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Neumora Therapeutics, Inc. (NMRA)
NASDAQ:NMRA
US Market

Neumora Therapeutics, Inc. (NMRA) AI Stock Analysis

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NMRA

Neumora Therapeutics, Inc.

(NASDAQ:NMRA)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▲(16.28% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (no revenue, large ongoing losses, and significant cash burn), partially offset by constructive technical positioning (price above key moving averages with moderately strong RSI) and positive, catalyst-rich corporate pipeline updates. Valuation metrics provide limited support due to the negative P/E and no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Clinical efficacy signal (NMRA-511)
A clinically meaningful Phase 1b signal with favorable safety for NMRA-511 is a durable pipeline milestone that justifies advancement into higher-dose extensions and Phase 2/3 planning. This reduces binary program risk and strengthens Neumora’s strategic position in an unmet Alzheimer’s agitation market.
Multiple advancing programs (M4 franchise)
Progressing several early clinical programs (M4 franchise compounds) creates multiple independent value drivers and de-risks the company’s long-term prospects. Ongoing Phase 1 activity demonstrates R&D execution and provides multiple shots on goal through mid-2026 updates.
Low financial leverage
Very low debt materially reduces solvency and interest-rate risk, preserving strategic optionality. For a cash-burning clinical-stage biotech, a clean capital structure enables financing via equity or partnerships without near-term debt servicing constraints, supporting program continuity.
Negative Factors
Pre-revenue with large losses
Sustained, large operating and net losses reflect an extended development-only business model with no recurring revenue to absorb costs. Over the medium term this necessitates external funding, increases dilution risk, and leaves no internal cash buffer to self-fund multiple late-stage programs.
High cash burn and weak cash generation
Very large negative operating and free cash flows indicate the company must repeatedly access capital to sustain development. Persistent high burn narrows runway, can force prioritization or delays of programs, and increases dependence on equity markets or partnerships over the next 2-6 months.
Share issuance and equity base pressure
Converting debt to equity and recent share issuance are structural financing actions that dilute existing holders and signal reliance on equity to fund operations. Coupled with a materially declined equity base, this trend could continue, weighing on per-share economics and governance over time.

Neumora Therapeutics, Inc. (NMRA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Neumora Therapeutics, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNeumora Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in developing therapeutic treatments for brain diseases, neuropsychiatric disorders, and neurodegenerative diseases. The company develops navacaprant (NMRA-140), a novel once-daily oral kappa opioid receptor antagonist, which is in phase 3 clinical trials for the treatment of major depressive disorder. It also develops NMRA-511 that is in phase 1 clinical trials in patients with agitation associated with dementia due to Alzheimer's disease; and NMRA-266, which is in the phase 1 clinical trial for the treatment of schizophrenia and other neuropsychiatric disorders. In addition, its preclinical phase product includes NMRA-NMDA for the treatment of schizophrenia; NMRA-CK1d, a CK1d inhibitor program for the treatment of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis; NMRA-NLRP3 for the treatment of certain neurodegenerative conditions; and NMRA-GCase for the treatment of Parkinson's disease. The company was formerly known as RBNC Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Neumora Therapeutics, Inc. in October 2021. Neumora Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Watertown, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyNeumora Therapeutics, Inc. generates revenue through the development and commercialization of its precision medicines. The company focuses on advancing its pipeline of investigational therapies through various stages of clinical trials, aiming for regulatory approval and subsequent market entry. Revenue is primarily derived from the successful commercialization of approved drugs. Additionally, Neumora may engage in strategic partnerships and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies, which can include licensing agreements, joint ventures, or co-development arrangements, providing additional revenue streams and resources to support its research and development activities.

