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Universal Corporation (UVV)
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Universal (UVV) AI Stock Analysis

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UVV

Universal

(NYSE:UVV)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$57.00
▲(6.64% Upside)
Universal Corporation's stock score is driven by strong financial performance, particularly in revenue growth and cost management. The valuation is attractive with a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, which could impact short-term performance. The earnings call provided a balanced view with both positive and negative aspects, while corporate events are seen as slightly positive.

Universal (UVV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Universal Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUniversal Corporation (UVV) is a leading global supplier of leaf tobacco and a provider of related services. The company operates primarily in the tobacco sector, sourcing, processing, and selling tobacco to manufacturers of consumer products. In addition to its core business in tobacco, Universal is involved in the development of innovative products and solutions that support the tobacco industry, including risk-reduction products and agricultural technologies.
How the Company Makes MoneyUniversal Corporation generates revenue primarily through the sale of processed leaf tobacco to cigarette manufacturers and other tobacco product producers. The company has established long-term relationships with major tobacco companies, which provides a stable revenue stream. Its revenue model is based on the procurement, processing, and distribution of tobacco, which involves sourcing tobacco from farmers, processing it in facilities around the world, and selling it to clients in various markets. Additionally, Universal engages in value-added services, such as risk management and supply chain solutions, which further enhance its profitability. Strategic partnerships with growers and industry stakeholders also contribute to its earnings by ensuring a reliable supply of quality tobacco and enabling the company to adapt to changing market demands.

Universal Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: -1.96%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive and negative outcomes. Significant improvements in operating income, net income, and strategic sustainability initiatives were balanced by slight revenue declines and challenges in the Ingredients Operations segment. While there are uncertainties around tariffs and demand, the company remains optimistic about its strategic positioning and potential opportunities.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Operating Income
Operating income increased by $17 million to $34 million for the first fiscal quarter, primarily driven by a favorable product mix in the Tobacco Operations segment.
Tobacco Operations Segment Performance
Segment operating income for Tobacco Operations increased by $21.2 million to $35.7 million, mainly due to a favorable product mix in Asia.
Net Income Improvement
Net income attributable to Universal Corporation was $8.5 million, or $0.34 per share, significantly up from $100,000, or $0.01 per share, in the same quarter of the previous year.
Debt Reduction
Net debt was reduced by $47 million compared to the same time last year, maintaining a strong balance sheet and conservative debt levels.
Sustainability Commitment
Completion of annual third-party assessment and verification of Scope 1, 2, and relevant Scope 3 emissions, contributing to the goal of net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050.
Negative Updates
Slight Revenue Decline
Sales and other operating revenues slightly declined by $3.3 million to $593.8 million, mainly due to lower sales of carryover crop tobaccos.
Ingredients Operations Segment Challenges
Operating income for the Ingredients Operations segment decreased by $1.2 million to $1.7 million, impacted by a less favorable product mix, tariff uncertainty, and higher fixed costs.
Tariff Impacts and Demand Uncertainty
Tariff uncertainty affected demand in both the Tobacco and Ingredients segments, with potential impacts on customer procurement strategies.
Company Guidance
In the Universal Corporation First Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 earnings call, the company reported a notable increase in operating income, which rose by $17 million to $34 million, despite a slight dip in revenue to $594 million. The Tobacco Operations segment saw improved performance due to a favorable product mix, even as sales volumes decreased. This was attributed to the shipment of significant volumes of tobacco in the prior fiscal year, leading to reduced carryover shipments. The Ingredients Operations segment reported increased revenues and sales volumes, although operating income declined due to a less favorable product mix and higher fixed costs from an expanded production facility. Net income for the quarter was $8.5 million, or $0.34 per share, a significant increase from $100,000, or $0.01 per share, the previous year. The company highlighted its current net debt position at $1.1 billion, which is $47 million lower than the previous year, and emphasized its strategic focus on maintaining a strong balance sheet and exploring opportunities in both tobacco and ingredients segments.

