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Apollo Global Management LLC (APO)
NYSE:APO
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Apollo Global Management (APO) AI Stock Analysis

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APO

Apollo Global Management

(NYSE:APO)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$149.00
â–²(14.38% Upside)
Apollo Global Management's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the most significant factors driving the stock's score. The company's robust revenue growth, profitability, and strategic initiatives in asset management and retirement services are key strengths. However, the high P/E ratio and modest dividend yield suggest potential overvaluation, while technical indicators show mixed signals. Monitoring cash flow trends and market conditions will be crucial for future performance.
Positive Factors
Record Fee and Spread Earnings
Record earnings indicate strong operational performance and effective management, enhancing long-term revenue potential and investor confidence.
Innovative Strategies
Innovative strategies and market expansion can drive future growth, diversify revenue streams, and strengthen competitive positioning.
Strong AUM Growth
Significant AUM growth reflects robust client trust and effective asset management, supporting sustained revenue from management fees.
Negative Factors
Decline in Free Cash Flow
A decline in free cash flow may limit the company's ability to invest in new opportunities and manage debt, impacting long-term financial flexibility.
High Prepayment Headwinds
High prepayment rates can reduce interest income and affect portfolio returns, posing challenges to maintaining profitability.
Challenges in Achieving Target Returns
Underperformance in achieving target returns can affect investor confidence and long-term profitability, necessitating strategic adjustments.

Apollo Global Management (APO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Apollo Global Management Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionApollo Global Management, Inc. is a private equity firm specializing in investments in credit, private equity and real estate markets. The firm's private equity investments include traditional buyouts, recapitalization, distressed buyouts and debt investments in real estate, corporate partner buyouts, distressed asset, corporate carve-outs, middle market, growth capital, turnaround, bridge, corporate restructuring, special situation, acquisition, and industry consolidation transactions. The firm provides its services to endowment and sovereign wealth funds, as well as other institutional and individual investors. It manages client focused portfolios. The firm launches and manages hedge funds for its clients. It also manages real estate funds and private equity funds for its clients. The firm invests in the fixed income and alternative investment markets across the globe. Its fixed income investments include income-oriented senior loans, bonds, collateralized loan obligations, structured credit, opportunistic credit, non-performing loans, distressed debt, mezzanine debt, and value oriented fixed income securities. The firm seeks to invest in chemicals, commodities, consumer and retail, oil and gas, metals, mining, agriculture, commodities, distribution and transportation, financial and business services, manufacturing and industrial, media distribution, cable, entertainment and leisure, telecom, technology, natural resources, energy, packaging and materials, and satellite and wireless industries. It seeks to invest in companies based in across Africa, North America with a focus on United States, and Europe. The firm also makes investments outside North America, primarily in Western Europe and Asia. It employs a combination of contrarian, value, and distressed strategies to make its investments. The firm seeks to make investments in the range of $10 million and $1500 million. The firm seeks to invest in companies with Enterprise value between $750 million to $2500 million. The firm conducts an in-house research to create its investment portfolio. It seeks to acquire minority and majority positions in its portfolio companies. Apollo Global Management, Inc. was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in New York, New York with additional offices in North America, Asia and Europe.
How the Company Makes MoneyApollo Global Management generates revenue primarily through management fees and performance fees. Management fees are charged as a percentage of assets under management (AUM), providing a steady income stream as long as the firm retains clients and grows its AUM. Performance fees, also known as carried interest, are earned when the firm achieves returns above a predetermined benchmark, aligning the interests of the firm with its investors. Additionally, Apollo engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures that can enhance its investment opportunities and revenue potential. The firm also benefits from its strong reputation and extensive network, which aid in sourcing deals and attracting capital.

Apollo Global Management Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Profit by Segment
Gross Profit by Segment
Reveals gross profit margins in different segments, offering insight into operational efficiency and profitability across the company's diverse operations.
Chart InsightsApollo Global Management's Retirement Services segment has shown a remarkable recovery since 2022, with consistent positive gross profit growth, reflecting strategic inflows and product innovation. Despite recent volatility in the Asset Management segment, the company's record Fee-Related Earnings and robust asset inflows, as highlighted in the latest earnings call, suggest strong underlying business momentum. However, challenges like spread tightening in traditional channels may require strategic pivots to sustain growth. Overall, Apollo's focus on innovation and regional expansion, particularly in Europe, positions it well for future opportunities.
Data provided by:The Fly

