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Alvotech (ALVO)
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Alvotech (ALVO) AI Stock Analysis

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ALVO

Alvotech

(NASDAQ:ALVO)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▼(-41.79% Downside)
Alvotech's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance and technical analysis. The company's high leverage and negative equity pose significant financial risks, while bearish technical indicators suggest continued downward pressure on the stock. The moderate valuation provides some support, but the lack of a dividend yield is a drawback. Despite strong revenue growth and strategic investments, regulatory and operational challenges weigh heavily on the outlook.
Positive Factors
Strong Revenue Growth
The robust revenue growth indicates Alvotech's expanding market presence and successful product adoption, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Expanding Global Market Presence
Global expansion enhances Alvotech's competitive position, diversifies revenue streams, and mitigates regional market risks, strengthening its market footprint.
New Product Approvals
New product approvals expand Alvotech's portfolio and market access, driving future revenue growth and reinforcing its position in the biosimilar industry.
Negative Factors
High Leverage and Negative Equity
High leverage and negative equity pose risks to Alvotech's financial health, limiting its ability to invest in growth and manage economic downturns.
Regulatory Challenges
Regulatory setbacks can delay product launches and revenue generation, impacting Alvotech's growth trajectory and market competitiveness.
Cash Flow Challenges
Persistent cash flow issues may hinder Alvotech's ability to fund operations and strategic initiatives, affecting long-term financial stability.

Alvotech (ALVO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Alvotech Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlvotech (ALVO) is a biotechnology company focused on developing and manufacturing biosimilars, which are biologic medical products highly similar to already approved reference products. The company operates primarily in the pharmaceutical sector, specializing in monoclonal antibodies and other biologics. Alvotech aims to provide affordable access to high-quality medicines for patients worldwide by leveraging its proprietary technology platform and expertise in large-scale bioprocessing.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlvotech generates revenue primarily through the development and commercialization of its biosimilar products. The company typically follows a model of partnering with established pharmaceutical firms to co-develop and market its biosimilars, sharing the revenue generated from product sales. Key revenue streams include upfront payments from licensing agreements, milestone payments as products progress through clinical trials and regulatory approvals, and royalty fees from sales of marketed products. Significant partnerships with major players in the pharmaceutical industry enhance its market reach and provide additional capital to support its research and development efforts, contributing to the overall earnings of the company.

Alvotech Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 01, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a company with strong growth and strategic investments, but it is facing significant regulatory and operational challenges that have impacted its short-term financial outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Alvotech reported a 420% revenue growth in 2024 and is guiding approximately 20% growth for 2025. The company has experienced an average annual growth rate of 127% from 2021 to 2024 and is projecting a compounded average growth rate of 94% through 2025.
Expanding Global Market Presence
Alvotech has launched its biosimilars in the U.S., Japan, and the U.K., and expects EMA approval soon for its biosimilar to Simponi. The company continues to hold significant market shares in Europe and Canada.
Pipeline and Product Approvals
The company has 5 approved biosimilars and 12 other disclosed development programs, with cell lines for an additional 15 targets. They are targeting a market worth over $185 billion.
Strategic Investments and Acquisitions
Alvotech has invested approximately $2 billion in building a global biosimilar company and recently acquired Ivers-Lee to increase capacity for finished product assembly and packaging.
Negative Updates
FDA Complete Response Letter (CRL)
The FDA issued a CRL for Alvotech's BLA for a biosimilar to Simponi due to unresolved issues at their Reykjavik facility, impacting the timeline for approval and subsequent revenues.
Manufacturing and Operational Challenges
The company faced operational inefficiencies and had to make over 180 changes to address FDA observations. This has temporarily slowed down production and impacted product revenues.
Revised Financial Guidance
Due to the CRL and shifts in licensing agreements, Alvotech revised its revenue guidance for 2025 to $570 million - $600 million, and adjusted EBITDA to $130 million - $150 million.
Company Guidance
During the Alvotech Q3 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company outlined its financial guidance for the year and discussed several key metrics. The company has revised its full-year revenue guidance to a range of $570 million to $600 million and anticipates an adjusted EBITDA of $130 million to $150 million. This revision reflects the impact of a complete response letter (CRL) from the FDA, which caused a temporary disruption in production, and the shift of some licensing agreements for pipeline assets to 2026. Despite these challenges, the company continues to see strong global demand for its biosimilar products, with a projected compounded average growth rate (CAGR) of 94% from 2021 to the end of 2025. Alvotech has also emphasized its strategic focus on pipeline expansion and global launches, aiming to deliver sustained revenue and EBITDA growth in 2026.

