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22nd Century (XXII)
NASDAQ:XXII

22nd Century (XXII) AI Stock Analysis

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22nd Century

(NASDAQ:XXII)

Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
$0.50
▼(-32.43%Downside)
22nd Century's overall score is primarily impacted by its poor financial performance, characterized by declining revenue and high leverage. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, while valuation metrics are unfavorable. Despite these challenges, the earnings call provided some positive insights into revenue growth and operational improvements, slightly mitigating the overall score.

22nd Century (XXII) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

22nd Century Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description22nd Century Group, Inc. (XXII) is a biotechnology company focused on developing and commercializing reduced nicotine tobacco and hemp/cannabis plant products. The company operates in the sectors of plant biotechnology and consumer products, with core offerings that include proprietary tobacco plants engineered for reduced nicotine content, as well as hemp and cannabis plants with optimized cannabinoid profiles. Their mission is to reduce the harm associated with smoking and to advance the science of cannabinoids.
How the Company Makes Money22nd Century Group makes money primarily through the sale of its proprietary reduced nicotine content tobacco products, which are designed to address regulatory demands for lower nicotine levels in cigarettes. The company generates revenue from its partnerships with tobacco companies, providing them with reduced nicotine tobacco leaf and licensing its technology. Additionally, 22nd Century is involved in the hemp/cannabis sector, where it earns revenue from the sale of hemp-derived CBD products and through partnerships aimed at exploiting their proprietary plant genetics for cannabinoid production. The company's revenue model is also supported by its ongoing R&D efforts and patent portfolio, which provide opportunities for licensing and joint ventures.

22nd Century Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -30.84%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects significant progress in revenue growth and operational efficiency, supported by strategic product launches and successful capital raising. However, ongoing challenges in achieving positive gross margins and net profitability, along with share dilution, present areas of concern.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth and Margin Improvement
Net revenue was $6 million in Q1 2025, a 50% increase from $4 million in Q4 2024. Gross margin improved by 50% from the prior quarter, signaling growth and improved profitability.
Operational Efficiency
Total operating expenses for Q1 2025 were $2 million, the lowest quarterly amount since the turnaround began in late 2023.
Debt Reduction
Reduced outstanding debt to $3.9 million from debt for equity conversions and cash payments, improving the balance sheet.
Successful Capital Raise
Executed a capital raise through warrant inducement, securing $5.4 million in gross proceeds, providing cash runway for 2025.
Strategic Product Rollouts
Launched new products like Smoker Friendly Black Label and VLN branded products, with plans for wider distribution and state approvals.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Deficit
Gross margin still at a loss of $0.6 million, although improved from previous quarters, indicates ongoing challenges in profit generation.
Continued Net Loss
Net loss from continuing operations was $3.3 million for Q1 2025, highlighting ongoing financial challenges.
Significant Share Dilution
Share issuance dilution from warrant exercises, impacting existing shareholders.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, 22nd Century Group reported significant progress in its financial performance and strategic initiatives. The company achieved a 50% sequential increase in net revenue, reaching $6 million, and improved its gross margin loss by the same percentage from the previous quarter. Sales volume grew with 476,000 cartons sold, marking a 41% increase. Operating expenses were reduced to $2 million, the lowest since the company's turnaround began, leading to an improved net loss of $3.3 million and an adjusted EBITDA loss of $2.3 million. The company reduced its debt to $3.9 million and raised $5.4 million in capital with potential for an additional $3.3 million. 22nd Century remains focused on expanding its distribution, particularly for its Smoker Friendly, Pinnacle, and VLN branded products, and aims for P&L profitability by late 2025.