Universal Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Universal's revenue growth and stable gross margins are positive, but declining net profit margins and rising debt levels present risks. Cash flow improvement is noted, though past volatility is concerning.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Universal has shown consistent revenue growth, increasing from $1.91 billion in 2020 to $2.95 billion in 2025. Gross profit margin has remained stable, indicating strong cost management. However, net profit margin has declined due to fluctuations in net income, suggesting potential operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is manageable, with equity growing alongside debt, maintaining a balanced capital structure. The equity ratio indicates a solid base of stockholders' equity relative to assets. However, the steady increase in total debt warrants monitoring to prevent potential leverage risks.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow management shows mixed results, with operating cash flow recovering to positive in 2025 after negative figures in 2024 and 2023. Free cash flow has improved significantly, indicating better cash management, although past volatility highlights potential risks in cash flow stability.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.95B2.75B2.57B2.10B1.98B
Gross Profit548.88M536.10M458.29M408.93M386.00M
EBITDA301.05M288.68M250.07M214.69M188.42M
Net Income95.05M119.60M124.05M86.58M87.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.99B2.94B2.64B2.59B2.34B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments260.12M55.59M64.69M81.65M197.22M
Total Debt1.10B1.06B849.32M741.11M647.09M
Total Liabilities1.49B1.46B1.20B1.20B993.50M
Stockholders Equity1.46B1.44B1.40B1.34B1.31B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow264.37M-140.65M-65.23M-8.32M154.26M
Operating Cash Flow326.97M-74.63M-10.56M44.88M220.41M
Investing Cash Flow-58.82M-60.00M-50.35M-142.66M-217.27M
Financing Cash Flow-63.23M125.67M38.95M-16.76M91.39M

Universal Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price53.45
Price Trends
50DMA
56.32
Negative
100DMA
55.97
Negative
200DMA
53.89
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.83
Negative
RSI
44.40
Neutral
STOCH
69.38
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UVV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 53.45 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 54.05, below the 50-day MA of 56.32, and below the 200-day MA of 53.89, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.83 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.38 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for UVV.

Universal Risk Analysis

Universal disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Universal reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Universal Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$2.60B29.384.07%0.38%75.72%-6.45%
71
Outperform
$110.12B12.67-503.31%6.20%-0.18%-10.69%
70
Neutral
$1.78B41.2126.05%0.29%4.44%-5.94%
69
Neutral
$257.26B31.36-37142.11%3.25%7.44%-6.72%
69
Neutral
$1.33B12.997.20%6.08%4.11%-15.50%
68
Neutral
¥221.32B22.438.23%2.16%4.86%-0.08%
62
Neutral
$125.52B31.785.97%5.22%0.48%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UVV
Universal
53.45
3.37
6.73%
MO
Altria Group
65.82
18.15
38.07%
BTI
British American Tobacco
57.15
23.62
70.44%
PM
Philip Morris
166.19
52.21
45.81%
TPB
Turning Point Brands
98.58
58.92
148.56%
RLX
RLX Technology
2.13
0.46
27.54%

Universal Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Universal Corporation Holds 2025 Annual Shareholders Meeting
Neutral
Aug 6, 2025

At the 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders held on August 5, 2025, Universal Corporation’s shareholders elected directors for three-year terms, approved executive compensation, and ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the accounting firm for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026. Additionally, Thomas H. Johnson was appointed as Lead Independent Director. The company reported a revenue of $594 million for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, with an operating income increase driven by a favorable product mix in its Tobacco Operations segment. Despite a slight revenue decrease, the company saw improved performance in its ingredients segment, focusing on growing this area and optimizing its tobacco business.

Executive/Board Changes
Universal Announces CFO Retirement and Succession Plan
Neutral
Jul 11, 2025

On July 9, 2025, Universal Corporation announced the upcoming retirement of Johan C. Kroner, the Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective July 1, 2026. The company has initiated a search for his successor with the help of a global executive search firm. Mr. Kroner will remain in his role until a new CFO is appointed and will continue as a Senior Vice President until his retirement. In recognition of his commitment to a smooth transition, he was granted a special award of 11,025 restricted stock units, valued at approximately $600,000, which will vest upon his retirement. This transition is expected to ensure continuity in Universal’s financial leadership and maintain its strong position in the agriproducts industry.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Universal Expands Board with New Independent Director
Positive
May 23, 2025

On May 20, 2025, Universal Corporation’s Board of Directors expanded to 10 members and appointed Fay Manolios as a new independent director, effective June 1, 2025. Ms. Manolios, with over 25 years of experience in strategy development and human resources, will serve on several committees, bringing valuable insights to the company. Concurrently, Michael T. Lawton announced his retirement from the Board after nine years of service, with his term ending at the 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders. The changes are expected to enhance Universal’s strategic initiatives and maintain its commitment to high standards benefiting all stakeholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 11, 2025