Vince Holding (VNCE) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $34.04M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 3.51M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 6.2
• Beta (1Y): 0.43
• Revenue Growth: -0.49%
• EPS Growth: -1427.68%
• Country: US
• Employees: 578
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 82
• Industry: Apparel - Manufacturers
• EPS (TTM): 0.38
• Shares Outstanding: 12,846,578
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 10,491,969
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 3,509,865
• PEG Ratio: 0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.06
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.15
• P/FCF Ratio: 2.49
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 4.49
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.52
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 1.05
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -9.92
• 1Y Price Target: $4.50
• Price Target Upside: 69.81% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1

• Rating: 55 Neutral
• Price Target: $2.50 ▼(-5.66% Downside)

The overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including declining revenues and high leverage, balanced by positive cash flow trends and strong earnings call performance. Technical analysis shows bullish momentum, but valuation metrics are poor, indicating potential overvaluation. The company's strategic management and resilience amidst challenges are notable positives.

Positive Factors

Direct-to-Consumer Growth

Growth in the direct-to-consumer segment indicates strong consumer engagement and brand loyalty, enhancing revenue stability and reducing reliance on wholesale channels.

Improved Gross Margin

Improved gross margins suggest better cost management and pricing power, which can lead to enhanced profitability and financial health over time.

Significant Debt Reduction

Reducing long-term debt improves financial flexibility and reduces interest burden, enhancing the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.

Negative Factors

Declining Revenue

A significant decline in revenue can indicate weakening market demand or competitive pressures, potentially impacting long-term growth prospects.

High Leverage

High leverage increases financial risk and limits the company's ability to respond to economic downturns or invest in new opportunities.

Negative Profit Margins

Negative profit margins indicate operational inefficiencies and can hinder the company's ability to generate sustainable profits and reinvest in growth.

Vince Holding Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Vince Holding Corp. designs, merchandises, and sells luxury apparel and accessories in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Vince Wholesale, Vince Direct-to-Consumer, and Rebecca Taylor and Parker. The company offers a range of women's products, such as cashmere sweaters, silk blouses, leather and suede leggings and jackets, dresses, skirts, denims, pants, t-shirts, footwear, outerwear, and accessories; and men's products comprising t-shirts, knit and woven tops, sweaters, denims, pants, blazers, footwear, and outerwear under the Vince brand. It also offers occasion-forward dresses, suiting, silk blouses, leather and tweed jackets, outerwear, jumpsuits, cotton dresses and blouses, denim, sweaters, pants, skirts and knit, and woven tops under the Rebecca Taylor and Parker brands. The company sells its products directly to consumers through its branded specialty retail stores and outlet stores, as well as through its vince.com e-commerce platform and subscription business through Vince Unfold, vinceunfold.com; and to wholesale department stores and specialty stores. As of January 29, 2022, it operated 86 stores, including 49 company-operated Vince full-price stores, 10 company-operated Rebecca Taylor full-price stores, 18 company-operated Vince outlet stores, and 8 company-operated Rebecca Taylor outlet stores. The company was formerly known as Apparel Holding Corp. and changed its name to Vince Holding Corp. in November 2013. Vince Holding Corp. was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

How the Company Makes Money

Vince Holding generates revenue through multiple streams including direct-to-consumer sales via its branded retail stores and e-commerce platform, as well as wholesale distribution to third-party retailers. The company emphasizes high-margin products and seasonal collections that attract affluent customers. Additionally, strategic partnerships with department stores and specialty retailers enhance its market reach and visibility, contributing to overall sales. Vince also focuses on customer loyalty and brand equity, which helps drive repeat purchases and sustain revenue growth over time.

Vince Holding Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Vince Holding faces significant financial challenges with declining revenue and profitability, high leverage, and negative net income. However, there are some positive signs in cash flow management, such as positive operating cash flow.

Income Statement

Vince Holding's income statement shows a challenging environment with declining revenue and profitability. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data reveals a negative EBIT and net income, indicating operational inefficiencies. The gross profit margin is relatively stable, but the net profit margin is negative, reflecting ongoing losses. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a notable decline from the previous periods.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet indicates high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio that suggests significant financial risk. Stockholders' equity has decreased, and the equity ratio is low, highlighting potential solvency concerns. The return on equity is negative due to persistent net losses, further emphasizing the need for improved financial management.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows some positive aspects, such as a positive operating cash flow in the TTM period. However, free cash flow has been volatile, with recent improvements not yet consistent. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, suggesting better cash generation relative to reported losses, but the free cash flow to net income ratio remains a concern.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	291.29M	293.45M	292.89M	357.44M	322.68M	219.87M
Gross Profit	146.24M	145.18M	133.29M	137.97M	146.57M	88.60M
EBITDA	-15.40M	-17.18M	36.47M	-17.18M	483.00K	-52.14M
Net Income	-16.74M	-19.05M	25.45M	-38.35M	-12.70M	-63.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	238.97M	222.74M	225.15M	303.35M	337.23M	332.94M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	777.00K	607.00K	357.00K	1.08M	1.06M	3.78M
Total Debt	133.92M	122.36M	128.46M	204.57M	208.56M	203.71M
Total Liabilities	189.68M	180.98M	178.00M	283.09M	281.45M	265.04M
Stockholders Equity	49.30M	41.76M	47.15M	20.26M	55.78M	67.91M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	22.94M	17.83M	180.00K	-22.04M	-5.28M	-28.57M
Operating Cash Flow	21.52M	22.06M	1.64M	-19.26M	-221.00K	-25.07M
Investing Cash Flow	-6.34M	-4.23M	75.54M	1.47M	-5.05M	-3.50M
Financing Cash Flow	-15.14M	-18.38M	-77.08M	17.81M	2.51M	31.79M

Vince Holding Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 2.65
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VNCE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.65 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.63, above the 50-day MA of 1.57, and above the 200-day MA of 2.10, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.65 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.04 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VNCE.

Vince Holding Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
SGC	67 Neutral	$188.27M	23.15	4.22%	4.75%	4.02%	-24.80%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.17B	12.71	-2.56%	3.03%	1.42%	-15.85%
VNCE	55 Neutral	$34.04M	6.22	-32.91%	―	-0.49%	-1427.68%
CULP	52 Neutral	$59.50M	―	-19.05%	―	-7.91%	32.31%
JRSH	52 Neutral	$44.07M	53.47	1.30%	5.76%	17.12%	―
UFI	42 Neutral	$82.81M	―	-7.94%	―	-1.87%	57.41%
XELB	39 Underperform	$7.00M	―	-65.44%	―	-42.62%	-7.75%

Vince Holding Corporate Events

Vince Holding Receives NYSE Compliance Plan Acceptance

On August 5, 2025, Vince Holding Corp. received an acceptance letter from the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) for its plan to regain compliance with the NYSE’s continued listing standards. This plan was necessitated by a notice on May 6, 2025, indicating the company’s market capitalization and stockholders’ equity were below the required $50 million threshold. Vince has until November 6, 2026, to meet these standards, during which time its compliance will be periodically monitored. Failure to comply could lead to delisting, affecting stock liquidity and market interest. The acceptance does not impact Vince’s business operations or SEC reporting requirements.

The most recent analyst rating on (VNCE) stock is a Buy with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vince Holding stock, see the VNCE Stock Forecast page.