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Zions Bancorporation, National Association (N.A) (ZION)
NASDAQ:ZION

Zions Bancorporation National Association (ZION) AI Stock Analysis

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ZION

Zions Bancorporation National Association

(NASDAQ:ZION)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$58.00
â–²(7.31% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/25/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (improved leverage, steady returns, and strong recent free cash flow) and a supportive earnings outlook (NII/fee growth guidance, strong credit and capital), partially offset by uneven revenue trends and weak near-term technical momentum. Valuation is a clear positive with a low P/E and ~3% dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Improved leverage and equity growth
A materially stronger capital base and lower leverage provide durable loss-absorbing capacity, reduce funding strain in stress, and support lending and regulatory ratios. This structural improvement increases flexibility for credit cycles, capital returns, and strategic investments over the medium term.
Strong free cash flow generation
Consistent, sizeable free cash flow that approximates net income enhances the bank's ability to fund dividends, buybacks, and reinvestments without relying on external capital. Sustainable FCF supports balance-sheet resilience and cushions credit or market shocks over multiple quarters.
Revenue diversification and fee momentum
Growing fee income and expanding capital markets activity reduce dependence on net interest income and NIM swings. Structural fee diversification—driven by treasury, capital markets, and small-business initiatives—improves earnings stability and supports PPNR through interest-rate cycles.
Negative Factors
Uneven revenue trends
Volatile top-line performance undermines predictability of earnings and capital deployment. Persistent revenue swings force reliance on cost control or balance-sheet actions to sustain returns, making multi-quarter planning and consistent dividend/buyback policies more difficult to maintain.
CRE concentration and rising classified loans
A sizable CRE share of the loan book concentrates sector risk; rising classified C&I loans suggest early stress outside CRE. These structural credit exposures can increase provisions, constrain lending capacity, and pressure capital and earnings through downturns if stress escalates.
Rate-path dependence and swap headwind
Earnings and NII guidance hinge on assumed rate cuts; if rates remain higher or reprice differently, NIM and funding-cost improvements may not materialize. Additionally, structural swap termination costs create a multi-quarter drag on net interest income and limit distributable earnings.

Zions Bancorporation National Association (ZION) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Zions Bancorporation National Association Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionZions Bancorporation, National Association provides various banking and related services primarily in the states of Arizona, California, Colorado, Idaho, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Texas, Utah, Washington, and Wyoming. The company offers corporate banking services; commercial banking, including a focus on small- and medium-sized businesses; commercial real estate banking services; municipal and public finance services; retail banking, including residential mortgages; trust services; wealth management and private client banking services; and capital markets products and services. As of December 31, 2020, it operated 422 branches, which included 273 owned and 149 leased. The company was formerly known as ZB, National Association and changed its name to Zions Bancorporation, National Association in September 2018. Zions Bancorporation, National Association was founded in 1873 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, Utah.
How the Company Makes MoneyZions Bancorporation primarily makes money through net interest income and noninterest income generated by its banking operations. Net interest income is the largest driver for many commercial banks and comes from earning interest on loans and interest-earning assets (e.g., commercial loans, consumer loans, and securities) and paying interest on funding sources (primarily customer deposits and wholesale borrowings); the spread between asset yields and funding costs (net interest margin), along with loan and deposit volumes, drives this revenue stream. Noninterest income is generated from fees for services and banking activities such as deposit and account service charges, treasury management and payment-related fees (e.g., cash management, wire/ACH, card-related fees), loan-related fees (e.g., origination, servicing, and other charges), and other service fees associated with serving commercial and retail customers. Like other banks, profitability is also influenced by credit performance and provision for credit losses (which reduces earnings when expected losses rise), operating expenses, and interest-rate and liquidity conditions that affect both loan demand and funding costs. Significant partnership details: null.

