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Xos, Inc. (XOS)
:XOS

Xos (XOS) AI Stock Analysis

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XO

Xos

(NASDAQ:XOS)

Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▼(-0.66%Downside)
Xos faces a challenging environment with ongoing operational losses, negative cash flow, and bearish technical indicators. While there are positive steps towards growth and innovation, profitability and cash flow remain pressing concerns.

Xos (XOS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Xos Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionXos, Inc. (XOS) is a technology company specializing in the development and manufacturing of fully electric commercial vehicles, primarily for the medium- and heavy-duty transportation sectors. The company's core products include electric trucks, powertrains, and fleet management software designed to offer sustainable and cost-effective solutions for companies seeking to reduce their carbon footprint and operating expenses.
How the Company Makes MoneyXos makes money primarily through the sale and leasing of electric commercial vehicles, including trucks and associated components such as powertrains. The company also generates revenue from offering fleet management software solutions that help clients optimize vehicle performance and efficiency. Additionally, Xos may engage in strategic partnerships with logistics and fleet companies to expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings. Revenue is further supported by maintenance services, parts replacement, and potential government incentives for adopting green technologies.

Xos Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 14, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -19.89%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted Xos' proactive steps in launching the MDXT and maintaining positive gross margins despite a decline in revenue and ongoing tariff challenges. The company remains committed to growth and improving liquidity, though cash flow and shipment issues are areas of concern.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Launch of MDXT Medium Duty Chassis Cab
Xos launched the MDXT, a new medium-duty chassis cab, leveraging technology from over 1,000 stepvans. The response at the ACT Expo was overwhelmingly positive. The market for medium-duty chassis cabs in the U.S. is up to 100,000 units per year, and Xos is targeting a production ramp by Q3 of 2026.
Positive Non-GAAP Gross Margin Performance
Xos recorded its seventh consecutive quarter of positive non-GAAP gross margin, with a profit of approximately $900,000 or 15%.
Commitment to Growth, Liquidity, and Margins
Xos is focused on growing sales, managing cash with discipline, and improving margins despite tariff impacts. This includes maintaining a robust sales pipeline and adapting to supply chain challenges.
Orders and Interest for Mobile Charging Solutions
The charge hub product is generating interest beyond existing truck customers, with orders from utilities, transit authorities, and autonomous car fleets.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Revenue for Q1 2025 was $5.9 million, down from $11.5 million in Q4 2024 and $13.2 million in Q1 2024, attributed to the recognition rules delaying revenue from 31 shipped units.
Ongoing Tariff and Supply Chain Challenges
Xos faces tariff-related cost increases ranging from 10% to 30% on some products, affecting cost of goods sold.
Decreased Unit Deliveries and Operating Loss
Unit deliveries decreased to 29 in Q1 2025 from 51 in Q4 2024. Operating loss for Q1 2025 was $9.3 million, though this was an improvement from the previous quarter.
Cash Flow and Liquidity Concerns
Xos ended Q1 2025 with $4.8 million in cash and cash equivalents, with a negative free cash flow of $4.8 million, impacted by inventory purchases for upcoming deliveries.
Company Guidance
During the Xos Inc. First Quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reaffirmed its full-year guidance, projecting revenue between $50.2 million and $65.8 million and unit deliveries ranging from 320 to 420. The focus for Xos this year includes growing sales, managing liquidity with discipline, and maintaining strong margins despite challenges such as new tariffs and supply chain disruptions. In Q1 2025, Xos reported $5.9 million in revenue, delivering 29 units and shipping a total of 60 units, with some revenue to be recognized in future quarters due to GAAP rules. The company also highlighted the launch of the MDXT medium-duty chassis cab and its promising potential in the market, with a clear path to scaling production by Q3 2026. Operating expenses for Q1 2025 were $10.5 million, a decrease from previous quarters, while maintaining a positive non-GAAP gross margin for the seventh consecutive quarter. The company continues to explore ways to mitigate tariff impacts and enhance liquidity, closing the quarter with cash and cash equivalents totaling $4.8 million.

