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Gencor (GENC)
XASE:GENC
US Market

Gencor (GENC) AI Stock Analysis

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GENC

Gencor

(NYSE MKT:GENC)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$17.00
▲(25.93% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:02/07/26
GENC scores in the low-70s primarily due to strong solvency and solid profitability, tempered by weak recent cash-flow conversion and negative free cash flow. Technicals are supportive with price above key moving averages and positive momentum, while valuation appears reasonable based on a mid-teens P/E.
Positive Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
An exceptionally conservative balance sheet with negligible debt provides durable financial flexibility. Low leverage reduces solvency risk, supports capital allocation through downturns, and preserves the ability to fund growth or absorb cyclical revenue swings without refinancing stress.
Healthy Profitability & Margins
Sustained mid-single-digit to double-digit margins indicate structurally profitable operations in core equipment and aftermarket sales. Consistent margins support internal cash generation (when realized) and imply competitive pricing power and cost control in manufacturing and service businesses.
Backlog and Aftermarket Strength
A sizable backlog plus robust aftermarket activity underpin forward revenue visibility and recurring, higher-margin service parts income. The installed base and ongoing retrofit demand create durable revenue streams less tied to new-capex cycles, improving long-term revenue stability.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash Conversion
Reported earnings are not converting to cash in the latest TTM, implying working-capital swings or timing mismatches. Persistent weak OCF and negative free cash flow constrain reinvestment, dividends, and M&A ability and raise earnings quality concerns over multiple quarters.
Revenue Decline / Volatility
Recent multi-year uneven top-line performance and a TTM revenue decline point to demand variability in core markets. For a capital-equipment maker, inconsistent order patterns increase forecasting difficulty, margin pressure risk, and can depress utilization of manufacturing capacity over time.
End-market Cyclicality / Gov't Sensitivity
Exposure to public infrastructure spending and customer capex cycles makes revenue timing vulnerable to policy and funding shifts. Sensitivity to government actions and customer confidence can produce lumpy orders and elongate sales cycles, undermining steady long-term growth.

Gencor (GENC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Gencor Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGencor Industries, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells heavy machinery used in the production of highway construction materials and environmental control equipment. The company offers hot-mix asphalt plants to produce asphalt paving materials; related asphalt plant equipment, including hot-mix storage silos, fabric filtration systems, cold feed bins, and other plant components; and a range of mobile batch plants. It also provides combustion systems that transform solid, liquid, or gaseous fuels into usable energy, or burn multiple fuels in asphalt and aggregate drying industries; and combustion systems for rotary dryers, kilns, fume and liquid incinerators, and fuel heaters, as well as industrial incinerators. In addition, the company offers thermal fluid heat transfer systems that transfer heat for storage, heating, and pumping viscous materials, such as asphalt, chemicals, heavy oils, etc. in various industrial and petrochemical applications; specialty storage tanks for various industrial uses; and asphalt pavers under the Blaw-Knox brand. Gencor Industries, Inc. sells its products primarily to the highway construction industry through its sales representatives, and independent dealers and agents worldwide. The company was formerly known as Mechtron International Corporation and changed its name to Gencor Industries, Inc. in 1987. Gencor Industries, Inc. was founded in 1894 and is based in Orlando, Florida.
How the Company Makes Money

