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Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. (KYTX)
NASDAQ:KYTX
US Market

Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. (KYTX) AI Stock Analysis

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KYTX

Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc.

(NASDAQ:KYTX)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$9.50
▲(13.37% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (no current revenue, widening losses, and accelerating cash burn). Offsetting this are constructive price trends and a strong slate of positive clinical and financing-related corporate events that improve the catalyst outlook and financial flexibility. Valuation contributes modestly given a negative P/E and no dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Regulatory/Catalyst Timing
A targeted BLA filing in the first half of 2026 establishes a defined regulatory timeline that materially reduces binary timing uncertainty. This supports sustained resource allocation to approval activities and enables structured commercialization planning over the next 2–6 months.
Strengthened Liquidity / Runway
Fresh capital from a $100M offering and access to a $150M loan facility materially extend runway (noted into 2028), lowering immediate refinancing risk. That stability permits the company to complete registrational trials and pre-launch investments without urgent dilution over the medium term.
Commercial Leadership Hire
Bringing in an experienced CAR‑T commercialization executive strengthens launch planning and go‑to‑market capability. This durable governance upgrade improves odds of successful market entry, payer engagement, and manufacturing scale if regulatory approvals occur.
Negative Factors
High & Accelerating Cash Burn
Operating and free cash flow are deeply negative and accelerating, creating persistent funding needs. Over the next several quarters, this burn profile increases dependency on external financing and raises dilution or covenant risk, constraining strategic optionality if milestones slip.
Eroding Balance Sheet Cushion
Sharply declining assets and equity year‑over‑year have reduced the company’s financial buffer. Even with low debt, a smaller balance sheet limits ability to absorb clinical setbacks or extend programs without additional capital, making the firm more sensitive to funding cycles.
Pre‑Revenue with Widening Losses
The company remains pre‑revenue while losses have materially widened, meaning no internal cash generation to fund growth. Long‑term viability depends on successful clinical outcomes and commercialization; until then, operating deficits are a structural risk to sustainable operations.

Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. (KYTX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKyverna Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing cell therapies for patients suffering from autoimmune diseases. Its lead product candidate is KYV-101, an autologous CD19 CAR T-cell product candidate for the treatment of patients with lupus nephritis and systemic sclerosis that is in Phase I clinical trial; and for myasthenia gravis and multiple sclerosis that is in Phase II clinical trial. The company is also developing KYV-201, an allogeneic CD19 CAR T-cell product candidate that is in preclinical stage to treat multiple autoimmune diseases. In addition, it is developing product candidates to treat other autoimmune diseases, such as inflammatory bowel disease that includes Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis. Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. has a license and collaboration agreement with Intellia Therapeutics, Inc. to research and develop an allogeneic CD19-directed CAR cell therapy product; and with Kite to research and develop programs for the treatment, diagnosis, and prevention of autoimmune, inflammatory, and allogeneic stem cell transplant inflammatory diseases. The company was formerly known as BAIT Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. in October 2019. Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Emeryville, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyKyverna Therapeutics makes money primarily through the development and commercialization of its cell therapy products. The company may generate revenue through partnerships and collaborations with other biotech and pharmaceutical companies, which can include upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on sales of co-developed therapies. Additionally, Kyverna might engage in licensing agreements for its proprietary technologies, further contributing to its revenue streams. As a biotechnology firm, Kyverna may also secure funding from investors and grants to support its research and development efforts.

Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2024
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 01, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call revealed significant advancements in Chimera's immunology pipeline, particularly with the initiation of KT61 and advancement of KT474. However, the deprioritization of the oncology program and extended timelines for KT474 indicate strategic shifts that could pose challenges. The financial stability and focus on promising immunology assets contribute to an overall positive outlook.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Phase One Study of KT61 Initiated
Chimera Therapeutics has started the phase one study of KT61, a first-in-class oral STAT6 degrader. This marks the first STAT6 medicine to enter clinical development, with potential to transform treatment paradigms for diseases like atopic dermatitis, asthma, and COPD.
KT474 Program Advances to Phase Two B
The KT474, an IRAK4 degrader, is transitioning to fully powered phase two B studies with partner Sanofi, aiming for a faster path to phase three registration.
Introduction of KT295 as Lead Candidate
KT295, a new TIC2 clinical candidate, has shown greater in vivo activity compared to KT294, with potential to match human TIC2 loss-of-function mutations.
Strong Financial Position
Chimera Therapeutics raised approximately $600 million in 2024, providing a cash runway into mid-2027, supporting their expanding pipeline.
Negative Updates
Oncology Program Deprioritized
Chimera has decided to advance only KT333 and KT253 beyond phase one with a partner, reallocating resources towards the immunology pipeline.
Extended Timeline for KT474 Phase Two Trials
Due to expanded studies, the KT474 program's completion dates have moved to the first half of 2026 and mid-2026, delaying Phase 2 data readout.
Company Guidance
During the Chimera Therapeutics Q3 2024 earnings call, significant guidance was provided, highlighting several key metrics and strategic directions. The company has initiated a Phase 1 study of KT61, an oral STAT6 degrader, with expectations to complete the Healthy Volunteer Study in the first half of 2025. The program aims to address diseases with TH2 inflammation, affecting over 150 million patients across the US, Europe, and Japan. Additionally, Chimera has advanced its KT474 program, transitioning it to expanded Phase 2B studies, supported by partner Sanofi, and is preparing KT295, a new lead candidate in their TIC2 program, for Phase 1 trials in 2025. Financially, Chimera raised approximately $600 million in 2024, boasting a cash runway into mid-2027, and reported $3.7 million in revenue for the quarter, attributed to their Sanofi collaboration. The company is strategically reallocating resources to prioritize their growing immunology pipeline, with plans to share further guidance on clinical developments next year.

Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials reflect a pre-revenue biotech with rising losses and cash burn. Revenue is currently zero (2023–2024 and TTM), net losses have widened materially (to about -$161M TTM), and operating/free cash flow are deeply negative (FCF about -$158M TTM). A key offset is low leverage with modest debt, providing some flexibility, but declining assets/equity and the burn rate elevate funding/runway risk.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Operating performance is weak and deteriorating. Revenue is currently zero in 2023–2024 and in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), while losses have expanded meaningfully (net loss of about $60.4M in 2023, $127.5M in 2024, and $161.0M in TTM). Profitability is deeply negative, and TTM margins are extremely pressured, reflecting a heavy expense base ahead of commercialization. A historical positive is that the company previously generated revenue in 2021–2022, but the current trajectory is dominated by widening losses.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Balance sheet leverage is low, which is a clear strength for a biotech company in an investment phase. Total debt remains modest (about $5.0M in TTM) and debt relative to equity is low (roughly 0.03 in both 2024 and TTM). However, equity and total assets have declined sharply from 2024 to TTM (equity down from ~$266.6M to ~$151.9M; assets down from ~$304.6M to ~$187.2M), consistent with ongoing cash burn. Returns to shareholders are negative given persistent losses.
Cash Flow
24
Negative
Cash generation is weak with sustained and accelerating cash burn. Operating cash flow is negative across all periods and worsened from about -$52.4M (2023) to -$114.3M (2024) and -$157.2M in TTM, with free cash flow similarly negative (about -$158.4M in TTM). A relative positive is that free cash flow tracks net income closely (near 1x), indicating losses are largely reflected in cash rather than being masked by accounting items—but the absolute burn rate is high and rising.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.007.03M5.66M
Gross Profit-1.99M-2.13M-1.71M7.03M5.66M
EBITDA-158.93M-125.20M-58.47M-27.78M-25.76M
Net Income-160.99M-127.48M-60.37M-28.89M-26.35M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets187.16M304.64M75.19M66.92M85.49M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments171.14M285.98M57.54M51.32M76.07M
Total Debt5.02M8.24M9.08M10.56M5.55M
Total Liabilities35.21M38.06M26.02M20.25M131.74M
Stockholders Equity151.95M266.59M49.18M46.68M-46.25M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-158.37M-116.45M-53.03M-36.88M-23.44M
Operating Cash Flow-157.25M-114.25M-52.41M-36.11M-22.16M
Investing Cash Flow86.52M-160.90M-8.79M-14.10M-1.29M
Financing Cash Flow210.00K337.11M58.12M11.88M72.52M

Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price8.38
Price Trends
50DMA
8.34
Positive
100DMA
7.25
Positive
200DMA
5.14
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.23
Positive
RSI
47.27
Neutral
STOCH
32.14
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KYTX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 8.38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.87, above the 50-day MA of 8.34, and above the 200-day MA of 5.14, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for KYTX.

Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. Risk Analysis

Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. disclosed 83 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
58
Neutral
$317.98M-2.18-37.98%14.33%
56
Neutral
$530.16M-2.25-70.82%-21.22%
52
Neutral
$420.41M-4.45-27.11%-71.42%-248.91%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
48
Neutral
$256.71M12.60%58.23%
47
Neutral
$241.37M-3.00
42
Neutral
$129.16M-1.72-114.26%-17.87%14.42%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KYTX
Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc.
8.38
5.07
153.17%
CDXS
Codexis
1.29
-3.21
-71.33%
HRTX
Heron Therapeutics
1.33
-0.40
-23.12%
SLN
Silence Therapeutics
5.01
-0.24
-4.57%
AVIR
Atea Pharmaceuticals
3.87
0.88
29.43%
TRDA
Entrada Therapeutics Inc
11.15
-2.22
-16.60%

Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
Kyverna Therapeutics Names Christi Shaw Executive Board Chair
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

