tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
XCel Brands (XELB)
NASDAQ:XELB
US Market

XCel Brands (XELB) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
190 Followers

Top Page

XE

XCel Brands

(NASDAQ:XELB)

Rating:39Underperform
Price Target:
$2.00
▲(5.26%Upside)
The overall stock score for XCel Brands is heavily impacted by its poor financial performance, characterized by declining revenues, persistent losses, and cash flow issues. Technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, and the valuation is weak due to a negative P/E ratio and no dividend yield. These factors collectively result in a low overall score.

XCel Brands (XELB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

XCel Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionXcel Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a media and consumer products company in the United States. The company designs, produces, markets, wholesales, and sells branded apparel, footwear, accessories, jewelry, home goods, and other consumer products; and acquires consumer lifestyle brands, including the Isaac Mizrahi, the LOGO by Lori Goldstein, the Judith Ripka, the Halston Brand, the C Wonder, and other brands, as well as manages the Longaberger brand. It licenses its brands to third parties; and designs, produces, markets, and distributes through an omni-channel retail sales strategy, which include distribution through interactive television, digital live-stream shopping, brick-and-mortar retail, wholesale, and e-commerce channels. The company also offers live streaming, social media and other marketing, and public relations support for its brands. In addition, it markets the Mizrahi brand through www.isaacmizrahi.com; the Halston brand through www.halston.com; the Judith Ripka fine jewelry brand through www.judithripka.com; the C Wonder brand through www.cwonder.com; the Logo Lori Goldstein brand through www.lorigoldstein.com; and the Longaberger brand through www.longaberger.com. The company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyXCel Brands generates revenue primarily through the licensing of its brands for retail and wholesale distribution. The company partners with various retailers and manufacturers who pay royalties and licensing fees to use XCel's brand names on their products. Additionally, XCel Brands earns income from direct-to-consumer sales through its own e-commerce platforms and interactive television segments, notably on QVC and the Home Shopping Network. Strategic collaborations and partnerships, such as those with influencers and designers, further enhance its revenue streams by expanding its market reach and product offerings.

XCel Brands Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 04, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -21.49%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights significant strategic partnerships and cost reductions, as well as growing social media influence, which positions Xcel for future growth. However, the company continues to face financial challenges with declining revenues and net losses, along with potential disruptions from external factors like tariffs and operational consolidations.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strategic Transaction with United Trademark Group
The transaction brings two industry leaders together, enhancing Xcel's global distribution and product delivery capabilities. It provided $3 million in liquidity and saves $1 million per year in interest and principal payments through March 2027.
Social Media Reach Expansion
Xcel's social media reach grew from 5 million followers in January 2025 to 45 million by June 2025, indicating strong potential for video commerce and creator-led brands.
Cost Reduction and Improved EBITDA
Direct operating costs decreased by nearly 50% year-over-year from 2023 to 2024, and adjusted EBITDA improved by 31% in Q4 2024 and 56% in Q1 2025 compared to the previous year.
New Brand Launches and Creator Partnerships
The company announced new creator influencer brands with Cesar Millan, Gemma Stafford, and Jenny Martinez, with strong social media followings and potential for significant revenue growth.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Total revenues were $1.2 million for Q4 2024 and $8.3 million for the full fiscal year, representing a 50% decrease from the prior year due to the sale of the Lori Goldstein brand and exit from wholesale operations.
Net Losses
The company reported a net loss of $7.1 million in Q4 2024 and $2.8 million in Q1 2025. Despite improvements, the losses indicate ongoing financial challenges.
Potential Impacts from Tariffs and HSN Consolidation
There is uncertainty regarding the impact of tariffs and the consolidation of HSN operations, which may disrupt business and affect financial performance.
Company Guidance
During the Xcel Brands earnings call for Q4 2024 and Q1 2025, management provided guidance and updates on several key metrics. They reported an adjusted EBITDA loss of $792,000 for Q4 2024, marking a $361,000 improvement over the prior year's Q4. For the full fiscal year 2024, the adjusted EBITDA was negative $3.5 million, a 40% improvement from the previous year. Q1 2025 revenues were $1.3 million, slightly higher than the prior quarter, whereas net losses for Q1 2025 were approximately $2.8 million on a GAAP basis, a 56% improvement from the previous year. The company's social media reach expanded significantly, growing from 5 million followers in January 2025 to 45 million to date. Looking forward, Xcel Brands is forecasting adjusted EBITDA between $1 million and $2.5 million for 2025, with potential impacts from tariffs and operational changes at HSN taken into account. The call also highlighted a strategic transaction with United Trademark Group, enhancing liquidity by $3 million and saving over $1 million annually in interest and principal payments through March 2027.

