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Voyager Therapeutics (VYGR)
NASDAQ:VYGR

Voyager Therapeutics (VYGR) AI Stock Analysis

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VYGR

Voyager Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:VYGR)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$4.00
▲(0.76% Upside)
The score is primarily constrained by weak financial performance, driven by declining revenue, persistent losses, and negative operating/free cash flow. Technical signals are neutral-to-soft, offering limited support, while valuation is pressured by negative earnings and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Proprietary AAV capsid and CNS delivery platform
Voyager's focus on proprietary AAV capsids and CNS delivery is a durable technical moat for neurologic gene therapies. Effective, brain-targeted delivery underpins the value of multiple programs, supports partner interest, and can enable differentiated clinical efficacy if translation to humans is successful.
Partnership-driven, non-commercial revenue model
A collaboration and licensing model lets Voyager monetize its platform without commercial infrastructure, conserving capital and accelerating program breadth. Upfronts and milestones can fund R&D, diversify development risk across partners, and create multiple potential future revenue streams tied to partner success.
Manageable leverage on balance sheet
Relatively low leverage provides financial flexibility for a clinical-stage biotech that will rely on milestone and capital markets funding. Manageable debt reduces near-term refinancing risk and supports the ability to pursue GLP, IND and early clinical activities without immediate debt-service constraints.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue and negative cash flow
Sustained negative operating and free cash flow, combined with falling revenue, create recurring funding needs and constrain organic investment. Over 2-6 months, this heightens dilution risk, increases reliance on partner milestones or capital raises, and reduces runway for clinical development absent external financing.
Persistent unprofitability and negative margins
Negative EBIT and net margins reflect structural loss-making for the foreseeable drug development timeline. This limits retained-earnings reinvestment, pressures the need for external capital, and may force prioritization of programs, slowing pipeline breadth or creating dependency on partner decisions.
Clinical and third-party validation risk for tau programs
Key pipeline catalysts hinge on GLP/IND completion and first-in-human dosing, plus external validation from other tau programs. These long lead-time clinical and regulatory steps carry high scientific and timing risk; unfavorable outcomes or delays materially impact partner economics and milestone-driven funding.

Voyager Therapeutics (VYGR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Voyager Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVoyager Therapeutics, Inc., a gene therapy company, focuses on the development of treatments and next-generation platform technologies. The company's lead clinical candidate is the VY-AADC, which is in open-label Phase 1 clinical trial for the treatment of Parkinson's disease. Its preclinical programs comprise VY-SOD102 for the treatment of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis; VY-HTT01 for Huntington's disease; VY-FXN01 for Friedreich's ataxia; and Tau program for the treatment of tauopathies, including Alzheimer's disease, progressive supranuclear palsy, and frontotemporal dementia, as well as for spinal muscular atrophy. The company has collaboration and license agreements with Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc., Pfizer Inc., and Novartis Pharma, A.G. for the research, development, and commercialization of adeno-associated virus gene therapy products. Voyager Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyVoyager Therapeutics generates revenue primarily through partnerships and collaborations with larger pharmaceutical companies, which may include upfront payments, milestone payments tied to the achievement of specific development goals, and royalties on product sales. Additionally, the company may receive funding from grants or government programs aimed at advancing research in gene therapy. Their revenue model is heavily dependent on the successful progression of their clinical trials and the commercialization of their therapies, as well as maintaining strong relationships with industry partners to enhance their product pipeline and potential market reach.

Voyager Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 11, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
Next Earnings Date:Mar 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a positive outlook with significant advancements and strong financial positioning. Despite a setback in the SOD1 silencing program, the progress in tau-targeting therapies and potential substantial milestone payments from partnerships highlight a promising future.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Cash Position and Potential Milestone Payments
Voyager Therapeutics reported $332 million in cash as of the end of 2024, with potential future milestone payments totaling $8.2 billion from partnerships.
Advancements in Tau Silencing Program
The tau silencing gene therapy program, VY1706, moved forward into IND-enabling studies, showing 50% to 73% knockdown of tau messenger RNA in non-human primate studies.
Positive Results for Anti-Tau Antibody VY7523
VY7523 performed well in a single ascending dose study with no serious adverse events, showing dose-proportional pharmacokinetics and a CSF to serum ratio of 0.3%.
Promising External Data Supporting Anti-Tau Strategies
UCB's bepranemab demonstrated impact on tau accumulation, and further data from Merck and other companies are anticipated, which may support the potential of tau-targeted therapies.
Progress in Partnered Programs with Neurocrine
Two programs with Neurocrine are expected to enter the clinic or have an IND filed this year, indicating positive collaboration progress.
Negative Updates
Setback in SOD1 Silencing Gene Therapy Program
The SOD1 silencing gene therapy program moved back into the research stage due to the payload not meeting the target profile, requiring the identification of a new payload.
Challenges in Establishing Capsid Proof of Concept
The company is looking to establish capsid proof of concept through upcoming programs with Neurocrine, following complications with the SOD1 program.
Company Guidance
During the Voyager Therapeutics Fourth Quarter and Year-End 2024 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided several key metrics and updates about their progress and future plans. Voyager reported $332 million in cash as of the end of 2024 and highlighted potential future milestone payments totaling $8.2 billion, emphasizing the significance of their partnerships as a source of non-dilutive revenue. The company is advancing its tau silencing gene therapy, VY1706, into IND-enabling studies, targeting IND submission in 2026, with promising non-human primate study results showing 50% to 73% knockdown of tau messenger RNA across the brain. Additionally, the anti-tau antibody, VY7523, showed favorable results in a single ascending dose study, with a CSF to serum ratio of 0.3%. Voyager expects initial tau PET data from a multiple ascending dose study in Alzheimer's patients in the second half of 2026. They also noted their $2.9 billion in developmental milestones and guidance extending their cash runway to mid-2027.

