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Vince Holding Corp (VNCE)
:VNCE
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Vince Holding (VNCE) AI Stock Analysis

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VNCE

Vince Holding

(NYSE:VNCE)

Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▲(2.04% Upside)
Vince Holding's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including declining profitability and high leverage. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and valuation metrics are unattractive due to ongoing losses. Despite some positive developments in the earnings call, such as debt reduction and international expansion, the company's financial health remains a primary concern.

Vince Holding (VNCE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Vince Holding Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVince Holding Corp. designs, merchandises, and sells luxury apparel and accessories in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Vince Wholesale, Vince Direct-to-Consumer, and Rebecca Taylor and Parker. The company offers a range of women's products, such as cashmere sweaters, silk blouses, leather and suede leggings and jackets, dresses, skirts, denims, pants, t-shirts, footwear, outerwear, and accessories; and men's products comprising t-shirts, knit and woven tops, sweaters, denims, pants, blazers, footwear, and outerwear under the Vince brand. It also offers occasion-forward dresses, suiting, silk blouses, leather and tweed jackets, outerwear, jumpsuits, cotton dresses and blouses, denim, sweaters, pants, skirts and knit, and woven tops under the Rebecca Taylor and Parker brands. The company sells its products directly to consumers through its branded specialty retail stores and outlet stores, as well as through its vince.com e-commerce platform and subscription business through Vince Unfold, vinceunfold.com; and to wholesale department stores and specialty stores. As of January 29, 2022, it operated 86 stores, including 49 company-operated Vince full-price stores, 10 company-operated Rebecca Taylor full-price stores, 18 company-operated Vince outlet stores, and 8 company-operated Rebecca Taylor outlet stores. The company was formerly known as Apparel Holding Corp. and changed its name to Vince Holding Corp. in November 2013. Vince Holding Corp. was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyVince Holding generates revenue through multiple streams including direct-to-consumer sales via its branded retail stores and e-commerce platform, as well as wholesale distribution to third-party retailers. The company emphasizes high-margin products and seasonal collections that attract affluent customers. Additionally, strategic partnerships with department stores and specialty retailers enhance its market reach and visibility, contributing to overall sales. Vince also focuses on customer loyalty and brand equity, which helps drive repeat purchases and sustain revenue growth over time.

Vince Holding Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 17, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -12.50%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of achievements and challenges. While the company successfully implemented mitigation efforts regarding tariffs and saw growth in international presence and the men's business, it faced declines in net sales and direct-to-consumer performance, alongside an operating loss. The balance of highlights and lowlights suggests cautious optimism despite the challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Mitigation Efforts on Tariff Policies
The company has significantly reduced exposure to China, beginning with the fall product, and leveraged opportunities to mitigate near-term costs despite fluid tariff policies.
Sequential Improvement in Direct Business
The company reported a sequential improvement in the direct-to-consumer segment, largely driven by the e-commerce channel.
Strong Men's Business
The men's business delivered another quarter of strong growth, continuing to serve as a key driver.
International Expansion
The company expanded its international presence with the opening of a new location in Marylebone, London.
Reduced Long-term Debt
The long-term debt balance was reduced to $34.7 million, a reduction of $15.4 million compared to the prior year.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Total Net Sales
Total company net sales for the first quarter decreased 2.1% to $57.9 million compared to $59.2 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2024.
Decline in Direct-to-Consumer Segment
The direct-to-consumer segment declined 4.4%, primarily due to planned store activity, including closures, remodels, and relocations.
Operating Loss
The company reported an operating loss of $4.4 million compared to an operating income of $5.6 million in the same period last year.
Net Loss
Net loss for the first quarter was $4.8 million, or a loss per share of $0.37, compared to net income of $4.4 million, or income per share of $0.35 in the first quarter of last year.
Gross Margin Decrease
Gross margin rate decreased to 50.3% from 50.6% due to higher freight and duty costs.
Company Guidance
During the Vince Q1 2025 earnings call, the company discussed various metrics and strategic initiatives. Total net sales for the first quarter decreased by 2.1% to $57.9 million from $59.2 million in Q1 2024. The wholesale segment remained relatively flat, while the direct-to-consumer segment declined by 4.4% due to planned store activities and softer traffic trends. Gross profit was $29.2 million, representing 50.3% of net sales, a slight decrease from 50.6% in the previous year, influenced by higher freight, duty, and distribution costs, although offset by lower product costs and pricing improvements. SG&A expenses increased to $33.6 million, or 58% of net sales, compared to 54% in the prior year, driven by higher marketing and relocation expenses. The operating loss was $4.4 million, compared to an operating income of $5.6 million last year. The company reduced its long-term debt to $34.7 million from $50.1 million. Vince did not provide full-year guidance due to ongoing macroeconomic volatility but expects Q2 net sales to be flat to down 3%, with operating income ranging from negative 1% to positive 1%, and adjusted EBITDA between 1% and 4% of net sales.

