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Universal Corporation (UVV)
NYSE:UVV

Universal (UVV) AI Stock Analysis

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UVV

Universal

(NYSE:UVV)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$61.00
▲(12.42% Upside)
UVV scores well primarily on steady financial stability and favorable valuation (moderate P/E with a high dividend yield), supported by constructive technical momentum. The score is moderated by profitability/cash-conversion constraints and mixed near-term operating commentary (FX impacts, inventory write-downs, and potential tobacco oversupply), plus uncertainty from the disrupted CFO succession.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, enhancing long-term business stability.
Debt Reduction
Reducing debt improves financial flexibility and reduces interest expenses, supporting sustainable growth and investment capacity.
Board Appointment
New leadership can bring fresh perspectives and strategic insights, potentially enhancing governance and long-term strategic direction.
Negative Factors
Unfavorable Foreign Currency Impacts
Currency fluctuations can erode profitability and create uncertainty, impacting long-term financial performance and planning.
Higher Inventory Write-downs
Inventory write-downs indicate potential overproduction or demand forecasting issues, affecting profitability and operational efficiency.
Ingredients Operations Challenges
Challenges in product mix and cost management can hinder segment profitability, affecting overall company margins and growth potential.

Universal (UVV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Universal Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUniversal Corporation processes and supplies leaf tobacco and plant-based ingredients worldwide. The company operates through two segments, Tobacco Operations and Ingredients Operations. It is involved in the procuring, financing, processing, packing, storing, and shipping leaf tobacco for sale to manufacturers of consumer tobacco products. The company contracts, purchases, processes, and sells flue-cured, burley, and oriental tobaccos that are primarily used in the manufacture of cigarettes; and dark air-cured tobaccos principally used in the manufacture of cigars, natural wrapped cigars and cigarillos, smokeless, and pipe tobacco products. It also provides value-added services, including blending, chemical, and physical testing of tobacco; service cutting for various manufacturers; manufacturing reconstituted leaf tobacco; just-in-time inventory management services; electronic nicotine delivery systems; and smoke testing services for customers. In addition, the company offers testing services for crop protection agents and tobacco constituents in seed, leaf, and finished products, including e-cigarette liquids and vapors; and analytical services that include chemical compound testing in finished tobacco products and mainstream smoke. Further, it provides a various value-added manufacturing processes to produce specialty vegetable and fruit-based ingredients, as well as botanical extracts and flavorings for human and pet food markets; and recycles waste materials from tobacco production. The company was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyUniversal Corporation generates revenue primarily through the sale of tobacco leaf, which is its core product. The company sources tobacco from various regions, processes it, and then sells it to major tobacco manufacturers around the world. Key revenue streams include the sale of processed tobacco, as well as contract farming services that allow them to cultivate and manage tobacco crops for clients. Additionally, Universal benefits from long-term relationships with large tobacco companies, which provide a stable demand for their products. The company also engages in risk management and commodity trading related to tobacco, which can contribute to its earnings. Overall, its diverse operations within the tobacco supply chain help mitigate risks and enhance profitability.

