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ALSTOM UNSP (ALSMY)
OTHER OTC:ALSMY
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ALSTOM UNSP
(OTC:ALSMY)
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Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▲(0.40% Upside)
ALSTOM UNSP's overall score reflects strong earnings call results and financial improvements, tempered by high valuation concerns and technical indicators suggesting potential short-term weakness. The company's strategic initiatives and order growth are positive, but operational challenges remain.
ALSTOM UNSP (ALSMY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$11.64B
Dividend Yield4.36%
Average Volume (3M)54.37K
Price to Earnings (P/E)77.2
Beta (1Y)0.70
Revenue Growth3.86%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUS
Employees78,684
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryRailroads
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.03
Shares Outstanding4,620,300,000
10 Day Avg. Volume20,681
30 Day Avg. Volume54,374
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.42
Price to Book (P/B)0.86
Price to Sales (P/S)0.48
P/FCF Ratio18.27
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.07
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.91
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit7.37
Enterprise Value/Ebitda14.16
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$2.50Price Target Upside0.40% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering1
ALSTOM UNSP Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company DescriptionAlstom SA offers solutions for rail transport industry in Europe, the Americas, Asia and Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa. The company offers rolling stock solutions for people movers and monorails, light rails, metros, commuter trains, regional and intercity trains, high-speed trains, and locomotives; asset optimization, connectivity, digital passenger, and security and city mobility solutions; and signaling products, such as urban, mainline, and freight and mining signaling. It also provides tram, metro, and main line systems; and tracklaying and track solutions, catenary free and ground feeding solutions, electrification solutions, and electromechanical equipment. In addition, the company provides maintenance, modernization, parts and repair, and support services. Further, it offers various components, including bogies, motors and generators, switchgears, auxiliary converters, traction transformers, brake friction, components propulsion, train control and information systems, and dispen dampers. The company was incorporated in 1992 and is based in Saint-Ouen, France.
How the Company Makes MoneyALSTOM generates revenue primarily through the sale of rolling stock, which includes trains and trams, along with aftermarket services that cover maintenance and parts supply. The company's revenue model is bolstered by long-term contracts with rail operators and governments, ensuring a steady income stream from both new contracts and ongoing service agreements. Significant partnerships with various public transport agencies and collaborations on infrastructure projects further contribute to its earnings. Additionally, ALSTOM invests in research and development to innovate and improve its offerings, which can lead to increased market share and profitability.
ALSTOM UNSP Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 14, 2025
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with significant growth in order intake and revenue, improved margins and cash flow, and successful strategic initiatives. However, challenges remain in Rolling Stock order intake and supply chain management, posing risks to future production and cash flow.Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Order Intake and Revenue Growth
Orders reached €19.8 billion with a book-to-bill ratio of 1.1, and sales were ahead of plan at €18.5 billion, representing 6.6% organic growth.
Improvement in Adjusted EBIT and Free Cash Flow
Adjusted EBIT reached nearly €1.2 billion, up 18% year-on-year, with a margin of 6.4% compared to 5.7% last year. Free cash flow was at €502 million, at the top of the guided range.
Increased Backlog Margin
Backlog margin improved to 17.8%, back to pre-merger levels, reflecting quality order intake and a favorable mix towards Services and Signalling.
Significant Progress in Services and Signalling
Services order book-to-bill was at 1.8 with orders exceeding €8 billion, and Signalling showed strong growth with major investment decisions in key geographies.
Successful Integration of Bombardier Transport
The integration is complete, with mobilization around an ambitious plan to improve industrial efficiency, including a transformation plan in Germany.
Reduction in Scope 1 and 2 Emissions
Scope 1 and 2 emissions were reduced by 8% compared to last year, achieving a 40% reduction since '21-'22, more than five years ahead of target.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Rolling Stock Order Intake
Rolling Stock orders have been relatively low over the past two years, affecting production levels for the upcoming fiscal year.
Contract Working Capital Headwinds
Projected headwinds in contract working capital for fiscal year '26 due to projects moving into the ramp-up phase, impacting cash flow.
Supply Chain and Production Challenges
Supply chain constraints impacted production, though improvements were made by Q4, with some projects still facing ramp-up challenges.
