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Cactus Inc (WHD)
NYSE:WHD

Cactus (WHD) AI Stock Analysis

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WHD

Cactus

(NYSE:WHD)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$56.00
▲(3.70% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/27/26
The score is supported primarily by strong financial quality—low leverage and consistently positive cash generation. It is tempered by weaker near-term technical setup (below short-term moving averages) and earnings-call risks pointing to near-term margin dilution and softer orders/backlog at the acquired business, while valuation metrics (P/E and low dividend yield) do not provide a strong offset.
Positive Factors
Balance sheet strength
Extremely low leverage and a growing equity base provide durable financial flexibility. With debt-to-equity near 0.03, Cactus can fund capex, dividends and acquisitions with limited refinancing risk, withstand oil-cycle swings and preserve investment capacity over multiple years.
Consistent cash generation
Reliable operating and free cash flow with strong conversion ratios supports sustainable capital allocation. Consistent FCF funds maintenance and growth capex, dividends and integration spending, reducing reliance on external debt and enabling resilient operations across industry cycles.
Transformational acquisition and scale
Acquiring a controlling stake in Baker Hughes’ surface pressure control business materially expands geographic footprint and installed base. Targeted synergies and supply‑chain scale should lower input costs and broaden international revenue streams, strengthening competitive position over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Order slowdown at acquired business
A meaningful backlog contraction at Cactus International reduces revenue visibility and delays expected cash flow from the acquisition. Prolonged order softness raises the risk that acquisition payback and projected synergies take longer, pressuring margins and returns in 2026–2027.
Near-term margin dilution and integration costs
Purchase accounting, higher D&A and inventory amortization alongside transaction and integration expenses create structural near‑term margin headwinds. If synergy realization is slower than planned, these items can permanently depress reported margins and compress returns on the enlarged business.
Cooling revenue trend and 2025 data risk
Top-line cooling into 2025 combined with implausible 2025 margin reporting undermines clarity on sustainable earnings power. Data‑quality or one‑time classification issues reduce forecasting confidence and complicate assessment of durable profitability and margin trends over the next 2–6 months.

Cactus (WHD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cactus Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCactus, Inc. designs, manufactures, sells, and rents a range of wellheads and pressure control equipment in the United States, Australia, China, and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company's principal products include Cactus SafeDrill wellhead systems, Cactus SafeLink monobore, SafeClamp, and SafeInject systems, as well as frac stacks, zipper manifolds, and production trees. It also provides field services, such as 24-hour service crews to assist with the installation, maintenance, repair, and safe handling of the wellhead and pressure control equipment; and repair and refurbishment services. The company sells or rents its products for onshore unconventional oil and gas wells for drilling, completion, and production phases of the wells. In addition, it operates 15 service centers in the United States, as well as 3 service centers in Eastern Australia. Cactus, Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyCactus generates revenue through the sale and rental of its wellhead and pressure control equipment, which are essential for managing the flow of oil and gas during extraction. The company has a robust revenue model that includes direct sales to exploration and production companies, as well as long-term contracts for equipment rentals and maintenance services. Key revenue streams include new product sales, aftermarket services, and rental income. Additionally, Cactus benefits from strategic partnerships with major oil and gas companies, which ensure a steady demand for its products and services, thus contributing significantly to its overall earnings.

