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Winmark Corp. (WINA)
NASDAQ:WINA
US Market

Winmark (WINA) AI Stock Analysis

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WINA

Winmark

(NASDAQ:WINA)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$445.00
▲(8.30% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/20/26
The score is driven primarily by strong profitability and high-quality cash flow, tempered by balance sheet risk (negative equity and meaningful leverage). Technicals are supportive with an upward trend and positive momentum indicators, while a high P/E multiple keeps the valuation component below average. Recent corporate updates add a modest positive tilt via earnings/revenue growth and continued dividend activity.
Positive Factors
High cash generation
Winmark consistently converts earnings into sizable operating and free cash flow. This high-quality cash generation supports debt service, regular dividends, and reinvestment in technology and franchise support, providing durable liquidity and financial flexibility even if revenue growth is muted.
Exceptional margins
The company’s franchising model produces very high gross and net margins due to low capital intensity and recurring royalty economics. These durable margins cushion profitability through sales volatility, fund shareholder returns and reinvestment, and sustain strong cash returns over time.
Franchise scale and model
A diversified portfolio of resale franchise brands with large system-wide sales provides scale in marketing and brand recognition. The asset-light franchise model yields recurring royalties, initial fees and low capital needs, enabling scalable earnings and resilience to localized retail disruptions.
Negative Factors
Weak balance sheet / negative equity
Negative shareholder equity and sizable debt versus a small asset base create structural leverage that reduces financial flexibility. This elevates refinancing, covenant and solvency risk if cash flow deteriorates, making the capital structure a persistent vulnerability despite strong cash generation.
Inconsistent revenue growth
Top-line growth has been inconsistent and largely flat, limiting sustainable earnings expansion. With profitability reliant on margin strength rather than sales growth, future EPS gains depend on modest franchise openings or same-store sales increases, constraining long-term upside.
Franchisee economics risk from new fees
Raising recurring fees and marketing levies boosts company revenue but may strain franchisee margins. If franchisees resist or experience profitability pressure, Winmark could face slower openings, higher churn or weaker system sales, which would erode the royalty base and long-term growth prospects.

Winmark (WINA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Winmark Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWinmark Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a franchisor of retail store concepts that buy, sell, trade, and consign used merchandise primarily in the United States and Canada. The company operates through two segments, Franchising and Leasing. Its franchises retail stores operate under the Plato's Closet, Once Upon A Child, Play It Again Sports, Style Encore, and Music Go Round brand names. The company's Plato's Closet brand stores buys and sells used clothing and accessories for the teenage and young adult market; and Once Upon A Child brand stores buys and sells used and new children's clothing, toys, furniture, equipment, and accessories primarily to parents of children ages infant to 12 years. Its Play It Again Sports brand stores buys, sells, trades in, and used and new sporting goods, equipment, and accessories for various athletic activities, such as team sports, fitness, ski/snowboard, golf, and others; Style Encore brand stores buys and sells used women's apparel, shoes, and accessories; and Music Go Round brand stores buys, sells, trades in, and used and new musical instruments, speakers, amplifiers, music-related electronics, and related accessories. In addition, the company is also involved in the middle-market equipment leasing business focusing on technology and business-essential equipment. As of February 23, 2022, it had 1,271 franchised stores, as well as offers its products online at musicgoround.com, playitagainsports.com, and style-encore.com. Winmark Corporation was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.
How the Company Makes MoneyWinmark primarily makes money through franchising economics tied to its portfolio of resale retail brands. Its key revenue streams include: (1) ongoing royalties from franchisees, generally based on a percentage of franchisee retail sales; (2) initial franchise fees paid by new franchisees when they sign franchise agreements to open a store; and (3) other franchise-related fees and income, which can include items such as renewal, transfer, and related contractual fees (specific components may vary by agreement and period). Because most stores are independently owned and operated, franchisees typically bear store-level costs (rent, labor, inventory purchases from customers, etc.), while Winmark earns higher-margin revenue from the contractual fees and royalties associated with systemwide sales. The company’s earnings are therefore influenced by the number of franchised locations, same-store sales performance across the franchise base, new store openings, and franchisee compliance with brand standards. Winmark also has historically generated some income from leasing activities associated with franchise operations; if specific current details are not available for this data point, null.

