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22nd Century (XXII)
NASDAQ:XXII

22nd Century (XXII) AI Stock Analysis

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22nd Century

(NASDAQ:XXII)

Rating:39Underperform
Price Target:
$0.50
▲(13.64%Upside)
The overall stock score is heavily influenced by weak financial performance and poor technical indicators, both contributing to a significantly bearish outlook. Valuation metrics further reflect financial instability. While earnings call highlights some operational improvements, these are overshadowed by persistent financial challenges.

22nd Century (XXII) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

22nd Century Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description22nd Century Group, Inc., an agricultural biotechnology company, focuses on tobacco harm reduction, reduced nicotine tobacco, and enhancing health and wellness through plant science for the life science and consumer products industries. It develops very low nicotine content tobacco and cigarette products under the VLN King and VLN Menthol King names; and SPECTRUM research cigarettes for use in independent clinical studies. The company has collaboration with Keygene N.V. to develop hemp/cannabis plants for exceptional cannabinoid profiles and other superior agronomic traits for medical, therapeutic, and agricultural uses, as well as other applications. 22nd Century Group, Inc. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Buffalo, New York.
How the Company Makes Money22nd Century Group makes money primarily through the sale of its proprietary reduced nicotine content tobacco products, which are designed to address regulatory demands for lower nicotine levels in cigarettes. The company generates revenue from its partnerships with tobacco companies, providing them with reduced nicotine tobacco leaf and licensing its technology. Additionally, 22nd Century is involved in the hemp/cannabis sector, where it earns revenue from the sale of hemp-derived CBD products and through partnerships aimed at exploiting their proprietary plant genetics for cannabinoid production. The company's revenue model is also supported by its ongoing R&D efforts and patent portfolio, which provide opportunities for licensing and joint ventures.

22nd Century Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -58.88%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects significant progress in revenue growth and operational efficiency, supported by strategic product launches and successful capital raising. However, ongoing challenges in achieving positive gross margins and net profitability, along with share dilution, present areas of concern.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth and Margin Improvement
Net revenue was $6 million in Q1 2025, a 50% increase from $4 million in Q4 2024. Gross margin improved by 50% from the prior quarter, signaling growth and improved profitability.
Operational Efficiency
Total operating expenses for Q1 2025 were $2 million, the lowest quarterly amount since the turnaround began in late 2023.
Debt Reduction
Reduced outstanding debt to $3.9 million from debt for equity conversions and cash payments, improving the balance sheet.
Successful Capital Raise
Executed a capital raise through warrant inducement, securing $5.4 million in gross proceeds, providing cash runway for 2025.
Strategic Product Rollouts
Launched new products like Smoker Friendly Black Label and VLN branded products, with plans for wider distribution and state approvals.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Deficit
Gross margin still at a loss of $0.6 million, although improved from previous quarters, indicates ongoing challenges in profit generation.
Continued Net Loss
Net loss from continuing operations was $3.3 million for Q1 2025, highlighting ongoing financial challenges.
Significant Share Dilution
Share issuance dilution from warrant exercises, impacting existing shareholders.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, 22nd Century Group reported significant progress in its financial performance and strategic initiatives. The company achieved a 50% sequential increase in net revenue, reaching $6 million, and improved its gross margin loss by the same percentage from the previous quarter. Sales volume grew with 476,000 cartons sold, marking a 41% increase. Operating expenses were reduced to $2 million, the lowest since the company's turnaround began, leading to an improved net loss of $3.3 million and an adjusted EBITDA loss of $2.3 million. The company reduced its debt to $3.9 million and raised $5.4 million in capital with potential for an additional $3.3 million. 22nd Century remains focused on expanding its distribution, particularly for its Smoker Friendly, Pinnacle, and VLN branded products, and aims for P&L profitability by late 2025.

