tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Apollo Global Management LLC (APO)
NYSE:APO
Advertisement

Apollo Global Management (APO) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
1,876 Followers

Top Page

APO

Apollo Global Management

(NYSE:APO)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$154.00
â–²(6.39% Upside)
Apollo Global Management's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, highlighting record results and strategic growth. However, technical analysis and valuation suggest caution due to mixed signals and a high P/E ratio. The company's robust asset management growth and strategic initiatives position it well for future opportunities, despite some market challenges.
Positive Factors
Strong Asset Management Growth
The significant growth in assets under management indicates Apollo's strong market position and ability to attract capital, which supports long-term revenue generation through management fees.
Robust Origination and Capital Formation
The robust asset origination and capital formation demonstrate Apollo's effective investment strategies and ability to capitalize on market opportunities, ensuring sustained growth and profitability.
Retirement Services Success
The strong performance of the retirement services platform highlights Apollo's ability to innovate and expand in lucrative markets, providing a stable revenue stream and enhancing long-term growth prospects.
Negative Factors
Challenges in Credit Spread Environment
Tightening credit spreads pose challenges in maintaining profitability in credit products, potentially impacting Apollo's margins and necessitating strategic adjustments.
Realization Cycle Uncertainty
Uncertainty in realization cycles can affect Apollo's ability to generate performance fees, impacting revenue and profit growth in the medium term.
Potential Commoditization of Liabilities
Commoditization of liabilities could lead to increased competition and pressure on margins, requiring Apollo to innovate to maintain its competitive edge and profitability.

Apollo Global Management (APO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Apollo Global Management Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionApollo Global Management, Inc. is a private equity firm specializing in investments in credit, private equity and real estate markets. The firm's private equity investments include traditional buyouts, recapitalization, distressed buyouts and debt investments in real estate, corporate partner buyouts, distressed asset, corporate carve-outs, middle market, growth capital, turnaround, bridge, corporate restructuring, special situation, acquisition, and industry consolidation transactions. The firm provides its services to endowment and sovereign wealth funds, as well as other institutional and individual investors. It manages client focused portfolios. The firm launches and manages hedge funds for its clients. It also manages real estate funds and private equity funds for its clients. The firm invests in the fixed income and alternative investment markets across the globe. Its fixed income investments include income-oriented senior loans, bonds, collateralized loan obligations, structured credit, opportunistic credit, non-performing loans, distressed debt, mezzanine debt, and value oriented fixed income securities. The firm seeks to invest in chemicals, commodities, consumer and retail, oil and gas, metals, mining, agriculture, commodities, distribution and transportation, financial and business services, manufacturing and industrial, media distribution, cable, entertainment and leisure, telecom, technology, natural resources, energy, packaging and materials, and satellite and wireless industries. It seeks to invest in companies based in across Africa, North America with a focus on United States, and Europe. The firm also makes investments outside North America, primarily in Western Europe and Asia. It employs a combination of contrarian, value, and distressed strategies to make its investments. The firm seeks to make investments in the range of $10 million and $1500 million. The firm seeks to invest in companies with Enterprise value between $750 million to $2500 million. The firm conducts an in-house research to create its investment portfolio. It seeks to acquire minority and majority positions in its portfolio companies. Apollo Global Management, Inc. was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in New York, New York with additional offices in North America, Asia and Europe.
How the Company Makes MoneyApollo Global Management generates revenue primarily through management fees and performance fees. Management fees are charged as a percentage of assets under management (AUM), providing a steady income stream as long as the firm retains clients and grows its AUM. Performance fees, also known as carried interest, are earned when the firm achieves returns above a predetermined benchmark, aligning the interests of the firm with its investors. Additionally, Apollo engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures that can enhance its investment opportunities and revenue potential. The firm also benefits from its strong reputation and extensive network, which aid in sourcing deals and attracting capital.

