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Zalando SE (ZLNDY)
OTHER OTC:ZLNDY

Zalando SE (ZLNDY) AI Stock Analysis

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Zalando SE

(OTC:ZLNDY)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$16.50
▲(9.05%Upside)
Zalando SE's overall score is bolstered by strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and valuation concerns limit upside potential. The company's future success will depend on managing liabilities and leveraging strategic initiatives.

Zalando SE (ZLNDY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Zalando SE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionZalando SE operates an online platform for fashion and lifestyle products. It provides clothing, footwear, accessories, and beauty products with free delivery and returns. The company also sells its products through its Zalando Lounge; and brick-and-mortar outlet stores in Berlin, Frankfurt, Cologne, Leipzig, Hamburg, Hanover, Münster, Stuttgart, Mannheim, and Ulm. It serves customers in 23 countries, including Austria, Belgium, Croatia, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom. The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Berlin, Germany.
How the Company Makes MoneyZalando SE generates revenue primarily through the sale of fashion and lifestyle products on its online platform. The company's key revenue streams include direct sales from its own inventory and commission-based earnings from partner businesses that sell through its platform. Zalando's Partner Program allows brands and retailers to list their products directly on Zalando's website, with Zalando earning a commission on each sale. Additionally, Zalando monetizes its logistics capabilities by offering fulfillment services to partners, and leverages its large customer base for targeted advertising opportunities. Strategic partnerships with various brands and a focus on expanding its logistics network and technological infrastructure further contribute to its revenue growth.

Zalando SE Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -17.14%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Zalando's Q1 2025 showed strong growth in both GMV and revenue, improved profitability, and successful strategic initiatives like the loyalty program and acquisition plans. However, increased inventory levels and marketing costs present challenges. Overall, positives outweigh negatives.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Accelerated GMV and Revenue Growth
Zalando achieved a GMV growth of 6.5% year-on-year and revenue growth of 7.9% in Q1 2025, driven by successful end-of-season sales and a strong spring/summer season start.
Improved Profitability
Adjusted EBIT for Q1 2025 was EUR47 million, representing a margin of 1.9%, up by 0.7 percentage points year-on-year, mainly due to a stronger gross margin in the B2C segment.
B2B Segment Revenue Growth
B2B segment revenue increased by 11.6%, significantly ahead of group revenue growth, driven by ZEOS Fulfillment and partnerships like the one with TikTok Shop.
Successful Loyalty Program Rollout
The upgraded Zalando Plus loyalty program was rolled out to 13 markets, with over 15% of the customer base participating, showing promising progress.
Strategic Acquisition of About You
The acquisition of About You is on track, with 91.5% of shares secured and regulatory approvals progressing, expected to close by summer.
Negative Updates
Increased Inventory Levels
Higher inventory levels were noted, driven by preparations for the spring/summer season and a low prior year baseline, which could pose risks if demand does not meet expectations.
Cash Decrease
Cash and cash equivalents decreased by EUR600 million from Q4 2024, mainly due to lower operating cash flow and restricted cash related to the About You tender offer.
Increased Marketing Costs
Marketing costs increased by 0.5 percentage points, driven by investments in performance marketing and several brand marketing campaigns.
Company Guidance
During Zalando SE's Q1 2025 earnings call, the company reported an accelerated GMV growth of 6.5% year-on-year, with revenue growth outpacing GMV growth at 7.9%. Zalando achieved an adjusted EBIT of EUR47 million, representing a margin of 1.9% and an improvement of 0.7 percentage points year-on-year. In their B2C segment, they saw double-digit growth in areas like lounge, sports, designer, and beauty propositions and expanded their upgraded loyalty program, Zalando Plus, to 13 markets, with over 15% customer participation. The B2B segment reported an 11.6% revenue growth, driven significantly by ZEOS Fulfillment. Despite geopolitical and macroeconomic changes, Zalando confirmed their full-year guidance for 2025, highlighting a focus on growth acceleration and profitability.

Zalando SE Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Zalando SE demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and improved profitability margins. However, rising total liabilities and a slight decrease in operating cash flow are potential risks to monitor.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Zalando SE shows a solid income statement with consistent revenue growth from €10.14 billion to €10.75 billion in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), indicating a stable demand. Gross profit margin stands at 40.8% for TTM, reflecting efficient cost management. The net profit margin improved to 2.5% from 2.4% the previous year, signaling enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable at 3.8% and 7.7% respectively, showing good operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet of Zalando SE is robust with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.64, indicating moderate leverage. The equity ratio is 33.2%, reflecting a strong capital structure with substantial equity. Return on equity improved slightly to 10% in TTM, evidencing efficient use of capital. However, the total liabilities show a rising trend, which could pose a risk if not managed properly.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Zalando SE's cash flow statement demonstrates solid free cash flow generation with a growth rate of 1.7% in TTM. Operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 2.3, highlighting strong cash operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.7, indicating efficient cash conversion. However, a decrease in operating cash flow from the previous year could be a concern if the trend continues.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
4.93B10.57B10.14B10.34B10.35B7.98B
Gross Profit
2.12B4.30B3.68B4.06B4.33B3.39B
EBITDA
242.70M811.30M555.30M395.30M648.10M596.20M
Net Income
87.00M251.10M83.00M16.80M234.50M226.10M
Balance SheetTotal Assets
8.11B7.98B8.11B7.63B6.90B6.49B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.48B2.69B2.62B2.04B2.29B2.69B
Total Debt
1.71B1.73B1.85B1.72B1.57B1.77B
Total Liabilities
5.42B5.32B5.73B5.43B4.68B4.34B
Stockholders Equity
2.69B2.67B2.37B2.20B2.22B2.15B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-86.70M447.30M686.30M108.30M283.30M277.30M
Operating Cash Flow
136.10M654.10M949.50M459.90M616.20M527.40M
Investing Cash Flow
-122.70M-269.80M-320.70M-476.20M-335.90M-217.80M
Financing Cash Flow
-107.10M-325.60M-123.60M-245.90M-639.80M1.35B

Zalando SE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price15.13
Price Trends
50DMA
17.81
Negative
100DMA
17.96
Negative
200DMA
16.88
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.60
Positive
RSI
35.85
Neutral
STOCH
8.75
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ZLNDY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15.13 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.95, below the 50-day MA of 17.81, and below the 200-day MA of 16.88, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.60 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.75 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ZLNDY.

Zalando SE Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$7.66B7.7419.00%3.28%-5.90%-11.16%
76
Outperform
$1.46B28.9711.97%9.09%106.50%
73
Outperform
$11.41B28.8112.96%11.34%
68
Neutral
$8.00B27.0610.52%5.09%138.87%
68
Neutral
$5.86B38.30-39.97%2.18%-32.87%
66
Neutral
€8.78B14.145.85%3.12%3.86%-31.71%
WW
44
Neutral
$6.35B17.86%-0.89%46.62%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ZLNDY
Zalando SE
15.62
3.85
32.71%
VIPS
Vipshop
15.03
1.79
13.52%
W
Wayfair
50.69
0.89
1.79%
ETSY
Etsy
53.37
-6.12
-10.29%
RVLV
Revolve Group
20.33
4.33
27.06%
CART
Maplebear
44.97
12.09
36.77%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 21, 2025