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Pfizer (PFE)
NYSE:PFE

Pfizer (PFE) AI Stock Analysis

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PFE

Pfizer

(NYSE:PFE)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$29.00
â–²(15.81% Upside)
Pfizer's overall stock score reflects strong technical momentum and a solid valuation with an attractive dividend yield. Financial performance is stable but faces challenges in revenue growth and profitability. The earnings call provided positive guidance and strategic initiatives, though declining COVID-19 revenues and legal challenges with the Metsera acquisition pose risks. Overall, Pfizer is positioned well for long-term growth, but short-term challenges remain.
Positive Factors
Strategic Partnerships
This partnership enhances Pfizer's pipeline in chronic weight management, expanding its market presence and potential revenue streams.
R&D Pipeline
A robust R&D pipeline ensures long-term growth through innovation and new product offerings, maintaining competitive advantage.
Regulatory Advantage
Reduced trial requirements could accelerate Pfizer's product approvals, lowering costs and speeding up time-to-market for new drugs.
Negative Factors
Decline in COVID-19 Revenue
Decreased demand for COVID-19 products impacts overall revenue, challenging Pfizer to offset declines with other product lines.
Legal Challenges
Legal issues with acquisitions can delay strategic initiatives and create financial uncertainties, affecting long-term growth plans.
Cash Flow Decline
Declining cash flow limits Pfizer's ability to invest in growth opportunities and return capital to shareholders, impacting financial flexibility.

Pfizer (PFE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Pfizer Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPfizer Inc. discovers, develops, manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells biopharmaceutical products worldwide. It offers medicines and vaccines in various therapeutic areas, including cardiovascular metabolic and women's health under the Premarin family and Eliquis brands; biologics, small molecules, immunotherapies, and biosimilars under the Ibrance, Xtandi, Sutent, Inlyta, Retacrit, Lorbrena, and Braftovi brands; and sterile injectable and anti-infective medicines, and oral COVID-19 treatment under the Sulperazon, Medrol, Zavicefta, Zithromax, Vfend, Panzyga, and Paxlovid brands. The company also provides medicines and vaccines in various therapeutic areas, such as pneumococcal disease, meningococcal disease, tick-borne encephalitis, and COVID-19 under the Comirnaty/BNT162b2, Nimenrix, FSME/IMMUN-TicoVac, Trumenba, and the Prevnar family brands; biosimilars for chronic immune and inflammatory diseases under the Xeljanz, Enbrel, Inflectra, Eucrisa/Staquis, and Cibinqo brands; and amyloidosis, hemophilia, and endocrine diseases under the Vyndaqel/Vyndamax, BeneFIX, and Genotropin brands. In addition, the company is involved in the contract manufacturing business. It serves wholesalers, retailers, hospitals, clinics, government agencies, pharmacies, and individual provider offices, as well as disease control and prevention centers. The company has collaboration agreements with Bristol-Myers Squibb Company; Astellas Pharma US, Inc.; Myovant Sciences Ltd.; Akcea Therapeutics, Inc; Merck KGaA; Valneva SE; BioNTech SE; and Arvinas, Inc. Pfizer Inc. was founded in 1849 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyPfizer primarily generates revenue through the sale of prescription pharmaceuticals and vaccines. The company’s revenue model is supported by a diverse range of products across multiple therapeutic areas, allowing it to capitalize on various market segments. Key revenue streams include sales of patented drugs, which often command higher prices until they face generic competition, and sales of vaccines, particularly during public health emergencies or vaccination campaigns. Significant partnerships, such as the collaboration with BioNTech for the development of the COVID-19 vaccine, have also contributed to Pfizer's earnings, enhancing its market share and expanding its product offerings. Additionally, Pfizer invests heavily in research and development to innovate and bring new therapies to market, which further drives revenue growth.

Pfizer Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Global Biopharmaceuticals Revenue by Type
Global Biopharmaceuticals Revenue by Type
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Pfizer Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Pfizer's earnings call was mixed, highlighting strategic advancements and financial performance, but also facing challenges in COVID-19 product revenue declines and ongoing legal issues with the Metsera acquisition.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strategic Agreement with U.S. Government
Pfizer reached a landmark agreement with the U.S. government, providing clarity on future innovation and growth. The agreement includes a 3-year grace period from certain U.S. tariffs and aims to lower prescription drug costs.
Proposed Acquisition of Metsera
Pfizer is pursuing the acquisition of Metsera, which they believe will create substantial value for shareholders and advance innovation in obesity treatments.
R&D Pipeline and Innovations
Pfizer's R&D pipeline is growing with advancements in cancer immunotherapy, lung cancer treatments, and prostate cancer therapies. Notable Phase III data showed significant benefits for patients in various trials.
Strong Financial Performance and EPS Guidance
Pfizer raised its adjusted diluted EPS guidance for 2025 due to strong gross margin and cost management performance, despite lower COVID-19 product revenues.
Negative Updates
Decline in COVID-19 Product Revenue
Pfizer experienced a decline in revenues from COVID-19 products, largely due to decreased demand for Paxlovid and Comirnaty, contributing to a 7% operational revenue decrease.
Competitive Challenges in Vyndamax and Padcev Markets
Vyndamax faced competition, impacting market share dynamics, while Padcev's commercial uptake was less than expected.
Metsera Acquisition Legal Challenges
The acquisition of Metsera faces legal challenges, with Pfizer arguing against Novo Nordisk's proposal on antitrust grounds.
Company Guidance
During Pfizer's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance reflecting strong performance and strategic initiatives. Pfizer reported revenues of $16.7 billion for the quarter, with a 7% operational decrease compared to the same period last year, largely driven by a decline in COVID-19 products. Despite this, non-COVID products grew 4% operationally. Adjusted diluted earnings per share were $0.87, exceeding expectations due to gross margin and cost management performance. Pfizer raised the full-year 2025 adjusted diluted EPS guidance to a range of $3.00 to $3.15. Key strategic moves included the proposed acquisition of Metsera and a licensing agreement with 3SBio, which are expected to be dilutive to 2026 EPS but promising for long-term growth. Pfizer highlighted continued strong demand for key products like the Vyndaqel family, achieving 7% year-over-year growth, and Nurtec with 22% global operational growth. The company also emphasized ongoing R&D advancements, such as the promising results from the PHAROS trial for Braftovi and Mektovi, and the progress in their pneumococcal vaccine programs. The call underscored Pfizer's commitment to maintaining leadership in their markets while navigating a complex external environment, including a recent agreement with the U.S. government impacting future pricing strategies.

