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Cabaletta Bio (CABA)
NASDAQ:CABA
US Market

Cabaletta Bio (CABA) AI Stock Analysis

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CABA

Cabaletta Bio

(NASDAQ:CABA)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▼(-3.85% Downside)
The score is primarily constrained by weak financial performance (no revenue, widening losses, and heavy cash burn implying funding risk). Technicals are also soft with negative MACD and price below key short/intermediate moving averages. Positive corporate events (encouraging clinical progress and manufacturing advances) provide some offset, but not enough to overcome the current financial and momentum headwinds.
Positive Factors
Broad, durable clinical responses across autoimmune indications
Consistent, transformative responses in Phase1/2 cohorts across myositis, systemic sclerosis, lupus and pemphigus suggest a reproducible biological effect. Durable multi‑indication efficacy raises probability of multiple registrational opportunities and supports long‑term commercial breadth.
Regulatory progress and RMAT designation
Formal FDA alignment on cohort designs plus an RMAT for systemic sclerosis materially lowers regulatory uncertainty and can accelerate development timelines and review. These designations strengthen the path to potential approvals and de‑risk interactions with regulators over months.
Automated, scalable manufacturing partnership with Cellares
Cleared use of an automated Cell Shuttle that showed engineering run consistency can reduce per‑patient cost, speed scale and enable global capacity without major capital build. If clinical manufacturing data in 1H26 validate consistency, this is a durable commercial and supply‑chain advantage.
Negative Factors
High cash burn and negative free cash flow
Sustained large operating and free cash outflows materially increase financing risk over the next 2–6 months if capital markets tighten. Ongoing burn pressures management to raise capital, which can dilute shareholders and constrain discretionary investment in trials or commercialization.
Pre-revenue profile with widening losses and shrinking equity
As a development‑stage, non‑revenue company with rapidly expanding losses and declining equity, Cabaletta remains reliant on external capital. Continued shareholder capital consumption raises dilution and funding uncertainty, which can impede long‑term development and commercialization plans.
Reliance on small, single‑arm registrational cohorts
Using small, single‑arm registrational cohorts increases regulatory and payer risk versus randomized trials: limited statistical power and lack of control arms can necessitate additional studies or post‑approval commitments, prolonging time to broad commercialization and reimbursement.

Cabaletta Bio (CABA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cabaletta Bio Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCabaletta Bio, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, focuses on the discovery and development of engineered T cell therapies for patients with B cell-mediated autoimmune diseases. Its proprietary technology utilizes chimeric autoantibody receptor (CAAR) T cells that are designed to selectively bind and eliminate B cells, which produce disease-causing autoantibodies or pathogenic B cells. The company's lead product candidate is DSG3-CAART, which is in Phase I clinical trial for the treatment of mucosal pemphigus vulgaris, an autoimmune blistering skin disease, and Hemophilia A with Factor VIII alloantibodies. Its product candidate pipeline also includes MuSK-CAART, a preclinical stage product to treat a subset of patients with myasthenia gravis; FVIII-CAART, a discovery stage product to treat a subset of patients with Hemophilia A; and DSG3/1-CAART, a discovery stage product for the treatment of mucocutaneous pemphigus vulgaris. It has a collaboration with the University of Pennsylvania; and research agreement with The Regents of the University of California. The company was formerly known as Tycho Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Cabaletta Bio, Inc. in August 2018. Cabaletta Bio, Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyCabaletta Bio generates revenue primarily through the development and potential commercialization of its CAAR T cell therapies. The company may earn income from collaborations and partnerships with other pharmaceutical or biotechnology firms for research, development, and commercialization efforts. Additionally, Cabaletta Bio might receive milestone payments, licensing fees, or royalties related to its technology and products. The company's financial performance is significantly influenced by the progress of its clinical trials, regulatory approvals, and the successful commercialization of its therapies.

Cabaletta Bio Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cabaletta Bio faces significant challenges with no revenue generation and increasing net losses affecting its financial stability. While the balance sheet shows a reasonable level of equity, the company's reliance on external financing to cover operational costs presents a risk. The negative cash flow trends suggest financial pressure, and the company needs strategic interventions to achieve revenue growth and financial sustainability.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Cabaletta Bio has not generated any revenue over the analyzed period, heavily impacting its income statement metrics. The company has experienced increasing net losses, with the net income deteriorating from -$15.1 million in 2019 to -$115.9 million in 2024. The consistent lack of revenue coupled with increasing operating losses results in very low profitability scores.
Balance Sheet
48
Neutral
The company maintains a relatively healthy balance sheet with a strong equity base and a low debt level, as seen in the debt-to-equity ratio remaining low due to minimal debt. However, the declining stockholders' equity from $138.3 million in 2019 to $152.3 million in 2024 indicates potential financial strain. The equity ratio remains strong, demonstrating reliance on equity financing.
Cash Flow
22
Negative
Operating cash flow has been consistently negative, and free cash flow growth has shown a negative trend, indicating cash burn over the years. Although financing activities have provided some cash inflows, the company remains highly dependent on external funding to sustain operations, which is a potential risk.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-1.77M-4.81M-1.43M-3.68M-733.00K-354.00K
EBITDA-154.56M-110.30M-66.25M-49.29M-45.56M-32.98M
Net Income-158.52M-115.86M-67.67M-52.98M-46.29M-33.34M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets189.76M185.05M253.65M116.97M126.34M114.72M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments159.93M163.96M241.25M106.55M122.22M108.66M
Total Debt25.78M15.60M5.02M5.14M0.000.00
Total Liabilities50.29M32.71M17.45M12.45M8.38M5.18M
Stockholders Equity139.47M152.34M236.20M104.52M117.96M109.54M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-120.26M-90.43M-54.24M-48.83M-35.27M-27.41M
Operating Cash Flow-118.86M-88.22M-53.55M-46.38M-34.11M-26.77M
Investing Cash Flow-87.94M47.29M-22.45M-27.22M6.00M-7.98M
Financing Cash Flow96.39M11.68M187.63M32.98M48.90M-24.00K

