Vince Holding (VNCE) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $41.50M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 87.75K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): -0.09
• Revenue Growth: -0.49%
• EPS Growth: -1427.68%
• Country: US
• Employees: 578
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Apparel - Manufacturers
• EPS (TTM): 0.21
• Shares Outstanding: 12,968,548
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 95,570
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 87,751
• PEG Ratio: 0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.06
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.15
• P/FCF Ratio: 2.49
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 0.00
• 1Y Price Target: $4.50
• Price Target Upside: 32.74% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 59 Neutral
• Price Target: $3.50 ▲(3.24% Upside)

Vince Holding's overall stock score is driven by a strong earnings call performance and positive technical indicators, which are offset by significant financial challenges and valuation concerns. The company's strategic initiatives and debt reduction efforts are promising, but high leverage and negative profitability metrics remain key risks.

Positive Factors

Sales Growth

The consistent increase in net sales, particularly in both wholesale and direct-to-consumer segments, indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term revenue growth.

E-commerce Enhancements

Enhancements in e-commerce capabilities have led to improved customer engagement and sales efficiency, positioning the company for sustained growth in the digital retail space.

Debt Reduction

Significant reduction in long-term debt enhances financial stability and flexibility, allowing for reinvestment in growth initiatives and reducing financial risk.

Negative Factors

Declining Revenue

A substantial decline in revenue over the trailing twelve months suggests challenges in maintaining market share and demand, potentially impacting long-term financial health.

High Leverage

High leverage limits financial flexibility and increases vulnerability to economic downturns, posing a risk to long-term operational stability.

Gross Margin Decrease

The decrease in gross margin due to external cost pressures could erode profitability if not managed effectively, impacting long-term financial performance.

Vince Holding Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE) is a contemporary apparel and accessories brand headquartered in New York City. The company operates primarily in the fashion sector, offering a range of products that include women's and men's clothing, footwear, and accessories. Vince is known for its focus on luxury casual wear, blending timeless style with modern sensibilities. The brand is distributed through various channels, including its own retail stores, e-commerce platforms, and select wholesale partners.

How the Company Makes Money

Vince Holding generates revenue through multiple channels, primarily through direct-to-consumer sales from its retail stores and e-commerce website, as well as wholesale partnerships with department stores and specialty retailers. The company's revenue model is based on selling high-quality apparel and accessories at a premium price point, capitalizing on its brand identity and customer loyalty. Key revenue streams include sales from seasonal collections, limited edition releases, and ongoing promotions. Significant partnerships with major retailers enhance distribution, while e-commerce growth allows for broader market reach. Additionally, Vince may explore collaborations and licensing agreements to further expand its product offerings and revenue potential.

Vince Holding Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Vince Holding faces significant financial challenges with declining revenues, negative profitability, and high leverage. While there are some positive signs in cash flow growth, the company's financial stability is at risk due to operational inefficiencies and heavy reliance on debt.

Income Statement

Vince Holding's income statement shows a challenging financial position with declining revenue and negative profit margins. The TTM data indicates a significant revenue decline of 31.8%, and the company is operating at a net loss with a negative net profit margin of -5.75%. The gross profit margin remains relatively healthy at 50.2%, but the negative EBIT and EBITDA margins suggest operational inefficiencies.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.72, indicating significant financial risk. The return on equity is negative, reflecting the company's inability to generate profit from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is low, suggesting limited financial stability and a high reliance on debt financing.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows some positive trends with a substantial free cash flow growth rate of 70.7% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating some ability to convert earnings into cash flow. However, the overall cash flow position is still weak, with a high reliance on free cash flow to cover net income.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	296.25M	293.45M	292.89M	357.44M	322.68M	219.87M
Gross Profit	148.09M	145.18M	133.29M	137.97M	146.57M	88.60M
EBITDA	-14.43M	-17.18M	36.47M	-17.18M	6.78M	-52.14M
Net Income	-18.36M	-19.05M	25.45M	-38.35M	-12.70M	-63.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	246.00M	222.74M	225.15M	303.35M	337.23M	332.94M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.06M	607.00K	357.00K	1.08M	1.06M	3.78M
Total Debt	142.00M	122.36M	128.46M	204.57M	208.56M	203.71M
Total Liabilities	192.61M	180.98M	178.00M	283.09M	281.45M	265.04M
Stockholders Equity	53.39M	41.76M	47.15M	20.26M	55.78M	67.91M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	12.74M	17.83M	180.00K	-22.04M	-5.28M	-28.57M
Operating Cash Flow	10.01M	22.06M	1.64M	-19.26M	-221.00K	-25.07M
Investing Cash Flow	-5.67M	-4.23M	75.54M	1.47M	-5.05M	-3.50M
Financing Cash Flow	-4.16M	-18.38M	-77.08M	17.81M	2.51M	31.79M

Vince Holding Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 3.39
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VNCE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.39 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.68, above the 50-day MA of 2.83, and above the 200-day MA of 2.06, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.43 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.71 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VNCE.

Vince Holding Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
JL	64 Neutral	$16.36M	41.87	20.89%	―	38.26%	201.16%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
VNCE	59 Neutral	$41.50M	―	-32.91%	―	-0.49%	-1427.68%
JRSH	56 Neutral	$41.53M	50.39	0.99%	6.46%	12.25%	―
UFI	44 Neutral	$63.16M	―	-9.61%	―	-5.26%	42.84%
CULP	44 Neutral	$50.55M	-4.16	-19.05%	―	-7.91%	32.31%
XELB	40 Underperform	$5.49M	-0.12	-78.27%	―	-46.66%	24.23%

Vince Holding Corporate Events

Vince Holding Reports Q3 Sales Growth Amid Challenges

In its Q3 Fiscal 2025 report, Vince Holding Corp. announced a 6.2% increase in total net sales compared to Q3 FY24, driven by growth in both wholesale and direct-to-consumer segments. Despite challenges like higher tariffs and freight costs, the company reported a gross profit increase of 4.6% to $41.9 million. Vince also launched new e-commerce capabilities and saw significant growth in site traffic due to marketing investments. Looking ahead, Vince anticipates continued sales growth in Q4, with expectations of a 3% to 7% increase in net sales, despite facing estimated incremental tariff costs.

Vince Holding Moves from NYSE to Nasdaq

On October 21, 2025, Vince Holding Corp. announced its transfer from the New York Stock Exchange to The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC, marking a significant milestone in the company’s growth trajectory. The transition, celebrated by ringing the Nasdaq Closing Bell on October 23, 2025, reflects Vince’s strategic vision and momentum in the luxury apparel industry, showcasing its transformation and promising future.

Vince Holding to Transfer Listing to Nasdaq

On October 10, 2025, Vince Holding Corp. announced its decision to voluntarily delist its common stock from the New York Stock Exchange and transfer the listing to The Nasdaq Stock Market, effective around October 21, 2025. This strategic move is intended to align Vince with other innovative, growth-focused companies and support its long-term success, as stated by CEO Brendan Hoffman.