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22nd Century (XXII)
NASDAQ:XXII
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22nd Century (XXII) AI Stock Analysis

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XXII

22nd Century

(NASDAQ:XXII)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▲(25.00% Upside)
22nd Century's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance, with persistent losses and negative cash flow. Technical analysis also indicates a bearish trend, further weighing down the score. While the earnings call provided some optimism with strategic shifts and debt reduction, the company's valuation remains unattractive due to a negative P/E ratio and lack of dividends. The path to profitability is uncertain, making the stock a high-risk investment.

22nd Century (XXII) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

22nd Century Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description22nd Century Group, Inc. (XXII) is a biotechnology company focused on the development of innovative solutions for the tobacco and hemp industries. The company specializes in genetic engineering and plant biotechnology, aiming to create low-nicotine tobacco products designed to reduce dependence on nicotine. Additionally, 22nd Century is involved in the production and commercialization of hemp-derived products, including cannabinoid extracts and related applications. The company operates primarily in the sectors of biotechnology, agriculture, and health.
How the Company Makes Money22nd Century generates revenue through several key streams. Primarily, the company earns income from the sale of its proprietary low-nicotine tobacco products and related technologies to tobacco manufacturers. This includes licensing agreements and royalties from the use of its patented genetic modifications. Furthermore, 22nd Century has developed a portfolio of hemp-derived products, which contributes additional revenue through direct sales and partnerships with other companies in the hemp and cannabinoid markets. Significant partnerships with major tobacco companies and ongoing collaborations in research and development help bolster its revenue potential, alongside the company's focus on regulatory compliance and product innovation to meet market demands.

22nd Century Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant strategic progress and financial improvements, such as becoming debt-free and expanding higher-margin branded products. However, the company continues to face challenges with ongoing losses and a decline in revenue. While the balance sheet has strengthened, the timeline to profitability remains uncertain. The sentiment is cautiously optimistic with notable achievements but balanced by current financial challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Debt-Free and Improved Balance Sheet
The company has significantly improved its balance sheet, becoming debt-free and is now funded with cash resources that have not been available over the past two years.
Expansion of VLN Products
VLN and Partner VLN products are now available in approximately 1,500 stores across 21 states, with store display resets being implemented, and the company has continued to expand its brand and product availability.
Insurance Settlement Boost
The company received a $9.5 million insurance settlement from the Dorchester business interruption claim, which improved cash on hand and strengthened the balance sheet.
Strategic Shift to Higher Margin Products
The company has shifted its strategy away from low-margin CMO business to focus on higher-margin branded products, which is expected to drive future profitability.
Positive Product Reviews
The VLN products have received excellent reviews on taste and smoking experience, indicating strong consumer acceptance.
Negative Updates
Continued Losses
The company reported a gross profit loss of $1.1 million in Q3 2025, an increase from the $0.6 million loss in Q2 2025, due to lower volume and transition costs.
Net Revenue Decline
Net revenue decreased slightly to $4 million in Q3 2025 from $4.1 million in Q2 2025.
Uncertainty in Profitability Timeline
While the company aims for EBITDA breakeven by Q2 2026, the absence of rate of sale metrics creates uncertainty around this target.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, 22nd Century Group's call highlighted significant advancements and strategic shifts aimed at enhancing profitability and market presence. The company closed the quarter with $4.8 million in cash, bolstered by an additional $9.5 million from an insurance settlement post-quarter, bringing total assets to $32.4 million. It achieved a debt-free status, repaying its senior secured credit facility, thus improving its liabilities to $11.3 million. Despite a net revenue dip to $4 million and a gross profit loss of $1.1 million, the focus is on transitioning from low-margin CMO business to higher-margin branded products, aiming for a breakeven target of 500,000 cartons annually. The company, now poised for growth, has executed cost-structure improvements in its manufacturing operations and expanded its VLN product distribution to approximately 1,500 stores across 21 states. The strategic emphasis on very low nicotine (VLN) products and natural style cigarettes is set to drive future profitability, with anticipated improvements in the fourth quarter and throughout 2026.

22nd Century Financial Statement Overview

Summary
22nd Century faces significant financial challenges across all verticals. The income statement shows declining revenues and persistent losses, while the balance sheet reflects high leverage and negative equity returns. Cash flow remains negative, with limited signs of improvement. The company needs to address operational inefficiencies and improve revenue generation to stabilize its financial position.
Income Statement
25
Negative
The income statement reveals significant challenges for 22nd Century. The company has experienced declining revenue, with a negative revenue growth rate of -10.66% in the TTM. Margins are deeply negative, with a gross profit margin of -16.03% and a net profit margin of -41.95%, indicating substantial losses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies. Overall, the income statement suggests a struggling financial performance with no immediate signs of profitability.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet shows a mixed picture. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.43 in the TTM from 2.15 in the previous year, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity is significantly negative at -170.04%, reflecting poor returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 8.44%, suggesting a low proportion of equity financing. While debt levels are manageable, the negative equity and returns highlight financial instability.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates ongoing cash flow challenges. The operating cash flow is negative, and the free cash flow growth rate is slightly positive at 6.68%, but this is from a negative base. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting cash flow issues relative to net losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is close to 1, indicating that free cash flow is largely in line with net losses. Overall, cash flow remains a concern with limited improvement.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.36M11.88M32.20M40.50M30.95M28.11M
Gross Profit-3.56M-2.40M-8.70M1.85M1.49M1.44M
EBITDA-11.78M-12.11M-40.41M-32.89M-31.00M-18.07M
Net Income-6.80M-15.16M-140.78M-59.80M-32.61M-19.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets32.37M21.67M27.50M114.65M75.95M51.69M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.85M4.42M2.06M20.40M48.74M22.34M
Total Debt1.18M8.62M16.38M4.65M2.34M786.00K
Total Liabilities11.26M17.66M35.91M18.68M9.88M7.58M
Stockholders Equity21.10M4.01M-8.41M95.97M66.07M44.11M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-14.98M-14.51M-60.60M-56.14M-23.91M-16.14M
Operating Cash Flow-14.87M-14.35M-54.99M-51.71M-22.84M-15.62M
Investing Cash Flow130.00K-139.00K16.82M22.58M-27.73M16.47M
Financing Cash Flow14.24M16.85M37.21M30.82M50.88M-304.00K