Winmark Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and cash generation (high margins; consistently strong operating and free cash flow) are partially offset by a materially weak balance sheet structure, including negative equity and sizable debt relative to assets.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Profitability is a clear strength: the company posts exceptionally high gross profit margins (roughly 93%–96% annually) and very strong net profit margins (about 45%–51%) across the period. Earnings have been consistently high and stable, with net income holding near ~$39–42M in recent years. The main weakness is growth: revenue has been largely flat over the last several years with some volatility (down in 2020, strong rebound in 2021, slight decline in 2024, then a return to growth in 2025).
Balance Sheet
34
Negative
The balance sheet is the primary concern. Stockholders’ equity is negative in every year provided (roughly -$11M to -$62M), which reduces financial flexibility and makes leverage look structurally elevated. Total debt is sizable relative to the company’s asset base (debt of ~$62M–$78M versus total assets of ~$24M–$31M in recent years). While profitability is strong, the negative equity profile and high debt burden increase risk if operating conditions weaken.
Cash Flow
90
Very Positive
Cash generation is excellent and high-quality. Operating cash flow is consistently strong (~$42M–$48M), and free cash flow is similarly robust (~$39M–$48M), with free cash flow closely tracking net income (about ~0.90–1.00x). Free cash flow growth has been volatile year-to-year (notably down in 2022 and 2024, up strongly in 2025), but overall cash conversion remains a major strength and supports debt service capacity.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue86.06M81.29M83.24M81.41M78.22M
Gross Profit82.95M77.87M78.38M76.71M73.43M
EBITDA56.68M55.20M55.52M54.57M52.01M
Net Income41.65M39.95M40.18M39.42M39.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets24.88M26.84M28.97M30.46M26.90M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.46M12.19M13.44M13.96M14.30M
Total Debt64.79M63.04M72.78M77.57M52.42M
Total Liabilities78.57M77.89M88.12M92.09M65.98M
Stockholders Equity-53.68M-51.05M-59.16M-61.63M-39.08M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow44.70M41.96M43.61M40.11M48.06M
Operating Cash Flow44.90M42.16M43.99M43.79M48.35M
Investing Cash Flow-192.30K-194.90K-383.90K-3.67M-283.10K
Financing Cash Flow-46.57M-43.02M-43.90M-37.88M-43.31M

Winmark Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price410.88
Price Trends
50DMA
444.28
Negative
100DMA
429.44
Negative
200DMA
424.36
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-9.57
Positive
RSI
38.58
Neutral
STOCH
7.41
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WINA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 410.88 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 442.90, below the 50-day MA of 444.28, and below the 200-day MA of 424.36, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -9.57 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.41 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WINA.

Winmark Risk Analysis

Winmark disclosed 15 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Winmark reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Winmark Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$1.47B34.963.35%3.35%1.97%
71
Outperform
$1.10B41.128.68%27.84%
70
Outperform
$928.56M31.0014.46%31.20%38.38%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
$1.21B65.395.37%6.45%-102.30%
53
Neutral
$440.82M-38.47-34.47%-4.90%50.77%
50
Neutral
$309.69M11.58-3.56%1.38%63.65%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WINA
Winmark
410.88
92.29
28.97%
LQDT
Liquidity Services
29.94
-2.79
-8.52%
BNED
Barnes & Noble Education
9.03
-1.61
-15.13%
TDUP
thredUP
3.47
0.66
23.49%
RERE
ATRenew Inc. Sponsored ADR
5.01
1.95
63.73%
SVV
Savers Value Village Inc.
7.79
0.80
11.44%

Winmark Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Winmark Introduces New Fees for Plato’s Closet Franchisees
Neutral
Mar 16, 2026

On March 16, 2026, Winmark Corporation told its franchisees it will introduce a monthly software fee and a North American advertising fund for Plato’s Closet stores, moves that will increase both company revenues and related expenses. Beginning September 1, 2026, franchisees will pay $295 per location each month for use, support, and modernization of Winmark’s point-of-sale system, which is expected to generate about $400,000 per month for ongoing technology investment.

For Plato’s Closet, a new ad fund taking effect July 1, 2026 will require franchisees to contribute 2% of sales, raising their total marketing spend obligation from 5% to 6% of sales. While the ad fund, which would have totaled about $13.5 million based on 2025 sales, is intended to boost brand visibility and marketing infrastructure, Winmark acknowledged the higher fees could strain franchisee relations and system performance if operators view the initiatives as costly or misaligned with their needs.

The most recent analyst rating on (WINA) stock is a Buy with a $510.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Winmark stock, see the WINA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Winmark Posts Higher 2025 Earnings and Revenue Growth
Positive
Feb 18, 2026

On February 18, 2026, Winmark reported that for the fiscal year ended December 27, 2025, net income rose to $41.7 million, or $11.30 per diluted share, from $40.0 million, or $10.89 per diluted share, in 2024, while annual revenue increased to $86.1 million from $81.3 million. Fourth-quarter 2025 net income edged up to $10.0 million from $9.6 million a year earlier as the company stepped up spending on marketing, technology and innovation to bolster its franchise network, moves that lifted selling, general and administrative costs but were positioned as strengthening its long-term business model.

The most recent analyst rating on (WINA) stock is a Buy with a $508.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Winmark stock, see the WINA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Winmark Declares Quarterly Dividend, Highlights Strong Franchise Sales
Positive
Jan 28, 2026

On January 28, 2026, Winmark Corporation announced that its board had approved a quarterly cash dividend of $0.96 per share, payable on March 2, 2026 to shareholders of record as of the close of business on February 11, 2026, reinforcing the company’s ongoing capital-return program to investors. At its annual franchise conference on January 27, 2026, the company also reported system-wide sales of $1.7 billion for the fiscal year ended December 27, 2025 across its franchise network, underscoring the scale and revenue-generating performance of its resale-focused franchise system.

The most recent analyst rating on (WINA) stock is a Buy with a $481.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Winmark stock, see the WINA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 20, 2026