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Apollo Global Management LLC (APO)
NYSE:APO
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Apollo Global Management (APO) AI Stock Analysis

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APO

Apollo Global Management

(NYSE:APO)

Rating:70Neutral
Price Target:
$153.00
▲(13.84% Upside)
Apollo Global Management's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the most significant factors driving the score. However, the technical analysis indicates bearish trends, and the valuation suggests the stock is expensive, which tempers the overall score. The company's strategic initiatives and robust asset growth provide a positive outlook, but market challenges remain.
Positive Factors
Earnings
APO reported better than expected results that included ANI per share of $1.92 and $61B of fundraising.
Strategic Initiatives
APO acquiring BRDG for $1.5b in an all equity deal that adds approximately $33b AUM to APO's existing $77b real estate platform.
Negative Factors
Financial Expectations
Earnings per share estimate for the second quarter is revised downwards slightly by 1.1%, pointing to a minor negative adjustment in financial expectations.
Investment Income
APO's preliminary alternative investment income of $305M for the second quarter is below both the forecast of $318M and the current consensus of $331M.
Portfolio Returns
The alternative investment portfolio return of 10% is below the targeted 11% level, partly due to lower returns from the retirement services platforms.

Apollo Global Management (APO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Apollo Global Management Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionApollo Global Management, Inc. (APO) is a leading global alternative investment manager with a focus on private equity, credit, and real assets. Founded in 1990, the firm manages assets across a diverse range of sectors, including financial services, healthcare, technology, and energy. Apollo offers a variety of investment strategies, including buyouts, distressed investments, and structured credit, catering to institutional and retail investors worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyApollo Global Management generates revenue primarily through management fees and performance fees. Management fees are charged as a percentage of assets under management (AUM), providing a steady income stream as long as the firm retains clients and grows its AUM. Performance fees, also known as carried interest, are earned when the firm achieves returns above a predetermined benchmark, aligning the interests of the firm with its investors. Additionally, Apollo engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures that can enhance its investment opportunities and revenue potential. The firm also benefits from its strong reputation and extensive network, which aid in sourcing deals and attracting capital.

Apollo Global Management Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Profit by Segment
Gross Profit by Segment
Reveals gross profit margins in different segments, offering insight into operational efficiency and profitability across the company's diverse operations.
Chart InsightsApollo Global Management's Retirement Services segment has shown a remarkable recovery since 2022, with consistent positive gross profit growth, reflecting strategic inflows and product innovation. Despite recent volatility in the Asset Management segment, the company's record Fee-Related Earnings and robust asset inflows, as highlighted in the latest earnings call, suggest strong underlying business momentum. However, challenges like spread tightening in traditional channels may require strategic pivots to sustain growth. Overall, Apollo's focus on innovation and regional expansion, particularly in Europe, positions it well for future opportunities.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Apollo Global Management Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -5.02%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong financial performance and growth across key metrics, with record earnings and asset management growth. However, challenges in credit spreads and realization cycles present potential headwinds. The sentiment leans more towards positive due to the significant achievements and growth reported.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Financial Results
Apollo Global Management reported record Fee-Related Earnings (FRE) of $627 million, a 22% increase year-over-year, and management fee growth of 21% year-over-year. Additionally, record Asset Centered Solutions (ACS) fees of $216 million were noted.
Strong Asset Management Growth
Asset Management AUM increased by 22% year-over-year to $840 billion, with fee-generating AUM also growing by 22% to $638 billion. Perpetual capital, which is largely insulated from cyclical drawdown fundraising, comprises 60% of total AUM.
Robust Origination and Capital Formation
Apollo originated $81 billion of assets during the quarter, representing nearly 50% growth year-over-year. The firm also generated $61 billion of inflows in the quarter, with record organic inflows of $49 billion.
Retirement Services Success
Athene, Apollo's retirement services platform, reported $21 billion of organic inflows, the second highest on record. Net invested assets grew by 18% year-over-year to $275 billion.
Promising Institutional Demand
The AAA fund, initially conceived as a retail product, witnessed significant institutional demand, with institutions seeking diversified portfolios and leveraging options.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Credit Spread Environment
The firm noted that while credit spreads in products like CLOs have tightened to unsustainable levels, they were able to pivot origination to maintain spread. This environment poses challenges in maintaining profitability.
Realization Cycle Uncertainty
Realizations have remained below historic levels, with uncertainty about when an inflection point might occur. The reliance on IPO markets and broader market structure issues were highlighted as challenges.
Potential Commoditization of Liabilities
The liability side of the business may see commoditization, with easily accessible products becoming more competitive. This necessitates innovation and new product development to maintain competitive advantage.
Company Guidance
During Apollo Global Management's second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided a comprehensive update on its robust financial performance and strategic initiatives. They reported record fee-related earnings (FRE) of $627 million, a 22% increase year-over-year, and management fee growth of 21%. The firm's assets under management (AUM) reached a record $840 billion, with $61 billion in robust inflows during the quarter. The company originated $81 billion from its platforms, excluding inorganic activities, with spreads over treasuries at 350 basis points. In terms of investment performance, Apollo's credit business returned between 9% and 12% over the latest 12 months, while the equity business showed strong performance with Fund X achieving a net IRR of 23% and Fund IX a net IRR of 16%. Apollo also highlighted its retirement services segment, noting $21 billion in inflows and a blended net spread of 122 basis points in the quarter. They are optimistic about future growth, driven by innovation and strategic expansion in key markets such as the U.K. and Europe, alongside new product offerings in retirement services and asset management.

