tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
XPLR Infrastructure (XIFR)
NYSE:XIFR
US Market
Advertisement

XPLR Infrastructure (XIFR) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
1,906 Followers

Top Page

XIFR

XPLR Infrastructure

(NYSE:XIFR)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$9.00
▼(-3.74% Downside)
XIFR's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance and technical analysis. The company faces significant challenges with declining revenues and profitability, as well as bearish market momentum. Despite a high dividend yield, the negative P/E ratio reflects ongoing financial difficulties. Investors should be cautious and consider the risks associated with the current financial and market conditions.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Strong free cash flow growth enhances financial flexibility, enabling XPLR to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt effectively.
Strategic Asset Management
Repowering efforts and asset optimization reflect strategic management, positioning XPLR to capitalize on future opportunities in the power sector.
Partnerships and Market Reach
Collaborative projects with key partners expand market reach and enhance service delivery, supporting long-term revenue growth and market position.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Persistent profitability issues indicate operational inefficiencies, which could hinder sustainable growth and investor confidence over time.
Revenue Decline
A declining revenue trend suggests challenges in maintaining market share and could impact long-term financial performance if not addressed.
Negative Return on Equity
Negative ROE highlights inefficiencies in using equity capital, which may affect the company's ability to attract investment and finance growth.

XPLR Infrastructure (XIFR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

XPLR Infrastructure Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionXPLR Infrastructure LP engages in the acquisition, management, and ownership of contracted clean energy projects with long-term cash flows. It owns interests in wind and solar projects in North America and natural gas infrastructure assets in Texas. The company was founded on March 6, 2014 and is headquartered in Juno Beach, FL.
How the Company Makes MoneyXPLR Infrastructure generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from project contracts in telecommunications and renewable energy sectors. The company earns money by charging clients for the construction, installation, and maintenance of infrastructure projects. Key revenue streams include long-term leasing agreements for telecommunications towers, energy sales from solar farms, and service fees for managing transportation systems. Additionally, XIFR has established strategic partnerships with telecommunications companies and government agencies, allowing for collaborative projects that enhance service delivery and expand market reach, further contributing to its earnings.

XPLR Infrastructure Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 28, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a major strategic shift for XPLR Infrastructure, emphasizing internal cash flow utilization and a move away from issuing equity. While the company highlighted its strong asset base and strategic repositioning, the indefinite suspension of distributions and anticipated EBITDA decline due to asset sales and significant debt financing posed concerns.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strategic Repositioning of Business Model
XPLR Infrastructure announced a strategic shift to utilize retained cash flow for investments rather than issuing equity, aiming to self-fund growth and preserve balance sheet strength.
New Management Team
A new management team led by Alan Liu has been established, focusing on creating additional unitholder value through strategic capital allocation and leveraging the relationship with NextEra Energy.
Strong Asset Portfolio
XPLR Infrastructure owns a diverse set of high-quality generation assets totaling 10 gigawatts, with long-term contracts averaging 13 years in duration and high-credit-quality customers.
2024 Financial Performance
XPLR reported adjusted EBITDA of approximately $1.96 billion for the full year 2024, close to the midpoint of expectations.
Negative Updates
Suspension of Distributions
XPLR suspended distributions to unitholders indefinitely, shifting focus from paying out cash flows to investing retained cash for growth.
Decline in Future EBITDA
Projected adjusted EBITDA for 2026 is expected to decline to $1.75 billion to $1.95 billion, primarily due to the anticipated sale of the Meade pipeline investment.
Significant Debt Financing
XPLR plans to raise approximately $4.4 billion in debt financing over the next two years, including $1.5 billion in new debt, to fund CEPF buyouts and repowering projects.
Impact of Meade Pipeline Sale
The expected sale of the Meade pipeline investment in late 2025 will result in a significant step down in EBITDA.
Company Guidance
During the XPLR Infrastructure Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Earnings Conference Call, significant guidance was provided regarding the company’s strategic repositioning and future financial metrics. The company announced a suspension of distributions to unitholders, opting instead to utilize its retained operating cash flow for investments such as CEPF buyouts and growth opportunities, including wind repowerings and colocated storage. The management team emphasized that the strategy aims to eliminate the need for issuing new equity while focusing on organic growth and preserving the balance sheet. Financial projections indicated that adjusted EBITDA for 2025 is expected to remain flat year-over-year, with a decline to $1.75 billion to $1.95 billion in 2026 due to anticipated asset sales. Free cash flow before growth is anticipated to range between $600 million and $700 million in 2026, and remain relatively consistent through the decade. Additionally, XPLR plans to address $4.4 billion in debt financing requirements over the next two years, including $1.5 billion in new debt, without relying on equity issuances, aligning with its repositioning strategy to maximize unitholder value.