Apollo Global Management Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Profit by Segment
Gross Profit by Segment
Reveals gross profit margins in different segments, offering insight into operational efficiency and profitability across the company's diverse operations.
Chart InsightsApollo Global Management's Retirement Services segment has shown a remarkable recovery since 2022, with consistent positive gross profit growth, reflecting strategic inflows and product innovation. Despite recent volatility in the Asset Management segment, the company's record Fee-Related Earnings and robust asset inflows, as highlighted in the latest earnings call, suggest strong underlying business momentum. However, challenges like spread tightening in traditional channels may require strategic pivots to sustain growth. Overall, Apollo's focus on innovation and regional expansion, particularly in Europe, positions it well for future opportunities.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Apollo Global Management Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong financial performance and growth across key metrics, with record earnings and asset management growth. However, challenges in credit spreads and realization cycles present potential headwinds. The sentiment leans more towards positive due to the significant achievements and growth reported.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Financial Results
Apollo Global Management reported record Fee-Related Earnings (FRE) of $627 million, a 22% increase year-over-year, and management fee growth of 21% year-over-year. Additionally, record Asset Centered Solutions (ACS) fees of $216 million were noted.
Strong Asset Management Growth
Asset Management AUM increased by 22% year-over-year to $840 billion, with fee-generating AUM also growing by 22% to $638 billion. Perpetual capital, which is largely insulated from cyclical drawdown fundraising, comprises 60% of total AUM.
Robust Origination and Capital Formation
Apollo originated $81 billion of assets during the quarter, representing nearly 50% growth year-over-year. The firm also generated $61 billion of inflows in the quarter, with record organic inflows of $49 billion.
Retirement Services Success
Athene, Apollo's retirement services platform, reported $21 billion of organic inflows, the second highest on record. Net invested assets grew by 18% year-over-year to $275 billion.
Promising Institutional Demand
The AAA fund, initially conceived as a retail product, witnessed significant institutional demand, with institutions seeking diversified portfolios and leveraging options.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Credit Spread Environment
The firm noted that while credit spreads in products like CLOs have tightened to unsustainable levels, they were able to pivot origination to maintain spread. This environment poses challenges in maintaining profitability.
Realization Cycle Uncertainty
Realizations have remained below historic levels, with uncertainty about when an inflection point might occur. The reliance on IPO markets and broader market structure issues were highlighted as challenges.
Potential Commoditization of Liabilities
The liability side of the business may see commoditization, with easily accessible products becoming more competitive. This necessitates innovation and new product development to maintain competitive advantage.
Company Guidance
During Apollo Global Management's second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided a comprehensive update on its robust financial performance and strategic initiatives. They reported record fee-related earnings (FRE) of $627 million, a 22% increase year-over-year, and management fee growth of 21%. The firm's assets under management (AUM) reached a record $840 billion, with $61 billion in robust inflows during the quarter. The company originated $81 billion from its platforms, excluding inorganic activities, with spreads over treasuries at 350 basis points. In terms of investment performance, Apollo's credit business returned between 9% and 12% over the latest 12 months, while the equity business showed strong performance with Fund X achieving a net IRR of 23% and Fund IX a net IRR of 16%. Apollo also highlighted its retirement services segment, noting $21 billion in inflows and a blended net spread of 122 basis points in the quarter. They are optimistic about future growth, driven by innovation and strategic expansion in key markets such as the U.K. and Europe, alongside new product offerings in retirement services and asset management.

Apollo Global Management Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Apollo Global Management exhibits strong profitability with high margins and a solid balance sheet. Despite modest revenue growth, the company maintains effective cash flow management and moderate leverage, indicating robust financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Apollo Global Management shows strong profitability with a high gross profit margin of 95.1% and a solid net profit margin of 12.9% for the TTM. However, the revenue growth rate is modest at 3.2%, indicating stable but slow growth. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting efficient operations. The company has rebounded well from a challenging 2022, showcasing resilience.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet is stable with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.63, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity is strong at 18.1%, demonstrating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the overall asset base is substantial, supporting financial stability.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a slight decline in free cash flow growth at -1.8%, but the operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating adequate cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is stable at 1.0, suggesting that the company is effectively converting its profits into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue25.42B26.11B32.64B10.97B5.95B2.35B
Gross Profit24.18B24.97B31.62B10.04B5.17B1.73B
EBITDA7.39B8.85B6.65B-3.50B5.79B953.00M
Net Income3.28B4.43B4.88B-2.01B1.82B137.66M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets419.55B377.89B313.49B257.22B30.50B23.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments231.47B205.98B170.24B127.37B1.38B2.45B
Total Debt12.14B10.59B8.09B7.19B14.19B14.62B
Total Liabilities385.69B346.92B288.24B241.82B18.54B17.37B
Stockholders Equity19.32B17.25B14.04B6.64B3.79B1.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.12B3.25B6.32B3.59B999.31M-1.68B
Operating Cash Flow4.12B3.25B6.32B3.79B1.06B-1.62B
Investing Cash Flow-67.23B-61.80B-42.41B-23.44B-1.55B-837.66M
Financing Cash Flow60.09B57.97B42.64B28.71B109.00M3.30B

Apollo Global Management Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price144.75
Price Trends
50DMA
141.30
Positive
100DMA
138.74
Positive
200DMA
144.98
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.60
Negative
RSI
64.10
Neutral
STOCH
85.84
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For APO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 144.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 136.41, above the 50-day MA of 141.30, and below the 200-day MA of 144.98, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.60 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.84 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for APO.

Apollo Global Management Risk Analysis

Apollo Global Management disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Apollo Global Management reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Apollo Global Management Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
24.66B20.2318.20%2.05%101.10%0.00%
70
Outperform
$79.88B26.1918.82%1.34%-4.35%-43.32%
68
Neutral
29.29B343.353.21%4.29%31.81%-32.87%
64
Neutral
59.79B104.9311.00%2.34%45.89%-9.53%
63
Neutral
24.16B-348.260.00%2.99%43.48%-24.02%
62
Neutral
132.68B71.627.27%0.48%-24.62%-48.96%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
APO
Apollo Global Management
144.75
21.87
17.80%
KKR
KKR & Co
148.92
16.41
12.38%
CG
Carlyle Group
68.17
25.64
60.29%
ARES
Ares Management
183.00
30.34
19.87%
OWL
Blue Owl Capital
18.90
0.82
4.54%
TPG
TPG
63.94
7.08
12.45%

Apollo Global Management Corporate Events

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Apollo Global Files Prospectus for Stock Resale
Neutral
Sep 2, 2025

On September 2, 2025, Apollo Global Management announced the filing of a prospectus supplement for the resale of up to 370,639 shares of its common stock by certain selling stockholders. This move, involving a purchase agreement with Bridge Debt Management Company LLC and Bridge Debt Strategies Employee PI Holdco LLC, could impact the company’s stock liquidity and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (APO) stock is a Buy with a $173.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Apollo Global Management stock, see the APO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 17, 2025