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Tonix Pharma (TNXP)
NASDAQ:TNXP
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Tonix Pharma (TNXP) AI Stock Analysis

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TNXP

Tonix Pharma

(NASDAQ:TNXP)

Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$41.00
▲(7.95% Upside)
Tonix Pharma's overall score is driven by strong corporate events, particularly the FDA approval of Tonmya, which significantly boosts its market potential. However, challenges in profitability and valuation weigh down the score. Mixed technical indicators suggest cautious optimism.

Tonix Pharma (TNXP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tonix Pharma Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on discovering, acquiring, developing, and licensing therapeutics and diagnostics to treat and prevent human disease and alleviate suffering. Its portfolio includes immunology, rare disease, infectious disease, and central nervous system (CNS) product candidates. The company's immunology portfolio includes biologics to address organ transplant rejection, autoimmunity, and cancer, including TNX-1500, a humanized monoclonal antibody targeting CD40-ligand being developed for the prevention of allograft and xenograft rejection and for the treatment of autoimmune diseases. Its rare disease portfolio comprises TNX-2900 for the treatment of Prader-Willi syndrome. The company's infectious disease pipeline includes TNX-801, a vaccine to prevent smallpox and monkeypox; TNX-1840 and TNX-1850 that are live virus vaccines based on its recombinant pox vaccine (RPV) platform for COVID-19; TNX-3500, a small molecule antiviral drug to treat acute COVID-19; and TNX-102 SL, a small molecule drug to treat Long COVID, a chronic post-acute COVID-19 condition. Its CNS portfolio includes small molecules and biologics to treat pain, neurologic, psychiatric, and addiction conditions, including TNX-102 SL, which is in mid-Phase 3 development for the management of fibromyalgia; TNX-1900 that is in development for the prevention of migraine headache; and TNX-1300, a biologic designed to treat cocaine intoxication. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Chatham, New Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyTonix Pharmaceuticals generates revenue primarily through the development and commercialization of its pharmaceutical products. The company is actively involved in clinical trials, and upon successful results, it seeks to obtain regulatory approval for its therapies. Revenue streams may include milestone payments from partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies, royalties on product sales, and potential government grants or funding for research and development. Additionally, Tonix may also engage in licensing agreements for its drug candidates, providing further financial support through upfront payments and future royalties. Partnerships with larger organizations in the biopharmaceutical sector can significantly enhance Tonix's financial stability and growth potential.

Tonix Pharma Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tonix Pharma shows significant revenue growth, but profitability remains a challenge with negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. The strong equity position is a positive, but ongoing net losses and reliance on external funding are concerns.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Tonix Pharma has shown substantial revenue growth from prior years, with total revenue increasing significantly from $0 to $10.09 million in 2024. However, profitability remains a challenge as indicated by negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. The net profit margin is nonexistent due to zero net income, suggesting the company is still in a heavy investment phase, typical for the biotechnology industry.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows a healthy equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 0.06, indicating low financial leverage. The equity ratio is strong at 85.7%, reflecting a robust capital structure. However, consistent net losses over the years suggest potential pressures on financial sustainability if cash reserves dwindle without profitability improvements.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a negative free cash flow, though the company has improved its operating cash flow situation compared to previous years. The significant financing cash flow indicates reliance on external funding to support operations. The cash flow to net income ratios are not meaningful due to the lack of net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.83M10.09M7.77M9.03M0.002.91M
Gross Profit2.88M2.33M3.03M8.03M-62.86M-30.57M
EBITDA-81.01M-126.61M-114.09M-110.84M-92.26M-50.48M
Net Income-53.15M-130.04M-116.66M-116.88M-92.29M-52.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets187.36M162.89M154.46M225.69M240.90M98.18M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments125.33M98.78M24.95M120.23M178.66M77.07M
Total Debt492.00K8.12M9.81M760.00K956.00K1.31M
Total Liabilities19.36M23.33M48.93M18.51M22.18M10.54M
Stockholders Equity168.00M139.56M105.53M207.18M218.72M87.65M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-65.39M-61.05M-109.90M-146.20M-110.86M-57.13M
Operating Cash Flow-64.84M-60.92M-102.00M-98.05M-75.56M-48.57M
Investing Cash Flow-2.56M-120.00K-29.07M-48.15M-35.31M-8.56M
Financing Cash Flow188.59M134.87M36.52M87.84M212.49M123.11M

Tonix Pharma Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price37.98
Price Trends
50DMA
41.42
Negative
100DMA
32.81
Positive
200DMA
27.29
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.64
Positive
RSI
43.12
Neutral
STOCH
7.30
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TNXP, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 37.98 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 45.02, below the 50-day MA of 41.42, and above the 200-day MA of 27.29, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.64 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.30 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TNXP.

Tonix Pharma Risk Analysis

Tonix Pharma disclosed 66 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tonix Pharma reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tonix Pharma Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$222.07M-48.36%333.74%
60
Neutral
HK$19.22B4.48-1.43%3.30%11.19%-15.58%
57
Neutral
$320.22M-77.51%-21.09%90.95%
56
Neutral
$532.52M-440.80%-19.56%35.55%
55
Neutral
$245.48M-188.58%-41.97%-20.86%
50
Neutral
$131.34M5.55-860.65%-53.67%-330.15%
34
Underperform
$172.14M-51.74%29.72%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TNXP
Tonix Pharma
37.98
0.58
1.55%
CHRS
Coherus Biosciences
1.23
-0.22
-15.17%
NKTR
Nektar Therapeutics
27.03
6.63
32.50%
CLLS
Cellectis SA
2.85
0.45
18.75%
EDIT
Editas Medicine
2.80
-1.12
-28.57%
TIL
Instil Bio
26.99
13.76
104.01%

Tonix Pharma Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Tonix Pharma Announces FDA Approval of Tonmya
Positive
Aug 18, 2025

On August 18, 2025, Tonix Pharmaceuticals will host a webcast and conference call to discuss the FDA’s approval of Tonmya for fibromyalgia treatment. This approval marks a significant milestone for the company, potentially enhancing its market position and offering new opportunities for growth in the treatment of central nervous system disorders.

