Vince Holding (VNCE) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $18.88M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 33.24K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 6.2
• Beta (1Y): 0.17
• Revenue Growth: 0.19%
• EPS Growth: -173.33%
• Country: US
• Employees: 578
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 74
• Industry: Apparel - Manufacturers
• EPS (TTM): 0.06
• Shares Outstanding: 12,843,067
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 25,465
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 33,243
• PEG Ratio: <0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.50
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.96
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 6.56
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.11
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 0.85
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 2.32
• 1Y Price Target: $7.00
• Price Target Upside: 376.19% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1

• Rating: 47 Neutral
• Price Target: $1.50 ▲( 2.04% Upside)

Vince Holding's overall stock score reflects struggles with profitability and leverage, offset by effective cash flow management. Technical indicators suggest limited momentum, and valuation concerns due to negative earnings persist. The earnings call highlighted some improvements, but uncertainties regarding tariffs and consumer behavior remain. The NYSE noncompliance notice adds further risk.

Vince Holding Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Vince Holding Corp. designs, merchandises, and sells luxury apparel and accessories in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Vince Wholesale, Vince Direct-to-Consumer, and Rebecca Taylor and Parker. The company offers a range of women's products, such as cashmere sweaters, silk blouses, leather and suede leggings and jackets, dresses, skirts, denims, pants, t-shirts, footwear, outerwear, and accessories; and men's products comprising t-shirts, knit and woven tops, sweaters, denims, pants, blazers, footwear, and outerwear under the Vince brand. It also offers occasion-forward dresses, suiting, silk blouses, leather and tweed jackets, outerwear, jumpsuits, cotton dresses and blouses, denim, sweaters, pants, skirts and knit, and woven tops under the Rebecca Taylor and Parker brands. The company sells its products directly to consumers through its branded specialty retail stores and outlet stores, as well as through its vince.com e-commerce platform and subscription business through Vince Unfold, vinceunfold.com; and to wholesale department stores and specialty stores. As of January 29, 2022, it operated 86 stores, including 49 company-operated Vince full-price stores, 10 company-operated Rebecca Taylor full-price stores, 18 company-operated Vince outlet stores, and 8 company-operated Rebecca Taylor outlet stores. The company was formerly known as Apparel Holding Corp. and changed its name to Vince Holding Corp. in November 2013. Vince Holding Corp. was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

How the Company Makes Money

Vince Holding Corp. generates revenue primarily through the sale of its luxury fashion products. The company operates a multi-channel revenue model that includes wholesale distribution to high-end department stores and specialty retailers, direct sales through its own branded retail stores, and online sales via its official e-commerce website. Wholesale accounts for a significant portion of its revenue, as it allows the company to reach a broader audience through established retail partners. Additionally, Vince Holding capitalizes on its branding and marketing strategies to drive direct consumer engagement and sales through its own platforms. Revenue is further supported by strategic collaborations and partnerships that enhance brand visibility and market reach.

Vince Holding Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Vince Holding faces challenges with profitability and high leverage, as evidenced by negative net and EBIT margins. Revenue growth is stagnant, and the high debt-to-equity ratio is concerning. However, the company shows resilience in cash flow management.

Income Statement

Vince Holding's income statement reflects challenges in profitability and revenue trajectory. The Gross Profit Margin for the latest fiscal year is approximately 49.48%, indicating a stable product margin despite the competitive apparel industry. However, the company reported a negative Net Profit Margin of -6.49%, a significant decline from previous years, due to increased operational expenses and declining revenues. The Revenue Growth Rate is minimal at 0.19% from the previous year, suggesting stagnation which is a concern in a fast-paced industry. The negative EBIT Margin of -5.85% also highlights operational inefficiencies.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet presents a mixed picture. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio stands at 2.47, indicating high leverage which could pose risks if earnings do not improve. Despite this, the company maintains a reasonable Equity Ratio of 18.75%, which reflects a moderate level of equity financing. Return on Equity is negative at -45.61%, reflecting the challenges in generating profit from shareholder investments due to recent losses.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows some positive signs amid challenges. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is -1.16, indicating the company is generating cash from operations despite net losses, which is crucial for liquidity. The Free Cash Flow has seen notable improvement, resulting in a positive Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.16, suggesting effective management of capital expenditures. However, the Free Cash Flow Growth Rate cannot be calculated due to the lack of prior positive free cash flow data, indicating historical cash flow constraints.

