tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Alvotech (ALVO)
:ALVO
Advertisement

Alvotech (ALVO) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
221 Followers

Top Page

ALVO

Alvotech

(NASDAQ:ALVO)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$8.50
▼(-1.05% Downside)
Alvotech's overall stock score reflects significant financial risks due to high leverage and negative equity, despite strong revenue growth and strategic market expansion highlighted in the earnings call. The technical analysis suggests a neutral outlook, while the high P/E ratio indicates potential overvaluation.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates successful market expansion and product adoption, which supports long-term business sustainability.
Strategic Partnerships
Strategic partnerships enhance market reach and provide additional capital, supporting research and development efforts for sustained growth.
Market Expansion
Capturing significant market share in the U.S. strengthens Alvotech's competitive position and supports long-term revenue potential.
Negative Factors
High Financial Leverage
High leverage and negative equity pose financial risks, potentially limiting operational flexibility and impacting long-term stability.
Declining Revenue Growth
Declining revenue growth can indicate market challenges or competitive pressures, affecting future profitability and business prospects.
Challenging U.S. Market Dynamics
Increasing competition and market dynamics in the U.S. could pressure margins and limit growth opportunities in a key market.

Alvotech (ALVO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Alvotech Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlvotech (ALVO) is a biotechnology company focused on developing and manufacturing biosimilars, which are biologic medical products highly similar to already approved reference products. The company operates primarily in the pharmaceutical sector, specializing in monoclonal antibodies and other biologics. Alvotech aims to provide affordable access to high-quality medicines for patients worldwide by leveraging its proprietary technology platform and expertise in large-scale bioprocessing.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlvotech generates revenue primarily through the development and commercialization of its biosimilar products. The company typically follows a model of partnering with established pharmaceutical firms to co-develop and market its biosimilars, sharing the revenue generated from product sales. Key revenue streams include upfront payments from licensing agreements, milestone payments as products progress through clinical trials and regulatory approvals, and royalty fees from sales of marketed products. Significant partnerships with major players in the pharmaceutical industry enhance its market reach and provide additional capital to support its research and development efforts, contributing to the overall earnings of the company.

Alvotech Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong overall performance by Alvotech, with significant revenue growth, positive cash flow, and strategic market expansion. However, the lumpiness in licensing revenues and anticipated challenges in the U.S. market pose some concerns.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth and Product Performance
Alvotech achieved a 30% year-on-year revenue growth in the first half of 2025, totaling $306 million, with strong product revenues of $205 million driven by increased sales of biosimilars to Humira and STELARA.
Positive Cash Flow and Operational Efficiency
The company generated $77 million of positive cash flow from operations in the first half, a net improvement of $161 million year-on-year, marking the strongest quarter for operating cash flow in Alvotech's history.
Biosimilar Market Expansion
Alvotech's biosimilar to Humira, SIMLANDI, achieved over 40% share of the U.S. Humira market, and its biosimilar to STELARA, SELARSDI, captured over 20% of the U.S. market with continued strong performance in Europe.
Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions
Alvotech expanded partnerships with Advanz Pharma and Dr. Reddy's, licensed rights to multiple biosimilar candidates, and completed the acquisition of Ivers-Lee in Switzerland and the R&D operation of Xbrane in Sweden.
Negative Updates
Lumpiness in Licensing Revenues
Licensing revenues in the first half of 2025 were $101 million, down from $170 million in the first half of 2024, due to the timing of development milestone achievements.
Challenging U.S. Market Dynamics
The U.S. market for biosimilars to Humira is expected to become more challenging in the second half of the year, with a focus on value over volume.
Company Guidance
During the Alvotech Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided detailed guidance on its financial performance and future expectations. The first half of 2025 showcased strong growth, with revenues increasing by 30% year-on-year to $306 million, driven by a 200% rise in product revenues, particularly from biosimilars to Humira and STELARA. Adjusted EBITDA reached $54 million, maintaining positive momentum for the fifth consecutive quarter. Despite expectations of a softer third quarter, the company anticipates a strong fourth quarter, bolstered by new product launches and milestone achievements. Alvotech also reported significant cash flow improvements, with $77 million generated from operations, and successfully reduced its capital costs by renegotiating its debt terms. The company's strategic focus remains on expanding its product reach, enhancing R&D efforts, and maintaining operational efficiency to support sustainable long-term growth.

