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Tonix Pharmaceuticals (TNXP)
NASDAQ:TNXP

Tonix Pharma (TNXP) AI Stock Analysis

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TNXP

Tonix Pharma

(NASDAQ:TNXP)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$11.50
▼(-23.74% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/01/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (large ongoing operating losses and persistent cash burn) and bearish technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Positive corporate events provide support via encouraging clinical/pipeline progress and the Nasdaq uplisting, but valuation remains constrained by negative earnings and no dividend.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
A materially stronger capital base and very low debt improve Tonix's financial flexibility to fund clinical programs and absorb trial setbacks without immediate insolvency risk. This reduces near-term refinancing urgency and interest burden, supporting multi-quarter development timelines and strategic optionality.
Negative Factors
Large, persistent negative cash flow
Consistently large negative operating and free cash flows indicate the company burns meaningful cash each year to fund R&D and operations. This structural cash deficit creates recurring dependence on external financing, heightens dilution risk, and could force program prioritization or delays if capital access tightens.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
A materially stronger capital base and very low debt improve Tonix's financial flexibility to fund clinical programs and absorb trial setbacks without immediate insolvency risk. This reduces near-term refinancing urgency and interest burden, supporting multi-quarter development timelines and strategic optionality.
Read all positive factors

Tonix Pharma (TNXP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tonix Pharma Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on discovering, acquiring, developing, and licensing therapeutics and diagnostics to treat and prevent human disease and alleviate suffering. Its portfolio in...
How the Company Makes Money
Tonix primarily seeks to generate future revenue by advancing internally developed or in-licensed product candidates through clinical development toward regulatory approval and commercialization. Until it has approved products, its revenue model t...

Tonix Pharma Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite improving revenue and a materially higher gross margin in 2025, the business remains far from breakeven with deeply negative EBIT/EBITDA and persistent, large operating and free-cash-flow burn. A stronger, low-debt balance sheet improves resilience but has not translated into sustainable returns.
Income Statement
22
Negative
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Mar 2024Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.11M10.09M7.77M0.000.00
Gross Profit6.47M2.33M3.03M0.000.00
EBITDA-123.78M-74.32M-114.09M-110.84M-92.26M
Net Income-124.02M-130.04M-116.66M-110.22M-92.29M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets277.17M162.89M154.46M225.69M240.90M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments207.64M98.78M24.95M120.23M178.66M
Total Debt1.31M5.30M9.81M760.00K956.00K
Total Liabilities32.02M23.33M48.93M18.51M22.18M
Stockholders Equity245.15M139.56M105.53M207.18M218.72M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-103.21M-61.05M-109.90M-146.20M-110.86M
Operating Cash Flow-99.84M-60.92M-102.00M-98.05M-75.56M
Investing Cash Flow-4.53M-120.00K-29.07M-48.15M-35.31M
Financing Cash Flow214.53M134.87M36.52M87.84M212.49M

Tonix Pharma Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price15.08
Price Trends
50DMA
14.42
Negative
100DMA
15.74
Negative
200DMA
23.42
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.44
Positive
RSI
46.72
Neutral
STOCH
33.13
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TNXP, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 15.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.89, above the 50-day MA of 14.42, and below the 200-day MA of 23.42, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.44 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.13 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TNXP.

Tonix Pharma Risk Analysis

Tonix Pharma disclosed 66 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tonix Pharma reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tonix Pharma Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
53
Neutral
$184.51M-21.41-13.46%35.42%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$152.31M-0.86-55.02%-46.92%20.26%
49
Neutral
$132.28M-2.82593.93%-75.77%-31.24%
48
Neutral
$424.90M-40.48-110.72%77.08%
47
Neutral
$304.00M-3.11-77.91%-76.59%94.03%
44
Neutral
$174.00M-0.71-60.15%-8.79%81.36%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TNXP
Tonix Pharma
13.35
-3.65
-21.47%
PLX
Protalix
2.36
-0.26
-9.92%
FATE
Fate Therapeutics
1.34
0.22
19.64%
AVTX
Avalo Therapeutics
13.90
9.00
183.67%
FBRX
Forte Biosciences
32.42
26.58
455.14%
IPHA
Innate Pharma
1.63
-0.28
-14.66%

Tonix Pharma Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Tonix Pharma Advances TNX-4800 Lyme Disease Prevention Program
Positive
Mar 31, 2026
On March 31, 2026, Tonix Pharmaceuticals announced program updates for TNX-4800, its monoclonal antibody candidate for protection against Lyme disease, highlighting that Phase 1 data were presented on March 30, 2026, at the World Vaccine Congress ...
Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Tonix Pharma Begins Phase 1 Study of TNX-1900
Positive
Mar 26, 2026
On March 26, 2026, Tonix Pharmaceuticals announced that the first participant was dosed in a Phase 1 investigator-initiated study of TNX-1900, its intranasal potentiated oxytocin candidate. The trial will assess the drug’s effect on trigemin...
Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Tonix Pharma Highlights Positive Phase 3 Fibromyalgia Data
Positive
Mar 10, 2026
On March 10, 2026, Tonix Pharmaceuticals reported new clinical data on TONMYA (cyclobenzaprine HCl sublingual tablets) from two oral presentations at the 8th International Congress on Controversies in Fibromyalgia. The first presentation detailed ...
Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes
Tonix Pharma Uplists to Nasdaq Global Select Market
Positive
Mar 3, 2026
On March 3, 2026, Tonix Pharmaceuticals announced that Nasdaq approved the transfer of its common stock listing from the Nasdaq Capital Market to the Nasdaq Global Select Market, with trading on the higher-tier market commencing the same day under...
Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Tonix Pharma Incorporates Prior Financial Information by Reference
Neutral
Feb 3, 2026
Tonix Pharma disclosed that the information related to its financial results or operations referenced in a specific filing section is being incorporated by reference into the current disclosure, without providing additional operational, strategic,...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 01, 2026