tiprankstipranks
Supernus Pharmaceuticals (SUPN)
NASDAQ:SUPN
Want to see SUPN full AI Analyst Report?

Supernus Pharmaceuticals (SUPN) AI Stock Analysis

530 Followers

Top Page

SUPN

Supernus Pharmaceuticals

(NASDAQ:SUPN)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$47.00
▼(-8.54% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/19/26
The score is supported primarily by strong financial resilience (low leverage, solid cash generation) and a constructive earnings-call outlook with reiterated 2026 guidance alongside strong revenue momentum. These positives are tempered by weak technicals (price below key moving averages with negative MACD) and valuation pressure reflected in a negative P/E tied to recent GAAP losses.
Positive Factors
Strong balance sheet
Extremely low leverage and a sizable equity base provide durable financial flexibility to fund R&D, support commercialization, absorb setbacks, and pursue partnerships or acquisitions without reliance on debt markets. This reduces refinancing risk and preserves strategic optionality over months to years.
Negative Factors
Ongoing GAAP losses
A sustained GAAP loss profile weakens return metrics and can erode shareholder equity over time if not reversed. Persistent losses constrain reinvestment, may force reliance on cash reserves or equity financing for growth, and complicate comparisons to peers on reported profitability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong balance sheet
Extremely low leverage and a sizable equity base provide durable financial flexibility to fund R&D, support commercialization, absorb setbacks, and pursue partnerships or acquisitions without reliance on debt markets. This reduces refinancing risk and preserves strategic optionality over months to years.
Read all positive factors

Supernus Pharmaceuticals Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Sales by Product
Net Sales by Product
Breaks down revenue by individual drugs and therapies, revealing which products drive Supernus’s topline and how concentrated its sales are. Heavy reliance on a few CNS products raises vulnerability to patent expirations, generic entry, or pricing pressure, while rising sales from recent launches or label expansions signal successful commercialization and potential for sustainable growth. Also highlights whether R&D and marketing investments are translating into real, repeatable revenue streams.
Chart InsightsSupernus is pivoting from legacy brands toward a high-growth portfolio—Qelbree and GOCOVRI are now the revenue engines while the Sage acquisition (ZURZUVAE) and ONAPGO added material late‑2025 contribution. That mix drove record 2025 revenue but raised R&D/SG&A and pushed GAAP losses; management’s 2026 guidance hinges on ONAPGO scaling and Qelbree gross-to-net improving. Execution risk (ONAPGO supply continuity and PBM impacts on Qelbree) is the key determinant whether top-line momentum converts to sustainable non‑GAAP/GAAP profitability.
Data provided by:The Fly

Supernus Pharmaceuticals (SUPN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Supernus Pharmaceuticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Supernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical firm dedicated to developing and marketing therapies for central nervous system (CNS) disorders within the United States. Its portfolio of marketed products includes Trokendi XR, an extended-re...
How the Company Makes Money
Supernus primarily makes money by selling its branded prescription medicines in the United States, with revenue recognized based on product shipments to its customers (e.g., wholesalers and specialty pharmacies), net of estimated rebates, discount...

Supernus Pharmaceuticals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong commercial momentum across multiple products with robust revenue growth (total revenue +39% YoY; growth products +56% YoY), improving non-GAAP profitability, a healthy cash position (~$384M) and an advancing R&D pipeline. Offsetting these positives are meaningful increases in operating expenses (combined R&D and SG&A up ~40.8% YoY), ongoing GAAP losses (albeit reduced), supply constraints and conversion challenges for Onepco, and timing / regulatory risk related to bringing a second supplier online. Management reiterated full-year guidance ranges and emphasized continued focus on corporate development and supply backups. Overall, the positive top-line growth, improved profitability metrics, strong product-specific trends and solid balance sheet outweigh the near-term expense and supply risks.
Positive Updates
Strong Overall Revenue Growth
Total revenue of $207.7 million in Q1 2026, up 39% year-over-year. Combined revenues of growth products increased 56% year-over-year. Revenues from commercial products were $178 million, up 26% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Significant Increase in Operating Expenses
Combined R&D and SG&A expenses were $164.6 million in Q1 2026 versus $116.9 million in Q1 2025, an increase of approximately $47.7 million (≈40.8%), driven primarily by higher SG&A related to the Biogen collaboration. Full-year guidance expects combined R&D and SG&A of $620–$650 million, indicating sustained elevated spending.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Overall Revenue Growth
Total revenue of $207.7 million in Q1 2026, up 39% year-over-year. Combined revenues of growth products increased 56% year-over-year. Revenues from commercial products were $178 million, up 26% year-over-year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Supernus reiterated full‑year 2026 guidance expecting total revenues of $840–$870 million, combined R&D and SG&A of $620–$650 million, full‑year operating earnings of $0–$30 million and non‑GAAP operating earnings of $140–$170 million; management also signaled program timelines with an expected FDA submission for the second Onapro supplier in Q3 2026 and potential approval before mid‑2027, plans to initiate a Phase 1 study for SPN‑443 in 2026, and reported approximately $384 million in cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities as of 03/31/2026 with no debt.

