent revenue growth has been negative, which could indicate challenges in growing the top line. The EBIT and EBITDA margins suggest efficient operations, but the decline in net income compared to prior periods is a concern.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a high level of cash and short-term investments. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively low, indicating manageable leverage. The return on equity is positive, suggesting effective use of shareholder capital, and the equity ratio is strong, reflecting stability and financial health.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow is consistently positive, which is a positive indicator of cash generation from operations. However, free cash flow growth has been inconsistent, and the reliance on financing activities indicates potential risks if external funding becomes constrained. The cash flow to net income ratios highlight efficient cash conversion, although recent trends show some volatility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue24.62B26.11B32.64B10.97B5.95B2.35B
Gross Profit23.43B24.97B31.62B10.04B5.17B1.73B
EBITDA7.92B8.85B6.65B-3.50B5.79B953.00M
Net Income3.59B4.58B5.05B-1.96B1.84B157.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets395.05B377.89B313.49B13.79B30.50B23.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments216.43B205.98B170.24B1.31B917.18M2.45B
Total Debt10.58B10.59B8.09B3.53B3.64B14.62B
Total Liabilities362.70B347.57B288.24B9.30B20.31B17.37B
Stockholders Equity17.98B17.25B14.04B1.85B3.79B1.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.04B3.25B6.32B3.59B999.31M-1.68B
Operating Cash Flow4.04B3.25B6.32B3.79B1.06B-1.62B
Investing Cash Flow-64.15B-61.80B-42.41B-23.44B-1.55B-837.66M
Financing Cash Flow55.90B57.97B42.64B28.71B109.00M3.30B

Apollo Global Management Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price145.54
Price Trends
50DMA
140.79
Positive
100DMA
137.08
Positive
200DMA
148.19
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.53
Positive
RSI
50.52
Neutral
STOCH
35.36
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For APO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 145.54 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 148.16, above the 50-day MA of 140.79, and below the 200-day MA of 148.19, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.53 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.36 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for APO.

Apollo Global Management Risk Analysis

Apollo Global Management disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Apollo Global Management reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Apollo Global Management Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$61.39B104.7012.97%2.24%46.84%-7.13%
74
Outperform
$127.06B69.449.03%0.50%-23.81%-48.96%
73
Outperform
$58.55B27.2927.91%33.20%68.09%
73
Outperform
$83.18B27.4618.94%1.37%-5.61%-42.95%
70
Outperform
$21.70B20.4120.38%2.33%81.86%
70
Outperform
$29.98B348.023.68%4.06%31.81%-32.87%
58
Neutral
HK$95.83B5.46-3.98%4.95%3.41%-44.65%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
APO
Apollo Global Management
145.54
43.72
42.94%
KKR
KKR & Co
142.66
30.51
27.20%
CG
Carlyle Group
60.10
22.01
57.78%
ARES
Ares Management
187.98
52.58
38.83%
OWL
Blue Owl Capital
19.35
3.07
18.86%
NU
Nu Holdings
12.15
0.26
2.19%

Apollo Global Management Corporate Events

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Apollo Global Management Clarifies Form 8-K Filing Status
Neutral
Aug 1, 2025

Apollo Global Management‘s recent announcement clarifies that the information provided in their current report on Form 8-K is not considered ‘filed’ under Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. This distinction means that the information is not subject to the liabilities of that section, nor will it be incorporated by reference into filings under the Securities Act of 1933 or the Exchange Act unless specifically referenced.

The most recent analyst rating on (APO) stock is a Buy with a $143.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Apollo Global Management stock, see the APO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Apollo Global Management Reports Q2 2025 Investment Income
Neutral
Jul 1, 2025

Apollo Global Management has reported preliminary estimates for its alternative net investment income for the second quarter ended June 30, 2025, projecting approximately $305 million pre-tax, equating to a 10% annualized return. The results, which are subject to change, highlight Athene’s investment performance, with a 10% annualized return from pooled investment vehicles and 8% from other alternative investments, underscoring the company’s strategic focus on its Retirement Services segment.

The most recent analyst rating on (APO) stock is a Buy with a $129.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Apollo Global Management stock, see the APO Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Apollo Global Management Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On June 6, 2025, Apollo Global Management held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where several key decisions were made. The election of board members resulted in the appointment of fifteen directors for a one-year term, with most nominees receiving strong support from stockholders. Additionally, Deloitte & Touche LLP was ratified as the company’s independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. These decisions are expected to influence the company’s governance and financial oversight, potentially impacting its strategic direction and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (APO) stock is a Buy with a $129.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Apollo Global Management stock, see the APO Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Apollo Global Management Issues Regulatory Clarification
Neutral
May 12, 2025

Apollo Global Management has issued a Current Report on Form 8-K, clarifying that the information provided is not considered ‘filed’ under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. This announcement outlines the legal framework for how the information is to be treated, potentially affecting how stakeholders perceive the company’s regulatory obligations.

The most recent analyst rating on (APO) stock is a Buy with a $129.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Apollo Global Management stock, see the APO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2025