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Vince Holding
(NASDAQ:VNCE)
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Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$6.50
▲(9.43% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/17/26
The score is mainly held back by leverage and inconsistent cash flow despite an operational turnaround. Offsetting that, the stock shows strong technical momentum and the latest earnings call was constructive with raised FY2026 guidance and improving sales/margins, while valuation appears relatively inexpensive based on the provided P/E.
Positive Factors
Gross margin strength
Sustained ~50% gross margins signal durable product pricing power and better mix/less discounting (management cites ~130bps from pricing and ~100bps from lower discounting). High gross margins create structural buffer to absorb SG&A and tariff pressure and support reinvestment.
Negative Factors
High leverage
Material leverage (and residual PIK-style obligations noted elsewhere) constrains financial flexibility, raises refinancing and covenant risk, and makes the firm more vulnerable to demand shocks or cost shocks (tariffs). High debt limits ability to fund growth without added risk or dilution.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Gross margin strength
Sustained ~50% gross margins signal durable product pricing power and better mix/less discounting (management cites ~130bps from pricing and ~100bps from lower discounting). High gross margins create structural buffer to absorb SG&A and tariff pressure and support reinvestment.
Read all positive factors
Vince Holding Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Net Sales by Segment
Breaks down revenue across Vince’s business lines—retail stores, e‑commerce, wholesale, and any licensing—so you can see which channels drive growth or drag on sales. Heavy reliance on one channel increases risk (for example, wholesale exposure to department store trends), while rising direct-to-consumer or online sales can point to stronger margins and more control over pricing.
Breaks down revenue across Vince’s business lines—retail stores, e‑commerce, wholesale, and any licensing—so you can see which channels drive growth or drag on sales. Heavy reliance on one channel increases risk (for example, wholesale exposure to department store trends), while rising direct-to-consumer or online sales can point to stronger margins and more control over pricing.
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The Fly
The FlyVince Holding (VNCE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$81.32M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)259.71K
Price to Earnings (P/E)9.0
Beta (1Y)0.78
Revenue Growth4.76%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUS
Employees558
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryApparel - Manufacturers
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.70
Shares Outstanding12,847,294
10 Day Avg. Volume89,139
30 Day Avg. Volume259,712
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.04
Price to Book (P/B)0.70
Price to Sales (P/S)0.12
P/FCF Ratio-26.95
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$9.00Price Target Upside51.52% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)0.55
Revenue Forecast (FY)$321.48M
Vince Holding Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Vince Holding Corp. provides luxury apparel and accessories in the United States and internationally. It operates through Vince Wholesale and Vince Direct-to-Consumer segments. The company offers a range of men’s and women’s products, such as cash...
How the Company Makes Money
Vince Holding makes money primarily by selling Vince-branded apparel and related products through two main revenue streams: (1) direct-to-consumer (DTC) sales and (2) wholesale sales. In DTC, the company generates revenue from transactions made in...
Vince Holding Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jun 16, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Sep 15, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents substantially more positive developments than negatives: strong double-digit top-line momentum (10.5% company-wide, DTC +15.6%), improving margins, meaningful reductions in operating losses and adjusted EBITDA deficits, raised full-year guidance, expanding product assortment (drop-ship, accessories, shoes) and improving wholesale account health. Key headwinds include tariff-related cost pressure, a notable inventory build (≈13.7% y/y), continued GAAP losses (albeit smaller), and some remaining debt obligations. On balance, execution and momentum appear to outweigh the challenges, though management is appropriately cautious about macro uncertainty and tariff refund timing.Positive Updates
Top-line Growth
Total net sales increased 10.5% year-over-year to $64.0M (Q1 FY2026 vs $57.9M). Direct-to-consumer sales grew 15.6% and wholesale sales rose 5.9%, with quarter-to-date trends in Q2 running above low-double-digits.
