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Air China (AIRYY)
OTHER OTC:AIRYY

Air China (AIRYY) AI Stock Analysis

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AIRYY

Air China

(OTC:AIRYY)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
$12.00
▼(-25.23% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/02/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (ongoing losses, 2025 revenue decline, and high leverage) and a clearly bearish technical setup (price below all key moving averages and negative MACD). Positive recent free cash flow provides some support, but valuation signals are limited due to negative earnings and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Improving cash generation
Sustained positive operating cash flow and a meaningful free-cash-flow step-up in 2025 indicate improving ability to fund operations and capex internally. Over 2–6 months this strengthens liquidity resilience, lowers refinancing needs versus peers, and improves capacity to weather cyclical downturns.
Negative Factors
High leverage
Elevated and rising debt ratios reduce financial flexibility and increase refinancing and interest-rate sensitivity. Over several months this heightens risk from adverse demand or fuel shocks, constrains investment, and makes the company more vulnerable during airline cycle downturns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improving cash generation
Sustained positive operating cash flow and a meaningful free-cash-flow step-up in 2025 indicate improving ability to fund operations and capex internally. Over 2–6 months this strengthens liquidity resilience, lowers refinancing needs versus peers, and improves capacity to weather cyclical downturns.
Read all positive factors

Air China (AIRYY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Air China Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Air China Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides air passenger, air cargo, and airline-related services in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, Europe, North America, Japan, Korea, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. The company...
How the Company Makes Money
Air China primarily makes money by selling air transportation services. Its main revenue streams typically include: (1) Passenger revenue: income from passenger ticket sales across domestic and international routes, including different cabin class...

Air China Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Recovery from the 2022 trough is evident, supported by positive operating cash flow and free cash flow in 2023–2025. However, profitability remains weak with net losses continuing in 2023–2025, operating profit turning negative in 2025, and revenue declining sharply in 2025. Balance-sheet leverage is a major constraint, with high debt-to-equity and negative ROE across the period.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
27
Negative
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue166.81B166.70B141.10B52.90B74.53B
Gross Profit1.70B8.51B7.09B-29.91B-11.31B
EBITDA24.94B33.90B32.40B-18.16B4.61B
Net Income-1.74B-237.31M-1.05B-38.62B-16.64B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets343.23B345.77B335.30B295.01B298.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments16.02B22.51B15.63B11.44B16.71B
Total Debt232.47B162.86B175.39B214.18B182.87B
Total Liabilities304.01B304.82B300.01B273.45B232.55B
Stockholders Equity42.54B45.15B37.23B23.61B61.40B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow24.48B14.44B12.65B-24.40B6.81B
Operating Cash Flow42.05B34.55B35.42B-16.76B12.89B
Investing Cash Flow-15.08B-17.86B-15.25B-6.87B-4.45B
Financing Cash Flow-33.65B-10.56B-15.85B18.10B1.71B

Air China Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price16.05
Price Trends
50DMA
15.72
Negative
100DMA
16.49
Negative
200DMA
15.31
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.95
Negative
RSI
43.00
Neutral
STOCH
68.12
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AIRYY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 16.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.81, above the 50-day MA of 15.72, and above the 200-day MA of 15.31, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.95 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.12 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AIRYY.

Air China Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$14.52B10.91135.39%3.50%6.81%58.22%
73
Outperform
$31.57B269.9627.85%1.37%14.75%71.73%
72
Outperform
$44.56B-37.5023.14%0.96%4.33%-1.58%
68
Neutral
$31.59B10.9124.13%4.24%20.29%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
46
Neutral
$7.51B25.57-2.76%1.27%118.64%
42
Neutral
$16.05B-59.81-4.06%4.48%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AIRYY
Air China
12.56
1.56
14.18%
DAL
Delta Air Lines
67.83
27.45
67.96%
RYAAY
Ryanair Holdings
63.54
19.88
45.53%
UAL
United Airlines Holdings
97.67
32.07
48.89%
AAL
American Airlines
11.37
1.70
17.58%
LTM
LATAM Airlines Group SA Sponsored ADR
53.10
24.98
88.83%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 02, 2026