Universal Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture. While there were notable achievements in revenue growth and debt reduction, challenges such as unfavorable foreign currency impacts, higher inventory write-downs, and issues in the Ingredients Operations segment tempered the positive developments.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Consolidated revenue increased by $40 million to $1.3 billion for the first half of the fiscal year, and by $43 million to $754 million in the second quarter.
Operating Income Increase
Operating income rose by $16 million to $101 million for the first half of the fiscal year.
Tobacco Operations Performance
Revenue in the Tobacco Operations segment rose by $29 million, driven by a 3% increase in tobacco sales volumes.
Strong Demand and Shipment Execution
Customer demand in the Tobacco Operations segment remained firm, and shipments were executed earlier than the previous year.
Debt Reduction
Net debt was reduced by $52 million as of September 30 compared to the same date last year.
Negative Updates
Unfavorable Foreign Currency Impacts
Foreign currency comparisons negatively affected the Tobacco Operations segment, contributing to a $12 million decline in segment operating income.
Higher Inventory Write-downs
Both the Tobacco and Ingredients Operations segments reported higher inventory write-downs, impacting overall earnings.
Ingredients Operations Challenges
Despite an 11% increase in revenue, the Ingredients Operations segment faced lower operating income due to a less favorable product mix, higher fixed costs, and difficulties in the consumer packaged goods industry.
Tariff Uncertainty
Tariff uncertainty affected the Ingredients Operations segment, contributing to lower earnings.
Company Guidance
During the Universal Corporation's earnings call for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, several key metrics and guidance details were highlighted. The company reported a consolidated revenue increase of $40 million for the first half of the fiscal year, reaching $1.3 billion, with operating income up by $16 million to $101 million. This growth was driven by higher third-party tobacco processing volumes and increased sales in the Ingredients Operations segment. The Tobacco Operations segment saw a revenue rise of $22 million, although operating income decreased by $12 million in the second quarter due to unfavorable foreign currency comparisons and higher inventory write-downs. In the Ingredients Operations segment, revenue was up by 11%, but operating income was lower due to a less favorable product mix and higher fixed costs. The company noted a decrease in net debt by $52 million compared to the previous year and maintained approximately $340 million available under its revolving credit facility. Universal Corporation's guidance suggests that the tobacco market could shift to an oversupply position by year-end, which they are prepared to manage, while they continue to focus on capitalizing on growth opportunities within the Ingredients segment.

Universal Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are stable: modest TTM revenue growth (1.48%) and solid gross margin (18.80%), supported by balanced leverage (debt-to-equity 0.81, equity ratio 47.89%). The score is held back by low net margin (3.74%) and weaker operating cash conversion (operating cash flow to net income ratio 0.24) despite improved free cash flow (TTM +18.67%).
Income Statement
75
Positive
Universal has demonstrated consistent revenue growth with a TTM revenue increase of 1.48% and a solid gross profit margin of 18.80%. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 3.74%, indicating potential cost management issues. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable, reflecting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is moderate at 0.81, suggesting a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is reasonable at 7.65%, indicating decent profitability. The equity ratio stands at 47.89%, showing a solid equity base relative to assets.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Free cash flow has grown by 18.67% in the TTM, which is a positive sign. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.24, suggesting potential cash flow management challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.78, indicating good cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.48B2.95B2.75B2.57B2.10B1.98B
Gross Profit1.41B548.88M536.10M458.29M408.93M386.00M
EBITDA779.50M301.05M288.68M248.57M222.53M195.41M
Net Income291.62M95.05M119.60M124.05M86.58M87.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.07B2.99B2.94B2.64B2.59B2.34B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments88.65M260.12M55.59M64.69M81.65M197.22M
Total Debt1.19B1.10B1.06B849.32M741.11M647.09M
Total Liabilities1.57B1.49B1.46B1.20B1.20B993.50M
Stockholders Equity1.47B1.46B1.44B1.40B1.34B1.31B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow361.65M264.37M-140.65M-65.23M-8.32M154.26M
Operating Cash Flow469.55M326.97M-74.63M-10.56M44.88M220.41M
Investing Cash Flow-99.92M-58.82M-60.00M-50.35M-142.66M-217.27M
Financing Cash Flow-532.03M-63.23M125.67M38.95M-16.76M91.39M

Universal Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price54.26
Price Trends
50DMA
53.38
Positive
100DMA
52.99
Positive
200DMA
53.88
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.13
Negative
RSI
76.61
Negative
STOCH
95.04
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UVV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 54.26 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 54.97, above the 50-day MA of 53.38, and above the 200-day MA of 53.88, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 76.61 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.04 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for UVV.

