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Wave Life Sciences (WVE)
NASDAQ:WVE

Wave Life Sciences (WVE) AI Stock Analysis

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WVE

Wave Life Sciences

(NASDAQ:WVE)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$15.00
▲(15.30% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (ongoing losses and negative cash flows) despite revenue growth. Offsetting this, the latest earnings call was constructive with meaningful clinical progress and runway visibility, while technicals are mixed (longer-term strength but near-term softness). Valuation remains difficult to assess due to negative earnings and no dividend data.
Positive Factors
Differentiated RNA medicines platform
Clinical translation of RNA editing (WVE-006) validates Wave’s stereopure oligonucleotide platform, creating a durable technological moat. A proven editing modality enables multiple therapeutic programs and platform leverage for new indications, improving long-term pipeline optionality and partnership value.
Compelling WVE-007 clinical profile
Dose-dependent, durable biomarker reductions and body-composition benefits suggest WVE-007 could offer less-frequent dosing and muscle-sparing advantages versus GLP-1s. This structural clinical differentiation supports sustainable competitive positioning in obesity therapeutics and long-term commercial potential.
Extended cash runway after capital raise
A materially extended runway into 3Q 2028 meaningfully reduces near-term financing pressure, allowing Wave to advance multiple pivotal/Phase 2 programs and de-risk development timelines. This funding horizon supports durable execution of clinical milestones and strategic partnering discussions.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative cash flow and unprofitability
Sustained negative operating and free cash flows indicate the business is not self-funding development. Over a multi-quarter horizon this necessitates continued external financing or partnerships, which can dilute shareholders or constrain strategic flexibility if clinical timelines slip or costs rise.
Rising R&D spend increases cash burn
Higher R&D outlays are needed to progress multiple programs, but they accelerate cash burn and pressure margins. Persistently rising development costs without near-term revenue inflection can shorten runway and heighten the need for dilutive funding or strategic trade-offs across projects.
Dependence on partnerships for late-stage execution
Reliance on external partners to advance registrational programs creates execution and timing risk: partner negotiations, shared control, or unfavorable economics could delay pivotal studies or commercialization, reducing capture of long-term value if partnerships are not secured on favorable terms.

Wave Life Sciences (WVE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Wave Life Sciences Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWave Life Sciences Ltd., a clinical stage genetic medicine company, designs, optimizes, and produces novel stereopure oligonucleotides through PRISM, a discovery and drug developing platform. It is developing oligonucleotides target ribonucleic acid to reduce the expression of disease-promoting proteins or restore the production of functional proteins, or modulate protein expression. The company also develops WVE-004, a C9orf72 molecule for the treatment of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis and frontotemporal dementia; WVE-003, a mutant huntingtin SNP3 molecule for the treatment of Huntington's disease; WVE-N531, an Exon 53 molecule for the treatment of Duchenne muscular dystrophy; and ATXN3, a discovery stage program for the treatment of spinocerebellar ataxia 3, as well as multiple preclinical programs for CNS disorders. In addition, it focuses on developing GalNAc-conjugated AIMers to treat hepatic indications comprising Alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency (AATD); and two preclinical programs, such as Usher syndrome type 2A (USH2A) and retinitis pigmentosa due to a P23H mutation in the RHO gene (RhoP23H) for the treatment of retinal diseases. It has collaboration agreements with Pfizer Inc., Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited, University of Oxford, University of Massachusetts, Western Washington University, Grenoble Institute of Neurosciences, IRBM S.p.A, University of Louisville, and University College London. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Singapore.
How the Company Makes MoneyWave Life Sciences generates revenue primarily through the development and commercialization of its therapeutic products. The company secures funding through partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies, which may involve upfront payments, milestone payments upon achieving specific development goals, and royalties on future sales. Additionally, Wave may receive grants and funding from government and research institutions aimed at supporting innovative medical research. Significant collaborations with industry leaders can enhance its financial stability and provide access to resources necessary for advancing its product pipeline.

