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Barclays Plc (BCS)
NYSE:BCS

Barclays (BCS) AI Stock Analysis

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Barclays

(NYSE:BCS)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$20.00
â–²(7.47%Upside)
Barclays' robust financial performance, attractive valuation, and strong technical indicators create a positive outlook. Despite some challenges in the U.S. Consumer Bank and potential economic headwinds, the bank's overall health and strategic improvements are compelling.

Barclays (BCS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Barclays Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBarclays PLC provides various financial services in the United Kingdom, Europe, the Americas, Africa, the Middle East, and Asia. The company operates through Barclays UK; Barclays UK Corporate Bank; Barclays Private Bank and Wealth Management; Barclays Investment Bank; and Barclays US Consumer Bank segments. It offers financial services, such as retail banking, credit cards, wholesale banking, investment banking, wealth management, and investment management services, as well as lending products. In addition, the company engages in securities dealing activities and issuing of credit cards. The company was formerly known as Barclays Bank public limited company and changed its name to Barclays PLC in January 1985. Barclays PLC was founded in 1690 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyBarclays makes money primarily through interest income and non-interest income. Interest income is generated from loans and advances to customers, including mortgages, personal loans, and credit cards, where the bank earns interest on the amounts borrowed. Non-interest income comes from fees, commissions, and trading activities. This includes fees for services like wealth and investment management, transaction processing, and advisory services in its investment banking division. Barclays also earns revenue from its partnership with various financial institutions and corporations, facilitating capital markets transactions, trading in fixed income, currencies, and commodities. Additionally, the bank engages in proprietary trading and makes investments that can yield significant returns. The company's diverse business model and global reach allow it to leverage its expertise across different financial services to maintain a steady revenue stream.

Barclays Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 15.38%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Barclays reported strong financial performance in Q1 2025 with notable growth in income and efficiency improvements. However, challenges remain, particularly in the U.S. Consumer Bank and potential economic headwinds. While the highlights are significant, the presence of some notable lowlights indicates a balanced sentiment.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Return on Tangible Equity
Barclays achieved a return on tangible equity (RoTE) of 14% in Q1 2025, up from 12.3% in the previous year.
Increase in Total Income
Total income for Q1 2025 rose by 11% year-on-year to £7.7 billion, with broad-based growth across all five divisions.
Improved Cost Efficiency
Barclays delivered positive operating leverage with a 6% jaws, resulting in a cost-to-income ratio of 57% for the quarter.
Growth in Net Interest Income
Group net interest income increased by 13% year-on-year to £3 billion, with expectations for further growth in 2025.
Strong Performance in Investment Bank
The Investment Bank saw income growth of 16% year-on-year, driven by strong markets income, particularly in FICC, which rose 21%.
Solid Capital Position
Barclays maintains a robust capital position with a CET1 ratio of 13.9% at the end of Q1 2025.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Investment Banking Transactions
Weaker client confidence is delaying investment banking transactions, although this has been offset by trading revenue benefits.
U.S. Consumer Bank RoTE Decline
RoTE in the U.S. Consumer Bank fell year-on-year to 4.5%, affected by a net post-model adjustment due to economic uncertainty.
Potential Economic Headwinds
Barclays noted increased market volatility and economic uncertainty, which could impact transactional and lending income.
Company Guidance
In the Barclays Q1 2025 results call, the company presented a strong financial performance, with a reported return on tangible equity (RoTE) of 14%, despite challenges in the economic environment. Total income for the quarter was £7.7 billion, reflecting a 14% increase in tangible book value to 372 pence year-on-year. The bank maintained a robust balance sheet, with a Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio of 13.9%, aligning with their target range of 13% to 14%. Operating leverage was evident with income growth of 11% outpacing cost growth of 5%, resulting in a 57% cost-income ratio. Barclays also upgraded its 2025 net interest income (NII) guidance due to favorable deposit volumes and mix. The UK businesses demonstrated strong risk-weighted asset growth, while returns in the Investment Bank were supported by fixed income and credit activity. Despite some softness in the U.S. Consumer Bank with RoTE at 4.5%, overall operations are on track to meet the 2025 guidance and 2026 targets, including an 11% RoTE.

Barclays Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Barclays showcases strong revenue growth with an 11.3% increase and a solid net profit margin of 24.0%. The balance sheet is robust with no debt and a decent return on equity of 8.8%. Cash flow has improved significantly, though past volatility and missing EBIT margins are concerns.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Barclays has shown a consistent revenue growth with the latest annual revenue increasing from 23.5B to 26.2B, a 11.3% growth. The net profit margin for the latest year is approximately 24.0%, indicating strong profitability. However, EBIT margin figures are absent for the latest period, limiting a full assessment of operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet shows strong equity with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0, indicating no debt and excellent financial stability. The return on equity stands at 8.8%, reflecting decent profitability on shareholder investments. The equity ratio of 4.7% suggests a moderate level of equity financing compared to total assets.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Barclays' free cash flow significantly improved from -2.6B to 5.5B, showcasing robust cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is approximately 1.1, indicating that the company efficiently converts its income into cash. However, the negative free cash flow in the previous period highlights potential volatility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue25.43B26.23B23.50B33.55B21.94B25.39B
Gross Profit25.43B24.25B23.50B24.96B21.94B21.77B
EBITDA3.99B9.81B8.34B8.73B9.87B4.80B
Net Income4.97B6.31B5.26B5.93B7.01B2.38B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.53T1.52T1.48T1.51T1.38T1.35T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments406.04B509.67B538.31B542.42B521.33B457.38B
Total Debt100.75B185.75B176.55B183.37B166.59B144.02B
Total Liabilities1.46T1.45T1.41T1.44T1.31T1.28T
Stockholders Equity70.97B71.82B71.20B68.29B69.05B65.80B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.005.54B-2.65B28.48B47.20B56.18B
Operating Cash Flow0.007.11B-927.00M30.23B48.92B57.51B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-17.89B-23.41B-21.67B4.27B-18.38B
Financing Cash Flow0.00784.00M-8.35B696.00M107.00M2.73B

Barclays Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price18.61
Price Trends
50DMA
17.05
Positive
100DMA
16.07
Positive
200DMA
14.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.31
Negative
RSI
66.20
Neutral
STOCH
89.25
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BCS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 18.61 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.87, above the 50-day MA of 17.05, and above the 200-day MA of 14.44, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.31 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.25 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BCS.

Barclays Risk Analysis

Barclays disclosed 18 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Barclays reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Barclays Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$212.07B11.2410.83%3.25%-1.91%-6.79%
SASAN
78
Outperform
$122.52B8.8713.25%3.01%0.26%19.35%
BCBCS
77
Outperform
$64.96B9.439.36%2.94%11.33%47.74%
NWNWG
77
Outperform
$55.86B9.3913.70%3.81%18.85%14.85%
CC
76
Outperform
$157.60B13.336.30%2.65%2.97%87.82%
INING
76
Outperform
$68.50B10.3611.92%12.40%-0.63%-6.01%
67
Neutral
$16.66B11.449.71%3.91%11.61%-10.70%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BCS
Barclays
18.61
8.06
76.40%
C
Citigroup
84.38
23.03
37.54%
HSBC
HSBC Holdings
60.82
19.62
47.62%
ING
ING Groep
21.98
5.46
33.05%
NWG
NatWest Group
14.05
6.33
81.99%
SAN
Banco Santander SA
8.24
3.62
78.35%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 13, 2025