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Zillow Group Inc Class C (Z)
NASDAQ:Z
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Zillow Group Class C (Z) AI Stock Analysis

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Z

Zillow Group Class C

(NASDAQ:Z)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$40.00
▼(-14.64% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/09/26
The score is driven primarily by improving fundamentals—strong free cash flow and a significantly de-risked balance sheet—supported by upbeat guidance and segment momentum from the latest earnings call. These positives are tempered by weak technical trend signals and a high P/E valuation, which raise downside risk if margin expansion or growth slows.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet / low leverage
Extremely low net debt relative to equity provides durable financial flexibility: supports continued product investment, opportunistic M&A or buybacks, and absorption of cyclical housing shocks without forced deleveraging. This reduces refinancing and solvency risk over the next 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Thin margins and low returns on equity
Very narrow operating and net margins leave earnings highly sensitive to modest cost increases or demand softness; low ROE signals the company is not yet converting capital into returns efficiently. Over 2–6 months, margin volatility could undermine profit growth despite revenue gains.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet / low leverage
Extremely low net debt relative to equity provides durable financial flexibility: supports continued product investment, opportunistic M&A or buybacks, and absorption of cyclical housing shocks without forced deleveraging. This reduces refinancing and solvency risk over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive factors

Zillow Group Class C Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Average Unique Monthly Visitors
Average Unique Monthly Visitors
Measures the average number of distinct visitors to Zillow’s platforms each month, indicating the site’s popularity and potential for ad revenue growth.
Chart InsightsZillow's average monthly visitors have shown a steady upward trend, reaching a peak in Q3 2025. This growth aligns with the company's strategic focus on enhancing consumer experiences and integrating AI technologies, as highlighted in their recent earnings call. The introduction of features like virtual staging and the Zillow app in ChatGPT likely contributed to increased user engagement. Despite challenging housing market conditions, Zillow's innovative approach and strong revenue growth, particularly in the Rentals segment, suggest a positive outlook for continued visitor growth and market expansion.
Data provided by:The Fly

Zillow Group Class C (Z) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Zillow Group Class C Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Zillow Group, Inc., a digital real estate company, operates real estate brands on mobile applications and Websites in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Homes; Internet, Media & Technology; and Mortgages. The Homes seg...
How the Company Makes Money
Zillow Group primarily makes money by monetizing traffic on its real estate marketplaces through services sold to real estate professionals and property partners. Its key revenue streams include: (1) Premier Agent revenue, where real estate agents...

Zillow Group Class C Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized broad top-line growth (18% revenue growth), strong rental and mortgage momentum (rentals +42% YoY, mortgages revenue +56% YoY, purchase originations +96%), profitability progress (net income, adjusted EBITDA margin expansion ex-legal), and product/AI traction (Preview, Showcase, AI mode). Near-term headwinds include a flat housing market, softer residential activity, elevated legal costs, and intentional near-term increases in advertising and variable investments that pressure margins in H1. Management reiterated mid-teens full-year revenue growth and margin expansion in H2, and the positives on execution, cash generation, and clear growth levers outweigh the near-term challenges.
Positive Updates
Strong Overall Revenue Growth
Total revenue of $708 million in Q1, up 18% year-over-year and near the high end of guidance.
Negative Updates
Challenging Housing Market & Seasonal Headwinds
Broader housing market described as essentially flat amid worse-than-expected winter weather and interest rate volatility; industry transaction trends roughly flat and estimated purchase mortgage origination volume down ~1% YoY, weighing on residential activity.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Overall Revenue Growth
Total revenue of $708 million in Q1, up 18% year-over-year and near the high end of guidance.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Zillow guided Q2 revenue of $750–765 million (implying ~16% YoY growth at the midpoint) with For Sale/residential growth in the mid‑single digits, mortgages growing at levels similar to Q1, and rentals growth of ~30% YoY; they expect Q2 EBITDA expenses of ~$600 million and EBITDA of $150–165 million (or ~$170–185 million excluding ~$20 million of incremental legal costs) and plan roughly $80 million of Q2 advertising (up from $64 million last year, +$16 million YoY). For full‑year 2026 the company reiterated mid‑teens total revenue growth, ~30% rentals revenue growth and continued EBITDA margin expansion (net income growing faster than revenue and EBITDA), updated share‑based compensation to be down >15% YoY, a fixed cost base of ≈$1.1 billion, variable cost pressure of >400 basis points to EBITDA in H1 trending toward neutral by year‑end, legal costs ~200 bps headwind in H1, modest overall ad spend growth, and pro forma liquidity of ~ $1.3 billion (cash & investments $788M plus $500M undrawn revolver) after $626M of buybacks in Q1.

Zillow Group Class C Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are improving: results turned to modest profitability (TTM net income $61M, slightly positive EBIT) while cash generation is strong (TTM operating cash flow $462M; free cash flow $431M, ~90% growth). The balance sheet is a major strength with very low debt ($94M) versus equity ($4.41B). Offsetting factors are still-thin margins (net ~2.3%, EBIT ~0.4%) and low ROE (~1.3%), leaving earnings sensitive to cost and demand swings.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Cash Flow
72
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.69B2.58B2.24B1.95B1.96B2.13B
Gross Profit1.98B1.92B1.71B1.52B1.59B1.81B
EBITDA340.00M261.00M179.00M125.00M130.00M382.00M
Net Income61.00M23.00M-112.00M-158.00M-101.00M-528.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.23B5.68B5.83B6.65B6.56B10.70B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments783.00M1.29B1.86B2.81B3.36B2.83B
Total Debt429.00M536.00M743.00M1.83B1.87B1.60B
Total Liabilities818.00M801.00M981.00M2.13B2.08B5.35B
Stockholders Equity4.41B4.88B4.85B4.53B4.48B5.34B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow431.00M235.00M285.00M189.00M4.36B-3.28B
Operating Cash Flow462.00M368.00M428.00M354.00M4.50B-3.18B
Investing Cash Flow422.00M-6.00M395.00M25.00M-1.53B1.09B
Financing Cash Flow-1.12B-674.00M-1.23B-352.00M-4.34B3.15B

Zillow Group Class C Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price46.86
Price Trends
50DMA
42.24
Negative
100DMA
49.29
Negative
200DMA
63.12
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.06
Positive
RSI
31.26
Neutral
STOCH
25.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For Z, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 46.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 40.85, above the 50-day MA of 42.24, and below the 200-day MA of 63.12, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for Z.

Zillow Group Class C Risk Analysis

Zillow Group Class C disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Zillow Group Class C reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Zillow Group Class C Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$2.54B24.8441.93%5.93%310.70%
65
Neutral
$8.43B53.001.28%16.83%
65
Neutral
$8.43B53.021.28%16.83%
64
Neutral
$3.06B206.422.46%-34.87%
64
Neutral
$770.40M-11.86-10.32%6.78%52.54%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
60
Neutral
$48.27B10.7916.37%443.93%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
Z
Zillow Group Class C
36.34
-29.69
-44.96%
NBIS
Nebius Group
214.77
176.18
456.54%
ZG
Zillow Group Class A
36.88
-28.39
-43.50%
CARG
CarGurus
28.24
-2.91
-9.34%
IAC
IAC/InteractiveCorp.
42.03
5.72
15.75%
NXDR
Nextdoor Holdings
2.02
0.55
37.41%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 09, 2026