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Annexon Biosciences (ANNX)
NASDAQ:ANNX
US Market

Annexon Biosciences (ANNX) AI Stock Analysis

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ANNX

Annexon Biosciences

(NASDAQ:ANNX)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$7.00
▲(37.52% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/15/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (no revenue, widening losses, and accelerating cash burn), despite a low-debt capital structure. Technicals are strong with an established uptrend, but overbought readings increase near-term pullback risk. Corporate updates and financing improve runway and reinforce late-stage pipeline optionality, while valuation remains unattractive on earnings-based metrics due to ongoing losses.
Positive Factors
Differentiated C1q therapeutic platform
Annexon’s focus on C1q inhibition creates a platform-level competitive advantage across neurodegenerative, ophthalmic and immune-mediated indications. A validated, mechanism-driven platform can generate multiple asset opportunities, licensing/combo paths and sustained R&D optionality as programs mature toward registration.
Late-stage pipeline with near-term registrational milestones
Advancing Phase 3 programs and an active MAA review materially de-risks long-term value if outcomes are positive. Successful registrational readouts and regulatory submissions can transition Annexon from pre-revenue to commercialization, creating durable revenue streams in markets with limited alternatives.
Recent capital raise supports near-term execution
The completed $80.4M offering, together with a relatively low debt profile, extends runway to fund pivotal readouts and regulatory activities. Demonstrated capital access and modest leverage reduce short-term financing urgency, supporting completion of registrational work that determines long-term commercial prospects.
Negative Factors
Pre-revenue status and widening net losses
Remaining pre-revenue with rapidly expanding net losses means value creation hinges entirely on clinical/regulatory success. Persistent negative earnings indicate the company must convert trial outcomes into sustainable revenue to achieve profitability, a multi-period operational risk common to late-stage biotechs.
Accelerating negative cash flow and burn rate
Rapidly worsening operating and free cash flow reflects cash-funded R&D and trial costs and creates recurring financing needs. Sustained negative cash generation increases dependency on external capital, which can dilute shareholders, constrain strategic flexibility, and pressure timelines if markets tighten.
Ongoing funding needs imply dilution risk
Reliance on equity raises to fund development is a structural risk for pre-revenue biotechs. Even with recent proceeds, continued pipeline investment and potential commercialization build-out likely require further capital, creating long-term dilution risk and governance pressures on strategic choices.

Annexon Biosciences (ANNX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Annexon Biosciences Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAnnexon, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, discovers and develops therapeutics for autoimmune, neurodegenerative, and ophthalmic disorders. The company's C1q is an initiating molecule of the classical complement pathway that targets distinct disease processes, such as antibody-mediated autoimmune disease and complement-mediated neurodegeneration. Its product candidates include ANX005, a monoclonal antibody, which is in Phase II/III clinical trials to treat patients with guillain- barré syndrome; Phase II trial in patients with warm autoimmune hemolytic anemia; and Phase II clinical trial for Huntington's disease and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis. The company is also developing ANX009 that is in Phase Ib trial in patients with lupus nephritis; and ANX007, which is in Phase II clinical trials to treat patients with geographic atrophy. In addition, it develops ANX105, an investigational monoclonal antibody targeting neurodegenerative indications; and ANX1502, an investigational oral small molecule for the treatment of certain autoimmune indications. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Brisbane, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyAnnexon Biosciences generates revenue primarily through partnerships and collaborations with other pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies. The company's revenue model includes milestone payments, royalties, and licensing fees associated with the development and commercialization of its therapies. Annexon's potential earnings are significantly influenced by the advancement of its clinical trials, regulatory approvals, and successful commercialization of its drug candidates. As a clinical-stage company, Annexon does not yet have products on the market, thus its revenue is largely dependent on funding from strategic alliances and possibly government grants or research funding.

Annexon Biosciences Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial profile remains weak: the company is pre-revenue with widening net losses (TTM net loss ~$207M) and deeply negative operating/free cash flow (TTM FCF roughly -$176M), indicating significant ongoing funding needs. The balance sheet is a partial offset with relatively low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.10–0.14), but equity and assets have declined notably, consistent with sustained burn.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
ANNX is still pre-revenue (revenue is $0 across annual periods and TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)), so reported results are dominated by operating losses. Losses have expanded versus 2020 (net loss ~$63M) to 2024 (net loss ~$138M) and TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (net loss ~$207M), indicating rising spend and worsening profitability. With negative gross profit in TTM and deeply negative operating results, the core earnings profile remains weak until meaningful revenue ramps.
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
The balance sheet is a relative bright spot: leverage is low with debt-to-equity around ~0.10–0.14 across recent periods, and total debt (~$27M TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)) remains modest. However, equity and total assets have declined materially from 2024 to TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (equity ~$293M to ~$161M; assets ~$350M to ~$229M), reflecting ongoing cash burn and accumulated losses. Returns on equity are strongly negative, underscoring that capital is currently being consumed rather than generating returns.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Cash generation remains a key weakness: operating cash flow and free cash flow are consistently negative, worsening to roughly -$176M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) versus about -$118M in 2024, implying an accelerating burn rate. Free cash flow roughly tracks the net loss, suggesting losses are largely cash-backed rather than non-cash accounting effects. While the company has shown periods of improved free cash flow growth, the overall trajectory still points to significant ongoing funding needs.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-912.00K-3.45M0.000.000.000.00
EBITDA-214.30M-134.75M-141.57M-143.45M-128.57M-62.80M
Net Income-207.02M-138.20M-134.24M-141.95M-130.32M-63.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets229.14M350.07M297.67M285.10M287.04M355.95M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments188.72M312.02M259.72M242.66M242.72M351.21M
Total Debt26.94M28.97M31.36M32.86M34.59M0.00
Total Liabilities67.70M56.97M47.12M53.90M55.13M11.67M
Stockholders Equity161.44M293.11M250.56M231.19M231.91M344.28M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-176.59M-118.02M-121.33M-122.83M-107.76M-53.55M
Operating Cash Flow-176.44M-118.01M-121.14M-116.31M-106.11M-53.09M
Investing Cash Flow217.59M-218.80M70.70M58.44M-88.24M-83.16M
Financing Cash Flow18.74M161.21M135.52M122.91M1.79M360.88M

