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Aldeyra Therapeutics (ALDX)
NASDAQ:ALDX

Aldeyra Therapeutics (ALDX) AI Stock Analysis

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ALDX

Aldeyra Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:ALDX)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▼(-15.73% Downside)
Action:UpgradedDate:04/02/26
The score is pressured primarily by weak financial performance (no revenue, ongoing losses, and elevated cash burn risk) and bearish technicals (sharp downtrend with negative momentum). Corporate events are mixed—debt repayment is a positive, but the second FDA rejection is a significant negative—and valuation support is limited given negative earnings and no dividend.
Positive Factors
Debt Repayment & Cash Runway
Paying off the $15M Hercules facility removes a near-term debt maturity and related covenants, lowering fixed financing costs and refinancing risk. Coupled with management's stated cash runway into 2028, this boosts medium-term financial flexibility and reduces pressure to raise immediate capital.
Negative Factors
No Revenue & Persistent Losses
As a clinical-stage company with no product sales, sustained operating losses erode equity and necessitate ongoing external funding. Until commercialization occurs, the firm remains dependent on capital markets, increasing dilution risk and constraining long-term investment flexibility.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Debt Repayment & Cash Runway
Paying off the $15M Hercules facility removes a near-term debt maturity and related covenants, lowering fixed financing costs and refinancing risk. Coupled with management's stated cash runway into 2028, this boosts medium-term financial flexibility and reduces pressure to raise immediate capital.
Read all positive factors

Aldeyra Therapeutics (ALDX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Aldeyra Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Aldeyra Therapeutics, Inc., a biotechnology company, develops and commercializes medicines for immune-mediated ocular and systemic diseases. The company's lead product candidate is reproxalap, a reactive aldehyde species (RASP)modulator, which is ...
How the Company Makes Money
Aldeyra is not known to have a commercialized product generating recurring product sales; as a clinical-stage biotech, it primarily funds operations through capital raising (e.g., public equity offerings) and other financing activities rather than...

Aldeyra Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials reflect a pre-revenue biotech profile: no revenue, recurring net losses, and persistently negative operating/free cash flow. While leverage has been relatively moderate, the latest period shows a sharp deterioration in results and a significant step-up in cash outflows, increasing financing and dilution risk.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
48
Neutral
Cash Flow
22
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-251.99K0.000.000.000.00
EBITDA-31.69M-53.68M-35.21M-60.07M-55.77M
Net Income-33.85M-55.85M-37.54M-62.02M-57.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets72.06M104.61M148.33M181.29M233.14M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments70.04M101.15M142.82M174.30M229.79M
Total Debt15.53M15.30M15.66M16.08M15.86M
Total Liabilities27.81M33.60M28.53M30.28M27.40M
Stockholders Equity44.25M71.00M119.80M151.01M205.74M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-33.35T-43.21M-30.33M-56.65M-42.56M
Operating Cash Flow-33.35T-43.21M-30.33M-56.64M-42.56M
Investing Cash Flow47.74T-44.92M30.00M-29.95M-7.81K
Financing Cash Flow1.12T-171.42K-1.27M1.22M194.50M

Aldeyra Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.78
Price Trends
50DMA
3.91
Negative
100DMA
4.39
Negative
200DMA
4.78
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.69
Negative
RSI
34.18
Neutral
STOCH
42.62
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALDX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.78 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.95, below the 50-day MA of 3.91, and below the 200-day MA of 4.78, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.69 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 34.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ALDX.

Aldeyra Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Aldeyra Therapeutics disclosed 89 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Aldeyra Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Aldeyra Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
53
Neutral
$827.24M3.161.71%12.32%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
47
Neutral
$353.78M-7.84-51.44%68.53%
45
Neutral
$269.43M-4.58105.48%-3.91%37.89%
44
Neutral
$371.36M-1.23-113.81%20.71%
43
Neutral
$151.40M-8.6225.65%18.82%
41
Neutral
$95.69M-63.75%4.23%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALDX
Aldeyra Therapeutics
1.78
-0.34
-16.04%
OMER
Omeros
11.49
4.50
64.38%
GALT
Galectin Therapeutics
2.30
0.96
71.64%
FHTX
Foghorn Therapeutics
4.59
1.00
27.86%
CADL
Candel Therapeutics
4.83
-0.34
-6.58%
NMRA
Neumora Therapeutics, Inc.
2.04
1.37
204.48%

Aldeyra Therapeutics Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Aldeyra Repays Hercules Loan, Boosting Financial Flexibility
Positive
Apr 1, 2026
Aldeyra Therapeutics, Inc. previously entered into a Loan and Security Agreement in March 2019 with Hercules Capital, Inc. and a syndicate of lenders, known as the Hercules Credit Facility, which had a scheduled maturity date of April 1, 2026. On ...
Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related AnnouncementsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
FDA Issues Second Complete Response Letter for Reproxalap
Negative
Mar 17, 2026
On March 17, 2026, Aldeyra Therapeutics announced that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration issued a Complete Response Letter rejecting the New Drug Application for reproxalap in dry eye disease, citing a lack of substantial evidence of efficacy,...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 02, 2026