Alvotech Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Alvotech's financial performance is concerning due to high leverage, negative equity, and weak cash flow generation despite improving profitability margins. The declining revenue growth and financial instability are significant risks.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Alvotech's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a gross profit margin of 60.59%, which is strong. However, the company is experiencing a negative revenue growth rate of -4.36%, indicating declining sales. The net profit margin has improved to 16.49% in the TTM, a significant recovery from previous losses, but the EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively low at 18.18% and 23.71%, respectively. Overall, while profitability margins are improving, the declining revenue growth is a concern.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals significant financial leverage with a negative stockholders' equity, leading to a high debt-to-equity ratio of -4.06 in the TTM. This indicates potential financial instability. The return on equity is negative, reflecting losses in equity value. The equity ratio is also negative, suggesting that liabilities exceed assets. Overall, the balance sheet highlights financial risk due to high leverage and negative equity.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows challenges in generating positive cash flows. The TTM data indicates a negative free cash flow growth rate of -37.76%, and the operating cash flow is negative. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 1.51, suggesting that the company is managing to convert some of its net income into free cash flow. Despite this, the overall cash flow position is weak, with negative operating cash flow coverage.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue560.10M489.68M91.43M83.03M36.77M66.62M
Gross Profit300.68M304.37M-69.42M18.93M36.77M66.62M
EBITDA207.20M-28.66M-484.86M-439.80M3.99M-125.67M
Net Income63.36M-231.86M-551.73M-513.58M-101.50M-170.04M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.39B1.22B950.09M828.44M597.98M474.42M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments151.45M51.43M11.16M66.43M17.56M31.69M
Total Debt1.27B1.19B1.08B805.10M523.05M676.85M
Total Liabilities1.57B1.63B1.88B1.39B733.59M1.34B
Stockholders Equity-173.33M-412.77M-932.49M-564.42M-135.61M-867.24M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-139.82M-293.84M-358.66M-361.39M-268.80M-86.28M
Operating Cash Flow-42.55M-236.84M-312.19M-312.39M-228.17M-74.30M
Investing Cash Flow-57.30M-18.87M-46.34M-63.54M-40.63M-16.90M
Financing Cash Flow237.43M297.31M301.32M424.91M254.83M55.40M

Alvotech Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price8.59
Price Trends
50DMA
8.26
Negative
100DMA
8.67
Negative
200DMA
9.72
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Positive
RSI
40.97
Neutral
STOCH
18.64
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALVO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8.59 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.40, above the 50-day MA of 8.26, and below the 200-day MA of 9.72, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.64 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ALVO.

Alvotech Risk Analysis

Alvotech disclosed 95 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Alvotech reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
We may need to refinance all or a portion of our indebtedness and cannot assure you that refinancing will be available on commercially reasonable terms, or at all. Q4, 2023
2.
Termination or expiration of governmental programs or tax benefits, could adversely affect us. Q4, 2023
3.
We operate our main R&D and manufacturing facility in Iceland which is an island with a relatively limited number of ports of entry by sea or air which may impact logistics. Geologic activity, in particular volcanic eruptions could impact transport and cause disruptions to our supply chain or ability to export product. Q4, 2023

