tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Apollo Global Management LLC (APO)
NYSE:APO

Apollo Global Management (APO) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
1,747 Followers

Top Page

AP

Apollo Global Management

(NYSE:APO)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$146.00
▲(9.63%Upside)
Apollo Global Management's stock is supported by strong financial performance and positive earnings call outcomes, highlighting robust AUM growth and strategic positioning. Despite technical analysis indicating a bearish trend and high P/E valuation suggesting potential overvaluation, strong governance changes and a solid dividend yield contribute positively to the overall score.
Positive Factors
Market Sentiment
Price target for Apollo Global Management is increased by 3% to $135, reflecting a positive market sentiment.
Strategic Acquisitions
APO acquiring BRDG for $1.5b in an all equity deal that adds approximately $33b AUM to APO's existing $77b real estate platform.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
Earnings per share estimate for the second quarter is revised downwards slightly by 1.1%, pointing to a minor negative adjustment in financial expectations.
Fundraising and Real Estate Results
Apollo Global reported mixed results with a miss on fundraising and strategic real estate due to higher liability costs.

Apollo Global Management (APO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Apollo Global Management Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionApollo Global Management, Inc. (APO) is a leading global alternative investment manager. The company operates across a diverse range of sectors, including private equity, credit, and real assets, and offers a wide array of services such as investment management, advisory, and more. Apollo is known for its ability to invest in complex, distressed, and underperforming companies, with the aim of generating high returns for its investors.
How the Company Makes MoneyApollo Global Management makes money primarily through management fees and performance-based incentive fees. Management fees are recurring charges based on a percentage of the assets under management (AUM) that Apollo oversees. Performance-based incentive fees, also known as carried interest, are earned when the firm's investments exceed certain performance benchmarks. Additionally, the company generates revenue through its credit and real assets segments by investing in structured credit, direct origination, and real estate markets. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other financial institutions and investors also contribute to Apollo's earnings by expanding its investment capabilities and market reach.

Apollo Global Management Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 02, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -3.08%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights Apollo's strong start to 2025 with record fee-related earnings, significant AUM growth, and robust origination performance. However, challenges such as increased cost of funds, competitive pressures, and lowered spread-related earnings guidance indicate a cautious outlook. Overall, the positive highlights are tempered by some significant lowlights, suggesting a balanced sentiment.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Fee-Related Earnings
Apollo generated record fee-related earnings of $559 million, representing a 21% increase year over year.
Strong Asset Under Management (AUM) Growth
Apollo's AUM reached $785 billion, marking a 17% increase year over year.
Record Quarterly Organic Inflows
Apollo reported record quarterly organic inflows of $43 billion, with $18 billion from asset management and $20 billion from Athene.
Significant Origination Growth
Apollo originated $56 billion of assets during the quarter, representing nearly a 30% growth year over year.
Strong Performance in Private Equity
Apollo's most recent private equity fund, Fund Ten, achieved a net IRR of 19%, outperforming industry peers with 9%.
Negative Updates
Increased Cost of Funds
Apollo's cost of funds increased by 28%, attributed to funding agreements.
Competitive Pressure in Retail Channel
Apollo faced increased competition in retail sales of fixed annuities, leading to lower spreads.
Lower Spread-Related Earnings Guidance
Apollo adjusted its spread-related earnings growth target to mid-single digits for 2025, down from previous expectations.
Company Guidance
During Apollo Global Management's First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, strong financial outcomes were highlighted, demonstrating significant growth and strategic positioning amidst volatile market conditions. Key financial metrics included record fee-related earnings of $559 million, or $0.91 per share, and spread-related earnings, excluding notable items, of $826 million, or $1.35 per share. The firm's adjusted net income reached $1.1 billion, equating to $1.82 per share. Apollo also declared a cash dividend of $0.51 per share, marking a 10% increase from the previous quarter. The discussion underscored the firm's asset management success, citing assets under management (AUM) of $785 billion, a 17% year-over-year increase, and record inflows of $43 billion. Notably, fund-level returns were strong, with credit business returns ranging from 8% to 12% and hybrid area returns at 19% on a last twelve months (LTM) basis. Apollo's strategic focus on origination and asset acquisition was emphasized, positioning the firm for potential acceleration in returns despite market volatility.