Product-Related Announcements
Tonix Pharma Gains FDA Approval for Tonmya
Positive
Aug 15, 2025

On August 15, 2025, Tonix Pharmaceuticals announced FDA approval for Tonmya, a treatment for fibromyalgia in adults, with availability expected in the U.S. by the fourth quarter of 2025. The approval was based on successful Phase 3 trials showing significant pain reduction and good tolerability, positioning Tonix as a key player in the fibromyalgia treatment market.

Business Operations and Strategy
Tonix Pharma Launches Move Fibro Forward Campaign
Positive
Jul 21, 2025

On July 21, 2025, Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp. announced the launch of its Move Fibro Forward campaign, aimed at raising awareness and providing support to individuals living with fibromyalgia. This initiative reflects the company’s commitment to addressing central nervous system disorders and could enhance its market positioning by highlighting its dedication to patient support and advocacy.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Tonix Pharma Plans Sales Force for TNX-102 SL
Positive
Jul 16, 2025

On July 16, 2025, Tonix Pharmaceuticals announced plans to establish a sales force of 70 to 90 representatives for its TNX-102 SL product candidate, contingent upon FDA approval. This strategic move aims to enhance the company’s market position and operational capabilities in the fibromyalgia treatment sector.

Product-Related Announcements
Tonix Pharma Unveils Promising TNX-801 Vaccine Findings
Positive
Jul 10, 2025

On July 10, 2025, Tonix Pharmaceuticals announced new findings on their TNX-801 vaccine candidate at the Vaccine Congress 2025. TNX-801, a recombinant horsepox-derived vaccine, shows promise in providing durable immunity against mpox and smallpox with a single dose. The vaccine is significantly less virulent than traditional smallpox vaccines and is effective when administered subcutaneously, potentially reducing side effects. Preclinical studies demonstrated robust immune responses in various animal models, including immunocompromised subjects. This development positions TNX-801 as a critical tool for public health preparedness against orthopox viruses.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Tonix Pharma Publishes Phase 3 Trial Results
Positive
Jul 9, 2025

On July 9, 2025, Tonix Pharmaceuticals announced the publication of full results from its Phase 3 RESILIENT trial for TNX-102 SL in the journal Pain Medicine. This development could enhance the company’s positioning in the fibromyalgia treatment market by providing evidence of the product’s efficacy, potentially impacting stakeholders positively.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Tonix Pharma Publishes Study on TNX-1700 Efficacy
Positive
Jul 2, 2025

On July 2, 2025, Tonix Pharmaceuticals announced the publication of a collaborative study with Columbia University’s Medical School in the journal Cancer Cell. The study demonstrates that the murine version of their drug, TNX-1700, increased survival and decreased metastases in animal models of gastric cancer, suggesting potential for overcoming resistance to anti-PD-1 immunotherapy in gastric and other tumors.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Tonix Pharma Presents Data at Rheumatology Congress
Positive
Jun 16, 2025

On June 16, 2025, Tonix Pharmaceuticals presented data at the Annual European Congress of Rheumatology, highlighting their product TNX-102 SL, which targets non-restorative sleep and provides sustained pain reduction for fibromyalgia treatment. This presentation underscores Tonix’s ongoing efforts to enhance fibromyalgia treatment options, potentially strengthening their position in the pharmaceutical market and impacting stakeholders interested in innovative pain management solutions.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Tonix Pharma Appoints James Hunter to Board
Positive
Jun 13, 2025

On June 12, 2025, Tonix Pharmaceuticals appointed James Hunter to its Board of Directors. Mr. Hunter, who previously served as the company’s Executive Vice President of Commercial Operations and has extensive experience in commercial, sales, and marketing, was deemed not independent under NASDAQ standards. His appointment reflects the company’s strategic focus on leveraging his expertise for future growth.

Private Placements and Financing
Tonix Pharma Signs Major Sales Agreements for Funding
Positive
Jun 11, 2025

On June 11, 2025, Tonix Pharmaceuticals entered into a Sales Agreement with A.G.P./Alliance Global Partners to potentially sell up to $150 million in common stock, enhancing its financial flexibility. Additionally, Tonix signed a Purchase Agreement with Lincoln Park Capital Fund, allowing the sale of up to $75 million in newly issued shares, which could impact its market positioning by providing capital for general corporate purposes.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Tonix Pharma Begins Phase 2 OASIS Trial
Neutral
May 21, 2025

On May 21, 2025, Tonix Pharma announced the dosing of the first patient in the Phase 2 OASIS trial, which aims to evaluate the TNX-102 SL product candidate for reducing acute stress reaction and disorder. Sponsored by the University of North Carolina Institute for Trauma Recovery and supported by a $3 million grant from the U.S. Department of Defense, the trial will involve approximately 180 motor vehicle collision trauma survivors in the U.S., assessing the safety and efficacy of TNX-102 SL compared to a placebo.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025