Annexon Biosciences Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.09
Price Trends
50DMA
5.56
Negative
100DMA
4.54
Positive
200DMA
3.47
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.23
Positive
RSI
42.00
Neutral
STOCH
25.59
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ANNX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.09 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.55, below the 50-day MA of 5.56, and above the 200-day MA of 3.47, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.59 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ANNX.

Annexon Biosciences Risk Analysis

Annexon Biosciences disclosed 67 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Annexon Biosciences reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Annexon Biosciences Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
56
Neutral
$717.86M-83.98%-35.62%
52
Neutral
$573.12M-2.36-104.35%20.71%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$313.45M-7.61-64.31%4.23%
46
Neutral
$203.75M-5.4518.82%
46
Neutral
$239.04M-2.23-121.98%12.26%37.36%
41
Neutral
$205.98M-0.90-211.37%-24.90%7.19%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ANNX
Annexon Biosciences
5.09
2.59
103.60%
GALT
Galectin Therapeutics
3.22
1.74
117.57%
ALDX
Aldeyra Therapeutics
5.49
-0.85
-13.41%
EDIT
Editas Medicine
2.13
0.30
16.39%
ALEC
Alector
2.39
0.73
43.98%
NMRA
Neumora Therapeutics, Inc.
3.46
1.91
123.23%

Annexon Biosciences Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Annexon Highlights Late-Stage C1q Pipeline and 2026 Outlook
Positive
Jan 14, 2026

On January 14, 2026, Annexon updated its corporate presentation ahead of the 44th Annual J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference, highlighting 2026 as a pivotal year driven by multiple late-stage assets in neuroinflammatory diseases and reinforcing its positioning around C1q inhibition as a differentiated therapeutic platform. The company underscored blockbuster potential for vonaprument, in a Phase 3 registrational trial for dry age-related macular degeneration with geographic atrophy, and tanruprubart for Guillain-Barré syndrome, alongside a diversified pipeline and sufficient cash runway into late 2027, signaling an intensifying push toward regulatory submissions, potential commercialization, and value creation in markets with limited or no effective treatments.

The most recent analyst rating on (ANNX) stock is a Hold with a $6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Annexon Biosciences stock, see the ANNX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Annexon Biosciences outlines pivotal 2026 milestones and outlook
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

On January 12, 2026, Annexon outlined 2026 as a pivotal year, detailing registrational milestones across its lead assets and emphasizing a balance sheet that funds operations into late 2027. The company highlighted vonaprument, a neuroprotective therapy in the global Phase 3 ARCHER II trial for dry age-related macular degeneration with geographic atrophy, with enrollment completed ahead of schedule and topline data expected in the second half of 2026, supported by a defined U.S. and European registration path and earlier clinical evidence of significant protection of photoreceptors and vision. Annexon also reported that tanruprubart, positioned as a fast-acting treatment for Guillain-Barré syndrome, has an EU marketing application under review supported by placebo-controlled and real-world data, while an ongoing FORWARD study in the U.S. and Europe is intended to underpin a planned 2026 biologics license application. In parallel, the company is advancing ANX1502, a first-in-kind oral C1 inhibitor for autoimmune conditions, with a proof-of-concept trial in cold agglutinin disease under way assessing pharmacokinetics, pharmacodynamics and complement inhibition, and an update on this program anticipated in 2026, underscoring Annexon’s broader push to expand its complement-targeting immunotherapy platform.

The most recent analyst rating on (ANNX) stock is a Hold with a $5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Annexon Biosciences stock, see the ANNX Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Annexon Biosciences Completes Successful Public Offering
Positive
Nov 14, 2025

On November 12, 2025, Annexon, Inc. announced an underwritten public offering of 25,096,153 shares of common stock and 3,750,000 pre-funded warrants, raising approximately $80.4 million after expenses. The offering, managed by Goldman Sachs, TD Securities, and Wells Fargo, closed on November 14, 2025, with the underwriters exercising their option to purchase additional shares, indicating strong market interest and potentially enhancing Annexon’s financial position for future developments.

The most recent analyst rating on (ANNX) stock is a Buy with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Annexon Biosciences stock, see the ANNX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 15, 2026