Breakdown
Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022	Mar 2021
Income Statement		Total Revenue
293.45M	292.89M	357.44M	322.68M	219.87M
	Gross Profit
145.18M	133.29M	137.97M	146.57M	88.60M
	EBIT
-17.18M	31.62M	-25.42M	-6.01M	-34.21M
	EBITDA
-17.18M	36.47M	-17.18M	483.00K	-52.14M
	Net Income Common Stockholders
-19.05M	25.45M	-38.35M	-12.70M	-63.95M
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
607.00K	357.00K	1.08M	1.06M	3.78M
	Total Assets
222.74M	225.15M	303.35M	337.23M	332.94M
	Total Debt
103.20M	128.46M	204.57M	208.56M	203.71M
	Net Debt
102.60M	128.10M	203.49M	207.50M	199.94M
	Total Liabilities
180.98M	178.00M	283.09M	281.45M	265.04M
	Stockholders Equity
41.76M	47.15M	20.26M	55.78M	67.91M
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
22.06M	180.00K	-22.04M	-5.28M	-28.57M
	Operating Cash Flow
22.06M	1.64M	-19.26M	-221.00K	-25.07M
	Investing Cash Flow
-4.23M	75.54M	1.47M	-5.05M	-3.50M
	Financing Cash Flow
-18.38M	-77.08M	17.81M	2.51M	31.79M

Vince Holding Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 1.47
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VNCE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.47 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.73, below the 50-day MA of 1.77, and below the 200-day MA of 2.21, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.27 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VNCE.

Vince Holding Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	62 Neutral	$6.84B	11.22	2.83%	3.95%	2.65%	-21.93%
SGC	59 Neutral	$154.71M	21.89	3.71%	5.79%	2.28%	-37.96%
JRSH	51 Neutral	$39.71M	―	-5.77%	6.19%	15.70%	-337.22%
UFI	49 Neutral	$90.52M	―	-15.73%	―	2.51%	32.95%
VNCE	47 Neutral	$18.88M	6.22	-42.84%	―	0.19%	-173.33%
CULP	45 Neutral	$52.37M	―	-31.18%	―	-9.80%	-59.08%
XELB	44 Neutral	$5.82M	―	-47.20%	―	-52.20%	-0.80%

Vince Holding Corporate Events

Vince Holding Faces NYSE Noncompliance Notice

On May 6, 2025, Vince Holding Corp. received a notice from the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) indicating noncompliance with the NYSE’s continued listing standards, as the company’s 30-day average market capitalization and stockholders’ equity fell below the required $50 million. Vince Holding is required to submit a business plan within 45 days to demonstrate compliance, or face potential suspension and delisting. Despite this, the company’s stock will continue to be listed during the cure period, and the noncompliance does not affect its business operations or SEC reporting. However, failure to regain compliance could lead to reduced trading liquidity, lower market demand, and difficulties in raising capital.

Vince Holding Appoints Yuji Okumura as CFO

On April 14, 2025, Vince Holding Corp. appointed Yuji Okumura as the permanent Chief Financial Officer, following his interim role since March 2025. Okumura, who has been with the company since 2018 and has extensive experience in financial reporting, is expected to bring valuable financial discipline and insight as the company navigates a dynamic economic environment. The company plans to release its fourth quarter and fiscal year 2024 financial results on May 2, 2025, with a conference call scheduled to discuss these results.

Vince Holding Announces CFO Resignation and Interim Appointment

On March 12, 2025, Vince Holding Corp. announced the resignation of its Chief Financial Officer, John Szczepanski, effective March 28, 2025, as he pursues another opportunity. Yuji Okumura, the current Vice President and Controller, will serve as Interim CFO, reflecting the company’s commitment to internal talent recognition and leadership continuity. The company also reaffirmed its fiscal 2024 guidance and is analyzing potential goodwill impairment due to a recent acquisition by P180, Inc., which may affect its financial results.