Cactus Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 25, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call communicated a mix of solid core profitability, strong cash position, and a transformative acquisition that management believes will drive material supply‑chain synergies and international growth over the medium term. Near‑term headwinds include seasonal softness in Spoolable Technologies, modest sequential declines in total revenue and EBITDA, integration and transaction costs, tariff uncertainty, and an observed order slowdown at the recently acquired Cactus International that may pressure margins and results through 2026. Management's tone was optimistic about long‑term upside (synergies, market share gains in the Middle East, Vietnam ramp), but realistic about short‑term dilution and timing of benefits.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Total Company Results — Strong Profitability
Q4 revenue of $261 million; adjusted EBITDA of $85 million and adjusted EBITDA margin of 32.7% (only a 20 bps decline from Q3's 32.9%). GAAP net income of $48 million and adjusted net income of $52 million ($0.65 per share).
Pressure Control Segment Outperformance
Pressure Control Q4 revenue of $178 million, up 5.8% sequentially; operating income increased $4.1 million (9.3% sequential increase) and operating margins expanded by 90 basis points; adjusted segment EBITDA rose 7.2% sequentially with margins improving ~50 basis points. Management states U.S. Pressure Control is performing at its highest level since company inception.
Successful Close of Transformational Acquisition (Cactus International)
Closed majority interest in Baker Hughes Surface Pressure Control (Cactus International) on Jan 1. Acquisition described as transformational with large installed base, geographic scale in Mid‑East, and expected supply‑chain synergies; management reiterated a target of $10 million annualized synergies and noted visibility into meaningful supply chain savings into 2027.
Cash and Capital Allocation Strength
Ended the quarter with $495 million in cash (including $371 million held in escrow for the acquisition) — a sequential increase of $49 million despite a $23 million cash TRA payment and acquisition-related disbursements. Board approved and paid a quarterly dividend of $0.14 per share.
Spoolable Technologies — International Momentum and Product Innovation
Although seasonally down in Q4, Spoolable reported a record level of international products sold in 2025. Management is introducing several new SKUs and expects pilots with a large Mid‑East customer in 2026 that should benefit 2027 revenues and competitive moat.
Controlled CapEx and 2026 Guidance
Q4 net CapEx of ~$4 million and FY2025 net CapEx of $39 million (in line with prior guidance). FY2026 net CapEx guidance of $40–$50 million, including investments in Cactus International, FlexSteel manufacturing efficiencies, U.S. branch upgrades, and Saudi Wellhead facility enhancements.
Operational Outlook — Pressure Control Revenue Guidance
Q1 Pressure Control revenue guidance of ~$295–305 million with expected international contribution of ~$130–140 million; management expects modestly softer U.S. product sales per rig but stable drilling/completion activity.
API/Vietnam Ramp and Tariff Mitigation Progress
Vietnam facility ramping with API certification expected early in Q2, enabling displacement of China shipments and materially lower tariff exposure (Vietnam tariffs ~50% vs China 75% on many goods), which should improve margins as production shifts.
Negative Updates
Sequential Revenue and EBITDA Slight Declines
Total company revenues declined 1% sequentially; adjusted EBITDA declined 1.7% sequentially (from $87M to $85M), and adjusted EBITDA margin slipped from 32.9% to 32.7%.
Spoolable Technologies Seasonal Weakness and Margin Compression
Spoolable revenues fell 11.6% sequentially to $84 million as expected due to seasonality; operating income decreased $4.9 million (down 18.9% sequentially) and operating margins compressed by 220 basis points. Adjusted segment EBITDA decreased $4.9 million (13.6% sequential decline) with margins down ~90 basis points.
Near-Term Dilution to Pressure Control Margins from Acquisition
Management expects Pressure Control adjusted EBITDA margins to decline to ~23–25% in Q1, largely due to the inclusion of Cactus International and purchase price accounting (inventory write-up amortization and higher D&A).
Cactus International — Order Slowdown and Backlog Contraction
Cactus International recorded $627 million revenue in 2025 (including unbilled revenue), but backlog declined from over $600 million at 2024 year‑end to ~ $550 million at the end of 2025, reflecting an order slowdown; company expects 2026 to more closely resemble 2024 and anticipates order recovery in H2 2026 into 2027.
Integration and Transaction Costs
Q4 adjustments included $3.3 million of transaction professional fees, $164k of additional restructuring charges, and $6 million of noncash stock‑based compensation; corporate & other expenses rose $0.7 million sequentially to $9.7 million, pressuring adjusted corporate EBITDA to a ~$4.7 million expense in Q4.
Tariff Uncertainty and Near-Term Cost Headwinds
Significant tariff exposure remains (reported tariffs up to 75% on many China imports and 50% for Vietnam on certain sections), creating uncertainty on future input costs and margins until Vietnam/API ramp fully displaces China volumes.
Tax, D&A and Purchase Accounting Headwinds
Q4 depreciation & amortization was $16 million (including $4M amortization from FlexSteel acquisition). Q1 D&A expected to rise to ~$21 million ($12M Pressure Control incl. Cactus International). Purchase price allocation and tax effects (estimated effective tax rate ~20% and adjusted EPS tax rate ~24%) will influence near‑term reported results.
Near-Term Market Softness
Management noted domestic and international markets remain soft in the near term; Spoolable expects Q1 revenue down mid‑single digits sequentially from Q4 and margins to step down (33–35%) due to lower operating leverage and somewhat higher input costs.
One-Time Cash Outflows
Q4 cash outflows included a $23 million TRA payment and ~$11 million for the quarterly dividend (including related distributions), which—while manageable given cash balances—are notable near‑term cash uses ahead of integration investments.
Company Guidance
Guidance highlights: for Q1 the company expects Pressure Control revenue of $295–$305 million (with international contributing ~$130–$140 million) and Pressure Control adjusted EBITDA margins of 23%–25% (excludes ~ $4M of stock‑based comp and amortization of Cactus inventory); Spoolable Technologies revenue is expected to be down mid‑single digits sequentially with adjusted EBITDA margins of ~33%–35% (excludes ~ $1M SBC); adjusted corporate EBITDA is expected to be a charge of ~$(5)M (excludes ~ $2M SBC). Additional metrics: Q1 total D&A is expected to be ~$21M ($12M Pressure Control including Cactus International, $9M Spoolable); Q1 effective tax rate ~20% (adjusted EPS tax ~24%); FY2026 net CapEx guide is $40–50M (FY2025 net CapEx was $39M; Q4 net CapEx ~$4M). On Cactus International: it closed Jan 1, generated $627M revenue in 2025, ended 2025 backlog at ~ $550M (was >$600M at 2024 close), the company targets $10M of annualized synergies within 1 year and expects meaningful supply‑chain savings into 2027, and sees 2026 more in line with 2024 with order pick‑up in H2 2026 into 2027. Tariff notes: Sections 301/232 remain ~75% on most China imports, Vietnam Section 232 ~50% (API monogram expected early Q2 to enable U.S. displacement).

