Vince Holding (VNCE)
NASDAQ:VNCE
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Vince Holding
(NASDAQ:VNCE)
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Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▲(47.06% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/25/26
The score is held back primarily by weak and inconsistent cash generation and a leveraged balance sheet despite an earnings rebound. Technical momentum is a clear positive, but overbought signals temper it. Guidance is constructive, yet tariff/freight pressure, inventory build, and wholesale disruption remain meaningful risks, while the credit-facility amendment offers only modest liquidity support.
Positive Factors
Direct-to-Consumer Momentum
Sustained DTC growth indicates stronger customer engagement, improved digital/store execution and higher margin mix versus wholesale. Over 2-6 months this channel resilience supports more predictable revenue, pricing power and a scalable platform for product expansions (men's, international, drop-ship).
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
High leverage for a cyclical apparel player limits strategic optionality and raises vulnerability to demand shocks. Even with lower interest expense, the tight capital structure constrains investment, forces conservative liquidity management and magnifies downside risk over months if cash flow weakens.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Direct-to-Consumer Momentum
Sustained DTC growth indicates stronger customer engagement, improved digital/store execution and higher margin mix versus wholesale. Over 2-6 months this channel resilience supports more predictable revenue, pricing power and a scalable platform for product expansions (men's, international, drop-ship).
Read all positive factors
Vince Holding (VNCE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$63.08M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)85.17K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.64
Revenue Growth2.23%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUS
Employees578
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryApparel - Manufacturers
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.18
Shares Outstanding12,847,294
10 Day Avg. Volume159,785
30 Day Avg. Volume85,168
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.04
Price to Book (P/B)0.70
Price to Sales (P/S)0.12
P/FCF Ratio-26.95
Enterprise Value/Market Cap2.93
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.62
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit1.24
Enterprise Value/Ebitda16.12
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$6.50Price Target Upside91.18% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)0.32
Revenue Forecast (FY)$311.37M
Vince Holding Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Vince Holding Corp. designs, merchandises, and sells luxury apparel and accessories in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Vince Wholesale, Vince Direct-to-Consumer, and Rebecca Taylor and Parker. The company...
How the Company Makes Money
Vince Holding makes money primarily by selling Vince-branded apparel and related products through two main revenue streams: (1) Direct-to-consumer (DTC) sales and (2) Wholesale sales. In DTC, the company earns revenue from sales made directly to e...
Vince Holding Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Net Sales by Segment
Breaks down revenue across Vince’s business lines—retail stores, e‑commerce, wholesale, and any licensing—so you can see which channels drive growth or drag on sales. Heavy reliance on one channel increases risk (for example, wholesale exposure to department store trends), while rising direct-to-consumer or online sales can point to stronger margins and more control over pricing.
Breaks down revenue across Vince’s business lines—retail stores, e‑commerce, wholesale, and any licensing—so you can see which channels drive growth or drag on sales. Heavy reliance on one channel increases risk (for example, wholesale exposure to department store trends), while rising direct-to-consumer or online sales can point to stronger margins and more control over pricing.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyVince Holding Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Apr 15, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call communicated clear momentum in the direct-to-consumer business, meaningful quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year improvements in several profitability metrics, constructive near-term guidance, and actionable growth initiatives (drop-ship expansion, men's growth, international flagships). However, notable headwinds remain from tariffs, freight, a wholesale disruption with Saks (including a $6M bad debt), gross margin pressure, and elevated inventory. Management presented these challenges as largely mitigated or manageable while emphasizing ongoing strategic tailwinds and confidence in fiscal 2026 performance.Positive Updates
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Total company net sales for Q4 increased 4.7% to $83.7M from $80.0M a year ago, driven by strength across channels.
Negative Updates
Tariff-Related Cost Pressures
Company faced approximately $8M of incremental tariff costs in fiscal 2025; tariffs drove ~300 basis points of gross margin pressure in Q4 and contributed to a year-over-year increase in inventory carrying value (~$4.8M attributed to tariffs). Management expects a reduced reciprocal tariff rate of 15% but does not assume tariff refunds.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Total company net sales for Q4 increased 4.7% to $83.7M from $80.0M a year ago, driven by strength across channels.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
For fiscal 2026 the company guided that Q1 net sales should grow approximately 8.5%–10.5%, with an adjusted operating loss of about –3.5% to –4.5% of net sales and adjusted EBITDA of roughly –1.5% to –2.5% of net sales (an improvement versus prior‑year Q1 adjusted EBITDA of –5.2%); for the full year it expects net sales growth of ~3%–6%, adjusted operating income of ~3.5%–4.0% of net sales and adjusted EBITDA of ~5.0%–5.5% of net sales (versus ~5% in fiscal 2025). Management’s outlook assumes a reduced reciprocal tariff rate of 15% but expects any benefit to be largely offset by higher fuel and shipping costs and does not assume tariff refunds, and they noted that the strong momentum from the end of fiscal 2025 has continued into fiscal 2026.Vince Holding Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
44
Neutral
Cash Flow
38
Negative
| Breakdown | Jan 2026 | Apr 2025 | Apr 2024 | Jan 2023 | Jan 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 300.01M | 293.45M | 292.89M | 357.44M | 322.68M |
| Gross Profit | 149.14M | 145.18M | 133.29M | 129.73M | 140.27M |
| EBITDA | 9.24M | -17.18M | 36.47M | -15.22M | 6.78M |
| Net Income | 6.38M | -19.05M | 25.45M | -38.35M | -12.70M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 225.04M | 222.74M | 225.15M | 303.35M | 337.23M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 498.00K | 607.00K | 357.00K | 1.08M | 1.06M |
| Total Debt | 122.39M | 122.36M | 128.46M | 204.57M | 208.56M |
| Total Liabilities | 174.94M | 180.98M | 178.00M | 283.09M | 281.45M |
| Stockholders Equity | 50.10M | 41.76M | 47.15M | 20.26M | 55.78M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -1.30M | 17.83M | 180.00K | -22.04M | -5.28M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 2.99M | 22.06M | 1.64M | -19.26M | -221.00K |
| Investing Cash Flow | -4.29M | -4.23M | 75.54M | 1.47M | -5.05M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 1.18M | -18.38M | -77.08M | 17.81M | 2.51M |
Vince Holding Technical Analysis
Positive
3.40
Price Trends
2.57
Positive
2.90
Positive
2.56
Positive
Market Momentum
0.15
Negative
73.30
Negative
76.53
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VNCE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.45, above the 50-day MA of 2.57, and above the 200-day MA of 2.56, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.30 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.53 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VNCE.
Vince Holding Risk Analysis
Vince Holding disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vince Holding reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Vince Holding Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
64 Neutral | $24.79M | 20.58 | 30.92% | ― | 30.49% | ― | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
52 Neutral | $63.08M | -2.44 | 13.43% | ― | 2.23% | ― | |
51 Neutral | $67.08M | -1.65 | -22.66% | ― | -8.53% | 33.29% | |
50 Neutral | $44.83M | 8.27 | 2.86% | 6.75% | 10.48% | ― | |
47 Neutral | $13.70M | -0.21 | -78.27% | ― | -40.20% | 45.51% | |
46 Neutral | $43.05M | -3.19 | -13.33% | ― | -6.24% | 54.60% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
VNCE
Vince Holding
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Vince Holding Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Vince Holding Amends Credit Facility to Boost Liquidity
Positive
Mar 19, 2026
On March 18, 2026, V Opco, LLC entered into a Second Amendment to its existing asset-based lending credit agreement with Bank of America and other lenders, modifying the definition of Eligible Trade Receivables. The amendment increases concentrati...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.