Company Guidance
During the Alstom fiscal year 2024-2025 results call, Henri Poupart-Lafarge, CEO, provided guidance indicating strong performance with orders reaching €19.8 billion and a book-to-bill ratio of 1.1, aligning with prior guidance. Sales exceeded expectations at €18.5 billion, representing 6.6% organic growth. Adjusted EBIT was nearly €1.2 billion, reflecting an 18% increase year-over-year with a margin improvement to 6.4%. Free cash flow was robust at €502 million, hitting the upper end of the guidance range. The company continues to focus on strategic priorities such as improving backlog quality, with margins nearing 18%, and boosting industrial efficiency post-Bombardier integration. Looking forward, the guidance for fiscal year 2025-2026 includes a book-to-bill ratio above one, organic sales growth of 3% to 5%, an adjusted EBIT margin of around 7%, and free cash flow generation between €200 million to €400 million, despite expected higher seasonality. Alstom remains optimistic about meeting its medium-term targets, including a three-year cumulative free cash flow generation exceeding €1.5 billion.ALSTOM UNSP Financial Statement Overview
Summary
ALSTOM UNSP shows steady revenue growth and a return to profitability, with a strong equity position and improving cash flow metrics. However, there is room for operational efficiency and better cash management.Income Statement
ALSTOM UNSP has shown a steady revenue growth rate of approximately 3% in the latest year, indicating a positive trend in sales. The gross profit margin stands at 12.5%, which is moderate, while the net profit margin has improved to 0.8% from negative figures in previous years, reflecting a turnaround in profitability. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins remain relatively low, suggesting room for operational efficiency improvements.65
Positive
Balance Sheet
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.34, indicating a strong equity position relative to its debt. The return on equity is positive at 1.4%, showing a recovery from negative returns in prior years. The equity ratio of 30.3% suggests a solid capital structure, although there is potential for further strengthening.70
Positive
Cash Flow
ALSTOM UNSP's free cash flow has grown by 18.4%, a positive sign of cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 6.5, indicating strong cash flow relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 3.3, suggesting that while cash flow is improving, there is still a need for better cash management.60
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 13.63B | 18.49B | 17.62B | 16.51B | 15.47B | 8.79B |
| Gross Profit | 1.69B | 2.30B | 2.21B | 1.97B | 1.73B | 1.39B |
| EBITDA | 879.50M | 1.26B | 762.00M | 766.00M | 732.00M | 655.00M |
| Net Income | 101.00M | 149.00M | -309.00M | -128.00M | -576.00M | 247.00M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 34.59B | 34.59B | 33.25B | 31.40B | 30.52B | 28.57B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 2.27B | 2.27B | 976.00M | 826.00M | 810.00M | 1.25B |
| Total Debt | 3.52B | 3.52B | 4.66B | 3.70B | 3.69B | 2.93B |
| Total Liabilities | 24.01B | 24.01B | 24.48B | 22.29B | 21.49B | 19.45B |
| Stockholders Equity | 10.46B | 10.46B | 8.67B | 9.00B | 8.91B | 9.04B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 174.00M | 490.00M | -567.00M | 175.00M | -1.00B | -720.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 522.00M | 972.00M | -82.00M | 606.00M | -577.00M | -455.00M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 268.50M | 123.00M | -431.00M | -478.00M | -443.00M | -1.94B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 315.50M | 244.00M | 696.00M | -61.00M | 558.00M | 1.46B |
ALSTOM UNSP Technical Analysis
Positive
2.49
Price Trends
2.41
Positive
2.34
Positive
2.28
Positive
Market Momentum
>-0.01
Negative
54.22
Neutral
96.67
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALSMY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.42, above the 50-day MA of 2.41, and above the 200-day MA of 2.28, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 96.67 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ALSMY.
ALSTOM UNSP Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
74 Outperform | 6.04B | 19.41 | 11.97% | 1.42% | 11.74% | 33.85% | |
71 Outperform | 32.20B | 28.11 | 10.67% | 0.50% | 3.38% | 17.21% | |
69 Neutral | 1.44B | 6.53 | 15.22% | 2.67% | 0.71% | 84.57% | |
64 Neutral | $11.64B | 77.21 | 1.53% | 4.36% | 3.86% | ― | |
61 Neutral | 2.29B | 24.66 | 9.56% | 4.16% | -22.95% | -40.67% | |
44 Neutral | 165.45M | -10.07 | 12.34% | ― | -6.00% | -12.45% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% |
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
ALSMY
ALSTOM UNSP
2.49
0.56
29.02%
RAIL
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8.63
-2.32
-21.19%
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GATX
168.29
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GBX
Greenbrier
46.27
-1.84
-3.82%
TRN
Trinity Industries
27.85
-4.03
-12.64%
WAB
Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies
187.65
14.36
8.29%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.