Cactus Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong balance sheet (very low leverage, growing equity base) and consistently positive operating/free cash flow support a solid financial profile. Offsetting factors are cooling/negative top-line trajectory into 2025 and reduced confidence in the latest-year income statement due to implausible margin presentation.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Revenue expanded strongly from 2021–2024 (with a step-up in 2022–2023), but growth cooled in 2024 and appears to decline in 2025. Profitability is generally solid for the period (net margin mostly in the mid-teens and EBIT/EBITDA margins healthy in 2021–2024), supporting consistent earnings power. A key weakness is the 2025 annual set showing implausible margin structure (e.g., gross margin at 0% and EBIT/EBITDA margins at 100%), which raises data-quality/one-time classification risk and reduces confidence in the latest-year trend.
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
The balance sheet looks conservatively financed: total debt remains low and leverage is minimal (debt-to-equity consistently well below 0.10, improving to ~0.03 in the latest year). Equity and assets have grown meaningfully over time, indicating a strengthening capital base. Returns on equity were strong in 2022–2024 (roughly high-teens), though the lack of a 2025 return metric limits visibility into the most recent profitability on capital.
Cash Flow
81
Very Positive
Cash generation is a clear strength: operating cash flow and free cash flow are consistently positive, and free cash flow has generally tracked net income well (free cash flow to net income ~0.76–0.88 across years). Cash conversion improved materially after 2021 (when operating cash flow was below net income), with operating cash flow covering net income comfortably in 2022–2025. The main weakness is volatility in free cash flow growth (declines in 2021 and 2024, sharp rebound in 2023 and again in 2025), suggesting sensitivity to working capital and/or cycle effects.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.08B1.13B1.10B688.37M438.59M
Gross Profit589.30M436.39M406.29M242.45M121.45M
EBITDA1.14B363.54M332.35M211.57M111.73M
Net Income166.01M185.41M169.17M110.17M49.59M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.87B1.74B1.52B1.12B982.08M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments494.58M342.84M133.79M344.53M301.67M
Total Debt37.75M41.72M39.97M35.52M33.21M
Total Liabilities438.57M475.15M457.79M408.45M387.05M
Stockholders Equity1.43B1.07B865.52M571.92M468.64M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow217.21M276.94M296.30M89.59M49.82M
Operating Cash Flow256.02M316.11M340.28M117.88M63.76M
Investing Cash Flow-39.06M-35.39M-654.79M-25.54M-11.63M
Financing Cash Flow-66.66M-70.14M103.28M-47.38M-39.39M

Cactus Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price54.00
Price Trends
50DMA
52.82
Positive
100DMA
46.95
Positive
200DMA
44.63
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.59
Positive
RSI
45.66
Neutral
STOCH
33.87
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WHD, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 54 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 56.99, above the 50-day MA of 52.82, and above the 200-day MA of 44.63, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.59 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.87 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for WHD.

