Vince Holding Corp (VNCE)
NASDAQ:VNCE
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Vince Holding
(NASDAQ:VNCE)
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Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▲(22.45% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/13/26
Overall score is weighed down primarily by weak financial quality (negative profitability, high leverage) and bearish near-term technicals (below key moving averages). The earnings call and subsequent holiday update provide some support via improving sales trends, execution gains in ecommerce/pricing, and debt reduction, but valuation optics remain challenged due to negative earnings.
Positive Factors
E‑commerce & Direct‑to‑Consumer Execution
Sustained investment in the ecommerce platform and higher conversion/AOV represent a structural shift toward higher‑margin DTC sales. Over 2–6 months, stronger digital demand and improved UX convert marketing spend into repeat customers and greater lifetime value, supporting revenue stability.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
A 2.72 debt‑to‑equity ratio denotes sustained financial leverage that constrains flexibility. Over the next several months, high leverage raises refinancing and covenant risk, limits capacity for opportunistic investments, and increases sensitivity to demand shocks or rising rates.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
E‑commerce & Direct‑to‑Consumer Execution
Sustained investment in the ecommerce platform and higher conversion/AOV represent a structural shift toward higher‑margin DTC sales. Over 2–6 months, stronger digital demand and improved UX convert marketing spend into repeat customers and greater lifetime value, supporting revenue stability.
Read all positive factors
Vince Holding (VNCE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$33.75M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)42.46K
Price to Earnings (P/E)3.4
Beta (1Y)0.22
Revenue Growth2.58%
EPS Growth-502.04%
CountryUS
Employees578
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryApparel - Manufacturers
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.21
Shares Outstanding13,339,426
10 Day Avg. Volume44,110
30 Day Avg. Volume42,462
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.01
Price to Book (P/B)1.06
Price to Sales (P/S)0.15
P/FCF Ratio2.49
Enterprise Value/Market Cap5.18
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.59
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit1.18
Enterprise Value/Ebitda-12.93
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)0.32
Revenue Forecast (FY)$311.35M
Vince Holding Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Vince Holding Corp. designs, merchandises, and sells luxury apparel and accessories in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Vince Wholesale, Vince Direct-to-Consumer, and Rebecca Taylor and Parker. The company...
How the Company Makes Money
Vince Holding generates revenue through multiple channels, primarily through direct-to-consumer sales from its retail stores and e-commerce website, as well as wholesale partnerships with department stores and specialty retailers. The company's re...
Vince Holding Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Vince Holding Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Dec 09, 2025
(Q3-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 15, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a strong third quarter performance with significant sales growth, successful strategic initiatives like price increases and ecommerce enhancements, and effective debt reduction. However, it also highlighted challenges such as decreased gross margins, increased expenses, and a decline in net income due to tariffs and higher taxes.Positive Updates
Strong Sales Growth
Total company net sales for the third quarter increased 6.2% to $85.1 million compared to $80.2 million in 2024. Wholesale channel increased 6.7% and direct-to-consumer segment increased 5.5%.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Decrease
Gross margin rate decreased from 50% to 49.2%, impacted by higher tariffs and increased freight cost.
Read all updates
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Sales Growth
Total company net sales for the third quarter increased 6.2% to $85.1 million compared to $80.2 million in 2024. Wholesale channel increased 6.7% and direct-to-consumer segment increased 5.5%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the Vince Holding Corp. Q3 2025 earnings call, the company reported a notable 6.2% increase in net sales, reaching $85.1 million compared to $80.2 million in the previous year. The direct-to-consumer segment grew by 5.5%, while the wholesale channel saw a 6.7% increase. Gross profit was reported at $41.9 million, or 49.2% of net sales, slightly down from last year's 50% due to higher tariffs and freight costs. Operating income for the quarter was $5.4 million, with adjusted EBITDA at $6.5 million. The call highlighted strategic initiatives, such as price increases, ecommerce enhancements, and a new drop ship strategy, which contributed to increased conversion rates and average order values. Vince Holding also managed to reduce its long-term debt to $36.1 million from $50.6 million the previous year. Looking forward, the company expects a 3% to 7% growth in net sales for Q4, despite anticipating $4 million to $5 million in additional tariff costs. The company remains optimistic about leveraging its platform for further growth and reinvesting in marketing initiatives.Vince Holding Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Apr 2025 | Apr 2024 | Jan 2023 | Jan 2022 | Jan 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 296.25M | 293.45M | 292.89M | 357.44M | 322.68M | 219.87M |
| Gross Profit | 148.09M | 145.18M | 133.29M | 137.97M | 146.57M | 88.60M |
| EBITDA | -13.51M | -17.18M | 36.47M | -17.18M | 6.78M | -52.14M |
| Net Income | -18.36M | -19.05M | 25.45M | -38.35M | -12.70M | -63.95M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 246.00M | 222.74M | 225.15M | 303.35M | 337.23M | 332.94M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.06M | 607.00K | 357.00K | 1.08M | 1.06M | 3.78M |
| Total Debt | 142.00M | 122.36M | 128.46M | 204.57M | 208.56M | 203.71M |
| Total Liabilities | 192.61M | 180.98M | 178.00M | 283.09M | 281.45M | 265.04M |
| Stockholders Equity | 53.39M | 41.76M | 47.15M | 20.26M | 55.78M | 67.91M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 12.10M | 17.83M | 180.00K | -22.04M | -5.28M | -28.57M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 10.01M | 22.06M | 1.64M | -19.26M | -221.00K | -25.07M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -5.67M | -4.23M | 75.54M | 1.47M | -5.05M | -3.50M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -4.16M | -18.38M | -77.08M | 17.81M | 2.51M | 31.79M |
Vince Holding Technical Analysis
Neutral
2.45
Price Trends
2.55
Negative
2.88
Negative
2.52
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.04
Negative
55.24
Neutral
87.07
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VNCE, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.45 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.28, below the 50-day MA of 2.55, and below the 200-day MA of 2.52, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.07 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for VNCE.
Vince Holding Risk Analysis
Vince Holding disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vince Holding reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Vince Holding Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
64 Neutral | $24.91M | 20.58 | 30.92% | ― | 30.48% | 30.06% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
51 Neutral | $69.49M | -1.65 | -22.66% | ― | -5.26% | 42.84% | |
50 Neutral | $39.37M | 8.27 | 0.99% | 6.75% | 12.25% | ― | |
46 Neutral | $33.75M | 3.44 | -40.44% | ― | 2.58% | -502.04% | |
46 Neutral | $37.10M | -3.19 | -13.33% | ― | -7.76% | 49.20% | |
45 Neutral | $7.90M | -0.21 | -78.27% | ― | -46.66% | 24.23% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
VNCE
Vince Holding
2.53
0.92
57.14%
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Vince Holding Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Vince Holding Reports Solid Holiday Sales Growth Trend
Positive
Jan 12, 2026
On January 12, 2026, Vince Holding Corp. reported unaudited holiday sales results for the nine-week period ended January 3, 2026, with total company net sales rising 5.3% year over year. Growth was driven by a 9.7% increase in the direct-to-consum...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Vince Holding Reports Q3 Sales Growth Amid Challenges
Positive
Dec 11, 2025
In its Q3 Fiscal 2025 report, Vince Holding Corp. announced a 6.2% increase in total net sales compared to Q3 FY24, driven by growth in both wholesale and direct-to-consumer segments. Despite challenges like higher tariffs and freight costs, the c...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.