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ALSTOM UNSP (ALSMY)
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ALSTOM UNSP (ALSMY) AI Stock Analysis

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ALSMY

ALSTOM UNSP

(OTC:ALSMY)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▲(13.64% Upside)
ALSTOM UNSP's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance improvements and positive technical indicators. The earnings call provided a positive outlook with strong order intake and sales growth, though challenges like negative free cash flow and high valuation metrics temper the score.
Positive Factors
Strong Order Intake
The strong order intake indicates robust demand and a healthy pipeline, which supports future revenue growth and market position.
Organic Sales Growth
Sustained organic sales growth across all product lines and regions suggests effective market penetration and product acceptance.
Backlog Margin Improvement
Improved backlog margins enhance profitability prospects, indicating better cost management and pricing power.
Negative Factors
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow can strain liquidity and limit investment capacity, posing risks to financial stability and growth.
Gross Margin Pressure
Declining gross margins may indicate rising costs or pricing pressures, which could impact long-term profitability.
FX Impact
FX headwinds can affect revenue and profit margins, complicating financial planning and potentially reducing competitiveness.

ALSTOM UNSP (ALSMY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ALSTOM UNSP Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionALSTOM UNSP (ALSMY) is a global leader in the transport sector, specializing in the design and manufacture of rail transport systems, including trains and signaling systems. The company operates in various segments, including rolling stock, services, and infrastructure, providing cutting-edge solutions for urban, suburban, and high-speed rail networks. ALSTOM's core products encompass a wide range of trains, trams, metros, and signaling technology, aimed at enhancing the efficiency and sustainability of public transportation systems worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyALSTOM generates revenue primarily through the sale of rolling stock, which includes trains and trams, along with aftermarket services that cover maintenance and parts supply. The company's revenue model is bolstered by long-term contracts with rail operators and governments, ensuring a steady income stream from both new contracts and ongoing service agreements. Significant partnerships with various public transport agencies and collaborations on infrastructure projects further contribute to its earnings. Additionally, ALSTOM invests in research and development to innovate and improve its offerings, which can lead to increased market share and profitability.

ALSTOM UNSP Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong order intake and sales growth, with improvements in adjusted EBIT and backlog margin. However, challenges such as negative free cash flow and gross margin pressure due to regional mix and FX headwinds were also discussed.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Order Intake
Orders reached EUR 10.5 billion with strong commercial momentum in Q2, particularly driven by Rolling Stock and North America. The book-to-bill ratio stood at 1.2.
Organic Sales Growth
Sales came in at EUR 9.1 billion, reflecting 7.9% organic growth with all product lines and regions contributing.
Adjusted EBIT Growth
Adjusted EBIT was EUR 580 million, up 13% year-on-year, representing a 6.4% margin compared to 5.9% in the same period last year.
Notable Contracts Secured
Significant contracts include a EUR 2 billion Rolling Stock contract with MTA in New York and a EUR 1 billion Rolling Stock option exercised by NGT in New Jersey.
Backlog Margin Improvement
The average gross margin in the backlog stands at 18% at the end of the first half, a 20 basis point increase compared to the end of the last fiscal year.
Negative Updates
Negative Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow was negative EUR 740 million as expected, reflecting typical in higher seasonality.
Gross Margin Pressure
Gross margin reached EUR 1.2 billion, representing 13.6% of sales, a slight decrease compared to the prior fiscal year.
FX Impact
Foreign exchange was a 3.3 point headwind driven by euro appreciation against most currencies, impacting sales growth.
Company Guidance
During the call, Alstom's management provided guidance for the fiscal year 2025-2026, focusing on several key financial metrics. The company reported a book-to-bill ratio of 1.2 for the first half, aligning with the full-year guidance. Orders reached EUR 10.5 billion, while sales were EUR 9.1 billion, reflecting a 7.9% organic growth. The adjusted EBIT was EUR 580 million, translating to a 6.4% margin, up from 5.9% the previous year. Free cash flow was negative EUR 740 million, consistent with seasonal expectations. For the full fiscal year, Alstom expects a book-to-bill ratio above 1, with organic sales growth now anticipated to exceed 5%, up from the previous 3% to 5% forecast. The adjusted EBIT margin is expected to be around 7%, and free cash flow generation is projected to be between EUR 200 million and EUR 400 million.