XCel Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary
XCel Brands is facing significant financial challenges, with declining revenues and negative profit margins impacting its financial health. High gross margins are overshadowed by negative operating and net incomes. The balance sheet shows increasing leverage and decreasing equity, while cash flow issues highlight liquidity risks. These factors suggest the need for strategic improvements to stabilize operations and improve financial performance.
Income Statement
40
Negative
XCel Brands has seen a consistent decline in revenue over the years, with a substantial drop in profit margins. The gross profit margin remains relatively high, but negative EBIT and net profit margins indicate ongoing operational challenges. Revenue growth is negative, reflecting potential market share loss or decreased demand.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the equity ratio has been declining, indicating a decrease in shareholder equity relative to total assets. The negative return on equity highlights the unprofitability affecting shareholders' returns.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow from operations is negative, indicating cash burn likely due to poor earnings performance. Free cash flow has also been negative, pointing to liquidity challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, suggesting inefficiency in converting earnings to cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.41M8.26M17.75M25.78M37.93M29.45M
Gross Profit6.96M7.81M10.84M17.80M27.27M23.99M
EBITDA-15.33M-16.75M-13.69M2.68M-7.24M-10.91M
Net Income-18.90M-22.39M-21.05M-5.36M-13.03M-13.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets52.49M53.76M71.66M88.94M125.78M123.05M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments298.00K1.25M3.00M4.61M4.48M4.96M
Total Debt15.27M13.38M10.00M7.21M36.49M27.21M
Total Liabilities26.78M25.36M23.49M18.80M50.84M36.80M
Stockholders Equity27.74M30.42M50.03M70.81M74.28M85.75M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.67M-4.83M-6.64M-14.45M-7.69M2.44M
Operating Cash Flow-3.54M-4.72M-6.54M-14.18M-6.56M3.19M
Investing Cash Flow-126.00K-112.00K209.00K44.52M-4.79M-702.00K
Financing Cash Flow3.91M3.82M4.73M-30.95M10.51M-2.17M

XCel Brands Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1.90
Price Trends
50DMA
2.28
Negative
100DMA
2.68
Negative
200DMA
4.52
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.14
Negative
RSI
43.58
Neutral
STOCH
63.72
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XELB, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.9 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.89, below the 50-day MA of 2.28, and below the 200-day MA of 4.52, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.72 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for XELB.

XCel Brands Risk Analysis

XCel Brands disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. XCel Brands reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

XCel Brands Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$41.78M-1.33%6.08%24.43%57.78%
61
Neutral
C$5.24B10.9418.94%3.79%5.08%6.52%
UFUFI
55
Neutral
$92.35M-15.73%2.51%32.95%
53
Neutral
$56.39M-28.56%-5.37%-37.39%
47
Neutral
$129.87M-17.61%0.88%34.28%-495.11%
44
Neutral
$18.37M6.22-63.56%1.46%-191.66%
39
Underperform
$4.59M-51.41%-46.67%26.45%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XELB
XCel Brands
1.53
-4.73
-75.56%
LAKE
Lakeland Industries
13.65
-8.66
-38.82%
UFI
Unifi
5.00
-0.67
-11.82%
VNCE
Vince Holding
1.43
0.13
10.00%
CULP
Culp
4.50
-0.25
-5.26%
JRSH
Jerash Holdings (US)
3.29
0.50
17.92%

XCel Brands Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsStock SplitRegulatory Filings and Compliance
XCel Brands Approves Key Stockholder Proposals
Neutral
Jun 20, 2025

On June 17, 2025, Xcel Brands, Inc. held a Special Meeting where stockholders voted on key proposals. The stockholders approved two significant proposals: the Warrant Exercise Proposal, allowing the issuance of common stock in excess of 19.99% of the company’s outstanding shares, and the Reverse Split Proposal, enabling a reverse stock split at a ratio determined by the Board of Directors. These approvals are expected to impact the company’s capital structure and compliance with Nasdaq Listing Rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (XELB) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on XCel Brands stock, see the XELB Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
XCel Brands Receives Nasdaq Delinquency Notification
Neutral
May 28, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Xcel Brands received a delinquency notification from Nasdaq due to not filing its Form 10-Q for March 31, 2025, and being late with its Form 10-K for December 31, 2024. Although this notice does not immediately affect the company’s stock listing, Xcel has until June 30, 2025, to submit a compliance plan. The company filed the Form 10-K on May 28, 2025, and plans to file the Form 10-Q by June 30, 2025, to meet Nasdaq’s requirements and avoid the need for a compliance plan.

The most recent analyst rating on (XELB) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on XCel Brands stock, see the XELB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 03, 2025