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Arcelik (ACKAY)
OTHER OTC:ACKAY

Arcelik (ACKAY) AI Stock Analysis

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ACKAY

Arcelik

(OTC:ACKAY)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$12.00
▼(-7.34% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/05/26
The score is mainly held down by weakening fundamentals: a 2025 net loss, rising leverage, and persistently negative free cash flow. Technicals are a partial offset with price above key moving averages and positive MACD, though momentum appears stretched (overbought Stoch). Valuation is constrained by loss-making earnings (negative P/E) and no provided dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue scale
Sustained top-line expansion indicates durable market penetration and demand for appliance lines. Larger revenue base improves fixed-cost absorption and negotiating power with suppliers, supporting long-term margin recovery and reinvestment capacity once cost and financing pressures ease.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage
A materially higher debt load reduces financial flexibility and raises refinancing and interest-rate sensitivity. With equity returns negative in 2025, elevated leverage limits capacity to fund operations or investments internally and increases solvency risk if revenue or margins weaken further.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue scale
Sustained top-line expansion indicates durable market penetration and demand for appliance lines. Larger revenue base improves fixed-cost absorption and negotiating power with suppliers, supporting long-term margin recovery and reinvestment capacity once cost and financing pressures ease.
Read all positive factors

Arcelik (ACKAY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Arcelik Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Arçelik Anonim Sirketi, together with its subsidiaries, produces, markets, sells, services, imports, and exports consumer durable goods and electronics in Turkey and internationally. It operates through White Goods, Consumer Electronics, and Other...
How the Company Makes Money
Arçelik primarily makes money by selling finished products in the home appliances and consumer electronics categories through multiple go-to-market channels. Its core revenue stream is the sale of major domestic appliances (e.g., refrigeration, la...

Arcelik Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 25, 2024
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call highlighted substantial international revenue growth and recovery signs in key European markets, driven by inorganic growth and cost management strategies. However, these positives were overshadowed by significant challenges, including declining gross margins, increased financial expenses, a recorded net loss, and rising leverage. Despite some market recoveries, the financial pressures and operational costs presented a challenging quarter.
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Achieved 13.8% revenue growth year-on-year, totaling TRY 105.4 billion in Q3, with significant contributions from inorganic growth in Europe and MENA.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Decline
Gross profit margin decreased by 2.9 points year-on-year to 26.4%, impacted by unfavorable product mix and rising raw material costs.
Read all updates
Q3-2024 Updates
Negative
Revenue Growth
Achieved 13.8% revenue growth year-on-year, totaling TRY 105.4 billion in Q3, with significant contributions from inorganic growth in Europe and MENA.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2024 earnings call for Arcelik, the company provided guidance indicating revised expectations for the full year. They anticipate a flat performance in local sales due to stagnant demand but foresee a 50% year-on-year increase in international revenues in euro terms, driven by inorganic growth. The adjusted EBITDA margin is projected to be between 5.8% and 6% for the full year. Additionally, Arcelik expects an improvement in the net working capital over sales ratio, updating the guidance to approximately 20%. The company also revised its CapEx guidance from EUR 350 million to EUR 400 million, factoring in costs related to maintenance, integration, and restructuring. With ongoing synergies and cost savings from recent acquisitions, Arcelik remains optimistic about achieving these targets, despite current leverage standing at 4.3%.

Arcelik Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement shows strong revenue growth but a sharp deterioration in profitability (swing to net loss in 2025) and declining gross margin. Balance sheet risk is high with sharply higher leverage (debt-to-equity rising to ~3.5x) and negative ROE. Cash flow quality is weak with recurring negative free cash flow and low cash generation relative to scale, increasing financing risk.
Income Statement
44
Neutral
Balance Sheet
28
Negative
Cash Flow
22
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue568.57B428.55B257.10B133.92B68.18B
Gross Profit148.78B118.10B75.38B39.49B20.48B
EBITDA53.92B36.25B24.33B11.65B7.55B
Net Income-9.07B1.69B7.67B4.32B3.06B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets543.25B397.73B258.14B132.24B85.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments97.78B50.82B48.79B24.53B16.01B
Total Debt243.58B138.04B101.91B51.44B32.58B
Total Liabilities467.39B322.66B198.57B105.14B64.02B
Stockholders Equity70.35B67.17B53.17B24.95B19.38B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-16.23B-9.41B-22.43B-811.47M-3.14B
Operating Cash Flow3.60B14.39B-8.64B5.10B-627.45M
Investing Cash Flow-29.05B-14.72B-14.41B-4.62B-4.38B
Financing Cash Flow53.96B1.06B31.54B4.07B4.80B

Arcelik Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price12.95
Price Trends
50DMA
13.26
Negative
100DMA
12.91
Negative
200DMA
14.06
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.23
Positive
RSI
43.05
Neutral
STOCH
20.54
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ACKAY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 12.95 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.68, below the 50-day MA of 13.26, and below the 200-day MA of 14.06, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ACKAY.

Arcelik Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$1.47B14.4115.93%0.21%5.11%34.02%
67
Neutral
$5.95B18.354.50%-0.82%-23.99%
65
Neutral
$1.29B18.088.12%2.39%1.78%-25.36%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
50
Neutral
$988.01M14.700.83%4.16%4.34%-141.36%
47
Neutral
$3.60B9.3312.72%7.40%-11.36%-133.01%
46
Neutral
$1.66B-8.94-11.41%2.58%30.99%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ACKAY
Arcelik
12.45
-4.93
-28.35%
MLKN
MillerKnoll
14.45
-1.65
-10.25%
TILE
Interface
25.43
7.36
40.71%
LZB
La-Z-Boy Incorporated
31.60
-4.52
-12.50%
MHK
Mohawk
96.80
-5.36
-5.25%
WHR
Whirlpool
55.47
-23.05
-29.35%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 05, 2026