Pfizer Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pfizer demonstrates strong profitability and operational efficiency, with healthy EBIT and EBITDA margins. However, it faces challenges with declining revenue and free cash flow. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, but the negative growth trends in revenue and cash flow could pose risks if not addressed.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Pfizer's income statement shows strong gross and net profit margins, with a TTM gross profit margin of 75.89% and net profit margin of 15.66%. However, the revenue growth rate is negative at -1.64% TTM, indicating a decline in sales. Despite this, the EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy, suggesting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.66 TTM, indicating manageable leverage. The return on equity is 10.92% TTM, showing decent profitability. However, the equity ratio is not provided, which limits a full assessment of financial stability.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth at -16.58% TTM, which is a concern. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.36, indicating reasonable cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.79, suggesting that a significant portion of earnings is converted to free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue62.78B63.63B59.55B100.33B81.29B41.65B
Gross Profit44.70B41.85B30.34B62.09B46.88B29.88B
EBITDA21.17B18.13B9.56B41.03B30.79B13.17B
Net Income9.82B8.02B2.13B31.36B22.15B9.16B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets208.73B213.40B226.50B197.21B181.48B154.23B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.98B20.48B12.69B22.73B31.07B12.22B
Total Debt61.71B66.99B70.84B34.86B37.00B38.27B
Total Liabilities115.64B124.90B137.21B101.29B104.01B90.76B
Stockholders Equity92.80B88.20B89.01B95.66B77.20B63.24B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow10.38B9.84B4.79B26.03B29.87B11.61B
Operating Cash Flow13.08B12.74B8.70B29.27B32.58B14.40B
Investing Cash Flow3.17B2.65B-32.28B-15.78B-22.55B-4.27B
Financing Cash Flow-16.01B-17.14B26.07B-14.83B-9.82B-9.65B

Pfizer Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price25.04
Price Trends
50DMA
24.89
Positive
100DMA
24.62
Positive
200DMA
23.87
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.14
Positive
RSI
46.23
Neutral
STOCH
16.38
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PFE, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 25.04 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.51, above the 50-day MA of 24.89, and above the 200-day MA of 23.87, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.38 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PFE.

Pfizer Risk Analysis

Pfizer disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Pfizer reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Pfizer Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$246.17B13.1239.51%3.26%1.59%58.02%
80
Outperform
$258.62B18.2932.93%2.95%11.53%-15.21%
78
Outperform
$506.75B20.3033.62%2.47%5.08%71.07%
77
Outperform
$175.55B25.2081.71%3.00%11.03%65.22%
74
Outperform
$142.37B14.6010.59%6.65%4.44%128.96%
66
Neutral
$396.44B169.25138.53%2.94%7.40%-53.78%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PFE
Pfizer
25.04
0.46
1.87%
AMGN
Amgen
324.42
69.34
27.18%
JNJ
Johnson & Johnson
208.31
68.13
48.60%
MRK
Merck & Company
100.69
6.19
6.55%
NVS
Novartis
135.27
41.02
43.52%
ABBV
AbbVie
222.82
53.17
31.34%

Pfizer Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Pfizer Revises 2025 Revenue Guidance to $62 Billion
Neutral
Dec 16, 2025

On December 16, 2025, Pfizer announced its financial guidance for the full year 2026, while revising its 2025 revenue guidance to approximately $62.0 billion. The company expects 2026 revenues to range between $59.5 and $62.5 billion, with a decrease in COVID-19 product revenues and impacts from loss of exclusivity on certain products. Pfizer anticipates continued investment in its pipeline and acquired assets to fuel long-term growth, with adjusted diluted EPS for 2026 projected between $2.80 and $3.00. The financial outlook reflects Pfizer’s strategic focus on innovative medicines and vaccines, aiming to create long-term value for shareholders.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Pfizer Completes $5 Billion Public Offering
Neutral
Nov 21, 2025

On November 21, 2025, Pfizer Inc. completed a significant public offering of various notes totaling $5 billion, with maturities ranging from 2027 to 2065. This financial move, conducted under a shelf registration statement, involved major financial institutions as underwriters and is expected to impact Pfizer’s financial strategy and market positioning.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Pfizer Completes Acquisition of Metsera for $7 Billion
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

On November 13, 2025, Pfizer completed its acquisition of Metsera, Inc., a Delaware-based company, for approximately $7.0 billion. The acquisition includes contingent value rights for additional payments tied to the achievement of specific milestones related to Metsera’s GLP-1 receptor antagonist and amylin analog therapies, potentially impacting Pfizer’s strategic positioning in the pharmaceutical industry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025