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Codexis (CDXS)
NASDAQ:CDXS

Codexis (CDXS) AI Stock Analysis

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CDXS

Codexis

(NASDAQ:CDXS)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▼(-23.08% Downside)
Codexis's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its poor financial performance, characterized by declining revenues and high leverage. While the earnings call provided some optimism with strategic partnerships and platform growth, the technical analysis and valuation remain weak, reflecting ongoing challenges in achieving profitability and market confidence.
Positive Factors
Supply Assurance Agreement with Merck
A supply assurance agreement with Merck provides nondilutive revenue and demand visibility, materially reducing near-term commercial execution risk. It supports predictable manufacturing volumes and helps underwrite investment in scaling the ECO platform over the next several quarters.
ECO Synthesis Platform Commercial Traction
Rapid growth in revenue-bearing contracts and a large pipeline indicate product-market fit for enzymatic oligonucleotide manufacturing. Durable contract flow and demonstrated 3kg siRNA production evidence scalable capability and potential for repeatable, higher-margin commercial manufacturing revenue.
Improved liquidity and operational runway
A cash balance and explicit runway into 2027, augmented by the Merck agreement, materially reduce near-term financing pressure. This gives management time to commercialize ECO, convert pipeline contracts, and execute operational optimizations without immediate capital raises.
Negative Factors
High leverage
Elevated leverage constrains financial flexibility and increases fixed interest obligations, making the company more sensitive to revenue shortfalls. With ongoing operating losses, high debt raises refinancing and covenant risks and limits capacity for strategic investments over the medium term.
Declining revenues and negative margins
Sustained revenue decline and deeply negative profitability margins (large net and EBIT deficits) undermine cash generation and long-term sustainability. Persistent top-line volatility from customer schedules makes scaling fixed-cost manufacturing risky and delays achieving operating leverage.
Exit from small-molecule biocatalysis risks revenue mix
Abandoning the historical small-molecule services reduces diversification and may depress near-term service revenue. The transition concentrates execution on ECO and oligo manufacturing, raising execution risk if platform commercialization or customer adoption lags initial forecasts.

Codexis (CDXS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Codexis Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCodexis, Inc. discovers, develops, and sells enzymes and other proteins. It offers biocatalyst products and services; intermediate chemicals products that are used for further chemical processing; and Codex biocatalyst panels and kits that enable customers to perform chemistry screening. The company also provides biocatalyst screening and protein engineering services. In addition, it offers CodeEvolver protein engineering technology platform, which helps in developing and delivering biocatalysts that perform chemical transformations and enhance the efficiency and productivity of manufacturing processes. The company's platform is also used to discover novel biotherapeutic drug candidates for targeted human diseases, as well as for molecular biology and in vitro diagnostic enzymes. It sells its products to pharmaceutical manufacturers through its direct sales and business development force in the United States and Europe. The company was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Redwood City, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyCodexis generates revenue primarily through its enzyme product sales, licensing agreements, and collaborations with pharmaceutical and industrial partners. The company earns money by selling its engineered enzymes directly to customers in sectors such as pharmaceuticals, where they are used in drug manufacturing processes to improve yields and reduce costs. Additionally, Codexis establishes partnerships with other companies to develop and commercialize specific enzyme products, sharing in the revenues generated from these collaborations. The company also receives upfront payments and milestone payments from its partners, contributing to its overall earnings. Codexis's focus on unlocking the potential of biocatalysis in various markets, combined with its innovative platform, positions it to capitalize on growing demand for sustainable and efficient enzyme solutions.

Codexis Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant strategic achievements, particularly the Merck agreement and growth in the ECO Synthesis platform. These were offset by challenges in revenue decline, net losses, and the shift away from the small molecule biocatalysis business. The sentiment remains cautiously optimistic as the company transitions with new leadership and strategic focus.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Merck Supply Assurance Agreement
Codexis signed a significant supply assurance agreement with Merck, providing a vital infusion of nondilutive cash and bolstering revenue projections for the year.
ECO Synthesis Platform Growth
The ECO platform has seen substantial growth, moving from 1 to 11 revenue-bearing contracts with 40 more in the pipeline. A customer successfully used Codexis's ligase to produce a 3-kilogram batch of siRNA.
Leadership Transition
Alison Moore will succeed Stephen Dilly as CEO, bringing extensive experience from Amgen and Allogene to lead Codexis into its next phase as a manufacturing solutions provider.
Financial Position and Revenue Guidance
Codexis expects to make or slightly exceed the top end of its guidance range for 2025 due to the Merck agreement. The company has cash resources to extend its runway through 2027.
Improved Product Gross Margin
Product gross margin increased to 64% for Q3 2025 from 61% in Q3 2024, due to a shift towards more profitable products.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Total revenues for Q3 2025 were $8.6 million, down from $12.8 million in Q3 2024, primarily due to variability in customers' manufacturing schedules and clinical trial progression.
Small Molecule Biocatalysis Business Challenges
Codexis is moving away from its historical small molecule biocatalysis business due to pricing pressure and reduced returns, which may lead to a drop in service revenue next year.
Net Losses
The net loss for Q3 2025 was $19.6 million, slightly improved from a net loss of $20.6 million in Q3 2024.
R&D Expense Increase
Research and development expenses increased to $13.9 million in Q3 2025 from $11.5 million in Q3 2024, driven by higher headcount and lab supply costs.
Company Guidance
During the Codexis Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided comprehensive guidance for its future trajectory, emphasizing key metrics. Codexis anticipates achieving or slightly exceeding the top end of its 2025 revenue guidance, supported by the recent supply assurance agreement with Merck, which will contribute a significant portion of revenue in Q4 2025 and Q1 2026. The company highlighted its strategic transition from a traditional enzyme supplier to a full-service manufacturing innovator in oligonucleotide manufacturing, supported by the ECO Synthesis platform. Codexis reported 11 revenue-generating contracts with 40 more in the pipeline, showcasing the commercial momentum of the ECO platform. Financially, Codexis ended Q3 2025 with $58.7 million in cash, excluding funds from the Merck agreement, which will extend its operational runway through 2027. The company also detailed organizational optimizations, including a 25% reduction in operational burn and a strategic shift away from its small molecule biocatalysis business due to changing market dynamics, while still maintaining its importance.