Vince Holding Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Vince Holding faces significant financial challenges, marked by declining revenue, negative EBIT, and net income, indicating operational inefficiencies. High leverage and decreasing stockholders' equity pose solvency concerns, although positive operating cash flow offers some relief.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Vince Holding's income statement shows a challenging environment with declining revenue and profitability. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data reveals a negative EBIT and net income, indicating operational inefficiencies. The gross profit margin is relatively stable, but the net profit margin is negative, reflecting ongoing losses. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a notable decline from the previous periods.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet indicates high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio that suggests significant financial risk. Stockholders' equity has decreased, and the equity ratio is low, highlighting potential solvency concerns. The return on equity is negative due to persistent net losses, further emphasizing the need for improved financial management.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows some positive aspects, such as a positive operating cash flow in the TTM period. However, free cash flow has been volatile, with recent improvements not yet consistent. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, suggesting better cash generation relative to reported losses, but the free cash flow to net income ratio remains a concern.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue293.45M292.89M357.44M322.68M219.87M
Gross Profit145.18M133.29M137.97M146.57M88.60M
EBITDA-17.18M36.47M-17.18M483.00K-52.14M
Net Income-19.05M25.45M-38.35M-12.70M-63.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets222.74M225.15M303.35M337.23M332.94M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments607.00K357.00K1.08M1.06M3.78M
Total Debt103.20M128.46M204.57M208.56M203.71M
Total Liabilities180.98M178.00M283.09M281.45M265.04M
Stockholders Equity41.76M47.15M20.26M55.78M67.91M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow22.06M180.00K-22.04M-5.28M-28.57M
Operating Cash Flow22.06M1.64M-19.26M-221.00K-25.07M
Investing Cash Flow-4.23M75.54M1.47M-5.05M-3.50M
Financing Cash Flow-18.38M-77.08M17.81M2.51M31.79M

Vince Holding Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.47
Price Trends
50DMA
1.49
Negative
100DMA
1.58
Negative
200DMA
2.11
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Positive
RSI
44.53
Neutral
STOCH
49.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VNCE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.47 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.53, below the 50-day MA of 1.49, and below the 200-day MA of 2.11, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VNCE.

Vince Holding Risk Analysis

Vince Holding disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vince Holding reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Vince Holding Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$192.58M23.684.22%4.49%4.02%-24.80%
61
Neutral
$17.42B12.39-5.32%3.12%1.53%-15.37%
52
Neutral
$42.67M51.771.30%5.96%17.12%
47
Neutral
$18.50M6.22-63.56%1.46%-191.66%
45
Neutral
$49.36M-28.56%-5.37%-37.39%
42
Neutral
$82.44M-7.94%2.51%32.95%
39
Underperform
$5.71M-65.44%-42.62%-7.75%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VNCE
Vince Holding
1.47
-0.23
-13.53%
SGC
Superior Group of Companies
12.34
-0.88
-6.66%
UFI
Unifi
4.40
-3.35
-43.23%
CULP
Culp
4.03
-0.94
-18.91%
XELB
XCel Brands
1.20
-5.73
-82.68%
JRSH
Jerash Holdings (US)
3.36
0.49
17.07%

Vince Holding Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Vince Holding Receives NYSE Compliance Plan Acceptance
Neutral
Aug 6, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Vince Holding Corp. received an acceptance letter from the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) for its plan to regain compliance with the NYSE’s continued listing standards. This plan was necessitated by a notice on May 6, 2025, indicating the company’s market capitalization and stockholders’ equity were below the required $50 million threshold. Vince has until November 6, 2026, to meet these standards, during which time its compliance will be periodically monitored. Failure to comply could lead to delisting, affecting stock liquidity and market interest. The acceptance does not impact Vince’s business operations or SEC reporting requirements.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Vince Holding Elects Directors at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Vince Holding Corp. conducted its annual meeting of stockholders, where key proposals were voted on. The meeting resulted in the election of three Class II directors, the ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers, LLP as the independent accounting firm, approval of executive compensation, and the decision to hold annual advisory votes on executive compensation until 2031.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025