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Xplr Infrastructure, Lp (XIFR)
:XIFR
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XPLR Infrastructure (XIFR) AI Stock Analysis

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XIFR

XPLR Infrastructure

(NYSE:XIFR)

Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$10.00
▼(-2.34% Downside)
XPLR Infrastructure's overall stock score reflects a mix of strengths and challenges. The company's strong cash flow and strategic repositioning are positive, but profitability issues and significant debt financing requirements pose risks. The high dividend yield and recent loan acquisitions provide some upside potential.
Positive Factors
Asset Management
There is confidence that XIFR will be able to re-contract existing assets at a premium as current PPAs expire.
Financial Performance
XIFR reported stronger than expected EBITDA and FCF driven by lower net operating expenses and improved pricing.
Strategic Initiatives
Proceeds from the sale of Meade Pipeline will be used to purchase remaining outstanding Class B membership interests and retire project-level debt.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Concerns
Investors have been cautious on cash flow sustainability due to a decline in guidance and the raising of more expensive debt.
Growth Challenges
There is a need for the company to outline how it returns to growth if a takeout is not planned, with growth plans likely including higher PPA pricing and potential pairing with battery storage.
Guidance and Projections
Investors are worried that flat or declining guidance implies portfolio degradation over time.

XPLR Infrastructure (XIFR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

XPLR Infrastructure Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionXPLR Infrastructure LP engages in the acquisition, management, and ownership of contracted clean energy projects with long-term cash flows. It owns interests in wind and solar projects in North America and natural gas infrastructure assets in Texas. The company was founded on March 6, 2014 and is headquartered in Juno Beach, FL.
How the Company Makes MoneyXPLR Infrastructure generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from project contracts in telecommunications and renewable energy sectors. The company earns money by charging clients for the construction, installation, and maintenance of infrastructure projects. Key revenue streams include long-term leasing agreements for telecommunications towers, energy sales from solar farms, and service fees for managing transportation systems. Additionally, XIFR has established strategic partnerships with telecommunications companies and government agencies, allowing for collaborative projects that enhance service delivery and expand market reach, further contributing to its earnings.

XPLR Infrastructure Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a major strategic shift for XPLR Infrastructure, emphasizing internal cash flow utilization and a move away from issuing equity. While the company highlighted its strong asset base and strategic repositioning, the indefinite suspension of distributions and anticipated EBITDA decline due to asset sales and significant debt financing posed concerns.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strategic Repositioning of Business Model
XPLR Infrastructure announced a strategic shift to utilize retained cash flow for investments rather than issuing equity, aiming to self-fund growth and preserve balance sheet strength.
New Management Team
A new management team led by Alan Liu has been established, focusing on creating additional unitholder value through strategic capital allocation and leveraging the relationship with NextEra Energy.
Strong Asset Portfolio
XPLR Infrastructure owns a diverse set of high-quality generation assets totaling 10 gigawatts, with long-term contracts averaging 13 years in duration and high-credit-quality customers.
2024 Financial Performance
XPLR reported adjusted EBITDA of approximately $1.96 billion for the full year 2024, close to the midpoint of expectations.
Negative Updates
Suspension of Distributions
XPLR suspended distributions to unitholders indefinitely, shifting focus from paying out cash flows to investing retained cash for growth.
Decline in Future EBITDA
Projected adjusted EBITDA for 2026 is expected to decline to $1.75 billion to $1.95 billion, primarily due to the anticipated sale of the Meade pipeline investment.
Significant Debt Financing
XPLR plans to raise approximately $4.4 billion in debt financing over the next two years, including $1.5 billion in new debt, to fund CEPF buyouts and repowering projects.
Impact of Meade Pipeline Sale
The expected sale of the Meade pipeline investment in late 2025 will result in a significant step down in EBITDA.
Company Guidance
During the XPLR Infrastructure Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Earnings Conference Call, significant guidance was provided regarding the company’s strategic repositioning and future financial metrics. The company announced a suspension of distributions to unitholders, opting instead to utilize its retained operating cash flow for investments such as CEPF buyouts and growth opportunities, including wind repowerings and colocated storage. The management team emphasized that the strategy aims to eliminate the need for issuing new equity while focusing on organic growth and preserving the balance sheet. Financial projections indicated that adjusted EBITDA for 2025 is expected to remain flat year-over-year, with a decline to $1.75 billion to $1.95 billion in 2026 due to anticipated asset sales. Free cash flow before growth is anticipated to range between $600 million and $700 million in 2026, and remain relatively consistent through the decade. Additionally, XPLR plans to address $4.4 billion in debt financing requirements over the next two years, including $1.5 billion in new debt, without relying on equity issuances, aligning with its repositioning strategy to maximize unitholder value.

