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Universal Corporation (UVV)
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Universal (UVV) AI Stock Analysis

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UVV

Universal

(NYSE:UVV)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$57.00
▲(6.84% Upside)
Universal's overall stock score reflects a mixed financial performance with stable profitability but declining revenue growth and increased leverage. The stock's attractive valuation and high dividend yield are significant positives, while technical indicators suggest potential downward pressure. The earnings call highlights both growth and operational challenges.

Universal (UVV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Universal Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUniversal Corporation (UVV) is a leading global supplier of leaf tobacco and a provider of related services. The company operates primarily in the tobacco sector, sourcing, processing, and selling tobacco to manufacturers of consumer products. In addition to its core business in tobacco, Universal is involved in the development of innovative products and solutions that support the tobacco industry, including risk-reduction products and agricultural technologies.
How the Company Makes MoneyUniversal Corporation generates revenue primarily through the sale of processed leaf tobacco to cigarette manufacturers and other tobacco product producers. The company has established long-term relationships with major tobacco companies, which provides a stable revenue stream. Its revenue model is based on the procurement, processing, and distribution of tobacco, which involves sourcing tobacco from farmers, processing it in facilities around the world, and selling it to clients in various markets. Additionally, Universal engages in value-added services, such as risk management and supply chain solutions, which further enhance its profitability. Strategic partnerships with growers and industry stakeholders also contribute to its earnings by ensuring a reliable supply of quality tobacco and enabling the company to adapt to changing market demands.

Universal Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture. While there were notable achievements in revenue growth and debt reduction, challenges such as unfavorable foreign currency impacts, higher inventory write-downs, and issues in the Ingredients Operations segment tempered the positive developments.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Consolidated revenue increased by $40 million to $1.3 billion for the first half of the fiscal year, and by $43 million to $754 million in the second quarter.
Operating Income Increase
Operating income rose by $16 million to $101 million for the first half of the fiscal year.
Tobacco Operations Performance
Revenue in the Tobacco Operations segment rose by $29 million, driven by a 3% increase in tobacco sales volumes.
Strong Demand and Shipment Execution
Customer demand in the Tobacco Operations segment remained firm, and shipments were executed earlier than the previous year.
Debt Reduction
Net debt was reduced by $52 million as of September 30 compared to the same date last year.
Negative Updates
Unfavorable Foreign Currency Impacts
Foreign currency comparisons negatively affected the Tobacco Operations segment, contributing to a $12 million decline in segment operating income.
Higher Inventory Write-downs
Both the Tobacco and Ingredients Operations segments reported higher inventory write-downs, impacting overall earnings.
Ingredients Operations Challenges
Despite an 11% increase in revenue, the Ingredients Operations segment faced lower operating income due to a less favorable product mix, higher fixed costs, and difficulties in the consumer packaged goods industry.
Tariff Uncertainty
Tariff uncertainty affected the Ingredients Operations segment, contributing to lower earnings.
Company Guidance
During the Universal Corporation's earnings call for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, several key metrics and guidance details were highlighted. The company reported a consolidated revenue increase of $40 million for the first half of the fiscal year, reaching $1.3 billion, with operating income up by $16 million to $101 million. This growth was driven by higher third-party tobacco processing volumes and increased sales in the Ingredients Operations segment. The Tobacco Operations segment saw a revenue rise of $22 million, although operating income decreased by $12 million in the second quarter due to unfavorable foreign currency comparisons and higher inventory write-downs. In the Ingredients Operations segment, revenue was up by 11%, but operating income was lower due to a less favorable product mix and higher fixed costs. The company noted a decrease in net debt by $52 million compared to the previous year and maintained approximately $340 million available under its revolving credit facility. Universal Corporation's guidance suggests that the tobacco market could shift to an oversupply position by year-end, which they are prepared to manage, while they continue to focus on capitalizing on growth opportunities within the Ingredients segment.