Neumora Therapeutics, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a company with a strong pipeline and financial position, with significant upcoming clinical milestones that could create substantial value. However, the continued net loss and competitive challenges in the obesity market were noted as areas of concern.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Pipeline Prioritization
Neumora has prioritized obesity as the lead indication for NMRA-215, an NLRP3 inhibitor with high CNS penetration, citing the potential for substantial improvements over current therapies.
Strong Financial Position
The company ended the quarter with $217.6 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities, with a cash runway projected to support operations into 2027.
Upcoming Clinical Milestones
Up to six clinical data readouts are expected over the next 18 months, including Phase I and Phase Ib studies for several assets and Phase III data for navacaprant in major depressive disorder.
Positive Preclinical Developments
Preclinical models are showing promise, particularly for NMRA-215, with potential for highly compelling data in diet-induced obesity models expected later in the year.
Negative Updates
Continued Net Loss
The total net loss for the second quarter was $52.7 million, a slight decrease from $58.7 million in the same period in 2024.
Discontinuation of a Program
The company decided not to advance a certain undisclosed program, reflecting a shift in resource allocation and prioritization.
Competitive Obesity Space
The company acknowledges the competitive nature of the obesity treatment market and the potential challenges in advancing NMRA-215 in this space.
Company Guidance
During the recent Neumora Therapeutics Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided extensive guidance on its future strategic initiatives and clinical developments. Neumora highlighted its prioritization of obesity as the lead indication for NMRA-215, a highly brain-penetrant NLRP3 inhibitor, with plans to initiate clinical studies in the first quarter of 2026. The company expects up to six clinical data readouts over the next 18 months, including Phase Ib data for NMRA-511 in Alzheimer's disease agitation by the end of the year, and top-line data from the Phase III KOASTAL program with navacaprant in major depressive disorder anticipated in early 2026. Additionally, Neumora disclosed a robust financial standing with $217.6 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities as of June 30, 2025, supporting operations into 2027. The company aims to leverage its expertise in neuroscience to address prevalent brain diseases and improve patient outcomes, while maintaining a strong development pipeline.

Neumora Therapeutics, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Neumora Therapeutics, Inc. faces significant financial challenges with no revenue and substantial ongoing losses. While it maintains a strong cash position, financial instability is highlighted by negative equity and consistent cash outflows, indicating a dependency on external capital.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Neumora Therapeutics, Inc. has consistently reported zero revenue over the past several years, indicating a lack of monetization. All profitability metrics are negative, reflecting the company's inability to generate income. The company has significant ongoing losses, with a worsening EBIT and Net Income, suggesting high operational costs and financial strain typical for early-stage biotechnology firms.
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
The company maintains a strong cash position relative to its total assets, indicating good liquidity. However, continuing losses have resulted in negative equity in some years, posing a risk. The debt-to-equity ratio is not meaningful due to negative equity in prior periods, but low total debt suggests limited leverage. The equity position improved slightly, but overall financial health is weak.
Cash Flow
22
Negative
Neumora Therapeutics, Inc. shows consistent negative free cash flow, reflecting cash burn typical of R&D-heavy biotechnology companies. The cash flow from financing activities has been positive, indicating reliance on external funding to support operations. The operating cash flow has been negative, consistent with the lack of revenue generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-5.00M0.00-668.00K0.000.000.00
EBITDA-243.55M-262.83M-187.53M-135.28M-236.78M-95.41M
Net Income-236.30M-243.79M-235.93M-130.90M-237.31M-99.27M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets177.83M316.97M496.19M426.23M429.30M197.95M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments171.53M307.58M453.98M371.88M409.25M191.98M
Total Debt523.00K1.85M5.23M8.44M2.05M2.04M
Total Liabilities45.67M29.91M27.12M873.08M754.52M292.33M
Stockholders Equity132.16M287.06M469.08M-446.85M-325.22M-94.38M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-208.84M-182.94M-163.40M-115.41M-76.24M-28.06M
Operating Cash Flow-208.82M-182.94M-163.28M-114.90M-75.42M-26.76M
Investing Cash Flow27.07M-70.56M64.39M-168.01M-817.00K-11.24M
Financing Cash Flow33.89M21.60M231.94M115.74M293.51M230.10M

Neumora Therapeutics, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.15
Price Trends
50DMA
2.21
Negative
100DMA
2.04
Positive
200DMA
1.55
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
55.28
Neutral
STOCH
62.62
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NMRA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.90, below the 50-day MA of 2.21, and above the 200-day MA of 1.55, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NMRA.