Xos Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Xos has demonstrated impressive revenue growth but is struggling with profitability. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage and a stable equity position, yet the company faces challenges with negative cash flows and operational losses.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Xos has shown significant revenue growth over recent years, with a notable increase from $4.5 million in 2023 to $55.9 million in 2024, indicating a robust growth trajectory. However, the company continues to operate at a loss, with both EBIT and EBITDA margins being negative. The net profit margin remains deeply in the red at -89.6% for 2024, reflecting ongoing challenges in achieving profitability.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
Xos's balance sheet shows a stable equity position with stockholders' equity at $33.6 million in 2024, compared to total liabilities of $64.7 million. The company has a favorable debt position with total debt at zero, but the return on equity is negative due to net losses. The equity ratio stands at 34.2%, suggesting moderate leverage.
Cash Flow
48
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals negative free cash flow, with significant operating cash outflows of -$48.8 million in 2024. The free cash flow to net income ratio is concerning as it is negative, indicating challenges in generating cash relative to accounting profits. However, investing and financing activities have provided cash inflows, partially offsetting operating cash outflows.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue48.68M55.96M44.52M36.38M5.05M2.64M
Gross Profit2.39M3.96M-1.29M-30.03M-2.36M300.00K
EBITDA-41.49M-40.73M-60.09M-107.72M-52.42M-11.58M
Net Income-49.34M-50.16M-75.84M-73.33M23.40M-18.18M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets87.68M98.33M93.68M189.94M228.71M13.77M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.76M11.00M11.64M86.28M110.84M10.36M
Total Debt0.0043.01M30.52M46.72M2.08M18.70M
Total Liabilities62.87M64.72M48.49M77.86M54.31M40.97M
Stockholders Equity24.81M33.61M45.20M112.08M174.39M-27.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-39.24M-49.10M-40.67M-142.07M-93.81M-12.74M
Operating Cash Flow-38.96M-48.80M-39.29M-127.96M-88.89M-12.34M
Investing Cash Flow-149.00K51.18M50.63M82.71M-155.14M-407.00K
Financing Cash Flow-3.41M-3.02M-38.38M64.75M252.85M23.09M

Xos Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.02
Price Trends
50DMA
3.45
Negative
100DMA
3.57
Negative
200DMA
3.82
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.11
Negative
RSI
37.49
Neutral
STOCH
14.56
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XOS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.02 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.13, below the 50-day MA of 3.45, and below the 200-day MA of 3.82, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 37.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.56 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for XOS.

Xos Risk Analysis

Xos disclosed 79 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Xos reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Xos Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
MTMTW
73
Outperform
$435.25M9.747.21%-2.75%65.38%
68
Neutral
$442.52M979.840.18%1.58%-4.08%
TWTWI
66
Neutral
$664.43M-2.65%5.64%-124.05%
65
Neutral
$10.56B15.495.57%1.96%2.71%-26.28%
WNWNC
47
Neutral
$450.52M-15.01%2.97%-25.44%-135.47%
XOXOS
45
Neutral
$25.10M-106.56%-8.13%42.18%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XOS
Xos
3.02
-3.78
-55.59%
MTW
Manitowoc Company
12.28
1.37
12.56%
SHYF
Shyft Group
12.64
1.68
15.33%
TWI
Titan International
10.43
3.14
43.07%
WNC
Wabash National
10.76
-10.33
-48.98%

Xos Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Xos Fleet Updates Executive Employment Agreements
Neutral
Jun 27, 2025

On June 26, 2025, Xos Fleet, Inc., a subsidiary of Xos, Inc., entered into new Executive Employment Agreements with its CEO Dakota Semler and COO Giordano Sordoni, replacing previous agreements from 2016. These agreements maintain similar employment terms but include specific severance benefits in case of termination without cause or other defined circumstances. Additionally, Xos, Inc. held its 2025 annual stockholders meeting on June 24, 2025, where stockholders elected two directors, ratified the appointment of Grant Thornton LLP as auditors, and approved an amendment to increase shares under the 2021 Equity Incentive Plan.

The most recent analyst rating on (XOS) stock is a Buy with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xos stock, see the XOS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 05, 2025