Vince Holding (VNCE) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $37.88M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 238.34K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): -0.20
• Revenue Growth: 2.58%
• EPS Growth: -502.04%
• Country: US
• Employees: 578
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Apparel - Manufacturers
• EPS (TTM): 0.21
• Shares Outstanding: 13,339,426
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 178,531
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 238,341
• PEG Ratio: 0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.06
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.15
• P/FCF Ratio: 2.49
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 0.00
• 1Y Price Target: $5.50
• Price Target Upside: 93.66% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1
• EPS Forecast (FY): 0.01
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $299.42M

• Rating: 46 Neutral
• Price Target: $3.00 ▲(5.63% Upside)

Overall score is weighed down primarily by weak financial quality (negative profitability, high leverage) and bearish near-term technicals (below key moving averages). The earnings call and subsequent holiday update provide some support via improving sales trends, execution gains in ecommerce/pricing, and debt reduction, but valuation optics remain challenged due to negative earnings.

Positive Factors

High Gross Margin

A near-50% gross margin indicates strong product-level economics and pricing power in its luxury-casual segment. This durable margin helps absorb cost headwinds (tariffs, freight) and supports reinvestment in marketing and e-commerce to drive long-term profitable growth if operating costs are controlled.

Direct-to-Consumer & E-commerce Momentum

Sustained DTC growth and platform upgrades strengthen higher-margin, customer-owned channels, improving unit economics and lifetime value. Investments in site experience and drop-ship expand assortment with lower inventory risk, creating a structural advantage over wholesale-dependent peers.

Meaningful Debt Reduction

A material year-over-year reduction in long-term debt meaningfully lowers leverage and interest burden, improving financial flexibility. This durable deleveraging trend creates room for strategic investments and reduces refinancing risk, enhancing stability across economic cycles.

Negative Factors

High Leverage

A D/E near 2.7 leaves the firm financially vulnerable and limits strategic flexibility. Elevated leverage increases refinancing and interest-rate risk, constrains capital allocation to growth initiatives, and magnifies earnings volatility during demand slowdowns, undermining long-term stability.

Negative Profitability and ROE

Despite healthy gross margins, the company posts net losses and negative ROE, showing it currently fails to convert product economics into shareholder returns. Sustained profitability restoration is required to rebuild equity value and fund growth without relying on higher leverage.

Weak Free Cash Flow Growth and Inventory Build

A steep decline in FCF growth and rising inventory levels strain liquidity and operational efficiency. Persistent weak cash conversion limits discretionary spending, heightens working capital needs, and increases markdown or obsolescence risk, pressuring margins and long-term free-cash generation.

Vince Holding Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Vince Holding Corp. designs, merchandises, and sells luxury apparel and accessories in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Vince Wholesale, Vince Direct-to-Consumer, and Rebecca Taylor and Parker. The company offers a range of women's products, such as cashmere sweaters, silk blouses, leather and suede leggings and jackets, dresses, skirts, denims, pants, t-shirts, footwear, outerwear, and accessories; and men's products comprising t-shirts, knit and woven tops, sweaters, denims, pants, blazers, footwear, and outerwear under the Vince brand. It also offers occasion-forward dresses, suiting, silk blouses, leather and tweed jackets, outerwear, jumpsuits, cotton dresses and blouses, denim, sweaters, pants, skirts and knit, and woven tops under the Rebecca Taylor and Parker brands. The company sells its products directly to consumers through its branded specialty retail stores and outlet stores, as well as through its vince.com e-commerce platform and subscription business through Vince Unfold, vinceunfold.com; and to wholesale department stores and specialty stores. As of January 29, 2022, it operated 86 stores, including 49 company-operated Vince full-price stores, 10 company-operated Rebecca Taylor full-price stores, 18 company-operated Vince outlet stores, and 8 company-operated Rebecca Taylor outlet stores. The company was formerly known as Apparel Holding Corp. and changed its name to Vince Holding Corp. in November 2013. Vince Holding Corp. was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

How the Company Makes Money

Vince Holding generates revenue through multiple channels, primarily through direct-to-consumer sales from its retail stores and e-commerce website, as well as wholesale partnerships with department stores and specialty retailers. The company's revenue model is based on selling high-quality apparel and accessories at a premium price point, capitalizing on its brand identity and customer loyalty. Key revenue streams include sales from seasonal collections, limited edition releases, and ongoing promotions. Significant partnerships with major retailers enhance distribution, while e-commerce growth allows for broader market reach. Additionally, Vince may explore collaborations and licensing agreements to further expand its product offerings and revenue potential.

Vince Holding Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Vince Holding faces significant financial challenges, particularly in profitability and leverage. While revenue shows slight growth and gross margins are strong, the company struggles with high debt levels and negative profitability metrics. Cash flow management shows some resilience, but the decline in free cash flow growth is concerning. The company needs to focus on improving operational efficiency and reducing leverage to enhance financial stability.

