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Vince Holding (VNCE)
NYSE:VNCE
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Vince Holding (VNCE) AI Stock Analysis

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VNCE

Vince Holding

(NYSE:VNCE)

Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▼(-3.85%Downside)
Vince Holding's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance and valuation, both of which reflect significant operational and financial challenges. While the company shows some potential in specific segments and strategic initiatives, these are overshadowed by its current financial instability and compliance issues.

Vince Holding (VNCE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Vince Holding Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVince Holding Corp. designs, merchandises, and sells luxury apparel and accessories in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Vince Wholesale, Vince Direct-to-Consumer, and Rebecca Taylor and Parker. The company offers a range of women's products, such as cashmere sweaters, silk blouses, leather and suede leggings and jackets, dresses, skirts, denims, pants, t-shirts, footwear, outerwear, and accessories; and men's products comprising t-shirts, knit and woven tops, sweaters, denims, pants, blazers, footwear, and outerwear under the Vince brand. It also offers occasion-forward dresses, suiting, silk blouses, leather and tweed jackets, outerwear, jumpsuits, cotton dresses and blouses, denim, sweaters, pants, skirts and knit, and woven tops under the Rebecca Taylor and Parker brands. The company sells its products directly to consumers through its branded specialty retail stores and outlet stores, as well as through its vince.com e-commerce platform and subscription business through Vince Unfold, vinceunfold.com; and to wholesale department stores and specialty stores. As of January 29, 2022, it operated 86 stores, including 49 company-operated Vince full-price stores, 10 company-operated Rebecca Taylor full-price stores, 18 company-operated Vince outlet stores, and 8 company-operated Rebecca Taylor outlet stores. The company was formerly known as Apparel Holding Corp. and changed its name to Vince Holding Corp. in November 2013. Vince Holding Corp. was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyVince Holding Corp. generates revenue through multiple channels, primarily from the sale of its clothing, footwear, and accessories. The company's revenue streams include retail sales from its own branded stores and e-commerce platform, wholesale distribution to department stores and specialty retailers, and licensing agreements. Retail and e-commerce channels allow Vince to capture a higher margin on its products by selling directly to consumers, while wholesale partnerships expand its market reach and brand visibility. Strategic collaborations with other fashion entities and a focus on expanding its online presence are also key factors contributing to its earnings.

Vince Holding Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 17, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -7.14%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call revealed a mixed performance for Vince Holding Corp. in the first quarter of fiscal 2025. While the company made significant strides in mitigating tariff impacts and expanding in key markets, it faced challenges with decreased net sales, gross margin decline, and an operating loss. Despite these setbacks, there were positive signs in areas like the men's business and product reception, indicating potential for future growth.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Tariff Mitigation Efforts
The company significantly reduced its exposure to China and is leveraging opportunities to mitigate near-term costs. By spring 2026, the exposure to China will be approximately 25% of the cost of goods.
Strong Performance in Men's Business
The men's business delivered another quarter of strong growth and continues to serve as a key driver as the company extends its reach for this offering.
Positive Reception to New Products
There was strong consumer reception to traditional spring products like tees for women and linen for men, as well as new color pallets in the knits business.
Expansion in Key Markets
The company expanded its international presence with a new store in Marylebone, London, and plans to open new stores in Nashville and Sacramento later this year.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Total Company Net Sales
Net sales for the first quarter decreased 2.1% to $57.9 million compared to $59.2 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2024.
Gross Margin Decline
Gross profit decreased from $29.9 million (50.6% of net sales) last year to $29.2 million (50.3% of net sales) this quarter due to higher freight and duty costs and wholesale channel mix.
Operating Loss
The company reported an operating loss of $4.4 million compared to an operating income of $5.6 million in the same period last year, primarily due to increased freight and duty costs.
Net Loss for the Quarter
The company experienced a net loss of $4.8 million or a loss per share of $0.37, compared to net income of $4.4 million or income per share of $0.35 in the first quarter of last year.
Company Guidance
During the Vince Q1 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company discussed various financial metrics and strategic decisions in response to current economic challenges. The first quarter net sales decreased by 2.1% to $57.9 million, with the wholesale segment remaining flat and the direct-to-consumer segment declining by 4.4% due to planned store activities and softer traffic trends. Gross profit was $29.2 million, or 50.3% of net sales, a slight decrease from the previous year, influenced by increased freight and duty costs, which were partially offset by lower product costs and reduced promotional activities. The operating loss was $4.4 million, compared to an operating income of $5.6 million in the same period last year. Net inventory rose to $62.3 million, driven by decreased inventory reserves and increased freight and duty costs. Despite the challenges, the company plans to open new stores in Nashville and Sacramento and recently expanded its international presence with a new location in Marylebone, London. Vince is also navigating ongoing tariff issues by diversifying its sourcing base, aiming to reduce its exposure to China to approximately 25% of its cost of goods by spring 2026.