Supernus Pharmaceuticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong balance sheet with very low leverage (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.03) and sizable equity base, plus improving TTM operating and free cash flow (~$83M OCF; ~$82M FCF). Offsetting these positives, profitability deteriorated into GAAP losses in 2025 and TTM (net margin ~-3.7%) despite very strong gross margins (~86%–90%).
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue776.83M718.95M661.82M607.52M667.24M579.77M
Gross Profit694.64M644.39M583.91M523.74M580.02M504.71M
EBITDA51.74M42.53M178.28M90.04M153.36M129.19M
Net Income-29.02M-38.55M73.86M1.32M60.71M53.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.50B1.45B1.37B1.28B1.70B1.69B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments384.24M308.67M453.61M254.87M461.33M339.68M
Total Debt40.90M40.98M34.27M41.53M444.76M427.03M
Total Liabilities423.92M390.93M332.34M356.16M816.30M873.30M
Stockholders Equity1.08B1.06B1.04B921.52M886.20M815.85M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow82.25M45.99M171.23M110.53M116.41M125.08M
Operating Cash Flow83.26M47.33M171.95M111.08M116.83M127.13M
Investing Cash Flow-52.43M4.11M-189.87M268.73M-216.66M-81.91M
Financing Cash Flow39.64M9.13M12.19M-397.88M-10.48M-130.42M

Supernus Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price51.39
Price Trends
50DMA
47.20
Positive
100DMA
49.26
Positive
200DMA
49.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.52
Negative
RSI
68.78
Neutral
STOCH
88.53
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SUPN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 51.39 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 45.81, above the 50-day MA of 47.20, and above the 200-day MA of 49.07, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.52 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.53 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SUPN.

Supernus Pharmaceuticals Risk Analysis

Supernus Pharmaceuticals disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Supernus Pharmaceuticals reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Supernus Pharmaceuticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$1.93B20.6317.32%37.03%
70
Outperform
$832.47M11.0410.23%-1.39%-41.70%
64
Neutral
$2.93B-2.73%16.29%-145.12%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
49
Neutral
$1.46B-0.80-50.65%8.48%-3.62%-932.84%
48
Neutral
$1.15B-11.9635.22%-4.47%-178.26%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SUPN
Supernus Pharmaceuticals
50.44
17.30
52.20%
PRGO
Perrigo Company
10.52
-14.60
-58.13%
ANIP
ANI Pharmaceuticals
84.77
18.67
28.25%
AMPH
Amphastar Pharmaceuticals
18.88
-3.33
-14.99%
ALVO
Alvotech
3.40
-5.33
-61.05%

Supernus Pharmaceuticals Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Supernus Investors Approve Directors, Pay and Incentive Plan
Positive
Jun 18, 2026
On June 18, 2026, Supernus Pharmaceuticals held its annual meeting of stockholders, at which investors voted on director elections, executive compensation, auditor ratification and an amendment to the company’s equity incentive plan. Stockho...
Business Operations and Strategy
Supernus Reaches Milestone, Triggers Contingent Value Rights Payment
Positive
May 20, 2026
On May 17, 2026, Supernus Pharmaceuticals notified its rights agent that Milestone 1 under its Contingent Value Right Agreement, originally executed on July 30, 2025, had been achieved on March 18, 2026. As a result, the company is obligated to ma...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Supernus Acquires NV-5138 Asset in New Agreement
Positive
Apr 7, 2026
On April 1, 2026, Supernus Pharmaceuticals entered into an asset purchase agreement with Navitor Pharmaceuticals and its parent to acquire all rights, title, and interest in assets related to the compound NV-5138, or SPN-820, including intellectua...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 19, 2026