Voyager Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement and cash flow are weak (declining revenue, negative net/EBIT margins, negative operating and free cash flow), offset only partially by strong gross margin and manageable leverage. Balance sheet is comparatively better, but negative ROE reinforces ongoing profitability challenges.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Voyager Therapeutics shows a volatile revenue trend with a significant decline in the TTM period. The gross profit margin remains strong, but the company struggles with negative net profit margins and EBIT margins, indicating ongoing profitability challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the negative return on equity in recent periods highlights profitability issues, despite a stable equity ratio.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals negative operating cash flow and free cash flow in the TTM period, with a slight improvement in free cash flow growth. The ratios indicate that cash flow generation is not sufficient to cover net income, posing liquidity concerns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue31.32M80.00M250.01M40.91M37.41M171.13M
Gross Profit31.32M80.00M157.84M-14.86M-36.37M62.38M
EBITDA-133.40M-78.56M126.45M-39.65M-68.45M31.20M
Net Income-126.78M-65.00M132.33M-46.41M-71.20M36.74M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets288.31M393.05M351.28M159.36M193.85M261.58M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments208.93M266.68M230.88M118.85M132.54M181.14M
Total Debt38.37M43.73M20.29M23.13M44.18M47.61M
Total Liabilities68.49M93.29M114.96M100.34M98.80M107.26M
Stockholders Equity219.82M299.76M236.32M59.02M95.06M154.32M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-118.86M-18.83M74.66M-15.00M-55.13M-108.81M
Operating Cash Flow-116.73M-15.31M77.92M-12.51M-53.52M-96.72M
Investing Cash Flow50.82M-94.86M-141.64M-7.34M65.91M113.00M
Financing Cash Flow1.25M114.02M33.65M1.11M612.00K3.16M

Voyager Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price3.97
Price Trends
50DMA
4.08
Negative
100DMA
4.32
Negative
200DMA
3.80
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Negative
RSI
48.54
Neutral
STOCH
60.90
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VYGR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3.97 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.96, below the 50-day MA of 4.08, and above the 200-day MA of 3.80, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for VYGR.

Voyager Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Voyager Therapeutics disclosed 72 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Voyager Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Voyager Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
56
Neutral
$530.16M-2.25-70.82%-21.22%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$192.43M-0.14
47
Neutral
$241.37M-3.00
46
Neutral
$219.06M-1.83-46.09%-80.88%-388.61%
44
Neutral
$203.11M-5.2118.82%
44
Neutral
$151.08M-0.84-96.44%46.68%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VYGR
Voyager Therapeutics
3.97
-1.64
-29.23%
GALT
Galectin Therapeutics
3.08
1.83
146.40%
RNAC
Cartesian Therapeutics
7.28
-12.10
-62.44%
SLN
Silence Therapeutics
5.01
-0.24
-4.57%
TNYA
Tenaya Therapeutics
0.66
-0.40
-37.74%
KYTX
Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc.
8.38
5.07
153.17%

Voyager Therapeutics Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Voyager Therapeutics Highlights 2026 CNS Pipeline and Strategy
Positive
Jan 8, 2026

Voyager Therapeutics has posted a new corporate investor presentation on its website and circulated a summary letter to select shareholders, outlining a 2026 investment case built around validating brain-targeted capsids in humans, a “transformative” year for its tau-focused Alzheimer’s programs, and demonstrating the value of its Voyager NeuroShuttle platform. The materials highlight a multi-modality CNS pipeline with two key Alzheimer’s candidates—VY7523, an anti-tau antibody, and VY1706, a tau-silencing gene therapy—alongside partnered gene therapies for Friedreich’s ataxia, Gaucher’s and Parkinson’s disease and a small-molecule program for ALS/FTD, and detail plans to complete GLP toxicology, file an IND, and begin first-in-human dosing of VY1706 in the second half of 2026 after encouraging non-human primate data on tau knockdown and liver de-targeting. The company emphasizes the potential for third-party clinical readouts, notably Biogen’s BIIB080 Phase 2 data expected mid-2026, to validate the tau knockdown approach, and underscores that its forward-looking development timelines, partnership economics and cash sufficiency remain subject to scientific, regulatory, competitive and collaboration risks disclosed in its SEC filings.

The most recent analyst rating on (VYGR) stock is a Buy with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Voyager Therapeutics stock, see the VYGR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 08, 2026