Universal Risk Analysis

Universal disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Universal reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Universal Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$2.74B25.954.71%0.35%51.49%21.43%
72
Outperform
$1.44B13.037.72%6.15%3.01%-7.14%
69
Neutral
$280.10B32.593.59%7.72%-12.45%
69
Neutral
$2.39B44.0422.54%0.28%6.71%8.16%
66
Neutral
$104.46B15.127.02%-0.96%-11.42%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
59
Neutral
$131.81B33.765.97%5.22%0.48%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UVV
Universal
58.27
8.93
18.10%
MO
Altria Group
64.16
15.10
30.78%
BTI
British American Tobacco
61.87
23.29
60.36%
PM
Philip Morris
177.00
50.49
39.91%
TPB
Turning Point Brands
126.67
65.14
105.87%
RLX
RLX Technology
2.33
0.19
8.93%

Universal Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Universal CFO succession plan shifts after withdrawn hire
Negative
Jan 29, 2026

On January 20, 2026, Universal Corporation’s board elected Anubhav Mittal as Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, with the appointment set to be effective February 17, 2026, but the company withdrew its offer of employment on January 28, 2026. As a result, Johan C. Kroner will remain in the Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer role while the company, having recently conducted an executive search, expects to elect a new successor in the near term, signaling continued transition in its top finance leadership.

The most recent analyst rating on (UVV) stock is a Buy with a $61.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Universal stock, see the UVV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Universal appoints new chief financial officer and leader
Positive
Jan 21, 2026

On January 21, 2026, Universal Corporation announced the appointment of Anubhav Mittal as Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective February 17, 2026, marking the conclusion of its previously disclosed CFO search and setting up a planned leadership transition as current CFO Johan C. Kroner steps down on that date and remains a Senior Vice President until his retirement on July 1, 2026. Mittal, a seasoned finance and strategy executive with 20 years of experience at Archer Daniels Midland, Kellogg, Unilever, and Booz & Company, will receive a compensation package that includes a $650,000 base salary, a $500,000 annual target bonus, long-term equity incentives, a one-time restricted stock unit grant of approximately $2 million, and a $600,000 signing bonus subject to clawback, underscoring Universal’s intent to strengthen its global finance leadership and support its growth and portfolio strategies across its tobacco and agriproducts businesses.

The most recent analyst rating on (UVV) stock is a Hold with a $55.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Universal stock, see the UVV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Universal Secures New Credit Agreement with Banks
Positive
Dec 9, 2025

On December 9, 2025, Universal Corporation entered into a new unsecured Credit Agreement with several banks, including JPMorgan Chase Bank and Truist Bank, to secure a five-year term loan A-1 facility of $275 million, a seven-year term loan A-2 facility of $345 million, and a five-year revolving loan facility of $780 million. This agreement, which replaces the company’s previous credit agreement, is intended to support general corporate purposes such as acquisitions, investments, and working capital. The Credit Agreement includes various financial covenants and conditions, such as maintaining a maximum total net leverage ratio and a minimum consolidated tangible net worth, and allows for prepayment without penalties. The termination of the existing credit agreement was completed on December 9, 2025, using the new Credit Agreement to repay all outstanding debts.

The most recent analyst rating on (UVV) stock is a Hold with a $58.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Universal stock, see the UVV Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Universal Appoints Gregory Trojan to Board of Directors
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Universal Corporation’s Board of Directors expanded to 10 members with the appointment of Gregory A. Trojan as an independent director, effective immediately. Mr. Trojan, with extensive leadership experience in the restaurant, retail, and consumer products sectors, will join several key committees. Concurrently, Universal reported its financial results for the first half and second quarter of fiscal year 2026, highlighting a 3% revenue increase for the first half and a 6% increase for the second quarter. The Tobacco Operations segment showed strong performance despite market challenges, while the Ingredients Operations segment continued to grow, driven by new product demand and strategic investments.

The most recent analyst rating on (UVV) stock is a Hold with a $57.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Universal stock, see the UVV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 30, 2026