Alvotech Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Alvotech's financial performance is concerning due to high financial leverage, negative equity, and declining revenue growth. While profitability margins are improving, the overall financial risk remains high with weak cash flow generation.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Alvotech's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a gross profit margin of 60.59%, which is strong. However, the company is experiencing a negative revenue growth rate of -4.36%, indicating declining sales. The net profit margin has improved to 16.49% in the TTM, a significant recovery from previous losses, but the EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively low at 18.18% and 23.71%, respectively. Overall, while profitability margins are improving, the declining revenue growth is a concern.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals significant financial leverage with a negative stockholders' equity, leading to a high debt-to-equity ratio of -4.06 in the TTM. This indicates potential financial instability. The return on equity is negative, reflecting losses in equity value. The equity ratio is also negative, suggesting that liabilities exceed assets. Overall, the balance sheet highlights financial risk due to high leverage and negative equity.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows challenges in generating positive cash flows. The TTM data indicates a negative free cash flow growth rate of -37.76%, and the operating cash flow is negative. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 1.51, suggesting that the company is managing to convert some of its net income into free cash flow. Despite this, the overall cash flow position is weak, with negative operating cash flow coverage.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue571.16M489.68M91.43M83.03M36.77M66.62M
Gross Profit316.53M304.37M-69.42M18.93M36.77M66.62M
EBITDA72.66M-32.27M-493.67M-439.80M-18.03M-177.88M
Net Income69.53M-231.86M-551.73M-513.58M-101.50M-170.04M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.41B1.22B950.09M828.44M597.98M474.42M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments42.85M51.43M11.16M66.43M17.56M31.69M
Total Debt1.28B1.19B1.08B805.10M523.05M676.85M
Total Liabilities1.59B1.63B1.88B1.39B733.59M1.34B
Stockholders Equity-176.76M-412.77M-932.49M-564.42M-135.61M-867.24M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-113.45M-293.84M-358.66M-361.39M-268.80M-86.28M
Operating Cash Flow-26.49M-236.84M-312.19M-312.39M-228.17M-74.30M
Investing Cash Flow-119.50M-18.87M-46.34M-63.54M-40.63M-16.90M
Financing Cash Flow68.36M297.31M301.32M424.91M254.83M55.40M

Alvotech Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price8.59
Price Trends
50DMA
7.48
Negative
100DMA
8.06
Negative
200DMA
9.14
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.75
Positive
RSI
30.88
Neutral
STOCH
20.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALVO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8.59 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.23, above the 50-day MA of 7.48, and below the 200-day MA of 9.14, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.75 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ALVO.

Alvotech Risk Analysis

Alvotech disclosed 95 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Alvotech reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
We may need to refinance all or a portion of our indebtedness and cannot assure you that refinancing will be available on commercially reasonable terms, or at all. Q4, 2023
2.
Termination or expiration of governmental programs or tax benefits, could adversely affect us. Q4, 2023
3.
We operate our main R&D and manufacturing facility in Iceland which is an island with a relatively limited number of ports of entry by sea or air which may impact logistics. Geologic activity, in particular volcanic eruptions could impact transport and cause disruptions to our supply chain or ability to export product. Q4, 2023

Alvotech Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$1.80B49.267.83%48.87%
63
Neutral
$3.56B788.199.50%
55
Neutral
$2.59B-1.86%4.54%-130.59%
52
Neutral
$2.73B5.7647.54%-1.35%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$2.78B-0.65%5.55%-2.55%66.00%
44
Neutral
$1.66B23.8455.38%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALVO
Alvotech
5.23
-6.76
-56.38%
PRGO
Perrigo Company
12.82
-14.07
-52.32%
SUPN
Supernus Pharmaceuticals
45.70
9.48
26.17%
ANIP
ANI Pharmaceuticals
80.33
23.42
41.15%
HCM
HUTCHMED
14.53
-2.83
-16.30%
AMRX
Amneal Pharmaceuticals
11.52
3.13
37.31%

Alvotech Corporate Events

Alvotech’s Gobivaz® Receives European Approval as First Simponi® Biosimilar
Nov 20, 2025

On November 20, 2025, Alvotech, in partnership with Advanz Pharma, announced that their biosimilar product Gobivaz®, a version of Simponi® (golimumab), received marketing approval from the European Commission for use in the European Economic Area. This approval marks a significant milestone as Gobivaz® is the first biosimilar to Simponi® approved in Europe, enhancing Alvotech’s commercial presence in the region and expanding access to biologic medicines for immune-mediated diseases. The approval is based on comprehensive analytical and clinical data, further solidifying Alvotech’s position in the biosimilar market.