XPLR Infrastructure Financial Statement Overview

Summary
XPLR Infrastructure faces challenges with declining revenues and profitability, as evidenced by negative net income and margins. However, the company maintains a relatively stable balance sheet with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio and positive cash flow trends. The focus should be on improving operational efficiency and revenue growth to enhance financial performance.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
XPLR Infrastructure's income statement shows significant volatility. The company experienced a sharp decline in revenue growth rate of -48.5% in the TTM period, indicating a challenging market environment. Gross profit margin remains relatively strong at 72.85%, but the net profit margin is negative at -19.33%, reflecting substantial losses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, highlighting operational inefficiencies and potential cost management issues.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.59 in the TTM period, suggesting a balanced leverage position compared to previous years. However, the return on equity is negative, indicating that the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the company's total assets and stockholders' equity suggest a stable financial structure.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
XPLR Infrastructure's cash flow statement shows a positive trend in free cash flow growth of 9.36% in the TTM period, which is a positive indicator of cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.43, suggesting that the company is generating adequate cash relative to its net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.87 further supports the company's ability to convert income into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.23B1.23B1.08B969.00M722.00M917.00M
Gross Profit611.00M726.00M558.00M442.00M348.00M554.00M
EBITDA60.00M345.00M772.00M581.00M474.00M737.00M
Net Income-170.00M-23.00M200.00M477.00M137.00M-50.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets19.13B20.29B22.51B23.05B18.98B12.56B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments774.00M328.00M274.00M226.00M147.00M108.00M
Total Debt5.86B5.34B6.29B5.29B5.33B3.39B
Total Liabilities8.15B7.43B8.45B8.28B7.82B4.86B
Stockholders Equity3.16B3.21B3.57B3.33B2.98B2.35B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow100.00M559.00M-538.00M-575.00M564.00M331.00M
Operating Cash Flow836.00M800.00M731.00M776.00M677.00M665.00M
Investing Cash Flow444.00M1.24B-194.00M-1.19B-2.30B-681.00M
Financing Cash Flow-851.00M-2.00B-527.00M551.00M1.66B-4.00M

XPLR Infrastructure Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price9.35
Price Trends
50DMA
9.96
Negative
100DMA
9.84
Negative
200DMA
9.31
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.23
Negative
RSI
45.85
Neutral
STOCH
57.61
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XIFR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9.35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.40, below the 50-day MA of 9.96, and above the 200-day MA of 9.31, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for XIFR.

XPLR Infrastructure Risk Analysis

XPLR Infrastructure disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. XPLR Infrastructure reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

XPLR Infrastructure Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$3.00B6.12-6.91%8.16%5.51%
74
Outperform
$5.11B13.9310.44%6.37%7.35%
67
Neutral
$32.30B24.6364.19%1.04%6.40%62.12%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
63
Neutral
$59.90B63.1621.63%0.47%42.77%-47.64%
56
Neutral
$17.93B85.2511.72%80.20%-74.33%
49
Neutral
$1.76B-4.69%7.04%-176.92%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XIFR
XPLR Infrastructure
9.35
-8.12
-46.48%
NRG
NRG Energy
168.54
68.30
68.14%
PAM
Pampa Energia SA
88.78
3.19
3.73%
KEN
Kenon
58.84
33.10
128.59%
VST
Vistra Energy
176.80
17.87
11.24%
TLN
Talen Energy Corp
392.42
178.01
83.02%

XPLR Infrastructure Corporate Events

Xplr Infrastructure Faces Significant Business Risks in 2024: A Stakeholder’s Guide
Nov 6, 2025

Xplr Infrastructure, Lp faces significant business risks as outlined in their 2024 Form 10-K, with no material changes reported. These risks, detailed in Part I, Item 1A, could negatively impact the company’s business operations, financial health, and strategic execution. Furthermore, unforeseen risks not currently identified or considered immaterial could also pose substantial threats to Xplr’s stability and growth. Stakeholders are advised to carefully evaluate these factors when considering the company’s future prospects.