Kyverna Therapeutics on January 8, 2026 appointed board member Christi Shaw as Executive Chairperson of the Board, effective January 12, 2026, with former chair Ian Clark remaining on the board. Shaw, a veteran of CAR T commercialization, will receive a $400,000 annual salary and a package of stock options, restricted stock units and performance-based RSUs that vest over four years and are structured to continue vesting if she remains as Board Chairperson or Vice Chairperson after any employment termination, with full vesting acceleration in the event of a change in control. In a corporate update delivered at the J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference on January 12, 2026, Kyverna highlighted progress in its autoimmune CAR T pipeline, including first patient enrollment in December 2025 in the Phase 3 portion of the KYSA-6 trial of miv-cel in gMG, acceptance in January 2026 of an IND for next-generation candidate KYV-102, and strengthened finances from a December 2025 follow-on offering that extended its cash runway into 2028. The company outlined 2026 priorities centered on filing a Biologics License Application for miv-cel in SPS in the first half of 2026, achieving SPS launch readiness by year-end 2026, advancing the Phase 3 gMG trial and multiple additional autoimmune indications, positioning itself as a potential first commercial provider of CAR T-cell therapy in autoimmune disease and reinforcing its commercialization capabilities through Shaw’s appointment and a fortified balance sheet.

The most recent analyst rating on (KYTX) stock is a Hold with a $9.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. stock, see the KYTX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Kyverna Therapeutics Announces $100 Million Public Offering
Positive
Dec 18, 2025

On December 17, 2025, Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. priced an underwritten public offering of 13,333,333 shares of common stock at $7.50 per share, for expected gross proceeds of approximately $100 million, with a 30-day option granted to underwriters to purchase up to an additional 1,999,999 shares; the deal, conducted off an effective Form S-3 shelf registration, is expected to close on or about December 18, 2025, subject to customary conditions. The transaction, for which all shares are being sold by the company and major shareholders are bound by lock-up agreements through January 31, 2026, will provide Kyverna with fresh capital for general corporate purposes including research and development, capital expenditures, and working capital, reinforcing its funding base as it advances its CAR T-cell programs and registrational trials in autoimmune indications.

The most recent analyst rating on (KYTX) stock is a Buy with a $33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. stock, see the KYTX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Kyverna Reports Positive Phase 2 Trial Results
Positive
Dec 15, 2025

On December 15, 2025, Kyverna Therapeutics announced positive topline data from its Phase 2 trial of mivocabtagene autoleucel (miv-cel) for stiff person syndrome (SPS), showing statistically significant clinical benefits. This data positions miv-cel as a potential first and only approved therapy for SPS, highlighting its transformative impact in the autoimmune disease space and paving the way for a Biologics License Application submission expected in the first half of 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (KYTX) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. stock, see the KYTX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Kyverna Therapeutics Reports Positive Phase 2 Trial Results
Positive
Dec 15, 2025

On December 15, 2025, Kyverna Therapeutics announced positive topline data from its Phase 2 trial of mivocabtagene autoleucel (miv-cel) for treating stiff person syndrome (SPS). The trial demonstrated significant clinical benefits, including reversing disability and eliminating the need for immunotherapies after a single dose, with no high-grade adverse effects observed. These results could position miv-cel as the first FDA-approved CAR T-cell therapy for autoimmune diseases, marking a potential breakthrough for SPS patients.

The most recent analyst rating on (KYTX) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. stock, see the KYTX Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Kyverna Therapeutics Secures $150 Million Loan Facility
Positive
Nov 3, 2025

On October 31, 2025, Kyverna Therapeutics secured a loan facility of up to $150 million from Oxford Finance LLC, enhancing its financial flexibility to support its clinical programs. The company plans to draw an initial $25 million on November 3, 2025, to advance its late-stage indications and pre-launch activities, with topline data from its Phase 2 trial for stiff person syndrome expected in early 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (KYTX) stock is a Buy with a $31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. stock, see the KYTX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Kyverna Therapeutics Reports Positive Phase 2/3 Trial Data
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

On October 29, 2025, Kyverna Therapeutics announced positive interim data from its Phase 2/3 trial of KYV-101 for treating generalized myasthenia gravis. This development suggests that KYV-101 could potentially change the treatment paradigm for gMG by offering a novel approach that targets the disease at its source, providing unprecedented disease control with a manageable safety profile. The announcement could significantly impact Kyverna’s position in the autoimmune disease treatment market, offering hope for patients with limited treatment options.

The most recent analyst rating on (KYTX) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. stock, see the KYTX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Kyverna Therapeutics Reports Positive Phase 2 Trial Results
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

On October 29, 2025, Kyverna Therapeutics announced positive interim data from its Phase 2 KYSA-6 trial of KYV-101 for generalized myasthenia gravis (gMG). The trial showed that 100% of patients achieved clinically meaningful responses with significant reductions in MG-ADL and QMG scores, and KYV-101 was well-tolerated with no high-grade adverse events. These results reinforce the potential of KYV-101 to deliver durable remission with a single dose, setting a new clinical standard in gMG treatment and supporting the design of the upcoming Phase 3 trial.

The most recent analyst rating on (KYTX) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. stock, see the KYTX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 12, 2026