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Vince Holding (VNCE)
NASDAQ:VNCE

Vince Holding (VNCE) AI Stock Analysis

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VNCE

Vince Holding

(NASDAQ:VNCE)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▼(-17.65% Downside)
Vince Holding's overall stock score is driven by a strong earnings call performance and positive technical indicators, which are offset by significant financial challenges and valuation concerns. The company's strategic initiatives and debt reduction efforts are promising, but high leverage and negative profitability metrics remain key risks.
Positive Factors
Sales Growth
The 6.2% sales growth in Q3 indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term revenue expansion.
Debt Reduction
Reducing long-term debt enhances financial stability and flexibility, allowing for more strategic investments and growth opportunities.
Ecommerce Enhancements
Ecommerce improvements drive higher conversion rates and order values, expanding digital reach and supporting sustained revenue growth.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Significant leverage poses financial risk, limiting flexibility and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns.
Gross Margin Pressure
Decreased gross margins due to tariffs and freight costs could pressure profitability, affecting long-term financial health.
Declining Free Cash Flow
Declining free cash flow growth limits the company's ability to reinvest in growth initiatives and manage financial obligations.

Vince Holding (VNCE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Vince Holding Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVince Holding Corp. designs, merchandises, and sells luxury apparel and accessories in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Vince Wholesale, Vince Direct-to-Consumer, and Rebecca Taylor and Parker. The company offers a range of women's products, such as cashmere sweaters, silk blouses, leather and suede leggings and jackets, dresses, skirts, denims, pants, t-shirts, footwear, outerwear, and accessories; and men's products comprising t-shirts, knit and woven tops, sweaters, denims, pants, blazers, footwear, and outerwear under the Vince brand. It also offers occasion-forward dresses, suiting, silk blouses, leather and tweed jackets, outerwear, jumpsuits, cotton dresses and blouses, denim, sweaters, pants, skirts and knit, and woven tops under the Rebecca Taylor and Parker brands. The company sells its products directly to consumers through its branded specialty retail stores and outlet stores, as well as through its vince.com e-commerce platform and subscription business through Vince Unfold, vinceunfold.com; and to wholesale department stores and specialty stores. As of January 29, 2022, it operated 86 stores, including 49 company-operated Vince full-price stores, 10 company-operated Rebecca Taylor full-price stores, 18 company-operated Vince outlet stores, and 8 company-operated Rebecca Taylor outlet stores. The company was formerly known as Apparel Holding Corp. and changed its name to Vince Holding Corp. in November 2013. Vince Holding Corp. was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyVince Holding generates revenue through multiple channels, primarily through direct-to-consumer sales from its retail stores and e-commerce website, as well as wholesale partnerships with department stores and specialty retailers. The company's revenue model is based on selling high-quality apparel and accessories at a premium price point, capitalizing on its brand identity and customer loyalty. Key revenue streams include sales from seasonal collections, limited edition releases, and ongoing promotions. Significant partnerships with major retailers enhance distribution, while e-commerce growth allows for broader market reach. Additionally, Vince may explore collaborations and licensing agreements to further expand its product offerings and revenue potential.

Vince Holding Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 09, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a strong third quarter performance with significant sales growth, successful strategic initiatives like price increases and ecommerce enhancements, and effective debt reduction. However, it also highlighted challenges such as decreased gross margins, increased expenses, and a decline in net income due to tariffs and higher taxes.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Sales Growth
Total company net sales for the third quarter increased 6.2% to $85.1 million compared to $80.2 million in 2024. Wholesale channel increased 6.7% and direct-to-consumer segment increased 5.5%.
Successful Strategic Price Increases
Women's assortment saw prices increase more than the overall average increase of approximately 6%, yet units were nearly flat to last year, validating product quality and value.
Ecommerce Enhancements and Performance
Refreshed ecommerce site contributed to increased conversion rates and average order values, with triple-digit growth in site traffic late in the quarter.
Drop Ship Strategy Success
Launched drop ship strategy with shoes, seeing a significant increase in volume and planning expansion to other categories.
New Store Openings
Opened two new stores in Nashville and Sacramento, with continued success from the London store opened earlier this year.
Debt Reduction
Long-term debt balance reduced by $14.5 million year-over-year, down to $36.1 million.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Decrease
Gross margin rate decreased from 50% to 49.2%, impacted by higher tariffs and increased freight cost.
Increased SG&A Expenses
SG&A expenses increased, driven by compensation and marketing costs, maintaining a rate of 42.8% of net sales.
Net Income Decline
Net income for the quarter was $2.7 million, down from $4.3 million last year, mainly due to increased tax expense.
Inventory Increase
Net inventory increased to $75.9 million, driven by higher inventory carrying value due to tariffs.
Company Guidance
During the Vince Holding Corp. Q3 2025 earnings call, the company reported a notable 6.2% increase in net sales, reaching $85.1 million compared to $80.2 million in the previous year. The direct-to-consumer segment grew by 5.5%, while the wholesale channel saw a 6.7% increase. Gross profit was reported at $41.9 million, or 49.2% of net sales, slightly down from last year's 50% due to higher tariffs and freight costs. Operating income for the quarter was $5.4 million, with adjusted EBITDA at $6.5 million. The call highlighted strategic initiatives, such as price increases, ecommerce enhancements, and a new drop ship strategy, which contributed to increased conversion rates and average order values. Vince Holding also managed to reduce its long-term debt to $36.1 million from $50.6 million the previous year. Looking forward, the company expects a 3% to 7% growth in net sales for Q4, despite anticipating $4 million to $5 million in additional tariff costs. The company remains optimistic about leveraging its platform for further growth and reinvesting in marketing initiatives.