Codexis Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Codexis faces significant financial challenges, including declining revenues, negative profitability margins, and increased leverage. The company's ability to generate cash is constrained, and its financial stability is at risk due to high debt levels and ongoing losses.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Codexis has experienced declining revenue growth with a negative rate of -7.40% in the TTM period. The company also shows negative profitability margins, with a net profit margin of -120.82% and an EBIT margin of -83.71%. These figures indicate significant challenges in achieving profitability and managing costs effectively.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 1.78 in the TTM period, indicating higher leverage and potential financial risk. The return on equity is negative at -121.39%, reflecting ongoing losses. The equity ratio is low, suggesting limited equity financing relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Codexis has a negative free cash flow growth rate of -9.01% in the TTM period, indicating challenges in generating cash. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is -3.03, highlighting inefficiencies in converting income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly positive at 1.10, suggesting some ability to cover net losses with free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue52.93M59.34M70.14M138.59M104.75M69.06M
Gross Profit41.98M43.06M57.33M100.56M82.55M55.31M
EBITDA-55.27M-58.52M-49.28M-26.31M-16.75M-19.37M
Net Income-63.95M-65.28M-76.24M-33.59M-21.28M-24.01M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets123.96M149.01M136.56M250.39M246.38M221.65M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments59.19M73.46M65.12M113.98M116.80M150.12M
Total Debt68.62M59.90M16.02M43.64M47.65M24.95M
Total Liabilities85.42M82.08M49.95M105.60M81.99M51.54M
Stockholders Equity38.54M66.93M86.61M144.80M164.39M170.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-61.66M-53.72M-57.06M2.98M-28.09M-20.21M
Operating Cash Flow-55.94M-49.41M-52.64M11.28M-14.27M-16.46M
Investing Cash Flow14.93M-56.98M-4.86M-13.58M-21.42M-5.75M
Financing Cash Flow28.88M60.52M8.17M-575.00K3.77M80.81M

Codexis Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.30
Price Trends
50DMA
1.66
Negative
100DMA
2.03
Negative
200DMA
2.31
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Positive
RSI
32.48
Neutral
STOCH
9.42
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CDXS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.3 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.63, below the 50-day MA of 1.66, and below the 200-day MA of 2.31, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.42 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CDXS.

Codexis Risk Analysis

Codexis disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Codexis reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Codexis Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
55
Neutral
$266.32M-3.15-22.37%3.36%5.15%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$189.31M-0.13
50
Neutral
$274.36M-1.09-101.06%-17.21%
50
Neutral
$301.05M-0.04-1072.48%
43
Neutral
$143.24M-2.3817.36%
42
Neutral
$116.52M-1.73-114.26%-17.87%14.42%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CDXS
Codexis
1.30
-3.20
-71.11%
RNAC
Cartesian Therapeutics
6.98
-12.40
-63.98%
CABA
Cabaletta Bio
2.75
0.41
17.52%
ELTX
Elicio Therapeutics
8.08
-1.34
-14.23%
VOR
Vor Biopharma
13.99
-13.81
-49.68%
OABI
OmniAb
1.86
-1.35
-42.06%

Codexis Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Codexis Announces Workforce Reduction and New CEO
Neutral
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Codexis announced a 24% workforce reduction to streamline operations and focus on its ECO Synthesis platform, expecting to incur a $3.5 million expense in the fourth quarter of 2025. Additionally, the company appointed Alison Moore as the new CEO, succeeding Stephen Dilly, who will remain as Chair of the Board. Codexis also signed a $37.8 million Supply Assurance Agreement with Merck, which, along with organizational changes, is expected to extend its cash runway through 2027.

The most recent analyst rating on (CDXS) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Codexis stock, see the CDXS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2025