Universal Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Universal's financial performance is mixed. Stable profitability margins and decent returns on equity are positives, but declining revenue growth and increased leverage are concerning. The significant drop in free cash flow growth highlights potential liquidity challenges.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Universal's income statement shows mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue growth rate by 11.2%, which is concerning. However, the company maintains a stable gross profit margin of around 19% and a net profit margin of 3.5%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively healthy at 8.5% and 10.5%, respectively, indicating operational efficiency. Despite the revenue decline, profitability margins remain stable, which is a positive sign.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 0.87 in the TTM period, indicating higher leverage, which could pose a risk if not managed properly. However, the return on equity remains reasonable at 7.1%, suggesting that the company is generating decent returns on shareholders' investments. The equity ratio is stable, showing a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges, with a significant drop in free cash flow growth by nearly 50% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.20, indicating potential issues in converting income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively strong at 0.72, suggesting that the company is still able to generate cash relative to its net income despite the decline in growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.94B2.95B2.75B2.57B2.10B1.98B
Gross Profit567.33M548.88M536.10M458.29M408.93M386.00M
EBITDA309.96M301.05M288.68M248.57M222.53M195.41M
Net Income103.41M95.05M119.60M124.05M86.58M87.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.19B2.99B2.94B2.64B2.59B2.34B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments178.44M260.12M55.59M64.69M81.65M197.22M
Total Debt1.28B1.10B1.06B849.32M741.11M647.09M
Total Liabilities1.69B1.49B1.46B1.20B1.20B993.50M
Stockholders Equity1.46B1.46B1.44B1.40B1.34B1.31B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow132.41M264.37M-140.65M-65.23M-8.32M154.26M
Operating Cash Flow184.31M326.97M-74.63M-10.56M44.88M220.41M
Investing Cash Flow-48.85M-58.82M-60.00M-50.35M-142.66M-217.27M
Financing Cash Flow-59.37M-63.23M125.67M38.95M-16.76M91.39M

Universal Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price53.35
Price Trends
50DMA
53.59
Positive
100DMA
54.10
Negative
200DMA
53.97
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.16
Negative
RSI
54.17
Neutral
STOCH
53.03
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UVV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 53.35 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 52.55, below the 50-day MA of 53.59, and below the 200-day MA of 53.97, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.03 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for UVV.

Universal Risk Analysis

Universal disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Universal reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Universal Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$1.96B36.2722.54%0.29%6.71%8.16%
67
Neutral
$2.83B28.224.56%0.34%61.64%16.76%
66
Neutral
$97.41B11.077.05%-0.96%-11.42%
64
Neutral
$1.33B12.017.72%6.26%3.01%-7.14%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
62
Neutral
$238.77B27.783.52%7.72%-12.45%
52
Neutral
$118.35B30.215.97%5.36%0.48%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UVV
Universal
53.64
3.89
7.82%
MO
Altria Group
58.41
7.67
15.12%
BTI
British American Tobacco
55.76
22.90
69.68%
PM
Philip Morris
156.80
37.06
30.95%
TPB
Turning Point Brands
100.49
45.72
83.48%
RLX
RLX Technology
2.32
0.74
46.84%

Universal Corporate Events

Universal Corporation Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings
Nov 7, 2025

Universal Corporation is a global business-to-business agri-products supplier, primarily known as a leading global leaf tobacco supplier, and also provides plant-based ingredients to food and beverage markets. In its latest earnings report for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, Universal Corporation reported a rise in sales and operating revenues to $754.2 million, up from $710.8 million in the same quarter of the previous year. The company also saw an increase in net income attributable to Universal Corporation, which reached $34.2 million compared to $25.9 million in the prior year.

Executive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Universal Appoints Gregory Trojan to Board of Directors
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Universal Corporation’s Board of Directors expanded to 10 members with the appointment of Gregory A. Trojan as an independent director, effective immediately. Mr. Trojan, with extensive leadership experience in the restaurant, retail, and consumer products sectors, will join several key committees. Concurrently, Universal reported its financial results for the first half and second quarter of fiscal year 2026, highlighting a 3% revenue increase for the first half and a 6% increase for the second quarter. The Tobacco Operations segment showed strong performance despite market challenges, while the Ingredients Operations segment continued to grow, driven by new product demand and strategic investments.

The most recent analyst rating on (UVV) stock is a Hold with a $57.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Universal stock, see the UVV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 10, 2025