Apollo Global Management Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Apollo Global Management displays strong financial health with robust revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet is stable with high equity levels and no recent debt, though historical leverage needs monitoring. Cash flow is consistent, despite the volatility in investing and financing activities.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Apollo Global Management has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a significant increase from prior years, indicating a robust business expansion. The net profit margin has been healthy, showcasing effective cost management and profitability. However, the recent dip in revenue and net income suggests potential challenges in maintaining the same growth trajectory.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with a high equity ratio, signifying financial stability. The absence of debt in the latest year reduces financial risk, but previous years' debt levels indicate historical leverage. The positive ROE highlights efficient use of equity capital, although it has varied significantly over the years.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Apollo has shown strong cash flow management with consistent free cash flow generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates effective cash conversion from operations. However, fluctuations in cash flow from investing and financing activities suggest potential volatility in cash management strategies.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
26.11B32.64B10.97B5.95B2.35B
Gross Profit
23.51B31.62B10.04B5.17B1.73B
EBIT
8.30B28.35B-3.84B2.63B1.41B
EBITDA
8.41B9.12B-1.69B2.66B1.43B
Net Income Common Stockholders
4.58B5.05B-1.96B1.84B157.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
205.98B170.24B1.31B917.18M2.45B
Total Assets
377.89B313.49B13.79B30.50B23.67B
Total Debt
10.59B8.09B3.53B3.64B14.62B
Net Debt
-5.58B-7.84B2.22B2.72B12.17B
Total Liabilities
346.92B288.24B9.30B20.31B17.37B
Stockholders Equity
17.25B14.04B1.85B3.79B1.43B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
3.25B6.32B3.59B999.31M-1.68B
Operating Cash Flow
3.25B6.32B3.79B1.06B-1.62B
Investing Cash Flow
-61.80B-42.41B-23.44B-1.55B-837.66M
Financing Cash Flow
57.97B42.64B28.71B109.00M3.30B

Apollo Global Management Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price133.17
Price Trends
50DMA
133.39
Negative
100DMA
144.54
Negative
200DMA
142.54
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.46
Positive
RSI
47.46
Neutral
STOCH
19.40
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For APO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 133.17 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 136.36, below the 50-day MA of 133.39, and below the 200-day MA of 142.54, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.46 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.40 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for APO.

Apollo Global Management Risk Analysis

Apollo Global Management disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Apollo Global Management reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
Artificial intelligence could increase competitive, operational, legal and regulatory risks to our businesses in ways that we cannot predict. Q4, 2024

Apollo Global Management Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
NUNU
76
Outperform
$57.53B26.6627.91%33.20%68.09%
APAPO
73
Outperform
$74.79B23.1221.17%1.41%-27.96%-37.13%
72
Outperform
$53.75B95.1312.97%2.44%19.02%-22.75%
CGCG
70
Outperform
$16.66B15.5920.38%3.16%62.87%
OWOWL
68
Neutral
$28.86B188.524.62%3.94%32.99%8.06%
KKKKR
68
Neutral
$104.37B50.809.03%0.60%-27.45%-46.67%
64
Neutral
$12.67B9.747.58%17015.08%12.21%-6.96%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
APO
Apollo Global Management
133.17
21.51
19.26%
KKR
KKR & Co
120.92
18.30
17.83%
CG
Carlyle Group
46.14
5.62
13.87%
ARES
Ares Management
164.60
26.10
18.84%
OWL
Blue Owl Capital
18.72
0.19
1.03%
NU
Nu Holdings
11.94
0.23
1.96%

Apollo Global Management Corporate Events

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Apollo Global Management Issues Regulatory Clarification
Neutral
May 12, 2025

Apollo Global Management has issued a Current Report on Form 8-K, clarifying that the information provided is not considered ‘filed’ under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. This announcement outlines the legal framework for how the information is to be treated, potentially affecting how stakeholders perceive the company’s regulatory obligations.

The most recent analyst rating on (APO) stock is a Buy with a $129.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Apollo Global Management stock, see the APO Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Apollo Global Management Announces Board Leadership Changes
Positive
Apr 17, 2025

Apollo Global Management announced significant changes to its Board of Directors, effective April 21, 2025. Gary Cohn, former Vice Chairman of IBM and a seasoned financial services leader, has been appointed as the Lead Independent Director, filling the vacancy left by Jay Clayton, who will become the Interim US Attorney for the Southern District of New York. Additionally, CEO Marc Rowan has been appointed as the Chair of the Board, reflecting Apollo’s commitment to strong governance and strategic leadership. These changes are expected to enhance Apollo’s governance and support its growth strategy in the financial services industry.

Financial Disclosures
Apollo Global Management Announces Q1 2025 Investment Estimates
Neutral
Apr 2, 2025

Apollo Global Management, Inc. and its subsidiary Athene Holding Ltd. have announced preliminary estimates for their alternative net investment income for the first quarter ending March 31, 2025. The company anticipates approximately $290 million in pre-tax income, translating to an estimated 9% annualized return on alternative net investments. Athene’s investments in a pooled vehicle are expected to yield a 10% return, while other investments, including retirement services platforms, are estimated to return 6%. These figures are preliminary and subject to change, as the financial closing procedures are not yet complete, and the results have not been audited.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.