22nd Century Financial Statement Overview

Summary
22nd Century faces severe financial challenges with declining revenue and persistent losses impacting profitability and cash flow. The balance sheet shows high leverage and limited equity, indicating financial instability. Despite efforts to manage debt, the overall financial health is weak, necessitating a strategic turnaround.
Income Statement
30
Negative
The company's income statement shows a deteriorating trend in revenue, with a sharp decline from $62.1 million in 2022 to $21.69 million TTM. Gross profit margin is negative due to consistent gross losses, indicating inefficiencies in core operations. Net profit margin is also negative, reflecting ongoing losses and challenges in achieving profitability. While revenue growth was negative, there are no signs of recovery in EBIT and EBITDA margins, which remain deeply negative.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet highlights a risky financial structure with a debt-to-equity ratio worsening over time, reaching 1.54 TTM. The company has a low equity ratio, reducing financial stability. Return on equity remains negative, reflecting sustained net losses. While liquidity appears constrained, the company has managed to reduce debt in recent periods, which is a positive aspect.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flows demonstrate consistent negative operating cash flow and free cash flow, indicating cash burn. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is challenging, reflecting ongoing operational inefficiencies. Free cash flow growth remains negative, suggesting difficulties in generating cash. Financing activities have been a source of liquidity, but reliance on financing could pose a risk.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
21.69M11.88M32.20M62.11M30.95M28.11M
Gross Profit
-1.98M-2.40M-8.70M1.17M2.07M1.44M
EBIT
-12.09M-13.95M-44.93M-57.11M-28.33M-19.01M
EBITDA
-10.58M-12.11M-40.41M-32.89M-31.00M-18.07M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-13.75M-15.16M-140.78M-59.80M-32.61M-19.71M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.13M4.42M2.06M21.21M48.74M22.34M
Total Assets
21.46M21.67M27.50M114.65M75.95M51.69M
Total Debt
5.56M8.62M16.38M6.73M2.34M786.00K
Net Debt
4.43M4.20M14.32M3.71M1.00M-243.00K
Total Liabilities
17.83M17.66M35.91M18.68M9.88M7.58M
Stockholders Equity
3.63M4.01M-8.41M95.97M66.07M44.11M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-15.22M-14.51M-60.60M-56.14M-23.91M-16.14M
Operating Cash Flow
-15.07M-14.35M-54.99M-51.71M-22.84M-15.62M
Investing Cash Flow
-213.00K-139.00K16.82M22.58M-27.73M16.47M
Financing Cash Flow
14.89M16.85M37.21M30.82M50.88M-304.00K

22nd Century Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.44
Price Trends
50DMA
0.88
Negative
100DMA
1.69
Negative
200DMA
9.59
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.13
Positive
RSI
18.12
Positive
STOCH
7.11
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XXII, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.44 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.73, below the 50-day MA of 0.88, and below the 200-day MA of 9.59, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 18.12 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.11 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for XXII.

22nd Century Risk Analysis

22nd Century disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. 22nd Century reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

22nd Century Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
UVUVV
68
Neutral
$1.48B15.866.56%5.48%7.23%-20.91%
TPTPB
68
Neutral
$1.35B33.1427.53%0.40%3.17%-2.23%
65
Neutral
$8.73B15.104.69%4.08%3.64%-2.90%
50
Neutral
$141.15M-110.47%-1.69%-106.13%
40
Underperform
$12.66M-113.32%-78.81%92.54%
39
Underperform
$4.71M-385.90%-56.65%99.11%
31
Underperform
$5.94M-88.92%-71.85%59.22%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XXII
22nd Century
0.44
-80.55
-99.46%
UVV
Universal
59.02
14.67
33.08%
TPB
Turning Point Brands
74.50
42.31
131.44%
GNLN
Greenlane Holdings
0.01
-4.53
-99.78%
KAVL
Kaival Brands Innovations Group
0.53
-2.34
-81.53%
ISPR
Ispire Technology, Inc.
2.53
-4.66
-64.81%

22nd Century Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesStock SplitRegulatory Filings and Compliance
22nd Century Announces Reverse Stock Split Plan
Neutral
Jun 16, 2025

On June 16, 2025, 22nd Century Group, Inc. filed a Certificate of Change in Nevada to authorize a 1-for-23 reverse stock split of its common stock. This move was aimed at restoring compliance with NASDAQ’s listing standards. The reverse stock split will take effect on June 20, 2025, and the company’s shares will trade under a new CUSIP number while retaining the same NASDAQ symbol ‘XXII’. The split will reduce the number of authorized and outstanding shares proportionally, with no fractional shares being issued. Stockholders’ percentage ownership and voting power remain largely unchanged, and all options and warrants will be adjusted accordingly.

Executive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
22nd Century Modifies Securities Purchase Agreement
Neutral
May 22, 2025

On May 22, 2025, 22nd Century Group, Inc. announced a modification to its Securities Purchase Agreement and debentures with JGB Partners and related entities, allowing for a potential reset of the Conversion Price, contingent upon stockholder approval. This move, aimed at financial restructuring, involves resetting the Conversion Price to the average of the daily VWAPs of the preceding five Nasdaq trading days, not exceeding the current $6.04, with $3.8M in Debentures outstanding. Additionally, Anthony Johnson, a Director of the Company, resigned effective July 15, 2025, with his departure unrelated to any conflicts with the company.

Legal Proceedings
22nd Century Settles Shareholder Derivative Actions
Neutral
Apr 17, 2025

On April 17, 2025, 22nd Century Group, Inc. announced a settlement agreement to resolve shareholder derivative actions related to allegations of a paid stock promotion scheme and misleading public statements. The settlement, pending court approval, includes a payment of $768,333 to plaintiffs’ attorneys and the implementation of corporate governance practices for five years. The settlement does not admit liability, and defendants deny any wrongdoing. This resolution aims to avoid further litigation costs and provides benefits to the company and its shareholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.