22nd Century Financial Statement Overview

Summary
22nd Century is facing major financial difficulties, with declining revenues, persistent losses, and high leverage. The company struggles with profitability and liquidity, relying heavily on external financing. These issues pose substantial risks to financial health and sustainability.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
The company has seen declining revenues over recent years, with a significant drop from $62.1M in 2022 to $24.4M in 2024. Gross profit margin is negative, indicating costs exceed revenues. Net profit margin is also negative due to consistent losses, including a net income of -$15.2M in 2024. These factors reflect poor performance and profitability concerns.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The debt-to-equity ratio is unfavorable, reflecting high leverage with total debt of $8.6M compared to equity of $4.0M in 2024. The equity ratio is low, indicating limited shareholder equity relative to assets. Return on equity is negative, highlighting losses. Despite some asset retention, overall financial stability is weak.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Operating cash flow remains negative at -$14.3M in 2024, showing cash outflows from operations. The free cash flow is similarly negative, indicating financial struggles. High financing cash flow suggests reliance on external financing, while negative free cash flow growth shows no improvement in liquidity.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
11.88M32.20M62.11M30.95M28.11M
Gross Profit
-2.40M-8.70M1.17M2.07M1.44M
EBIT
-13.95M-44.93M-57.11M-28.33M-19.01M
EBITDA
-12.11M-40.41M-32.89M-31.00M-18.07M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-15.16M-140.78M-59.80M-32.61M-19.71M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
4.42M2.06M21.21M48.74M22.34M
Total Assets
21.67M27.50M114.65M75.95M51.69M
Total Debt
8.62M16.38M6.73M2.34M786.00K
Net Debt
4.20M14.32M3.71M1.00M-243.00K
Total Liabilities
17.66M35.91M18.68M9.88M7.58M
Stockholders Equity
4.01M-8.41M95.97M66.07M44.11M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-14.51M-60.60M-56.14M-23.91M-16.14M
Operating Cash Flow
-14.35M-54.99M-51.71M-22.84M-15.62M
Investing Cash Flow
-139.00K16.82M22.58M-27.73M16.47M
Financing Cash Flow
16.85M37.21M30.82M50.88M-304.00K

22nd Century Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.74
Price Trends
50DMA
0.98
Negative
100DMA
2.04
Negative
200DMA
11.75
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Positive
RSI
32.06
Neutral
STOCH
14.51
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XXII, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.74 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.91, below the 50-day MA of 0.98, and below the 200-day MA of 11.75, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.51 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for XXII.

22nd Century Risk Analysis

22nd Century disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. 22nd Century reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
Our securities are currently listed on the Nasdaq. If Nasdaq delists our securities from trading on its exchange, we could face significant material adverse consequences, including: Q3, 2024

22nd Century Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
UVUVV
68
Neutral
$1.50B16.026.56%5.35%7.23%-20.91%
TPTPB
68
Neutral
$1.36B33.3627.53%0.37%3.17%-2.23%
65
Neutral
$8.89B15.014.75%203.76%3.54%-2.49%
51
Neutral
$152.58M-110.47%-1.69%-106.13%
43
Neutral
$5.64M-385.90%-56.65%99.11%
40
Underperform
$6.74M-113.32%-78.81%92.54%
31
Underperform
$6.59M-70.92%-71.85%59.22%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XXII
22nd Century
0.74
-94.37
-99.22%
UVV
Universal
60.89
16.70
37.79%
TPB
Turning Point Brands
76.15
44.75
142.52%
GNLN
Greenlane Holdings
0.01
-5.76
-99.83%
KAVL
Kaival Brands Innovations Group
0.54
-1.06
-66.25%
ISPR
Ispire Technology, Inc.
2.67
-4.62
-63.37%

22nd Century Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
22nd Century Modifies Securities Purchase Agreement
Neutral
May 22, 2025

On May 22, 2025, 22nd Century Group, Inc. announced a modification to its Securities Purchase Agreement and debentures with JGB Partners and related entities, allowing for a potential reset of the Conversion Price, contingent upon stockholder approval. This move, aimed at financial restructuring, involves resetting the Conversion Price to the average of the daily VWAPs of the preceding five Nasdaq trading days, not exceeding the current $6.04, with $3.8M in Debentures outstanding. Additionally, Anthony Johnson, a Director of the Company, resigned effective July 15, 2025, with his departure unrelated to any conflicts with the company.

Legal Proceedings
22nd Century Settles Shareholder Derivative Actions
Neutral
Apr 17, 2025

On April 17, 2025, 22nd Century Group, Inc. announced a settlement agreement to resolve shareholder derivative actions related to allegations of a paid stock promotion scheme and misleading public statements. The settlement, pending court approval, includes a payment of $768,333 to plaintiffs’ attorneys and the implementation of corporate governance practices for five years. The settlement does not admit liability, and defendants deny any wrongdoing. This resolution aims to avoid further litigation costs and provides benefits to the company and its shareholders.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.