Wave Life Sciences Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong positive sentiment, highlighting significant advancements in clinical trials, particularly with WVE-007 and WVE-006, along with financial improvement and a strong cash position. Although there were increased expenses and a decrease in cash equivalents, the overall progress and positive outlook on future developments outweighed these concerns.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Progress in WVE-007 Clinical Trials
WVE-007 showed significant and durable activin e reductions, with a 56% reduction for the 75-milligram cohort, 75% reduction for the 240-milligram cohort, and an 85% reduction for the 400-milligram cohort.
Advancements in RNA Editing
WVE-006 demonstrated the ability to address the root cause of AATD, achieving 64% wild-type mAAT and a 60% decrease in mutant z AAT protein.
Financial Improvement
Revenue for 2025 was $7.6 million, compared to negative $7.7 million in the prior year quarter, indicating a significant improvement.
Strong Cash Position
The company ended 2025 with $196.2 million in cash and cash equivalents, with additional ATM proceeds and committed GSK milestones extending the cash runway into Q2 2027.
Positive Engagement at Obesity Week
WVE-007 received significant attention for its potential to induce fat loss, preserve lean mass, and improve cardiometabolic health without negative GLP-1 class effects.
Negative Updates
Increased Expenses
Research and development expenses increased to $45.9 million from $41.2 million, driven by advancing inhibitory and RNA editing programs.
Decreased Cash and Equivalents
Cash and cash equivalents decreased from $302.1 million as of December 31, 2024, to $196.2 million at the end of 2025.
Company Guidance
During Wave Life Sciences Ltd.'s third quarter 2025 earnings call, key guidance and updates were provided on several fronts. The company's WVE-007 program demonstrated significant dose-dependent activin e reductions, with a 56% reduction in the 75 mg cohort, 75% in the 240 mg cohort, and 85% in the 400 mg cohort. These reductions support the potential for once or twice yearly dosing. In RNA editing, WVE-006 achieved AAT levels of nearly 13 micromolar, with 64% of AAT being wild-type mAAT and a 60% decrease in mutant z AAT protein, indicating a durable response. The company also plans to advance WVE-008 for PNPLA3 I148M liver disease, with an estimated 9 million homozygous carriers in the US and Europe. Financially, Wave reported a 2025 revenue of $7.6 million and a net loss of $53.9 million, ending the year with $196.2 million in cash and cash equivalents. The cash runway, supplemented by $72.1 million in additional ATM proceeds and GSK milestones, is expected to extend into Q2 2027.

Wave Life Sciences Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue is growing (16.27% TTM), but overall fundamentals remain weak due to ongoing losses (negative net profit and EBIT margins) and strained cash generation (negative operating and free cash flow with negative FCF growth). Leverage appears manageable (debt-to-equity 0.16), yet negative ROE and a low equity ratio point to limited financial stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Wave Life Sciences shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The company has achieved a positive revenue growth rate of 16.27% in the TTM period, indicating an upward trajectory in sales. However, profitability remains a significant concern, with negative net profit and EBIT margins, reflecting ongoing operational challenges and high costs relative to revenue.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.16, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, indicating that the company is not generating profit from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is also low, pointing to potential financial instability.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow analysis highlights significant challenges, with negative operating and free cash flows. The free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly above 1, indicating that cash flow is closely aligned with net income, albeit both are negative. The company faces liquidity issues, as evidenced by the negative free cash flow growth rate.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue109.23M108.30M113.31M3.65M40.96M20.08M
Gross Profit104.87M108.30M113.31M3.65M40.96M-110.87M
EBITDA-124.70M-101.74M-58.79M-152.61M-117.18M-145.26M
Net Income-121.95M-97.01M-57.51M-161.82M-122.25M-149.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets241.38M352.21M274.95M146.39M207.01M279.24M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments196.22M302.08M200.35M88.50M150.56M184.50M
Total Debt19.77M25.40M32.12M37.61M29.92M29.30M
Total Liabilities116.83M142.69M235.32M191.48M174.51M188.59M
Stockholders Equity124.55M209.51M39.63M-45.09M32.50M90.65M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-198.17M-151.96M-20.55M-129.14M-89.55M-117.32M
Operating Cash Flow-197.37M-151.03M-19.43M-127.78M-88.99M-115.98M
Investing Cash Flow-805.00K-938.00K-1.11M-1.25M-560.00K-1.34M
Financing Cash Flow83.52M253.89M132.53M67.19M55.83M154.54M

Wave Life Sciences Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price13.01
Price Trends
50DMA
13.34
Negative
100DMA
10.38
Positive
200DMA
8.94
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.34
Positive
RSI
41.92
Neutral
STOCH
13.42
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WVE, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 13.01 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.25, below the 50-day MA of 13.34, and above the 200-day MA of 8.94, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.34 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.42 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for WVE.