XPLR Infrastructure Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 5, 2025

XPLR Infrastructure, LP is a limited partnership focused on clean energy infrastructure, with a diverse portfolio of wind, solar, and battery storage projects across the U.S., aiming to deliver long-term value to its unitholders. In its third-quarter 2025 earnings report, XPLR Infrastructure reported a net loss of $37 million, while its adjusted EBITDA remained stable at $455 million compared to the previous year. The company also highlighted the completion of 960 megawatts of repowering projects and a reduction in planned debt issuance by $250 million. Key financial metrics included a 5% decline in free cash flow before growth to $179 million, attributed to increased interest expenses from refinancing activities. Despite these challenges, the company reaffirmed its adjusted EBITDA expectations for 2025 and 2026, projecting figures between $1.85 billion to $2.05 billion and $1.75 billion to $1.95 billion, respectively. Looking ahead, XPLR Infrastructure remains committed to its strategic goals of capital structure simplification and asset optimization, positioning itself to capitalize on growth opportunities in the U.S. power sector.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
XPLR Infrastructure Sells Pipeline Interests for $1.1B
Neutral
Sep 25, 2025

On September 22, 2025, XPLR Infrastructure, LP completed the sale of its interests in Meade Pipeline Co, LLC and Redwood Meade Midstream MPC, LLC to affiliates of Ares Management LLC for approximately $1.1 billion. This transaction, initially agreed upon on August 7, 2025, reflects XPLR’s strategic move to divest from certain natural gas pipeline assets in Pennsylvania, impacting its financial statements and potentially altering its market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (XIFR) stock is a Hold with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on XPLR Infrastructure stock, see the XIFR Stock Forecast page.

M&A Transactions
XPLR Infrastructure Sells Pipeline Interests for $1.1B
Neutral
Aug 11, 2025

On August 7, 2025, XPLR Infrastructure‘s indirect subsidiaries entered into an agreement to sell their interests in Meade Pipeline Co, LLC and Redwood Meade Midstream MPC, LLC to affiliates of Ares Management LLC. The transaction, valued at approximately $1.1 billion, is expected to close by the end of the third quarter of 2025, pending antitrust approval and other customary conditions, potentially impacting XPLR’s operations and market positioning in the natural gas pipeline sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (XIFR) stock is a Hold with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on XPLR Infrastructure stock, see the XIFR Stock Forecast page.

XPLR Infrastructure Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Aug 8, 2025

XPLR Infrastructure, LP is a limited partnership focused on clean energy infrastructure, offering stable cash flows through its diversified portfolio of wind, solar, and battery storage projects in the U.S., along with natural gas pipeline assets in Pennsylvania. In its second-quarter 2025 earnings report, XPLR Infrastructure highlighted a solid performance with a net income of $79 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $557 million. The company also announced a significant transaction, signing a definitive agreement to sell its Meade pipeline investment for approximately $1,078 million, expected to close by the end of the third quarter. Key financial metrics showed a 6% increase in free cash flow before growth, reaching $261 million, driven by lower operating expenses and improved pricing. Additionally, XPLR completed 740 megawatts of repowering projects and secured over $1 billion in project financing commitments. Looking ahead, XPLR Infrastructure maintains its financial outlook for 2025 and 2026, with expectations for adjusted EBITDA between $1.85 billion to $2.05 billion in 2025 and $1.75 billion to $1.95 billion in 2026, despite the anticipated exclusion of contributions from the Meade pipeline investment. The company plans to use the proceeds from the pipeline sale to address debt obligations and enhance its financial flexibility.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025