Vince Holding Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Vince Holding faces significant financial challenges, marked by declining revenue, negative EBIT, and net income, indicating operational inefficiencies. High leverage and decreasing stockholders' equity pose solvency concerns, although positive operating cash flow offers some relief.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Vince Holding's income statement shows a challenging environment with declining revenue and profitability. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data reveals a negative EBIT and net income, indicating operational inefficiencies. The gross profit margin is relatively stable, but the net profit margin is negative, reflecting ongoing losses. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a notable decline from the previous periods.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet indicates high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio that suggests significant financial risk. Stockholders' equity has decreased, and the equity ratio is low, highlighting potential solvency concerns. The return on equity is negative due to persistent net losses, further emphasizing the need for improved financial management.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows some positive aspects, such as a positive operating cash flow in the TTM period. However, free cash flow has been volatile, with recent improvements not yet consistent. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, suggesting better cash generation relative to reported losses, but the free cash flow to net income ratio remains a concern.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue293.45M292.89M357.44M322.68M219.87M
Gross Profit145.18M133.29M137.97M146.57M88.60M
EBITDA-17.18M36.47M-17.18M483.00K-52.14M
Net Income-19.05M25.45M-38.35M-12.70M-63.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets222.74M225.15M303.35M337.23M332.94M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments607.00K357.00K1.08M1.06M3.78M
Total Debt103.20M128.46M204.57M208.56M203.71M
Total Liabilities180.98M178.00M283.09M281.45M265.04M
Stockholders Equity41.76M47.15M20.26M55.78M67.91M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow22.06M180.00K-22.04M-5.28M-28.57M
Operating Cash Flow22.06M1.64M-19.26M-221.00K-25.07M
Investing Cash Flow-4.23M75.54M1.47M-5.05M-3.50M
Financing Cash Flow-18.38M-77.08M17.81M2.51M31.79M

Vince Holding Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1.56
Price Trends
50DMA
1.50
Positive
100DMA
1.70
Negative
200DMA
2.15
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Negative
RSI
55.50
Neutral
STOCH
81.64
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VNCE, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.56 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.49, above the 50-day MA of 1.50, and below the 200-day MA of 2.15, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.64 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for VNCE.

Vince Holding Risk Analysis

Vince Holding disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vince Holding reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Vince Holding Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$173.89M25.643.71%5.15%2.28%-37.96%
63
Neutral
$43.56M-1.33%5.83%24.43%57.78%
63
Neutral
$17.10B10.79-8.01%2.94%1.62%-25.73%
55
Neutral
$86.11M-15.73%2.51%32.95%
54
Neutral
$54.00M-28.56%-5.37%-37.39%
48
Neutral
$20.04M6.22-63.56%1.46%-191.66%
38
Underperform
$3.73M-51.41%-46.67%26.45%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VNCE
Vince Holding
1.56
-0.13
-7.69%
SGC
Superior Group of Companies
10.88
-8.83
-44.80%
UFI
Unifi
4.69
-1.48
-23.99%
CULP
Culp
4.30
-0.74
-14.68%
XELB
XCel Brands
1.53
-5.47
-78.14%
JRSH
Jerash Holdings (US)
3.43
0.52
17.87%

Vince Holding Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Vince Holding Elects Directors at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Vince Holding Corp. conducted its annual meeting of stockholders, where key proposals were voted on. The meeting resulted in the election of three Class II directors, the ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers, LLP as the independent accounting firm, approval of executive compensation, and the decision to hold annual advisory votes on executive compensation until 2031.

The most recent analyst rating on (VNCE) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vince Holding stock, see the VNCE Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Vince Holding Faces NYSE Noncompliance Notice
Negative
May 9, 2025

On May 6, 2025, Vince Holding Corp. received a notice from the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) indicating noncompliance with the NYSE’s continued listing standards, as the company’s 30-day average market capitalization and stockholders’ equity fell below the required $50 million. Vince Holding is required to submit a business plan within 45 days to demonstrate compliance, or face potential suspension and delisting. Despite this, the company’s stock will continue to be listed during the cure period, and the noncompliance does not affect its business operations or SEC reporting. However, failure to regain compliance could lead to reduced trading liquidity, lower market demand, and difficulties in raising capital.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 23, 2025