Neumora Therapeutics, Inc. Risk Analysis

Neumora Therapeutics, Inc. disclosed 79 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Neumora Therapeutics, Inc. reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Neumora Therapeutics, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$281.25M4.4575.90%
55
Neutral
$326.16M-6.67-48.06%31.30%
52
Neutral
$359.24M-1.47-104.35%20.71%
52
Neutral
$382.04M-1.73-54.43%-100.00%37.10%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$363.12M-4.36-72.72%-89.01%-86.17%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NMRA
Neumora Therapeutics, Inc.
2.15
-0.02
-0.92%
ABEO
Abeona Therapeutics
5.19
-0.05
-0.95%
ACIU
AC Immune SA
3.67
1.03
39.02%
ALLO
Allogene Therapeutics
1.70
-0.14
-7.61%
AARD
Aardvark Therapeutics, Inc.
14.98
1.68
12.63%

Neumora Therapeutics, Inc. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Neumora outlines 2026 neuroscience pipeline and obesity plans
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

On January 12, 2026, Neumora Therapeutics made a new corporate presentation available for use at the 44th Annual J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference, outlining its mission to redefine neuroscience drug development and its plan to advance three core franchises in metabolic, neurodegenerative and neuropsychiatric diseases. The materials highlight a broad pipeline led by NMRA-215, a differentiated oral NLRP3 inhibitor for obesity expected to enter the clinic in the first half of 2026 with initial biomarker and proof-of-concept data targeted by late 2026, alongside programs in Alzheimer’s-related agitation, Parkinson’s disease, ALS and major depressive disorder, and indicate that the company expects multiple data readouts and program updates during 2026 and has sufficient cash to fund operations into the third quarter of 2027, positioning it for a catalyst-rich period that could influence its standing in the competitive obesity and CNS therapeutics markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (NMRA) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Neumora Therapeutics, Inc. stock, see the NMRA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Neumora reports promising Phase 1b results in Alzheimer’s agitation
Positive
Jan 5, 2026

On January 5, 2026, Neumora Therapeutics reported positive results from a Phase 1b signal-seeking study of NMRA-511, an oral, highly potent and selective vasopressin 1a receptor antagonist, in people with agitation associated with Alzheimer’s disease. The trial showed that NMRA-511 produced a clinically meaningful reduction in agitation symptoms on the Cohen-Mansfield Agitation Inventory, particularly in a pre-specified subgroup of patients with elevated baseline anxiety, while demonstrating a favorable safety and tolerability profile with mostly mild to moderate adverse events and low discontinuation rates. These findings, although from a study not powered for statistical significance, support further development of NMRA-511 and position Neumora to advance the program in 2026 through a multiple ascending dose extension at higher doses, formulation work toward once-daily extended-release dosing, and a planned Phase 2/3 dose-ranging study, potentially strengthening the company’s role in addressing the substantial unmet need in Alzheimer’s agitation treatment.

The most recent analyst rating on (NMRA) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Neumora Therapeutics, Inc. stock, see the NMRA Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Neumora Issues Shares Following Loan Conversion Notice
Neutral
Nov 21, 2025

On November 17, 2025, Neumora Therapeutics received a conversion notice from K2 HealthVentures, electing to convert $2.5 million of a term loan into common stock at a price of $0.8774 per share. Subsequently, on November 20, 2025, Neumora issued 2,849,327 shares to K2 HealthVentures Equity Trust LLC, utilizing a registration exemption under the Securities Act of 1933.

The most recent analyst rating on (NMRA) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Neumora Therapeutics, Inc. stock, see the NMRA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Neumora Therapeutics Begins Phase 1 Study for NMRA-898
Positive
Oct 27, 2025

On October 27, 2025, Neumora Therapeutics announced the initiation of a Phase 1 clinical study for NMRA-898, a positive allosteric modulator of the M4 muscarinic receptor, which is part of their M4 franchise aimed at treating schizophrenia and other neuropsychiatric disorders. This study, along with a similar study for NMRA-861 initiated earlier in July 2025, will evaluate the safety and pharmacokinetics of these compounds, potentially advancing their development. The announcement underscores Neumora’s strategic flexibility and commitment to developing best-in-class therapies, with a comprehensive update on the M4 franchise expected by mid-2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (NMRA) stock is a Buy with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Neumora Therapeutics, Inc. stock, see the NMRA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Neumora Reports Positive Preclinical Results for NMRA-215
Positive
Oct 27, 2025

On October 27, 2025, Neumora Therapeutics announced positive preclinical results for NMRA-215, an oral NLRP3 inhibitor, in diet-induced obesity mouse studies. The studies showed significant weight loss, with NMRA-215 achieving up to 19% weight reduction as a monotherapy and 26% when combined with semaglutide. These findings suggest NMRA-215’s potential as a next-generation treatment for obesity, both alone and in combination with GLP-1 agonists, and Neumora plans to initiate Phase 1 clinical trials in early 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (NMRA) stock is a Buy with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Neumora Therapeutics, Inc. stock, see the NMRA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 13, 2026