ALSTOM UNSP Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ALSTOM UNSP is showing signs of financial improvement with steady revenue growth and a return to profitability. The balance sheet is robust with a healthy equity position, and cash flow metrics are improving, though there is room for better cash management.
Income Statement
65
Positive
ALSTOM UNSP has shown a steady revenue growth rate of approximately 3% in the latest year, indicating a positive trend in sales. The gross profit margin stands at 12.5%, which is moderate, while the net profit margin has improved to 0.8% from negative figures in previous years, reflecting a turnaround in profitability. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins remain relatively low, suggesting room for operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.34, indicating a strong equity position relative to its debt. The return on equity is positive at 1.4%, showing a recovery from negative returns in prior years. The equity ratio of 30.3% suggests a solid capital structure, although there is potential for further strengthening.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
ALSTOM UNSP's free cash flow has grown by 18.4%, a positive sign of cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 6.5, indicating strong cash flow relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 3.3, suggesting that while cash flow is improving, there is still a need for better cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2023Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.92B18.49B16.51B17.62B15.47B8.79B
Gross Profit1.75B2.30B1.97B2.21B1.73B1.39B
EBITDA914.50M1.26B766.00M762.00M732.00M655.00M
Net Income268.00M149.00M-128.00M-309.00M-576.00M247.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets34.45B34.59B31.40B33.25B30.52B28.57B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.69B2.27B826.00M976.00M810.00M1.25B
Total Debt3.89B3.52B3.70B4.66B3.69B2.93B
Total Liabilities23.93B24.01B22.29B24.48B21.49B19.45B
Stockholders Equity10.42B10.46B9.00B8.67B8.91B9.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-427.00M490.00M175.00M-567.00M-1.00B-720.00M
Operating Cash Flow-68.00M972.00M606.00M-82.00M-577.00M-455.00M
Investing Cash Flow-375.50M123.00M-478.00M-431.00M-443.00M-1.94B
Financing Cash Flow151.50M244.00M-61.00M696.00M558.00M1.46B

ALSTOM UNSP Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.64
Price Trends
50DMA
2.57
Positive
100DMA
2.50
Positive
200DMA
2.39
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
53.67
Neutral
STOCH
40.58
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALSMY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.64 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.57, above the 50-day MA of 2.57, and above the 200-day MA of 2.39, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ALSMY.

ALSTOM UNSP Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$35.52B30.1911.07%0.48%4.40%14.60%
68
Neutral
$5.72B18.7411.93%1.54%10.66%13.61%
66
Neutral
$12.16B34.623.19%6.52%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
60
Neutral
$1.38B7.0314.03%2.83%-8.66%27.14%
56
Neutral
$156.07M3.30-6.18%
55
Neutral
$2.12B23.1010.04%4.52%-33.03%-44.18%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALSMY
ALSTOM UNSP
2.62
0.48
22.43%
RAIL
Freightcar America
8.18
-2.17
-20.97%
GATX
GATX
159.93
-2.05
-1.27%
GBX
Greenbrier
44.48
-22.16
-33.25%
TRN
Trinity Industries
26.52
-9.62
-26.62%
WAB
Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies
208.55
9.78
4.92%

ALSTOM UNSP Corporate Events

Alstom Reports Strong Growth and Positive Outlook
Nov 14, 2025

Alstom, a global leader in smart and sustainable mobility solutions, operates in the transportation sector, offering a wide range of products from high-speed trains to digital mobility services. The company is known for its commitment to innovation and sustainability, with a significant presence in 63 countries.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 14, 2025