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Universal Corporation (UVV)
NYSE:UVV
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Universal (UVV) AI Stock Analysis

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UVV

Universal

(NYSE:UVV)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$52.00
â–¼(-4.17% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/29/26
UVV scores in the low-to-mid range primarily due to uneven cash generation and a weaker recent earnings backdrop highlighted on the latest call (losses, write-downs, and impairment) alongside limited quantitative forward guidance. Technicals also remain soft with the stock below key moving averages. The high dividend yield and manageable leverage provide partial support, but the elevated P/E and earnings pressure temper the overall rating.
Positive Factors
Tobacco segment scale & resilience
Universal's core tobacco operations generate consistent top-line scale and operating earnings across geographies. The company's integrated sourcing, processing and logistics create durable supply-chain advantage and pricing/quality leverage with major manufacturers, underpinning stable cash generation through market cycles.
Negative Factors
Inventory write‑downs
Large and rising inventory write‑downs indicate structural mismatches between procurement and demand or quality issues in specific leaf styles. Recurring write‑downs compress margins, increase earnings volatility, and signal the need for better commercial alignment or pricing discipline to prevent future erosion of operating profitability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Tobacco segment scale & resilience
Universal's core tobacco operations generate consistent top-line scale and operating earnings across geographies. The company's integrated sourcing, processing and logistics create durable supply-chain advantage and pricing/quality leverage with major manufacturers, underpinning stable cash generation through market cycles.
Read all positive factors

Universal Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Income by Segment
Operating Income by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Universal (UVV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Universal Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Universal Corporation processes and supplies leaf tobacco and plant-based ingredients worldwide. The company operates through two segments, Tobacco Operations and Ingredients Operations. It is involved in the procuring, financing, processing, pack...
How the Company Makes Money
Universal makes money primarily by selling processed leaf tobacco and providing related supply-chain services to tobacco product manufacturers. In its Tobacco Operations segment, Universal contracts with or purchases from growers, then performs se...

Universal Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 28, 2026
(Q4-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call was mixed: operational resilience in core tobacco and progress in the ingredients platform (including full-year ingredients revenue growth, strong liquidity, sustainability recognition, and continued dividend commitment) was offset by material one-time and operating challenges—most notably a $41 million goodwill impairment at Shanks, $43 million of tobacco inventory write-downs, and a Q4 operating and net loss. Management outlined corrective actions (leadership realignment at Shanks, focus on commercial execution and financial discipline) and expressed confidence in positioning for fiscal 2027.
Positive Updates
Q4 Consolidated Revenue Growth
Consolidated revenue for Q4 was $715 million, up 2% year-over-year, demonstrating near-term top-line resilience despite a challenging prior-year comparison; full-year consolidated revenue was $2.9 billion (slightly down vs. an exceptional prior year).
Negative Updates
Q4 Operating Loss and Swing to Net Loss
Operating loss for Q4 was $15 million versus operating income of $43 million in the same quarter last year (a swing of $58 million). Net loss attributable to Universal for Q4 was $43 million versus net income of $9 million in the year-ago quarter. Full-year net income fell to $33 million from $95 million in FY25 (down $62 million, ~65%).
Read all updates
Q4-2026 Updates
Negative
Q4 Consolidated Revenue Growth
Consolidated revenue for Q4 was $715 million, up 2% year-over-year, demonstrating near-term top-line resilience despite a challenging prior-year comparison; full-year consolidated revenue was $2.9 billion (slightly down vs. an exceptional prior year).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management offered primarily qualitative FY27 guidance but did provide several specific metrics and targets: they expect uncommitted inventory to be within 10–20% during FY27 (it was ~27% as of 3/31/26) and will focus on maximizing/optimizing tobacco and growing ingredients while improving Shanks execution after a $41M non‑cash goodwill impairment; no formal revenue or EPS guidance was given, but they reiterated FY26 results for context — consolidated Q4 revenue $715M (+2% YoY) and FY revenue $2.9B (slight decline), Q4 operating loss $15M (vs. operating income $43M a year ago) and FY operating income $169M (down $64M), Q4 net loss attributable $43M (vs. net income $9M) and FY net income $33M (vs. $95M); tobacco segment Q4 revenue $632M (+3%) and FY revenue $2.6B with segment operating income Q4 $27M (vs. $46M) and FY $212M (vs. $240M), and tobacco inventory write‑downs of $43M in FY26 (vs. $19M in FY25; 5‑yr avg $14M); ingredients segment Q4 revenue $83M (vs. $90M) and FY revenue $348M (+3%) with segment operating income Q4 $2M (vs. $4M) and FY $3M (vs. $12M); balance sheet items cited include net debt $845M as of 3/31/26 (vs. $817M a year earlier) and total liquidity >$1.2B, and they reiterated their capital allocation priorities and the 56th consecutive annual dividend increase (reported payout >100% this year; 5‑yr adjusted payout <75%); a more detailed update was promised on the FY27 Q1 call.

Universal Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Moderate fundamentals: Income statement trends show steady revenue through 2025 but modest net margins and a decline in net income in the latest reported year; 2026 income-statement revenue appears missing/invalid (zeros), reducing confidence. Balance sheet leverage is manageable, though debt rose into 2025/26. Cash flow is the main drag due to volatility, including negative free cash flow in 2023–2024 despite improvement and positive FCF in 2025 and 2026.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.002.95B2.75B2.57B2.10B
Gross Profit0.00548.88M536.10M458.29M408.93M
EBITDA168.45M301.05M288.68M248.57M222.53M
Net Income32.64M95.05M119.60M124.05M86.58M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets0.002.99B2.94B2.64B2.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.00260.12M55.59M64.69M81.65M
Total Debt939.82M1.10B1.06B849.32M741.11M
Total Liabilities1.31B1.49B1.46B1.20B1.20B
Stockholders Equity1.42B1.46B1.44B1.40B1.34B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow80.27M264.37M-140.65M-65.23M-8.32M
Operating Cash Flow129.10M326.97M-74.63M-10.56M44.88M
Investing Cash Flow-42.96M-58.82M-60.00M-50.35M-142.66M
Financing Cash Flow-284.34M-63.23M125.67M38.95M-16.76M

Universal Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price54.26
Price Trends
50DMA
52.79
Negative
100DMA
53.03
Negative
200DMA
52.44
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Positive
RSI
40.07
Neutral
STOCH
53.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UVV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 54.26 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 53.88, above the 50-day MA of 52.79, and above the 200-day MA of 52.44, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for UVV.

Universal Risk Analysis

Universal disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Universal reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Universal Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$276.46B24.98-105.29%3.59%8.48%45.92%
72
Outperform
$2.51B17.566.14%0.35%66.52%56.14%
71
Outperform
$116.19B14.46-255.35%7.02%0.75%-19.96%
69
Neutral
$133.52B12.9116.33%5.22%2.16%171.90%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
62
Neutral
$1.64B29.4417.29%0.28%16.10%26.07%
53
Neutral
$1.29B39.782.24%6.15%-0.77%-65.72%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UVV
Universal
51.87
-9.60
-15.62%
MO
Altria Group
69.58
12.93
22.84%
BTI
British American Tobacco
61.79
19.02
44.46%
PM
Philip Morris
177.38
0.88
0.50%
TPB
Turning Point Brands
84.93
9.72
12.93%
RLX
RLX Technology
2.06
0.08
4.20%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 29, 2026