Zions Bancorporation National Association Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 20, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The quarter showed clear progress on core financial metrics: strong earnings and EPS growth, continued NIM expansion, robust deposit gathering, low charge-offs and sizable tangible book value accretion. Revenue diversification (capital markets and customer fees) and targeted growth initiatives (small business, SBA lending, banker hires) are notable positives. Offsetting items include a sequential PPNR decline partly driven by a $15 million charitable donation, rising noninterest expenses as the bank invests in growth, some asset-yield compression and an uptick in C&I classified loans. Management provided constructive 2026 guidance (moderately increasing NII and fee income, controlled expense growth with expected positive operating leverage) but that outlook depends on interest-rate assumptions. On balance, the positive operational and capital trends outweigh the headwinds, supporting a favorable near-term outlook.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Meaningful Earnings Growth
Reported earnings of $262 million, up 19% sequentially and 31% year-over-year; full-year earnings grew 21% versus prior year.
Diluted EPS Improvement
Diluted earnings per share of $1.76, up from $1.48 last quarter and $1.34 a year ago (includes $0.08 per share headwind from a charitable contribution and $0.11 benefit from FDIC assessment reversal and SBIC gains).
Net Interest Margin and NII Expansion
Net interest margin expanded for the eighth consecutive quarter to 3.31% (up ~3 basis points sequentially and ~26 basis points year-over-year); net interest income increased $56 million (9%) versus Q4 2024 and $11 million versus prior quarter.
Deposit Growth and Improved Funding Mix
Customer deposits grew at a healthy pace (9% annualized); period-end deposits rose $766 million quarter-over-quarter; average deposits increased 2.3% q/q; average noninterest-bearing deposits grew ~$1.7 billion (6% q/q). Deposit cost declined 11 basis points sequentially to 1.56% and total funding costs fell 16 basis points to 1.76%.
Strong Credit Quality
Net charge-offs were very low at $7 million (≈5 basis points annualized of total loans); provision for credit losses of $6 million; allowance for credit losses was 1.19% of loans with coverage of nonaccrual loans at 215%; nonperforming assets remained low at 52 basis points of loans.
Capital Strength and Tangible Book Value Growth
Common equity Tier 1 ratio of 11.5%; tangible book value per share increased 21% year-over-year — third straight year of >20% growth — enabling management to say they are nearing the point to increase capital distributions (management expects potential buybacks in the second half of the year).
Revenue Diversification and Fee Momentum
Adjusted customer-related noninterest income reached a record $175 million this quarter; capital markets fees increased ~25% year-over-year (management has doubled capital markets fees since 2020); adjusted PPNR for full year increased 12% year-over-year.
Loan Production and Targeted Growth Initiatives
Period-end loan balances increased by $615 million sequentially with commercial growth in Texas, California and Pacific Northwest; focused initiatives include targeted marketing, banker hiring and small business lending (SBA 7(a) loans nearly doubled in number and rose ~53% in dollars).
Negative Updates
Sequential PPNR Decline and One-time Donation Impact
Adjusted PPNR was $331 million, down 6% sequentially (up 6% year-over-year); the $15 million charitable donation created an ~$0.08 per share headwind and meaningfully impacted quarter-over-quarter adjusted PPNR (when excluding the donation adjusted PPNR was down ~2% q/q and up ~11% y/y).
Rising Noninterest Expense
Adjusted noninterest expense was $548 million, up $28 million (5%) versus prior quarter and up 8% year-over-year; excluding the $15 million donation, expenses were up 2% q/q and 5% y/y. Management expects adjusted noninterest expense to be moderately increasing in 2026.
Earning Asset Yield Compression and Rate Sensitivity
Total loan yields declined ~15 basis points sequentially and earning asset yields were pressured ~15 basis points q/q. Fixed-rate asset repricing lift has slowed (now ~1 basis point vs prior 2–3 bps expectations). Guidance depends on assumed Fed cuts (management assumes 225 bps of cuts in June and September), creating downside risk to NIM if the rate path differs.
CRE Concentration and Shift in Classified Loans
Commercial Real Estate represents $13.4 billion (22% of loans). Although CRE nonaccruals and delinquencies remain low and classified CRE declined $132 million, C&I classified loans increased by $92 million sequentially — an area management is monitoring.
Terminated Swap Headwind to NII
Management highlighted approximately $29 million of terminated swap-related headwind expected in 2026 (roughly half the impact experienced in 2025), which will temper net interest income growth.
Guidance and Macro Uncertainty
Several parts of the 2026 outlook (NII, deposit cost reductions, loan growth) rely on assumptions about the timing and magnitude of Fed rate cuts and deposit behavior; deviations from assumed rate cuts or slower deposit repricing could pressure margin and funding-cost improvement.
Company Guidance
Guidance for fiscal 2026 calls for net interest income to be moderately increasing (the outlook assumes 225 bps of Fed funds cuts in June and September) driven by favorable earning‑asset and interest‑bearing liability remix, loan and deposit growth and declining funding costs; period‑end loans are expected to be moderately higher (Q4 period‑end loans rose $615M) with growth led by C&I and owner‑occupied commercial loans (CRE was $13.4B or 22% of loans). Customer‑related fee income is also expected to be moderately increasing and the company expects to be at the top end of that guide (Q4 customer fees $177M, adjusted $175M; capital markets fees +25% YoY). On expenses, adjusted noninterest expense is expected to be moderately increasing off a ~$2.122B base (strip the $15M charitable donation); Q4 adjusted expense was $548M (up 5% QoQ, 8% YoY; ex‑donation +2% QoQ, +5% YoY). Management expects positive operating leverage of roughly 100–150 bps in 2026 (after achieving >300 bps last year excluding the donation), while managing securities cash flows ($554M gross, $288M net of reinvestment) with a securities duration ~3.8 years, current total funding cost 1.76% and deposit cost 1.56%; other noted items include a ~$29M terminated‑swap headwind for 2026, net charge‑offs of ~5 bps, allowance at 1.19% of loans, CET1 at 11.5%, tangible book value per share up 21% YoY, and an expectation to be in a position to increase capital distributions (including possible buybacks) in H2 2026.