Apollo Global Management Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a predominantly positive outlook with record financial performance, robust origination and inflows, and promising strategic initiatives. Despite challenges such as tight spread environments and prepayment headwinds, Apollo has demonstrated strong growth across its asset management and retirement services, with a focus on innovation and expanding market opportunities.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Combined Fee and Spread Related Earnings
Apollo Global Management achieved record combined fee and spread related earnings, driving an adjusted net income of $1.4 billion or $2.17 per share, up 17% year-over-year.
Strong Fee-Related Earnings (FRE) and Management Fee Growth
FRE reached $652 million, up 23% year-over-year, with management fee growth at 22% year-over-year.
Robust Origination and Inflows
Origination for the quarter was $75 billion, the second strongest quarter following a record Q2. There were robust inflows of $82 billion for the quarter, led by asset management and retirement services.
Record Assets Under Management
Assets under management reached a record $908 billion, up 24% year-over-year.
Strong Performance in Asset Management and Retirement Services
Athene's net invested assets grew by 18% year-over-year to $286 billion, and the asset management segment showed strong performance across all buckets, with credit up 8% to 12% over LTM and 3% to 5% in the quarter.
Innovative Strategies and New Opportunities
Apollo is exploring new markets and innovative strategies, including expansion into 401(k) plans and partnerships with traditional asset managers, which could significantly increase the demand for private assets.
Negative Updates
Tight Spread Environment
The market for spreads appropriate for insurance companies remains tight, highlighting challenges in achieving desired spreads without proprietary origination.
High Prepayment Headwinds
Prepayment headwinds are impacting the portfolio, although these are expected to peak by Q1 of '26.
Challenges in Achieving Target Alternative Returns
Despite restructuring, alternative returns have run below the 11% target, with cash drag being a contributing factor.
Company Guidance
During Apollo Global Management's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, strong financial results were highlighted, with the company achieving record combined fee and spread-related earnings. This led to an adjusted net income of $1.4 billion, or $2.17 per share, marking a 17% increase year-over-year. Fee-related earnings reached $652 million, up 23% compared to the previous year, with management fees growing by 22%. Assets under management (AUM) hit a record $908 billion, a 24% increase year-over-year. The company reported robust inflows of $82 billion, driven by asset management and retirement services. Origination for the quarter was strong, amounting to $75 billion, with an average spread of 350 basis points over treasuries. Looking ahead, Apollo anticipates continued growth, forecasting a 20% plus increase in fee-related earnings and a 10% growth in spread-related earnings for 2026.

Apollo Global Management Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Apollo Global Management demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, with efficient cost management and operational performance. The balance sheet shows a stable debt-to-equity ratio and strong return on equity, though the reliance on debt could be a concern. Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow, which may affect future financial flexibility. Overall, the company is in a solid financial position but should monitor cash flow trends closely.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Apollo Global Management shows strong revenue growth with an 8.51% increase in TTM, indicating robust business expansion. The gross profit margin remains high at 95.14%, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased from 16.95% in 2024 to 12.89% in TTM, suggesting some pressure on profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, though slightly lower than previous years, indicating solid operational performance.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is stable at 0.63, showing a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is strong at 21.78%, reflecting effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is relatively low, indicating a high reliance on debt, which could pose risks if market conditions change.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Free cash flow has decreased significantly by 37.61% in TTM, which could impact future investments and debt repayments. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.014, suggesting potential issues in converting income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains at 1.0, indicating that the company generates sufficient cash to cover its net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue27.47B26.11B32.64B10.97B5.95B2.35B
Gross Profit26.15B24.97B31.62B10.04B5.17B1.73B
EBITDA8.33B8.85B6.65B-3.50B5.79B953.00M
Net Income4.23B4.43B4.88B-1.96B1.84B157.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets449.54B377.89B313.49B257.22B30.50B23.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments245.96B205.98B170.24B127.37B1.38B2.45B
Total Debt12.63B10.59B8.09B7.19B14.19B14.62B
Total Liabilities409.75B346.92B288.24B241.82B18.54B17.37B
Stockholders Equity23.14B17.25B14.04B6.64B3.79B1.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.57B3.25B6.32B3.59B999.31M-1.68B
Operating Cash Flow2.57B3.25B6.32B3.79B1.06B-1.62B
Investing Cash Flow-66.00B-61.80B-42.41B-23.44B-1.55B-837.66M
Financing Cash Flow67.00B57.97B42.64B28.71B109.00M3.30B

Apollo Global Management Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price130.27
Price Trends
50DMA
129.22
Positive
100DMA
135.32
Negative
200DMA
135.71
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.33
Negative
RSI
52.91
Neutral
STOCH
65.06
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For APO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 130.27 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 128.88, above the 50-day MA of 129.22, and below the 200-day MA of 135.71, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for APO.