Gencor Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and an exceptionally conservative balance sheet (minimal debt) support a solid score. The primary drag is weak cash conversion in the latest TTM period (very low operating cash flow and negative free cash flow despite healthy net income), alongside a recent revenue decline that adds volatility risk.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Profitability is solid and has improved meaningfully versus the weak 2022 year: net profit was positive in each of 2023–2025 and margins remain healthy (TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) net margin ~11% and EBIT margin ~10%). However, growth is uneven—TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue declined (~-6.8%) after modest growth in 2025 and stronger growth in 2024, suggesting demand volatility. Margins also softened in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) versus the most recent annual period, indicating some pressure on pricing or costs.
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
The balance sheet is exceptionally conservative: total debt is minimal relative to equity (debt-to-equity ~0.1%–0.2% across periods), providing strong financial flexibility and low solvency risk. Equity has grown over time, and returns on equity are consistently mid-to-high single digits in recent years (~7%+), indicating respectable profitability without leverage. The main limitation is that returns are good but not outstanding, partly reflecting the low use of debt.
Cash Flow
38
Negative
Cash generation has become volatile and is the key weak spot. In the latest TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), operating cash flow is very low (~$0.3M) versus net income (~$15.3M), and free cash flow is negative (~-$2.3M), implying that reported earnings are not currently converting into cash. This contrasts with stronger cash performance in 2023–2024 (positive operating cash flow and free cash flow), indicating potential working-capital swings or lumpier cash timing that increases near-term quality-of-earnings risk.
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Mar 2025Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue107.60M115.44M113.17M105.08M103.48M85.28M
Gross Profit29.80M31.71M31.33M29.04M20.54M18.18M
EBITDA14.77M16.37M16.29M16.26M6.99M3.29M
Net Income15.29M15.66M14.56M14.67M-372.00K5.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets228.91M222.60M208.12M195.75M179.31M179.46M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments147.73M136.30M115.41M101.28M98.88M118.21M
Total Debt248.00K339.00K330.00K328.00K396.00K785.00K
Total Liabilities13.67M10.79M11.98M14.34M12.40M12.17M
Stockholders Equity215.24M211.80M196.14M181.58M166.92M167.29M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.31M1.10M8.45M7.45M-13.65M1.16M
Operating Cash Flow306.00K3.07M9.29M10.20M-9.13M3.82M
Investing Cash Flow-2.62M-1.96M-840.00K-2.75M-4.52M-16.44M
Financing Cash Flow0.000.000.000.00-6.00264.00K

Gencor Risk Analysis

Gencor disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gencor reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Gencor Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$221.92M14.467.68%
66
Neutral
$1.32B27.637.37%1.14%6.66%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
60
Neutral
$506.53M73.398.82%-0.83%
58
Neutral
$552.37M93.120.44%1.59%-2.36%-73.77%
58
Neutral
$469.99M2.2984.07%3.59%-22.95%
51
Neutral
$12.35M11.7015.99%-4.37%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GENC
Gencor
15.17
2.49
19.64%
ARTW
Art's-Way Manufacturing Co
2.36
0.64
37.21%
ASTE
Astec
57.90
27.88
92.87%
CMCO
Columbus Mckinnon
18.54
0.37
2.04%
MTW
Manitowoc Company
14.35
3.72
35.00%
WNC
Wabash National
10.84
0.16
1.46%

Gencor Corporate Events

Regulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Gencor Sets 2026 Annual Meeting and Governance Deadlines
Neutral
Jan 23, 2026

Gencor Industries has scheduled its Annual Meeting of Stockholders for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2025 to be held on April 3, 2026, with the exact time and location to be detailed in its forthcoming definitive proxy statement filed with the SEC. Because the 2026 meeting date falls more than 30 days later than the prior year’s meeting, the company has reset key governance timelines, establishing February 26, 2026 as the record date for voting eligibility and February 2, 2026 as the new deadline for shareholders to submit proposals or director nominations, which must comply with SEC rules and the company’s Amended and Restated By-Laws or risk exclusion from proxy materials.

The most recent analyst rating on (GENC) stock is a Buy with a $15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gencor stock, see the GENC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Gencor Announces Executive Chairman EJ Elliott’s Retirement Transition
Neutral
Dec 23, 2025

On December 23, 2025, Gencor Industries, Inc. announced that its founder and long-time leader EJ Elliott will retire as Executive Chairman of the Board effective December 31, 2025, marking the end of a tenure that began with the company’s founding in 1968 and included service as Chief Executive Officer from 1968 to 2016. In a planned leadership transition that maintains family and management continuity, the Board has appointed current President and director Marc Elliott, who has served on the Board since 2007, to become Chairman effective January 1, 2026, a move that signals stability for stakeholders as the company navigates its position in the heavy machinery and highway construction equipment market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 07, 2026