Alvotech Reports Strong Revenue Growth and New Biosimilar Approvals
Nov 17, 2025

On November 12, 2025, Alvotech announced its financial results for the first nine months of 2025, reporting a 24% increase in total revenues to $420 million compared to the previous year. Despite a decrease in adjusted EBITDA by 21% due to increased R&D investments, the company revised its full-year revenue outlook to $570-$600 million, anticipating strong growth driven by new biosimilar approvals in Japan and Europe. Alvotech’s strategic focus on expanding its biosimilar portfolio and maintaining operational excellence positions it for continued growth, with significant product launches expected in Q4 2025 and beyond.

UK High Court Supports Alvotech’s Biosimilar Launch Plans
Nov 12, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Alvotech announced that the UK High Court ruled in its favor, rejecting an injunction request from Regeneron Pharmaceuticals and Bayer. This decision allows Alvotech to continue manufacturing its biosimilar to Eylea (AVT06) in the UK, paving the way for its commercial launch in the European Economic Area and other regions after the expiry of the Supplementary Protection Certificates for Eylea on November 23, 2025. The ruling supports Alvotech’s strategy to enhance access to biosimilars and strengthen its position in the global biosimilar market.

Alvotech’s Gobivaz Biosimilar Gains UK Approval
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Alvotech announced that the UK Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency (MHRA) approved its biosimilar to Simponi, named Gobivaz, for various immune-mediated diseases. The approval covers multiple presentations of Gobivaz, enhancing Alvotech’s market positioning by broadening access to biologic treatments in the UK. This development, in partnership with Advanz Pharma, underscores Alvotech’s capabilities in biosimilar development and manufacturing, potentially impacting stakeholders by increasing treatment availability for conditions like rheumatoid arthritis and ulcerative colitis.

Alvotech Faces FDA Setback for AVT05 Biosimilar Application
Nov 3, 2025

On November 2, 2025, Alvotech announced that the U.S. FDA issued a complete response letter for its Biologics License Application for AVT05, a biosimilar candidate to Simponi®. The letter highlighted deficiencies in Alvotech’s Reykjavik facility, which must be resolved before approval. Despite the setback, the facility remains FDA-approved for current products. Alvotech has revised its 2025 financial outlook, anticipating lower revenues and adjusted EBITDA due to ongoing investments in facility improvements, which are expected to support future growth and product launches.

Alvotech Announces Key Leadership Changes in Commercial Operations
Oct 22, 2025

On October 22, 2025, Alvotech announced significant changes to its commercial team, with the departure of Anil Okay, the Chief Commercial Officer, who will become the CEO of Adalvo. Trisha Durant joins as Senior Vice President for Global Business Development and Commercial Operations, excluding North America, while Harshika Sarbajna and Agne Pasko take on key roles in North America and global business development, respectively. These leadership changes are expected to strengthen Alvotech’s commercial operations and strategic partnerships, enhancing its position in the biosimilar industry.

Alvotech’s AVT23 Biosimilar Gains EMA Acceptance
Oct 6, 2025

On October 6, 2025, Alvotech announced that the European Medicines Agency accepted a Marketing Authorization Application for AVT23, a proposed biosimilar to Xolair®, developed in collaboration with Kashiv BioSciences LLC. This milestone, in partnership with Advanz Pharma, marks a significant step towards expanding access to affordable biologic medicines for patients in Europe and other regions, potentially enhancing Alvotech’s industry positioning and stakeholder value.

Alvotech Gains Key Approvals for Biosimilars in Japan and Europe
Sep 22, 2025

On September 19, 2025, Alvotech announced that its partner in Japan, Fuji Pharma, received marketing authorization for three biosimilars from the Japanese Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare. These biosimilars, AVT03, AVT05, and AVT06, target bone lesions, rheumatoid arthritis, and macular degeneration, respectively. Additionally, on September 22, 2025, Alvotech announced that the European Medicines Agency’s Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use recommended approval for AVT03 and AVT05 in the European Economic Area, pending a final decision by the European Commission. These developments are significant for Alvotech’s expansion in the Japanese and European markets, enhancing its industry positioning and offering potential benefits for stakeholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 20, 2025