Apollo Global Management Risk Analysis

Apollo Global Management disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Apollo Global Management reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Apollo Global Management Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$75.61B19.3020.30%1.53%-13.27%-28.74%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$107.70B51.488.73%0.60%-33.80%-24.81%
65
Neutral
$23.00B327.782.41%5.80%27.24%-59.82%
64
Neutral
$50.52B65.8418.64%2.88%50.70%7.32%
61
Neutral
$21.99B607.207.19%3.40%25.02%235.70%
59
Neutral
$19.28B29.7711.85%2.62%-24.62%437.16%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
APO
Apollo Global Management
130.27
-43.01
-24.82%
KKR
KKR & Co
120.83
-41.37
-25.51%
CG
Carlyle Group
53.50
1.66
3.20%
ARES
Ares Management
154.55
-17.67
-10.26%
OWL
Blue Owl Capital
14.75
-7.94
-34.99%
TPG
TPG
58.17
-9.44
-13.96%

Apollo Global Management Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Apollo Global Management Issues Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Nov 7, 2025

On November 7, 2025, Apollo Global Management issued $400 million of 4.600% Senior Notes due 2031 and an additional $350 million of 5.150% Senior Notes due 2035 as part of a public offering. The proceeds from this offering are intended for general corporate purposes, potentially enhancing the company’s financial flexibility and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (APO) stock is a Buy with a $158.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Apollo Global Management stock, see the APO Stock Forecast page.

Apollo Global Management Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 5, 2025

Apollo Global Management, Inc. is a high-growth, global alternative asset manager specializing in providing excess returns across the risk-reward spectrum, from investment-grade credit to private equity, and offering retirement savings products through its subsidiary, Athene.

Apollo Global’s Earnings Call Highlights Record Growth
Nov 5, 2025

Apollo Global Management’s recent earnings call painted a predominantly positive picture, highlighting the company’s record financial performance and strategic initiatives. Despite facing challenges such as tight spread environments and prepayment headwinds, Apollo demonstrated robust growth in its asset management and retirement services sectors, emphasizing innovation and market expansion opportunities.

Financial Disclosures
Apollo Global Management Reports Q3 Investment Income Estimates
Neutral
Oct 2, 2025

Apollo Global Management, Inc. and its subsidiary Athene Holding Ltd. reported preliminary estimates for their alternative net investment income for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025. The company anticipates approximately $325 million in pre-tax alternative net investment income, equating to an estimated 10% annualized return. While these figures offer insights into the company’s financial performance, they are preliminary and subject to change, as the financial closing procedures are not yet complete, and the results have not been audited.

The most recent analyst rating on (APO) stock is a Hold with a $150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Apollo Global Management stock, see the APO Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Apollo Global Management Board Member Resigns
Neutral
Sep 30, 2025

On September 29, 2025, Pauline Richards, a member of the Board of Directors at Apollo Global Management, announced her resignation, effective the following day. Her departure was not due to any disagreements with the company’s management or board, suggesting a smooth transition and minimal impact on the company’s operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (APO) stock is a Hold with a $150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Apollo Global Management stock, see the APO Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Apollo Global Files Prospectus for Stock Resale
Neutral
Sep 2, 2025

On September 2, 2025, Apollo Global Management announced the filing of a prospectus supplement for the resale of up to 370,639 shares of its common stock by certain selling stockholders. This move, involving a purchase agreement with Bridge Debt Management Company LLC and Bridge Debt Strategies Employee PI Holdco LLC, could impact the company’s stock liquidity and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (APO) stock is a Buy with a $173.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Apollo Global Management stock, see the APO Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Apollo Global Management Clarifies 8-K Filing Status
Neutral
Aug 14, 2025

Apollo Global Management‘s recent announcement clarifies that the information in their Current Report on Form 8-K is not considered ‘filed’ under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. This distinction affects how the information is treated legally and ensures it is not subject to certain liabilities or incorporated into other filings unless specifically referenced.

The most recent analyst rating on (APO) stock is a Buy with a $143.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Apollo Global Management stock, see the APO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Apollo Global Management Issues $500M in Senior Notes
Neutral
Aug 12, 2025

On August 12, 2025, Apollo Global Management issued $500 million in 5.150% Senior Notes due 2035 through a public offering. The proceeds are intended for general corporate purposes, including repaying Bridge Investment Group Holdings’ senior secured notes and other debts, as well as covering related fees and expenses, marking a strategic financial move for the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (APO) stock is a Buy with a $143.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Apollo Global Management stock, see the APO Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Apollo Global Management Issues Regulation FD Disclosure
Neutral
Aug 12, 2025

Apollo Global Management has issued a Current Report on Form 8-K, which is being furnished but not filed under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. This means the information is not subject to the liabilities of Section 18 of the Exchange Act, nor will it be incorporated into filings under the Securities Act of 1933 unless specifically referenced.

The most recent analyst rating on (APO) stock is a Buy with a $143.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Apollo Global Management stock, see the APO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 12, 2025