Income Statement

Vince Holding's income statement shows mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a slight revenue growth of 1.7%, but the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin remains strong at nearly 50%, suggesting efficient production, but the negative net profit margin highlights ongoing challenges in managing expenses and achieving profitability.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.72, indicating significant leverage, which poses a risk in terms of financial stability. The return on equity is negative, reflecting the company's inability to generate profit from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is low, suggesting limited financial flexibility and potential vulnerability to economic fluctuations.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth, down by 44.47% in the TTM period. However, the company maintains a positive free cash flow to net income ratio, indicating some ability to generate cash relative to its net losses. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is modest, suggesting operational challenges but some resilience in cash generation.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	296.25M	293.45M	292.89M	357.44M	322.68M	219.87M
Gross Profit	148.09M	145.18M	133.29M	137.97M	146.57M	88.60M
EBITDA	-14.43M	-17.18M	36.47M	-17.18M	6.78M	-52.14M
Net Income	-18.36M	-19.05M	25.45M	-38.35M	-12.70M	-63.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	246.00M	222.74M	225.15M	303.35M	337.23M	332.94M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.06M	607.00K	357.00K	1.08M	1.06M	3.78M
Total Debt	142.00M	122.36M	128.46M	204.57M	208.56M	203.71M
Total Liabilities	192.61M	180.98M	178.00M	283.09M	281.45M	265.04M
Stockholders Equity	53.39M	41.76M	47.15M	20.26M	55.78M	67.91M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	12.74M	17.83M	180.00K	-22.04M	-5.28M	-28.57M
Operating Cash Flow	10.01M	22.06M	1.64M	-19.26M	-221.00K	-25.07M
Investing Cash Flow	-5.67M	-4.23M	75.54M	1.47M	-5.05M	-3.50M
Financing Cash Flow	-4.16M	-18.38M	-77.08M	17.81M	2.51M	31.79M

Vince Holding Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 2.84
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VNCE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.84 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.80, below the 50-day MA of 3.20, and above the 200-day MA of 2.25, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.22 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VNCE.

Vince Holding Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
JL	63 Neutral	$22.31M	65.28	17.80%	―	30.48%	30.06%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
JRSH	56 Neutral	$38.99M	64.77	0.99%	6.75%	12.25%	―
VNCE	46 Neutral	$37.88M	-1.99	-33.24%	―	2.58%	-502.04%
XELB	45 Neutral	$6.39M	-0.16	-78.27%	―	-46.66%	24.23%
UFI	44 Neutral	$70.69M	-2.93	-9.61%	―	-5.26%	42.84%
CULP	41 Neutral	$48.06M	-4.47	-18.32%	―	-7.76%	49.20%

Vince Holding Corporate Events

Vince Holding Reports Solid Holiday Sales Growth Trend

On January 12, 2026, Vince Holding Corp. reported unaudited holiday sales results for the nine-week period ended January 3, 2026, with total company net sales rising 5.3% year over year. Growth was driven by a 9.7% increase in the direct-to-consumer segment, while wholesale sales declined 2.7%, reflecting both strength at key retail partners and ongoing disruption in receipt flow with Saks Global, which accounted for less than 7% of fiscal 2024 sales. Management said holiday performance tracked in line with prior guidance, with profitability metrics trending toward the high end of earlier ranges for the fourth quarter and full-year fiscal 2025, underscoring the benefits of investments in customer experience, e-commerce and disciplined pricing and cost management, even as the company continues to monitor potential impacts tied to its Saks Global relationship.

The most recent analyst rating on (VNCE) stock is a Buy with a $5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vince Holding stock, see the VNCE Stock Forecast page.

Vince Holding Reports Q3 Sales Growth Amid Challenges

In its Q3 Fiscal 2025 report, Vince Holding Corp. announced a 6.2% increase in total net sales compared to Q3 FY24, driven by growth in both wholesale and direct-to-consumer segments. Despite challenges like higher tariffs and freight costs, the company reported a gross profit increase of 4.6% to $41.9 million. Vince also launched new e-commerce capabilities and saw significant growth in site traffic due to marketing investments. Looking ahead, Vince anticipates continued sales growth in Q4, with expectations of a 3% to 7% increase in net sales, despite facing estimated incremental tariff costs.

The most recent analyst rating on (VNCE) stock is a Buy with a $4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vince Holding stock, see the VNCE Stock Forecast page.

Vince Holding Moves from NYSE to Nasdaq

On October 21, 2025, Vince Holding Corp. announced its transfer from the New York Stock Exchange to The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC, marking a significant milestone in the company’s growth trajectory. The transition, celebrated by ringing the Nasdaq Closing Bell on October 23, 2025, reflects Vince’s strategic vision and momentum in the luxury apparel industry, showcasing its transformation and promising future.

The most recent analyst rating on (VNCE) stock is a Buy with a $4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vince Holding stock, see the VNCE Stock Forecast page.