Vince Holding (VNCE) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $18.37M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 81.00K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 6.2
• Beta (1Y): 0.26
• Revenue Growth: 1.46%
• EPS Growth: -191.66%
• Country: US
• Employees: 578
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 60
• Industry: Apparel - Manufacturers
• EPS (TTM): -0.37
• Shares Outstanding: 12,846,578
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 100,036
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 81,005
• PEG Ratio: 0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.49
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 1.35
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 8.12
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.13
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 1.03
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -10.56
• 1Y Price Target: $2.50
• Price Target Upside: 74.83% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1

• Rating: 45 Neutral
• Price Target: $1.50 ▲(4.90%Upside)

The overall stock score of 45 reflects significant financial and operational challenges for Vince Holding. The most impactful factors are poor financial performance with negative profitability and high leverage, compounded by technical weaknesses and valuation issues. Additional risks are presented by the NYSE noncompliance notice, despite some positive elements from recent earnings.

Vince Holding Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE) is a prominent fashion brand known for its contemporary collections of women's and men's apparel, footwear, and accessories. Operating primarily in the United States, Vince is recognized for its sophisticated and timeless designs, offering a range of products that blend luxury with everyday wearability. The company distributes its products through a combination of retail stores, wholesale channels, and an online presence, catering to a diverse clientele seeking high-quality fashion items.

How the Company Makes Money

Vince Holding Corp. generates revenue through multiple channels, primarily from the sale of its clothing, footwear, and accessories. The company's revenue streams include retail sales from its own branded stores and e-commerce platform, wholesale distribution to department stores and specialty retailers, and licensing agreements. Retail and e-commerce channels allow Vince to capture a higher margin on its products by selling directly to consumers, while wholesale partnerships expand its market reach and brand visibility. Strategic collaborations with other fashion entities and a focus on expanding its online presence are also key factors contributing to its earnings.

Vince Holding Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Vince Holding is experiencing financial stress with declining revenues and profitability as reflected in its income statement. The high leverage is a concern, but positive free cash flow provides some strength.

Income Statement

Vince Holding has faced challenges in profitability, with negative EBIT and net income in recent periods. The TTM shows a deterioration in margins, as indicated by a negative EBIT margin of -9.31% and a net profit margin of -9.66%. Despite a slight increase in gross profit margin to 49.41%, revenue has declined, with the TTM revenue down from $293.45M to $292.21M compared to the previous annual period.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet illustrates a high leverage position, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.59, indicating significant reliance on debt financing. The equity ratio stands at 17.05%, suggesting moderate capitalization. Return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing losses. While equity has decreased, the company maintains a relatively stable asset base.

Cash Flow

Vince Holding's cash flow statement shows improvement in free cash flow, with a TTM free cash flow of $13.44M, up from $22.06M in the previous annual period. The company has generated positive operating cash flow, leading to a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative due to net losses, highlighting a need for sustainable profitability.

Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022	Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	292.21M	293.45M	292.89M	357.44M	322.68M	219.87M
Gross Profit	144.43M	145.18M	133.29M	137.97M	146.57M	88.60M
EBITDA	-24.40M	-17.18M	36.47M	-17.18M	483.00K	-52.14M
Net Income	-28.23M	-19.05M	25.45M	-38.35M	-12.70M	-63.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	217.96M	222.74M	225.15M	303.35M	337.23M	332.94M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	2.59M	607.00K	357.00K	1.08M	1.06M	3.78M
Total Debt	133.55M	103.20M	128.46M	204.57M	208.56M	203.71M
Total Liabilities	180.79M	180.98M	178.00M	283.09M	281.45M	265.04M
Stockholders Equity	37.17M	41.76M	47.15M	20.26M	55.78M	67.91M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	13.44M	22.06M	180.00K	-22.04M	-5.28M	-28.57M
Operating Cash Flow	14.12M	22.06M	1.64M	-19.26M	-221.00K	-25.07M
Investing Cash Flow	-4.92M	-4.23M	75.54M	1.47M	-5.05M	-3.50M
Financing Cash Flow	-8.17M	-18.38M	-77.08M	17.81M	2.51M	31.79M

Vince Holding Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 1.43
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VNCE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.43 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.43, below the 50-day MA of 1.58, and below the 200-day MA of 2.18, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.11 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VNCE.

Vince Holding Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
JRSH	66 Neutral	$42.29M	―	-1.33%	6.08%	24.43%	57.78%
Sector *	62 Neutral	$16.85B	11.50	-7.38%	2.96%	1.59%	-23.36%
SGC	60 Neutral	$177.41M	25.10	3.71%	5.20%	2.28%	-37.96%
UFI	55 Neutral	$91.80M	―	-15.73%	―	2.51%	32.95%
CULP	53 Neutral	$56.52M	―	-28.56%	―	-5.37%	-37.39%
VNCE	45 Neutral	$18.37M	6.22	-63.56%	―	1.46%	-191.66%
XELB	39 Underperform	$3.73M	―	-51.41%	―	-46.67%	26.45%

Vince Holding Corporate Events

Vince Holding Elects Directors at Annual Meeting

On June 5, 2025, Vince Holding Corp. conducted its annual meeting of stockholders, where key proposals were voted on. The meeting resulted in the election of three Class II directors, the ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers, LLP as the independent accounting firm, approval of executive compensation, and the decision to hold annual advisory votes on executive compensation until 2031.

The most recent analyst rating on (VNCE) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vince Holding stock, see the VNCE Stock Forecast page.

Vince Holding Faces NYSE Noncompliance Notice

On May 6, 2025, Vince Holding Corp. received a notice from the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) indicating noncompliance with the NYSE’s continued listing standards, as the company’s 30-day average market capitalization and stockholders’ equity fell below the required $50 million. Vince Holding is required to submit a business plan within 45 days to demonstrate compliance, or face potential suspension and delisting. Despite this, the company’s stock will continue to be listed during the cure period, and the noncompliance does not affect its business operations or SEC reporting. However, failure to regain compliance could lead to reduced trading liquidity, lower market demand, and difficulties in raising capital.

Vince Holding Appoints Yuji Okumura as CFO

On April 14, 2025, Vince Holding Corp. appointed Yuji Okumura as the permanent Chief Financial Officer, following his interim role since March 2025. Okumura, who has been with the company since 2018 and has extensive experience in financial reporting, is expected to bring valuable financial discipline and insight as the company navigates a dynamic economic environment. The company plans to release its fourth quarter and fiscal year 2024 financial results on May 2, 2025, with a conference call scheduled to discuss these results.