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ALSTOM UNSP (ALSMY)
OTHER OTC:ALSMY

ALSTOM UNSP (ALSMY) AI Stock Analysis

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ALSMY

ALSTOM UNSP

(OTC:ALSMY)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▲(32.58% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:11/14/25
ALSTOM UNSP's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance improvements and positive technical indicators. The earnings call provided a positive outlook with strong order intake and sales growth, though challenges like negative free cash flow and high valuation metrics temper the score.
Positive Factors
Strong Order Book / Book-to-Bill
A book-to-bill above 1 with EUR 10.5bn orders provides multi-year revenue visibility and production load. Large contracted backlog reduces near-term demand risk, supports steady factory utilization and service follow-ons, and underpins durable top-line conversion over months.
Negative Factors
Negative Free Cash Flow
A large negative FCF reflects cash absorption from working capital and project timing, constraining liquidity and forcing reliance on financing or balance sheet buffers. Persistent negative cash conversion can limit reinvestment, dividend capacity, and increase funding costs over months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong Order Book / Book-to-Bill
A book-to-bill above 1 with EUR 10.5bn orders provides multi-year revenue visibility and production load. Large contracted backlog reduces near-term demand risk, supports steady factory utilization and service follow-ons, and underpins durable top-line conversion over months.
Read all positive factors

ALSTOM UNSP (ALSMY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ALSTOM UNSP Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
ALSTOM UNSP (ALSMY) is a global leader in the transport sector, specializing in the design and manufacture of rail transport systems, including trains and signaling systems. The company operates in various segments, including rolling stock, servic...
How the Company Makes Money
ALSTOM generates revenue primarily through the sale of rolling stock, which includes trains and trams, along with aftermarket services that cover maintenance and parts supply. The company's revenue model is bolstered by long-term contracts with ra...

ALSTOM UNSP Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong order intake and sales growth, with improvements in adjusted EBIT and backlog margin. However, challenges such as negative free cash flow and gross margin pressure due to regional mix and FX headwinds were also discussed.
Positive Updates
Strong Order Intake
Orders reached EUR 10.5 billion with strong commercial momentum in Q2, particularly driven by Rolling Stock and North America. The book-to-bill ratio stood at 1.2.
Negative Updates
Negative Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow was negative EUR 740 million as expected, reflecting typical in higher seasonality.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Order Intake
Orders reached EUR 10.5 billion with strong commercial momentum in Q2, particularly driven by Rolling Stock and North America. The book-to-bill ratio stood at 1.2.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the call, Alstom's management provided guidance for the fiscal year 2025-2026, focusing on several key financial metrics. The company reported a book-to-bill ratio of 1.2 for the first half, aligning with the full-year guidance. Orders reached EUR 10.5 billion, while sales were EUR 9.1 billion, reflecting a 7.9% organic growth. The adjusted EBIT was EUR 580 million, translating to a 6.4% margin, up from 5.9% the previous year. Free cash flow was negative EUR 740 million, consistent with seasonal expectations. For the full fiscal year, Alstom expects a book-to-bill ratio above 1, with organic sales growth now anticipated to exceed 5%, up from the previous 3% to 5% forecast. The adjusted EBIT margin is expected to be around 7%, and free cash flow generation is projected to be between EUR 200 million and EUR 400 million.

ALSTOM UNSP Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ALSTOM UNSP is showing signs of financial improvement with steady revenue growth and a return to profitability. The balance sheet is robust with a healthy equity position, and cash flow metrics are improving, though there is room for better cash management.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.92B18.49B16.51B15.47B8.79B8.20B
Gross Profit1.75B2.30B1.97B1.73B1.39B1.46B
EBITDA914.50M1.26B766.00M732.00M655.00M819.00M
Net Income268.00M149.00M-128.00M-576.00M247.00M467.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets34.45B34.59B31.40B30.52B28.57B13.01B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.69B2.27B826.00M810.00M1.25B2.17B
Total Debt3.89B3.52B3.70B3.69B2.93B1.64B
Total Liabilities23.93B24.01B22.29B21.49B19.45B9.68B
Stockholders Equity10.42B10.46B9.00B8.91B9.04B3.27B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-427.00M490.00M175.00M-1.00B-720.00M202.00M
Operating Cash Flow-58.99M972.00M606.00M-577.00M-455.00M476.00M
Investing Cash Flow-371.50M123.00M-478.00M-443.00M-1.94B-368.00M
Financing Cash Flow147.62M244.00M-61.00M558.00M1.46B-1.36B

ALSTOM UNSP Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.64
Price Trends
50DMA
3.12
Negative
100DMA
2.93
Negative
200DMA
2.68
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.12
Negative
RSI
40.15
Neutral
STOCH
69.93
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALSMY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.64 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.84, below the 50-day MA of 3.12, and below the 200-day MA of 2.68, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ALSMY.

ALSTOM UNSP Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$41.87B31.1110.77%0.46%4.40%14.60%
68
Neutral
$1.61B9.5012.27%2.71%-8.66%27.14%
66
Neutral
$12.65B14.353.19%6.52%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
$5.98B18.2212.47%1.41%10.66%13.61%
56
Neutral
$2.51B8.4424.45%4.34%-33.03%-44.18%
53
Neutral
$152.78M9.24-40.20%-6.18%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALSMY
ALSTOM UNSP
2.74
0.41
17.46%
RAIL
Freightcar America
8.01
2.05
34.40%
GATX
GATX
168.42
11.54
7.36%
GBX
Greenbrier
52.08
0.55
1.06%
TRN
Trinity Industries
31.47
3.74
13.48%
WAB
Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies
245.54
59.54
32.01%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 14, 2025