Negative Updates
Continued GAAP Losses and Negative Adjusted EBITDA
Although improved, the company remains unprofitable on a GAAP basis with net loss of -$2.1M and negative adjusted EBITDA of -$1.1M for the quarter.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Top-line Growth
Total net sales increased 10.5% year-over-year to $64.0M (Q1 FY2026 vs $57.9M). Direct-to-consumer sales grew 15.6% and wholesale sales rose 5.9%, with quarter-to-date trends in Q2 running above low-double-digits.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management raised its full‑year fiscal 2026 outlook and gave specific Q2 and FY guidance: for Q2 they expect net sales to increase ~10–12% year‑over‑year with adjusted operating income of ~6.5–7.0% of net sales and adjusted EBITDA of ~8.0–8.5% of net sales; for fiscal 2026 they now expect net sales to grow ~7–8% year‑over‑year with adjusted operating income of ~4.0–4.5% of net sales and adjusted EBITDA of ~5.5–6.0% of net sales. The outlook contemplates higher input costs and lower reciprocal tariff rates but excludes uncertain tariff refunds, reflects sales trends running above low‑double digits quarter‑to‑date, and is supported by a balance sheet with roughly $29.1M of long‑term debt and about $31M of revolver availability.Vince Holding Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
63
Positive
Balance Sheet
44
Neutral
Cash Flow
37
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Jan 2026 | Apr 2025 | Apr 2024 | Jan 2023 | Jan 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 306.11M | 300.01M | 293.45M | 292.89M | 357.44M | 322.68M |
| Gross Profit | 152.37M | 149.14M | 145.18M | 133.29M | 129.73M | 140.27M |
| EBITDA | 15.46M | 13.71M | -12.51M | 36.56M | -17.18M | 6.78M |
| Net Income | 9.08M | 6.38M | -19.05M | 25.45M | -38.35M | -12.70M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 219.79M | 225.04M | 222.74M | 225.15M | 303.35M | 337.23M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 762.00K | 498.00K | 607.00K | 357.00K | 1.08M | 1.06M |
| Total Debt | 129.77M | 122.39M | 122.36M | 128.46M | 204.57M | 208.56M |
| Total Liabilities | 171.63M | 174.94M | 180.98M | 178.00M | 283.09M | 281.45M |
| Stockholders Equity | 48.16M | 50.10M | 41.76M | 47.15M | 20.26M | 55.78M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 1.51M | -1.30M | 17.83M | 180.00K | -22.04M | -5.28M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 5.89M | 2.99M | 22.06M | 1.64M | -19.26M | -221.00K |
| Investing Cash Flow | -3.08M | -4.29M | -4.23M | 75.54M | 1.47M | -5.05M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -4.64M | 1.18M | -18.38M | -77.08M | 17.81M | 2.51M |
Vince Holding Technical Analysis
Positive
5.94
Price Trends
5.95
Positive
4.70
Positive
3.84
Positive
Market Momentum
0.09
Negative
59.39
Neutral
79.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VNCE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.94 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.35, below the 50-day MA of 5.95, and above the 200-day MA of 3.84, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VNCE.
Vince Holding Risk Analysis
Vince Holding disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vince Holding reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Vince Holding Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
71 Outperform | $58.10M | 16.26 | 5.57% | 4.32% | 14.03% | ― | |
63 Neutral | $81.32M | 9.04 | 18.07% | ― | 4.76% | ― | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
55 Neutral | $118.96M | -2.94 | -16.70% | ― | -10.95% | 80.36% | |
54 Neutral | $20.11M | 59.43 | 30.92% | ― | 7.90% | 397.38% | |
53 Neutral | $44.07M | -4.30 | -14.26% | ― | -4.57% | 47.12% | |
44 Neutral | $7.26M | -0.26 | -89.69% | ― | -35.86% | 41.96% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
VNCE
Vince Holding
6.72
5.16
330.77%
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JL
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Vince Holding Corporate Events
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Vince Holding Shareholders Approve Governance and Equity Changes
Positive
Jun 8, 2026
At its annual meeting on June 4, 2026, Vince Holding shareholders elected Michael Mardy as a Class III director to serve until the 2029 annual meeting, reinforcing continuity on the company’s board. Investors also voted on auditor ratificati...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.