22nd Century Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.80
Price Trends
50DMA
1.48
Negative
100DMA
2.30
Negative
200DMA
17.00
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.20
Positive
RSI
24.43
Positive
STOCH
9.56
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XXII, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.24, below the 50-day MA of 1.48, and below the 200-day MA of 17.00, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.20 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 24.43 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.56 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for XXII.

22nd Century Risk Analysis

22nd Century disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. 22nd Century reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

22nd Century Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$1.31B11.947.72%6.26%3.01%-7.14%
67
Neutral
$1.94B35.7422.54%0.29%6.71%8.16%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
43
Neutral
$95.08M-2.41-254.99%-20.13%-88.66%
41
Neutral
$4.88M>-0.01-133.50%-34.81%99.30%
38
Underperform
$4.48M-240.32%-78.46%83.71%
31
Underperform
$5.56M-68.63%-88.85%68.28%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XXII
22nd Century
0.80
-306.60
-99.74%
UVV
Universal
52.51
0.14
0.27%
TPB
Turning Point Brands
97.93
36.35
59.03%
GNLN
Greenlane Holdings
3.13
-1,339.37
-99.77%
KAVL
Kaival Brands Innovations Group
0.47
-0.33
-41.25%
ISPR
Ispire Technology, Inc.
1.86
-4.39
-70.24%

22nd Century Corporate Events

22nd Century Group’s Q3 2025: Financial Resilience and Strategic Growth
Nov 5, 2025

22nd Century Group, Inc. is a pioneering company in the tobacco industry, focusing on tobacco harm reduction through its innovative low-nicotine products. The company recently reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting significant improvements in its balance sheet and strategic advancements in its product offerings. Key financial metrics revealed a slight decrease in net revenues to $4.0 million, with a gross loss of $1.1 million. Despite an operating loss of $3.2 million, the company achieved a consolidated net income of $5.5 million, largely due to a $9.5 million insurance settlement. The company ended the quarter with $4.8 million in cash and zero long-term debt, positioning itself strongly for future growth. Looking ahead, 22nd Century Group aims to expand its market presence and continue its leadership in the tobacco harm reduction movement, leveraging its proprietary technologies and strategic partnerships.

22nd Century Group’s Earnings Call: Strategic Gains Amid Challenges
Nov 5, 2025

The recent earnings call of 22nd Century Group painted a picture of cautious optimism, highlighting both significant strategic progress and ongoing financial challenges. The company has made notable achievements, such as becoming debt-free and expanding its higher-margin branded products. However, it continues to grapple with ongoing losses and a decline in revenue, leaving the timeline to profitability uncertain. Despite these challenges, the overall sentiment expressed during the call was one of cautious optimism, with a focus on strategic improvements and financial strengthening.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
22nd Century Signs $25M Sales Agreement for Expansion
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, 22nd Century Group, Inc. entered into a Sales Agreement with Needham & Company, LLC to issue and sell shares of common stock up to $25 million, intending to use the proceeds for corporate purposes including the expansion of its VLN® products. The company also reported its third quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a significant balance sheet improvement with no outstanding debt and a $9.5 million insurance settlement. The company is expanding its market reach with VLN® products, increasing store counts, and securing new distribution agreements, positioning itself for future growth in the tobacco industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (XXII) stock is a Sell with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on 22nd Century stock, see the XXII Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyLegal Proceedings
22nd Century Settles Insurance Litigation for $9.5M
Positive
Sep 25, 2025

On September 18, 2025, 22nd Century Group, Inc. settled its litigation with its insurer regarding the November 2022 fire at its Grass Valley manufacturing facility, resulting in a $9.5 million cash payment. This settlement allows the company to transition from survival capital to growth capital, positioning it to focus on profitability by 2026 and expand distribution for its branded products.

The most recent analyst rating on (XXII) stock is a Sell with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on 22nd Century stock, see the XXII Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
22nd Century Announces Full Debt Repayment
Positive
Sep 18, 2025

On September 18, 2025, 22nd Century Group, Inc. announced the full repayment of its senior secured debt, totaling $3.9 million, which was completed ahead of its maturity date. This financial move, following the closing of its Series A convertible preferred stock offering, results in a debt-free balance sheet and positions the company for growth by reducing ongoing cash needs and operating costs. The company plans to use its improved financial position to expand its inventory of very low nicotine tobacco leaf, supporting the production of over one million cartons of VLN products, and to focus on the growth of its branded products and intellectual property portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (XXII) stock is a Sell with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on 22nd Century stock, see the XXII Stock Forecast page.

22nd Century Group’s Earnings Call: Strategic Shifts Amid Challenges
Sep 1, 2025

In the recent earnings call, 22nd Century Group conveyed a mixed sentiment. While the company is making strategic moves towards high-margin products and has launched its VLN products, challenges such as delayed profitability and potential cash flow issues loom large.

22nd Century Group Expands VLN® Product Line Amid Financial Challenges
Aug 15, 2025

22nd Century Group, Inc., a leader in the tobacco harm reduction sector, focuses on developing reduced nicotine content tobacco products, including its flagship VLN® cigarettes, which are designed to help smokers control their nicotine consumption.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 15, 2025