Wave Life Sciences Risk Analysis

Wave Life Sciences disclosed 73 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Wave Life Sciences reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Wave Life Sciences Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$1.68B47.0815.02%1128.17%
59
Neutral
$1.58B-507.72%59.20%-155.65%
59
Neutral
$1.82B-8.34-52.49%1137.19%70.51%
56
Neutral
$1.26B-9.94-23.41%-37.07%
54
Neutral
$1.07B-6.22-39.73%4.29%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$2.33B-17.41-86.51%103.75%33.84%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WVE
Wave Life Sciences
13.01
1.44
12.45%
PGEN
Precigen
4.53
3.18
235.56%
STOK
Stoke Therapeutics
31.07
19.59
170.64%
ORIC
Oric Pharmaceuticals
10.76
0.34
3.26%
NUVB
Nuvation Bio
5.34
3.03
131.17%
RAPP
Rapport Therapeutics, Inc.
26.75
10.34
63.01%

Wave Life Sciences Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Wave Life Sciences sets 2026 strategy, highlights obesity program
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

On January 12, 2026, Wave Life Sciences outlined its 2026 strategic priorities, centered on accelerating development of its investigational INHBE-targeting siRNA WVE-007 for obesity and advancing its RNA editing pipeline, while presenting at the 44th Annual J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference. The company reported that 2025 single-dose data from the INLIGHT trial showed WVE-007 produced three-month fat loss comparable to GLP-1 therapies with preserved muscle and potential once- or twice-yearly dosing, and it plans to deliver additional higher-dose and longer follow-up data throughout 2026, initiate a Phase 2a multidose study in higher-BMI patients with comorbidities in the first half of 2026, and start new trials of WVE-007 as both an add-on to incretin drugs and as post-incretin maintenance. Wave highlighted continued progress in RNA editing with WVE-006 for alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency, with further RestorAATion-2 data from higher-dose cohorts expected in 2026, and said it plans to file a clinical trial application in 2026 for WVE-008 targeting an estimated nine million individuals with homozygous PNPLA3 I148M liver disease in the U.S. and Europe. The company is also developing a bifunctional oligonucleotide modality that combines RNAi and RNA editing in a single construct, expects additional updates on this platform in 2026, and is advancing WVE-N531 toward a planned 2026 new drug application for Duchenne muscular dystrophy and preparing a potentially registrational Phase 2/3 program for Huntington’s disease candidate WVE-003, contingent on partnering. Wave reported preliminary, unaudited cash and cash equivalents of approximately $602 million as of December 31, 2025, supporting an expected cash runway into the third quarter of 2028, a level of funding that underpins its expanded clinical agenda and positions the company as an increasingly prominent player in competitive obesity and genetic liver and neuromuscular disease markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (WVE) stock is a Buy with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wave Life Sciences stock, see the WVE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Wave Life Sciences Announces Public Offering for $402.5 Million
Positive
Dec 11, 2025

On December 9, 2025, Wave Life Sciences announced an underwritten public offering of 15,789,475 ordinary shares at $19.00 per share and pre-funded warrants for 2,631,578 shares at $18.9999 each, expecting gross proceeds of approximately $402.5 million. The offering, which includes an option for underwriters to purchase additional shares, is anticipated to close on December 11, 2025, and will support the company’s operations into the third quarter of 2028, enhancing its market positioning and financial stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (WVE) stock is a Hold with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wave Life Sciences stock, see the WVE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Wave Life Sciences Announces Positive Phase 1 Trial Results
Positive
Dec 8, 2025

On December 8, 2025, Wave Life Sciences announced positive interim data from its Phase 1 INLIGHT trial for WVE-007, a treatment for obesity. The trial showed significant improvements in body composition, including reductions in visceral and total body fat and an increase in lean mass, with a favorable safety profile. These results suggest the potential for WVE-007 to be a transformative obesity treatment with once or twice-yearly dosing, addressing the limitations of current GLP-1 therapies. The company is planning Phase 2 trials and expects further data updates in 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (WVE) stock is a Hold with a $7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wave Life Sciences stock, see the WVE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Wave Life Sciences Highlights RNA Platform Advancements
Positive
Nov 17, 2025

On November 17, 2025, Wave Life Sciences updated its corporate presentation, emphasizing advancements in its RNA medicines platform. The company highlighted its robust pipeline, including the WVE-007 program for obesity, which aims to offer a novel treatment approach with potential benefits over current therapies. This update underscores Wave Life Sciences’ strategic positioning in the RNA medicines market, potentially impacting its competitive stance and offering new opportunities for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (WVE) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wave Life Sciences stock, see the WVE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Wave Life Sciences Reports Positive INLIGHT Trial Results
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

On October 29, 2025, Wave Life Sciences announced positive results from its INLIGHT clinical trial of WVE-007 for obesity, showing significant dose-dependent reductions in Activin E levels, which are linked to fat loss. The company also introduced WVE-008, a new RNA editing candidate for liver disease, and highlighted its advancements in RNA editing and silencing technologies, positioning itself as a leader in RNA medicines.

The most recent analyst rating on (WVE) stock is a Buy with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wave Life Sciences stock, see the WVE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 12, 2026