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Zillow Group Inc Class A (ZG)
NASDAQ:ZG
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Zillow Group Class A (ZG) AI Stock Analysis

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ZG

Zillow Group Class A

(NASDAQ:ZG)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$91.00
▲(11.51% Upside)
Zillow Group's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call performance and technical analysis, indicating positive momentum and growth prospects. Financial performance is stable but hindered by profitability challenges, while valuation remains a concern due to negative earnings. The company's strategic initiatives and revenue growth provide a positive outlook, despite macroeconomic uncertainties in the housing market.
Positive Factors
Partnerships and Collaborations
ZG continues to make progress in Rentals with accelerating revenue reflecting benefits from the Redfin partnership and continued scaling of inventory.
Product Innovation
Zillow continues to improve its value proposition, with Follow Up Boss now handling 96% of Enhanced Market connections, and a new AI-supported smart message tool has supported 2M smart messages since early June.
Revenue Growth
ZG's Residential revenue growth of 6% year-over-year outpaced the residential real estate industry's year-over-year transaction value growth of 1%.
Negative Factors
Market Constraints
The broader housing market remains constrained by affordability headwinds.
Market Weakness
Expectations for continued housing market weakness are likely to limit volume growth and any meaningful positive estimate revisions.
Valuation Concerns
Despite constructive execution, there is limited potential for further multiple expansion due to stock trading above historical valuation.

Zillow Group Class A (ZG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Zillow Group Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionZillow Group Class A (ZG) is a leading online real estate marketplace that provides a platform for consumers to buy, sell, rent, and finance properties. The company operates primarily through its flagship website, Zillow.com, and its mobile applications, offering a range of services including property listings, home value estimates, and tools for mortgage and rental management. Zillow Group also encompasses several other brands such as Trulia and StreetEasy, enhancing its footprint in the real estate sector.
How the Company Makes MoneyZillow Group generates revenue through multiple key streams. Primarily, it earns money through its Premier Agent program, where real estate agents pay for advertising and leads generated from Zillow's platform. Additionally, Zillow offers a variety of advertising services for property listings, where sellers and landlords can promote their homes. Another significant revenue source is its Zillow Offers program, which allows the company to buy homes directly from sellers, renovate them, and then sell them at a profit. Furthermore, Zillow earns revenue from mortgage origination through Zillow Home Loans, providing financing solutions to home buyers. Partnerships with real estate agencies and financial institutions also contribute to its earnings, enhancing its service offerings and market reach.

Zillow Group Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Zillow Group's Q2 2025 earnings call presented a strong financial performance with notable revenue growth across segments, particularly in Rentals and For Sale categories. The company continues to innovate with product developments and maintains a positive financial position. However, challenges persist in the broader housing market and with managing variable expenses.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Q2 Revenue Growth
Zillow reported a 15% year-over-year increase in total revenue for Q2 2025, exceeding expectations with a total of $655 million.
Significant Growth in Rentals Revenue
Rentals revenue accelerated to 36% year-over-year growth in Q2, with multifamily revenue up 56% and property count up 45% to 64,000.
For Sale Revenue Outperformance
For Sale revenue increased 9% year-over-year, outperforming the broader housing market's flat performance, with residential revenue up 6% and mortgages revenue up 41%.
Positive Financial Position
Zillow reported its second consecutive quarter of positive GAAP net income and ended Q2 with $1.2 billion in cash and investments.
Innovative Product Developments
Launched new tools like BuyAbility and Offer Insights, improving the shopping experience for buyers and productivity for agents.
Negative Updates
Challenging Housing Market Conditions
The housing market remains flat with macroeconomic uncertainty, impacting transaction volumes despite Zillow's growth.
Increased Variable Expenses
Variable expenses have been outpacing revenue growth, particularly in Rentals and Zillow Home Loans, due to investments in growth initiatives.
Company Guidance
During Zillow Group's second quarter financial results call, the company provided guidance highlighting its strong performance and future expectations. Zillow reported a 15% year-over-year increase in total revenue for Q2 2025, amounting to $655 million, surpassing its outlook range, and achieving an EBITDA of $155 million at the high end of its forecast. The company saw a 9% growth in For Sale revenue, with residential revenue up 6% and mortgages revenue increasing by 41%. Rentals revenue exhibited significant growth, up 36% year-over-year, driven by a 56% increase in multifamily revenue. Looking ahead, Zillow expects mid-teens revenue growth for the full year 2025, with continued margin expansion and positive net income. The company plans to accelerate its Rentals revenue growth to over 40% year-over-year in Q3, with a focus on expanding its multifamily properties and leveraging partnerships with Redfin and Realtor.com for greater market reach.

