Education
About Us
Working with TipRanks
Follow Us
Australia & New Zealand Banking (ANZGY)
OTHER OTC:ANZGY
Top Page
Australia & New Zealand Banking
(OTC:ANZGY)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$29.00
â–²(19.00% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:12/30/25
The score is held back primarily by weaker latest-year financial quality (profitability compression and higher leverage). Offsetting that, the technical picture is constructive with a clear multi-timeframe uptrend, and valuation is supported by a solid dividend yield with a mid-range P/E.
Positive Factors
Diversified revenue mix
ANZ's core earnings come from both net interest income and fee-based services across retail, commercial and institutional lines. This diversified revenue base reduces reliance on any single product or cycle, supporting durable top-line stability and fee cross-sell opportunities over months.
Regional scale and market position
Large scale across Australia and New Zealand plus institutional capabilities gives ANZ structural advantages: broad deposit footprint, deep client relationships, and trade/capital flow expertise. Scale supports stable funding, product distribution and competitive barriers over the medium term.
Historically solid cash generation
Operating and free cash flow have been positive historically, indicating underlying cash conversion of earnings. Consistent absolute cash generation provides capacity for funding operations, servicing debt and supporting capital returns, helping resilience during cyclical stress.
Negative Factors
Marked leverage increase
A sharp rise in leverage materially elevates financial risk and reduces strategic flexibility. Higher debt-to-equity increases funding and refinancing sensitivity, constrains capital management, and can pressure regulatory ratios and lending capacity if adverse conditions persist.
Profitability compression
A large margin decline despite higher revenue implies weaker earnings quality or one-off costs. Sustained margin compression erodes capacity to build capital, fund investments or absorb losses, making earnings less predictable and weakening long-term return metrics.
Volatile and weakening free cash flow
Sharp FCF volatility and a negative swing in 2025 undermine the bank's ability to reliably fund dividends, debt reduction or strategic investments. Persistent cash-flow weakness raises refinancing and capital allocation risk across the medium term.
Australia & New Zealand Banking (ANZGY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$83.81B
Dividend Yield4.32%
Average Volume (3M)6.21K
Price to Earnings (P/E)26.1
Beta (1Y)0.53
Revenue Growth2.74%
EPS Growth-11.28%
CountryUS
Employees43,094
SectorFinancial
Sector Strength70
IndustryBanks - Diversified
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.48
Shares Outstanding2,971,365,700
10 Day Avg. Volume4,521
30 Day Avg. Volume6,209
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-2.84
Price to Book (P/B)1.39
Price to Sales (P/S)1.51
P/FCF Ratio3.79
Enterprise Value/Market Cap2.51
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.96
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit10.29
Enterprise Value/Ebitda48.44
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)1.79
Revenue Forecast (FY)$16.21B
Australia & New Zealand Banking Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company DescriptionANZ Group Holdings Limited provides various banking and financial products and services to individuals and business customers in Australia and internationally. It offers home and personal loans, deposits, and credit cards through the branch network, home loan specialists, contact centers, self-service channels, and third-party brokers. The company also provides asset financing for small business owners, medium and large commercial customers, high net worth individuals, and family groups. In addition, it offers working capital and liquidity solutions, including documentary trade, supply chain and commodity financing, cash management solutions, deposits, payments, and clearing services; loan products, loan syndication, loan structuring and execution, project and export finance, debt structuring and acquisition finance, and corporate advisory services; and risk management services. Further, the company provides banking and wealth management services to consumers, and private banking and small business banking customers through its internet and app-based digital solutions, network of branches, mortgage specialists, relationship managers, and contact centers; and traditional relationship banking and financial solutions for small, medium, and large enterprises, agricultural business segments, and government and government-related entities. ANZ Group Holdings Limited was founded in 1835 and is based in Melbourne, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyANZ makes money primarily through interest income generated from its lending activities, which include personal loans, mortgages, and business loans. In addition to interest income, ANZ earns revenue through fees and commissions from its wealth management services, transaction banking, and foreign exchange operations. The bank also benefits from its institutional banking segment, which provides services such as trade finance, cash management, and capital markets solutions. Significant partnerships with financial technology firms and other strategic alliances further enhance its service offerings and revenue potential. Additionally, ANZ's geographic diversification across Australia, New Zealand, and the Asia-Pacific region contributes to its robust earnings profile.
Australia & New Zealand Banking Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Nov 07, 2024
(Q4-2024)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 01, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
ANZ's earnings call reflected a strong strategic progression with the successful acquisition and integration of Suncorp Bank and record performance in the Institutional segment. However, challenges remain in non-financial risk management and margin pressures in retail banking. The strategic focus on technology platforms like ANZ Plus and Transactive aims to address these challenges by reducing costs and improving customer engagement.Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Completion of Suncorp Bank Acquisition
ANZ completed the purchase of Suncorp Bank, which is performing better than expected. This acquisition has significantly increased ANZ's customer deposit base, making it the second largest among Australian banks.
Institutional Segment Record Performance
ANZ's Institutional segment delivered another record result with industry-leading platform Transactive, achieving record revenues, profit before provisions, and return on equity.
ANZ Plus Growth
ANZ Plus achieved 1% share of all retail deposits in Australia within two years and is already home to nearly one in five of ANZ's active Australian retail customers, showing strong engagement and lower acquisition costs.
Strong Revenue and Lending Growth
Customer deposits increased 11% year-on-year, and lending grew with a step-up of $102 billion in gross lending assets, a 15% FX-adjusted increase.
Improved Capital Efficiency
Capital efficiency programs released around $30 billion of risk-weighted assets, contributing to improved financial metrics and shareholder returns.