Apollo Global Management Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Apollo Global Management demonstrates strong profitability with a solid gross profit margin and positive net income. The balance sheet is robust with a high level of cash and manageable leverage. However, recent revenue growth has been negative, and cash flow volatility poses some risks.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Apollo Global Management demonstrates strong profitability with a solid gross profit margin and positive net income. However, recent revenue growth has been negative, which could indicate challenges in growing the top line. The EBIT and EBITDA margins suggest efficient operations, but the decline in net income compared to prior periods is a concern.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a high level of cash and short-term investments. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively low, indicating manageable leverage. The return on equity is positive, suggesting effective use of shareholder capital, and the equity ratio is strong, reflecting stability and financial health.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow is consistently positive, which is a positive indicator of cash generation from operations. However, free cash flow growth has been inconsistent, and the reliance on financing activities indicates potential risks if external funding becomes constrained. The cash flow to net income ratios highlight efficient cash conversion, although recent trends show some volatility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue24.62B26.11B32.64B10.97B5.95B2.35B
Gross Profit23.43B24.97B31.62B10.04B5.17B1.73B
EBITDA7.92B8.85B6.65B-3.50B5.79B953.00M
Net Income3.47B4.43B4.88B-2.01B1.82B137.66M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets395.05B377.89B313.49B257.22B30.50B23.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments216.43B205.98B170.24B127.37B1.38B2.45B
Total Debt10.58B10.59B8.09B7.19B14.19B14.62B
Total Liabilities362.70B346.92B288.24B241.82B18.54B17.37B
Stockholders Equity17.98B17.25B14.04B6.64B3.79B1.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.04B3.25B6.32B3.59B999.31M-1.68B
Operating Cash Flow4.04B3.25B6.32B3.79B1.06B-1.62B
Investing Cash Flow-64.15B-61.80B-42.41B-23.44B-1.55B-837.66M
Financing Cash Flow55.90B57.97B42.64B28.71B109.00M3.30B

Apollo Global Management Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price134.40
Price Trends
50DMA
142.22
Negative
100DMA
136.45
Negative
200DMA
147.37
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.65
Positive
RSI
36.97
Neutral
STOCH
13.59
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For APO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 134.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 139.74, below the 50-day MA of 142.22, and below the 200-day MA of 147.37, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.65 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.59 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for APO.

Apollo Global Management Risk Analysis

Apollo Global Management disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Apollo Global Management reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Apollo Global Management Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$58.20B103.5913.92%2.29%45.89%-9.53%
76
Outperform
$23.46B18.5823.07%2.16%101.10%
71
Outperform
$124.80B66.528.22%0.51%-24.62%-48.96%
70
Neutral
$76.59B25.3218.82%1.45%-4.35%-43.32%
68
Neutral
$17.69B11.8210.30%3.73%9.66%0.42%
68
Neutral
$28.82B338.133.68%4.34%31.81%-32.87%
63
Neutral
$22.80B2.55%3.11%43.48%-24.02%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
APO
Apollo Global Management
134.40
22.46
20.06%
KKR
KKR & Co
140.08
19.10
15.79%
CG
Carlyle Group
64.87
25.79
65.99%
ARES
Ares Management
178.93
37.46
26.48%
OWL
Blue Owl Capital
18.67
2.10
12.67%
TPG
TPG
61.46
13.18
27.30%

Apollo Global Management Corporate Events

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Apollo Global Management Clarifies 8-K Filing Status
Neutral
Aug 14, 2025

Apollo Global Management‘s recent announcement clarifies that the information in their Current Report on Form 8-K is not considered ‘filed’ under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. This distinction affects how the information is treated legally and ensures it is not subject to certain liabilities or incorporated into other filings unless specifically referenced.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Apollo Global Management Issues $500M in Senior Notes
Neutral
Aug 12, 2025

On August 12, 2025, Apollo Global Management issued $500 million in 5.150% Senior Notes due 2035 through a public offering. The proceeds are intended for general corporate purposes, including repaying Bridge Investment Group Holdings’ senior secured notes and other debts, as well as covering related fees and expenses, marking a strategic financial move for the company.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Apollo Global Management Issues Regulation FD Disclosure
Neutral
Aug 12, 2025

Apollo Global Management has issued a Current Report on Form 8-K, which is being furnished but not filed under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. This means the information is not subject to the liabilities of Section 18 of the Exchange Act, nor will it be incorporated into filings under the Securities Act of 1933 unless specifically referenced.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Apollo Global Management Clarifies Form 8-K Filing Status
Neutral
Aug 1, 2025

Apollo Global Management‘s recent announcement clarifies that the information provided in their current report on Form 8-K is not considered ‘filed’ under Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. This distinction means that the information is not subject to the liabilities of that section, nor will it be incorporated by reference into filings under the Securities Act of 1933 or the Exchange Act unless specifically referenced.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Apollo Global Management Reports Q2 2025 Investment Income
Neutral
Jul 1, 2025

Apollo Global Management has reported preliminary estimates for its alternative net investment income for the second quarter ended June 30, 2025, projecting approximately $305 million pre-tax, equating to a 10% annualized return. The results, which are subject to change, highlight Athene’s investment performance, with a 10% annualized return from pooled investment vehicles and 8% from other alternative investments, underscoring the company’s strategic focus on its Retirement Services segment.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Apollo Global Management Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On June 6, 2025, Apollo Global Management held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where several key decisions were made. The election of board members resulted in the appointment of fifteen directors for a one-year term, with most nominees receiving strong support from stockholders. Additionally, Deloitte & Touche LLP was ratified as the company’s independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. These decisions are expected to influence the company’s governance and financial oversight, potentially impacting its strategic direction and stakeholder confidence.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025