Zillow Group Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Zillow Group shows moderate revenue growth and strong cost management, but struggles with profitability and decreasing free cash flow. The strong equity position and low leverage provide stability, yet profitability and cash flow sustainability need improvement.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Zillow Group's revenue shows a moderate growth trend with a 3.09% increase TTM over the previous year. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as indicated by negative EBIT and net income margins in the TTM period, although there's a slight improvement compared to the prior year. Gross profit margin remains strong at 76.45%, suggesting effective cost management in core operations.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of Zillow Group is solid with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.14, indicating financial stability and low leverage. Stockholders' equity constitutes a substantial 82.74% of total assets, reflecting a strong equity position. However, the company has negative net income, affecting its return on equity.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The TTM cash flow shows positive free cash flow, though it has decreased compared to the previous report. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, demonstrating efficient cash generation from operations despite negative net income. However, the decrease in free cash flow growth rate is a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.39B2.24B1.95B1.96B2.13B3.34B
Gross Profit1.81B1.71B1.52B1.59B1.75B1.51B
EBITDA236.00M198.00M125.00M123.00M370.00M119.96M
Net Income-62.00M-112.00M-158.00M-88.00M-527.78M-162.12M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.42B5.83B6.65B6.56B10.70B7.49B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.16B1.86B2.81B3.36B2.83B3.92B
Total Debt328.00M660.00M1.83B1.87B1.60B2.52B
Total Liabilities670.00M981.00M2.13B2.08B5.35B2.74B
Stockholders Equity4.75B4.85B4.53B4.48B5.34B4.74B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow330.00M285.00M189.00M4.36B-3.28B315.68M
Operating Cash Flow484.00M428.00M354.00M4.50B-3.18B424.20M
Investing Cash Flow627.00M395.00M25.00M-1.53B1.09B-1.04B
Financing Cash Flow-1.70B-1.23B-352.00M-4.34B3.15B1.16B

Zillow Group Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price81.61
Price Trends
50DMA
75.40
Positive
100DMA
70.66
Positive
200DMA
72.55
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.79
Negative
RSI
57.10
Neutral
STOCH
68.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ZG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 81.61 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 79.97, above the 50-day MA of 75.40, and above the 200-day MA of 72.55, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.79 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ZG.

Zillow Group Class A Risk Analysis

Zillow Group Class A disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Zillow Group Class A reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Zillow Group Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$20.62B-1.34%15.31%56.19%
73
Outperform
$20.62B-1.34%15.31%56.19%
73
Outperform
$3.37B27.4929.24%4.80%
70
Outperform
$1.98B14.2220.13%5.37%13.08%
61
Neutral
$15.72B841.050.24%11.56%
60
Neutral
$43.56B4.52-12.81%4.07%1.87%-43.08%
54
Neutral
$793.88M-14.27%9.65%56.50%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ZG
Zillow Group Class A
81.61
27.63
51.19%
YELP
Yelp
31.51
-3.40
-9.74%
Z
Zillow Group Class C
84.19
28.32
50.69%
TWLO
Twilio
103.15
40.79
65.41%
CARG
CarGurus
34.26
5.26
18.14%
NXDR
Nextdoor Holdings
2.11
-0.33
-13.52%

Zillow Group Class A Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Zillow Group Elects Directors at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 3, 2025

On June 2, 2025, Zillow Group held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where shareholders voted to elect four Class II directors and ratified the appointment of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. The election of directors and the ratification of the accounting firm are significant for Zillow Group’s governance and financial oversight, impacting its operational stability and stakeholder confidence.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025