XPLR Infrastructure Financial Statement Overview

Summary
XPLR Infrastructure is experiencing revenue growth, but profitability and financial stability are concerning due to negative earnings and high leverage. Cash flow performance is a bright spot, with strong operational cash flow and improved free cash flow, yet the reliance on debt and lack of equity present significant risks.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company has shown a revenue increase in the latest year, but profitability is a concern with negative EBIT and declining net income. The gross profit margin remains strong, yet the net profit margin has declined significantly. Revenue growth is positive, but operational inefficiencies are evident with negative EBIT and EBITDA margins.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reflects a highly leveraged position with a debt-to-equity ratio that cannot be calculated due to zero equity, indicating financial instability. Return on Equity is not meaningful due to negative or zero equity in recent years. There is a significant reliance on debt financing, which poses a risk to financial stability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The company has managed a positive turnaround in free cash flow, showing strong growth compared to the previous year. Operating cash flow remains healthy, indicating strong cash generation, though the free cash flow to net income ratio is skewed due to negative net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.24B1.23B1.08B969.00M722.00M917.00M
Gross Profit640.00M726.00M558.00M442.00M348.00M554.00M
EBITDA65.00M345.00M772.00M581.00M474.00M737.00M
Net Income-173.00M-23.00M200.00M477.00M137.00M-50.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets20.50B20.29B22.51B23.05B18.98B12.56B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments880.00M283.00M274.00M226.00M147.00M108.00M
Total Debt6.63B5.31B6.29B5.29B5.33B3.39B
Total Liabilities9.22B7.43B8.45B8.28B7.82B4.86B
Stockholders Equity11.27B12.87B3.57B3.33B2.98B2.35B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow616.00M559.00M-538.00M-575.00M564.00M331.00M
Operating Cash Flow813.00M800.00M731.00M776.00M677.00M665.00M
Investing Cash Flow660.00M1.24B-194.00M-1.19B-2.30B-681.00M
Financing Cash Flow-864.00M-2.00B-527.00M551.00M1.66B-4.00M

XPLR Infrastructure Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.24
Price Trends
50DMA
9.27
Positive
100DMA
9.00
Positive
200DMA
11.22
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.27
Negative
RSI
59.67
Neutral
STOCH
71.16
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XIFR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.74, above the 50-day MA of 9.27, and below the 200-day MA of 11.22, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.16 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for XIFR.

XPLR Infrastructure Risk Analysis

XPLR Infrastructure disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. XPLR Infrastructure reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

XPLR Infrastructure Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$66.11B30.9645.85%0.46%46.90%388.66%
75
Outperform
$2.36B3.971.56%10.60%5.77%
67
Neutral
$17.66B18.135.33%3.62%7.33%12.21%
66
Neutral
$3.70B7.9414.22%6.57%38.25%
65
Neutral
$17.31B108.159.95%125.17%-74.67%
60
Neutral
$1.91B-4.75%3.01%-153.91%
58
Neutral
$28.29B61.8817.66%1.17%2.09%-74.13%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XIFR
XPLR Infrastructure
10.24
-13.88
-57.55%
NRG
NRG Energy
148.12
66.77
82.08%
PAM
Pampa Energia SA
67.89
14.89
28.09%
KEN
Kenon
45.28
23.55
108.38%
VST
Vistra Energy
196.70
112.62
133.94%
TLN
Talen Energy Corp
381.50
235.14
160.66%

XPLR Infrastructure Corporate Events

M&A Transactions
XPLR Infrastructure Sells Pipeline Interests for $1.1B
Neutral
Aug 11, 2025

On August 7, 2025, XPLR Infrastructure‘s indirect subsidiaries entered into an agreement to sell their interests in Meade Pipeline Co, LLC and Redwood Meade Midstream MPC, LLC to affiliates of Ares Management LLC. The transaction, valued at approximately $1.1 billion, is expected to close by the end of the third quarter of 2025, pending antitrust approval and other customary conditions, potentially impacting XPLR’s operations and market positioning in the natural gas pipeline sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (XIFR) stock is a Hold with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on XPLR Infrastructure stock, see the XIFR Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
XPLR Infrastructure Secures Major Loan for Energy Projects
Positive
Jun 30, 2025

On June 27, 2025, Clark Portfolio Holdings, LLC, an indirect subsidiary of XPLR Infrastructure, secured a $254 million limited-recourse senior secured variable rate term loan, maturing in June 2030, with interest rate swaps to hedge against interest rate movements. Similarly, Lewis Portfolio Holdings, LLC, another subsidiary, entered into a $172 million loan facility, drawing approximately $84 million, also maturing in June 2030, and secured by renewable energy projects. Both loans are part of XPLR’s 2025-2026 financing plan, supporting its renewable energy projects with a combined net generating capacity of 830 MW.

The most recent analyst rating on (XIFR) stock is a Hold with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on XPLR Infrastructure stock, see the XIFR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025