ALSTOM UNSP (ALSMY)
OTHER OTC:ALSMY
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ALSTOM UNSP
(OTC:ALSMY)
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Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▼(-24.24% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/29/26
The score is primarily supported by improving fundamentals and a constructive earnings outlook (better growth and EBIT margin guidance), along with a reasonable P/E. This is offset by notably weak technicals (price below key moving averages with negative MACD) and cash-flow risk highlighted in the earnings discussion.
Positive Factors
Order Backlog / Book-to-Bill
A EUR 10.5bn order intake and a book-to-bill of 1.2 provide multi-year revenue visibility and reduce demand cyclicality. A strong backlog supports capacity utilization, long-term service follow-ons and predictable revenue streams for the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Negative Free Cash Flow / Cash Execution Risk
Negative FCF of EUR -740M (H1) highlights working-capital and project timing stresses common in rail contracting. Weak cash conversion can force external funding, constrain capex or acquisitions, and limit capacity to absorb project overruns over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Order Backlog / Book-to-Bill
A EUR 10.5bn order intake and a book-to-bill of 1.2 provide multi-year revenue visibility and reduce demand cyclicality. A strong backlog supports capacity utilization, long-term service follow-ons and predictable revenue streams for the coming quarters.
Read all positive factors
ALSTOM UNSP (ALSMY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$9.43B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)20.95K
Price to Earnings (P/E)14.3
Beta (1Y)0.32
Revenue Growth6.51%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUS
Employees78,684
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryRailroads
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.06
Shares Outstanding4,620,300,000
10 Day Avg. Volume0
30 Day Avg. Volume20,954
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.42
Price to Book (P/B)0.86
Price to Sales (P/S)0.48
P/FCF Ratio18.27
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.16
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.79
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit6.26
Enterprise Value/Ebitda11.97
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)0.23
Revenue Forecast (FY)$23.79B
ALSTOM UNSP Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Alstom SA offers solutions for rail transport industry in Europe, the Americas, Asia and Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa. The company offers rolling stock solutions for people movers and monorails, light rails, metros, commuter trains, region...
How the Company Makes Money
Alstom primarily makes money by selling rail products and delivering rail projects under customer contracts, and by providing recurring services over the operating life of rail assets. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Rolling stock: reve...
ALSTOM UNSP Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2026
(Q4-2026)
| Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The call highlighted strong commercial performance (record order intake, book-to-bill >1, organic sales growth +7%) and a constructive medium-term outlook (guidance to ~6.5% adjusted EBIT margin and positive annual free cash flow). However, significant operational execution issues—primarily in rolling stock ramp-ups and homologations—caused margin dilution, elevated costs, weaker-than-expected free cash flow (EUR 330m) and a large forecasted H1 cash outflow (~EUR 1.5bn). Management has prioritized deep operational changes and tighter planning, but near-term financial performance and cash seasonality remain material concerns.Positive Updates
Record Commercial Momentum and Strong Order Intake
Alstom recorded approximately EUR 27.6 billion of orders for fiscal year 25-26 (management also referenced ~EUR 28 billion of order intake), delivering a book-to-bill ratio of 1.4 and a backlog of ~EUR 100 billion.
Negative Updates
Adjusted EBIT Margin Below Expectations
Adjusted EBIT margin for fiscal year 25-26 landed at around 6% (broadly stable at constant currency/scope but lower than prior year and below prior guidance), with margin pressure coming from rolling stock execution and higher R&D spend.
Read all updates
Q4-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Record Commercial Momentum and Strong Order Intake
Alstom recorded approximately EUR 27.6 billion of orders for fiscal year 25-26 (management also referenced ~EUR 28 billion of order intake), delivering a book-to-bill ratio of 1.4 and a backlog of ~EUR 100 billion.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Alstom guided for fiscal 2026‑27 to a book‑to‑bill above 1 and organic sales growth of around 5%, with adjusted EBIT margin expected to rebound to about 6.5% (versus ~6% in FY25‑26) and positive free cash flow for the year despite an expected H1 cash outflow of roughly EUR 1.5bn and a very strong H2 to offset it. Management reiterated key FY25‑26 preliminaries and liquidity metrics underpinning the outlook: orders ~EUR 27.6bn (record commercial activity ~EUR 28bn) and book‑to‑bill 1.4, backlog ~EUR 100bn, sales EUR 19.2bn (+4% reported, +7% organic), 4,284 cars produced (‑2% y/y), gross margin in the backlog 18%, free cash flow ~EUR 330m, financial net debt ~EUR 400m, gross cash EUR 2.3bn and available facilities (EUR 2.5bn and EUR 1.75bn RCFs plus a EUR 2.5bn commercial paper program), while flagging higher R&D and services CapEx and working‑capital seasonality as near‑term cash headwinds.ALSTOM UNSP Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
65
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2025 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 13.92B | 18.49B | 16.51B | 15.47B | 8.79B | 8.20B |
| Gross Profit | 1.75B | 2.30B | 1.97B | 1.73B | 1.39B | 1.46B |
| EBITDA | 914.50M | 1.26B | 766.00M | 732.00M | 655.00M | 819.00M |
| Net Income | 268.00M | 149.00M | -128.00M | -576.00M | 247.00M | 467.00M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 34.45B | 34.59B | 31.40B | 30.52B | 28.57B | 13.01B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.69B | 2.27B | 826.00M | 810.00M | 1.25B | 2.17B |
| Total Debt | 3.89B | 3.52B | 3.70B | 3.69B | 2.93B | 1.64B |
| Total Liabilities | 23.93B | 24.01B | 22.29B | 21.49B | 19.45B | 9.68B |
| Stockholders Equity | 10.42B | 10.46B | 9.00B | 8.91B | 9.04B | 3.27B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -427.00M | 490.00M | 175.00M | -1.00B | -720.00M | 202.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -58.99M | 972.00M | 606.00M | -577.00M | -455.00M | 476.00M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -371.50M | 123.00M | -478.00M | -443.00M | -1.94B | -368.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 147.62M | 244.00M | -61.00M | 558.00M | 1.46B | -1.36B |
ALSTOM UNSP Technical Analysis
Negative
2.64
Price Trends
2.98
Negative
2.95
Negative
2.72
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.12
Positive
25.49
Positive
14.70
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALSMY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.64 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.71, below the 50-day MA of 2.98, and below the 200-day MA of 2.72, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 25.49 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.70 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ALSMY.
ALSTOM UNSP Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76 Outperform | $45.08B | 29.34 | 10.94% | 0.46% | 9.59% | 10.69% | |
66 Neutral | $6.62B | 17.82 | 12.46% | 1.41% | 16.92% | 18.00% | |
65 Neutral | $2.91B | 26.50 | 24.50% | 4.34% | -27.72% | 91.42% | |
64 Neutral | $1.56B | 34.09 | 9.51% | 2.71% | -17.66% | -26.36% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
60 Neutral | $9.43B | 14.35 | 3.14% | ― | 6.51% | ― | |
54 Neutral | $152.52M | 1.53 | -33.78% | ― | -4.92% | ― |
* Industrials Sector Average
ALSMY
ALSTOM UNSP
2.04
-0.45
-18.15%
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Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.