Negative Updates
Non-Financial Risk Management Concerns
ANZ faces challenges in non-financial risk management, with APRA placing a capital overlay due to inadequate progress in this area.
Continued Margin Pressure in Retail Banking
The Australian retail banking sector faces significant margin pressure, requiring ANZ to focus on cost reductions and platform efficiencies.
Increased Costs Due to Suncorp Integration
Integration of Suncorp Bank led to higher costs, with the need to transition services and align with ANZ's operations.
Company Guidance
In the call, ANZ provided a comprehensive overview of its financial performance for Fiscal Year 2024, emphasizing several key metrics. The bank noted a strong strategic year, highlighted by the completion of the Suncorp Bank acquisition, contributing to a customer deposit increase of 11% year-on-year and making ANZ the second largest in customer deposits among Australian banks. ANZ's institutional segment delivered record revenues and return on equity, while ANZ Plus now holds a 1% share of all retail deposits in Australia. The bank reported its second highest revenue ever, maintaining stability from 2023 on a constant currency basis, with lending and deposit volumes growing robustly. Cash earnings and earnings per share showed significant growth over two to three years, driving better shareholder dividends. Additionally, substantial investments in technology platforms, amounting to $2.5 billion over five years, facilitated enhancements in efficiency and customer engagement, crucial for sustaining profitability amid challenging market conditions. ANZ also announced a final year dividend of $0.83 per share, franked at 70%, indicating stronger returns for shareholders.Australia & New Zealand Banking Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Mixed fundamentals: historically strong profitability and positive operating/free cash flow, but the latest year shows a sharp margin and net income drop alongside a notable leverage increase (higher debt-to-equity), raising near-term risk.Income Statement
Results show a clear break in trend in the latest year: revenue jumps sharply in 2025 while profitability compresses materially, with net margin falling to ~5.6% versus ~32–38% in 2021–2024. Net income also drops versus the prior two years, suggesting the revenue surge did not translate into earnings (likely mix/one-offs or higher costs). Longer-term (2020–2024), revenue was relatively steady with strong profitability, but the 2025 margin step-down reduces overall quality and predictability.58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet shows a meaningful leverage increase in 2025, with debt-to-equity rising to ~4.66 versus ~1.74–2.16 in 2021–2024, which increases financial risk and reduces flexibility. Return on equity is positive but moderate (~8.0% in 2025), down from the ~9–11% range seen in 2022–2024. While large asset scale is typical for a diversified bank, the recent leverage move is the key negative signal in the provided data.44
Neutral
Cash Flow
Cash generation remains solid in absolute terms, with operating cash flow and free cash flow positive across all years shown. However, free cash flow growth is volatile and turns sharply negative in 2025, indicating weaker momentum versus prior periods. Free cash flow tracks net income closely in most years (near 1x), which is supportive for earnings quality, but the sharp swing in growth and the weaker 2025 trajectory temper the score.61
Positive
| Breakdown | Sep 2025 | Sep 2024 | Sep 2023 | Sep 2022 | Sep 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 65.70B | 20.36B | 20.28B | 19.66B | 17.99B |
| Gross Profit | 20.49B | 20.36B | 20.28B | 18.94B | 17.83B |
| EBITDA | 9.80B | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.09B | 10.02B |
| Net Income | 3.79B | 6.54B | 7.10B | 7.12B | 6.16B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 1.30T | 1.23T | 1.11T | 1.09T | 978.86B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 122.72B | 112.99B | 146.44B | 157.53B | 141.89B |
| Total Debt | 219.82B | 121.28B | 150.08B | 134.00B | 78.43B |
| Total Liabilities | 1.23T | 1.16T | 1.04T | 1.02T | 915.18B |
| Stockholders Equity | 71.13B | 69.86B | 69.52B | 65.91B | 63.66B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 26.11B | 9.95B | 5.88B | 19.52B | 43.26B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 26.11B | 9.95B | 6.49B | 20.18B | 43.82B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -23.94B | -42.12B | -10.69B | -1.82B | 10.26B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 612.00M | 17.91B | 4.38B | -2.35B | -9.67B |
Australia & New Zealand Banking Technical Analysis
Positive
24.37
Price Trends
25.74
Positive
24.49
Positive
22.16
Positive
Market Momentum
0.73
Positive
54.61
Neutral
24.98
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ANZGY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 24.37 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.48, below the 50-day MA of 25.74, and above the 200-day MA of 22.16, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.73 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.98 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ANZGY.
Australia & New Zealand Banking Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
72 Outperform | $124.72B | 11.27 | 18.99% | 3.27% | 7.52% | 10.40% | |
72 Outperform | $163.96B | 10.97 | 13.08% | 1.85% | -15.34% | 16.71% | |
71 Outperform | $75.40B | 11.24 | 11.70% | 4.14% | 2.20% | -0.17% | |
68 Neutral | $18.00B | 11.42 | 9.92% | 3.81% | 9.73% | 1.22% | |
62 Neutral | $83.81B | 26.09 | 9.75% | 4.32% | 2.74% | -11.28% | |
60 Neutral | $77.82B | 11.28 | 10.00% | 1.71% | 17.50% | 49.25% | |
58 Neutral | $62.42B | 4.48 | 15.42% | 3.67% | 7.43% | 30.31% |
* Financial Sector Average
ANZGY
Australia & New Zealand Banking
26.83
9.27
52.80%
BBVA
Banco Bilbao
22.05
8.76
65.85%
BCS
Barclays
23.34
7.42
46.57%
ING
ING Groep
27.25
8.84
48.03%
NWG
NatWest Group
16.12
4.18
35.01%
SAN
Banco Santander SA
11.57
5.07
78.08%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.