Zions Bancorporation National Association Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid but mixed fundamentals: leverage improved materially since 2022 (debt-to-equity ~0.64 in 2025) and equity grew ($5.7B to $7.2B, 2023–2025), supporting resilience. Profitability and returns are steady (ROE ~12–13% in 2023–2025) and 2025 margins improved vs 2024. Offsetting this, revenue has been uneven and declined in 2025 (-8.1%), and both earnings/cash flows show multi-year volatility despite strong 2025 free cash flow ($1.07B; FCF/NI = 1.0).
Income Statement
64
Positive
Revenue has been choppy: strong growth in 2023 (+38.6%) and 2024 (+8.0%) followed by a modest decline in 2025 (-8.1%). Profitability improved versus 2023–2024 (2025 net margin ~18.2% vs ~15.7% in 2024), but remains well below the unusually strong 2021–2022 levels. Operating profitability looks steady-to-improving recently (2025 EBIT margin ~23.8% vs ~20.3% in 2024), yet the multi-year pattern suggests earnings sensitivity and less consistent top-line momentum.
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
Leverage appears controlled for a regional bank and has improved materially from 2022 (debt-to-equity ~2.26) to 2025 (~0.64), indicating a cleaner capital position versus that prior peak. Equity has also grown from 2023 to 2025 ($5.7B to $7.2B), supporting balance-sheet resilience. Returns on equity are solid and fairly steady (~12–13% in 2023–2025), though not at the higher 2022 level (~18.5%). Key risk: leverage has fluctuated meaningfully across years, which points to potential balance-sheet volatility through cycles.
Cash Flow
66
Positive
Cash generation is a positive: free cash flow was strong in 2025 ($1.07B) and roughly matched net income (free cash flow to net income = 1.0), improving from 2024 (~0.92) and 2023 (~0.87). Free cash flow growth accelerated sharply in 2025, following a decline in 2023, highlighting volatility in cash flows year-to-year. Operating cash flow also improved in 2025 versus 2023, but the pattern across the period is uneven, which reduces overall cash-flow quality consistency.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.94B4.99B4.62B3.34B2.97B
Gross Profit3.31B3.06B2.98B3.03B3.19B
EBITDA1.29B1.14B1.03B1.26B1.43B
Net Income899.00M784.00M680.00M907.00M1.13B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets88.99B88.78B87.20B89.55B93.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.18B12.63B12.50B13.91B34.93B
Total Debt4.34B4.37B4.54B11.07B1.92B
Total Liabilities81.81B82.65B81.51B84.65B85.74B
Stockholders Equity7.18B6.12B5.69B4.89B7.46B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow981.00M1.05B772.00M1.28B423.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.10B1.15B885.00M1.47B629.00M
Investing Cash Flow709.00M-1.64B2.37B1.41B-11.58B
Financing Cash Flow-1.78B427.00M-3.20B-2.81B11.00B

Zions Bancorporation National Association Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price54.05
Price Trends
50DMA
58.98
Negative
100DMA
56.81
Negative
200DMA
54.95
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.72
Positive
RSI
36.96
Neutral
STOCH
28.27
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ZION, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 54.05 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 56.40, below the 50-day MA of 58.98, and below the 200-day MA of 54.95, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.72 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.27 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ZION.

Zions Bancorporation National Association Risk Analysis

Zions Bancorporation National Association disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Zions Bancorporation National Association reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Zions Bancorporation National Association Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$8.49B8.7813.82%2.31%5.87%53.36%
74
Outperform
$8.92B11.3711.71%1.40%3.58%13.93%
73
Outperform
$8.28B12.938.51%2.43%20.72%3.63%
69
Neutral
$8.36B12.5114.95%3.05%2.85%20.57%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$7.99B9.5813.33%2.97%0.12%27.30%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ZION
Zions Bancorporation National Association
54.05
4.88
9.91%
CFR
Cullen/Frost Bankers
132.25
10.05
8.23%
ONB
Old National Bancorp Capital
21.24
0.27
1.27%
BPOP
Popular
130.48
39.96
44.15%
WTFC
Wintrust Financial
132.53
18.07
15.78%

Zions Bancorporation National Association Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Zions Bancorporation Announces Zions Bank Leadership Transition
Neutral
Dec 22, 2025

On December 22, 2025, Zions Bancorporation, N.A. announced that Paul E. Burdiss will retire as Executive Vice President of Zions Bancorporation and President and Chief Executive Officer of its Zions Bank division, which serves Utah, Idaho and Wyoming, effective December 31, 2025, marking the end of a more than 35-year financial services career that included roles at SunTrust Bank and Comerica. To support continuity, Burdiss entered into a Retirement and Consulting Agreement effective December 20, 2025, under which he will provide transition and advisory services through December 31, 2026, subject to non-compete, non-solicit and confidentiality covenants and in return for quarterly consulting payments, continued medical benefits for up to a year, and the continued administration of his outstanding incentive awards; concurrently, the company named current Executive Vice President and Executive Director of Commercial Banking Nathan (Nate) Callister as his successor as CEO of Zions Bank, underscoring a planned leadership handover intended to preserve Zions Bank’s strong regional positioning in the Intermountain West and maintain stability for customers, employees and investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (ZION) stock is a Hold with a $63.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Zions Bancorporation National Association stock, see the ZION Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 25, 2026