Vince Holding Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Vince Holding faces significant financial challenges, particularly in profitability and leverage. While revenue shows slight growth and gross margins are strong, the company struggles with high debt levels and negative profitability metrics. Cash flow management shows some resilience, but the decline in free cash flow growth is concerning. The company needs to focus on improving operational efficiency and reducing leverage to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Vince Holding's income statement shows mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a slight revenue growth of 1.7%, but the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin remains strong at nearly 50%, suggesting efficient production, but the negative net profit margin highlights ongoing challenges in managing expenses and achieving profitability.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.72, indicating significant leverage, which poses a risk in terms of financial stability. The return on equity is negative, reflecting the company's inability to generate profit from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is low, suggesting limited financial flexibility and potential vulnerability to economic fluctuations.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth, down by 44.47% in the TTM period. However, the company maintains a positive free cash flow to net income ratio, indicating some ability to generate cash relative to its net losses. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is modest, suggesting operational challenges but some resilience in cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue296.25M293.45M292.89M357.44M322.68M219.87M
Gross Profit148.09M145.18M133.29M137.97M146.57M88.60M
EBITDA-14.43M-17.18M36.47M-17.18M6.78M-52.14M
Net Income-18.36M-19.05M25.45M-38.35M-12.70M-63.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets246.00M222.74M225.15M303.35M337.23M332.94M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.06M607.00K357.00K1.08M1.06M3.78M
Total Debt142.00M122.36M128.46M204.57M208.56M203.71M
Total Liabilities192.61M180.98M178.00M283.09M281.45M265.04M
Stockholders Equity53.39M41.76M47.15M20.26M55.78M67.91M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow12.74M17.83M180.00K-22.04M-5.28M-28.57M
Operating Cash Flow10.01M22.06M1.64M-19.26M-221.00K-25.07M
Investing Cash Flow-5.67M-4.23M75.54M1.47M-5.05M-3.50M
Financing Cash Flow-4.16M-18.38M-77.08M17.81M2.51M31.79M

Vince Holding Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.25
Price Trends
50DMA
2.98
Positive
100DMA
2.62
Positive
200DMA
2.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.40
Negative
RSI
74.18
Negative
STOCH
81.61
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VNCE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.36, above the 50-day MA of 2.98, and above the 200-day MA of 2.13, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.40 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.18 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.61 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VNCE.

Vince Holding Risk Analysis

Vince Holding disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vince Holding reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Vince Holding Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$22.72M68.0817.80%30.48%30.06%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
59
Neutral
$56.69M-2.87-33.24%2.58%-502.04%
56
Neutral
$38.86M64.560.99%6.75%12.25%
47
Neutral
$6.34M-0.17-78.27%-46.66%24.23%
44
Neutral
$60.96M-2.48-9.61%-5.26%42.84%
41
Neutral
$42.80M-3.96-18.32%-7.76%49.20%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VNCE
Vince Holding
4.25
0.23
5.72%
UFI
Unifi
3.32
-2.39
-41.86%
CULP
Culp
3.38
-2.48
-42.32%
XELB
XCel Brands
1.32
-3.53
-72.78%
JRSH
Jerash Holdings (US)
3.06
-0.17
-5.26%
JL
J-Long Group Limited
6.04
2.39
65.48%

Vince Holding Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Vince Holding Reports Q3 Sales Growth Amid Challenges
Positive
Dec 11, 2025

In its Q3 Fiscal 2025 report, Vince Holding Corp. announced a 6.2% increase in total net sales compared to Q3 FY24, driven by growth in both wholesale and direct-to-consumer segments. Despite challenges like higher tariffs and freight costs, the company reported a gross profit increase of 4.6% to $41.9 million. Vince also launched new e-commerce capabilities and saw significant growth in site traffic due to marketing investments. Looking ahead, Vince anticipates continued sales growth in Q4, with expectations of a 3% to 7% increase in net sales, despite facing estimated incremental tariff costs.

Delistings and Listing ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Vince Holding Moves from NYSE to Nasdaq
Positive
Oct 21, 2025

On October 21, 2025, Vince Holding Corp. announced its transfer from the New York Stock Exchange to The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC, marking a significant milestone in the company’s growth trajectory. The transition, celebrated by ringing the Nasdaq Closing Bell on October 23, 2025, reflects Vince’s strategic vision and momentum in the luxury apparel industry, showcasing its transformation and promising future.

Delistings and Listing ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Vince Holding to Transfer Listing to Nasdaq
Positive
Oct 10, 2025

On October 10, 2025, Vince Holding Corp. announced its decision to voluntarily delist its common stock from the New York Stock Exchange and transfer the listing to The Nasdaq Stock Market, effective around October 21, 2025. This strategic move is intended to align Vince with other innovative, growth-focused companies and support its long-term success, as stated by CEO Brendan Hoffman.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025