Cactus Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$3.53B10.1439.64%8.71%72.09%
75
Outperform
$6.64B6.8536.35%6.81%-61.94%
69
Neutral
$4.31B22.4514.45%1.16%-3.76%-11.00%
69
Neutral
$7.56B17.7628.89%1.25%-10.19%-23.74%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
62
Neutral
$7.30B52.392.29%3.24%-1.43%-63.13%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WHD
Cactus
54.00
4.16
8.35%
NOV
NOV
20.26
6.59
48.24%
OII
Oceaneering International
35.50
14.77
71.25%
WFRD
Weatherford International
105.46
49.42
88.19%
VAL
Valaris
95.85
63.00
191.78%

Cactus Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Cactus Announces Board Transition Amid Strong 2025 Results
Positive
Feb 26, 2026

On February 22, 2026, Cactus director Melissa Law informed the company she would not stand for re-election at the 2026 annual meeting, with the board now evaluating succession candidates and emphasizing that her decision reflects no disagreements over operations or policies. This board transition comes as Cactus reported fourth-quarter 2025 revenue of $261.2 million, net income of $48.3 million and strong margins, supported by outperformance in its Pressure Control segment and offset by seasonal softness in Spoolable Technologies.

For full year 2025, Cactus generated $1.08 billion of revenue, $201.6 million of net income and healthy cash flow from operations, ending December 31, 2025 with $494.6 million in cash and no bank debt, while incurring acquisition-related costs tied to its FlexSteel and Baker Hughes surface pressure control deals. The January 1, 2026 closing of the majority stake in Baker Hughes’ Surface Pressure Control business, now Cactus International, marks a transformational acquisition that management says will diversify earnings geographically, bolster the Pressure Control segment and position the company for long-term growth despite a flat near-term U.S. land activity outlook and macro headwinds.

The most recent analyst rating on (WHD) stock is a Buy with a $73.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cactus stock, see the WHD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Cactus Grants RSUs, Names CEO for New Joint Venture
Positive
Jan 5, 2026

On December 30, 2025, in connection with the closing of its joint venture with Baker Hughes known as Cactus International, Cactus, Inc. approved a one-time grant of restricted stock units effective January 1, 2026 for key executives Stephen Tadlock, Jay A. Nutt, and Steven Bender, with awards structured to vest ratably over two- and three-year periods and sized between $300,000 and $500,000. The grants, aimed at retaining these identified key leaders, accompanied the appointment of Tadlock—previously Executive Vice President and head of the Spoolable Technologies segment—as Chief Executive Officer of Cactus International, a move that underscores the company’s focus on leadership continuity and management stability as it integrates and scales the new joint venture within its broader operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (WHD) stock is a Buy with a $53.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cactus stock, see the WHD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Cactus Completes Transformational Surface Pressure Control Acquisition
Positive
Jan 2, 2026

On January 2, 2025, Cactus, Inc. completed its previously announced acquisition of a 65% controlling interest in Baker Hughes Company’s Surface Pressure Control business, a move the company described as transformational because it broadens its geographic footprint and opens access to new growth markets while reinforcing its focus on safety, customer execution, margins and returns. In connection with the transaction, the parties entered into an amended and restated LLC Agreement for their joint venture that sets out an exit option for Baker Hughes and Cactus based on a capped valuation tied to the venture’s Adjusted EBITDA, governance provisions requiring supermajority board approval for major actions, restrictions on transfers of membership interests, and mutual non-compete obligations in specified surface pressure control markets, collectively shaping control, valuation and competitive boundaries for the combined business.

The most recent analyst rating on (WHD) stock is a Buy with a $56.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cactus stock, see the WHD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Cactus Amends Credit Facility for $100 Million Loan
Neutral
Dec 2, 2025

On December 1, 2025, Cactus Companies, a subsidiary of Cactus Inc., amended its ABL Credit Facility to establish a delayed draw term loan facility with a principal amount of up to $100 million. This amendment allows Cactus Companies to make two draws within six months for financing the acquisition of interests in Baker Hughes Pressure Control LLC and other related uses. The facility’s maturity is set for three years after the first loan funding, with interest options and a requirement for quarterly repayments starting April 2026. The amendment also extended the maturity date for revolving loans to December 1, 2030, and expanded collateral to include certain equipment and intellectual property.

The most recent analyst rating on (WHD) stock is a Buy with a $50.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cactus stock, see the WHD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 27, 2026