Cabaletta Bio Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.08
Price Trends
50DMA
2.33
Negative
100DMA
2.29
Negative
200DMA
1.93
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
41.41
Neutral
STOCH
46.06
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CABA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.21, below the 50-day MA of 2.33, and above the 200-day MA of 1.93, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CABA.

Cabaletta Bio Risk Analysis

Cabaletta Bio disclosed 86 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cabaletta Bio reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cabaletta Bio Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
59
Neutral
$158.96M7.3619.23%
58
Neutral
$276.57M-1.94-37.98%14.33%
52
Neutral
$404.36M-4.32-27.11%-71.42%-248.91%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
47
Neutral
$150.48M-0.92-74.28%-19.00%-2.72%
46
Neutral
$206.97M-0.82-101.06%-17.21%
43
Neutral
$216.12M-0.02-64.99%-8.79%81.36%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CABA
Cabaletta Bio
2.08
-0.35
-14.40%
TNXP
Tonix Pharma
15.90
-7.60
-32.34%
BDTX
Black Diamond Therapeutics
2.67
0.46
20.81%
AVIR
Atea Pharmaceuticals
3.44
0.11
3.30%
CRBU
Caribou Biosciences
1.56
0.02
1.30%
TRDA
Entrada Therapeutics Inc
10.82
-1.72
-13.72%

Cabaletta Bio Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related AnnouncementsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Cabaletta Bio Sets 2026 Strategy for Rese-cel Expansion
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

On January 12, 2026, Cabaletta Bio outlined its 2026 strategic priorities centered on advancing rese-cel toward registration in myositis and broadening its autoimmune pipeline. The company is actively enrolling a 17‑patient FDA-aligned registrational cohort in dermatomyositis and antisynthetase syndrome, building on 2025 Phase 1/2 data and targeting its first biologics license application for rese-cel in myositis next year, while also securing FDA alignment on small single‑arm registrational cohorts in systemic lupus erythematosus and lupus nephritis and obtaining RMAT designation in systemic sclerosis as it works toward additional registrational designs in scleroderma and myasthenia gravis. Operationally, Cabaletta has gained clearance to use Cellares’ fully automated Cell Shuttle platform to manufacture rese-cel—described as a first for an autologous CAR T program—with clinical manufacturing data expected in the first half of 2026 to confirm GMP and supply chain readiness, a move that could materially lower costs and support global scale if the therapy is approved. Clinically, the company is pushing to expand rese-cel’s use without preconditioning, escalating doses in pemphigus vulgaris and adding a no‑preconditioning cohort in lupus, and expects complete Phase 1/2 data in lupus, systemic sclerosis and myasthenia gravis in the first half of 2026, milestones that will be closely watched by regulators, investors and potential commercial partners as Cabaletta positions rese-cel as a potentially outpatient, industry‑leading cell therapy for autoimmune disease.

The most recent analyst rating on (CABA) stock is a Buy with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cabaletta Bio stock, see the CABA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Cabaletta Bio Updates on CD19-CAR T Therapy Progress
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

On October 29, 2025, Cabaletta Bio released an updated corporate presentation outlining their progress in developing rese-cel, a CD19-CAR T cell therapy for autoimmune diseases. The company plans to initiate a myositis registrational cohort in the fourth quarter of 2025 and has completed enrollment in Phase 1/2 trials for other conditions, highlighting their commitment to advancing clinical trials and potential market opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (CABA) stock is a Buy with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cabaletta Bio stock, see the CABA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Cabaletta Bio Announces Positive Clinical Data Updates
Positive
Oct 27, 2025

On October 27, 2025, Cabaletta Bio announced positive clinical data and development updates from its RESET-Myositis, RESET-SSc, and RESET-SLE trials at the ACR Convergence 2025. The trials evaluate rese-cel, a CAR T cell therapy, showing promising results in autoimmune diseases like myositis, systemic sclerosis, and lupus. The company is initiating a myositis registrational trial and expanding its RESET-SLE trial to include a no preconditioning cohort, with initial data expected in 2026. These developments could significantly impact treatment options for autoimmune diseases, offering potential drug-free clinical responses.

The most recent analyst rating on (CABA) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cabaletta Bio stock, see the CABA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 12, 2026