Alvotech Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$2.98B46.476.38%5.55%1145.24%
$2.02B-121.36-2.82%38.68%-160.14%
$3.23B1,607.819.81%
$2.54B38.7398.37%
$2.59B5.4747.54%-1.35%
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
$2.97B-1.32%5.22%-2.32%35.46%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALVO
Alvotech
7.87
-4.90
-38.37%
PRGO
Perrigo Company
21.60
-2.76
-11.33%
SUPN
Supernus Pharmaceuticals
53.17
18.30
52.48%
ANIP
ANI Pharmaceuticals
93.29
34.78
59.44%
HCM
HUTCHMED
14.67
-4.28
-22.59%
AMRX
Amneal Pharmaceuticals
10.29
1.72
20.07%

Alvotech Corporate Events

Alvotech Announces Key Leadership Changes in Commercial Operations
Oct 22, 2025

On October 22, 2025, Alvotech announced significant changes to its commercial team, with the departure of Anil Okay, the Chief Commercial Officer, who will become the CEO of Adalvo. Trisha Durant joins as Senior Vice President for Global Business Development and Commercial Operations, excluding North America, while Harshika Sarbajna and Agne Pasko take on key roles in North America and global business development, respectively. These leadership changes are expected to strengthen Alvotech’s commercial operations and strategic partnerships, enhancing its position in the biosimilar industry.

Alvotech’s AVT23 Biosimilar Gains EMA Acceptance
Oct 6, 2025

On October 6, 2025, Alvotech announced that the European Medicines Agency accepted a Marketing Authorization Application for AVT23, a proposed biosimilar to Xolair®, developed in collaboration with Kashiv BioSciences LLC. This milestone, in partnership with Advanz Pharma, marks a significant step towards expanding access to affordable biologic medicines for patients in Europe and other regions, potentially enhancing Alvotech’s industry positioning and stakeholder value.

Alvotech Gains Key Approvals for Biosimilars in Japan and Europe
Sep 22, 2025

On September 19, 2025, Alvotech announced that its partner in Japan, Fuji Pharma, received marketing authorization for three biosimilars from the Japanese Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare. These biosimilars, AVT03, AVT05, and AVT06, target bone lesions, rheumatoid arthritis, and macular degeneration, respectively. Additionally, on September 22, 2025, Alvotech announced that the European Medicines Agency’s Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use recommended approval for AVT03 and AVT05 in the European Economic Area, pending a final decision by the European Commission. These developments are significant for Alvotech’s expansion in the Japanese and European markets, enhancing its industry positioning and offering potential benefits for stakeholders.

Alvotech Reports Strong H1 2025 Financials and Strategic Partnerships
Aug 13, 2025

Alvotech reported financial results for the first half of 2025, showing a significant increase in product revenue to $204.7 million compared to $65.9 million in the same period in 2024, driven by the expansion of AVT02 and the launch of AVT04 in multiple countries. Despite a decrease in license and other revenue, the company achieved a net profit of $141.7 million, a substantial turnaround from a net loss in the previous year. Alvotech also announced several strategic initiatives, including a collaboration with Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories for a Keytruda biosimilar and an expanded partnership with Advanz Pharma for additional biosimilar candidates, positioning the company for further growth in the biosimilars market.

Alvotech Expands Partnerships and Strengthens Leadership Amid Regulatory Progress
Jul 28, 2025

In recent developments, Alvotech has made significant strides in its business operations and strategic partnerships. On June 25, 2025, the company re-elected six members to its Board of Directors and appointed a new Chief Financial Officer, Linda Jonsdottir, who brings extensive experience in finance and corporate leadership. Alvotech has also expanded its commercial partnership with Advanz Pharma and entered into a collaboration with Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories for biosimilar candidates. Additionally, the company acquired Ivers-Lee Group to enhance its technical operations. Regulatory progress includes a positive opinion from the European Medicines Agency for a biosimilar to Eylea and successful study results for a biosimilar to Xolair. However, a recent FDA inspection highlighted some deficiencies in manufacturing operations, which Alvotech is addressing. Financially, Alvotech completed an oversubscribed offering of Swedish Depository Receipts and a private placement, raising substantial funds to support its growth initiatives.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 22, 2025